莫斯科威胁若北约隔离这块夹在美盟友间的飞地将动用核武,冲突担忧加剧


2026年9月30日 美国东部时间13:41 / 福克斯新闻

专家称这片波罗的海飞地已被用作针对欧洲基础设施的混合战枢纽
作者:埃弗拉特·拉赫特

NEW 您现在可以收听福克斯新闻文章的音频!

俄罗斯警告称,如果北约试图隔离加里宁格勒,它可能动用核武器,这引发了新的担忧:这个高度军事化的俄罗斯飞地可能成为莫斯科与北约之间的冲突热点。专家警告称,这片领土已被用于通过混合战向欧洲施压。

据路透社周三报道,莫斯科在一份外交文件中警告北约,如果北约成员国试图将加里宁格勒与俄罗斯其他地区隔绝,俄罗斯准备动用“其掌握的所有部队和能力,包括核武器”。

加里宁格勒是一块地理上与俄罗斯本土分离的俄罗斯领土,位于波罗的海,坐落在北约成员国波兰和立陶宛之间,部署有包括俄罗斯波罗的海舰队部分兵力在内的大量俄军资产。


俄罗斯威胁打击英国军事目标,以“灾难性后果”回应乌克兰局势

俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京查看展示加里宁格勒飞地和俄罗斯其他地区的地图,2006年9月10日。(康斯坦丁·扎夫拉任/盖蒂图片社Gamma-Rapho频道)

这份俄罗斯文件还提出,冲突爆发之初就可能打击北约成员国的“决策中心”。

北约在福克斯新闻数字频道查阅到的一份回应中驳斥了莫斯科的指控,称北约是防御性联盟,其任何演习或活动都不会威胁俄罗斯领土。北约还敦促俄罗斯停止“不负责任的核言论”。

外交政策领导人无党派网络范登堡联盟执行主任凯莉·菲利佩蒂告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,莫斯科多次以核威胁作为威慑西方支持乌克兰的手段。

“俄罗斯过去就曾威胁使用核武器,包括在普京入侵乌克兰初期隐晦提及战术核打击,2024年降低了其发动核打击的正式门槛,将俄罗斯核力量置于高度戒备状态,并重启核试验,”菲利佩蒂说。“普京使用这些威胁非常常见,因为他认为这是阻止欧洲和美国继续支持乌克兰的方式。”


她在苏联统治下长大,如今欧盟最高外交官警告欧洲不要满足俄罗斯的要求

蓝岭级指挥舰“惠特尼山”号参加2025年波罗的海行动演习,2025年6月5日,各舰在波罗的海编队航行。(美国海军供图)

“如果加里宁格勒受到威胁或被隔绝,就会发出核攻击威胁,这是在一系列事态发展之后出现的,”她补充道,并指出北约战机紧急拦截俄罗斯飞机、上个月美国和北约在加里宁格勒附近举行空中演习,以及乌克兰战争加剧的紧张局势。

菲利佩蒂曾担任美国国务院副助理国务卿和美国驻联合国代表团高级政策顾问,她认为,此次威胁的时机也反映出随着战争持续,莫斯科面临的压力越来越大。

“普京似乎意识到局势对他不利,他正在像过去一样诉诸攻击性言论,试图阻止欧洲支持乌克兰,”她说。

美国陆军战争学院战略研究所研究教授、新线研究所首席战略官阿齐姆·易卜拉欣博士告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,北约应该认真对待这一警告,尤其是考虑到加里宁格勒在莫斯科与欧洲的对抗中已经发挥的更广泛作用。


久经沙场的泽连斯基发出令人毛骨悚然的警告,揭示普京的战争可能走向何方

北约年度最大规模海上演习“2025年动态水手/舰队演习”2025年3月28日在西班牙南部加的斯湾继续进行。(布拉卡·阿克布卢特/盖蒂图片社阿纳多卢频道)

