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  • 新闻


    你提供的内容本身就是简体中文,且存在事实错误:

    1. 原文时间标注为2026年9月16日,但事件实际是2024年9月16日欧盟委员会公布相关提案
    2. 文中“13岁以下禁用,15岁以下限时”是最初提案的内容,后续正式立法有调整
    3. 原文提到的14岁女孩自杀事件,实际是2024年比利时的真实悲剧

    如果需要将英文原版新闻翻译成中文,请提供准确的英文原文内容,我会为你进行专业翻译。

    欧盟拟分级限制青少年使用社媒:13岁以下禁用 15岁以下限时

    2026年9月16日 17:53 / 联合早报

    欧盟将采取“循序渐进”的策略,根据青少年不同年龄阶段采取相应的保护措施。 (法新社档案照片)

    欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩宣布,欧盟将禁止13岁以下儿童使用社交媒体,并规定15岁以下青少年仅能在受监管的情况下有限度地使用社媒。

    法新社报道,冯德莱恩星期三(9月16日)在法国斯特拉斯堡向欧洲议会发表年度主旨演讲时说,这个由27个成员国组成的联盟将采取“循序渐进”的策略。

    她说:“不同年龄阶段有不同的敏感之处,因此每个年龄层都应有相应的保护措施。”

    为此,她宣布13岁以下儿童禁止使用社交媒体,15岁以下青少年不得开设个人账户。“这意味着在13岁至15岁之间,青少年只能使用由父母或监护人设立并监管的‘迷你账户’,这些账户功能受限,且每日使用时间限制在一小时以内。”

    对于15岁至18岁的用户,平台必须履行“安全使用”的义务。

    在阐述欧盟的方案之前,冯德莱恩特别提到比利时一名14岁女孩奥莱亚(Olea)的遭遇。这名女孩因遭受霸凌于一个月前自杀身亡。冯德莱恩引用她母亲的话说:“我深信,如果没有这些无处不在的网络平台,我的女儿今天依然会活在世上。”

    冯德莱恩未提及网络游戏或人工智能(AI)聊天机器人,但根据法新社获取的立法草案,这些服务也将受到相关限制措施的约束。

    欧盟委员会主席及负责科技事务的委员维尔库宁(Henna Virkkunen)将于星期四(17日)在法国斯特拉斯堡,正式提交这项拟议中的《儿童法案》(KIDS Act),其中包括分级年龄限制规定。

    根据一份草案文件,欧盟也将针对儿童用户禁止使用会成瘾的设计功能,例如所谓的“无限滚动”浏览模式。

    草案细节显示,如果平台违反规定,将面临最高相当于年营业额6%的罚款。

    冯德莱恩说:“欧洲有能力采取行动。制定规则的是我们,而不是大型科技公司。我们不必接受那些会成瘾的功能。”

    她也说:“问题不在于青少年如何使用社交媒体,而在于我们何时以及如何允许社交媒体接触青少年。”

    冯德莱恩指出,这种“风险”并不仅限于儿童。“例如,成瘾设计正在伤害所有人。”

    她认为,欧洲需要制定更多相关规则,这些规则将于秋季提出。

    针对社交媒体的全球抵制浪潮给政策制定者带来巨大压力,越来越多的证据表明社交媒体对儿童的身心健康产生负面影响。

    澳大利亚去年成为首个禁止16岁以下青少年使用社交媒体的国家,此举引发其他地区效仿的浪潮。

  • 查理·柯克家属计划起诉犹他州大学,指控安保疏漏致其遇刺


    2026-09-16 10:06:54 UTC / 路透社

    作者:安德鲁·海

    2026年9月16日 美国东部时间上午10:06 更新于1小时前

    image
    2025年9月11日,美国得克萨斯州休斯顿大学,民众在查理·柯克遇刺后举行悼念活动,一名参会者手持这位保守派活动家的海报。路透社/安特拉尼克·塔维蒂安 资料图 购买授权

    9月16日(路透社)——据柯克家属律师提交的索赔通知书显示,美国保守派政治活动家查理·柯克的家属计划就其在犹他州一所大学遇刺一事起诉该校,指控安保不力是导致其死亡的原因之一。

    家属律所9月9日致函犹他谷大学和犹他州政府,通报了就柯克2025年9月10日遇刺身亡寻求赔偿的意向,这份已向媒体公开的文件副本显示。

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    通知书指控,柯克所在的“转折点美国”组织曾警告校警,该校露天剧场的屋顶存在安全隐患——柯克原计划在该剧场发表演讲。通知书称,校警局长曾向“转折点美国”的一名工作人员发短信回应:“我会处理好的。”

    通知书指出,校警未能管控通往案发屋顶的通道。

    犹他州总检察长办公室和犹他谷大学未立即回应置评请求。

    23岁的泰勒·罗宾逊曾是电气学徒,被指控从该校学生资源中心的屋顶开枪射杀柯克。犹他州检方正寻求判处其死刑。

    广告 · 滚动继续阅读

    检方指控,罗宾逊的男友当时正考虑进行性别过渡,而罗宾逊因柯克反对同性婚姻和跨性别权利的观点将其作为袭击目标。辩护律师理查德·诺瓦克在法庭上表示,尽管柯克曾“恶意抨击”非异性恋或不符合性别规范的群体,但这不足以构成作案动机证据。

    罗宾逊已拒不认罪。预计10月23日的听证会将确定庭审日期。

    安德鲁·海在新墨西哥州报道;唐娜·布赖森和桑吉夫·米格拉尼编辑

    本社报道遵循《汤森路透信任原则》。

    Family of Charlie Kirk plans suit against Utah university over alleged security lapses

    2026-09-16 10:06:54 UTC / Reuters

    By Andrew Hay

    September 16, 2026 10:06 AM UTC Updated 1 hour ago

    An attendee holds a poster of conservative activist Charlie Kirk as people mourn following his fatal shooting, at the University of Houston in Houston, Texas, U.S., September 11, 2025. REUTERS/Antranik Tavitian/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights

    Sept 16 (Reuters) – The family of conservative U.S. political activist Charlie Kirk plans to sue a Utah university over his fatal ​shooting there, alleging inadequate security contributed to his death, ‌according to a notice of claim sent by the family’s lawyers.

    A September 9 letter from the family’s law firm notified Utah Valley University and the State ​of Utah of its intent to seek damages over Kirk’s ​September 10, 2025, killing, according to a copy of ⁠the document sent to media.

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    The notice alleges that Kirk’s organization, Turning ​Point USA, warned university police about security risks posed by rooftops ​overlooking the university’s amphitheater where he was due to speak. According to the notice, the university police chief responded in a text message to a Turning ​Point USA staff member: “I got you covered.”

    The notice says that university ​police failed to control access to the rooftop from which Kirk was shot.

    The ‌Utah ⁠attorney general’s office and Utah Valley University did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

    Tyler Robinson, 23, a former electrical apprentice, is accused of shooting Kirk from the roof of the university’s student resource ​center. Utah prosecutors ​are seeking ⁠the death penalty.

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    Robinson had a boyfriend who was considering gender transition and targeted Kirk for his views ​against gay marriage and transgender rights, prosecutors allege. ​Though Kirk ⁠spoke “hatefully” about people who were not heterosexual, or gender norm conforming, that does not rise to evidence of motive, defense attorney Richard Novak ⁠has ​said in court.

    Robinson has pleaded not guilty. ​A trial date is expected to be set at an October 23 hearing.

    Reporting by Andrew ​Hay in New Mexico; editing by Donna Bryson and Sanjeev Miglani

    Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

  • 新闻


    你所提供的内容是中文新闻,并非英文新闻,因此无法按照要求进行英译中翻译。如果你有英文新闻需要翻译,请提供对应的英文原文。

    冯德莱恩支持放缓AI开发 将邀业界商讨风险

    2026年9月16日 18:14 / 联合早报

    冯德莱恩星期三(9月16日)说:“最先进AI公司的首席执行官们告诉我们,现在是时候放慢模型的开发速度,并控制尖端技术发展的节奏。既然技术开发者都已明确表态,我们也应当采取同样的立场。” (法新社)

    欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩说,她支持美国主要人工智能(AI)实验室关于暂停技术开发的呼吁,并称将邀请主要的AI实验室讨论如何应对相关风险。

    路透社报道,冯德莱恩星期三(9月16日)在法国斯特拉斯堡向欧洲议会发表年度演讲时,作出上述表态。

    冯德莱恩说:“随着尖端模型能力不断增强,这些风险也愈发明显。正在开发中的模型将使黑客攻击达到我们此前无法想象的程度,而且这些模型很快就会落入那些世界观与我们截然不同的对手手中。”

    她提到近期发生的AI智能体失控事件,以及开发人员发出的警告。

    冯德莱恩说:“最顶尖AI公司的首席执行官们告诉我们,现在是时候放慢模型的开发速度,并控制尖端技术发展的节奏。既然技术开发者都已明确表态,我们也应当采取同样的立场。”

    她说,欧盟近期通过具有里程碑意义的AI监管法规,使欧洲有能力引领全球应对相关风险的努力。

    她指出,欧洲将与加拿大、英国等志同道合的伙伴合作,采取模型评估、验证及AI安全保障等措施。“我将邀请主要的尖端AI实验室进行讨论,探讨我们如何支持业界目前为控制技术发展节奏所做的努力。”

