作者: root

  • 共和党中期选举落败 与特朗普作对的外国领导人抛出大胆言论


    欧洲议会副主席克里斯特尔·沙尔德莫瑟表示,她“为欧洲持谨慎乐观态度”,选举后她如是说

    作者:爱尔兰·欧文斯 福克斯新闻

    发布时间:2026年11月4日 美国东部时间下午2:11

    中期选举后,民主党议程登上舞台中央

    首席国会记者查德·珀格拉姆做客《福克纳焦点》节目,讨论民主党横扫中期选举后的进步议程。

    共和党在中期选举中遭遇的惨败,得到了多位曾与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普针锋相对的外国领导人的积极回应。一些领导人表示希望,民主党获胜能让美国在全球重大问题上的政策发生转变。

    在周二举行的选举中,民主党赢得美国众议院和参议院多数席位,为明年1月国会权力的转移奠定了基础,也引发了欧洲、中东和非洲官员的反应。

    西班牙首相佩德罗·桑切斯在周三的X平台发文,直指特朗普的政策,称美国选民已拒绝总统的政治议程,并预测西班牙很快也会发生类似转变。

    “昨天,美国社会投票反对那些只会让人们更贫穷的政策,”桑切斯写道,“反对仇恨、反对性别歧视、反对否认气候变化、反对精英特权。”

    美国人已预见蓝潮来袭——但大幅低估了民主党海啸的规模
    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/voter-midterms-1.jpg

    加利福尼亚州贝克尔斯菲尔德,11月3日:选民在克恩县选举办公室投票。美国人在这场关乎重大的中期选举中前往投票站,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普第二任期剩余时间里,参众两院的控制权将在此决出。(马里奥·塔马/盖蒂图片社)

    桑切斯一直公开批评美国和以色列对伊朗的军事行动,今年3月指责华盛顿“拿着数百万人的性命玩俄罗斯轮盘赌”。他对战争的反对态度,以及与特朗普在北约防务开支问题上的分歧,导致马德里与华盛顿之间的关系紧张。

    “我们不会仅仅因为害怕某人的报复,就加入危害世界、违背我们价值观和利益的事情,”桑切斯说。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/pedro-sanchez-1.jpg

    西班牙首相佩德罗·桑切斯·佩雷斯-卡斯特洪于2025年6月24日在荷兰海牙参加北约峰会期间,应荷兰国王和王后邀请在豪斯·登·博世宫出席晚宴。(帕特里克·范·卡特维克/盖蒂图片社)

    “美国昨晚的结果令人震惊!我为欧洲持谨慎乐观态度,”欧洲议会副主席克里斯特尔·沙尔德莫瑟在周三的X平台发文称,“不是因为现在一切都会变得更好,而是因为这可能有利于对乌克兰的支持、绿色转型以及与世界其他地区的关系。”

    沙尔德莫瑟批评了特朗普在2025年1月对格陵兰岛的兴趣,同时建议欧洲人“在全球经济、数字政策和气候方面都要维护自身权益”。

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    英国新任首相安迪·伯纳姆在2026年7月20日伦敦唐宁街10号外发表就职演讲。(路透社/特米拉迪·阿德拉贾)

    据天空新闻报道,英国首相安迪·伯纳姆周三表示,选举结果为世界各国领导人提供了合作机会,以缓解生活成本压力并解决持续的中东冲突。

    “嗯,特朗普总统已经接受了选举结果,我觉得世界现在有机会围绕影响我们所有人的问题团结起来——那就是生活成本,”伯纳姆说,“这是我就任唐宁街三个月以来的核心问题,我们已经采取了一些措施,但除非解决了中东冲突,否则我无法降低人们的生活成本压力。”

    特朗普在7月曾表示,他与伯纳姆就贸易和安全问题进行了“非常好的”对话,尽管此后两国政府在约旦河西岸的以色列定居点活动上存在分歧。9月,英国宣布计划加强针对定居点的制裁,并禁止英国公司协助修建定居点,此举遭到美国驻以色列大使迈克·赫卡比的批评。

    由于伊朗战争导致能源价格飙升,美国人一直在努力应对高物价。美国的生活成本危机是今年中期选举中选民关注的主要问题。

    据《独立报》报道,伊朗议会议长穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫在周三的社交媒体发文称,美国选民“在生活成本问题上‘反对战争’”。

    “无论是良知还是生活成本,美国人都‘反对战争’,我们赞同这一信息,”加利巴夫说,“如果美国政府背叛公众意愿,为国际金主和勒索者服务,它将领教我们的‘反对’会带来怎样的梦魇。”

    点击此处下载福克斯新闻应用

    据共同社报道,日本内阁官房长官木原稔在周三的新闻发布会上强调,日美同盟“仍是日本外交和安全政策的基石,无论选举结果如何”。

    此外,据路透社报道,南非总统西里尔·拉马福萨周三对记者表示,他认为民主党在中期选举中的胜利将“开启世界关系的新时代”。

    2025年5月,特朗普在白宫与拉马福萨会面时播放了一段他声称表明南非白人农场遭受广泛暴力的视频。拉马福萨对特朗普的迫害指控提出异议,随后的事实核查发现部分视频被错误定性。

    特朗普在周二晚的Truth Social发文称,如果他的名字出现在2026年中期选举的选票上,共和党将“大获全胜!”

    尽管如此,特朗普还是祝贺民主党取得胜利,并表示愿意与即将上任的国会多数党合作,同时强调他将保留否决他反对的立法的权力。

    “他们会提出一些离谱的法案,我会否决它们,”特朗普周二晚告诉福克斯新闻的布雷特·拜尔,并称两党最终必须合作才能通过立法。

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407913822112

    GOP’s midterm defeat sparks bold claims from foreign leaders who’ve clashed with Trump

    European Parliament Vice President Christel Schaldemose said she feels ‘cautiously optimistic on Europe’s behalf’ after vote

    By Ireland Owens Fox News

    Published November 4, 2026 2:11pm EST

    Democrats’ agenda takes center stage after midterms

    Chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram joins ‘The Faulkner Focus’ to discuss the progressive agenda after Democrats sweep the midterms.

    The GOP’s sweeping midterm losses are drawing a positive response from several foreign leaders who have clashed with President Donald Trump, with some expressing hope that Democrats’ victories could lead to a shift in U.S. policy on major global issues.

    Democrats secured majorities in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate in Tuesday’s elections, setting the stage for a shift in congressional power in January and prompting reactions from officials in Europe, the Middle East and Africa.

    Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez took aim at Trump’s policies in a Wednesday X post, suggesting that American voters had rejected the president’s political agenda and predicting that a similar shift would soon take place in Spain.

    “Yesterday, American society voted against policies that only make people poorer,” Sánchez wrote. “Against hate. Against sexism. Against climate denial and against elite privilege.”

    AMERICA SAW THE BLUE WAVE COMING — BUT DRASTICALLY UNDERESTIMATED THE EXTENT OF THE DEM TSUNAMI

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    BAKERSFIELD, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 03: A voter marks their ballot in the Kern County Elections Office on November 03, 2026 in Bakersfield, California. Americans go to the polls in consequential midterm elections, where control of the House and the Senate is at stake for the remainder of President Donald Trump’s second term in office.(Mario Tama/Getty Images)

    Sánchez has been an outspoken critic of U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran, accusing Washington in March of “playing Russian roulette” with millions of lives. His opposition to the war and disputes with Trump over NATO defense spending have contributed to tensions between Madrid and Washington.

    “We are not going to be complicit in something that is bad for the world and is also contrary to our values and interests, just out of fear of reprisals from someone,” Sánchez said.

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    Prime Minister of Spain Pedro Sánchez Pérez-Castejón arrives at Huis ten Bosch Palace for a dinner hosted by the King and Queen of The Netherlands during the NATO Summit 2025 on June 24, 2025 in The Hague, Netherlands.(Patrick van Katwijk/Getty Images)

    “Wild result in the USA last night! I’m cautiously optimistic on Europe’s behalf,” European Parliament Vice President Christel Schaldemose wrote in a Wednesday X post. “Not because everything now changes for the better, but because it could benefit the support for Ukraine, the green transition, and relations with the rest of the world.”

    Schaldemose criticized Trump’s interest in Greenland in January 2025, also suggesting that Europeans should “stand up for ourselves both in terms of the economy the global economy but also in terms of digital policy and the climate.”

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    Britain’s newly appointed Prime Minister Andy Burnham delivers a speech outside 10 Downing Street after taking office, in London, Britain, July 20, 2026.(REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja)

    British Prime Minister Andy Burnham said Wednesday that the election results presented an opportunity for world leaders to work together to ease cost-of-living pressures and resolve the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, Sky News reported.

    “Well, President Trump has accepted the results, and I feel the world has an opportunity now to unite around the issue that is affecting us all – and that’s the cost-of-living,” Burnham said. “That has been the issue that I have put front and centre in my first three months in Downing Street, and we’ve made moves, but I can’t get people’s cost of living pressures down until the conflict in the Middle East is resolved.”

    Trump said in July that he had a “very good” conversation with Burnham about trade and security issues, although the two governments have since differed over Israeli settlement activity in the West Bank. In September, Britain announced plans to strengthen sanctions targeting settlements and prevent British companies from assisting settlement construction, drawing criticism from U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee.

    Americans have been grappling with higher costs as the war in Iran has caused energy prices to surge. The U.S. affordability crisis was a major issue for voters heading into this year’s midterms.

    Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad ‌Baqer Ghalibaf claimed in a Wednesday social media post that U.S. voters “said NO TO WAR” amid cost-of-living concerns.

    “Conscience or the cost of living, Americans said NO TO WAR, and we endorse this message,” Ghalibaf said, according to the Independent. “If the US govt betrays their public will to serve international paymasters and blackmailers, it will learn our NO comes with a Nightmare.”

    CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

    Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara emphasized during a Wednesday press conference that the Japan-U.S. alliance “remains the cornerstone of Japan’s foreign and security policy regardless of the outcome of the elections,” Kyodo News reported.

    Additionally, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa told reporters on Wednesday that he thinks the Democratic Party’s victory in the midterms will “introduce a new era in world relations,” Reuters reported.

    Trump confronted Ramaphosa during a May 2025 White House meeting, playing video footage that he claimed showed evidence of widespread violence against White South African farmers. Ramaphosa disputed Trump’s allegations of persecution, while subsequent fact-checks found that some of the footage had been mischaracterized.

    Trump claimed in a Tuesday night Truth Social post that if his name appeared on the ballot in the 2026 midterms the GOP would have “won IN A LANDSLIDE!”

    Trump nevertheless congratulated Democrats on their victories and expressed a willingness to work with the incoming congressional majorities, while emphasizing that he would retain the power to veto legislation he opposes.

    “They’ll send over things that are insane, and I’ll veto them,” Trump told Fox News’ Bret Baier on Tuesday night, adding that the two parties would eventually have to work together to get legislation passed.