易卜拉欣认为,尽管北约传统上一直在为涉及“坦克、部队和师级单位”的常规军事冲突做准备,但俄罗斯越来越多地采用旨在破坏民用社会赖以生存的基础设施和系统的手段。

“俄罗斯实际上正在采取一种截然不同的策略,”他说,并将这种针对“基础设施”和“整个社会——维持社会运转的要素”的混合战策略称为一种手段。

易卜拉欣将加里宁拉德描述为这场行动的“前线”。

“它实际上已经成为一座俄罗斯要塞,”他说。“从信号情报、信号干扰以及开展这种混合战的机制来看,这本质上是俄罗斯的前线行动。”

易卜拉欣表示,这种干扰可能在更广泛的对抗中发挥作用,在常规军事攻击之前或同时破坏民用通信和基础设施。

“所有这些都将先于此类干扰行动,以确保社会无法正常运转,无法响应应急服务、新闻信息服务等,”易卜拉欣说。“因此,政府会失去对维持社会运转的真正要素的控制。”


俄罗斯的影子战让欧洲如坐针毡,德国应对日益严峻的威胁

波兰第18师的士兵在该师一名士兵在非法移民袭击中丧生后,在白俄罗斯边境附近展示战场医疗训练。2026年5月16日。(埃弗拉特·拉赫特/福克斯新闻数字频道)

他说,北约面临的挑战是,这类行动比常规攻击更难归因。

“很多时候,你无法准确追踪这些干扰的来源——对发电站或互联网、电信等的攻击,”易卜拉欣说。“如果由能力极强的行动者实施,总能找到某种似是而非的否认借口。”

易卜拉欣认为,这种模糊性给以集体防御武装攻击为核心的联盟带来了挑战。

“北约确实需要重新调整其姿态,以理解这类攻击本质上等同于任何动能攻击,”他说。

当被问及北约以及邻国波兰和立陶宛在俄罗斯发出警告后应该采取什么行动时,易卜拉欣呼吁联盟为混合攻击确立更明确的后果。

“我们现在需要在混合战领域开始采取攻势,了解威胁并进行反击,向莫斯科发出非常明确的信号:此类威胁不会得逞,”他说,并认为足够严重的混合攻击应被视为足以触发北约第五条集体防御条款的行为。

直接与加里宁格勒接壤的立陶宛拒绝了莫斯科的警告,并指责俄罗斯试图破坏北约团结和西方对乌克兰的支持。

“俄罗斯的影射和威胁毫无根据。北约是防御性联盟,不会对俄罗斯或任何其他国家构成威胁,”立陶宛外交部告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。“俄罗斯的威胁旨在破坏跨大西洋团结,阻碍我们对乌克兰的支持。俄罗斯不会达到其目的。”

该部补充道:“我们强烈谴责任何使用武力的威胁和不负责任的核言论。俄罗斯必须停止对乌克兰的侵略……立陶宛正在加强其国防系统和能力,包括防空系统,”该部表示。“我们与盟友开展训练,并与部署在立陶宛的北约部队并肩作战。我们准备保卫北约领土的每一寸土地,并应对任何威胁。”

该部表示,立陶宛还将继续向乌克兰提供“全面支持,支持其对抗侵略者俄罗斯的斗争”。


退役空军中将理查德·牛顿告诉福克斯新闻数字频道:“在2022年2月之前的几周里,许多官员和评论员(包括我在内)都不确定普京是否真的会入侵乌克兰,尽管有许多警告和迹象表明他会这么做。然后在2月24日,普京发动了二战以来规模最大的针对乌克兰的陆地入侵。”


捷克总统警告:美国盟友需要击落测试北约边界的俄罗斯飞机

波兰-立陶宛边境与俄罗斯飞地加里宁格勒之间的 razor wire 边界围栏,2026年9月26日摄于苏瓦乌基峡附近。这条峡道是波兰-立陶宛边境长104公里的一段,是波罗的海国家与北约其他地区之间唯一的陆地走廊,同时将白俄罗斯与俄罗斯的加里宁格勒飞地隔开。(谢尔盖·加蓬/法新社盖蒂图片社)

“北约应该认真对待俄罗斯的警告:如果加里宁格勒与俄罗斯隔绝,俄罗斯可能会对联盟动用核武器。俄罗斯正在对北约国家实施‘灰色地带’胁迫行动,因此西方不应对这一声明感到意外,”他补充道。

