2026年10月8日 美国东部时间凌晨5:30 / 福克斯新闻
众议院共和党人私下考虑若共和党在11月遭遇“大屠杀”，将吉姆·乔丹推上领导岗位
作者：伊丽莎白·埃尔金德 福克斯新闻
众议院议长迈克·约翰逊告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，众议院共和党人将在中期选举中“逆势而为”
在缅因州一个摇摆国会选区的竞选活动中，众议院议长迈克·约翰逊预测共和党将“扩大众议院多数席位优势”。
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唐纳德·特朗普总统在国会最突出的盟友之一，很快可能成为他对抗民主党主导的一系列调查和弹劾威胁的最高级别辩护者。
几名众议院共和党议员告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，他们预计众议院控制权将在11月易主，随之而来的将是高层领导团队的重大重组。
“我看不到所有人都能保住职位的 scenario，”一名众议院共和党议员直言不讳地对福克斯新闻数字频道说。“我认为[众议院议长迈克·约翰逊，路易斯安那州共和党人]会是第一个下台的，然后[众议院多数党领袖史蒂夫·斯卡利斯，路易斯安那州共和党人]必须决定他是否要竞选领袖，以及他能否击败[众议院司法委员会主席吉姆·乔丹，俄亥俄州共和党人]？”
在福克斯新闻数字频道与多名众议院共和党议员的谈话中，乔丹和斯卡利斯的名字被频繁提及，所有受访者都要求匿名，以便讨论党内内部会议事务。
众议院民主党人若拿下多数席位，计划对特朗普展开调查攻势
俄亥俄州共和党人、众议院司法委员会主席吉姆·乔丹于2025年5月20日与其他众议院共和党领导层成员在华盛顿特区举行新闻发布会。(内森·波斯纳/安纳多卢通讯社 via 盖蒂图片社)
第二名众议院共和党议员表示，在有关共和党少数党领袖的讨论中，乔丹是“头号热门人选”。
众议院保守派斥资数百万美元展开中期选举攻势，对抗民主党“社会主义”攻势
这位俄亥俄州共和党议员早已在共和党基础选民中拥有很高知名度。正如第一名议员所说：“他的名人效应非常有用……吉姆·乔丹来你的选区时，能吸引300人到场。”
这种效应在本届选举周期中已尽显无疑。今年8月和10月的大部分时间里，乔丹都在全国范围内为 fellow 众议院共和党候选人拉票，从处境艰难的温和派议员到保守的“让美国再次伟大”忠实追随者。
共和党高层痛斥中期选举前出现的“反美”候选人：“你一定是在开玩笑”
这与2023年10月竞选议长时的乔丹判若两人，当时前议长凯文·麦卡锡被罢免，引发了一场历史性的议长争夺战。乔丹当时的竞选得到了保守派的热烈支持，也遭到温和派的强烈反对，其中多名温和派议员称他们因反对乔丹而受到乔丹盟友的威胁。
第一名众议院共和党议员将乔丹如今的形象描述为“吉姆·乔丹2.0版”。
“我认为，他已经采取措施，在支持他的群体中，突破了自由核心小组的局限，”该议员说。“他只是党团会议里一位出色的成员。”
但自2023年那场风波以来，乔丹本人并未公开表露过任何领导野心，当时约翰逊在数周的政治混乱后当选议长。第二名众议院共和党议员表示，他们看到乔丹一直在主动回避相关讨论。
他本周早些时候告诉《Punchbowl News》，他正“专注于赢下众议院多数席位”。
第一名议员说：“我认为[乔丹]没有刻意造势，就悄悄建立了相关的支持基础。但同时，他本可以攻击现任领导层，但他没有这么做。他只是在尽力帮助我们赢得选举。”
众议院多数党领袖史蒂夫·斯卡利斯于2025年11月12日在华盛顿特区前往众议院会场，准备就政府持续拨款决议进行投票。(内森·波斯纳/安纳多卢通讯社 via 盖蒂图片社)
第三名众议院共和党议员指出，如果民主党在又一场蓝色浪潮中赢得众议院，2023年竞选议长时乔丹的众多最激烈反对者都将落选。而且与议长选举需要全院多数票不同，少数党领袖只需赢得共和党党团内部的多数票即可。
“如果我们输掉20到30个席位，剩下的都是像我这样的人，我认为吉姆·乔丹的胜算会大得多。因为党团会议里剩下的都将是保守派，”第三名共和党议员说，并补充道他们会“百分之百”支持乔丹。
福克斯新闻权力排名：对民主党来说，哪里可能出错？
但潜在的少数党领袖乔丹的竞选之路不会一帆风顺。大多数众议院共和党议员私下预计，作为约翰逊的副手、自2014年起进入众议院共和党领导层的斯卡利斯，将竞选该职位。
“两人显然都在为此积极准备，”第四名众议院共和党议员告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。“乔丹对很多人都很有吸引力。我认为他有可能胜出。但有很多人忠于史蒂夫，尤其是那些长期在党内的人。”