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407913822112

  • 德桑蒂斯称共和党中期选举失利为“灭绝级事件”,并解释为何佛罗里达得以幸免


    即将卸任的佛罗里达州州长将本州塑造成得克萨斯、俄亥俄和佐治亚等州失利后共和党的亮眼亮点

    作者:查尔斯·克里茨 福克斯新闻

    发布时间:美国东部夏令时2026年11月4日下午2:10

    佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯周三公开抨击共和党在全国范围内的惨重失利,与此同时,分析人士认为他的激烈表态是否意在为自己竞选全国性职位造势。

    佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯周三警告称,共和党在毁灭性的选举失利后几乎已在全国范围内溃败。鉴于2028年其政治未来的猜测不断升温,他同时强调,佛罗里达州是全美10个人口最多的州中唯一仍由共和党掌控的据点。

    周二对共和党而言是极其糟糕的一晚:尽管共和党保住了西弗吉尼亚、深度红州怀俄明州和南达科他州的参议院席位,但特朗普运动在堪萨斯、得克萨斯等长期共和党据点遭遇重大挫折。

    “这对共和党而言近乎一场灭绝级事件……在联邦10个最大的州中,仅有佛罗里达州由共和党掌控,”德桑蒂斯在周三的新闻发布会上表示。他同时强调,在共和党最大州的版图中,佛罗里达是唯一的亮点。

    民主党在选举夜的局势转变中掌控多数州长职位

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/image.jpg视频

    民主党掌控参议院,蓝色浪潮深度冲击特朗普大本营并推翻共和党据点

    “我们取得了一系列政绩。我们已在众多选民中赢得信任,即便在你所能想象的最糟糕政治环境下,我们也能坚守立场,”德桑蒂斯补充道。

    福克斯新闻数字频道已联系德桑蒂斯寻求置评。

    总部位于奥兰多的政治策略师兼民调分析师道格·卡普兰告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,德桑蒂斯似乎正着眼于在全国舞台上长期立足。

    “我认为昨晚对德桑蒂斯而言是重要的一晚。若你关注共和党方的胜出者,那么我认为如果他要参加2028年总统大选,已找到了自己的赛道,”他表示。

    卡普兰将德桑蒂斯的这番表态形容为“开场攻势”,旨在与特朗普主导的共和党现状划清界限,尽管他也承认特朗普的“美国优先”运动在共和党初选中的选民中仍有持久影响力。

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    德桑蒂斯还强调了他在竞选周期中推动的佛罗里达核心议题“可负担性”。

    第3修正案在周二以约62%的支持率获得通过。该修正案计划到2028年将宅地税减免额度从5万美元提高至25万美元。

    “修正案被列入选票是佛罗里达得以避免其他红州命运的原因之一。它吸引了更多选民前往投票站,”德桑蒂斯说道,并强调共和党仍在这一议题上取得了决定性胜利。

    卡普兰预测,副总统JD·万斯和得克萨斯州共和党参议员泰德·克鲁兹可能也会效仿德桑蒂斯的做法。他指出,这两人所在的政党在他们的家乡州均遭遇重大失利,例如万斯此前担任的参议院席位已由民主党人谢罗德·布朗接手。

    德桑蒂斯提到了克鲁兹家乡州的失利,但并未提及这位参议员:“得克萨斯是本世纪最重要的共和党州。民主党人横扫全州公职——并可能掌控州议会——这将动摇现代共和党的支柱之一。这是一场巨大的失利,”德桑蒂斯表示,重申了他的核心观点:佛罗里达仍是10个人口最多的州中唯一由共和党人担任州长的州。

    美国已预见到蓝色浪潮的到来——但严重低估了民主党浪潮的规模

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    2026年8月26日,佛罗里达州迈阿密,佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯在佛罗里达国际大学出席新闻发布会,身旁是佛罗里达应急管理局局长贾里德·珀杜。(阿尔·迪亚兹/《迈阿密先驱报》/论坛新闻服务社 via 盖蒂图片社)

    他指出了令人震惊的意外失利,包括堪萨斯、得克萨斯、佐治亚、北卡罗来纳、南卡罗来纳,以及可能的密西西比——密西西比自20世纪80年代种族隔离派参议员约翰·斯滕尼斯最后一个任期以来,尚未选出过民主党人参议院议员。

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    “如果密西西比失守,民主党将获得56个参议院席位,”德桑蒂斯表示。在周二清晨,密西西比似乎成为最大意外,共和党人几乎未将这场竞选纳入雷达范围,现任参议员辛迪·海德-史密斯在与来自朗兹县的民主党州地区法官斯科特·科洛姆的竞选中,仅以约0.1%的差距落后,这一结果令外界震惊。

    迈阿密前市长、共和党人弗朗西斯·苏亚雷斯所在的城市如今由民主党人掌控,但该城市国会代表团仍保持着3比1的共和党优势。他将功劳归于德桑蒂斯帮助奠定了基础:

    “我们取得了很好的结果,对吧?而且我认为德桑蒂斯州长耗时四年建立的150万选民的注册优势,实际上是一道防火墙,阻止了佛罗里达重蹈得克萨斯或密歇根的覆辙,”苏亚雷斯周三在接受福克斯商业频道《晨间大财富》节目采访时表示。

    “共和党需要简化其宣传口径。他们需要像本次选举周期中的民主党人那样严守宣传纪律。然后他们必须找到像民主党人那样年轻、口齿伶俐、有吸引力的候选人。”

    在选举夜接受《直射手》主持人斯蒂芬·A·史密斯采访时,德桑蒂斯也提出类似观点:选民在部分公投事项上支持保守政策,同时拒绝了共和党候选人,这表明该党的议程与选民之间存在脱节。

    前参议院高级顾问兼政治策略师玛丽·马斯伦德告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,德桑蒂斯的做法符合任何成功州长在这种情况下会采取的行动。

    “他正在凭借亮眼政绩庆功。这并不意味着他要与特朗普或‘美国优先’运动划清界限。德桑蒂斯成功聚焦于州级层面的成果:减税、公共安全和选举胜利,同时强调佛罗里达作为可靠保守派据点的地位,”马斯伦德表示。

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    2026年10月23日,佛罗里达州迈尔斯堡,佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯在西南佛罗里达国际机场迎接抵达的唐纳德·特朗普总统。(路透社)

    点击此处下载福克斯新闻应用

    “如果华盛顿的国会议员也能做到同样的,我们在这次中期选举中就会看到截然不同的结果。在2028年到来之际,我们应该期待听到德桑蒂斯更多关于佛罗里达已证明的政绩及其施政方式的发言。”

    德桑蒂斯在2024年总统大选失利后将于明年1月卸任,对他而言,问题在于佛罗里达的成功是仅停留在州级层面的庆功,还是会成为他在2028年重启全国性政治角色的基础。

    作者在宾夕法尼亚州阿伦敦出生长大,自2013年起在福克斯新闻纽约和华盛顿分社工作。

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407906079112

    DeSantis calls GOP midterm losses ‘extinction level event’ — and explains why Florida survived

    Florida’s outgoing governor highlighted his state as a Republican bright spot after losses in Texas, Ohio and Georgia

    By Charles Creitz Fox News

    Published November 4, 2026 2:10pm EST

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis sounded off Wednesday on Republicans’ massive nationwide losses, while analysts consider whether his vocal responses are positioning him for a nationwide run.

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis warned Wednesday that Republicans have been nearly wiped out nationally after devastating election losses, while highlighting his state as the lone remaining GOP stronghold among the 10 most populous states as speculation builds about his political future in 2028.

    Tuesday was an otherwise brutal night for the GOP, as the Trump movement faces major questions amid setbacks in longtime Republican strongholds such as Kansas and Texas, while holding Senate seats in West Virginia and deep-red Wyoming and South Dakota.

    “This is close to an extinction level event for Republicans … out of the ten largest states in this union, only one state will have Republican control of their state, the state of Florida,” DeSantis said at a Wednesday news conference, where he also highlighted Florida as the lone bright spot on Republicans’ map of the nation’s largest states.

    DEMOCRATS SEIZE MAJORITY OF GOVERNORS’ OFFICES IN ELECTION-NIGHT SHIFT

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/image.jpgVideo

    DEMS SEIZE THE SENATE AS BLUE TIDAL WAVE CRASHES DEEP INTO TRUMP COUNTRY, TOPPLES GOP STRONGHOLDS

    “We’ve built up a record of achievement. We’ve earned trust from a number of our voters that even in the worst situation that you can imagine politically we were able to hold the line,” DeSantis added.

    Fox News Digital reached out to DeSantis for comment.

    Orlando-based political strategist and pollster Doug Kaplan told Fox News Digital that DeSantis appears to be eyeing a lasting role on the national stage.

    “I think last night was a big night for DeSantis. If you’re looking at winners on the Republican side, then I think he’s found his lane if he wants to run for president in 2028.,” he said.

    Kaplan characterized DeSantis’ comments as an “opening salvo” in an effort to distance himself from the Trump-led status quo in the Republican Party, though he acknowledged the staying power of Trump’s MAGA movement among GOP primary voters.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

    DeSantis also highlighted his own push for the election-cycle buzzword “affordability” in Florida.

    Amendment 3 passed with about 62% of the vote Tuesday. It increases homestead property tax exemptions from $50,000 to $250,000 by 2028.

    “The existence of Amendment 3 on the ballot is one of the reasons Florida averted the fate of other red states. It drew more voters to the polls,” DeSantis said, highlighting an issue on which Republicans still won decisively.

    Kaplan predicted Vice President JD Vance and Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, may also follow DeSantis’ tack. Both men saw their party take major losses in their home states, he noted, citing Vance’s former Senate seat going to Democrat Sherrod Brown.

    DeSantis highlighted losses in Cruz’s home state but did not reference the senator: “Texas has been the most significant Republican state this century. A Democrat sweep of statewide races — and possible capture of the legislature — takes away one of the anchors of the modern GOP. A huge loss,” DeSantis said, echoing his point that Florida remains the only one of the 10 most populous states with a Republican governor.

    AMERICA SAW THE BLUE WAVE COMING — BUT DRASTICALLY UNDERESTIMATED THE EXTENT OF THE DEM TSUNAMI

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/ron-desantis-flock-cameras-fox-news.png

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks during a press conference at Florida International University alongside Jared Purdue, head of the Florida Division of Emergency Management, on Aug. 26, 2026, in Miami, Fla.(Al Diaz/Miami Herald/Tribune News Service via Getty Images)

    He pointed to stunning upsets that included Kansas, Texas, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina and potentially Mississippi — which hasn’t elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate since Segregationist Sen. John Stennis’ last term in the 1980s.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

    “If Mississippi goes down, that will give Dems 56 Senate seats,” DeSantis said, as the Magnolia State emerged as perhaps the biggest surprise of the morning, with Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith trailing Scott Colom, a Democratic state district judge from Lowndes County, by about one-tenth of 1% in a race most Republicans didn’t even have on their radar.

    Former Miami Mayor Francis Suarez, a Republican whose now-Democrat-run city maintained a 3-1 Republican advantage in its congressional delegation, credited DeSantis with helping set the stage:

    “We had a great outcome, right? And I think the 1.5 million-vote registration advantage that Governor DeSantis took four years to build was actually the firewall that prevented Florida from going down the same path as Texas or Michigan,” Suarez told Fox Business’ “Big Money in the Morning” on Wednesday.

    “Republicans need to simplify their message. They need to be message discipline like Democrats were in this cycle. And then they got to find young, articulate, attractive candidates like the Democrats have found.”

    Speaking with “Straight Shooter” host Stephen A. Smith on Election Night, DeSantis similarly argued that voters supported conservative policies on some ballot measures while rejecting Republican candidates, suggesting a disconnect between the party’s agenda and its appeal to voters.

    Former senior Senate advisor and political strategist Mary Marslender told Fox News Digital that DeSantis is doing what any successful governor would in this scenario.

    “He’s taking a victory lap on a winning record. That doesn’t means he’s distancing himself from Trump or the MAGA movement. DeSantis successfully focused on state-level results: tax relief, public safety, and electoral success all while underscoring Florida’s position as a reliable conservative stronghold,” Marslender said.

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    SIGN UP TO GET THE POLITICS NEWSLETTER

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/ron-desantis-trump-fort-myers.jpg

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks with President Donald Trump as he arrives at Southwest Florida International Airport in Fort Myers, Fla., on Oct. 23, 2026.(Reuters)

    CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

    “If congressional members in Washington could have done the same, we would have seen a very different outcome these midterms. We should expect to hear more from DeSantis on Florida’s proven results and his approach to governance in the run up to 2028.”

    For DeSantis, who will leave office in January after his unsuccessful 2024 presidential bid, the question is whether Florida’s success will remain a state-level victory lap or become the foundation for a renewed national political role ahead of 2028.

    Born and raised in Allentown, Pennsylvania, worked in both the New York and Washington bureaus for Fox News since 2013.

