作者: root

  • 特朗普政府称食品券项目充斥欺诈与浪费。事实果真如此吗?


    2026-06-29T13:21:00-0400 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻(CBS News)

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    更新于:2026年6月29日 / 美国东部时间下午2:09 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

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    特朗普政府表示,补充营养援助计划(即人们熟知的食品券项目)因被其定性为欺诈、浪费和滥用的支付失误,每年损失数十亿美元。但反饥饿倡导者称,这一描述具有误导性,可能威胁到数百万低收入家庭的食品援助。

    美国农业部6月24日表示,2025财年食品券项目的支付失误率为10.6%,几乎是共和党2025年“宏伟法案”(OBBBA)设定的6%可接受阈值的两倍。该机构称,去年的失误率意味着全美范围内的SNAP违规支付金额超过100亿美元。

    2025财年,SNAP向美国家庭提供了957亿美元的福利金,这意味着支付失误约占该项目总支出的十分之一。

    欺诈还是失误?

    关于食品券欺诈普遍程度的分歧,核心在于SNAP支付失误率的实际衡量标准。无论相关家庭是否故意违反规定,只要其领取的福利金过多或过少,就会出现支付失误,而专家表示这类多付或少付通常并非有意为之。

    相比之下,欺诈通常涉及故意欺骗行为,例如将福利金转售换取现金,或使用被盗的电子福利转账(EBT)卡信息。

    特朗普政府将支付失误率作为该项目存在浪费的证据。但代表州和地方人类服务机构的美国公共人类服务协会(APHSA)指出,该指标并未涵盖许多最常见的SNAP欺诈形式,例如EBT卡盗刷或受助者非法转售福利金换取现金。

    美国政府问责局(GAO)2024年的一份报告发现,SNAP的支付失误往往源于多付或少付问题,并将食品券欺诈描述为一个相关但独立的问题。

    美国公共人类服务协会的SNAP质量控制专家布莱恩·琼斯对哥伦比亚广播公司新闻表示,支付失误“大多是无意的,因为相关政策非常复杂,还有许多家庭可能并不了解的申报要求”。

    共和党人士认为,减少支付失误和欺诈行为能够节省纳税人资金,并确保福利金仅发放给符合资格的受助者。

    “该项目中的每一分钱都旨在帮助有需要的合格个人,”田纳西州共和党众议员蒂姆·伯切特在6月25日众议院小组委员会关于“打击SNAP中的浪费、欺诈和滥用行为”的听证会上表示,“但远非每一分钱都能落到实处。”

    反饥饿倡导者表示,虽然关注欺诈行为很重要,但食品券支付失误在很大程度上反映了受助者个人和经济状况的变化,例如找到或失去工作。失误也可能源于文书问题,例如地址或电话号码缺失。

    “我们不应将支付失误与欺诈混为一谈,”反饥饿倡导组织食品研究与行动中心(FRAC)的SNAP主管吉娜·普拉塔-尼诺在同一场听证会上表示,“欺诈涉及故意不当行为——而支付失误往往源于复杂的规则、变动的工作时长、缺失的文书、过时的系统或机构失误。”

    追回多付款项

    根据联邦法律,SNAP受助者必须偿还多付款项,各州通常会通过削减月度福利金的方式追回资金。

    “州和县级项目管理人员应努力将失误率降至最低,因为这是项目管理良好的指标,”美国公共人类服务协会政策主任亚历克西斯·库兹尼克表示,“各州正在非常努力地将失误率大幅降低。”

    诚然,实际的SNAP欺诈行为代价高昂。美国政府问责局援引此前的数据显示,该项目每年因欺诈损失约10亿美元。

    美国农业部5月发布的一份报告指出了其他潜在的欺诈活动,包括使用虚假社会保险号码的受助者和重复参保的情况,这些问题每年可能导致约30亿美元的违规支付。不过,该报告将这些发现描述为潜在问题,而非已确认的欺诈行为。

    具有讽刺意味的是,由于“宏伟法案”的要求,各州“不得不将原本用于减少、预防或应对欺诈的工作人员转移到质量控制部门”,以专注于降低支付失误率,库兹尼克说道。

    对州预算的潜在打击

    根据“宏伟法案”,该项目的支付失误率对SNAP这一由联邦资助、由美国各州管理的项目而言,其重要性日益凸显。

    新法律要求各州的SNAP项目将支付失误率维持在6%以下。那些食品券项目失误率超过该阈值的州,将从2027年10月起承担该项目更多的成本。

    根据美国农业部上周发布的报告,仅有10个州的SNAP支付失误率低于6%,其中南达科他州最低,为2.5%。数据显示,阿拉斯加州的失误率最高,达到23%。

    根据“宏伟法案”,SNAP支付失误率在6%至8%之间的州,将从2027年末起支付5%的福利成本。失误率在8%至10%之间的州,需承担10%的福利成本。而失误率超过10%的州,则需支付15%的成本。

    根据预算与政策优先中心(CBPP)的最新估算,基于美国农业部发布的最新支付失误率数据,各州可能需要额外承担90亿美元的SNAP支出。

    “各州此前从未需要承担福利成本份额,而根据2025年的数据,近一半的州将面临成本分摊要求,在实施第一年就将面临至少1亿美元的损失,”CBPP的SNAP专家凯蒂·伯格对哥伦比亚广播公司新闻表示。

    她表示,这可能导致各州要么提高税收,要么削减其他领域的预算支出。

    “我们甚至可能看到一些州完全退出该项目,”伯格补充道,她援引美国公共人类服务协会对全美50个州SNAP机构的调查称,11%的机构将退出食品援助项目列为因预期成本上升而面临的潜在风险。

    SNAP支付失误率超过6%的州还有一年时间来减少失误,减轻对其预算的冲击。但那些无法降低失误率的州,可能需要做出可能影响居民的选择,例如在资助执法和教育等公共服务与提供食品援助之间做出权衡。

    参保人数下降

    这种财务压力正值美国SNAP参保人数自特朗普总统2025年7月4日签署“宏伟法案”以来已大幅下降之际。

    根据美国农业部的数据,截至3月(可获得的最新数据),约有3700万人参保SNAP。这比一年前减少了近500万人。

    SNAP参保人数的急剧下降源于“宏伟法案”下的项目改革,包括对64岁及以下“身体健康的成年人”实施新的工作要求,而此前的规定仅适用于54岁及以下人群。新规定限制,64岁以下人群若每月未工作、志愿服务或参加职业培训至少80小时,则每三年仅能享受三个月的SNAP福利。

    包括代表全美州长的两党组织全国州长协会以及美国公共人类服务协会在内的一些倡导者,目前正在游说议员将修订后的州成本分摊规则推迟两年实施。

    “我们一直在努力向领导人宣传这将对各州产生的影响,”全国州长协会首席政策官蒂莫西·布卢特表示,“并请求给予更多时间来实施改革。州长们和各州都非常重视项目的完整性,正不知疲倦地努力降低失误率。”

    库兹尼克表示,如果没有时间解决支付失误问题,许多州在成本分摊条款生效后可能会面临艰难的抉择。

    “如果某个州无法承担其分摊份额,届时会发生什么?这些都是我们尚未遇到的情况,”她说,“我们知道粮食安全对人们的生计和在校专注能力至关重要。从整体健康结果来看,你可能会看到广泛的影响。”

    阿兰·谢特编辑
    美联社对本报道亦有贡献。

    The Trump administration says the food stamp program is rife with fraud and waste. Is it?

    2026-06-29T13:21:00-0400 / CBS News

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    Updated on: June 29, 2026 / 2:09 PM EDT / CBS News

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    The Trump administration says the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, also known as food stamps, is losing billions of dollars because of payment errors it characterizes as fraud, waste and abuse. But anti-hunger advocates say that description is misleading, and could threaten food assistance for millions of low-income families.

    The Department of Agriculture on June 24 said that the food-stamp program’s payment error rate was 10.6% for fiscal year 2025 — almost double the 6% threshold established as acceptable under the Republicans’ 2025 “big, beautiful bill act” (OBBBA). The error rate last year amounts to more than $10 billion in improper SNAP payments across the U.S., the agency said.

    SNAP provided $95.7 billion in benefits to American families during fiscal year 2025, meaning that payment errors accounted for roughly one-tenth of the program’s spending.

    Fraud or a mistake?

    Conflicting views on the prevalence of fraud in food stamps centers on what the SNAP payment error rate actually measures. Payment errors occur whenever households receive too much or too little in benefits, regardless of whether anyone intentionally broke the rules, and experts say such over- and under-payments are usually unintentional.

    Fraud, by contrast, generally involves deliberate deception, such as trafficking benefits for cash or using stolen EBT card information.

    The Trump administration has cited the payment error rate as evidence of waste in the program. The metric does not capture many of the most common forms of SNAP fraud, such as EBT card skimming or recipients illegally selling benefits for cash, according to the American Public Human Services Association (APHSA), which represents state and local human services agencies.

    A 2024 report from the Government Accountability Office found that SNAP payment errors tend to stem from over- or under-payment issues, while describing food-stamp fraud as a separate, if related, issue.

    Payment errors are “mostly unintentional because the policy is very complex, and there are a lot of reporting requirements” that households may not be aware of, Brian Jones, a SNAP quality control expert at APHSA, told CBS News.

