2026年10月4日 美国东部时间下午5:08 / 福克斯新闻网
前美国国家情报负责朝鲜事务的官员悉尼·塞勒表示，此次导弹测试大幅提升了朝鲜半岛之外的风险。
作者：艾玛·巴塞，福克斯新闻网
前美国情报官员警告称，在进行高超音速导弹测试之际，平壤方面几乎没有动力重新与华盛顿接触。
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朝鲜于10月3日发射了一枚其称之为中程战略导弹的武器，一名专家警告称，此类导弹可将关岛和阿拉斯加部分地区纳入射程范围，这在唐纳德·特朗普总统寻求重启与金正恩外交关系之际，提升了美国及其盟友面临的风险。
朝鲜官方媒体称，金正恩亲自监督了此次演习，而前驻韩美军分析师悉尼·塞勒告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，此次试射的射程意味着其影响远超朝鲜半岛范围。
据路透社援引朝鲜官方朝中社报道，该导弹被描述为“高超音速战略武器系统”的一部分，在该国东海岸附近海域飞行了约1000公里，即621英里。
关岛作为美国在西太平洋的领土具有重要战略意义，岛上设有包括安德森空军基地和关岛海军基地在内的大型军事设施。
朝鲜专家警告：伊朗战争期间进行导弹测试后，美国永远不能将目光从金正恩身上移开
朝鲜进行中程战略导弹演习。（朝鲜官方朝中社。路透社/朝中社）
“中程弹道导弹——射程约3000至5000公里的弹道导弹——的发射有意思的地方在于，它将关岛、阿拉斯加部分地区和日本纳入了朝鲜的射程范围，”专注朝鲜事务的前国家情报委员会官员塞勒说道，同时他告诫不要完全将此次发射视为对特朗普的直接回应。
“但考虑到中程弹道导弹系统所需的准备工作，此次发射不太可能主要是对总统过去几天的言论或行动的回应，”塞勒说。
在10月3日导弹发射数小时后，特朗普在俄亥俄州万多利亚的一场集会上吹捧了他与金正恩的关系。
“我和金正恩相处得非常好。与拥有大规模核武器国家的领导人相处融洽，这不好吗？”特朗普说道。
他还补充道：“当一个国家拥有112枚核弹头时，与其和睦相处更好，”他指出朝鲜的核能力是保持开放外交沟通的一个理由。
“朝鲜现在根本不想谈判，所以他们没有理由不进行发射，”塞勒在谈到最近的导弹试射和特朗普的最新言论时说道。
“考虑到特朗普总统正努力重新与朝鲜接触，他们却进行这些导弹试射，你只能认为两者存在一定关联。”
俄罗斯部署朝鲜导弹部队至乌克兰；莫斯科-平壤轴心加深：报道
朝鲜领导人金正恩与唐纳德·特朗普总统在分隔朝韩的军事分界线上合影，摄于2019年6月30日板门店非军事区共同警备区。（布伦丹·斯米洛夫/法新社/盖蒂图片社）
据报道，此次试射此前，朝鲜于9月20日从元山地区发射了两枚短程弹道导弹。
美国、韩国和日本官员10月3日表示，朝鲜的弹道导弹测试违反了联合国安理会决议，威胁到地区和国际安全。
现为战略与国际研究中心朝鲜问题研究所非常驻高级顾问的塞勒表示，平壤的姿态不止于与特朗普政府的关系。
此次最新发射“是在与韩国完全停止对话、多次拒绝美国对话提议的大背景下发生的，”塞勒说道。
“但在特朗普总统任期内，朝鲜避免了一些更具攻击性的行动；我们已经近两年没有看到洲际弹道导弹发射了。”
特朗普下令大幅削减美韩军演，与此同时朝鲜加紧导弹测试
据朝鲜官方媒体报道，金正恩亲自监督了朝向日本海（又称东海）的导弹试射活动。（朝鲜官方朝中社。路透社/朝中社）
不过塞勒警告称，不应将这种克制误认为平壤愿意放弃其核与导弹计划。
“对朝鲜来说，其整体外交战略是让世界接受其本来面目：一个不进行无核化、发射导弹、偶尔挑衅并在言辞上施压的国家，”塞勒说。
“随着时间推移，他们的目标是让我们放弃任何无核化或结构性变革的希望，这与他们建立基准相一致：无论外交是否展开，他们都将继续发展和展示导弹技术。”
与此同时，特朗普继续强调他与金正恩的关系，并暗示希望重启其第一任期内的个人外交。
特朗普与金正恩于2018年在新加坡、2019年在河内举行峰会，随后于同年晚些时候在朝鲜非军事区板门店会面，当时特朗普跨过了朝韩非军事区进入朝鲜。
推动特朗普韩美同盟从“历史性新时代”转向军事撤军的紧张内幕
一张由《东亚日报》提供的照片显示，朝鲜领导人金正恩和唐纳德·特朗普总统于2019年6月30日在韩国板门店分隔朝韩的非军事区南侧出席会议。（《东亚日报》/盖蒂图片社/盖蒂图片社）
“总统始终致力于与朝鲜进行对话——最近还表示他愿意通一次电话，”塞勒说。
“虽然一次通话可能不会在无核化问题上立即取得进展，但它有助于缓解紧张局势，并有助于建立未来朝鲜半岛危机管理所需的直接关系。”
这位专家表示，华盛顿的战略变得复杂的一点是，金正恩与俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京的结盟。
据塞勒称，朝鲜已向俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争提供军队和军事装备，这降低了金正恩与美国接触的动力。
“就目前而言，金正恩，尤其是考虑到他与弗拉基米尔·普京日益紧密的关系，以及他目前从与俄罗斯的关系中获得的一切，根本不需要与美国对话，”塞勒说。
前NBA球星丹尼斯·罗德曼与金正恩的特殊关系或许也为特朗普提供了另一条与朝鲜领导人接触的潜在途径。罗德曼也曾多次访问朝鲜并与金正恩亲自会面。
10月1日，罗德曼在德克萨斯州登顿市的一家彼得比尔特工厂与特朗普会面，随后与总统一同前往俄克拉荷马州杜兰特市参加集会。
朝鲜更新宪法，要求在金正恩遇刺时自动进行核打击：报道
丹尼斯·罗德曼显然对特朗普总统在朝鲜问题上的前景持乐观态度。（美联社/盖蒂图片社）
当在德克萨斯州被问及是否会利用与金正恩有过私人接触的罗德曼来帮助促成与平壤的和平时，特朗普强调了他与朝鲜领导人的私人关系。
“只要我还在任，你们就不会有任何问题。换别人来，你们就会遇到大麻烦，”特朗普说。
特朗普还强调了罗德曼与金正恩的私人联系，称：“当我想了解金正恩时，我们当时正遇到问题——金正恩和我相处得很好，但最了解他的人是丹尼斯·罗德曼。”
“丹尼斯·罗德曼有着非常有趣的视角，他能够在多次访问中与金正恩互动，亲自了解他，在没有外交包袱的情况下建立起一些融洽关系，”塞勒说。
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“他或许可以为特朗普总统提供有关金正恩个性、价值观和潜在行事方式的见解，但，正如我想丹尼斯·罗德曼的代表所说的那样，他离拿到机票还有很长的路要走。”
艾玛·巴塞是福克斯新闻数字频道的突发新闻撰稿人。在加入福克斯之前，她曾在《每日电讯报》美国夜班团队工作，涉及外交、政治、新闻、体育和文化等多个部门。
North Korea missile could put Guam in range as Kim rebuffs Trump outreach: expert