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407906079112

  • 福克斯新闻选民民调:2026年中期选举迎来蓝色浪潮,民主党重掌国会


    2026-11-04T12:10:00-05:00 / 福克斯新闻

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407895132112

    民调专家贾斯汀·沃林做客《福克斯与朋友们》栏目,分析民主党拿下参众两院的中期选举重大结果。沃林解析了关键竞选,包括詹姆斯·塔拉里科在得克萨斯州参议院对决中击败肯·帕克斯顿。

    在一场历史性中期选举中,民主党凭借广泛的选民不满情绪掀起蓝色浪潮,横扫参众两院。经济、政府腐败、伊朗战争,以及对唐纳德·特朗普总统工作表现日益负面的评价,共同构成了民主党在共和党票仓州拿下参议院席位的完美风暴。

    截至发稿时,民主党在参议院拥有54席多数,在众议院已确保228席。阿拉斯加州势均力敌的参议院竞选目前仍胜负难分。

    福克斯新闻选民民调于2026年10月19日至11月3日对全国超过10万名登记选民展开调查,结合线上、电话访谈及选举日选民的实地调查。

    继2024年选举中出现明显右转后,今年的中期选举标志着重回左翼。选民仍按社区类型、性别和教育程度分化,这一模式在近年选举中已司空见惯。郊区和城市选民、女性及西班牙裔选民支持民主党,而农村选民、男性和未拥有大学学历的选民则偏向共和党。

    事态进展:蓝色浪潮将民主党推掌权位,关键竞选仍胜负未分

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-democratic-strengths.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示了民主党票仓的人口统计特征。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-republican-strengths.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示了共和党票仓的人口统计特征。(福克斯新闻)

    曾助力特朗普在2024年获胜的群体——包括农村、西班牙裔、年轻及独立选民——坚定转向民主党。

    民主党在惊人蓝色海啸中夺取众议院控制权,誓言对特朗普政府展开清算

    特朗普胜选的关键群体农村选民,2024年以28个百分点支持特朗普。这一优势下滑10个百分点,共和党众议院候选人仅以18个百分点领先。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-rural-voters.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示农村选民在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    共和党在农村女性选民中的表现不及预期。特朗普2024年以21个百分点赢得该群体支持,今年共和党众议院候选人仅以8个百分点领先,降幅达13个百分点。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-rural-women.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示农村女性在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    与此同时,郊区女性坚定转向民主党。哈里斯以14个百分点优势赢得该群体支持,她们以24个百分点的差距支持民主党众议院候选人。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-suburban-women.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示郊区女性在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    这一转变超越了社区界限。两年前出人意料地支持特朗普的西班牙裔选民,在支持哈里斯仅以12个百分点优势后,本轮以27个百分点支持民主党众议院候选人。这主要由西班牙裔男性推动,他们2024年仅以2个百分点的微弱优势支持哈里斯,本轮则以15个百分点支持民主党。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-hispanic-voters.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示西班牙裔选民的投票模式。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-hispanic-men.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示西班牙裔男性在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    年轻选民也呈现类似模式。30岁以下群体通常被视为可靠的民主党派票仓,但他们违背传统认知,2024年仅以4个百分点的微弱优势支持哈里斯。如今,他们支持民主党众议院候选人的比例几乎是共和党三倍。

    “做好准备:共和党中期选举遭遇惨重失败之际,民主党立即向特朗普发出警告”

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-young-voters.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示30岁以下选民在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    年轻男性的政党偏好完全逆转,从以15个百分点支持特朗普,转变为以33个百分点支持民主党众议院候选人,波动幅度达48个百分点。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-young-male-voters.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示年轻男性在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    支持本党众议院候选人的民主党人略多于共和党人。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-democratic-voters.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示民主党人在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-republican-voters.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示共和党人在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    虽然右翼出现少量叛逃者,但更大的转变来自中间派。独立选民以22个百分点支持民主党候选人,较2024年上升16个百分点,当时他们仅以6个百分点支持哈里斯。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-independent-voters.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示独立选民在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    在共和党内部,支持特朗普 MAGA 阵营与非 MAGA 阵营的分歧进一步扩大。略超半数的共和党人(54%)自认为属于 MAGA 阵营,他们几乎一致支持共和党候选人(支持率99%)。非 MAGA 共和党人留在本党的比例较低(85%)。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-maga-republican-votes.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示 MAGA 与非 MAGA 共和党人在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    除了人口结构转变,本次选举周期还以选民悲观情绪、经济不满和对共和党品牌的幻灭为特征。

    选民投票时对国家前景持悲观态度。四分之三的人表示对局势感到不满或愤怒,仅四分之一的人感到满意或热情。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-feel-about-us.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示美国人对国家发展方向的看法。(福克斯新闻)

    愤怒情绪沿党派界限划分:60%以上的民主党人对局势感到愤怒,而共和党人仅占10%,独立选民占三分之一以上。这与2022年中期选举形成反转,当时约半数共和党人愤怒,而民主党人占15%,独立选民占27%。

    对现状的不满延伸至未来。半数选民认为下一代的生活会比今天更糟,是认为会更好的两倍。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-next-generation.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对美国下一代的期望。(福克斯新闻)

    选民将不满情绪投射到总统身上。特朗普的工作支持率为38%-62%,净支持率为-24,反对情绪强烈。超过一半的人强烈反对他的工作表现,是强烈支持人数的两倍。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-job-performance-approval.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对唐纳德·特朗普总统工作表现的评价。(福克斯新闻)

    八年前,在他第一任期的中期,他的工作支持率为44%-56%,净支持率仅为-12。

    即便特朗普不在选票上,他仍是许多美国人的关注点。更多选民称他们投票给众议院候选人是为了表达对他的反对,而非支持他,比例接近3:1。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-job-reason-house-vote.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示唐纳德·特朗普总统对选民众议院选举决定的影响。(福克斯新闻)

    这种反对部分源于认为特朗普不理解选民的处境。更多选民表示特朗普优先考虑自身利益而非国家利益。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-interests.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民是否认为唐纳德·特朗普总统优先考虑自身或国家利益。(福克斯新闻)

    选民对他的个人特质评价也很低。60%以上的人表示他缺乏正确的优先事项,不为像他们一样的人奋斗。近半数人认为他不是强领导人,缺乏有效履职的心智能力。

    总统的声望也拖累了他所在的政党。在赢得华盛顿全面控制权两年后,共和党支持率为负值,净支持率-18,较2024年的-3下滑15个百分点。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-opinion-republican-party.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对共和党的看法。(福克斯新闻)

    民主党也不受欢迎,但其净支持率基本保持稳定,从-7变为-6。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-opinion-democratic-party.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对民主党的看法。(福克斯新闻)

    两党选民的忠诚度大致相当:几乎所有共和党人和民主党人都对本党持好感。独立选民对民主党更为支持,42%的人对民主党持好感,而对共和党的好感率仅为其一半左右。

    对政党的看法也与对其领导人的看法一致。民主党人几乎一致反对特朗普,而约80%的共和党人支持他。约70%的独立选民对总统持负面看法。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-job-performance-democrats.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示民主党人对唐纳德·特朗普总统工作表现的支持率。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-job-performance-republicans.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示共和党人对唐纳德·特朗普总统工作表现的支持率。(福克斯新闻)

    两年前,选民给了共和党降低物价的机会。今年,他们称关税、通胀和伊朗战争推高了成本,利用这次选举呼吁变革。

    通胀影响对大多数人来说无可回避,其中五分之一的人称困难程度严重。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-inflation-family-effects.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示通胀对美国家庭的影响。(福克斯新闻)

    四分之三的人对经济持负面看法,与特朗普第一任期的这一时期形成鲜明反转,当时正面评价以2:1超过负面评价(2018年福克斯新闻选民分析调查显示为66%正面、34%负面)。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-view-nations-economy.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对美国经济的评估。(福克斯新闻)

    几乎70%对经济持负面看法的选民投票给民主党。在对经济前景持乐观态度的选民中,共和党更受青睐。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-negative-view-economy.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示对经济持负面看法的选民在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-positive-view-economy.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示对经济持正面看法的选民在众议院选举中的投票情况。(福克斯新闻)

    在家庭预算中,对物价的担忧在各品类间差异不大。汽油和柴油成本位居首位,这一担忧与伊朗战争及其对燃料价格的影响相关。医疗保健和食品紧随其后,多数人非常关心水电费。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-gas-prices.jpgnext 福克斯新闻选民民调揭示美国人对家庭开支上涨的担忧。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-healthcare.jpgprev next 福克斯新闻选民民调揭示美国人对家庭开支上涨的担忧。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-food-prices.jpgprev next 福克斯新闻选民民调揭示美国人对家庭开支上涨的担忧。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-utility-costs.jpgprev 福克斯新闻选民民调揭示美国人对家庭开支上涨的担忧。(福克斯新闻)

    选民对伊朗的看法与燃料成本密切相关。总体而言,约60%的人认为美国采取军事行动是错误的决定,他们支持民主党众议院候选人。几乎所有认为这一决定正确的选民都支持共和党。

    在福克斯新闻与芝加哥大学NORC联合开展的独家调查中,选民被问及伊朗战争的各项优先事项。这项对约3000名登记选民的调查于11月1日至3日通过电话和线上方式,采用NORC基于概率的AmeriSpeak面板完成。

    三分之二以上的人表示,避免伊朗冲突长期化非常重要,而半数人认为阻止伊朗发展核武器同样重要。

    最终,汽油价格优先于安全威胁。当被问及选择时,近两倍的选民更倾向于结束军事介入以降低汽油价格,而非重启军事行动阻止核武器发展。

    80%以上的民主党人支持结束冲突以降低汽油价格,约60%的独立选民也持相同立场。同样比例的共和党人(60%)支持重启军事行动。尽管如此,仍有略超半数的共和党人认为避免该地区冲突长期化非常重要,民主党和独立选民的多数也持这一看法。

    当谈及异常高的物价时,选民更倾向于将其归咎于特朗普的政策,而非他无法控制的因素。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-higher-price-reason.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民是否将物价上涨归咎于唐纳德·特朗普总统的政策。(福克斯新闻)

    多数人表示,他的政策使美国状况恶化,较少人认为这些政策改善了状况。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-economic-policies.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何看待唐纳德·特朗普总统的政策对经济的影响。(福克斯新闻)

    关税是指责的核心。约三分之二的人认为特朗普的关税损害了国家经济,近同样比例的人认为它们损害了本地区的经济。约20%的人认为关税帮助了国家经济,更少人认为它们对当地经济有帮助。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-tariffs-national-impact.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何看待唐纳德·特朗普总统的关税对国家经济的影响。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-tariffs-local-impact.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何看待唐纳德·特朗普总统的关税对当地经济的影响。(福克斯新闻)

    在家庭应对高物价的同时,选民认为特朗普更关注自身利益而非他所服务的民众。这种不满延伸至经济体系本身:近70%的人认为该体系有利于富人。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-us-economic-fairness.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民是否认为美国经济体系有利于富人。(福克斯新闻)

    然而,这种怀疑与对资本主义的支持并存。超过一半的选民对资本主义持好感,远多于三分之一对社会主义持好感的选民。选民喜欢这个体系的理念,但怀疑它如何为他们运作。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/ELEC26_16X9_FNVP_STKMSTR_NAT_Opinion_Of_Capitalism.png

    福克斯新闻选民民调发现,32%的登记选民对资本主义持负面看法,57%持正面看法。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/ELEC26_16X9_FNVP_STKMSTR_NAT_Opinion_Of_Socialism.png

    福克斯新闻选民民调发现,54%的登记选民对社会主义持负面看法,33%持正面看法。(福克斯新闻)

    政府腐败和生活成本是投票的两大主要驱动因素,各约一半的人认为其至关重要。移民和伊朗战争紧随其后,超过三分之一的人认为它们至关重要,人工智能和数据中心则更靠后。将腐败、成本、伊朗和人工智能视为投票关键的选民倾向于民主党,而关注移民的选民则支持共和党。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-crucial-factor-to-vote.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民认为哪些问题对其众议院选举决定至关重要。(福克斯新闻)

    对成本和腐败的不满反映在选民对国家状况的看法中。经济是国家面临的首要问题,略领先于民主状况。移民位列第三,其后是医疗保健、外交政策和犯罪。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-most-important-issue.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民认为国家最重要的问题是什么。(福克斯新闻)

    民主议题的突出性主要来自民主党,他们将民主状况列为首要问题(48%),领先于经济(36%)。独立选民将经济置于首位(39%),紧随其后的是民主(34%)。共和党人将民主排在第三位(16%),落后于经济(41%)和移民(27%)。

    将民主和经济列为首要问题的选民支持民主党众议院候选人,而将移民列为优先事项的选民则支持共和党。

    在八个测试的议题中,民主党在六个议题上更受青睐,尽管优势通常不大。他们最大的优势在医疗保健,其次是跨性别政策。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-healthcare.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理医疗保健问题。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-transgender-issues.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理跨性别政策问题。(福克斯新闻)

    在选民认为国家面临最重要的议题——经济上,民主党领先6个百分点,与他们在外交政策上的优势(5个百分点)相似。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-economy.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理经济问题。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-foreign-policy.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理外交政策问题。(福克斯新闻)

    在政府腐败问题上,选民微弱支持民主党,但三分之一的人不信任任何政党处理这个国家面临的首要议题之一。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-government-corruption.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理政府腐败问题。(福克斯新闻)

    共和党仅在移民问题上领先,优势为3个百分点。两党在税收上势均力敌,在人工智能上差距在2个百分点以内。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-immigration.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理移民问题。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-taxes.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理税收问题。(福克斯新闻)

    在医疗保健方面,对成本的担忧十分普遍,这些选民支持民主党众议院候选人。近半数人赞成联邦在帮助美国人获得医疗服务方面发挥更大作用。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-government-role-healthcare.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何看待联邦政府在帮助美国人获得医疗服务方面的角色。(福克斯新闻)

    因此,他们对特朗普政府在这一问题上的评价不佳,多数人认为其政策使他们获得所需护理变得更难,增加了自身成本。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-healthcare-policies.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何看待特朗普政府的政策对医疗保健成本的影响。(福克斯新闻)

