民调显示:拉美裔选民对特朗普不满加剧,转向民主党阵营


2026-10-04T16:32:31.346Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

民调显示:拉美裔选民对特朗普不满加剧,转向民主党阵营

作者:阿里尔·爱德华兹-莱维
更新于3小时前
更新时间:2026年10月4日美国东部时间下午12:37
发布时间:2026年10月4日美国东部时间下午12:32
种族与族裔 唐纳德·特朗普
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3月3日,民众在德克萨斯州奥斯汀一处投票站排队投票。
塔米尔·卡里法/《纽约时报》/雷德克斯图片社

周日发布的一项全新NBC新闻/特莱穆多民调显示,拉美裔选民已对总统唐纳德·特朗普及其所在政党深感不满,在关键的经济议题上态度转变尤为明显。

在本次民调中,拉美裔选民以59%对35%的24个百分点优势,表示希望民主党在11月的选举中赢得国会控制权。这一优势远超2024年同期民主党在拉美裔选民中仅12个百分点的领先幅度,但不及2018年中期选举前民主党在该群体中的支持优势。

美国约3600万拉美裔选民曾在特朗普2024年胜选过程中发挥关键作用,打破了此前 overwhelmingly 支持民主党候选人的历史传统。当年的出口民调显示,特朗普获得了46%的拉美裔选票,民主党候选人卡玛拉·哈里斯则获得51%。

在此次NBC新闻/特莱穆多民调中,仅有27%的拉美裔选民对特朗普的整体履职表现表示认可,对其应对生活成本上涨举措的认可度更低,仅为20%。

尽管拉美裔选民对特朗普在移民问题上的支持率略高,为30%,但三分之二的受访者认为,他的政府在移民执法方面走得太远。约四分之一的受访者表示,过去两年里他们认识的人曾被美国移民及海关执法局驱逐或拘留。

62%的拉美裔选民对共和党整体持负面评价,这一比例较2024年9月的46%有所上升。同时,48%对27%的多数受访者认为,民主党在处理经济问题上比共和党做得更好。

这些民调结果与周日发布的另一项CBS/舆观民调结果相符。在该民调中,拉美裔可能选民以60%对39%的比例,表示更愿意将票投给民主党候选人,而非共和党候选人,以代表自己所在的国会选区。

在全体选民中,该民调显示可能选民以9个百分点的优势支持民主党——这与近期其他的通用国会选票民调结果相似。

在CBS民调中,56%的登记选民认为,特朗普在第二任期的表现比第一任期更差,70%的受访者认为特朗普的政策导致食品和杂货价格上涨。

此次NBC新闻/特莱穆多民调于9月21日至28日以英语和西班牙语开展,结合了电话实时采访和在线调查方式,受访对象为800名全国范围内的拉美裔登记选民。全样本的抽样误差幅度为正负3.5个百分点。CBS新闻/舆观民调于9月30日至10月2日在线开展,受访对象为2166名全国随机抽取的成年人。全体受访者的抽样误差幅度为正负2.5个百分点,在可能选民群体中误差幅度为正负3.1个百分点。

By Ariel Edwards-Levy

Updated 3 hr ago

Updated Oct 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET

PUBLISHED Oct 4, 2026, 12:32 PM ET

Race & ethnicity Donald Trump

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People wait in line to cast their ballots at a polling place in Austin, Texas, on March 3.

Tamir Kalifa/The New York Times/Redux

Latino voters have deeply soured on President Donald Trump and his party, particularly on crucial economic issues, a new NBC/Telemundo poll released Sunday finds.

In the survey, Latino voters say by a 24-point margin, 59% to 35%, that they’d prefer to see the Democrats win control of Congress over the Republicans in November. That’s considerably broader than the 12-point Democratic margin among Latino voters at this point in 2024, although not as robust as the preference for Democratic victory ahead of the 2018 midterms.

The nation’s roughly 36 million Latino voters played a critical role in Trump’s 2024 victory, veering away from a history of overwhelmingly supporting Democratic candidates. Exit polls that year showed he garnered 46% of the Latino vote, compared with 51% for Democrat Kamala Harris.

In the NBC/Telemundo poll, just 27% of Latino voters approve of Trump’s job performance overall, with an even smaller 20% approving of his handling of the cost of living.

Although Latino voters give Trump a marginally higher 30% approval rating on immigration, two-thirds say that his administration has gone too far in its approach to immigration enforcement. Roughly one-quarter say they know someone who has been deported or detained by Immigration and Customs Enforcement in the past two years.

A 62% majority of Latino voters rate the Republican Party as a whole negatively, up from 46% in September 2024. And they say, 48% to 27%, that they believe the Democratic Party would do a better job than the GOP of dealing with the economy.

Those findings track with a new CBS/YouGov poll, also released Sunday, in which Latino likely voters say, 60% to 39%, that they’d favor a Democratic candidate over a Republican in their House district.

Among the full electorate, that poll finds, likely voters favor the Democrats by a 9-point margin – similar to the results of ​other recent generic ballot polling​.

In the CBS poll, a 56% majority of registered voters say they think Trump is doing a worse job in his second term than he did in his first term, and 70% say they believe his policies have led to higher prices for food and groceries.

The NBC News/Telemundo poll was conducted in English and Spanish on September 21-28, using a mix of live telephone interviews and online surveys, among a national sample of 800 Latino registered voters. Results among the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The CBS News/YouGov poll was conducted online September 30 to October 2 among a random national sample of 2,166 adults. Results among all adults have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points; it is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points among likely voters.

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