October 4, 2026 5:08pm EDT / Fox News
Former national intelligence officer for North Korea Sydney Seiler says the missile test raises the stakes far beyond the Korean Peninsula
By Emma Bussey, Fox News
Former US intel officer warns Pyongyang has little incentive to reengage Washington amid hypersonic missile test
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North Korea fired what it described as an intermediate-range strategic missile Oct. 3, and an expert warned that such a missile could put Guam and parts of Alaska within range, raising the stakes for the U.S. and its allies as President Donald Trump seeks to revive diplomacy with Kim Jong Un.
Kim personally oversaw the drill, North Korean state media claimed, while former U.S. Forces Korea analyst Sydney Seiler told Fox News Digital that its range means the latest test has implications extending far beyond the Korean Peninsula.
According to Reuters, citing North Korea’s state-run Korean Central News Agency, the missile was described as part of a “hypersonic strategic weapon system” and traveled about 1,000 kilometers, or 621 miles, away in waters off the country’s east coast.
Guam holds strategic military importance as a U.S. territory in the western Pacific and hosts major military installations, including Andersen Air Force Base and Naval Base Guam.
NORTH KOREA EXPERT WARNS US CAN ‘NEVER TAKE THEIR EYE OFF’ KIM JONG UN FOLLOWING MISSILE TEST DURING IRAN WAR
North Korea conducts an intermediate-range strategic missile drill.(North Korea’s official Korean Central News Agency. KCNA via REUTERS)
“What is interesting about an IRBM launch — an intermediate-range ballistic missile that flies around 3,000 to 5,000 kilometers — is that it brings Guam, parts of Alaska, and Japan into range of North Korea,” Seiler, a former National Intelligence Council officer focused on North Korea, said while cautioning against fully viewing the launch as a direct response to Trump.
“But when you consider the preparation required for an intermediate-range ballistic missile system, it is unlikely this was primarily a response to the president’s comments or actions over the past few days,” Seiler said.
Hours after the Oct. 3 missile launch, Trump had touted his relationship with Kim during a rally in Vandalia, Ohio.
“I get along great with Kim Jong Un. Isn’t it nice to get along with the leaders of massive nuclear nations?” Trump said.
He also added: “When someone has 112 nuclear missiles, it is better to get along with them,” pointing to North Korea’s nuclear capabilities as a reason for maintaining open diplomatic communication.
“North Korea simply isn’t interested in talking right now, so they have no incentive not to launch,” Seiler said of the recent missile test and Trump’s latest remarks.
“The fact that they’re doing these missile launches amid a diplomatic effort by President Trump to try to re-engage the North, you have to see them only as somewhat related.”