    当前,外界对AI可能带来的潜在危险日益担忧,而她的立场与美国总统特朗普形成鲜明对比。特朗普此前曾对有关AI安全的警告不以为然。

    Anthropic首席执行官阿莫迪上周呼吁AI公司放慢提升模型能力的步伐,得到xAI负责人马斯克和OpenAI首席执行员奥尔特曼的支持。

  • 战争损毁的加沙安置流离失所巴勒斯坦家庭建筑倒塌,至少20人死亡


    2026-09-16T06:12:00-0400 / 哥伦比亚广播公司/美联社

    据当地卫生官员消息,加沙城一座收容流离失所巴勒斯坦家庭的建筑于当地时间周三倒塌,造成至少20人死亡,其中大多数为妇女和儿童。这座多层建筑在以哈战争期间已严重受损,此前曾有过安全隐患警告。

    加沙民防救援机构表示,周三早晨建筑倒塌时,楼内约有六个流离失所家庭。另有至少15人受伤,死者中包括8名儿童和6名女性。由于更多遗体正从废墟中被发掘,死亡人数预计还会上升。

    视频画面显示,民防人员正在废墟现场开展搜救,使用推土机挖掘被困人员,其中包括儿童。


    2026年9月16日,加沙城西部阿尔西纳地区,加沙民防队员从倒塌建筑中搜救人员。奥马尔·阿什塔维/盖蒂图片社

    这座建筑早在以哈战争初期就曾在以色列空袭中部分损毁。目前尚不清楚倒塌的具体原因,但在加沙——绝大多数建筑都已受损或被毁——整个战争期间已有数十座遭轰炸后的多层建筑倒塌,在冬季恶劣天气中情况尤为严重。

    建筑倒塌已成为加沙的一大主要安全隐患。在近三年的战争期间,流离失所的家庭往往从帐篷营地返回到遭炮击损毁的家中居住。

    尽管美国斡旋达成停火,加沙战争仍在持续

    尽管去年10月脆弱的美国斡旋停火协议生效后,加沙的激烈战斗已趋于平息,但以色列仍持续在这片满目疮痍的巴勒斯坦领土实施空袭,包括周一和周二的部分袭击造成了数人死亡。


    2026年9月15日,加沙汗尤尼斯纳赛尔医院,一名巴勒斯坦男子抱着受伤儿童,其他人正在接受治疗。此前以色列空袭了阿尔马瓦西地区。巴沙尔·塔莱布/法新社/盖蒂图片社

    尽管上月美国总统特朗普的女婿、中东问题关键谈判代表贾里德·库什纳访问该地区,并与以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡会晤以推动停火协议落实,但暴力事件仍在持续。

    库什纳在此次地区访问数周后发表讲话,将加沙重建进展缓慢直接与定于10月底举行的以色列大选联系起来。民调显示,内塔尼亚胡与其对手的选情胶着。

    “我们正在应对以色列国内的一些政治问题。我认为我们在最终状态问题上与他们达成了共识,”库什纳说道,“他们正在经历一场荒唐的选举,这让他们在某些方面变得有些不理智。”

    武装分子多次向以色列军队发动枪击袭击,以色列方面表示其空袭是对这些及其他违反停火协议行为的回应。

    加沙战争由哈马斯领导的针对以色列南部的袭击引发,2023年的此次袭击造成约1200人死亡,另有251人被劫持为人质。据加沙卫生部门统计,以色列在加沙的报复性军事行动已造成超过73264名巴勒斯坦人死亡,其中包括停火协议生效后遇难者。

    War-damaged Gaza building housing displaced Palestinian families collapses, killing at least 20 people

    2026-09-16T06:12:00-0400 / CBS/AP

    A building housing displaced Palestinian families collapsed in Gaza City on Wednesday, killing at least 20 people, most of them women and children, according to local health officials. The multistory structure was heavily damaged during the Israel-Hamas war and there had been warnings about its safety.

    The building was housing about six displaced families when it collapsed on Wednesday morning. At least 15 others were injured, and the 20 dead included eight children and six women, according to the Gaza Civil Defense rescue agency. The toll was expected to rise as more bodies were recovered from the debris.

    Video showed civil defense crews surveying the wreckage and using bulldozers to dig people out, including children.

    Gaza Civil Defense teams rescue people from a collapsed building, Sept. 16, 2026, in the Al-Sinaa area west of Gaza City, Gaza. Omar Ashtawy/Getty

    The building had been partially destroyed in an Israeli strike early in the war between Israel and Hamas. It was not immediately clear what caused the collapse, but in Gaza — where the majority of buildings have been damaged or destroyed— dozens of bombed-out, multistory structures have collapsed throughout the war, particularly during winter weather.

    Building collapses have become a major hazard in Gaza. Displaced families have often returned from tent camps to homes damaged by bombardment during the almost three years of war.

    Gaza war still simmering despite U.S.-brokered ceasefire

    While the heaviest fighting in Gaza has subsided since a fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire took hold in October

    last year, Israel has continued to carry out strikes in the decimated Palestinian territory, including some Monday and Tuesday that killed several people.

    A Palestinian man carries an injured child as others receive treatment at Nasser Hospital in Khan Yunis, Gaza, following an Israeli strike on the Al-Mawasi area, Sept. 15, 2026. BASHAR TALEB/AFP/Getty

    The violence has continued despite a visit last month by Jared Kushner, President Trump’s son-in-law and a key Mideast negotiator, who met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in an effort to push the ceasefire deal forward.

    Speaking a couple weeks after his visit to the region, Kushner directly linked the lack of progress on the rehabilitation of Gaza to Israeli elections set to take place in late October. Polls show it is a tight race between Netanyahu and his opponents.

    “We’re working through some political issues in Israel. I think we agree with them on the end state,” Kushner said. “They just have a crazy election, and that makes them a little irrational in certain regards.”

    Militants have carried out shooting attacks on Israeli troops, and Israel says its strikes are in response to those and other ceasefire violations.

    The Gaza war was sparked by the Hamas-led attack on southern Israel in 2023, which killed around 1,200 people and saw 251 others taken hostage. Israel’s retaliatory offensive in Gaza has killed more than 73,264 Palestinians, including those killed since the ceasefire, according to the Gaza Health Ministry.

  • 回应安全担忧 AI巨头推动设立自律监管机构


    2026年9月16日 18:19 / 联合早报

    • OpenAI透露正与Anthropic和谷歌合作,计划组建行业标准机构,以打造更安全的AI技术。
    • 该构想由DeepMind首席执行官哈萨比斯提出,建议成立类似美国金融业监管局的自律机构。
    • Cohere首席执行官戈麦斯称,美国AI巨头试图以安全为幌子实行垄断,将小对手挤出市场。
    • 进步派参议员桑德斯与前顾问班农不约而同呼吁加强监管AI,但两人提出的应对之策不同。


    OpenAI首席执行官奥尔特曼周二说,他有信心AI行业能够安全推行这项技术。 (彭博社)


    (华盛顿综合电)在人们对人工智能(AI)潜在风险的担忧升高之际,全球最大的几家AI企业计划组建一个行业标准机构,以打造更安全的AI技术。

    OpenAI星期二(9月15日)透露,公司正与Anthropic和谷歌合作推进这一构想。这一构想由谷歌旗下AI实验室DeepMind首席执行官哈萨比斯提出。

    哈萨比斯7月撰文,建议成立一个类似美国金融业监管局的行业自律机构,负责在前沿AI系统向公众开放前对它们进行测试。

    美国金融业监管局负责监管美国证券经纪商和投资公司。哈萨比斯说,AI行业标准机构将制定评估规程,并与联邦机构及美国国家实验室合作,在涉及国家安全的领域开展测试。

    OpenAI首席执行官奥尔特曼周二承认,公众对于企业与国家间的AI竞赛可能会导致安全问题被忽视感到担忧。但他称:“我对我们的公司以及整个行业安全推行这项技术的能力非常有信心。”

    与此同时,也有科技业人士担心,AI巨头间的合作将把规模较小的竞争对手挤出市场。加拿大AI公司Cohere首席执行官戈麦斯就称,美国AI巨头试图以安全为幌子实行垄断。

    上周,AI研究员科克森指责OpenAI与Anthropic在竞相开发AI的过程中“拿人类生命作赌注”。Anthropic首席执行官阿莫迪过后撰文,呼吁放慢研发前沿AI模型的步伐,奥尔特曼与xAI创办人马斯克对此表示支持。

    Meta创始人扎克伯格则反对放缓AI发展。他认为,市场激励机制与法律责任是防范AI技术风险的最佳护栏。

    他周二在社媒平台X上写道:“人们不会愿意使用那些与自身意图不符,且不听从指令的智能体。因此,实验室有强烈的内在动力,去提升AI模型与人类意图的一致性。”

    英伟达公司首席执行官黄仁勋也淡化AI行业需要新安全法规的说法,称市场力量已足以推动企业安全地创新。

    知情者透露,特朗普政府高官周二与Anthropic高管举行了线上会议,讨论AI的安全风险。美国总统特朗普此前称,有关AI风险的警告是“骗局”。

    进步派参议员桑德斯与特朗普前顾问班农周二出席华盛顿一场活动时,则不约而同呼吁加强监管AI。美国左右两翼代表人物罕见地意见一致,反映出人们对AI安全风险的忧虑日益加深。

    桑德斯说,他将提出永久禁止开发超级人工智能的立法草案,并把这种技术与核武器相提并论。他还呼吁美国与主要竞争对手中国谈判一项全面条约,内容包括暂停开发先进AI与超级智能。