    在人工智能问题上,选民对这个新政治议题持谨慎态度。多数人认为它会更多伤害社会,民主党、共和党和独立选民均达成这一共识,而四分之一的人认为它会更多帮助社会。在党派中,共和党人最可能认为人工智能对社会有积极影响,比例为33%。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-society-artificial-intelligence.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民是否认为人工智能会帮助或伤害社会。(福克斯新闻)

    目前,两党在这一问题上均无明显优势:选择 neither(任一)的选民比例最高,认为任一政党更擅长处理该议题,两党差距在2个百分点以内,民主党略微领先。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-artificial-intelligence.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理人工智能问题。(福克斯新闻)

    数据中心建设得出了类似结论。四分之三的选民反对在其社区新建数据中心。反对者以28个百分点支持民主党众议院候选人,而支持者以45个百分点支持共和党。

    在农村选民中,数据中心已成为决定性议题。他们也以3:1的比例反对在其社区建设数据中心。

    在移民问题上,共和党更受青睐处理该议题,但选民对执法过度发出了裁决。多数人认为特朗普政府的行动过于极端,其余人在“差不多”和“不够”之间划分。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-immigration-policies.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何评估特朗普政府的移民执法政策。(福克斯新闻)

    移民和海关执法局(ICE)的评价大多负面,多数选民不赞成其工作表现。多数选民对移民持好感,称他们更多帮助国家而非伤害。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-ice-job-performance.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对移民和海关执法局(ICE)工作表现的评价。(福克斯新闻)

    对机构本身的评价也很低。国会获得约四分之一的认可,最高法院获得约40%的认可。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-congress-job-performance.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对国会工作表现的评价。(福克斯新闻)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-scotus-job-performance.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对最高法院工作表现的评价。(福克斯新闻)

    选民希望国会更强。多数人认为国会在对总统进行制衡方面做得不够,这些选民以49个百分点支持民主党众议院候选人。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-checks-balances.jpg

    福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民是否认为国会在对总统进行制衡方面做得足够。(福克斯新闻)

    福克斯新闻选民民调由SSRS开展,对全国超过10万名登记选民进行调查。调查于2026年10月19日至11月3日进行,在选举日投票结束时完成。民调结合了线上和电话收集的登记选民数据,以及在全国各投票站选举日实地收集的数据。最后一步,通过根据全国选民构成调整投票方式(缺席、提前现场投票和选举日)的比例,将预选举调查受访者和选举日出口民调受访者相结合。计票完成后,调查结果也会加权以匹配全国选举结果。全国所有受访登记选民的抽样误差边际估计为正负0.5个百分点,含设计效应。子群体的误差边际更大。完整方法论细节可在此处查看。

    福克斯新闻/NORC AmeriSpeak研究是芝加哥大学NORC开展的全国登记选民调查。调查于2026年11月1日至3日进行,在选举日投票结束时完成。民调基于从NORC基于概率的AmeriSpeak面板中抽取的约3000名登记选民的随机样本,通过线上和电话以英语和西班牙语进行访谈。调查权重根据人口统计和地理特征,以及包括党派在内的选民特定信息进行调整,计票完成后,结果会按全国众议院普选票加权。全国受访的3464名登记选民的抽样误差边际估计为正负2.5个百分点,含设计效应。子群体的误差边际更大。

    作为民调部门负责人,达娜·布伦坦负责运营福克斯新闻民调,并监督福克斯新闻选民分析选举调查。

    Fox News Voter Poll: 2026 midterm elections usher in a blue wave as Democrats win control of Congress

    2026-11-04T12:10:00-05:00 / Fox News

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407895132112

    Pollster Justin Wallin joins ‘Fox & Friends First’ to analyze the significant midterm election results as Democrats take control of the House and Senate. Wallin breaks down key races, including James Talarico defeating Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate showdown.

    In a historic midterm election, Democrats swept both the House and Senate, riding a blue wave spurred by widespread voter discontent. The economy, government corruption, war in Iran and increasingly negative views of President Donald Trump’s job performance created a perfect storm for Democrats to flip Senate seats in Republican stronghold states.

    At the time of publication, Democrats held a 54-seat majority in the Senate and have secured 228 seats in the House. The toss-up Senate race in Alaska remains too close to call at this time.

    The Fox News Voter Poll surveyed more than 100,000 registered voters nationwide from Oct. 19 to Nov. 3, 2026, combining online and telephone interviews with in-person surveys of Election Day voters.

    After the strong rightward shifts in the 2024 election, this year’s midterms marked a turn back to the left. The electorate remained divided by community type, gender and education, a pattern that has become commonplace in recent elections. Suburban and urban voters, women and Hispanics sided with Democrats, while rural voters, men and voters without a college degree favored Republicans.

    STATE OF PLAY: BLUE WAVE SWEEPS DEMOCRATS INTO POWER, WITH KEY RACES STILL HANGING IN BALANCE

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-democratic-strengths.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into the demographic behind Democratic votes.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-republican-strengths.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into the demographic behind Republican votes.(Fox News)

    Groups that helped power Trump’s 2024 win — namely rural, Hispanic, young and independent voters — moved decidedly toward Democrats.

    DEMOCRAT SEIZE HOUSE CONTROL IN STUNNING BLUE TSUNAMI, VOW RETRIBUTION AGAINST TRUMP ADMIN

    A pivotal group in his win, rural voters backed Trump by 28 points in 2024. That advantage dropped by 10 points, to just 18 points in favor of Republican House candidates.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-rural-voters.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how rural voters cast their ballots in the House elections.(Fox News)

    Republicans underperformed among rural women. After Trump carried them by 21 points in 2024, Republican House candidates led among them by 8 points this year, a 13-point decline.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-rural-women.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how rural women voted in the House elections.(Fox News)

    At the same time, suburban women marched firmly toward Democrats. Harris won them by a 14-point margin, and they broke for Democratic House candidates by 24 points.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-suburban-women.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how suburban women voted in the House elections.(Fox News)

    That shift extended beyond community divides. Hispanic voters, who showed surprising support for Trump two years ago, backed Democratic House candidates by 27 points, after breaking for Harris by just 12 points. This was driven largely by Hispanic men, who after narrowly voting for Harris by 2 points in 2024, sided with the Democrats by 15 points.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-hispanic-voters.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into voting patterns among Hispanic voters.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-hispanic-men.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how Hispanic men voted in the House elections.(Fox News)

    Young voters also followed a similar pattern. Often considered a reliable Democratic voting bloc, those under age 30 defied conventional wisdom and narrowly backed Harris by 4 points in 2024. Now, they backed Democratic House candidates by nearly 3-to-1.

    ‘LAWYER UP’: DEMS IMMEDIATELY PUT TRUMP ON NOTICE AMID REPUBLICANS’ MIDTERM BLOODBATH

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-young-voters.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters under age 30 cast their ballots.(Fox News)

    Young men made a complete reversal in their party preference, going from a 15-point margin for Trump to a 33-point margin for the Democratic House candidates, a 48-point swing.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-young-male-voters.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how young men voted in the House elections.(Fox News)

    Slightly more Democrats than Republicans backed their party’s House candidates.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-democratic-voters.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how Democrats voted in the House elections.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-republican-voters.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how Republicans voted in the House elections.(Fox News)

    While there was a small amount of defections on the right, the bigger move came from the middle. Independents backed Democratic candidates by 22 points, a 16-point shift from 2024, when they backed Harris by just 6 points.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-independent-voters.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how independent voters cast their ballots in the House elections.(Fox News)

    Within the Republican Party, the divide between MAGA and non-MAGA Republicans widened. A narrow majority of Republicans (54%) considered themselves MAGA, and they voted almost unanimously for Republican candidates (99%). Fewer non-MAGA Republicans stayed with their party (85%).

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-maga-republican-votes.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how MAGA and non-MAGA Republicans voted in the House elections.(Fox News)

    Beyond the demographic shifts, this was an election cycle marked by voter pessimism, economic frustration and disillusionment with the Republican brand.

    Voters cast their ballots with a bleak view of the country in their minds. Three-quarters said they felt dissatisfied or angry about how things were going, while just a quarter were satisfied or enthusiastic.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-feel-about-us.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how Americans feel about the direction of the country.(Fox News)

    The anger divides along partisan lines: more than 6 in 10 Democrats were angry with how things were going, compared with 1 in 10 Republicans and more than a third of independents. This is a reversal from the 2022 midterms, when roughly half of Republicans were angry, compared with 15% of Democrats and 27% of independents.

    Frustration with the present extended into the future. Half said they expected life for the next generation to be worse than life today, twice the share who expected it to be better.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-next-generation.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into voters’ expectations for the next generation of Americans.(Fox News)

    Voters took those frustrations out on the president. Trump’s job approval stood at 38%-62%, a net rating of -24, and that disapproval was intense. More than half strongly disapproved of his job performance, double the number who strongly approved.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-job-performance-approval.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters rate President Donald Trump’s job performance.(Fox News)

    Eight years ago, at the midterm point in his first term, his job approval rating was a stronger 44%-56%, a net rating of just -12.

    Even without Trump on the ballot, he was on the minds of many Americans. More said they cast their House vote to express opposition to him than to support him, nearly a 3-to-1 margin.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-job-reason-house-vote.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how President Donald Trump influenced voters’ House election decisions.(Fox News)

    Part of that opposition came from a sense that Trump did not understand what voters were going through. More voters said Trump prioritized his own personal interests than the country’s.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-interests.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals whether voters believe President Donald Trump prioritizes his own interests or those of the country.(Fox News)

    They also gave him low marks on personal traits. More than 6 in 10 said he lacked the right priorities and did not fight for people like them. Narrow majorities said he was not a strong leader and lacked the mental capability to serve effectively.

    The president’s standing was also a drag on his party. Two years after winning unified control of Washington, the Republican Party was -18 points underwater, a -15-point slide from its net rating of -3 in 2024.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-opinion-republican-party.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters view the Republican Party.(Fox News)

    The Democratic Party was unpopular as well, but its net rating held nearly steady, from -7 to -6.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-opinion-democratic-party.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters view the Democratic Party.(Fox News)

    Each party’s voters were about equally loyal: nearly all Republicans and Democrats viewed their own party favorably. Independents were more favorable toward the Democrats, with 42% viewing the Democratic Party favorably, while they rated the Republican Party negatively by about 2-to-1.

    Views of the party also tracked the views of its leader. Democrats were nearly unanimous in their disapproval of Trump, while about 8 in 10 Republicans approved. Roughly 7 in 10 independents viewed the president unfavorably.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-job-performance-democrats.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into President Donald Trump’s job approval among Democrats.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-job-performance-republicans.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into President Donald Trump’s job approval among Republicans.(Fox News)

    Two years ago, voters gave the Republicans a chance to bring prices down. This year, they said tariffs, inflation and a war in Iran pushed costs higher, and they used this election to call for change.

    The effects of inflation were inescapable for the majority, including 1 in 5 who called that hardship severe.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-inflation-family-effects.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how inflation has affected American families.(Fox News)

    Three-quarters rated the economy negatively, a stark reversal from this point in Trump’s first term, when positive ratings outnumbered negative ones by 2-to-1, as shown in the 2018 Fox News Voter Analysis survey (66% positive, 34% negative).

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-view-nations-economy.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into voters’ assessments of the U.S. economy.(Fox News)

    Almost 7 in 10 of voters who gave the economy a negative rating voted for the Democrats. Among those with a positive economic outlook, Republicans were favored.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-negative-view-economy.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters with a negative view of the economy voted in the House elections.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-positive-view-economy.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters with a positive view of the economy voted in the House elections.(Fox News)

    Within the household budget, concerns about prices varied little across categories. The cost of gas and diesel was at the top, a worry that followed the Iran war and its effect on fuel prices. Healthcare and groceries were right behind, and a majority were very concerned about utilities.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-gas-prices.jpgnext The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into Americans’ concerns about rising household expenses.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-healthcare.jpgprev next The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into Americans’ concerns about rising household expenses.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-food-prices.jpgprev next The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into Americans’ concerns about rising household expenses.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-utility-costs.jpgprev The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into Americans’ concerns about rising household expenses.(Fox News)

    Voters’ views on Iran were closely linked to fuel costs. In general, about 6 in 10 believed the U.S. made the wrong decision in taking military action, and they backed the Democratic House candidate. Nearly all voters who called it the right decision supported Republicans.

    In an exclusive survey by Fox News and NORC at the University of Chicago, voters were asked about various priorities regarding the Iran war. The survey of approximately 3,000 registered voters was conducted Nov. 1–3 by phone and online using NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak panel.

    More than two-thirds said it was very important to avoid a prolonged conflict in Iran, while half said the same about stopping Iran from developing nuclear weapons.