    Republicans argue that reducing both payment errors and fraud would save taxpayer dollars and help ensure benefits go only to eligible recipients.

    “Every dollar in this program is intended to help feed eligible individuals in need,” said Rep. Tim Burchett, a Republican from Tennessee, in a June 25 House subcommittee hearing on “Combating Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in SNAP. “That’s not where every dollar goes, not by a long shot.”

    Anti-hunger advocates say that while focusing on fraud is important, erroneous food-stamp payments largely reflect changes in recipients’ personal and financial circumstances, such as getting or losing a job. Mistakes can also result from paperwork problems, such as missing addresses or phone numbers.

    “We should not confuse payment errors with fraud,” Gina Plata-Nino, SNAP director for the anti-hunger advocacy group Food Research & Action Center, or FRAC, said at the same hearing. “Fraud involves intentional wrongdoing — payment errors often involve complicated rules, changing work hours, missing paperwork, outdated systems or agency mistakes.”

    Recouping overpayments

    Under federal law, SNAP recipients must repay overpayments, with states typically reducing the monthly payment until the money is recouped.

    “State and counties, those administering the program, should strive to have as low an error rate as possible because it is an indicator of strong administration of the program,” said Alexis Kuznick, policy director for APHSA. “States are working really hard to get their error rates much lower.”

    To be sure, actual SNAP fraud is costly. The GAO pointed to earlier data showing the program lost about $1 billion a year to fraud.

    A USDA report published in May flagged other potential fraudulent activity, including recipients with dummy Social Security numbers and duplicate enrollments, that could add up to roughly $3 billion in annual improper payments. However, the report described the findings as possible issues rather than confirmed fraud.

    Ironically, states are “having to take folks off of their work on reducing, preventing or responding to fraud and move them over to the quality control side” to focus on reducing payment error rates because of the OBBBA’s requirements, Kuznick said.

    Potential hit to state budgets

    Under the OBBBA, the program’s payment error rate has become increasingly key to SNAP, a federally funded program administered by the U.S. states.

    The new law mandates that states’ SNAP programs should maintain payment error rates below 6%. Those states whose food-stamp programs exceed that threshold will be on the hook for shouldering more of the program’s costs starting in October 2027.

    According to the USDA’s report last week, only 10 states have SNAP payment error rates below 6%, with South Dakota at the lowest, at 2.5%. Alaska has the highest payment error rate, at 23%, the data shows.

    Under the OBBBA, states with SNAP payment error rates between 6% and 8% will have to pay 5% of the benefit costs starting in late 2027. Those with error rates of 8% to 10% will have to pick up 10% of the benefit costs. And those with error rates over 10% will have to pay 15% of the costs.

    In total, states could be on the hook for an additional $9 billion in SNAP spending, based on the most recent payment error rates released by the USDA, according to a new estimate from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, or CBPP.

    “States have never before had to put up a share of the benefit costs, and based on the 2025 data, almost half the states are facing a cost-sharing requirement that’s going to cost them $100 million or more in the first year of implementation,” Katie Bergh, a SNAP expert at CBPP, told CBS News.

    That could result in states having to either raise taxes or cut spending elsewhere in their budgets, she said.

    “We may even see some states withdraw from the program entirely,” Bergh added, citing an APHSA survey of all 50 state SNAP agencies that found 11% identified withdrawing from the food aid program as a potential risk due to higher expected costs.

    States with SNAP payment error rates above 6% will have another year to reduce their errors and decrease the hit to their budgets. But states that aren’t able to drive down their error rates will likely need to make choices that could impact their residents, such as choosing between funding public services like law enforcement and education versus providing food aid.

    Enrollment decline

    The financial pressure comes as U.S. SNAP enrollment has already fallen sharply since President Trump signed the OBBBA into law on July 4, 2025.

    About 37 million people were enrolled in SNAP as of March, the most recent data available, according to USDA figures. That represents a decline of almost 5 million people from a year earlier.

    The sharp drop in SNAP enrollees is due to recent changes to the program under the OBBBA, including a new work requirement for “able-bodied adults” aged 64 or younger, whereas the previous regulation only applied to people 54 or younger. The new regulation restricts SNAP benefits to three months of aid every three years if people under 64 don’t work, volunteer or participate in job training at least 80 hours a month.

    Some advocates, including the National Governors Association, a bipartisan group that represents the nation’s governors, as well as APHSA, are now lobbying lawmakers to delay the revised state cost-sharing rules by two years.

    “We have been working hard to educate and inform leaders around what the impacts will be to states,” and to ask for additional time to implement changes, said Timothy Blute, chief policy officer at the National Governors Association. “Governors and states care deeply about program integrity and are working tirelessly to lower their error rates.”

    Without time to fix the payment errors, many states are likely to face difficult decisions once the cost-sharing provisions kick in, Kuznick said.

    “If an individual state can’t pay its share, what happens then? Those are the sorts of things that we have not encountered yet,” she said. “We know how critical food security is to people’s livelihoods and their ability to focus in school. You could see a widespread impact in terms of wellness outcomes overall.”

    Edited by Alain Sherter

    The Associated Press contributed to this report.

  • 最高法院裁决解读:扩大特朗普解雇权但暂时保留美联储独立性


    2026-06-29T19:09:01.651Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/29/politics/takeaways-supreme-court-cook-slaughter-carroll-ballots

    美国最高法院周一为总统唐纳德·特朗普带来重大胜利,允许他随意罢免曾具有独立性的联邦机构负责人,同时推翻了1935年的一项先例,此举可能重塑政府运作方式。

    与此同时,最高法院大幅提高了本届或未来总统解雇美联储成员的难度——暂时阻止了特朗普政府基于备受争议的抵押贷款欺诈指控解除美联储理事丽莎·库克职务的企图。

    这些裁决是特朗普第二任期最初几个月爆发的一系列争议的最新进展。尽管联邦法律要求总统在解雇官员前必须说明理由——比如渎职行为——特朗普仍试图解雇政府内部的批评者。

    与此同时,最高法院给特朗普带来了个人层面的失利,维持了对他性侵并诽谤前杂志专栏作家E·让·卡罗尔的判决。最高法院拒绝受理特朗普的上诉,为卡罗尔获得500万美元赔偿金扫清了道路。

    在另一项裁决中,大法官们允许各州收集并清点选举日之后送达的邮寄选票,这一决定正值特朗普游说国会限制邮寄投票并通过选民身份证法案之际。

    以下是最高法院周一多项重大裁决的核心要点:

    最高法院周一同时公布了两项关于政府官员解雇的裁决——一项对特朗普不利,另一项对他有利。

    更具影响力的裁决以6票赞成、3票反对的保守派与自由派分歧结果作出,核心涉及丽贝卡·凯利·斯劳特案。特朗普去年不顾联邦法律要求,将斯劳特从联邦贸易委员会解雇,该法律规定总统在解雇委员前必须说明理由,比如渎职行为。

    特朗普辩称,作为行政部门首脑,他有权管控联邦政府内独立机构的负责人,而保护这些官员免受解雇的法律违反了三权分立原则。

    首席大法官约翰·罗伯茨为多数方撰写意见,基本同意了这一主张。

    “行使总统权力的下属应接受总统的罢免,”罗伯茨写道。“唯有如此,他们才能对总统负责,总统才能对人民负责。”

    第二起涉及库克的案件同样涉及总统罢免官员的权力,但情形不同。在此案中,特朗普试图基于库克涉嫌抵押贷款欺诈的指控将其解雇。

    总统去年在社交媒体上宣布了解雇决定,并发布了一封信,指控库克“存在欺骗且可能构成犯罪的行为”,理由是她据称在2021年将两处不同房产申报为主要居所。

    库克否认有任何不当行为,并称这些指控是“捏造的”。

    与此同时,斯劳特对裁决结果表示谴责,并称两起案件的核心差异显著。

    “不知为何华尔街享有特殊待遇,但除此之外,那些为普通美国人保驾护航的机构却没有,”斯劳特在周一的新闻发布会上说道。

    最高法院的保守派多数本可以对斯劳特案采取更有限的处理方式。例如,他们可以裁定,联邦贸易委员会自1914年成立以来权力扩张过大,不再属于应独立于行政部门首脑的机构。

    尽管最高法院确实表达了此类观点,但它同时通过推翻1935年最高法院“汉弗莱遗嘱执行人诉美国案”的先例,得出了影响广泛的结论。该先例允许国会对总统解雇某些独立机构负责人的时机设置限制。

    罗伯茨对“汉弗莱案”的鄙夷几乎跃然纸上。

    “如果‘汉弗莱案’还剩下什么余绪,我们现在就推翻它,”罗伯茨写道。“几十年来,‘汉弗莱案’一直是一个先有结论、后找理由的裁决。”

    最高法院资深自由派大法官索尼娅·索托马约尔宣读了情绪激昂的异议意见,警告该裁决可能导致“唯有混乱”。

    索托马约尔罕见地当庭宣读异议——这是她强烈反对的标志——她警告该裁决将“从根本上重塑国家的权力平衡”。

    索托马约尔写道,该裁决“颠覆了数个世纪的政治惯例”,最终将使联邦政府状况更糟。

    “汉弗莱遗嘱执行人案”的渊源可追溯至富兰克林·罗斯福总统任期内。1933年,罗斯福解雇了由赫伯特·胡佛总统任命的联邦贸易委员会委员威廉·汉弗莱。汉弗莱辩称自己的解雇行为违反法律,其遗产试图追讨薪水。