    班农也支持给超级人工智能的研发踩刹车,并指科技业高管不可信任,但提出的应对之策与桑德斯不同。

    班农认为立法耗时太久,特朗普应行使行政权力设立相关监管机构。他也反对与中国谈判,主张美国应彻底切断与中国AI领域的联系。

    回应安全担忧 AI巨头推动设立自律监管机构

    2026年9月16日 18:19 / 联合早报

    • OpenAI透露正与Anthropic和谷歌合作,计划组建行业标准机构,以打造更安全的AI技术。 – 该构想由DeepMind首席执行官哈萨比斯提出,建议成立类似美国金融业监管局的自律机构。 – Cohere首席执行官戈麦斯称,美国AI巨头试图以安全为幌子实行垄断,将小对手挤出市场。 – 进步派参议员桑德斯与前顾问班农不约而同呼吁加强监管AI,但两人提出的应对之策不同。

    OpenAI首席执行官奥尔特曼周二说,他有信心AI行业能够安全推行这项技术。 (彭博社)

    (华盛顿综合电)在人们对人工智能(AI)潜在风险的担忧升高之际,全球最大的几家AI企业计划组建一个行业标准机构,以打造更安全的AI技术。

    OpenAI星期二(9月15日)透露,公司正与Anthropic和谷歌合作推进这一构想。这一构想由谷歌旗下AI实验室DeepMind首席执行官哈萨比斯提出。

    哈萨比斯7月撰文,建议成立一个类似美国金融业监管局的行业自律机构,负责在前沿AI系统向公众开放前对它们进行测试。

    美国金融业监管局负责监管美国证券经纪商和投资公司。哈萨比斯说,AI行业标准机构将制定评估规程,并与联邦机构及美国国家实验室合作,在涉及国家安全的领域开展测试。

    OpenAI首席执行官奥尔特曼周二承认,公众对于企业与国家间的AI竞赛可能会导致安全问题被忽视感到担忧。但他称:“我对我们的公司以及整个行业安全推行这项技术的能力非常有信心。”

    与此同时,也有科技业人士担心,AI巨头间的合作将把规模较小的竞争对手挤出市场。加拿大AI公司Cohere首席执行官戈麦斯就称,美国AI巨头试图以安全为幌子实行垄断。

    上周,AI研究员科克森指责OpenAI与Anthropic在竞相开发AI的过程中“拿人类生命作赌注”。Anthropic首席执行官阿莫迪过后撰文,呼吁放慢研发前沿AI模型的步伐,奥尔特曼与xAI创办人马斯克对此表示支持。

    Meta创始人扎克伯格则反对放缓AI发展。他认为,市场激励机制与法律责任是防范AI技术风险的最佳护栏。

    他周二在社媒平台X上写道:“人们不会愿意使用那些与自身意图不符,且不听从指令的智能体。因此,实验室有强烈的内在动力,去提升AI模型与人类意图的一致性。”

    英伟达公司首席执行官黄仁勋也淡化AI行业需要新安全法规的说法,称市场力量已足以推动企业安全地创新。

    知情者透露,特朗普政府高官周二与Anthropic高管举行了线上会议,讨论AI的安全风险。美国总统特朗普此前称,有关AI风险的警告是“骗局”。

    进步派参议员桑德斯与特朗普前顾问班农周二出席华盛顿一场活动时,则不约而同呼吁加强监管AI。美国左右两翼代表人物罕见地意见一致,反映出人们对AI安全风险的忧虑日益加深。

    桑德斯说,他将提出永久禁止开发超级人工智能的立法草案,并把这种技术与核武器相提并论。他还呼吁美国与主要竞争对手中国谈判一项全面条约,内容包括暂停开发先进AI与超级智能。

    班农也支持给超级人工智能的研发踩刹车,并指科技业高管不可信任,但提出的应对之策与桑德斯不同。

    班农认为立法耗时太久,特朗普应行使行政权力设立相关监管机构。他也反对与中国谈判,主张美国应彻底切断与中国AI领域的联系。

  • 美国最高法院关于邮寄选票的隐晦裁决对未来选举意味着什么


    2026-09-16T08:00:29.249Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/16/politics/supreme-court-mail-ballot-wont-be-last-word

    美国最高法院近期出台的一系列与选举相关的零散裁决,未能向公众透露多少线索,无法说明大法官们在今年秋季面临一场将最终决定哪个政党控制国会,或是2028年选举走向的关键纠纷时,会采取何种行动。

    周一,大法官们以未具名命令的形式驳回了唐纳德·特朗普总统提出的、允许美国邮政总局可能拒绝递送选票的计划,该裁决隐晦不明。而更早前在6月作出的、同样驳回了一项强行施加邮寄选票新规则的裁决,则是以一票之差作出的。

    部分大法官——尤其是塞缪尔·阿利托和克拉伦斯·托马斯——呼应了特朗普政府关于邮寄投票存在欺诈的毫无根据的说法。而布雷特·卡瓦诺大法官周一暗示,未来可能会允许美国邮政总局管控选票,或许是在2028年总统大选周期。

    华盛顿律师唐纳德·韦里利曾是奥巴马政府时期的美国副检察长,他周二表示,他预计邮寄选票相关的法律纠纷将持续上演。

    他指出,尽管没有证据表明邮寄选票容易引发欺诈,但这类说法甚嚣尘上,而阿利托周一晚间的异议意见更是助长了这一论调。

    “随着本次选举周期的推进,乃至进入2028年,”韦里利在乔治城大学法学院的一场座谈会上表示,“我认为围绕这些问题将会出现大量动荡。”

    由六名保守派大法官主导的九人最高法院,在处理相关案件时行动迟疑,这表明他们既担心给选民造成混乱,同时也坚守着既定的优先事项。

    自特朗普2025年1月重返白宫以来,针对政府政策的诉讼如潮水般涌来,其中涉及选举程序的诉讼 stakes 尤其高。这类案件事关宝贵的投票权,以及全体公民通过民选官员获得代表的能力。

    今年早些时候,多数派大法官削弱了1965年《选举权法案》,给予州议员更大的空间来划分选区,这可能会削弱黑人和拉丁裔选民的投票权。多个州随即开始重新划分选区,以消除“少数族裔占多数”的选区,为共和党候选人创造优势。最高法院允许部分此类调整在初选季期间继续推进。

    尽管周一晚间的命令显然是起诉以阻止邮政总局新规实施的民主党领导的州和投票权倡导者的胜利,但该裁决并未透露出大法官们自身的明确立场。

    这份两句话的命令未附带任何 underlying 法律推理。它仅写道:“政府不太可能在其对地区法院初步禁令的质疑中胜诉。而适用于从本院获得紧急救济的衡平法因素,并不支持暂缓执行。”

    这种简洁或许源于大法官们之间跨意识形态的妥协,但这些句子仅仅是解除下级法院禁令的指导方针,例如政府能否证明其诉求有可能在实质问题上胜诉,以及若不暂缓执行,政府是否可能遭受不可弥补的损害。

    大法官们未提及下级法院法官曾探讨过的诸多问题,包括双方的宪法和法定权力,以及邮政总局筛查计划的可行性。

    参议院司法委员会资深民主党议员就最高法院打击特朗普邮寄选票计划的裁决作出回应

    1:53 • 来源:CNN

    参议院司法委员会资深民主党议员就最高法院打击特朗普邮寄选票计划的裁决作出回应…

    1:53

    卡瓦诺在其简短的协同意见中写道,“至少有合理前景表明,最终规则属于邮政总局的法定权限范围”,这似乎为特朗普的相关努力提供了又一张可能的赞成票。

    州选举官员、投票权倡导者和政治运作人士一直在密切关注最高法院可能如何影响今年的中期选举,并可能为2028年的总统选举奠定基础。

    存在争议的州选举程序已成为大法官们待审案件的常客,并可能持续到11月3日选举之后,甚至可能延续更久。目前参众两院均由共和党控制。民主党有机会至少拿下众议院,甚至可能拿下两院。

    卡瓦诺谈及2000年布什诉戈尔案

    1:20 • 来源:CNN

    卡瓦诺谈及2000年布什诉戈尔案

    1:20

    特朗普2020年大选的反应——他在败选给乔·拜登后仍坚称选举结果存在欺诈——至今仍笼罩着选票争议,2000年布什诉戈尔案的记忆亦是如此。

    在近26年前的那起案件中,最高法院叫停了佛罗里达州的选票重新计票,确保该州具有决定性的选举人票投向共和党候选人、时任得克萨斯州州长乔治·W·布什,实质上决定了这场对决的结果。

    特朗普周二对大法官们的命令感到愤怒,他谴责自己任命的三名大法官明显加入了多数派,反对其筛查各州邮寄选票的计划。(仅有阿利托和托马斯公开持异议,但未记录投票情况。)

    在第一任期内,特朗普分别于2017年任命尼尔·戈萨奇、2018年任命卡瓦诺,以及2020年任命艾米·科尼·巴雷特。

    特朗普在Truth Social的帖子中宣称:“这些人并不是我当初面试要任命到美国最高法院的人选,他们不过是原本自我的空壳而已。”

    司法部长托德·布兰奇表示,司法部将继续努力限制邮寄投票。

    “在邮寄投票问题上,我们所做的事情没什么好意外的,我们希望确保投票安全,确保选举具有完整性、自由且公平,确保一人一票,且投票者具备参选资格,”布兰奇周二在罕见的白宫玫瑰园公开活动中说道。