    Ultimately, gas prices took priority over security threats. When asked to choose, nearly twice as many voters preferred ending military involvement to bring down gas prices as preferred restarting military action to stop nuclear weapons development.

    More than 8 in 10 Democrats favored ending the conflict to bring down gas prices, as did around 6 in 10 independents. The same share of Republicans, 6 in 10, favored restarting military action. Still, just over half of Republicans saw it as very important to avoid a prolonged conflict in the region, as did a majority of Democrats and independents.

    When it comes to higher-than-usual prices, voters were considerably more likely to point to Trump’s policies than to factors outside his control.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-higher-price-reason.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals whether voters blame President Donald Trump’s policies for higher prices.(Fox News)

    A majority said his policies had made conditions in the U.S. worse, while fewer said they improved conditions.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-economic-policies.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters believe President Donald Trump’s policies have affected the economy.(Fox News)

    Tariffs were a central piece of that blame. About two-thirds said Trump’s tariffs hurt the national economy and nearly as many said they hurt the economy in their own area. About 2 in 10 said tariffs helped the national economy, and even fewer said they helped locally.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-tariffs-national-impact.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters believe President Donald Trump’s tariffs have affected the national economy.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-tariffs-local-impact.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters believe President Donald Trump’s tariffs have affected their local economies.(Fox News)

    While families wrestled with high prices, voters felt Trump was more focused on his own interests than the people he serves. That frustration extended to the economic system itself: nearly 7 in 10 said it favored the wealthy.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-us-economic-fairness.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals whether voters believe the U.S. economic system favors the wealthy.(Fox News)

    Yet that skepticism coexisted with support for capitalism. More than half of voters viewed capitalism favorably, far more than the third who viewed socialism favorably. Voters liked the idea of the system but doubted how it worked for them.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/ELEC26_16X9_FNVP_STKMSTR_NAT_Opinion_Of_Capitalism.png

    The Fox News Voter Poll found that 32% of registered voters had an unfavorable view of capitalism, while 57% had a favorable view.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/ELEC26_16X9_FNVP_STKMSTR_NAT_Opinion_Of_Socialism.png

    The Fox News Voter Poll found that 54% of registered voters had an unfavorable view of socialism, while 33% had a favorable view.(Fox News)

    Government corruption and the cost of living were the two main drivers of the vote, with roughly half calling each crucial. Immigration and the Iran war followed closely, each crucial for more than a third, with AI and data centers further back. Democrats were the favored party among voters who said corruption, costs, Iran and AI were crucial to their vote, while Republicans held their edge with voters focused on immigration.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-crucial-factor-to-vote.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals which issues voters considered crucial to their House election decisions.(Fox News)

    Frustration with costs and corruption was reflected in how voters saw the state of the country. The economy topped the list of issues facing the country, narrowly ahead of the state of democracy. Immigration came in a distant third, followed by healthcare, foreign policy and crime.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-most-important-issue.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into which issues voters consider most important to the country.(Fox News)

    The prominence of democracy came mainly from Democrats, who named the state of democracy as their top issue (48%), ahead of the economy (36%). Independents put the economy first (39%), with democracy close behind (34%). Republicans ranked democracy third (16%), behind the economy (41%) and immigration (27%).

    Voters who named democracy and the economy as their top issue backed Democratic House candidates, while voters who prioritized immigration backed Republicans.

    Democrats also held an advantage when it came to which party would do a better job handling six of the eight issues tested, though often by modest margins. Their largest edge was on healthcare, followed by transgender policies.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-healthcare.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals which political party voters trust more to handle healthcare.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-transgender-issues.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into which political party voters trust more to handle transgender policies.(Fox News)

    On the economy — the issue voters saw as the most important facing the country — Democrats led by 6 points, similar to their margins on foreign policy (+5).

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-economy.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals which political party voters trust more to handle the economy.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-foreign-policy.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into which political party voters trust more to handle foreign policy.(Fox News)

    On government corruption, voters narrowly favored Democrats, but a third did not trust either party to handle one of the top issues facing the country.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-government-corruption.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals which political party voters trust more to address government corruption.(Fox News)

    Republicans led only on immigration, with a 3-point lead. The parties ran even on taxes and finished within two points of each other on AI.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-immigration.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into which political party voters trust more to handle immigration.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-taxes.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals which political party voters trust more to handle taxes.(Fox News)

    On healthcare, concern about costs was widespread, and those voters backed the Democratic House candidates. A clear majority favored a bigger federal role in helping Americans get care.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-government-role-healthcare.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters view the federal government’s role in helping Americans access healthcare.(Fox News)

    Consequently, they gave the Trump administration poor marks on the issue, with majorities saying its policies made it harder to get the care they needed and made their own costs worse.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-trump-healthcare-policies.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters believe Trump administration policies have affected healthcare costs.(Fox News)

    On AI, voters approached this new political issue with wariness. A majority said it would do more to hurt society, a consensus reached by Democrats, Republicans and independents alike, while a quarter said it would do more to help. Among partisans, Republicans were the most likely to say AI would have a positive impact on society, at 33%.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-society-artificial-intelligence.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals whether voters believe artificial intelligence will help or hurt society.(Fox News)

    At this point, neither party had a clear advantage on the issue: AI drew the highest share, choosing neither party as better able to handle it, and the two parties finished within 2 points of each other, with Democrats narrowly pulling ahead.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-better-handle-artificial-intelligence.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into which political party voters trust more to handle artificial intelligence.(Fox News)

    Data center construction drew a similar verdict. Three-quarters of voters opposed a new data center in their community. Those who opposed one backed the Democratic House candidates by 28 points, while those in favor backed Republicans by 45 points.

    Among rural voters, data centers had emerged as a defining issue. They also split 3-to-1 in opposition to building one in their community.

    On immigration, Republicans were favored to handle, but voters delivered a verdict of overreach on enforcement. A majority said the Trump administration’s actions had gone too far, with the rest split between about right and not far enough.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-immigration-policies.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters assess the Trump administration’s immigration enforcement policies.(Fox News)

    Immigration and Customs Enforcement received mostly negative marks, with a majority of voters disapproving of its job performance. Most voters viewed immigrants favorably, saying they do more to help the country than to hurt it.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-ice-job-performance.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters rate Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s job performance.(Fox News)

    Ratings of the institutions themselves were low. Congress drew approval from roughly a quarter, and the Supreme Court drew approval from about 4 in 10.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-congress-job-performance.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters rate Congress’ job performance.(Fox News)

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-scotus-job-performance.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters rate the Supreme Court’s job performance.(Fox News)

    Voters wanted a stronger Congress. A majority said Congress was not doing enough to provide checks and balances on the presidency, and those voters backed Democratic House candidates by 49 points.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-checks-balances.jpg

    The Fox News Voter Poll reveals whether voters believe Congress is doing enough to provide checks and balances on the presidency.(Fox News)

    The Fox News Voter Poll is a survey conducted by SSRS with more than 100,000 registered voters nationwide. This survey was conducted Oct. 19 to Nov. 3, 2026, concluding at the end of voting on Election Day. The poll combines data collected from registered voters online and by telephone with data collected in-person from Election Day voters at precincts across the country. In the final step, all the pre-election survey respondents and Election Day exit poll respondents are combined by adjusting the share of voting mode (absentee, early-in-person and Election Day) based on the estimated composition of the national electorate. Once votes are counted, the survey results are also weighted to match the national election results. Results among all registered voters interviewed nationwide have an estimated margin of sampling error of plus or minus 0.5 percentage points, including the design effects. The error margin is larger among subgroups. Full methodological details are available here.

    The Fox News/NORC AmeriSpeak Study is a national survey of registered voters conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago. This survey was conducted Nov. 1–3, 2026, concluding as polls close on Election Day. The poll is based on a random sample of approximately 3,000 registered voters drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak panel, interviewed online and by telephone in English and Spanish. Survey weights adjust to population totals for demographic and geographic characteristics, as well as voter-specific information including partisanship, and, once votes are counted, the results are weighted to the national popular vote for the House of Representatives. Results among all 3,464 registered voters interviewed nationwide have an estimated margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, including the design effects. The error margin is larger among subgroups.

    As head of the polling unit, Dana Blanton runs the Fox News Poll and oversees the Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.

  • 佛罗里达州州长德桑蒂斯称共和党中期选举惨败对该党而言“近乎灭绝级事件”


    即将卸任的佛罗里达州州长表示“民主党不受欢迎”,此次结果是“对华盛顿共和党人的否定”

    作者:格雷格·诺曼-戴蒙德 | 福克斯新闻
    发布时间:美国东部时间2026年11月4日下午1点48分
    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Greg-Norman-Headshot.png

    佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯周三就共和党在全国范围内的重大失利作出表态,与此同时分析人士正研判他如此高调回应是否意在为自己角逐全国性职位铺路。

    【更新】现在您可以收听福克斯新闻的文章了。

    即将卸任的佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯周三表示,共和党在中期选举中的失利“对该党而言近乎一场灭绝级事件,在全国许多地区都是如此,这可能是过去100年来最严重的情况”。

    德桑蒂斯发表此番言论之际,共和党在选举日失去了对参众两院的控制权。佛罗里达州共和党众议员拜伦·唐纳兹在此次选举中赢得了德桑蒂斯空出的席位,尽管其他共和党候选人在全美各地的州长选举中落败。

    “关键在于:民主党不受欢迎。他们之所以能获胜,是因为当前全国民众的情绪所致。他们并未赢得授权来放纵所有左翼幻想。他们接下来将执掌权力,而我们将拭目以待后续情况如何,”德桑蒂斯表示。

    “但这并非对民主党抱有好感,而是对华盛顿共和党人的否定,”他补充道。“而民主党恰好成为了此次失利的受益者。”

    特朗普支持的拜伦·唐纳兹成为佛罗里达州首位黑人州长

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/ron-desantis-hurricane-isaias-press-conference.jpg

    佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯于2026年10月8日就飓风“伊赛亚斯”相关事宜召开新闻发布会。(美国今日新闻网通过路透社提供)

    德桑蒂斯尚未排除参加2028年总统大选的可能性,他表示:“明年1月,所有受任期限制或在10个最大州选举中落败的官员都会卸任,届时全美只有一个州将由共和党控制,那就是佛罗里达州。

    “昨晚我们目睹的——若称之为‘红色浪潮’,我认为并不贴切——这相当于一场横扫美国各地的政治陨石撞击,不论是蓝州、红州还是介于两者之间的地区,”德桑蒂斯说。“而唯一挺住并守住阵地的,就是‘自由之州’佛罗里达。

    “若论我们的主要竞争对手,从良性竞争的角度看,得克萨斯州可谓共和党政治的皇冠上的明珠。我认为自我担任州长以来,我们一直是共和党及保守派的领军者。但放眼整代人来看,共和党这边无人能与‘孤星州’(得克萨斯州别称)匹敌。然而,他们不仅输掉了一场备受瞩目的联邦参议院选举,还全线落败,”德桑蒂斯继续说道。

    蓝色浪潮助民主党掌权

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407906079112

    “州长、司法部长,以及其他所有州级职位的候选人。他们在得克萨斯州最高法院输掉了四个共和党席位,甚至可能失去得克萨斯州议会的全部或某一院席位。必须明确这一点:这不仅会对未来两年造成影响,还将在未来十年甚至更长时间里持续产生余波,”他还表示。“如果共和党失去得克萨斯这一支柱,那么我们未来将无法在全国范围内立足。”

    德桑蒂斯预测,在2028年选举周期中,“以目前的选情来看,仅两年后共和党就无法夺回参议院的控制权了。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/ron-desantis-trump-fort-myers.jpg

    佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯于2026年10月23日抵达佛罗里达州迈尔斯堡西南佛罗里达国际机场时,与总统唐纳德·特朗普交谈。(路透社)

    【点击下载福克斯新闻APP】

    “而且随着全部众议院席位的改选,共和党可能也无法夺回众议院的控制权了。所以这确实会产生影响,”德桑蒂斯补充道。“未来两年、四年、六年,甚至更长时间,共和党才有可能重新掌控华盛顿,就像我们过去两年所享有的统一控制权那样。”

    格雷格·诺曼是福克斯新闻数字频道的记者。

    Florida DeSantis describes GOP midterms wipeout as ‘close to an extinction-level event’ for Republicans

    Outgoing Florida governor says ‘Democrats are unpopular’ and results were a ‘rejection of Republicans in Washington’

    By Greg Norman-Diamond | Fox News

    Published November 4, 2026 1:48pm EST

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Greg-Norman-Headshot.png

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis sounded off Wednesday on Republicans’ massive nationwide losses, while analysts consider whether his vocal responses are positioning him for a nationwide run.

    NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!

    Outgoing Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said Wednesday that the Republican losses in the midterm elections are “close to an extinction-level event” for the party “in many parts of the country, as we have seen probably in the last 100 years.”

    DeSantis spoke after Republicans lost control of both the House and Senate on Election Day. Rep. Byron Donalds, a Florida House Republican, won the contest for DeSantis’ seat despite other GOP candidates losing their gubernatorial races around the U.S.

    “Here’s the thing. Democrats are unpopular. They were able to win based off the sentiment that exists in the country right now. They did not earn a mandate to indulge all their left-wing fantasies. And they’re going to be in there governing, and we’ll see what ends up happening,” DeSantis said.

    “But this was not a positive view of the Democrats. This was a rejection of Republicans in Washington,” he added. “And Democrats just happened to be the beneficiary.”

    TRUMP-BACKED BYRON DONALDS MAKES HISTORY AS FLORIDA’S FIRST BLACK GOVERNOR

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/ron-desantis-hurricane-isaias-press-conference.jpg

    Gov. Ron DeSantis holds a press conference regarding Hurricane Isaias on Oct. 8, 2026.(USA Today Network via Reuters)

    DeSantis, who has not ruled out a 2028 presidential bid, said, “In January, when everyone in office leaves, who were either term-limited or got voted out of the 10 largest states in this union, only one state will have Republican control of their state, the state of Florida.

    “Last night we witnessed — to call it a wave, I don’t think would be fully accurate — it’s the political equivalent of a meteor strike that went all around the United States. Blue states, red states, everything in between,” DeSantis said. “And the one state that was able to hold the line and withstand that is right here in the free state of Florida.

    “If you look at our chief rival, in a healthy sense, the state of Texas, and I would say over my lifetime, Texas has been the crown jewel of Republican politics. I think we’ve been the leader for Republicans and conservatives since I’ve been governor. But if you go over the whole generation, no one holds a candle on the Republican side to the Lone Star State. And yet, not only did they lose a very highly publicized U.S. Senate race, they lost everything,” DeSantis continued.

    BLUE WAVE SWEEPS DEMOCRATS INTO POWER

    https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407906079112

    “The governor, attorney general, all the other statewide. They lost four Republican Supreme Court justices on the Texas Supreme Court. They may even lose the Texas Legislature or one house or even both. Let’s just be clear that that is going to hurt, not just for the next two years. That’s something that can reverberate for the next decade or more,” he also said. “And if the Republican Party doesn’t have Texas as an anchor, then we are not going to be viable nationally going forward.”

    DeSantis predicted that in the 2028 election cycle, “You are not, as Republicans, going to be able to retake the Senate under this current map just two years from now.

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    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks with President Donald Trump as he arrives at Southwest Florida International Airport in Fort Myers, Fla., on Oct. 23, 2026.(Reuters)

    CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

    “And with all the House seats that have been done, probably not viable to take that back as well. So this is really going to have an impact,” DeSantis added. “Two years, four years, six years, maybe even longer before Republicans could exercise unified control in Washington again like we’ve enjoyed over the last two years.”

    Greg Norman is a reporter at Fox News Digital.

  • 消息人士称:中期选举失利后,特朗普询问顾问是否应让赫格塞斯留任


    更新时间:美国东部时间2026年11月4日下午1点45分 / CBS新闻

    华盛顿讯 — 多位知情人士向CBS新闻透露,在共和党人周二晚遭遇灾难性失利后,特朗普总统一直在向身边及电话联络的顾问们询问,国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯是否应该留任。

    一些白宫助手预测,共和党中期选举失利的部分指责将指向美国中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀海军上将,以及参谋长联席会议主席丹·凯恩将军,两人在伊朗战争的指导方面都发挥了重要作用。

    不过,其他消息人士表示,总统尚未决定撤换赫格塞斯。选举前,民主党已在试图弹劾赫格塞斯,若民主党在参众两院都掌握多数席位,弹劾行动的可能性可能会增加。

    副总统JD·万斯将共和党的失败归咎于这场战争。“我们输的原因是这场战争,”他在周三上午发布的一篇长篇X帖文中说道。

    一位消息人士告诉CBS新闻,佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯被提议作为赫格塞斯的可能替代人选,理由是德桑蒂斯能够在跛脚鸭任期内通过参议院确认,然后在其州长任期于1月5日到期时接任这一职位。

    周三下午,特朗普被问及是否考虑撤换赫格塞斯,他对记者表示:“不,我认为他做得非常好。”总统还被问及是否希望看到赫格塞斯获任命填补田纳西州参议员玛莎·布莱克本出任州长后留下的空缺。“我其实觉得他如果这么做会很受欢迎,”特朗普先生表示,“但我完全没听过这种说法。”

    当被要求就有关赫格塞斯国防部长职位前途存疑的报道置评时,白宫发言人安娜·凯利在一份声明中表示,总统“对赫格塞斯部长充满信心”。凯利在声明中还赞扬了在伊朗和委内瑞拉的军事行动,以及赫格塞斯为扭转拜登时期五角大楼优先考虑“多元化、公平与包容(DEI)以及觉醒意识形态”所做的努力。

    蒋伟嘉对本报道有贡献。

    本报道于2026年11月4日上午11点39分首次发布于CBS新闻。

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    Trump asking advisers if Hegseth should stay after midterm losses, sources say

    Updated on: November 4, 2026 / 1:45 PM EST / CBS News

    Washington — President Trump has been asking advisers around him and on the phone whether Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth should stay in his job, following Republicans’ catastrophic losses Tuesday night, multiple sources familiar with the matter tell CBS News.

    Some White House aides have predicted some of the blame for GOP midterm losses will be trained on Adm. Brad Cooper, the head of U.S. Central Command, and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine, who both played big roles in guidance on the Iran war.

    Still, other sources said the president hasn’t decided to replace Hegseth. Before the election, Democrats were already trying to impeach Hegseth, and the likelihood of an impeachment effort could increase with Democrats holding strong majorities in both chambers.

    Vice President JD Vance is blaming the war for the GOP defeat. “The reason we lost is the war,” he said in a lengthy post on X Wednesday morning.

    One source told CBS News that GOP Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is being floated as a possible replacement for Hegseth, arguing DeSantis could go through Senate confirmation in the lame-duck period and then take the post when his term as governor expires Jan. 5.

    Mr. Trump was asked Wednesday afternoon whether he was considering replacing Hegseth, and he told reporters, “No, I think he’s doing a very good job.” The president was also asked if he’d like to see Hegseth appointed to fill the seat that will be vacated by Tennessee Sen. Marsha Blackburn when she takes office as governor. “I actually think he’d be very popular if he did that,” Mr. Trump said, “but I haven’t heard that at all.”

    Asked for comment about reports that Hegseth’s future as defense secretary was in question, White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly said in a statement that the president “has full confidence in Secretary Hegseth.” In the statement, Kelly also praised the military operations in Iran and Venezuela and Hegseth’s efforts to reverse the Biden Pentagon’s prioritizing of “DEI and woke ideology.”

    Weijia Jiang contributed to this report.

    This story published first on CBS News at 11:39 a.m. on Nov. 4, 2026.

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  • 万斯将共和党中期选举失利归咎于伊朗冲突:“我们输的原因是这场战争”


    2026年11月4日 美国东部时间上午11:41 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻网

    华盛顿报道——副总统JD·万斯于本周三表示,他认为共和党失去参众两院控制权,是因为选民反对伊朗战争,他还称这场冲突或许不值得以共和党失去对参议院的控制权为代价。

    在民主党于中期选举中大挫共和党后,万斯首次公开发言,他表示共和党必须正视这场战争对竞选的影响,才能确定该党的最佳前进路线。

    “我们输的原因是这场战争。总统本人昨晚也这么说了,”万斯在X平台发布的帖子中写道,“如果你想争辩这是值得的,觉得为了赢下未来6年的参议院控制权付出这个代价也划算,那就去辩吧。你可以说这是值得付出的成本。同意也罢,反对也罢,至少这是诚实的。但所有人都知道我们输的原因是什么。任何关于未来方向的坦诚对话,都必须从这一点开始。”

    副总统表示,许多在2024年大选中支持过特朗普总统和他的选民,在2026年改投民主党,原因有四个:结束伊朗战争、关注生活成本与通胀问题、美国优先,以及改变美国与以色列的关系。

    “我们的选民出来投票了,”万斯写道,“而上述四个原因,就是他们中很多人投给民主党的理由。”

    副总统强调了福克斯新闻主持人雷切尔·坎波斯-达菲呼吁就伊朗冲突达成“外交解决方案”的观点,称她的建议“是合理的”。万斯在春季的大部分时间里都带领美国谈判代表参与旨在结束冲突的谈判,并达成了一份与伊朗有关的旨在停火的协议,但这份协议后来以失败告终。

    在帖子中,副总统称一名不愿透露姓名的数据分析师告诉他,在2024年投票支持他和特朗普的选民如今感到愤怒,将在中期选举中投票给民主党。他表示,如今看来,这一分析“颇具先见之明”。

    “我们的选民确实出来投票了,”他写道,“比如在佛罗里达州,选民中共和党人比民主党人多9个百分点,仅比2024年差了几个百分点。毫无疑问,有些地方的投票率本可以更高。但主要问题不在于投票率。主要问题是,许多在2024年投票给特朗普/万斯的人,在2026年投给了民主党。”

    万斯还表示,共和党的经济宣传信息在竞选最后几周可能“不够鲜明”。

    “我对我们的国家仍抱有希望,”他说,“对于那些气不打一处来、想说‘我早就告诉过你了’的人:没错,你确实告诉过我们。把那股劲头用于选举出与你秉持相同世界观的共和党人身上吧。对于那些只是对结果感到愤怒的人,你们本该如此。让我们把那股怒火转化为行动,回到拯救国家的工作中去。”

    民主党预计将在11个摇摆州中的10个获胜后,拿下至少54个参议院席位。阿拉斯加和密西西比州的参议院选举结果尚未确定,被评为胜负难分。哥伦比亚广播公司新闻网估计,在所有选票计完后,民主党将掌控众议院251至268个席位。

    特朗普总统于2月下旬发动了对伊朗的战争,当时他承诺这场战争只会持续4到5周。但此后战争已持续8个月,导致汽油价格飙升。

    在本周二接受福克斯新闻采访时,总统表示,伊朗战争是共和党失利的部分原因,但他称“人们明白我所做之事的重要性”。

    尽管如此,特朗普总统还是多次为对伊朗开战的决定辩护,并于本周二告诉哥伦比亚广播公司新闻网,德黑兰绝不能研发出核武器。

    总统表示,这场战争将在“我说停的时候”结束。

    美国于周一在霍尔木兹海峡对伊朗目标发动了有限的防御性打击。根据国防部的数据,已有23名美国军人在这场冲突中身亡,865人受伤。

    Vance blames Iran conflict for GOP midterm defeats: “The reason we lost is the war”

    November 4, 2026 / 11:41 AM EST / CBS News

    Washington— Vice President JD Vance said Wednesday that he believes Republicans lost control of both chambers of Congress because of voters’ opposition to the war in Iran and suggested that the conflict may not have been worth the cost of losing the GOP’s hold on the Senate.

    In his first public comments since Democrats’ rout of Republicans in the midterm elections, Vance said Republicans must be honest about the impact the war had on their campaigns in order to determine the best path forward for the party.

    “The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night,” Vance wrote in a post on X. “If you’d like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that’s at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.”

    The vice president said many voters who backed President Trump and him in the 2024 presidential contest cast their ballots for Democrats in 2026 for four reasons: to end the war with Iran, focus on the cost of living and inflation, put America first and change the U.S. relationship to Israel.

    “Our voters showed up,” Vance wrote. “And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats.”

    The vice president highlighted Fox News host Rachel Campos-Duffy’s call to reach a “diplomatic resolution” to the conflict with Iran, saying that her recommendation was “sound.” Vance spent much of the spring leading U.S. negotiators in talks aimed at ending the conflict and reached an ill-fated agreement with Iran to halt the fighting that soon fell apart.

    In his post, the vice president said an unnamed data analyst told him that voters who backed him and Mr. Trump in 2024 were angry and would vote for Democrats in the midterms. He said that analysis “looks prophetic now.”

    “Our voters did show up,” he wrote. “In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. “

    Vance also said it’s likely the GOP’s economic messaging “wasn’t sharp enough” in the closing weeks of the campaign.

    “I remain hopeful about our country,” he said. “To the people who are pissed off and want to say, ‘II told you so’: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.”

    Democrats are expected to hold at least 54 seats in the Senate following wins in 10 of 11 battleground states. The Senate elections in Alaska and Mississippi are unresolved and rated as toss-ups. CBS News estimates Democrats will control between 251 and 268 seats in the House when all votes are counted.