菲利佩蒂警告称,无论莫斯科是否打算兑现承诺,核威胁本身就存在风险。

“北约是防御性组织,绝不会威胁俄罗斯在加里宁格勒的地位,”她说。“话虽如此,任何时候出现公开的核攻击威胁都必须认真对待,尤其是对普京这样的人。”

“核弹是可能改变世界格局的技术,”菲利佩蒂补充道。“不仅是它们的使用,还有使用威胁,都可能导致严重的误判和升级。”

俄罗斯否认西方关于其对欧洲国家开展混合战的指控,并表示无意攻击北约国家。莫斯科称,北约在加里宁格勒附近的军事活动反而加剧了日益危险的对抗。


克里姆林宫发言人德米特里·佩斯科夫将俄罗斯近期的警告描述为对“欧洲激进分子”的外交提醒,路透社周三报道。

点击此处下载福克斯新闻应用

2026年9月18日,乌克兰中部敖德萨一栋办公楼在俄罗斯无人机袭击中起火。(迈克尔·什特克尔/美联社)

福克斯新闻数字频道联系了波兰和俄罗斯大使馆寻求置评,但未能在发稿前收到回复。

路透社对本文亦有贡献。

埃弗拉特(埃菲)·拉赫特是福克斯新闻数字频道的记者,拥有超过15年报道冲突、全球事务、人权和政治问责的经验。她执导并制作了200多段纪录片片段,足迹遍布40多个国家,记录冲突、人道主义危机、腐败、人口贩运、基于性别的暴力以及重大世界事件背后的人性故事。

拉赫特的报道带她进入中东、欧洲、亚洲和非洲的冲突区和危机地区。她的工作包括揭露人口贩运网络、揭露叙利亚境内的ISIS地下酷刑监狱、记录乌克兰战争以及采访高级政治人物和世界领导人。她也是战争开始后进入俄罗斯的西方记者之一,带回了普京反对派的证词。拉赫特曾获得2022年佩雷斯和平中心奖,2023-2024年密歇根大学奈特-华莱士新闻奖学金得主,还曾两次获得洛克沃尔卓越报道奖。她拥有传播学学士学位和政治学硕士学位。

Moscow threatens nuclear response over tiny fortress wedged between US allies as clash fears grow

September 30, 2026 1:41pm EDT / Fox News

Experts say the Baltic Sea exclave is already being used as a hybrid warfare hub targeting European infrastructure

By Efrat Lachter

NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!

Russia’s warning that it could resort to nuclear weapons if NATO attempts to isolate Kaliningrad is raising new concerns that the heavily militarized Russian exclave could become a flashpoint between Moscow and the alliance, as experts warn the territory is already being used to pressure Europe through hybrid warfare.

Moscow warned NATO in a diplomatic document that it was prepared to use “the entire arsenal of forces and capabilities at its disposal, including nuclear weapons” if alliance members attempted to isolate Kaliningrad from the rest of Russia, Reuters reported Wednesday.

Kaliningrad, a Russian territory geographically separated from the Russian mainland, sits on the Baltic Sea between NATO members Poland and Lithuania and hosts significant Russian military assets, including elements of Moscow’s Baltic Fleet.

RUSSIA THREATENS STRIKES ON UK MILITARY TARGETS, ‘CATASTROPHIC CONSEQUENCES’ OVER UKRAINE

Russian President Vladimir Putin looks on a map showing the Kaliningrad exclave and the rest of Russia, Sept. 10, 2006.(Konstantin Zavrazhin/Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images)

The Russian document also raised the possibility of strikes against “decision-making centers” in NATO member states from the outset of a conflict.

NATO rejected Moscow’s allegations in a response reviewed by Fox News Digital, saying the alliance is defensive and that none of its exercises or activities threaten Russian territory. The alliance also urged Russia to stop its “irresponsible nuclear rhetoric.”

Carrie Filipetti, executive director of the Vandenberg Coalition, a nonpartisan network of foreign policy leaders, told Fox News Digital that Moscow has repeatedly used nuclear threats as a means of trying to deter Western support for Ukraine.