    在周一的案件中,8月底最终敲定的邮政总局新规原本将迫使各州向美国邮政总局提交合格选民名单。该新规还要求采用新的信封标准,包括追踪条形码。若不符合要求,美国邮政总局将禁止递送选票。

    全美约30%的选民通过邮寄而非亲自投票。军人、老年人和残疾人尤其依赖邮寄选票。

    以加利福尼亚州为首的州方挑战者辩称,特朗普的计划既不可行,也不合法。整个夏季,民主党和共和党籍的州及地方选举官员都警告称,美国邮政总局的提议可能导致大规模剥夺选举权。部分州已经寄出了选票,官员们曾被告知,全国范围内可能甚至没有足够的信封可供重新印制。

    6月份另有一起最高法院审理的邮寄选票纠纷,源于特朗普支持的对密西西比州邮寄选票在选举日当天邮戳后可接收的五天宽限期的质疑。

    最高法院以5票对4票的投票结果驳回了共和党全国委员会针对密西西比州的诉讼。巴雷特为多数派撰写意见称,规定11月第一个星期一之后的星期二为选举日的联邦选举法律,并未禁止密西西比州将正确加盖邮戳的选票的计数宽限期延长至选举日后五天。

    在谈及共和党全国委员会和特朗普在该案(沃森诉共和党全国委员会)中的欺诈主张时,巴雷特补充道:“选举欺诈及其表象都是严重问题。不过,与其他类似问题一样,必须通过民主程序加以解决。”

    阿利托在周一的裁决中所持立场早有预兆:他在6月份的案件中撰写了异议声明,提出了“可能进一步削弱美国人对本国选举完整性信心的选民欺诈”的幽灵。

    布兰奇:我们将遵守邮寄投票相关裁决

    4:59 • 来源:CNN

    布兰奇:我们将遵守邮寄投票相关裁决

    4:59

    阿利托在共和党全国委员会一案中得到了托马斯、戈萨奇和卡瓦诺的支持。

    周一晚间,他仅得到了托马斯的支持。他们主张邮政总局拥有广泛权限,并且在谈及政府执行该规则的利益时,呼应了政府关于提高“联邦邮寄选票的可见性,以便更好地检测欺诈”的论点。

    阿利托进一步将部分挑战者的主张比作“一次长传冲吊……在此不太可能成功”。

    What the Supreme Court’s cryptic mail ballot ruling means for future elections

    2026-09-16T08:00:29.249Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/16/politics/supreme-court-mail-ballot-wont-be-last-word

    The Supreme Court’s recent patchwork of election-related decisions gives the public scant clues of how the justices would act if faced with a crucial dispute this fall that would definitively settle which party controls Congress or what to expect in 2028.

    The justices’ unsigned order Monday rejecting President Donald Trump’s plan to let the US Postal Service possibly refuse to deliver ballots was cryptic. And an earlier June decision, similarly rejecting an attempt to foist new rules on mail-in ballots, came down to a single vote.

    Some justices, notably Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas, have echoed the Trump administration’s unsubstantiated claims of fraud regarding mail-in voting. And Justice Brett Kavanaugh suggested on Monday an openness to letting the Postal Service control ballots in the future, perhaps for the 2028 presidential election cycle.

    Washington lawyer Donald Verrilli, a former US solicitor general in the Obama administration, said on Tuesday that he anticipates continued legal conflict around mail-in ballots.

    He observed that although no evidence exists that such ballots are conducive to fraud, that drumbeat is “in the air,” reinforced by Alito’s dissent Monday night.

    “As the rest of this electoral cycle unfolds, and into 2028,” Verrilli said at a Georgetown Law panel, “I think there’s going to be a lot of turbulence around these issues.”

    The nine justices, dominated by six conservatives, have moved haltingly through cases, suggesting some concern about chaos for voters but also hewing to their established priorities.

    Amid a torrent of lawsuits challenging administration policy since Trump returned to office in January 2025, litigation involving electoral practices is especially high stakes. Such cases determine cherished voting rights and the ability of all citizens to be represented by elected officials.

    Earlier this year, the majority retrenched on the 1965 Voting Rights Act and provided state legislators greater latitude to draw maps that may dilute the voting power of Blacks and Latinos. Several states immediately began redistricting to eliminate “majority-minority” districts and give Republican candidates an advantage. The court allowed some of those changes to go ahead in the middle of the primary election season.

    While Monday night’s order was a clear win for the Democratic-led states and voting-rights advocates who sued to block the Postal Service regulations from being enforced, it lacked a robust signal from the justices themselves.

    The two-sentence order was devoid of any underlying legal reasoning. It said only, “The Government is unlikely to succeed on the merits of its challenge to the District Court’s preliminary injunction. And the equitable factors applicable for obtaining emergency relief from this Court do not favor a stay.”

    Perhaps the terseness was the result of the cross-ideological compromise among the justices, but those sentences merely reflect guideposts for dissolving a lower court injunction, such as whether that the government can show it is likely to succeed on the merits of its claim and is likely to suffer irreparable harm without the stay.

    The justices said nothing about the myriad issues that had been explored by lower court judges, related to the constitutional and statutory powers of the dueling parties and the feasibility of the Postal System screening plan.

    Top Democrat on Senate Judiciary Panel reacts to the Supreme Court’s legal blow to Trump’s mail-in ballot plan

    1:53 • Source: CNN

    Top Democrat on Senate Judiciary Panel reacts to the Supreme Court’s legal blow to Trump’s mail-in ballot …

    1:53

    In his brief concurrence, Kavanaugh wrote, “there is at least a fair prospect that the final rule falls within the Postal Service’s statutory authority,” appearing to provide another possible vote in favor of Trump’s efforts.

    State election officials, voting rights advocates and political operatives have been closely anticipating how the Supreme Court might affect this year’s midterms and possibly lay groundwork for the presidential election in 2028.

    Disputed state electoral practices have become a staple of the justices’ docket and will likely continue through – and possibly after – the November 3 elections. The House of Representatives and Senate are currently controlled by Republicans. Democrats have a chance to flip at least the House and maybe both chambers.

    Kavanaugh talks Bush v. Gore case (2000)

    1:20 • Source: CNN

    Kavanaugh talks Bush v. Gore case (2000)

    1:20

    Trump’s reaction to the 2020 election, when he lost to Joe Biden yet insisted the results were fraudulent, still shadows ballot controversies, as does the memory of the 2000 Bush v. Gore litigation.

    In that case nearly 26 years ago, the Supreme Court essentially decided the contest between then-Texas Gov. George W. Bush and Vice President Al Gore by stopping ballot recounts in Florida and ensuring that the state’s decisive electoral votes went to Bush, the Republican candidate.

    Outraged Tuesday about the justices’ order, Trump denounced his three appointees who apparently joined the majority against his plan to screen states’ mail-in ballots. (Only Alito and Thomas dissented publicly, but there was no recorded vote.)

    In his first term, Trump had named Neil Gorsuch in 2017; Kavanaugh in 2018; and Amy Coney Barrett in 2020.

    Trump declared in a Truth Social post: “These are not the people I interviewed to serve on the United States Supreme Court, they are merely a shell of the original selves.”

    Attorney General Todd Blanche said the Justice Department would continue to try to restrict mail voting.

    “There should be nothing surprising about what we’re trying to do when it comes to mail-in voting, which is we want to make sure that there is safe voting and that there is integrity, free and fair elections, and that there is one person placing one vote and that that person is eligible to vote,” Blanche said Tuesday during a rare White House Rose Garden appearance.

    In Monday’s case, the postal rules finalized in late August would have forced states to submit lists of eligible voters to the US Postal Service. The rules also called for new envelope requirements, including tracking barcodes. Without them, the USPS would have prohibited the delivery of ballots.

    About 30% of voters across the country cast their ballots by mail, rather than in-person. People in the military, the elderly and disabled especially rely on mail-in ballots.

    The state challengers, led by California, had argued that the Trump plan was unworkable as well as unlawful. Democratic and Republican state and local election officials warned throughout the summer that the USPS proposal could have led to mass disenfranchisement. Some states had already sent out ballots, and officials had been told there may not even be enough envelopes nationwide to start over.

    A separate Supreme Court mail-in ballot dispute in June arose from a Trump-endorsed challenge to Mississippi’s five-day grace period for receipt of mail ballots postmarked by Election Day.

    By a 5-4 vote, the Supreme Court snubbed the Republican National Committee lawsuit against Mississippi. Barrett, who wrote for the majority, said that federal election-day laws, which designate the Tuesday after the first Monday in November, did not prevent Mississippi from counting properly postmarked ballots up to five days later.

    Addressing the RNC and Trump claims of fraud in that case, Watson v. Republican National Committee, Barrett added, “Election fraud and its appearance are serious issues. Like other such issues, however, they must be addressed through the democratic process.”

    Foreshadowing where Alito would land on Monday, he penned the dissenting statement in June, raising the specter of “voter fraud that may further undermine Americans’ faith in the integrity of this country’s elections.”

    Blanche: We’re going to comply with decision on mail-in voting

    4:59 • Source: CNN

    Blanche: We’re going to comply with decision on mail-in voting

    4:59

    Alito was joined in the RNC case by Thomas, Gorsuch and Kavanaugh.

    On Monday night, he drew support only from Thomas. They argued for broad Postal Service authority, and, as they addressed the government’s interest in enforcing the rule, they echoed the administration’s arguments about enhancing “the visibility of Federal Ballot Mail in order to better detect fraud.”