    Mr. Trump launched the war in Iran in late February and had pledged at the time that it would last only four to five weeks. But it has since stretched into its eighth month, leading to a spike in gas prices.

    In an interview with Fox News on Tuesday, the president suggested that the war with Iran was partially to blame for Republicans’ losses, but he said “people understand the importance of what I’ve done.”

    Still, Mr. Trump has repeatedly defended his decision to go to war with Iran and told CBS News on Tuesday that Tehran must not be able to develop a nuclear weapon.

    The president said the war will end “when I say it ends.”

    The U.S. launched limited defensive strikes on Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz on Monday. Twenty-three U.S. service members have been killed during the conflict, and 865 have been wounded, according to the Defense Department.

  • 违背哈基姆·杰弗里斯的众议院民主党人在亲特朗普选区意外获胜


    民主党众议员玛丽·格卢森坎普·佩雷斯公然挑战党首哈基姆·杰弗里斯,投票支持共和党挽救其议程

    作者:伊丽莎白·埃尔金德
    福克斯新闻

    发布时间:2026年11月4日 美国东部时间下午1:59 | 更新时间:2026年11月4日 美国东部时间下午2:20

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    特朗普冲刺中期选举期间为选民造势

    《大钱秀》节目 panel 分析唐纳德·特朗普总统竞选期间的经济宣传话术,同时点评中期选举前俄亥俄州和得克萨斯州参议院竞选的最新福克斯民调,选民当前最关心的问题是生活成本。

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    一名公开挑战众议院民主党领袖、纽约州民主党人哈基姆·杰弗里斯的民主党议员,两次顶住压力,在2024年由唐纳德·特朗普获胜的选区成功连任。

    华盛顿州民主党众议员玛丽·格卢森坎普·佩雷斯击败共和党籍华盛顿州参议员约翰·布劳恩,赢得她在众议院的第三个任期,美联社报道。

    这场胜利对众议院民主党人夺回国会多数席位至关重要,但也可能在未来两年的关键投票中给政党领袖带来风波。

    杰弗里斯威胁将采取“严肃应对”,此前民主党协助共和党推进反社会主义投票

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/mari-gluesenkamp-perez-3-congress.jpg

    华盛顿州民主党众议员玛丽·格卢森坎普·佩雷斯于2024年9月25日在华盛顿哥伦比亚特区的系列投票后抵达美国国会大厦。(安娜·莫内梅克/盖蒂图片社)

    格卢森坎普·佩雷斯过去曾多次在投票中反对本党立场,今年9月,她两次在程序性投票中站在共和党一边,帮助共和党领袖从保守派的反叛中挽救其议程,这让她的民主党同僚十分恼火。

    如果没有她和缅因州民主党众议员贾里德·戈爾登在这两次投票中支持共和党,众议院共和党人的议程将陷入瘫痪。

    第一次事件让她罕见地遭到杰弗里斯公开斥责,杰弗里斯称此举“破坏信任”。其他左翼议员呼吁将她赶出有权有势的众议院拨款委员会。

    但有人认为,格卢森坎普·佩雷斯公开违背本党立场对她的政治生存至关重要。2024年,特朗普以约3个百分点的优势赢得她所在的选区,她最初是击败一名现任共和党众议员才赢得席位的。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/trump-presidents-cup.jpg

    唐纳德·特朗普总统在2026年总统杯高尔夫球赛第四天的单人比赛后,观看美国队以17比13获胜后的颁奖仪式,地点在伊利诺伊州麦地那的麦地那乡村俱乐部,时间为2026年9月27日。(卢克·黑尔斯/盖蒂图片社)

    华盛顿州第三国会选区包括农村地区、温哥华市以及该州西南部的沿海小镇。

    两名温和派违背杰弗里斯后,众议院民主党压倒性否决反社会主义决议

    格卢森坎普·佩雷斯前两次竞选之所以能获得支撑,部分原因是她的对手乔·肯特因为与极右翼团体的关联而存在当选可能性的问题。他后来被任命为美国国家反恐中心主任,但因中东政策分歧辞职。

    不过这次,预计竞争会激烈得多,布劳恩作为更主流的共和党候选人参选。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/joe-kent-december-2025-3.jpg

    国家反恐中心主任约瑟夫·肯特在2025年12月11日于华盛顿哥伦比亚特区举行的众议院国土安全委员会听证会上。(丹尼尔·霍伊尔/彭博社 via 盖蒂图片社)

    布劳恩是前海军上校,同时经营家族企业布劳恩西北公司,该公司是应急车辆制造商。

    点击此处下载福克斯新闻APP

    据《华盛顿标准报》报道,两人的竞选总花费超过2000万美元,这表明这场竞选对两党都至关重要。

    伊丽莎白·埃尔金德是福克斯新闻数字频道的政治记者,负责报道众议院相关事务。此前她的数字稿件曾发表在《每日邮报》和哥伦比亚广播公司新闻网。

    在推特上关注她 @liz_elkind,如有线索请发送邮件至 elizabeth.elkind@fox.com

    Rep Marie Gluesenkamp Perez notably voted with Republicans to rescue their agenda in defiance of Leader Hakeem Jeffries

    By Elizabeth ElkindFox News

    Published November 4, 2026 1:59pm EST | Updated November 4, 2026 2:20pm EST

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    Trump rallies voters in sprint towards midterms

    ‘The Big Money Show’ panel analyzes President Donald Trump’s economic messaging on the campaign trail and reviews the latest Fox News polls in the Ohio and Texas Senate races ahead of the midterm elections, where cost of living remains a top concern for voters.

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    A Democratic lawmaker who publicly defied House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., twice beat the odds to win re-election in a district that President Donald Trump carried in 2024.

    Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, D-Wash., defeated Republican Washington State Sen. John Braun to win a third term in the House of Representatives, The Associated Press reported.

    It’s an important victory for House Democrats in their quest to claw back the majority in Congress, but one that could also create drama for party leaders on key votes over the next two years.

    JEFFRIES THREATENS ‘SERIOUS RESPONSE’ AFTER DEMOCRATS HELP GOP ADVANCE ANTI-SOCIALISM VOTE

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    Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, D-Wash., arrives for a vote series at the U.S. Capitol on Sept. 25, 2024, in Washington, D.C.(Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

    Gluesenkamp Perez, who has been known to buck her party on votes in the past, infuriated her fellow Democrats twice in September when she sided with Republicans on procedural votes that helped GOP leaders rescue their agenda from conservative rebellions.

    If not for her and Rep. Jared Golden, D-Maine, siding with Republicans on those two votes, the House GOP’s agenda would have been paralyzed.

    The first time earned her a rare public rebuke from Jeffries, who called it a “breach of trust.” Other left-wing lawmakers called for her to be removed from the powerful House Appropriations Committee over the move.

    But one could argue that Gluesenkamp Perez’s public defiance of her own party was critical for her political survival. Trump won her district by roughly 3 percentage points in 2024, and she first won her seat by defeating an incumbent House Republican.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/trump-presidents-cup.jpg

    President Donald Trump looks on during the trophy ceremony after the U.S. Team wins 17-13 following the Sunday’s Singles on day four of the Presidents Cup 2026 at Medinah Country Club on Sept. 27, 2026, in Medinah, Ill.(Luke Hales/Getty Images)

    Washington’s 3rd Congressional District includes rural areas and the city of Vancouver, and smaller coastal towns in the southwest portion of the state.

    HOUSE DEMS OVERWHELMINGLY REJECT ANTI-SOCIALISM RESOLUTION AFTER 2 MODERATES DEFY JEFFRIES

    Part of what bolstered Gluesenkamp Perez in her previous two races was her opponent, Joe Kent, suffering from electability issues because of his association with far-right groups. He was later named Trump’s director of the United States National Counterterrorism Center, but resigned over disagreements on Middle East policy.

    This time, however, the race was expected to be much closer, with Braun running as a more mainstream GOP candidate.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/joe-kent-december-2025-3.jpg

    Joseph Kent, director of the National Counterterrorism Center, during a House Homeland Security Committee hearing in Washington, D.C., on Dec. 11, 2025(Daniel Heuer/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

    Braun is a former Navy captain who also helps run his family’s company, Braun Northwest, a manufacturer of emergency vehicles.

    CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

    More than $20 million was spent on their race, according to the Washington Standard, a sign of its critical position for both parties.

    Elizabeth Elkind is a politics reporter for Fox News Digital leading coverage of the House of Representatives. Previous digital bylines seen at Daily Mail and CBS News.

    Follow on Twitter at @liz_elkind and send tips to elizabeth.elkind@fox.com

  • 黑人州长候选人在2026年中期选举中获胜,创造历史


    2026年11月4日 / 美国东部时间下午1:38 / CBS新闻
    美国人在2026年中期选举中选出了首位女性黑人州长,此外还有三名黑人候选人在周二美国各地的州长选举中获胜。在内华达州,民主党人、黑人亚伦·福特目前以超过7万票的优势在州长选举中领先。
    这些选举结果分别是:民主党人凯莎·兰斯·博特姆斯在佐治亚州胜选;共和党人拜伦·唐纳尔兹在佛罗里达州胜选;民主党人大卫·克劳利在威斯康星州胜选;民主党人韦斯·摩尔成功连任马里兰州州长。2022年他当选州长时就成为该州首位黑人州长。
    算上摩尔,美国历史上此前仅选出过三名黑人担任州长。前纽约州州长戴维·帕特森同样是黑人,他在2008年埃利奥特·斯皮策辞职后出任州长。
    周二,当博特姆斯和克劳利的胜选结果被确认后,摩尔接受CBS新闻采访时表示,这些胜利“极为重要”。
    “这太激动人心了,因为直到这一刻之前,我是美国唯一的黑人州长。我非常清楚,这个头衔我不想久留,”摩尔说,“在这个国家250年的历史中,我只是第三位当选州长的非裔美国人,而现在,一次选举周期里,我们至少把这个人数翻了一番。我认为这意义非凡,这是一个历史性时刻。”
    博特姆斯被称为开拓者的原因不止一个:她将成为美国历史上首位当选州长的黑人女性。她还将成为佐治亚州首位女州长,而目前全美州长办公室中女性人数创下新高,达到17人。
    本周三,她在接受《CBS今晨》联合主持盖尔·金采访时表示,得知胜选结果时她正努力不去关注计票情况。
    “我戴上耳机准备演讲稿,丈夫躺在我旁边的沙发上,他踢了我一脚,”前亚特兰大市长博特姆斯说,“我问‘怎么了?’他说‘计票结果出来了’。我问‘出来什么了?’就这样我才知道自己赢了。”
    唐纳尔兹2020年当选佛罗里达州第19国会选区联邦众议员,如今他将成为佛罗里达州首位黑人州长,也是全美首位当选州长的黑人共和党人。
    威斯康星州方面,温和派民主党人克劳利击败了共和党挑战者汤姆·蒂凡尼,这场州长选举的结果在这个全国最摇摆州之一尘埃落定。联邦众议员蒂凡尼是特朗普总统的核心盟友之一。
    CBS新闻估计,内华达州的选举仍难分胜负,对阵双方是2018年当选该州总检察长的福特,以及共和党籍州长乔·隆巴多。如果福特胜出,他将成为该州首位黑人州长,也是密西西比河以西地区首位当选的黑人州长。

    Black candidates for governor make history with 2026 midterm victories

    November 4, 2026 / 1:38 PM EST / CBS News

    Americans elected their first Black woman into a gubernatorial role during the 2026 midterms, alongside three other Black candidates who won races for governor around the United States on Tuesday. And in Nevada, Democrat Aaron Ford, who is also Black, is leading in the governor’s race by more than 70,000 votes.

    The races culminated, respectively, in victories for Keisha Lance Bottoms, a Democrat, in Georgia; Byron Donalds, a Republican, in Florida; David Crowley, a Democrat, in Wisconsin; and Wes Moore, a Democrat, was reelected to serve a second term as governor of Maryland. He became the state’s first Black governor when he was elected in 2022.

    Including Moore, only three Black Americans have previously been elected to serve as U.S. governors. Former New York Gov. David Paterson, who is also Black, became governor when Eliot Spitzer resigned in 2008.

    Once Bottoms and Crowley were projected the winners in their races, Moore reflected on their wins to CBS News on Tuesday, calling the victories “incredibly important.

    “This is exciting, because up until this moment, I was the only Black governor in America. And I was very clear that that’s a title that I did not want to hold onto for very long,” said Moore. “I’m only the third African American ever elected governor in the 250-year history of this country, and, now, in one cycle, we have at least doubled that number. I just think it’s incredibly important. It’s a historic moment.”