和其他众议院共和党领导层成员一样，斯卡利斯也利用休会期在全国范围内为共和党候选人拉票。他还以作为共和党高效的筹款人而闻名。
第五名共和党议员说：“我猜测，目前斯卡利斯会处于领先地位，乔丹紧随其后。”
“我认为这将取决于，大家认为谁更能有效对抗民主党？”第五名议员问道。
第六名众议院共和党议员表示，如果共和党输掉众议院，路易斯安那州共和党人斯卡利斯和乔丹之间的竞争似乎在所难免，并认为如果共和党重新夺回多数席位，斯卡利斯是继续领导党的最佳人选。
“在某些方面，吉姆·乔丹会是个不错的少数党领袖，因为他像一头斗牛犬……[但]我从不认为吉姆·乔丹会成为一名高效的议长，”第六名议员说。“我认为史蒂夫·斯卡利斯可能是我们现有的最佳人选，他有与本届政府打交道的经验，理解我们议程中必须通过的部分……也是我们最优秀的谈判者。”
鉴于麦卡锡被罢免后两人竞争议长职位时结下的梁子，这场竞争很可能会异常激烈。斯卡利斯在闭门会议中与乔丹的一对一对决中赢得了共和党议员的多数支持，但最终未能在众议院全院投票中胜出。乔丹2023年的议长竞选则因未能在全院投票中获得多数票而失败。
众议院多数党鞭汤姆·埃默，明尼苏达州共和党人，于2025年10月28日与共和党研究委员会及其他众议院共和党领导层成员在华盛顿特区举行新闻发布会。(内森·波斯纳/安纳多卢通讯社 via 盖蒂图片社)
约翰逊为特朗普立下大功，但共和党微弱多数优势下不满情绪加剧
但目前尚不清楚这场竞争是否真的会发生。
“我认为如果约翰逊竞选少数党领袖，他仍然会获得足够的票数，”第五名议员说。“他做了领导者该做的一切。他筹集了资金，四处奔波拉票。在过去两年里，他促成了许多没人认为可能通过的艰难投票。”
也存在共和党逆势而为、保住众议院多数席位的情况。在这种情况下，约翰逊几乎肯定会继续担任议长。
“众议院议长迈克·约翰逊是美国梦的典范。作为议长，他凭借微弱的众议院多数席位优势逆势而为，通过了‘美国优先’法案，”特朗普的竞选团队在X平台上发帖称。“11月共和党获胜后，他们应该迅速重新选举迈克为议长！”
然而，如果民调结果准确，大多数人预计约翰逊会主动辞职。
“我认为他不会愿意在担任过众议院议长后再去当少数党领袖，这对我来说毫无意义，”第四名众议院共和党议员说。
第三名共和党议员则更为直白：“约翰逊的时代结束了。”
约翰逊本人在上个月接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时，对任何有关领导层竞争的讨论都不予理会。
“我真的一点都没考虑过，因为我们全神贯注于当前的工作，”当被问及是否会竞选少数党领袖时，他说。“这是一场前所未有的中期选举，我相信我们将逆势而为，保住并扩大我们的多数席位优势。”
众议院议长迈克·约翰逊，路易斯安那州共和党人，在国会山举行的新闻发布会上发言，众议院多数党鞭汤姆·埃默，明尼苏达州共和党人，右侧旁听。(玛丽安·祖哈布/美联社)
如果约翰逊的预测落空，预计有一位领导层成员仍有很大机会保住自己的职位：众议院多数党鞭汤姆·埃默，明尼苏达州共和党人。
多名人士告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，埃默已私下告知众议院共和党议员，无论结果如何，他都打算再次竞选党鞭一职，从而避免与乔丹和斯卡利斯可能发生的正面冲突。
“我认为这是一招妙棋，他说‘你知道吗？我除了保住自己的职位之外什么都不做’，”第一名众议院共和党议员说。“我认为汤姆相当受尊重，大多数人纠结的是，‘我不想在汤姆和吉姆之间做选择’。”
第五名议员说：“据我了解，如果真的有竞争，埃默会很高兴担任第二把手。”
但在多名众议院共和党议员都预计中期选举将出现“大屠杀”的环境下，没有什么是板上钉钉的。
三名共和党议员告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，他们预计民主党将赢得20至25个席位——共和党重新划分选区的努力使他们免于遭遇更惨重的损失。
几名众议院共和党议员警告，如果遭遇惨败，可能会有人呼吁全面改组领导层。
第二名众议院共和党议员表示，整个领导团队都可能在这种情况下“被彻底推翻”。
“在我看来，所有人都安于现状的可能性不大，”第一名议员说。
在这种情况下，还有另一个名字被人们视为潜在的领导人选：共和党研究委员会主席奥古斯特·普弗吕格，德克萨斯州共和党人。
“我一直听到有关他的传闻，但没有直接听到过，”第七名众议院共和党议员说。“我猜他正在准备，一旦机会出现就参选，但他行事非常低调。”
第二名众议院共和党议员表示，在提及频率上，他的名字仅次于乔丹。
“我参选时根本不认识他，但他打电话给我，还为我的竞选活动捐了款，”第一名议员说。“他非常有野心，但我不知道他的野心瞄准的是什么目标。”
多名人士推测，如果埃默选择退休或被迫下台，普弗吕格可能会竞选第二把手的党鞭职位。