    当时最高法院一致认为,解雇汉弗莱的行为不当。

    此后数十年间,该先例保护了约24个独立机构免受总统干预,其中包括核管理委员会、联邦通信委员会和国家运输安全委员会等。在此之前,总统若要解雇这些机构的负责人,必须说明理由。

    如今,这一情况可能不复存在。

    “尽管参议院有权决定是否确认总统心仪的人选,但国会和法院都不能强迫总统接受他无法共事的人,”罗伯茨写道。“行使总统权力的下属应接受总统的罢免。”

    尽管库克在特朗普试图解雇她的斗争中暂时获胜,但她能否保住工作仍是未知数——这一问题未来很可能再次提交最高法院审理。

    最高法院周一的裁决部分涉及一个技术性但影响重大的问题:在特朗普挑战罢免决定期间,库克是否应被允许继续留在美联储理事会。但罗伯茨撰写的裁决意见明确表示,未来特朗普可能合法解雇她。

    罗伯茨与四位支持其意见的大法官——保守派大法官布雷特·卡瓦诺以及自由派大法官索尼娅·索托马约尔、埃琳娜·卡根和凯坦吉·布朗·杰克逊——表示,联邦法律要求特朗普在解雇库克前为其提供充分的正当程序。罗伯茨写道,总统仅通过简短的社交媒体帖子宣布解雇决定,这并不符合要求。

    https://www.cnn.com/

    最高法院允许丽莎·库克留任美联储
    1:21

    相反,首席大法官表示,她“有权了解涉案证据的相关解释、获得回应的途径,以及回应的截止期限”。

    特朗普现在必须为库克提供机会,让她就对自己的指控提出抗辩。罗伯茨写道,此事发生后,下级法院将能够“在掌握更充分事实记录的情况下,审查此类指控的有效性和充分性”。

    最高法院表示,如果不进行某种形式的审查,总统将拥有“随时、以任何理由解雇美联储负责人的权力,无需事前通知,事后也不受司法监督。这将使因由解雇保护沦为形同虚设的随意雇佣”。

    这意味着该案几乎肯定会再次提交最高法院审理。“总统能否因正当理由解雇库克的最终问题,将部分取决于背后的事实,”罗伯茨写道。

    目前,在审查程序完成前,库克将继续留任。

    特朗普迅速抓住了法院周一裁决所依据的“严格程序理由”,在Truth社交平台上发帖称,他的政府“将立即采取适当行动”,试图将库克赶下理事会。

    笼罩在库克案上方的一大担忧是,经济学家、政客和其他人士担心,如果特朗普被允许几乎不受监督地解雇美联储成员,可能会引发经济灾难。

    由特朗普任命的卡瓦诺大法官明确表达了这种焦虑。

    他在协同意见中写道,如果法院允许特朗普暂时解雇库克,将无法回答美国中央银行是否真正独立的问题。

    “悬而未决的这一问题将引发严重不确定性,即最高法院是否很快会取消美联储的独立性,从而使美联储受到政治影响,危及美国货币政策的有效性,”卡瓦诺写道。“即便只是暂时不确定美联储的地位,也可能引发……美国和世界经济的动荡。”

    “我不会走上这条路。我不会冒险破坏美国经济的稳定,”他部分写道。

    库克的律师团队极力强调特朗普胜诉可能带来的经济后果。至少在本案中,大法官们显然听取了这一观点。

    经济学家普遍认为,独立的美联储对美国经济稳定至关重要。美联储根据经济数据调整利率,以应对高通胀和高失业时期。政治化的美联储将意味着美国央行不再以美国经济的最佳利益为行事准则。

    然而,同为保守派的克拉伦斯·托马斯大法官不同意卡瓦诺关于美联储一直妥善管理美国经济的前提。他在异议意见中写道,“许多人并不认同最高法院对过去一个世纪的乐观看法”。

    “但如果最高法院更倾向于独立的联邦储备委员会,那么问题不在于总统,而在于宪法,”托马斯写道。

    在另一项备受关注的裁决中,大法官们维持了各州清点选举日之后送达的邮寄选票的法律——这等于驳斥了特朗普关于邮寄投票存在广泛欺诈的无根据主张。

    最高法院驳回了共和党人的论点,即十余州采用的这种做法违反了联邦法律规定的11月选举日规则。特朗普多次 falsely 将邮寄投票和漫长的计票过程等同于“作弊”,尽管他本人曾多次通过邮寄投票。

    保守派大法官艾米·科尼·巴雷特为5票赞成、4票反对的多数方撰写意见,将这场争议描述为“狭义”问题,聚焦于密西西比州的法律:该法律允许“选举日盖戳,但最多可在五天后收到的选票”被计入。

    “选举日相关法规并未提及选票接收问题,我们不能在国会选定的措辞之外自行添加内容,”巴雷特写道,罗伯茨和最高法院三位自由派大法官加入了这一意见。

    “选举欺诈及其表象是严重问题,”巴雷特补充道。“不过,与其他此类问题一样,必须通过民主程序加以解决。”

    特朗普在社交媒体帖子中抨击了这项裁决,称这是“巨大损失”。

    “禁止邮寄选票(除非因疾病、残疾、军事部署或旅行原因!),”特朗普写道。

    就在最高法院开始公布裁决前不久,法院拒绝受理特朗普对卡罗尔案的上诉。按照常规惯例,最高法院未解释理由,也没有大法官公开表示异议。

    最高法院的决定意味着总统现在必须向卡罗尔支付500万美元赔偿金。该赔偿金是数年前纽约陪审团裁定的,陪审团认定特朗普在声称卡罗尔编造了他在20世纪90年代中期性侵她的说法时,对其进行了诽谤。

    2023年陪审团作出裁决后,特朗普已向法院控制的账户转账550万美元,因此卡罗尔可能很快就能收到这笔款项。

    特朗普多次否认有不当行为,他辩称负责民事审判的美国地区法官刘易斯·卡普兰存在多处错误,比如允许陪审团听取两名指称特朗普多年前性侵她们的女性的证词。

    特朗普还辩称,法官不应让陪审团观看“走进好莱坞”录音带,这段录音捕捉到2005年特朗普在公开麦克风前称自己会抚摸和亲吻女性。

    原定于最高法院审理的上诉被多次推迟,法院多次将其列入讨论议程,随后又从日程中移除。

    CNN的蒂尔尼·斯尼德、布莱恩·梅纳和阿比盖尔·罗德塞海默对本文亦有贡献。

    Takeaways from the Supreme Court’s decisions expanding Trump’s firing power but preserving Fed for now

    2026-06-29T19:09:01.651Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/29/politics/takeaways-supreme-court-cook-slaughter-carroll-ballots

    The Supreme Court handed President Donald Trump a significant win Monday by allowing him to remove the leaders of once-independent federal agencies at will, toppling a 1935 precedent in the process that could reorder the way the government functions.

    At the same time, the court made it far harder for this or future presidents to remove members of the Federal Reserve — blocking the Trump administration, for now, from ending the tenure of Fed Governor Lisa Cook over contested allegations of mortgage fraud.

    The decisions were the latest development in a series of controversies that erupted during the first months of Trump’s second term. He sought to fire critics within the government despite federal laws that protected them by requiring a president to show cause — such as malfeasance — before booting them from office.

    Meanwhile, the court dealt Trump a personal defeat, letting stand the verdict against him for sexually abusing and defaming former magazine columnist E. Jean Carroll. By declining to hear Trump’s appeal, the court paved the way for Carroll to collect $5 million in damages.

    In a separate ruling, the justices also allowed states to collect and count mail-in ballots that arrive after Election Day, a decision that comes as Trump lobbies Congress to limit mail voting and pass a voter ID law.

    Here are the key takeaways from the court’s major decisions Monday:

    The Supreme Court handed down two opinions at the same time on Monday on the firing of government officials – one that was a loss for Trump and the other that was a win.

    The more significant decision, decided 6-3 along conservative-liberal lines, centered on Rebecca Kelly Slaughter, whom Trump fired from the Federal Trade Commission last year despite a federal law that requires presidents to show cause — such as malfeasance — before booting commissioners.

    Trump had argued that, as the head of the executive branch, he should have the power to control the leaders of independent agencies within the federal government and that the law intended to shield those officials from removal violated separation of powers principles.

    Writing for the majority, Chief Justice John Roberts largely agreed.

    “Subordinates who exercise the president’s power are subject to removal by him,” Roberts wrote. “Then, and only then, can they remain accountable to the president, and the president to the people.”

    The second case, dealing with Cook, also touched on the president’s ability to remove an official — but under different circumstances. In that case, Trump attempted to dump Cook based on allegations that she had committed mortgage fraud.

    The president announced the firing on social media last year, posting a letter that accused Cook of “deceitful and potentially criminal conduct” because she allegedly claimed two different homes as her primary residence in 2021.

    Cook has denied any wrongdoing and has called the charges “manufactured.”

    Slaughter, meanwhile, decried the ruling against her and called the major difference between the two issues.

    “Somehow Wall Street is special and gets special treatment, but other than that, the agencies that look out for everyday Americans do not,” Slaughter said at a news conference Monday.