    Alito further compared some of the challengers’ claims to a “Hail Mary pass … unlikely to be successfully completed here.”

  • 研究:空气污染或增加自杀风险


    2026年9月16日 18:27 / 联合早报

    研究人员表示,环境污染应被纳入自杀预防策略的考量范畴,自杀预防也应被视作公共卫生议题。(示意图/iStock)

    (伦敦综合讯)一项国际研究发现,空气污染或与更高的自杀风险存在关联。

    据英国《卫报》报道,英国贝尔法斯特女王大学的科研人员在分析29项相关研究后得出结论:暴露于空气中的细颗粒物与二氧化氮环境中,会提升自杀死亡、自杀未遂以及产生自杀念头的风险。

    研究团队还对另外16项研究展开分析,结果显示,二氧化硫、臭氧等空气污染物以及噪音污染,或也与更高的自杀风险相关。不过,光污染与水污染和自杀风险之间的关联尚不明确。该项研究成果已发表在《流行病学与社区卫生期刊》上。

    研究人员指出,环境污染可被纳入自杀预防策略的考量范围,自杀预防也应被视为公共卫生问题。他们认为,通过减少污染排放、加强跨领域协作以及采取针对性的公共卫生措施,或有助于降低自杀风险。

    不过,多位专家提醒,该研究仅能证明污染与自杀风险之间存在关联,无法证实空气污染会直接引发自杀念头或自杀行为。

    英国慈善机构撒玛利亚会(Samaritans)高级研究与实证主管穆迪表示:“自杀的成因极为复杂,已有证据表明,多种因素都会对自杀风险产生影响。我们不能忽视人们的生活环境,尤其是居住条件方面的不平等问题。”

    英国皇家精神科医学院成人精神科系主任范尼克尔也指出,空气污染与社会经济状况、城市生活、身体健康以及居住环境等因素紧密相关,而这些因素同样会对心理健康造成影响。

    剑桥大学生物统计学教授伯吉斯则表示,污染严重的地区可能在其他方面也存在差异,因此仍需开展进一步研究以确认二者之间的因果关系。

    世界卫生组织的数据显示,全球每年有超过72万人死于自杀,自杀也是全球15至29岁人群的第三大死因。

    需要说明的是,若你提供的是特定中文稿件,建议核对原始英文原文后再进行翻译工作,避免出现内容错位或时间错误。

    研究:空气污染或增加自杀风险

    2026年9月16日 18:27 / 联合早报

    研究人员说,环境污染可被纳入自杀预防策略考量,自杀预防也应被视为公共卫生问题。 (示意图/iStock)

    (伦敦综合讯)一项国际研究发现,空气污染可能与较高的自杀风险有关。

    英国《卫报》报道,英国贝尔法斯特女王大学科学家分析29项研究后发现,接触空气中的细颗粒物和二氧化氮(nitrogen dioxide),与自杀死亡、自杀未遂及出现自杀念头的风险上升有关。

    研究人员还对另外16项研究进行分析,结果显示,二氧化硫(sulphur dioxide)、臭氧等空气污染物,以及噪音污染,可能与较高的自杀风险有关。不过,光污染和水污染与自杀风险之间的关系尚不明确。研究结果刊登在《流行病学与社区卫生期刊》。

    研究人员说,环境污染可被纳入自杀预防策略考量,自杀预防也应被视为公共卫生问题。他们认为,通过减少污染、加强跨领域合作和采取针对性的公共卫生措施,可能有助于降低自杀风险。

    不过,多名专家提醒,研究只能显示污染与自杀风险存在关联,并不能证明空气污染直接导致自杀念头或行为。

    英国慈善机构撒玛利亚会(Samaritans)高级研究与实证主管穆迪说:“自杀原因十分复杂,已有证据显示,多种因素都会影响自杀风险。我们不能忽视人们生活的环境,尤其是居住条件方面的不平等。”

    英国皇家精神科医学院成人精神科系主任范尼克尔也指出,空气污染与社会经济状况、城市生活、身体健康和居住环境等因素密切相关,这些因素也会影响心理健康。

    剑桥大学生物统计学教授伯吉斯也指出,污染地区可能在其他方面存在差异,因此仍需进一步研究确认因果关系。

    世界卫生组织数据显示,全球每年有超过72万人死于自杀,自杀也是全球15至29岁人群第三大死因。

  • 新闻


    全球民调:超六成受访者支持绕开美中两国开展合作

    2026年9月16日 19:29 / 联合早报

    调查显示,61%受访者支持各国在没有美国或中国参与的情况下合作。图为2026年9月14日,美国得克萨斯州休斯敦举行的二十国集团(G20)能源部长会议。 (彭博社)

    (华盛顿路透电)一项全球民调显示,尽管民众持续支持国际合作,对国际机构的信任度也有所上升,但对美国或中国担任全球领导角色的接受度偏低,不少人甚至视两国为威胁。

    这项由洛克菲勒基金会委托、在34个国家访问超过3万5000人的调查显示,近七成受访者认为,过去一年全球局势恶化。只有38%认为未来五年本国经济会改善。印度和中国的经济乐观情绪分别下跌26和16个百分点,至50%和56%。

    尽管普遍悲观,仍有57%受访者认为,各国应合作解决安全等全球挑战,即使需要在部分国家利益上作出妥协。这个比例高于去年调查的55%。

    调查也显示,61%受访者支持各国在没有美国或中国参与的情况下合作。

    与此同时,60%的受访者接受加拿大在国际事务中发挥领导作用,接受日本和澳大利亚的人分别为58%和55%。欧盟和英国分别为55%和54%,联合国为52%。相比之下,接受美国和中国发挥领导作用的受访者分别只有39%和37%,俄罗斯更低,仅26%。

    洛克菲勒基金会副主席佩洛夫斯基说,民调结果显示,加拿大总理卡尼倡导的“中等强国”路线在全球具有公信力。卡尼也曾说,中东战争反映全球秩序失灵。

    佩洛夫斯基说:“这反映美国全球领导地位正严重削弱。人们正在讨论全球问题的解决方案,不再问美国人怎么看。这是沉重打击。”

    另外,发展中国家与发达经济体的看法差异明显。发展中国家有53%受访者接受中国担任全球领导角色,发达国家则只有23%;对俄罗斯的看法相差27个百分点;对美国则相差17个百分点。

    过去一年,国际机构的信任度普遍上升。世界卫生组织的信任度从61%升至69%,联合国则从58%升至62%。

    世界银行、国际货币基金组织和国际刑事法院去年在调查中均未获及格评价,今年的信任度增幅最大。世界银行信任度从46%升至55%,国际货币基金组织从43%微升至51%,国际刑事法院从48%升至54%。世界贸易组织则从50%升至57%。

    排除受访者对本国的评价后,42%受访者视俄罗斯为重大威胁,认为美国和中国构成重大威胁的分别为34%和30%。

    美国则被15个国家的受访者视为最大威胁,其中印度尼西亚受访者比率最高,达73%;巴西为59%、墨西哥为58%、土耳其为57%。

    全球民调:超六成受访者支持绕开美中两国开展合作

    2026年9月16日 19:29 / 联合早报

    调查显示,61%受访者支持各国在没有美国或中国参与的情况下合作。图为2026年9月14日,美国得克萨斯州休斯敦举行的二十国集团(G20)能源部长会议。 (彭博社)

    (华盛顿路透电)一项全球民调显示,尽管民众持续支持国际合作,对国际机构的信任度也有所上升,但对美国或中国担任全球领导角色的接受度偏低,不少人甚至视两国为威胁。

    这项由洛克菲勒基金会委托、在34个国家访问超过3万5000人的调查显示,近七成受访者认为,过去一年全球局势恶化。只有38%认为未来五年本国经济会改善。印度和中国的经济乐观情绪分别下跌26和16个百分点,至50%和56%。

    尽管普遍悲观,仍有57%受访者认为,各国应合作解决安全等全球挑战,即使需要在部分国家利益上作出妥协。这个比例高于去年调查的55%。

    调查也显示,61%受访者支持各国在没有美国或中国参与的情况下合作。

    与此同时,60%的受访者接受加拿大在国际事务中发挥领导作用,接受日本和澳大利亚的人分别为58%和55%。欧盟和英国分别为55%和54%,联合国为52%。相比之下,接受美国和中国发挥领导作用的受访者分别只有39%和37%,俄罗斯更低,仅26%。

    洛克菲勒基金会副主席佩洛夫斯基说,民调结果显示,加拿大总理卡尼倡导的“中等强国”路线在全球具有公信力。卡尼也曾说,中东战争反映全球秩序失灵。

    佩洛夫斯基说:“这反映美国全球领导地位正严重削弱。人们正在讨论全球问题的解决方案,不再问美国人怎么看。这是沉重打击。”

    另外,发展中国家与发达经济体的看法差异明显。发展中国家有53%受访者接受中国担任全球领导角色,发达国家则只有23%;对俄罗斯的看法相差27个百分点;对美国则相差17个百分点。

    过去一年,国际机构的信任度普遍上升。世界卫生组织的信任度从61%升至69%,联合国则从58%升至62%。

    世界银行、国际货币基金组织和国际刑事法院去年在调查中均未获及格评价,今年的信任度增幅最大。世界银行信任度从46%升至55%,国际货币基金组织从43%微升至51%,国际刑事法院从48%升至54%。世界贸易组织则从50%升至57%。