共和党研究委员会主席奥古斯特·普弗吕格，德克萨斯州共和党人，于2025年10月28日与其他共和党研究委员会成员及众议院共和党领导层成员在华盛顿特区举行新闻发布会。(内森·波斯纳/安纳多卢通讯社 via 盖蒂图片社)
第四名众议院共和党议员表示，他可以想象普弗吕格竞选众议院共和党竞选机构——全国共和党国会委员会（NRCC）主席的场景。
“我认为他已经为担任某种领导职位做好了充分准备，这只是取决于具体是什么职位，”该议员说。
但共和党议员们似乎基本达成了共识：11月的选举前景不容乐观。
“我在全国范围内接触过的所有人都看到了和我一样的民调数据。所以如果你所在的选区优势低于共和党+6，我认为你就有风险，”第三名众议院共和党议员说。
点击此处下载福克斯新闻APP
第一名议员说：“似乎很多人都按下了恐慌按钮。”
伊丽莎白·埃尔金德是福克斯新闻数字频道的政治记者，负责报道众议院事务。此前曾在《每日邮报》和CBS新闻发表过报道。
在Twitter上关注她@liz_elkind，或发送爆料邮件至elizabeth.elkind@fox.com
Jordan emerges as potential next GOP leader if Dems seize House
October 8, 2026 5:30am EDT / Fox News
House Republicans are privately eyeing Jim Jordan for a possible leadership role if the GOP suffers ‘bloodbath’ in November
By Elizabeth Elkind, Fox News
Speaker Mike Johnson tells Fox News Digital House Republicans will ‘defy’ history in the midterm elections
On the campaign trail in a swing congressional district in Maine, Speaker Mike Johnson predicts Republicans will ‘grow the House majority.’
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One of President Donald Trump’s most prominent allies in Congress could soon become his highest-ranking defender against a barrage of Democrat-led investigations and impeachment threats.
Several House Republicans told Fox News Digital they expect the chamber will slide out of their control come November — and with it, a major shake-up in their top leadership ranks.
“I don’t see a scenario where everyone gets to keep their job,” one House GOP lawmaker bluntly told Fox News Digital. “I think [Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La.] would be first out, and then [House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, R-La.] has got to decide if he’s going to run for leader and, can he beat [House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan, R-Ohio]?”
Jordan and Scalise’s names came up often, in Fox News Digital’s discussions with various House Republicans, all of whom spoke under the condition of anonymity to discuss internal conference matters.