    The Supreme Court’s conservative majority could have taken a more limited way out of the Slaughter case. It could have ruled, for instance, that the power of the FTC has grown so vast since it was created in 1914 that it no longer qualified as agency that should be independent from the leader of the executive branch.

    While the court did say those things, it also steered to a broad outcome by overruling a 1935 Supreme Court precedent known as Humphrey’s Executor v. US that allowed Congress to include restrictions on when a president may fire the leaders of certain independent agencies.

    Roberts’ disdain for Humphrey’s virtually dripped off the page of his opinion.

    “If anything more is left of Humphrey’s, we overrule it,” Roberts wrote. “Humphrey’s has for decades been a result in search of a rationale.”

    Justice Sonia Sotomayor, the court’s senior liberal, read an impassioned dissent warning that the decision could lead to “only chaos.”

    Taking the rare step of reading from the bench — a sign of her strong disagreement – Sotomayor warned the decision would “fundamentally recalibrate the balance of power in the nation.”

    Sotomayor wrote that the decision “undoes centuries of political practice” and would ultimately make the federal government worse.

    Humphrey’s Executor dates back to President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s tenure. Roosevelt fired an FTC commissioner, William Humphrey, in 1933 who had been appointed by President Herbert Hoover. Humphrey argued that his firing violated the law and his estate sought to recover his salary.

    The Supreme Court unanimously agreed at the time that his dismissal was improper.

    In the decades since, the precedent has shielded some two dozen independent agencies from presidential interference, including the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, the Federal Communications Commission and the National Transportation Safety Board, among others. To fire the leaders of those agencies, presidents needed to show cause.

    Now, they likely will not.

    “Although it is up to the Senate to decide whether to confirm those with whom the president would prefer to work, neither Congress nor the courts may saddle him with those with whom he cannot work,” Roberts wrote. “Subordinates who exercise the president’s power are subject to removal by him.”

    Though Cook won her battle in the fight over Trump’s ability to fire her, whether she wins the ultimate war over her job remains an open question – and one that is likely to return to the Supreme Court in the future.

    The high court’s decision Monday dealt partly with the technical – yet hugely consequential – question of whether Cook should be allowed to remain on the Federal Reserve Board while she challenges the president’s bid to remove her. But the ruling, delivered in an opinion also penned by Roberts, made clear that there may be a world in which Trump can lawfully fire her.

    Roberts and the four justices who signed on to his opinion (conservative Justice Brett Kavanaugh and liberal Justices Sotomayor, Elena Kagan and Ketanji Brown Jackson) said federal law required Trump to give Cook adequate due process before firing her. The president’s decision to announce her ousting via a curt social media post, Roberts wrote, was insufficient.

    https://www.cnn.com/

    Supreme Court allows Lisa Cook to remain at Fed

    1:21

    Instead, the chief said, she “was entitled to some explanation of the evidence at issue, some avenue for a response, and a deadline by which a response would be due.”

    Trump will now have to provide her with a chance to contest the allegations lodged against her. After that happens, lower courts will be able to scrutinize “the validity and sufficiency of such charges” with the benefit of having a more developed factual record in hand, Roberts wrote.

    Without some form of review, the court said, the president would have power to remove Fed leaders “at any time, for any reason, without any notice before, and without any judicial check after. That would turn for-cause protection into little more than at-will employment.”

    That means that the case is all but certain to land back at the high court at some point. “The ultimate question of whether the President can remove Cook for cause will depend in part on the underlying facts,” Roberts wrote.

    For now, while that review happens, Cook will remain in her job.

    Trump quickly seized on the “strictly procedural basis” on which the court resolved the case on Monday, writing in a post on Truth Social that his administration “will take appropriate action immediately” to try to keep Cook off the board.

    Looming large over Cook’s case were concerns from economists, politicians and others about the possibility of Trump triggering economic ruin if he was allowed to fire members of the Federal Reserve with little to no oversight.

    Kavanaugh, who was put on the bench by Trump, made clear that he shares that anxiety.

    He wrote in a concurring opinion that if the court permitted Trump to fire Cook for now, it would leave unanswered the question of whether the nation’s central bank is a truly independent body.

    “Leaving that question open would create significant uncertainty about whether the Court might soon eliminate the Federal Reserve’s independence, and thereby expose the Federal Reserve to political influences and jeopardize the efficacy of U. S. monetary policy,” Kavanaugh wrote. “Even temporary uncertainty about the status of the Federal Reserve could spark … turmoil in the US and world economies.”

    “I would not go down that road. I would not risk destabilizing the US economy,” he wrote in part.

    Cook’s attorneys had leaned hard into the potential economic consequences of a win for Trump. It was clear that, in this case at least, the justices were listening.

    Economists broadly agree that an independent Fed is essential for a stable US economy. The Federal Reserve addresses times of high inflation and high unemployment by swaying interest rates in either direction based on what economic figures show. A politicized Fed would mean the US central bank isn’t doing what’s in the best interest of the US economy.

    Fellow conservative Justice Clarence Thomas, however, disagreed with Kavanaugh’s premise that the Fed has been a good steward of the US economy. He wrote in a dissenting opinion that “many do not share the court’s rosy appraisal of the past century.”

    “But if the court prefers an independent Federal Reserve Board, then its issue is not with the President but with the Constitution,” Thomas wrote.

    In another high-profile move, the justices upheld state laws that count mail-in ballots that arrive after Election Day – which amounted to a repudiations of Trump’s unfounded claims of widespread fraud in mail voting.

    The high court rejected Republican arguments that the practice, embraced by more than a dozen states, runs afoul of federal laws setting the November Election Day. Trump has repeatedly and falsely equated mail-in balloting and lengthy vote counts with “cheating,” even though he has voted by mail several times.

    Writing for a 5-4 court, conservative Justice Amy Coney Barrett described the dispute as a “narrow” one, focused on the Mississippi law that counts “ballots postmarked by election day, but received up to five days later.”

    “The election-day statutes say nothing about ballot receipt and we cannot add to the words Congress chose,” Barrett wrote, joined by Roberts and the court’s three liberals.

    “Election fraud and its appearance are serious issues,” Barrett added. “Like other such issues, however, they must be addressed through the democratic process.”

    Trump blasted the decision in a social media post, calling it a “tremendous loss.”

    “NO MAIL-IN BALLOTS (EXCEPT FOR ILLNESS, DISABILITY, MILITARY DEPLOYMENT, OR TRAVEL!),” Trump wrote.

    Just before the Supreme Court began handing down its opinion, it declined to take up Trump’s appeal in the Carroll case. Per its normal practice, the court did not explain its reasoning and no justice publicly dissented.

    The court’s decision means the president will now have to pay Carroll the $5 million, which was awarded to her several years ago by a jury in New York after it found that Trump defamed her when he claimed she made up her story that he sexually assaulted her in the mid-1990s.

    Trump transferred $5.5 million to a court-controlled account in 2023 following the jury verdict so Carroll is likely to receive the cash relatively quickly.

    Trump, who has repeatedly denied wrongdoing, has claimed US District Judge Lewis Kaplan, who oversaw the civil trial, made numerous errors by allowing the jury to hear testimony from two women who alleged Trump sexually assaulted them years ago.

    Trump also argued that the judge should not have let the jurors see the “Access Hollywood” tape, which captured Trump in 2005 on a hot mic saying he gropes and kisses women.

    The appeal was rescheduled for months at the Supreme Court, which repeatedly set it for discussion and then yanked it from the agenda.

    CNN’s Tierney Sneed, Bryan Mena and Abigail Roedersheimer contributed to this report.

  • 美国医疗保险计划将于7月1日起首次覆盖GLP-1减肥药


    以下是你需要了解的信息。

    2026年6月29日 / 美国东部时间下午3:39 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    从7月1日起,部分医疗保险参保患者将首次能够通过一项旨在提高这类药物可负担性的新计划,以每月50美元的自付费用获取GLP-1类减肥药物。

    这项被称为“医疗保险GLP-1过渡计划”的试点项目,扩大了礼来公司和诺和诺德公司生产的减肥药的覆盖范围,其中包括司美格鲁肽注射剂(Wegovy)、替尔泊肽注射剂(Zepbound)以及口服版司美格鲁肽(Foundayo)。

    “医疗保险目前并未修改法律,”医疗保健研究非营利组织KFF负责医疗保险政策的副总裁兼主任朱丽叶·库班斯基说道,“它只是利用了法律中的特定条款,赋予联邦政府设立临时项目的权力。”

    该项目标志着医疗保险首次为仅用于肥胖症治疗的药物提供报销,不再将覆盖范围限定在因糖尿病或心血管疾病等病症使用GLP-1类药物的人群。近几个月来,制药商已经降低了自付费用,但许多患者每月仍需支付约350美元。

    过渡计划下的GLP-1药物覆盖期限为2026年7月1日至2027年12月31日。库班斯基表示,在这18个月的试点结束后,除非医疗保险和医疗补助服务中心(CMS)延长该项目,或是国会修改法律,否则患者可能会失去医疗保险对用于减肥的GLP-1类药物的报销资格。她还提到,制药商也有可能将目前的直接面向消费者的定价调整至与50美元自付费用持平。

    “短期内我们有这项临时计划,但截至2027年底之后的发展方向目前尚不明确。”她说道。

    谁有资格参与?