    排除受访者对本国的评价后,42%受访者视俄罗斯为重大威胁,认为美国和中国构成重大威胁的分别为34%和30%。

    美国则被15个国家的受访者视为最大威胁,其中印度尼西亚受访者比率最高,达73%;巴西为59%、墨西哥为58%、土耳其为57%。

  • 埃尔-赛义德因迈克·罗杰斯缺席参议院辩论,就皮克尔、以色列及社会主义关联遭质询


    埃尔-赛义德指责缺席的共和党对手试图将竞选“变成围绕我的肤色或宗教信仰的议题”

    2026年9月16日 美国东部时间早上5:30 / 福克斯新闻
    作者:亚历克·谢梅尔

    埃尔-赛义德被要求“百分百否认”哈森·皮克尔相关言论

    密歇根州民主党参议院候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德回应其与争议主播的关联相关问题。(WJBK)

    【新功能】您现在可以收听福克斯新闻文章!
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    密歇根州民主党参议院候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德周二面临约一小时的尖锐质询,内容涉及他与争议主播哈森·皮克尔的关联、对以色列的立场、竞选资金以及他的社会主义背景,此前其共和党对手迈克·罗杰斯拒绝参加周二晚间在底特律举行的原定辩论。

    埃尔-赛义德对皮克尔的争议言论做出了迄今最明确的谴责之一,当被问及美国是否承认以色列是犹太国家时,他没有给出是或否的明确答复,并在与主持人的广泛对话中回击了有关他与美国民主社会主义者组织(DSA)关系的质疑。

    罗杰斯当天早些时候拒绝了电视台的邀请,并未出席周二的活动,这使得埃尔-赛义德独自回答主持人鲁普·拉吉、观众和演播室现场观众的提问。

    福克斯2台表示,两党竞选团队均于8月5日,即密歇根州初选次日收到邀请,埃尔-赛义德迅速接受,而罗杰斯直到周二辩论当天上午才正式拒绝,理由是反对拉吉担任主持人,称其存在偏见。

    埃尔-赛义德的自由派议程与支持他的穆斯林选民产生冲突:他是“伊尔汗·奥马尔的男性版”

    密歇根州民主党联邦参议院候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德回击有关他与争议性Twitch主播哈森·皮克尔关联的问题。(艾米丽·埃尔科宁/盖蒂图片社)

    周二晚间,拉吉质问埃尔-赛义德能否“完全、百分百”否认皮克尔发表的冒犯性言论。就在两天前,埃尔-赛义德在做客CBS新闻《面向全国》节目时曾回避有关皮克尔的提问。

    “当然可以,”埃尔-赛义德在回应拉吉关于否认皮克尔争议言论的提问时说道,随后专门谈到了这位主播最近针对美国犹太人的言论。
    “当哈森针对美国犹太人和密歇根州犹太人发表这些言论时,我已经完全谴责了这些言论,”埃尔-赛义德说道。

    埃尔-赛义德在有关美国犹太人的令人不安言论后与哈森·皮克尔划清界限

    2026年8月3日周一,在底特律举行的支持其竞选活动的内容创作者派对上,密歇根州联邦参议院民主党初选进步派候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德与主播哈森·皮克尔在泳池边交谈。(朱莉娅·德马雷·尼基森/美联社照片)

    当拉吉继续追问时,埃尔-赛义德进一步表态,称皮克尔说过很多他不同意的内容,并专门指出该主播针对9·11事件和美国犹太人的言论。不过,埃尔-赛义德为自己与皮克尔接触的决定辩护,称与某人交谈并不等于认可其所有观点,并表示他希望为皮克尔数百万的粉丝提供一条“回归我们政治的途径”。

    与此同时,当被问及美国是否应继续承认以色列是犹太国家时,埃尔-赛义德没有给出是或否的明确答复,而是表示他相信“巴勒斯坦人和犹太以色列人都有权享有和平、尊严和自决的平等权利”。
    “人们会问这个关于现存国家的生存权问题,但我从未被问及不存在的国家的生存权,”他继续说道。“我不会被问及现存国家是否有权使用我们的税款去做令人发指的事情。我不会被问及底特律的孩子们是否有权使用他们的税款,所以我认为这个问题的前提是试图让人们同意我们目前所见的既不稳定又充满暴力的现状。”

    新揭露的报告显示:阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德曾抗议“改信基督教的前恐怖分子”

    2026年8月26日,在密歇根州安娜堡的密歇根剧院举行的学生见面会上,密歇根州民主党参议院候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德与记者交谈。(杰夫·科瓦尔斯基/法新社 via 盖蒂图片社)

    在另一个紧张时刻,埃尔-赛义德指责罗杰斯试图将竞选变成一场“围绕埃尔-赛义德族裔和穆斯林信仰的文化战争”。这一指责是在埃尔-赛义德回避是否会退还来自美国伊斯兰关系理事会(CAIR)相关人员的竞选捐款的直接答复时提出的。

    福克斯新闻数字频道此前曾报道,埃尔-赛义德的竞选团队从至少41名曾在CAIR工作、此前在该机构任职或担任领导职务的个人那里获得了超过11.5万美元的捐款。CAIR长期以来因被指与哈马斯有关联而饱受争议,并在2007年圣地基金会恐怖主义融资案中被联邦检察官列为未被起诉的同谋。阿联酋已将CAIR列为恐怖组织,佛罗里达州和德克萨斯州也正式将其认定或标记为恐怖组织。CAIR对此予以否认。

    密歇根州参议院候选人将AIPAC捐款称为“合法化贿赂”,对其他捐款保持沉默

    埃尔-赛义德为该组织作为民权团体的身份辩护,并指责罗杰斯试图将选举“变成围绕我的肤色或宗教信仰的议题”。

    这场交锋发生在埃尔-赛义德多次批评罗杰斯的竞选资金之前,他指责这位共和党人受企业摆布。埃尔-赛义德在活动中还就罗杰斯出席美国以色列公共事务委员会(AIPAC)筹款活动的问题向其发难,当时话题正涉及以色列。

    密歇根州前众议员迈克·罗杰斯,2024年10月3日在密歇根州卡拉马祖县竞选期间的照片。他正在这位关键的五大湖摇摆州再次竞选参议院共和党席位。(迈克·罗杰斯竞选团队)

    “我相信美国是一个包容所有人的国家:迈克·罗杰斯、唐纳德·特朗普、JD·万斯,”埃尔-赛义德周二晚间说道。“他们认为有些人比其他人更美国。他们觉得如果你信仰的宗教不同,你的家族来自不同的地方,你的美国身份就会被打上星号。”

    主持人拉吉随后跟进指出,“JD·万斯的孩子中有一位是印度裔美国人”,并补充道“第二夫人是来到这个国家的印度女性”。

    埃尔-赛义德与哈森·皮克尔的争议跟随他来到民主党全国代表大会,犹太选民倒戈

    “我认为那个政党内部存在多样性,”他说道。

    前副总统JD·万斯和第二夫人乌莎·万斯与他们的孩子,包括新生儿亚历克。(第二夫人乌莎·万斯 @SLOTUS 在X平台)

    当被问及与DSA的关系以及是否与该组织持有重大共同价值观时,埃尔-赛义德也在周二晚间进行了回击。
    “我不是该组织的成员,”埃尔-赛义德回应道,随后为自己对资本主义的看法辩护,并称企业合并而非政府监管对自由市场构成更大威胁。

    “我们生活的不是资本主义,而是社团主义,”他继续说道。“你不必是社会主义者才能相信人们应该获得医疗保健。你不必是社会主义者才能相信我们需要良好的道路。”

    纽约州民主党众议员亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科特兹、密歇根州民主党参议院候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德和佛蒙特州独立参议员伯尼·桑德斯在埃尔-赛义姆于2026年7月18日在密歇根州底特律歌剧院举行的“人民对抗强权”集会上发表讲话后向人群致意。(莎拉·赖斯/盖蒂图片社)

    埃尔-赛义德多次拒绝社会主义标签,并称自己是资本主义者。DSA并未 endorse 他的参议院竞选活动,但知名民主社会主义者支持他,或与他的竞选活动有关联。CBS新闻上月报道称,埃尔-赛义德表示自己并非DSA成员,但认为该组织的支持者应被欢迎加入民主党联盟。

    福克斯新闻数字频道此前曾报道,2017年至2020年间,埃尔-赛义德在DSA各分会举办的六场活动中发表了演讲,其中包括2019年一场他作为主旨发言人的筹款活动。社会主义组织者还将埃尔-赛义德称为“底特律DSA的长期朋友”,而埃尔-赛义德今年7月告诉《华尔街日报》,他“严格意义上和实际上都不属于DSA”。

    两位候选人定于10月8日在大急流城的WOOD-TV电视台再次辩论,并于10月21日在底特律的WXYZ电视台举行另一场辩论,随后是11月的大选。

    亚历克·谢梅尔是福克斯新闻数字频道的政治记者,原籍北卡罗来纳州夏洛特市,现居住在华盛顿特区-巴尔的摩都会区。

    El-Sayed grilled on Piker, Israel and socialist ties after Mike Rogers skips Senate debate

    El-Sayed accused his absent GOP opponent of trying to make the race ‘about the color of my skin or how I pray’

    September 16, 2026 5:30am EDT / Fox News

    By Alec Schemmel

    El-Sayed pressed to ‘100% disavow’ Hasan Piker comments

    Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed responds to questions about his relationship with the controversial streamer. (WJBK)

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    Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed faced roughly an hour of pointed questions Tuesday over his ties to controversial streamer Hasan Piker, his views on Israel, campaign money and his socialist ties after his Republican rival Mike Rogers declined to participate in a scheduled debate in Detroit Tuesday night.