HOUSE DEMS PLOT TRUMP INVESTIGATION BLITZ IF THEY SEIZE MAJORITY
House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, speaks at a press conference with other members of House Republican leadership in Washington, D.C., on May 20, 2025.(Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images)
A second House Republican said Jordan is the “number one name” in talks of a GOP minority leader.
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The Ohio Republican already enjoys high name recognition among the party base. As the first lawmaker put it, “His celebrity status is very helpful … when Jim Jordan comes to town for you, you put 300 butts in seats.”
That status has been on full display so far this election cycle. Jordan has spent much of August and October traveling across the country campaigning for fellow House Republicans along the political spectrum, from vulnerable moderates to conservative MAGA acolytes.
TOP REPUBLICAN UNLOADS ON RISE OF ‘ANTI-AMERICAN’ CANDIDATES HEADING INTO MIDTERMS: ‘YOU GOT TO BE KIDDING’
It’s a far cry from the Jordan who ran for speaker in October 2023, when former Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s ouster sparked a historic scramble to replace him. Jordan’s bid at the time was marked by fervent conservative support and fierce opposition from moderates, several of whom said they felt threatened by Jordan’s allies for their opposition.
The first House Republican described his current persona as “Jim Jordan 2.0.”
“He’s taken steps to, I think, build out way beyond the Freedom Caucus in terms of people that support him,” that person said. “Like, he’s just a great citizen of the conference.”
But Jordan himself has not publicly pushed any leadership ambitions since the 2023 battle, when Johnson ended up speaker after several weeks of political chaos. The second House Republican said they’ve seen Jordan actively dismiss any such conversations.
He told Punchbowl News earlier this week that he was “focused on winning” the House majority.
The first person said, “I think [Jordan] quietly, without campaigning for it, has built up some infrastructure like that. But also, he could be throwing darts at leadership, and he’s not. He’s just trying to help us win.”
House Majority Leader Steve Scalise heads to the House chamber ahead of a vote on a continuing resolution to fund the government in Washington, D.C., on Nov. 12, 2025.(Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images)
A third House Republican pointed out that, if Democrats win the House in another blue wave, many of Jordan’s most vocal opponents from 2023 will have lost their seats. And unlike a speaker race, where a majority of the full House is needed, a minority leader would only need to win a majority of the GOP conference.
“If we lose 20 or 30 of those guys and all you’re left are guys like me, I think Jim Jordan’s chances are much higher. Because the only people left in the conference are going to be conservative,” the third GOP lawmaker said, adding they would “1,000%” back Jordan.
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But a potential minority leader Jordan would not come without a fight. Most House Republicans are privately expecting Scalise, Johnson’s No. 2 and a member of House GOP leadership since 2014, to run for the job.
“It’s very obvious they’re both jockeying for it,” a fourth House Republican told Fox News Digital. “Jordan’s a pretty big draw for a lot of folks. I think he might have a play there. But there’s a lot of people who are loyal to Steve, especially those that have been around a while.”
Like other members of House GOP leadership, Scalise has also spent recess traveling the country campaigning for Republican candidates. He is also known as a prolific fundraiser for the party.
A fifth GOP lawmaker said, “I would guess, at this point, that Scalise would be in the lead with Jordan running a close second.”
“And I think it would just depend on, you know, who would people see as a better fighter against the Democrats?” the fifth person posed.
A sixth House Republican said a fight between the Louisiana Republican and Jordan seemed on the horizon if Republicans lost, and argued Scalise is best positioned to continue leading if that majority comes back.
“In some respects, Jim Jordan, I think, would make a pretty good minority leader because he’s a bulldog … [but] I’ve never believed that Jim Jordan would be an effective speaker,” that sixth person said. “I think Steve Scalise probably is the best candidate that we have out there that has experience in dealing with the administration, that understands the must-pass portion of our agenda … and is our best negotiator.”
It would likely be a bruising battle, given there’s no love lost between the two men after their competing bids for speaker after McCarthy’s ouster. Scalise had won a majority of Republicans in a head-to-head against Jordan behind closed doors but ultimately did not see a House floor vote. Jordan’s 2023 bid collapsed after he failed to clinch a majority on the House floor.
House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, R-Minn., speaks during a press conference with members of the Republican Study Committee and other members of House Republican leadership, in Washington, D.C., on Oct. 28, 2025.(Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images)
JOHNSON DELIVERS BIG FOR TRUMP, BUT FRUSTRATION GROWS ACROSS RAZOR-THIN GOP MAJORITY
But it’s not clear if it may even come to that.