RUSSIA DEPLOYS NORTH KOREAN MISSILE UNIT TO UKRAINE; MOSCOW-PYONGYANG AXIS DEEPENS: REPORT
North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un poses with President Donald Trump at the Military Demarcation Line that divides North and South Korea, in the Joint Security Area (JSA) of Panmunjom in the Demilitarized zone (DMZ) on June 30, 2019.(Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images)
The test also followed North Korea’s launch of two short-range ballistic missiles from the Wonsan area on Sept. 20, according to reports.
Officials from the U.S., South Korea and Japan said Oct. 3 that North Korea’s ballistic missile tests violate U.N. Security Council resolutions and threaten regional and international security.
Seiler, now a nonresident senior adviser with the Korea Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said Pyongyang’s posture extends beyond its relationship with the Trump administration.
The latest launch comes “within the larger context of a current absolute stand down on dialogue with South Korea and repeated rejections of overtures from the United States for dialogue,” Seiler said.
“But North Korea has refrained from some more aggressive actions during the president’s term of office; we haven’t seen an ICBM launch for almost two years now.”
TRUMP ORDERS MAJOR CUT TO US-SOUTH KOREA DRILLS AS NORTH KOREA RAMPS UP MISSILE TESTS
Kim Jong Un personally oversaw the missile test event toward the Sea of Japan, also known as the East Sea, according to North Korean state media.(North Korea’s official Korean Central News Agency. KCNA via REUTERS)
Seiler warned that restraint should not, however, be mistaken for a willingness to abandon Pyongyang’s nuclear and missile programs.
“For North Korea, their overall diplomatic strategy is to condition the world to accept them for who they are: a non-denuclearizing, missile-launching, occasionally provoking, and rhetorically coercive state,” Seiler said.
“As time goes on, their goal is for us to give up any hope of denuclearization or structural change, which is consistent with them establishing a baseline: whether diplomacy unfolds or not, they will continue to develop and demonstrate missile technology.”
Meanwhile, Trump has continued to emphasize his relationship with Kim while signaling a wish to revive the personal diplomacy of his first term.
Trump and Kim held summits in Singapore in 2018 and Hanoi in 2019 before meeting at Panmunjom in the Korean Demilitarized Zone later that year, when Trump crossed into North Korea.
INSIDE THE TENSION THAT DROVE TRUMP’S SOUTH KOREA ALLIANCE FROM ‘HISTORIC NEW ERA’ TO MILITARY PULLBACK
A handout photo provided by Dong-A Ilbo of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and President Donald Trump attend a meeting on the south side of the demilitarized zone (DMZ) separating the South and North Korea on June 30, 2019, in Panmunjom, South Korea.(Dong-A Ilbo via Getty Images/Getty Images)
“The president has shown persistent commitment to engaging North Korea in dialogue — most recently suggesting he is open to a phone call,” Seiler said.
“While a call might not yield immediate progress on denuclearization, it contributes to tension reduction and helps establish a direct relationship necessary for future crisis management on the peninsula.”
Complicating Washington’s strategy, the expert said, is Kim’s alignment with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
North Korea has provided troops and military equipment to support Russia’s war in Ukraine, reducing Kim’s incentive to engage with the U.S., according to Seiler.
“Right now, Kim Jong Un, particularly given his emerging relationship with Vladimir Putin and everything he’s getting out of the relationship with Russia right now, simply doesn’t need to talk to the United States,” Seiler said.
Former NBA star Dennis Rodman’s unusual relationship with Kim also perhaps offers Trump another potential connection to the North Korean leader. Rodman has also made multiple trips to North Korea and met personally with Kim.
Rodman joined Trump at a Peterbilt plant in Denton, Texas, on Oct. 1 before traveling with the president toward a rally in Durant, Oklahoma.
NORTH KOREA UPDATES CONSTITUTION TO REQUIRE AUTOMATIC NUCLEAR STRIKE IF KIM JONG UN IS ASSASSINATED: REPORT
Dennis Rodman apparently sees big things on the horizon for President Trump as far as North Korea is concerned.(AP/Getty)
Asked in Texas whether he was using Rodman, who has personally met Kim, to help broker peace with Pyongyang, Trump emphasized his own relationship with the North Korean leader.
“As long as I’m here, you’re not gonna have any problems. Somebody else comes, you’re gonna have some big problems,” Trump said.
Trump also highlighted Rodman’s personal connection to Kim, saying: “When I wanted to get to know Kim Jong Un when we were having a problem—Kim Jong Un and I get along—but the one who knew him best was Dennis Rodman.”
“Dennis Rodman has a very interesting perspective in that he was able to interact with Kim Jong Un over a number of visits and get to know him personally, to develop some rapport without any diplomatic baggage,” Seiler said.
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“He may be offering President Trump insights into Kim Jong Un’s personality, values, and potential approaches, but, you know, as I think Dennis Rodman’s representatives have said, he is still a long way off from getting airplane tickets.”
Emma Bussey is a breaking news writer for Fox News Digital. Before joining Fox, she worked at The Telegraph with the U.S. overnight team, across desks including foreign, politics, news, sport and culture.