    拥有D部分医保且参保了合格计划的医疗保险受益人,可通过过渡计划获得报销。

    要符合资格,患者的医生必须提交预先审批申请,证明患者开具GLP-1类药物是用于减肥。预先审批是指确保药房能够配药的流程。

    医生还必须证明患者在首次开始使用GLP-1类药物时,符合与体重指数(BMI)和健康状况相关的特定临床标准,需满足以下任一条件:

    • 体重指数至少为35
    • 体重指数至少为30,且有心力衰竭、难治性高血压或慢性肾病病史
    • 体重指数至少为27,且患有前驱糖尿病、既往心脏病发作或中风,或有症状性外周动脉疾病

    库班斯基指出,如果患者已经因2型糖尿病、睡眠呼吸暂停等病症持有医疗保险D部分覆盖的GLP-1类药物处方,则无法通过过渡计划获得报销。

    “对于那些认为自己可能符合用药资格,或是想了解自己是否符合资格的患者来说,第一步最好是咨询自己的主治医生,他们可以提供帮助。”库班斯基说道。

    医疗保险将覆盖哪些药物?

    礼来公司的每日口服减肥药Foundayo、每周一次的注射型减肥药Zepbound KwikPen,以及诺和诺德的注射型和口服版减肥药物Wegovy均在覆盖范围内。

    我需要支付多少钱?

    符合资格要求的医疗保险参保者,获取GLP-1类药物只需支付每月50美元的自付费用。但有几点需要注意:由于该项目在医疗保险D部分的覆盖范围之外提供,这笔自付费用不计入患者的免赔额或年度自付费用上限。

    “好消息是,患者无需先满足免赔额要求,就能以50美元的自付费用参与该计划,”库班斯基说道,“但另一方面,这50美元的自付费用也不会计入2100美元的年度自付费用上限。”

    此外,患者不得使用优惠券或折扣进一步降低药价。

    Medicare to cover GLP-1 drugs for weight loss for the first time starting July 1. Here’s what to know.

    June 29, 2026 / 3:39 PM EDT / CBS News

    Some Medicare patients will be able to access to GLP-1 medication for weight loss for the first time starting July 1, paying a $50 monthly copay through a new program designed to make the drugs more affordable.

    Called Medicare GLP-1 Bridge, the pilot program expands access to weight-loss drugs made by Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, including Zepbound, Foundayo and Wegovy.

    “Medicare is not changing the law right now,” said Juliette Cubanski, vice president and director of Medicare policy at the health care research nonprofit KFF. “What it’s doing is taking advantage of a specific section of the law that gives the federal government the ability to stand up a temporary program.”

    The program marks the first time Medicare will help pay for drugs prescribed solely for obesity, rather than limiting coverage to people taking GLP-1s for conditions such as diabetes or cardiovascular disease. Drugmakers have lowered out-of-pocket costs in recent months, but many patients still pay about $350 a month.

    GLP-1 coverage through the bridge program will run between July 1, 2026, and December 31, 2027. After that 18-month trial, patients could lose access to Medicare coverage for GLP-1s used for weight loss unless the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services issues an extension or Congress changes the law, according to Cubanski. It’s possible drug manufacturers could also lower their current direct-to-consumer pricing to match the $50 copay, she said.

    “In the short term, we have this temporary program, and then no clear path forward yet as to what will happen at the end of 2027,” she said.

    Who is eligible?

    Medicare beneficiaries with Part D coverage enrolled in an eligible plan can get coverage through the Bridge program.

    To qualify, a patient’s provider must submit a prior authorization request showing that the patient is being prescribed a GLP-1 for weight loss. Prior authorization is a process that clears the way for a pharmacy to fill a prescription.

    Providers must also demonstrate that their patient meets certain clinical criteria related to their body mass index (BMI) and health conditions when they first start taking a GLP-1. They must either have:

    • BMI of at least 35
    • BMI of at least 30 plus a history of heart failure, uncontrolled hypertension or chronic kidney disease
    • BMI of at least 27 plus prediabetes, a previous heart attack or stroke, or symptomatic peripheral artery disease.

    Patients are not eligible for coverage through the Bridge program if they already have a GLP-1 prescription under Medicare Part D for certain conditions, such as Type 2 diabetes and sleep apnea, according to Cubanski.

    “Certainly, for patients who may think that they’re eligible for these drugs or are interested in exploring whether they’re eligible, a good first step is to talk to their clinician who can help them,” Cubanski said.

    What drugs will Medicare cover?

    Eli Lilly’s Foundayo, a daily weight loss pill, as well as Zepbound KwikPen, a weekly weight loss injection, are covered, along with Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy weight loss medication in injection and pill form.

    How much will I have to pay?

    Medicare recipients who meet the eligibility requirements will have to pay a $50 monthly copay to access the GLP-1 drugs. However, there are a few things to keep in mind. Because the program is being offered outside Medicare Part D coverage, the copay doesn’t count toward a patient’s deductible or yearly out-of-pocket cap.

    “The good news is they don’t have to meet their deductible in order to qualify for the $50 copay,” Cubanski said. “But on the other hand, the $50 copay doesn’t count towards their $2,100 out-of-pocket cap.”

    In addition, patients aren’t allowed to apply coupons or discounts to lower the price further.

  • 市场崩盘恐慌如何悄然影响最高法院保护美联储独立性的裁决


    美国东部时间2026年6月29日周一下午1:25 / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

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    市场崩盘恐慌如何悄然影响最高法院保护美联储独立性的裁决

    政治内幕栏目

    马努·拉朱与《政治内幕》栏目嘉宾团解读了两项最高法院裁决:这两项裁决阻止特朗普总统立即解雇美联储州长丽莎·库克,但扩大了他解雇其他独立机构官员的权力。CNN法律分析师埃利奥特·威廉姆斯表示:“认为美联储是总统臂膀的观点有可能颠覆全球市场……我认为这正是他们脑海中暗自担忧的问题。”

    2:44 • 消息来源:CNN

    How fear of a market meltdown may have quietly shaped the Supreme Court’s ruling to protect Fed independence

    1:25 PM EDT, Mon June 29, 2026 / CNN

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    How fear of a market meltdown may have quietly shaped the Supreme Court’s ruling to protect Fed independence

    Inside Politics

    Manu Raju and the “Inside Politics” panel explain two Supreme Court decisions that prevented President Trump from immediately firing Federal Reserve Gov. Lisa Cook, but expanded his power to fire other independent agency officials. “The idea that the Fed is an arm of the president has the power to upend global markets… I think that’s what’s lurking in the back of their heads,” CNN Legal Analyst Elliot Williams says.

    2:44 • Source: CNN

  • 纽约证券交易所开盘铃将从椭圆办公室敲响 纪念特朗普账户上线


    2026-06-29T16:19:53.939Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

    作者:艾琳·格雷夫

    更新于 2026年6月29日 美国东部时间下午12:21

    发布于 2026年6月29日 美国东部时间下午12:19

    image
    唐纳德·特朗普总统在华盛顿特区签署行政命令后坐在坚毅桌前。

    安德鲁·哈尼克/盖蒂图片社

    白宫经济顾问凯文·哈塞特周一表示,纽约证券交易所将于下周从椭圆办公室启动开盘仪式,以纪念特朗普账户上线。

    “我们下周将举办一场盛大的开盘鸣钟仪式,纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所将首次共同从椭圆办公室敲响开市铃,此举是为了庆祝特朗普账户的推出,”美国国家经济委员会主任哈塞特在接受CNBC采访时说道。

    美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)已联系白宫以获取更多细节。

    美国家庭可于7月4日起为这些账户缴款。该账户将为2025年至2028年出生的儿童的父母提供1000美元投资资金。

    哈塞特对该账户予以赞扬,称其让每一名在美国出生的儿童“拥有参与游戏的资本”,并暗示此举还将产生政治影响。

    “我认为,如果你拥有资本,就很难再成为社会主义者,因此我认为这种形势将产生巨大的政治效应,”哈塞特说道。

    唐纳德·特朗普总统及其盟友近期抓住几名民主社会主义候选人选举获胜的契机,在11月中期选举前与共和党形成鲜明对比。

    特朗普账户是面向符合条件儿童的个人退休账户(IRA)式储蓄账户。与传统个人退休账户一样,账户内资金可享受税收递延增长。但特朗普账户在缴款、取款以及资金核准用途方面的规则有所不同。此外,儿童年满18岁之前不得动用账户内资金。

    该账户最初并未计划覆盖寄养儿童——因为账户必须由“授权个人”开立,通常是父母或被指定为法定监护人的其他家庭成员——直到儿童福利倡导者将该问题提交给第一夫人梅拉尼娅·特朗普的办公室。

    梅拉尼娅·特朗普在其第二任期内部分致力于关注寄养系统中的儿童问题。本月早些时候,她现身美国财政部,宣布推出“培育未来账户”,并发布更新指南,允许州儿童福利机构和寄养青年代表为这些儿童开立账户。

    美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)的珍妮·萨哈迪和贝琪·克莱因为本报道撰稿。

    New York Stock Exchange opening bell to be rung from Oval Office for Trump Accounts launch

    2026-06-29T16:19:53.939Z / CNN

    By Aileen Graef

    Updated Jun 29, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

    PUBLISHED Jun 29, 2026, 12:19 PM ET

    President Donald Trump sits at the Resolute desk after signing an executive order in Washington, DC.

    Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

    The New York Stock Exchange will be opened from the Oval Office next week to mark the opening of Trump Accounts, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said Monday.

    “We’re having a big opening bell ceremony next week where Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange are going to ring the bell from the Oval for the first time together, and they’re doing that to celebrate the accounts,” Hassett, the director of the National Economic Council, said on CNBC.

    CNN has reached out to the White House for further details.

    Families will be able to start contributing to the accounts — which would provide parents of children born between 2025 and 2028 with $1,000 to invest — on July 4.

    Hassett praised the accounts, which he said give every child born in the US “a stake in the game,” and suggested there’d be a political effect as well.

    “It’s basically, I think, hard to be a socialist if you have capital, and so my view is that the political effect of this dynamic is going to be enormous,” Hassett said.

    President Donald Trump and his allies have seized on the recent electoral success of several democratic socialist candidates to create a contrast with the GOP ahead of the November midterms.

    Trump Accounts are IRA-style savings accounts for eligible children. They are like traditional IRAs in that money in the accounts will grow tax deferred. But the rules for Trump Accounts differ when it comes to contributions, withdrawals and approved uses of the money. Also, the money may not be tapped before a child turns 18.

    The accounts didn’t initially plan for children in foster care — because they must be opened by an “authorized individual,”who is typically a parent or other family member named as a legal guardian — until child welfare advocates brought the issue to first lady Melania Trump’s office.

    The first lady, who has used her second term to, in part, shine a light on children in the foster care system, appeared at the Treasury Department earlier this month to announce “Fostering the Future Accounts” and offer updated guidance that allows state child welfare agencies and foster youth representatives to set up the accounts for those children.

    CNN’s Jeanne Sahadi and Betsy Klein contributed to this report.

  • 伊朗战争令美国家庭人均损失1000美元,经济学家估算


    2026年6月29日 美国东部时间下午2:27 / 哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)新闻

    据穆迪 Analytics 首席经济学家马克·赞迪上周公布的估算数据,自2月冲突爆发以来,伊朗战争已通过推高燃油、食品及其他商品价格,令每个美国家庭平均损失约1000美元。

    赞迪的分析发布之际,官方数据显示5月通胀率达到三年来最高水平,而美伊双方仍未达成持久和平协议。两国于周末互发军事打击,威胁到本就脆弱的停火协议。特朗普总统周一表示,双方将于周二在卡塔尔继续举行结束冲突的谈判。

    美国人在为哪些成本买单?

    赞迪指出,美国人面临的最大战争相关开支是汽油价格:5月21日汽油价格曾达到每加仑4.56美元的峰值,本月初回落至每加仑4美元以下。他估算,自2月28日战争爆发以来,美国人仅为加注普通汽油就平均多花了300美元。

    赞迪称,柴油价格上涨推高了从农场、工厂和港口运输商品的成本,进而推高了零售价格。他估算,自战争开始以来,由于燃油成本上升,典型美国家庭在食品杂货上的额外支出已达200美元。

    赞迪列出的自2月冲突爆发以来美国家庭面临的其他战争相关成本还包括:

    • 更高的利息支出—— 平均额外增加约150美元成本。截至今年1月,许多投资者曾预计美联储将下调基准利率。但经济学家表示,战争引发的通胀飙升阻碍了央行降低借贷成本的任何计划,部分预测机构甚至将年内加息纳入了预期。赞迪称,这对消费者和企业来说都是一次错失的机遇。
    • 因航空燃油成本飙升导致的机票涨价—— 平均额外增加约100美元成本。赞迪指出,航空公司已将部分上涨的燃油成本转嫁给了旅客。
    • 支撑美国军事行动的纳税人成本—— 平均额外增加约250美元成本。据赞迪估算,美国每天要额外花费5000万美元用于对伊朗的战争。今年4月向哥伦比亚广播公司透露消息的美国官员的另一项估算显示,这场冲突的美国总开支达500亿美元。国防部一名官员今年4月表示,美国国防部的“史诗之怒行动”成本约为250亿美元,但这一数字未完全计入受损或被毁装备以及美军设施的价值。

    “我估算伊朗战争已让典型美国家庭损失1000美元且仍在增加,说实话这已经是保守估计,”赞迪写道,“实际成本可能更高——而且会高出不少。”

    其他研究人员也尝试统计这场战争给美国家庭带来的损失。布朗大学的研究人员估算,自战争爆发以来,美国消费者仅在汽油和柴油上的总额外支出就达640亿美元,即每个家庭平均486.41美元。无党派智库税收与经济政策研究所则认为,燃油成本上涨导致每个家庭多支出427.50美元。

    近几周来,驾车民众看到了一些价格松动的迹象。汽油价格有望继续下跌,但这取决于美伊双方停止敌对行动。美国汽车协会(AAA)的数据显示,周一全国汽油均价为每加仑3.86美元,较一个月前的4.39美元有所下降,但仍高于战争爆发前的2.98美元。

    GasBuddy 石油专家帕特里克·德汉认为,如果美伊双方结束战争,到今年年底或明年年初,汽油价格可能会跌破每加仑3美元。

    根据6月盖洛普的一项民调,三分之二的美国人表示,近期燃油价格上涨给他们带来了经济困难。

    本文编辑:阿兰·谢特

    Iran war has cost Americans $1,000 per household, economist estimates

    June 29, 2026 2:27 PM EDT / CBS News

    The Iran war has cost Americans roughly $1,000 per household in higher fuel, food and other expenses since the start of the conflict in February, according to an estimate shared last week by Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi.

    Zandi’s analysis comes as government data shows inflation in May hit its highest level in three years, and with the U.S. and Iran yet to broker a lasting peace deal. The two countries exchanged military strikes over the weekend, threatening a fragile ceasefire. The sides will continue talks to end the conflict in Qatar on Tuesday, President Trump said on Monday.

    What are Americans paying for?

    According to Zandi, the biggest war-related expense for Americans has been gasoline, which peaked at $4.56 a gallon on May 21 before dipping back below $4 a gallon earlier this month. Since the war began on Feb. 28, Americans have shelled out an additional $300 on average to fill up their tanks, he found, an estimate that only factors in the higher cost of regular gas.

    Higher diesel costs have also increased the cost of transporting products from farms, factories and seaports, leading to higher retail costs, Zandi said. He estimates the typical U.S. household has spent an extra $200 on groceries due to higher fuel costs since the start of the war.

    Other war-related costs facing American households since the conflict started in February, according to Zandi:

    • Higher interest rates —an estimated $150 on average inadded costs.As of January, many investors expected the Federal Reserve to cut its benchmark interest rate. But the surge in inflation stemming from the war has thwarted any plans by the central bank to lower borrowing costs, according to economists, with some forecasters even penciling in a rate hike later this year. That amounts to a missed opportunity for consumers and businesses, Zandi said.
    • Higher airfare due to surging jet fuel costs —an estimated $100 on average in added costs. Airlines have partially passed their higher fuel costs onto travelers, Zandi noted.
    • Taxpayer costs to support U.S. military operations —an estimated $250 on average in added costs. According to Zandi, the U.S. is spending an additional $50 million per day to conduct the war against Iran. A separate estimate from U.S. officials who spoke to CBS News in April placed the total U.S. price tag for the conflict at $50 billion. A Pentagon official in April put the cost of the Defense Department’s Operation Epic Fury at about $25 billion, although that figure did not fully account for damaged or destroyed equipment or U.S. military installations.

    “My estimate that the Iran war has cost the typical American household $1,000 and counting is, if anything, conservative,” Zandi wrote. “The true cost is likely higher — meaningfully higher.”

    Other researchers have also tried to tabulate how much the war has cost American households. Brown University researchers estimate that U.S. consumers have spent an additional $64 billion in total, or $486.41 per household, on gas and diesel alone since the start of the war. The Institute on Tax and Economic Policy, a nonpartisan think tank, puts the higher fuel costs at $427.50 per household.

    In recent weeks, motorists have seen some relief. Gas prices are expected to continue to decline, though that hinges on the U.S. and Iran ceasing hostilities. On Monday, the national average for a gallon of gas was $3.86, down from $4.39 a month ago but up from $2.98 before the war started, AAA data shows.

    Patrick De Haan, a petroleum expert at GasBuddy, thinks gas prices could fall below $3 by year-end or early next year, assuming the U.S. and Iran end the war.

    According to a June Gallup poll, two-thirds of Americans reported experiencing financial hardship due to recent fuel price increases.