“I think that if Johnson runs for minority leader, he would still get the votes,” the fifth person said. “He’s done everything you could ask of a leader. He’s raised the money, he’s been on the road. He’s cobbled together very difficult votes over the last two years that no one thought possible.”
There is also a world where Republicans defy expectations to keep the House. And in that world, Johnson is all but guaranteed to remain in charge.
“Speaker Mike Johnson is an example of the American Dream. As Speaker, he’s continued to defy the odds with a slim House majority and pass America First-bills,” Trump’s campaign posted on X. “After Republicans win in November, they should re-elect Mike as Speaker quickly!”
If the polls prove correct, however, most people are expecting Johnson to willingly step aside.
“I don’t think he’s going to want to be minority leader after being the Speaker of the House, like, that doesn’t make any sense to me,” the fourth House Republican said.
The third GOP lawmaker was more blunt: “Johnson’s done.”
Johnson himself dismissed any talk of leadership races in an interview with Fox News Digital last month.
“I really haven’t given it a moment’s thought because we’re laser focused,” he said when asked if he would seek to be minority leader. “This is a midterm unlike any other, and I’m convinced we are going to defy history and keep and grow this majority.”
House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., speaks as House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, R-Minn., right, listens during a news conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C.(Mariam Zuhaib/AP)
If Johnson’s prediction does not pan out, one member of leadership is expected to have a good shot at staying in his place: House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, R-Minn.
Emmer has been privately telling House Republicans that he intends to run for the whip job again no matter what, multiple people told Fox News Digital, avoiding a possible collision course with Jordan and Scalise.
“I think it was a brilliant move, saying, ‘You know what? I’m not going to do anything but try to keep my own spot,’” the first House GOP lawmaker said. “I think Tom’s got pretty wide respect, and most of the hand-wringing from people was, ‘I don’t want to have to pick between Tom and Jim.’”
The fifth person said, “It’s my understanding that Emmer is, if there is a race, going to be happy being the No. 2.”
But nothing is a sure thing in an environment where multiple House Republicans have said they are expecting a “bloodbath” in the midterms.
Three GOP lawmakers told Fox News Digital they expect Democrats to win between 20 and 25 seats — with Republicans’ redistricting efforts sparing them from an even more devastating loss.
A solid defeat, several House Republicans warned, could have people clamoring for a full leadership shake-up.
The second House Republican said the entire leadership team could be “wiped out” in that situation.
“It strikes me that there wouldn’t be a high likelihood of everybody just being OK with the status quo,” the first person said.
In that case, there is another name people see waiting in the wings for a potential leadership bid: Republican Study Committee Chairman August Pfluger, R-Texas.
“I keep hearing rumors but have not heard that directly,” a seventh House Republican said. “My guess is that he is preparing to make a run in case the opportunity presents itself, but he’s being tactically quiet.”
The second House Republican said they heard his name second only to Jordan in terms of frequency.
“When I was a candidate, I had no idea who he was, but he called me and gave money to my campaign,” the first lawmaker said. “He’s very ambitious, but I don’t know what he’s aiming those ambitions towards.”
Several people speculated that he could run for the No. 2 job as whip if Emmer opted to step aside or was forced to.
Republican Study Committee Chairman August Pfluger, R-Texas, speaks during a press conference with other members of the Republican Study Committee as well as members of House Republican leadership in Washington, D.C., on Oct. 28, 2025.(Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images)
The fourth House Republican said they could see a world where Pfluger runs to be chairman of the House GOP campaign arm, the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC).
“I think that he’s positioned himself very well to be able to be in some sort of leadership position. I think it just depends on what that looks like,” that person said.
But there is one thing Republican lawmakers seem to largely agree on: November is not looking good.
“Everyone that I have talked to across the country is seeing the same numbers that I’m seeing. So if you’re in anything less than an R+6, I think you’re at risk,” the third House Republican said.
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The first person said, “There seems to be a lot of panic buttons being pushed.”
Elizabeth Elkind is a politics reporter for Fox News Digital leading coverage of the House of Representatives. Previous digital bylines seen at Daily Mail and CBS News.
Follow on Twitter at @liz_elkind and send tips to elizabeth.elkind@fox.com