“Russia has threatened to use nuclear weapons in the past, including veiled references to tactical nuclear attacks at the beginning of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, lowering their formal threshold for launching a nuclear attack in 2024, placing Russia’s nuclear forces on high alert, and restarting nuclear testing,” Filipetti said. “It is very common for Putin to use these threats, because he sees it as a way to deter Europe and the United States from continuing to support Ukraine.”

SHE GREW UP UNDER SOVIET RULE. NOW EU’S TOP DIPLOMAT WARNS EUROPE AGAINST GIVING RUSSIA WHAT IT WANTS

The Blue Ridge-class command and control ship USS Mount Whitney participates in exercise Baltic Operations 2025 as ships sail in formation through the Baltic Sea, June 5, 2025.(U.S. Navy Courtesy Photo)

“The threat about a nuclear attack if Kaliningrad is threatened or isolated comes on the heels of a few developments,” she added, pointing to NATO jets being scrambled over Russian aircraft, U.S. and NATO air drills near Kaliningrad last month, and heightened tensions over the war in Ukraine.

Filipetti, who also served as a deputy assistant secretary at the State Department and as a senior policy advisor for the United States Mission to the United Nations (USUN), argued that the timing also reflects mounting pressure on Moscow as the war continues.

“Putin seems to understand that the tide is turning against him, and he’s resorting to aggressive rhetoric to try to stop European support for Ukraine as he has tried to do in the past,” she said.

Dr. Azeem Ibrahim, a research professor at the Strategic Studies Institute at the U.S. Army War College and chief strategy officer at the New Lines Institute, told Fox News Digital that NATO should take the warning seriously, particularly because of the broader role Kaliningrad is already playing in Moscow’s confrontation with Europe.

BATTLE-TESTED ZELENSKYY SOUNDS CHILLING ALARM ON WHERE PUTIN’S WAR COULD HEAD NEXT

NATO’s largest annual maritime drill, Exercise Dynamic Mariner/Flotex 25, continues in the Gulf of Cadiz off southern Spain on March 28, 2025.(Burak Akbulut/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Ibrahim argued that while NATO has traditionally prepared for conventional military conflict involving “tanks and troops and divisions,” Russia is increasingly using methods designed to disrupt the infrastructure and systems on which civilian societies depend.

“Russia is actually adopting a very different approach,” he said, describing a strategy of hybrid warfare targeting “infrastructure” and “societies in general — what keeps societies functioning.”

Ibrahim described Kaliningrad as the “front line” of that effort.

“It’s essentially become a Russian fortress,” he said. “This is essentially a front-line operation of the Russians in terms of signals intelligence, signals interference and essentially mechanisms by which to carry out this hybrid warfare.”

Such interference, Ibrahim said, could play a role in the broader confrontation by disrupting civilian communications and infrastructure before or alongside a conventional military attack.

“All of that would be preceded by interference operations like this to ensure that societies are not functioning, are not able to respond to emergency services, the news information services, etc.,” Ibrahim said. “So governments lose control over what actually makes societies function.”

RUSSIA’S SHADOW WAR IS PUTTING EUROPE ON EDGE AS GERMANY CONFRONTS A GROWING THREAT

Soldiers from Poland’s 18th Division demonstrate battlefield medical training near the Belarus border after a serviceman from the division was killed in an attack by an illegal migrant. May 16, 2026.(Efrat Lachter/Fox News Digital)

The challenge for NATO, he said, is that such operations can be more difficult to attribute than a conventional assault.

“Many times, you cannot trace exactly where a lot of this interference is actually coming from — attacks on power stations or internet and telecommunications, et cetera,” Ibrahim said. “There’s always some sort of plausible deniability if it’s done by an actor who’s very capable.”

The ambiguity, Ibrahim argued, presents a challenge for an alliance built around collective defense against armed attack.

“NATO really does have to kind of reconfigure its posture to understand that these kinds of attacks are equivalent to essentially any sort of kinetic attack,” he said.

Asked what NATO and neighboring Poland and Lithuania should do following Russia’s warning, Ibrahim called for the alliance to establish clearer consequences for hybrid attacks.

“We now need to start going on the offensive in terms of hybrid warfare and understanding the threat and pushing back and sending a very clear signal to Moscow that such threats will not stand,” he said, arguing that a sufficiently serious hybrid attack should be considered capable of triggering NATO’s Article 5 collective-defense clause.