    Edited by Alain Sherter

  • 曾策划小约翰·F·肯尼迪秘密婚礼的助手称:泰勒·斯威夫特与特拉维斯·凯尔西据称的麦迪逊广场花园婚礼计划可能是障眼法


    2026年6月29日 / 美国东部时间下午2:23 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

    作者:凯尔西·霍夫曼

    随着有关泰勒·斯威夫特与特拉维斯·凯尔西婚礼的各种猜测甚嚣尘上,新线索不断涌现,并非所有人都采信了涉及麦迪逊广场花园的传闻。

    “我不认为婚礼会在麦迪逊广场花园举办,”罗斯玛丽·特伦齐奥说道,她曾是小约翰·F·肯尼迪的前幕僚长,近30年前策划了他与卡罗琳·贝塞特的秘密婚礼。

    纽约市政厅已证实,7月3日在麦迪逊广场花园内或周边地区举办活动的申请已提交。同时还有相关请求,要求在当日关闭花园周边的街道。

    特伦齐奥在接受《哥伦比亚广播公司早间节目》采访时表示,尽管她认为婚礼不会在麦迪逊广场花园举行,该场地相关消息可能是障眼法,但她能想象斯威夫特会在那里为粉丝安排活动。

    “我在火车上听到身后一个女孩和她妈妈聊天……她说,‘你知道吗,妈妈,泰勒总得邀请我们做点什么,让我们参与到她的婚礼中来。我们关注她的感情生活已经太久了。’

    “我认为她和粉丝之间有着如此深厚的情感联结,她非常理解这种关系,所以我觉得她会为粉丝安排相关活动,”特伦齐奥说道。

    尽管社交媒体上热度不减,但围绕这对情侣盛大婚礼的细节却少得出奇,特伦齐奥将此归功于与这位《爱情故事》歌手和堪萨斯城酋长队球星关系密切的人们。

    “作为情侣,他们活力四射——总是互相支持。我只是觉得大家都真心希望为他们举办一场美好的婚礼,”特伦齐奥说道。

    即便如此,要让这场备受关注的大型活动保密,要如何做到呢?

    “关键在于私密性。只告诉那些你非常熟悉的人。还有一个办法就是放出假消息,”特伦齐奥说道。

    她解释称,在小约翰·F·肯尼迪的婚礼筹备期间,他们曾在办公室里放置针对爱尔兰的虚假行程。而这对情侣实际上是在佐治亚州坎伯兰岛举行了一场小型私人婚礼。

    “另一点就是绝不使用短信。不发电子邮件。任何书面形式都不用。全部通过电话或当面沟通,”她补充道,“虽然这很难,但并非不可能。”

    她还表示,她认为斯威夫特和凯尔西有能力做到保密,并指出斯威夫特“无论做什么都极具 savvy(精明干练)”。

    特伦齐奥称,如果由她来策划这对情侣的盛大婚礼,她会向所有宾客“强化隐私方面的要求”。

    “我会挨个打电话,甚至可能亲自登门拜访每个人,跟他们说一句……‘管好你的嘴。务必守口如瓶。’”

    Aide who planned JFK Jr.’s secret wedding says Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s rumored MSG plans could be a decoy

    June 29, 2026 / 2:23 PM EDT / CBS News

    By Kelsie Hoffman

    As speculation swirls and new clues emerge about possible plans for Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s wedding, not everyone is convinced by the rumors involving Madison Square Garden.

    “I don’t think it’s going to be at MSG,” said RoseMarie Terenzio, who was John F. Kennedy Jr.’s former chief of staff and planned his secret wedding to Carolyn Bessette nearly 30 years ago.

    New York City Hall has confirmed an application has been filed for an event in or around Madison Square Garden on July 3. There was also a request for the streets around MSG to be closed around the date.

    Terenzio told “CBS Mornings” that while she doesn’t think the wedding is happening at MSG and that it may be a decoy, she could see Swift doing something for her fans there.

    “I overheard a girl on the train, she was sitting behind me talking to her mom … and she said, ‘You know, mom, Taylor has to invite us to do something to bring us into her wedding. We’ve been invested in her love life for so long.’

    “And I think she has such an emotional connection to her fans and she understands that relationship so well that I think there will be something for the fans,” Terenzio said.

    Despite social media, details surrounding the couple’s big day are surprisingly limited, which Terenzio credits to those close to the “Love Story” singer and Kansas City Chiefs star.

    “Their effervescence as a couple — they’re always cheering each other on. I just think people are invested in giving them a beautiful wedding,” Terenzio said.

    Even so, how do you keep an event of this scale that has garnered so much attention private?

    “It’s intimacy. It’s people you know very well and you tell only them. And the other thing is decoys,” Terenzio said.

    She explained that before JFK Jr.’s wedding, they left fake itineraries for Ireland around the office. The couple actually wed in a small, private ceremony on Cumberland Island, Georgia.

    “The other thing is no text. No emails. Nothing in writing. All by phone or in person,” she said, adding, “While it’s difficult, it’s not impossible.”

    She also said she thinks Swift and Kelce are capable of pulling it off, noting that Swift “just has such savvy about everything that she does.”

    Terenzio said that if she were in charge of planning the couple’s big day, she would be “reinforcing the privacy aspect” to all guests.

    “I would be calling and maybe even showing up in person to every single person’s place and, you know, giving them a little … ‘Keep your mouth shut. Make sure you keep your mouth shut.’”

  • 最高法院裁定:警方获取手机位置数据扫描需持有搜查令


    2026-06-29T19:08:10.174Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/29/politics/cellphone-location-data-supreme-court

    美国最高法院周一作出裁决,称使用“地理围栏搜查令”获取手机位置数据以追查抢劫嫌疑人的行为,属于第四修正案所定义的搜查行为。这一裁决意味着警方今后在获取此类数据时必须持有搜查令。

    埃琳娜·卡根大法官为多数意见撰写了裁决书,这份意见得到了保守派和自由派大法官的共同支持。最高法院以6票赞成、3票反对的投票结果作出裁决,三名保守派大法官持反对意见。

    当前美国人将大量个人数据存储在企业控制的服务器中,这起案件引发了关于警方获取此类信息权限的棘手问题。最终,最高法院作出了相对有限的裁决,实质上要求警方在从地理定位数据库请求位置信息时必须获得搜查令。

    “第四修正案必须一如既往地保护民众免受政府对个人隐私的不合理侵犯,”卡根写道。

    弗吉尼亚州男子奥科洛·查特里在警方使用该程序将其列为2019年一起银行抢劫案嫌疑人后,向最高法院提起上诉。在调查陷入僵局后,警方向谷歌发出了地理围栏搜查令,以找出在案发时段手机定位显示在银行周边300米范围内的少数人员。查特里作出了有条件的认罪答辩,并保留了就这项大范围搜查令提起上诉的权利。

    美国最高法院周一并未对查特里的案件作出最终判决。毕竟,查特里案件中的警方确实已经获得了搜查令。多数意见仅认定获取此类数据需要搜查令,随后交由下级法院评估警方在该案中实施的搜查是否符合第四修正案的规定。

    在反对意见中,塞缪尔·阿利托大法官将最高法院的裁决描述为“一场不负责任的闹剧”。

    “尽管今天的裁决将对我们的第四修正案判例法产生重大冲击,但多数意见的内容丝毫不会影响本案的判决结果,”阿利托写道。“最高法院清楚这一点,也并未声称有其他情况。事实上,通过拒绝审查至少理论上可能让查特里获得救济的唯一一个问题,最高法院精心铺垫了这场预设的表演:摆出一副数字时代隐私伟大捍卫者的姿态。”

    第四修正案不仅要求警方在进行搜查时获得搜查令,还要求搜查令必须“具体明确”,即足够具体,不至于实质上成为警方的钓鱼式搜查。查特里的律师辩称,这份搜查令不够具体,部分原因在于它要求谷歌解析数百万用户的位置数据,以识别出在案发时段身处银行附近的小部分人群。

    “滥用的可能性令人震惊,”查特里的律师辩称。“政府只需在教堂、政治集会或枪店周围划定地理围栏,就能强制搜查每位用户的记录,以查明当时在场人员。”

    警方表示,查特里在2019年递了一张纸条,敦促银行出纳员“交出所有现金”,并要求“至少10万美元,否则没人会受伤,你的家人也能过上安稳日子”。

    警方确认查特里的身份后,执法人员执行了联邦搜查令,在他的卧室里发现了“抢劫式索要纸条”、近10万美元现金和一把9毫米手枪。警方称查特里对抢劫供认不讳,最终被判处11年以上监禁。

    总部位于里士满的美国第四巡回上诉法院驳回了查特里的上诉,认定该搜查令不属于第四修正案所定义的“搜查”。毕竟,该法院推断,当人们允许科技公司收集数据时,他们通常是自愿这么做的。这一论点正是为这类搜查令辩护的司法部所 heavily 依赖的理由。

    “查特里没有采取任何措施保护自己的位置信息不被泄露,比如暂停他已启用的位置历史记录功能,或者在犯罪期间调整、停用或放弃使用手机,”美国副检察长D.约翰·佐尔对最高法院表示。

    查特里案件中涉及的位置数据每两分钟就能将一个人的位置精确到3米以内。

    但查特里的律师辩称,这一逻辑并不适用于本案,部分原因是2018年最高法院的一项先例。在“卡彭特诉美国案”中,意见分歧的法院裁定,执法部门在获取手机基站数据以确定嫌疑人行踪前,通常需要确立合理依据。查特里的律师表示,如果当局获取手机基站数据需要搜查令,那么他们肯定也需要获得搜查令才能获取可靠性高得多的数据。

    收到绝大多数此类搜查令的谷歌已经修改了政策,调整了数据的存储方式。

    Police must obtain a warrant when seeking sweep of cellphone location data, Supreme Court rules

    2026-06-29T19:08:10.174Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/29/politics/cellphone-location-data-supreme-court

    The Supreme Court on Monday ruled that the use of a “geofence warrant” to capture location data from cell phones in search of a robbery suspect constituted a search for Fourth Amendment purposes, a decision that means officers will have to obtain a warrant to access such data in the future.