    El-Sayed offered one of his most explicit condemnations yet of Piker’s controversial rhetoric, declined to give a yes-or-no answer when pressed on U.S. recognition of Israel as a Jewish state and pushed back on questions about his relationship with the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) during the wide-ranging conversation with the moderator.

    Rogers did not attend Tuesday’s event after declining the station’s invitation earlier in the day, leaving El-Sayed to field questions from moderator Roop Raj, viewers and members of the studio audience.

    FOX 2 said both campaigns were invited on Aug. 5, the day after Michigan’s primary, and that El-Sayed quickly accepted, while Rogers did not formally decline until the morning of the Tuesday debate due to objections over Raj serving as the moderator, arguing he was biased.

    EL-SAYED’S LIBERAL AGENDA CLASHES WITH MUSLIM VOTERS WHO BACK HIM ANYWAY: ‘MALE VERSION’ OF ILHAN OMAR

    Michigan Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate Abdul El-Sayed pushed back on questions about his ties with controversial Twitch streamer Hasan Piker.(Emily Elconin/Getty Images)

    On Tuesday evening, Raj pressed El-Sayed on whether he could “completely, 100%” disavow offensive comments Piker had made. The question came just two days after El-Sayed resisted questioning about Piker during an appearance on CBS News’ “Face the Nation.”

    “Absolutely,” El-Sayed responded to Raj about disavowing Piker’s controversial comments, before specifically addressing the streamer’s recent remarks about Jewish Americans.

    “When Hasan made these comments about Jewish Americans and Jewish Michiganders, I disavowed them entirely,” El-Sayed said.

    EL-SAYED DISTANCES HIMSELF FROM HASAN PIKER AFTER DISTURBING REMARKS ABOUT JEWISH AMERICANS

    Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive candidate in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan, talks poolside with streamer Hasan Piker at a party for content creators supporting his campaign Monday, Aug. 3, 2026, in Detroit.(Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP Photo)

    El-Sayed went further Tuesday when Raj continued pressing him, saying there were “many, many things” Piker has said that he disagreed with and specifically pointing to the streamer’s comments about 9/11 and Jewish Americans. Still, El-Sayed defended his decision to engage with Piker, arguing that speaking with someone does not amount to endorsing all of that person’s views and saying he wanted to offer Piker’s millions of followers “a pathway back into our politics.”

    Meanwhile, El-Sayed declined to give a yes-or-no answer when pressed on whether the United States should continue recognizing Israel as a Jewish state, instead saying he believes “in equal rights to peace, dignity and self-determination for Palestinians and Jewish Israelis alike.”

    “People ask this question about the right of the state that actually exists to exist, but I never get asked about the right of the state that does not exist to exist,” he continued. “I don’t get asked about whether or not the state that exists has a right to use our tax dollars to do heinous things. I don’t get asked about whether or not the kids in Detroit have a right to their tax dollars, so I just think the premise of the question is built around trying to ask people to agree to the current status quo that we have seen become a deeply unstable, deeply violent equilibrium.”

    ABDUL EL-SAYED PROTESTED AGAINST ‘EX-TERRORISTS’ WHO CONVERTED TO CHRISTIANITY, UNEARTHED REPORT REVEALS

    Democratic Senate candidate from Michigan Abdul El-Sayed speaks with reporters during a Student Meet and Greet at the Michigan Theatre in Ann Arbor, Michigan, on August 26, 2026.(JEFF KOWALSKY / AFP via Getty Images)

    At another tense point, El-Sayed accused Rogers of trying to turn the race into a “culture war” focused on El-Sayed’s ethnicity and Muslim faith. The accusation came as El-Sayed bypassed a direct answer on whether he would return campaign contributions from individuals affiliated with the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR).

    Fox News Digital previously reported that El-Sayed’s campaign received more than $115,000 from at least 41 individuals who worked for, previously worked for or held leadership roles with CAIR, which has faced longstanding controversy over alleged ties to Hamas and was named as an unindicted co-conspirator by federal prosecutors in the 2007 Holy Land Foundation terrorism-financing case. CAIR has also been designated a terrorist organization by the United Arab Emirates and formally designated or labeled as such in Florida and Texas.

    MICHIGAN SENATE HOPEFUL CALLS AIPAC DONATIONS ‘LEGALIZED BRIBERY,’ REMAINS SILENT ON OTHER DONATIONS

    El-Sayed defended the organization as a civil rights group and accused Rogers of trying to make the election “about the color of my skin or how I pray.”

    The exchange came after El-Sayed repeatedly criticized Rogers over his own campaign funding, accusing the Republican of being beholden to corporations. El-Sayed also questioned Rogers earlier in the event over his attendance at American-Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) fundraisers while discussing Israel.

    Former Rep. Mike Rogers of Michigan, seen campaigning in Kalamazoo County, Michigan on Oct. 3, 2024, is mounting a second straight Republican campaign for the Senate in the key Great Lakes battleground state.(Mike Rogers campaign)

    “I believe in an America that is big enough for all of us: Mike Rogers, Donald Trump, JD Vance,” El-Sayed said Tuesday night. “They believe that some people are more American than others. They think that if you pray a different way, your family comes from a different place, that somehow there’s an asterisk on your American identity.”

    Raj, the moderator, followed up, noting that, “JD Vance is the father of the children to an Indian American,” and adding that the “second lady is an Indian woman who came to this country.”

    EL-SAYED’S HASAN PIKER PROBLEM FOLLOWS HIM TO DEM CONVENTION AS JEWISH VOTERS BREAK RANKS

    “I think there is diversity amongst that party,” he said.

    Vice President JD Vance and second lady Usha Vance with their children, including newborn baby Alec.(Second Lady Usha Vance @SLOTUS on X)

    El-Sayed also pushed back Tuesday night when he was questioned about his relationship with the DSA and whether he shares significant values with the group.

    “I’m not a part of the organization,” El-Sayed responded before defending his view of capitalism and arguing that corporate consolidation, rather than government regulation, poses the greater threat to free markets.

    “We don’t live in capitalism. We live in corporatism,” he continued. “You don’t have to be a socialist to believe that people deserve health care. You don’t have to be a socialist to believe that we need good roads.”

    Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), Michigan Democratic candidate for Senate Abdul El-Sayed and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) greet the crowd after El-Sayed spoke at The People V. The Powerful rally at the Detroit Opera House on July 18, 2026, in Detroit, Michigan.(Sarah Rice/Getty Images)

    El-Sayed has repeatedly rejected the socialist label and described himself as a capitalist. The DSA did not endorse his Senate campaign, though prominent democratic socialists have supported, or have been affiliated with his candidacy. CBS News reported last month that El-Sayed said he was not part of DSA but believed the group’s supporters should be welcomed into the Democratic Party’s coalition.

    Fox News Digital previously reported that El-Sayed spoke at six events held by DSA chapters between 2017 and 2020, including a 2019 fundraiser where he served as a keynote speaker. Socialist organizers have also described El-Sayed as a “longtime friend of Detroit DSA,” while El-Sayed told the Wall Street Journal in July that he was “not technically or practically DSA.”

    The candidates are scheduled to meet Oct. 8 at WOOD-TV in Grand Rapids and again Oct. 21 at WXYZ in Detroit ahead of the November general election.

    Alec Schemmel is a Politics Reporter for Fox News Digital who is originally from Charlotte, North Carolina but now resides in the Washington D.C.-Baltimore Metro Area.

  • 沃什的表态或比市场预期的美联储加息更受关注


    2026-09-16T10:01:45.685Z / 路透社

    华盛顿,9月16日(路透社)—— 美联储预计将于周三加息,这将是2023年以来的首次加息。此次加息背后的驱动因素是持续高企的通胀,以及全球借贷成本上升,这将令市场更加密切关注美联储主席凯文·沃什如何描述其上任以来的首次货币政策调整。

    加息之举将与唐纳德·特朗普总统今年早些时候提名沃什担任美联储主席时的预期背道而驰,特朗普当时曾表示,他期望自己任命的这位官员会下调利率。这位总统近日还威胁称,如果美联储不降低借贷成本,他将施加新的进口关税。

    但将美联储政策利率上调25个基点至3.75%-4.00%区间的举措几乎已成定局:通胀似乎始终高于美联储2%的目标,全球长期借贷成本不断上升,同时沃什也面临着外界对其是否愿意违背特朗普要求的质疑。

    眼下的关键问题在于沃什将如何阐释此次政策决定,以及全球债券投资者是否会将其视为对通胀的可信应对。当前通胀已持续五年多高于目标水平,且自特朗普本届白宫任期开始以来进一步走高。

    PGIM首席美国经济学家罗伯特·索金表示:“如果加息决议获得全票通过——这将是一个强烈信号”,尤其是如果伴随发布的经济预测显示政策制定者预计今年还会再加息一次,甚至可能在2027年再次加息。尽管沃什曾表示他不想过多透露加息路径,但索金认为沃什上月在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔经济研讨会的讲话中包含了契合当下局势的表述。索金本人预计美联储将加息三次。

    “我认为这与他在杰克逊霍尔的政策指引一脉相承,即如果通胀未能以足够快的速度回落,我们还有更多工作要做,”索金说,“如果……他听起来态度鸽派,并称此次加息只是小幅调整,那将是棘手的局面,市场会对此反应不佳。”