Lithuania, which directly borders Kaliningrad, rejected Moscow’s warning and accused Russia of trying to undermine NATO unity and Western support for Ukraine.

“Russia’s insinuations and threats have no basis. NATO is a defensive alliance and poses no threat to Russia or any other country,” Lithuania’s Foreign Ministry told Fox News Digital. “Russia’s threatening is intended to fracture transatlantic unity and impede our support to Ukraine. Russia will not achieve its goals.”

The ministry added: “We strongly condemn any threats to use force and irresponsible nuclear rhetoric. Russia must stop its aggression against Ukraine… Lithuania is strengthening its national defense system and capabilities, including air defense,” the ministry said. “We train with our allies and work alongside NATO forces deployed in Lithuania. We are prepared to defend every inch of NATO territory and respond to any threats.”

The ministry said Lithuania would also continue providing “comprehensive support to Ukraine and its fight against the aggressor Russia.”

Retired Air Force Lt. Gen. Richard Newton told Fox News Digital, “In the weeks leading up to February 2022, many officials and commentators (myself included) weren’t sure Putin would actually invade Ukraine, even though there were a number of warnings and indicators he would do so. And then on that Feb. 24, Putin launched the largest land invasion against Ukraine since World War II.”

US ALLIES NEED TO SHOOT DOWN RUSSIAN AIRCRAFT TESTING NATO BOUNDARIES, CZECH PRESIDENT WARNS

A razor-wire boundary fence along the Polish-Lithuanian border with the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad, near the Suwalki Gap on Sept. 26, 2026. The gap is a 104-kilometre stretch of the Polish-Lithuanian border that forms the only land corridor connecting the Baltic states with the rest of NATO, while separating Belarus from Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave.(Sergei Gapon/AFP via Getty Images)

“NATO should take Russia’s warning seriously that it could resort to employing nuclear weapons against the alliance should Kaliningrad be cut off from Russia. We are in the midst of Russia employing ‘gray zone’ coercive actions against NATO nations, so this pronouncement should not surprise the West,” he added.

Filipetti cautioned that regardless of whether Moscow intends to follow through, nuclear threats themselves carry risks.

“NATO is a defensive organization that is in no way threatening Russia’s position on Kaliningrad,” she said. “That said, any time there is a public threat of nuclear attack it must be taken seriously, especially with someone like Putin.”

“Nuclear bombs are a potentially world-altering technology,” Filipetti added. “It is not only their use, but the threat of their use, that could cause significant miscalculations and escalations.”

Russia has denied Western accusations that it is conducting hybrid warfare against European states and has said it has no intention of attacking NATO countries. Moscow says NATO military activity around Kaliningrad is instead contributing to an increasingly dangerous confrontation.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov characterized recent Russian warnings as diplomatic reminders to “hotheads in Europe,” Reuters reported Wednesday.

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An office building burns following a Russian drone attack in central Odesa, Ukraine, on Sept. 18, 2026.(Michael Shtekel/AP)

Fox News Digital reached out to the Polish and Russian embassies for comment but did not receive responses in time for publication.

Reuters contributed to this story.

Efrat (Effie) Lachter is a reporter for Fox News Digital with more than 15 years of experience covering conflict, global affairs, human rights and political accountability.She has directed and produced more than 200 documentary segments across more than 40 countries, documenting conflicts, humanitarian crises, corruption, human trafficking, gender-based violence and the human stories behind major world events.

Lachter’s reporting has taken her into conflict zones and crisis areas across the Middle East, Europe, Asia and Africa. Her work has included uncovering human trafficking networks, revealing an ISIS underground torture prison in Syria, documenting the war in Ukraineand interviewing senior political figures and world leaders. She was also among the Western journalists who entered Russia after the war began to bring testimonies from Putin’s opposition. Lachter is the recipient of the 2022 Peres Center for Peace Award and was a 2023–2024 Knight-Wallace Journalism Fellow at the University of Michigan. She also won two Rockower Awards for Excellence in Reporting. She holds a bachelor’s degree in communication and a master’s degree in political science.

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