    Justice Elena Kagan wrote the opinion for a majority that included both conservative and liberal justices. The court divided 6-3, with three of the court’s conservatives dissenting.

    At a time when Americans store vast quantities of personal data in servers controlled by companies, the case raised thorny questions about the ability of police to access that information. In the end, the court steered out of the case with a relatively limited decision that will effectively require police to obtain a warrant when they’re requesting location information from a geolocation database.

    “The Fourth Amendment must, as ever, protect against unjustified governmental intrusion on the privacy of the individual,” Kagan wrote.

    A Virginia man, Okello Chatrie, appealed to the Supreme Court after police used the procedure to identify him as a suspect in a 2019 bank robbery. After their investigation went cold, police served Google with a geofence warrant to find a handful of people whose cellphones pegged them within 300 meters of the bank at the time of the robbery. Chatrie entered a conditional guilty plea and reserved the right to appeal over the sweeping warrant.

    The Supreme Court on Monday didn’t resolve Chatrie’s case. After all, the police in Chatrie’s case did, in fact, obtain a warrant. Instead, the majority concluded only that a warrant was necessary and then charged the lower courts with assessing whether the search police conducted in his case was consistent with the Fourth Amendment.

    Writing in dissent, Justice Samuel Alito described the court’s opinion as an “irresponsible escapade.”

    “Although today’s decision will send seismic waves through our Fourth Amendment doctrine, not one iota of the majority opinion will affect the outcome of this case,” Alito wrote. “The court knows this and does not claim otherwise. Indeed, by refusing to review the one question that could have at least theoretically given Chatrie some hope of relief, the court carefully set the stage for its planned performance: striking a pose as a great champion of privacy in the digital age.”

    The Fourth Amendment not only requires police to obtain a warrant for searches but demands that the warrant be “particularized,” that is, specific enough that it’s not effectively a fishing expedition for police. Chatrie’s attorneys argued that the warrant was not particularized in part because it required Google to parse through location data for millions of people to identify the small subset that were in the vicinity of the bank at the time of the crime.

    “The potential for abuse is breathtaking,” Chatrie’s lawyers argued. “The government need only draw a geofence around a church, a political rally, or a gun shop, and it can compel a search of every user’s records to learn who was there.”

    Police said Chatrie passed a note urging a bank teller in 2019 to “hand over all the cash” and demanded “at least 100k and nobody will get hurt and your family will be set free.”

    After police identified Chatrie, authorities executed federal search warrants and found “robbery-style demand notes” in his bedroom, nearly $100,000 in cash and a 9 mm pistol. Police say Chatrie confessed to the robbery and was ultimately sentenced to more than 11 years in prison.

    The Richmond-based 4th US Circuit Court of Appeals ruled against him, holding that the warrant didn’t constitute a “search” for Fourth Amendment purposes. After all, the court reasoned, when people allow tech companies to collect data they generally do so voluntarily. It is an argument that the Justice Department, which is defending the warrants, relied on heavily.

    Chatrie “took no steps to protect his location from disclosure, such as pausing the Location History feature he had enabled or adjusting, deactivating, or forgoing his cellphone during his crime,” US Solicitor General D. John Sauer told the Supreme Court.

    The location data at issue in Chatrie’s case can identify a person’s location within three meters every two minutes.

    But Chatrie’s attorneys argue that the logic doesn’t apply to his case, in part because of a 2018 Supreme Court precedent. In that case, Carpenter v. US, a divided court ruled that law enforcement generally needs to establish probable cause before accessing cellphone tower data to identify the movements of suspects. If authorities need a warrant to get cellphone tower data, Chatrie’s attorneys said, then surely they also must obtain one to get data that is far more reliable.

    Google, which had received the majority of the warrants, changed its policy to shift how the data is stored.

  • 众议院议长约翰逊将住房法案送交白宫,此前特朗普拒绝签署该法案


    2026-06-29T19:33:50.523Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

    作者:埃利斯·金、摩根·里默
    7分钟前
    发布于 2026年6月29日 美国东部时间下午3:33

    image
    2026年6月24日,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普取消了两党住房法案的签署仪式后,带有总统徽章的签字台摆放在美国国会大厦的舞台上。
    伊丽莎白·弗朗茨/路透社

    据一位发言人透露,众议院议长迈克·约翰逊于周一正式将国会通过的两党住房法案送交白宫,此举启动了该法案生效的10天倒计时,即便总统不签署法案,它仍可生效。

    周三,在国会山筹备完大型签署仪式后,唐纳德·特朗普总统突然宣布,在国会通过联邦选举改革法案《拯救美国法案》之前,他不会签署该住房法案,这让参众两院的领导层措手不及。

    特朗普执意推动这项要求选民出示身份证件和公民身份证明的法案,进一步拖累了本已运作失灵的国会,导致共和党无法推进其议程中的关键议题。

    尽管参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩和其他共和党高层议员多次向总统表明,《拯救美国法案》根本没有通过的可能,但特朗普仍持续施压要求推进相关法案。周三的签署仪式只是最新一起因总统施压而搁置的国会事务。

    事件发生后不久,参众两院共和党议员便希望总统最终能签署该住房法案,尤其是在11月中期选举前面临连任压力的脆弱选区共和党议员,计划以该法案的通过作为竞选宣传点。

    这部名为《21世纪住房之路法案》的住房法案,主要通过鼓励增加住房供应来解决美国的住房负担能力危机。该法案还包含一项前所未有的针对私募股权的限制条款,禁止大型投资者收购独栋住宅。

    约翰逊与特朗普周四进行了长时间会谈,会后众议院议长表示,两人“完全达成一致”,他将把该住房法案送交白宫。

    Speaker Johnson sends housing bill to White House after Trump refused to sign measure

    2026-06-29T19:33:50.523Z / CNN

    By Ellis Kim, Morgan Rimmer

    7 min ago

    PUBLISHED Jun 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

    A signing desk with the presidential seal sits on a stage at the US Capitol after President Donald Trump canceled a signing of a bipartisan housing measure on June 24, 2026.

    Elizabeth Frantz/Reuters

    Speaker Mike Johnson officially transmitted Congress’ bipartisan housing bill to the White House on Monday, according to a spokesperson, kicking off a 10-day countdown for the bill to become law, even if the president does not sign it.

    After setting up for a large signing ceremony in the Capitol on Wednesday, President Donald Trump caught leadership from both the House and Senate off guard when he suddenly declared he would not sign the bill until Congress passes the “SAVE America Act,” a federal elections overhaul bill.

    Trump’s fixation on the voter ID and proof-of-citizenship measure has further crippled an already-dysfunctional Congress, leaving Republicans unable to move on critical elements of their agenda.

    Despite Senate Majority Leader John Thune and other senior members of the GOP conference insisting to the president that there is no path to pass the SAVE America Act, Trump has continued to demand action. Wednesday’s signing ceremony was only the latest piece of congressional business to be waylaid by the president’s pressure.

    In the immediate aftermath, Senate and House Republicans expressed hope that the president would ultimately sign the housing bill, especially as vulnerable GOP members up for reelection planned to campaign on its passage ahead of the November midterms.

    The housing bill, the “21st Century Road to Housing Act,” aims to tackle the country’s affordability crisis primarily through encouraging more housing supply. The bill also includes a first-of-its-kind limit on private equity by prohibiting large investors from buying single-family homes.

    Johnson and Trump had a lengthy meeting Thursday, after which the House speaker said that the pair are “exactly on the same page” and that he would send the housing measure to the White House.

  • “我们必须要有一个大帐篷”:这位民主党高层为何不担心民主社会主义者在初选中获胜


    2026-06-29T17:48:10.784Z / CNN 政治频道

    马努·拉朱
    作者:马努·拉朱,CNN
    发布时间:美国东部时间6月29日周一下午1:48


    “我们必须要有一个大帐篷”:这位民主党高层为何不担心民主社会主义者在初选中获胜

    内幕政治

    众议院监督委员会首席民主党众议员罗伯特·加西亚表示,应由选民来决定是否希望将民主社会主义者以民主党候选人身份送入国会。他表示,自己的工作是欢迎新的民主党议员加入,共同努力在11月夺回众议院多数席位。

    2:43 • 来源:CNN

    https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/29/politics/video/inside-politics-robert-garcia-democratic-socialist-primary-wins

    ‘We have to have a big tent”: Why this top Democrat says he’s not worried about primary wins by Democratic Socialists

    2026-06-29T17:48:10.784Z / CNN Politics

    Manu Raju
    By Manu Raju, CNN
    Published 1:48 PM EDT, Mon June 29, 2026

    “We have to have a big tent”: Why this top Democrat says he’s not worried about primary wins by Democratic Socialists

    Inside Politics

    Rep. Robert Garcia—the top Democrat on the key House Oversight Committee—says it is up to the voters to decide whether they want to send Democratic Socialists to Congress on the Democratic ticket. He says its his job to welcome new Democratic members and work together to win back the majority in November.

    2:43 • Source: CNN

    https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/29/politics/video/inside-politics-robert-garcia-democratic-socialist-primary-wins

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