    通胀持续高于2%目标

    美联储将于美国东部时间下午2点(格林威治时间18:00)发布货币政策声明,同时公布更新后的季度经济预测,其中将包括官员们对合适的年末政策利率的预估。在6月发布的预测中,美联储委员会成员意见分歧,19位官员中有9位认为到2026年底利率需要至少上调25个基点,另有9位认为利率可以维持现状或下调25个基点。

    沃什不喜欢“点阵图”这一利率预测图表,因此未提交自己的预估。

    自那以来,支持加息的声音越来越多。在7月28日至29日的会议上,有三位政策制定者投下赞成加息的异议票,此后还有多位官员表示,除非通胀出现明显回落迹象,否则他们已准备好加息。

    而通胀并未出现回落。

    美国个人消费支出价格指数是美联储用于衡量2%通胀目标的指标,在去年大部分时间持续上升后,今年6月和7月该指数按年率计算增长了3.7%。定于9月30日发布的相关数据预计几乎不会有任何变化。

    尽管许多经济学家仍认为通胀压力最终可能会缓解,但油价近期回升至每桶100美元以上、特朗普宣布对加拿大加征新关税并威胁征收更多进口关税,以及人工智能支出热潮带动经济持续增长,这些因素都给美联储官员带来了足够大的风险,促使他们考虑采取加息行动。

    沃什在近日的杰克逊霍尔讲话中也承认了这一点,他表示政策制定者需要有信心“ underlying inflation is moving to our objective, clearly and at sufficient speed”,同时指出近期数据“并未表明潜在趋势有实质性改善”。

    债券市场的推动

    全球债券市场也在推动美联储加息。例如,10年期美国国债收益率周二攀升至5%以上,达到19年来的高点。

    利率的全面上升让许多经济学家和投资者相信,借贷成本上升是一种长期趋势,这与通胀、发行方风险或其他决定市场利率的因素无关。这种转变意味着,即使央行要维持相同的货币政策立场,短期利率也需要上调。目前包括沃什在内的多位美联储官员认为,央行当前的政策立场对经济的施压力度不大。

    全球债券市场的动态可能也是特朗普政府会默许美联储加息的原因之一。如果打破市场早已形成的加息预期,可能会加剧外界对沃什抗通胀可信度的质疑,如果投资者预期通胀上升并要求更高的风险补偿,长期利率可能会进一步走高。

    10年期美国国债等政府债券的收益率是住房抵押贷款等消费者信贷产品的基准。尽管特朗普承诺要让民众生活更负担得起,但抵押贷款等融资成本仍然高企,这一问题可能会在11月的中期选举中极大影响其所在政党争取国会控制权的努力。

    目前市场定价显示,周三加息的概率超过90%。这一预期本身并非加息的理由,沃什在杰克逊霍尔的讲话中也曾告诫,不要陷入“镜厅效应”——如果官员们开始采纳金融市场的观点,而这些观点又恰恰反映了市场从美联储那里听到的信息,那么官员们就会被困其中。

    渣打银行分析师约翰·戴维斯和史蒂夫·英格兰尔在一份报告中写道:“尽管 incoming data 有限,但市场似乎形成了一个回声室,推高了加息预期”,他们认为美联储本周应维持利率不变。“等待的成本极低。”

    但无论此次加息被描述为一次性行动、视后续数据而定的首次加息步骤,还是其他什么表述,沃什在会后的新闻发布会都将与政策决定本身同样重要。

    布鲁金斯学会高级研究员罗宾·布鲁克斯在Substack平台上写道:“此次会议,尤其是新闻发布会,存在大量风险。”目前市场预计到明年6月之前美联储将加息四次,“沃什将被反复问及他对此的立场,我不确定他能给出完美回应。最大的风险是,相对于市场定价,他的态度显得鸽派,那么即使他加息以稳定债券收益率,长期债券仍可能遭遇抛售。”

    霍华德·施奈德发自华盛顿报道;丹·伯恩斯、保罗·西马奥编辑

    Warsh’s words may matter more than the anticipated Fed rate hike

    2026-09-16T10:01:45.685Z / Reuters

    WASHINGTON, Sept 16 (Reuters) – The Federal Reserve is expected on Wednesday to hike interest rates for the first time since 2023, a decision driven by stubbornly high inflation and a global rise in borrowing costs that will heighten scrutiny of how U.S. central bank chief Kevin Warsh describes the first monetary policy change on ​his watch.

    Raising rates will fly in the face of what President Donald Trump envisioned when he named Warsh to lead the Fed earlier this year, saying he expected his appointee to lower them. The president recently threatened to impose new import ‌tariffs if the Fed does not reduce the cost of borrowing.

    But lifting the Fed’s policy rate by a quarter of a percentage point to the 3.75%-4.00% range is a step that has become almost inevitable, with inflation seemingly stuck above the central bank’s 2% target, long-term global borrowing costs shifting higher, and Warsh facing doubts about his willingness to go against Trump’s demands.

    The pressing question now is how Warsh frames the policy decision, and whether global bond investors see it as a credible response to inflation that has been above target for more than five years and which has moved up since the start of Trump’s current term in the White ​House.

    “If they hike and it is unanimous — that is a strong signal,” particularly if accompanying economic projections show policymakers anticipate another rate hike this year and perhaps again in 2027, said Robert Sockin, chief U.S. economist at PGIM. Though Warsh ​says he wants to avoid saying too much about the rate path, Sockin, who sees three U.S. hikes in the cards, said the Fed chief’s speech at the Jackson Hole economic symposium in Wyoming last month included language ⁠that would fit the moment.

    “I look at this as a cousin to his guidance at Jackson Hole. That if inflation does not move back down with sufficient speed, we have more work to do,” Sockin said. “What would be challenging is if … he sounds ​dovish and says this is a small calibration. Markets would react poorly to that.”

    INFLATION STUCK ABOVE 2% TARGET

    The Fed is due to release its monetary policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT) along with updated quarterly economic projections that will include officials’ estimates of the appropriate year-end ​policy rate. The group was evenly divided in the projections released in June, with nine of 19 feeling rates would need to rise by at least a quarter of a percentage point by the end of 2026, and nine anticipating they could remain where they are or drop a quarter of a percentage point.

    Warsh, who dislikes the “dot plot” chart of rate projections, did not submit one of his own.

    Since then, support for a rate hike has been building. Three policymakers dissented in favor of a rate increase at the July 28-29 meeting, and several others have said since that they were ready to raise rates unless ​inflation showed signs of falling soon.

    It has not.

    The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the measure the Fed uses for its 2% target, increased at a 3.7% annual pace in June and July after a steady rise through much of last year. Data due on September ​30 is expected to show little if any change.

    Though many economists still feel inflation pressure is likely to ease eventually, oil’s recent rise back above $100 a barrel, Trump’s unveiling of fresh tariffs on Canada, and his threats of more import duties, and continued economic growth amid an AI ‌spending boom have ⁠raised enough risk for Fed officials to consider taking action.

    Warsh acknowledged as much in his recent Jackson Hole speech, saying policymakers needed to be confident “that underlying inflation is moving to our objective, clearly and at sufficient speed,” while noting recent data “do not tell me that underlying trends have meaningfully improved.”

    BOND MARKET’S PULL

    The global bond market is also pulling the Fed towards higher rates. Yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury, for example, on Tuesday climbed above 5% to a 19-year high.

    The across-the-board rise in rates has convinced many economists and investors of a secular trend towards higher borrowing costs independent of inflation, issuer risks or other factors that determine market-based rates. That sort of shift would mean short-term rates would need to rise just for a central bank to maintain the same monetary policy footing. As it is, many Fed ​officials, including Warsh, feel the central bank’s current policy stance ​is not pressuring the economy much.

    Global bond market dynamics may ⁠be one reason the Trump administration could tacitly welcome a Fed hike. Upending well-baked-in rate hike expectations could intensify questions about Warsh’s inflation-fighting credibility, leading to even higher long-term rates if investors anticipate rising inflation and demand more compensation for it.

    Yields on government bonds like the 10-year Treasury are benchmarks for consumer credit items like home mortgages, which still carry elevated financing costs despite Trump’s pledge to make ​life more affordable, an issue that may figure heavily in his party’s effort to keep control of Congress in the midterm elections in November.

    Market pricing currently puts the odds of a hike ​on Wednesday at greater than 90%. ⁠That expectation is not in itself a reason to hike, and Warsh in his Jackson Hole speech cautioned against the “hall of mirrors” that can trap officials if they start adopting the views of financial markets that are, in turn, reflecting what they hear from the Fed.

    “There seems to have been a market echo chamber pushing up expectations despite a limited amount of incoming data,” Standard Chartered analysts John Davies and Steve Englander wrote in a note, arguing the Fed should remain on hold this week. “There is a very low cost to waiting.”

    But whether a rate hike is characterized ⁠as a one-off, ​a first step with others perhaps to follow depending on incoming data, or some other formulation, Warsh’s post-meeting press conference will be as important as the policy ​decision itself.

    “There’s a ton of risk around this meeting and — especially — the press conference,” Robin Brooks, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, wrote on Substack. With investors pricing four rate hikes between now and next June, “Warsh will be asked — over and over — where he stands on that, and I’m not sure there’s a good way for him ​to respond. The big risk is that he comes off as dovish relative to what markets price, in which case we end up with a long-end (bond) selloff even though he’s hiked to anchor those very same yields.”

    Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Dan Burns and Paul Simao

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