    Bottoms has been hailed as a trailblazer for more reasons than one, as she will become the first Black woman elected to a gubernatorial position in U.S. history. She will also be the first woman to serve as governor of Georgia when she joins the ranks of a record-high number of women — 17 — in governor’s offices nationwide.

    She told CBS Mornings co-host Gayle King on Wednesday that she had been trying to tune out the results when she learned that she won.

    “I had put in my AirPods to work on my speech, and my husband was on the sofa near me, laying near me, and he kicked me,” said Bottoms, a former Atlanta mayor. “I went like, ‘What?’ He said, ‘They called it.’ And I said, ‘Called what?’ And so that’s how I knew.”

    Donalds, who served as U.S. representative for Florida’s 19th District after his election to that spot in 2020, is now also slated to become Florida’s first Black governor. He is also the first Black Republican elected governor in the nation.

    In Wisconsin, Crowley, a moderate Democrat, defeated Republican challenger Tom Tiffany in the culmination of a governor’s race that played out in one of the country’s most purple states. Tiffany, a U.S. representative, is also one of President Trump’s top allies.

    The race in Nevada between Ford, who was elected as Nevada’s attorney general in 2018, and Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo is still a toss-up, CBS News estimates. If Ford wins, he will become the state’s first Black governor and the first Black governor ever elected west of the Mississippi.

  • 福克斯新闻选民民调:民主党如何掌控参议院


    2026-11-04T13:13:22-05:00

    民主党掌控国会参众两院:国会山权力格局重大转变

    民主党掌控国会,谢丽尔·卡索恩与托德·皮罗解析2026年国会山权力转移。查德·珀格拉姆详述关键胜选情况,包括密歇根州与得克萨斯州;前自由意志党总统候选人奥斯汀·彼得森也参与《福克斯早间新闻首档节目》提供分析。

    被大肆鼓吹的“蓝色浪潮”已成现实,民主党在红州与蓝州均取得惊人连胜。

    他们在关键州长选举中也取得优势。

    福克斯新闻选民民调对全美10万余名选民进行调查,揭示了定义这些重要选举的核心主题与人口统计群体。

    时局动态:蓝色浪潮将民主党推向掌权,部分关键选举仍存变数

    南卡罗来纳州

    民主党人安妮·安德鲁斯击败现任共和党人达琳·格雷厄姆,成功翻转参议院席位;该席位此前已由格雷厄姆的兄长林赛掌控超过20年。

    格雷厄姆于2020年以11个百分点的优势连任参议院席位,2026年7月兄长去世后被任命接替;但此次表现不及兄长,且在关键群体中的支持率也落后于前总统唐纳德·特朗普两年前的水平。

    例如,乡村选民在2024年以63%的支持率力挺特朗普,今年却仅以51%支持格雷厄姆;2024年副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯在乡村选民中获得36%的支持率,安德鲁斯则将这一优势提升约10个百分点。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/South-Carolina-Andrews-Graham-Photo-1.jpg

    南卡罗来纳州关于安德鲁斯与格雷厄姆在乡村选民中的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    格雷厄姆虽成功留住了非“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)阵营的共和党选民(此前有消息称这些选民可能倒戈),但仅获得其中70%的支持率;而特朗普两年前在该群体中获得79%的支持率。

    无党派选民:安德鲁斯在这类选民中优势显著,获得约70%的支持率;特朗普获得39%,格雷厄姆则不足20%。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/South-Carolina-Independent-Photo-1.jpg

    南卡罗来纳州无党派选民对安德鲁斯与格雷厄姆支持情况的图表。(福克斯新闻)

    安德鲁斯在女性、大学毕业生及城市选民中表现出色。

    她还受益于民主党在团结度上高于共和党对格雷厄姆的支持:几乎所有民主党人都支持安德鲁斯,而仅有约80%的共和党人支持格雷厄姆;超过10%的共和党人跨党派投票支持安德鲁斯。

    经济是该州目前的首要议题,超过40%的选民将其列为重中之重;安德鲁斯获得了这类选民的多数支持。

    经济成为选举议题:三张图表揭示选民投票面临的现实问题

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/South-Carolina-Senate-Issues-Economy-State-of-democracy-Immigration-Healthcare-Photo-1.jpg

    展示南卡罗来纳州参议院选举议题的图表,包括经济、民主制度状况、医疗保健与移民。(福克斯新闻)

    四分之三的选民表示通货膨胀在过去一年中给家庭带来困难,超过一半选民对汽油、食品、水电及医疗保健的成本深感担忧。

    选民将自身经济困境归咎于特朗普:60%的选民认为他的政策加剧了问题,超过一半的选民指责他引发了通货膨胀。

    美国曾预见蓝色浪潮,却严重低估了民主党海啸的规模

    格雷厄姆还被认为缺乏担任参议员所需的恰当经验:超过60%的选民表示不同意这一点。

    俄亥俄州

    民主党人谢罗德·布朗赢回参议院席位,将其纳入民主党阵营。他在整个选举期间民调领先,并击败了共和党人乔恩·赫斯特;后者在JD·万斯成为副总统后被任命为其参议院席位的接任者。

    赫斯特试图将布朗塑造为“极端”形象,但选民对布朗并不陌生——他已在参议院任职三届,因此这一策略收效甚微:超过一半的选民认为布朗并不极端。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-Are-Browns-Views-Too-Extreme-Photo-1.jpg

    俄亥俄州关于布朗观点是否过于极端的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    另一方面,布朗则成功将赫斯特与特朗普绑定,并以此为武器取得成效:近60%的选民认为这位共和党人过度支持总统。

    万斯对伊朗战争的严厉事后分析聚焦2028年潜在共和党对决:“大家都知道原因”

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-Is-Husted-Too-Supportive-Of-Trump-Photo-1.jpg

    俄亥俄州关于民调专家认为赫斯特是否过度支持唐纳德·特朗普总统的图表。(福克斯新闻)

    民主党能否在经济与生活成本担忧的背景下夺回工薪阶层选民的支持,是本次选举的核心问题,而他们似乎做到了。

    赫斯特在工薪阶层选民中表现挣扎:两年前,没有大学学历的选民中61%支持特朗普,而赫斯特仅获得其中一半的支持。

    特朗普两年前在乡村选民中也占据优势,获得70%的支持率;赫斯特的支持率比这低约11个百分点。

    年轻选民:2024年,30岁以下选民中60%支持特朗普;赫斯特的支持率不足四分之一。这是向布朗及民主党阵营的巨大摇摆。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-Senate-Young-Voters-Photo-1.jpg

    俄亥俄州30岁以下年轻选民的图表。(福克斯新闻)

    西班牙裔选民是另一个大幅倒向民主党的群体:2024年,58%的西班牙裔选民支持特朗普,41%支持哈里斯;而此次选举中,四分之三的西班牙裔选民支持布朗。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-Senate-Hispanic-Voters-Photo-1.jpg

    俄亥俄州参议院选举的西班牙裔选民图表。(福克斯新闻)

    经济无疑是选民的首要关切:近70%的选民认为经济状况不佳,80%的选民表示通胀给他们带来困难,60%的选民认为特朗普的政策应受指责。

    综合来看,特朗普无疑是共和党人赫斯特的拖累:总统的支持率比反对率低近20个百分点。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-President-Trump-Job-Performance-Photo-1.jpg

    俄亥俄州关于特朗普总统工作表现的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    60%的选民还表示特朗普优先考虑自身利益而非国家利益。

    最终,即使在传统上的共和党州,作为共和党候选人参选也极为艰难——尤其是在所属党派的总统不受欢迎、民众担忧财务状况的情况下。

    最后,俄亥俄州选民表示他们在寻求参议员时最看重的品质是“变革”。布朗显然符合这一需求,有一半的选民支持他,而支持赫斯特的选民仅约40%。

    俄亥俄州州长选举竞争激烈,但最终也落入民主党阵营。维韦克·拉马斯瓦米竞选团队攻击民主党人艾米·阿克顿的争议广告似乎影响有限:在最后一周决定投票的选民中,两位候选人的支持率基本持平。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-Senate-Decided-Vote-Last-Week-Photo-1.jpg

    俄亥俄州关于拉马斯瓦米与阿克顿的参议院民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    缅因州

    五任联邦参议员苏珊·柯林斯是新英格兰地区仅有的共和党国会议员;而在首次候选人特洛伊·杰克逊(前伐木工、缅因州参议院议长)击败这位“度假之州”的代表后,该地区的共和党联邦议员数量已清零。

    整个选举过程竞争激烈,但民主党投入大量精力,尽可能将柯林斯与不受缅因州选民欢迎的特朗普绑定:60%的选民不认可特朗普的工作表现。

    这似乎产生了效果:60%的选民表示柯林斯过度支持总统。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Maine-Is-Collins-Too-Supportive-Of-Trump-Photo-1.jpg

    缅因州关于柯林斯支持特朗普总统的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    谁掌控参议院是缅因州选民的一大关切:80%的选民表示这是对他们投票的关键或重要因素。杰克逊在这类选民中优势超过10个百分点。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Maine-Important-Which-Party-Controls-Senate-To-Vote-Photo-1.jpg

    缅因州关于哪个政党掌控参议院影响投票的图表。(福克斯新闻)

    民主制度状况是缅因州选民的首要议题,80%的这类选民支持杰克逊。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Maine-Most-Important-Issue-Facing-The-Country-Photo-1.jpg

    缅因州选民认为国家面临的最重要议题图表。(福克斯新闻)

    四分之三的选民对国家发展方向感到愤怒或不满;这类选民压倒性地支持杰克逊。

    缅因州选民表示他们最希望参议员具备的品质是带来必要变革的能力,这类选民也大力支持杰克逊。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Maine-Most-Important-Quality-Photo-1.jpg

    缅因州关于最重要品质的民调,即带来变革的能力。(福克斯新闻)

    杰克逊在女性、年轻选民、大学毕业生、自由派、城市及郊区选民中击败了柯林斯。

    柯林斯的强势群体之一是非“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)阵营的共和党人,这基本是她的基本盘;但这并不足以让她获胜。

    艾奥瓦州

    特朗普在2024年以13个百分点的优势赢得艾奥瓦州,而两年后,共和党人阿什利·欣森以微弱劣势败给民主党人乔什·图雷克;后者翻转了现任、即将退休的参议员乔尼·恩斯特的席位。

    欣森虽成功留住乡村选民,但支持率不及两年前的特朗普,这可能是选举的关键因素:乡村共和党选民因关税、高汽油与柴油价格及伊朗战争而受挫。

    60%的选民表示关税正在损害艾奥瓦州的经济,同样数量的选民表示对汽油价格非常担忧,还有同样数量的选民认为伊朗战争(汽油价格高的主要原因)是错误决定。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Iowa-US-Decision-Military-Action-Against-Iran-Photo-1.jpg

    艾奥瓦州关于美国对伊朗采取军事行动的决定是否正确的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    至少可以说,艾奥瓦州选民对国家现状不满,70%的选民对此感到愤怒或不满。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Iowa-How-Things-Are-Going-In-US-Photo-1.jpg

    艾奥瓦州关于美国现状的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    艾奥瓦人不认可特朗普的工作表现,欣森可能为此付出了代价:超过一半的选民表示欣森过度支持特朗普。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Iowa-Is-Hinson-Too-Supportive-Of-Trump-Photo-1.jpg

    艾奥瓦州关于欣森支持唐纳德·特朗普总统的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    最终,图雷克在年轻选民与西班牙裔选民(两年前特朗普在这两个群体中表现出色)中的优势,加上在大学毕业生与郊区选民中的支持,是欣森无法逾越的。

    堪萨斯州

    原本看似稳操胜券的连任选举,对堪萨斯州共和党参议员罗杰·马歇尔而言出人意料地艰难:他输给了受欢迎的大型教会牧师亚当·汉密尔顿,民主党阵营实现席位翻转。

    近百年来,堪萨斯州从未选举民主党人参议院。但汉密尔顿作为该州知名人物,加上经济困境与马歇尔面对不受欢迎总统的不利局面,成功改变了这一现状。

    汽油价格是堪萨斯州选民的一大关切,马歇尔本人在竞选期间也承认了这一点;事实上,超过一半的选民表示对此高度担忧。

    引发高汽油价格的原因之一是伊朗战争,这是另一大关切:60%的选民表示伊朗战争是错误决定,超过90%的选民称这影响了他们的投票。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Kansas-Iran-War-Photo-1.jpg

    堪萨斯州关于伊朗战争是否影响国会选举投票的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    在农业州,关税是另一关键议题:60%的选民表示关税正在损害堪萨斯州的经济。

    乡村选民两年前以72%的支持率支持特朗普,而此次仅约60%的乡村选民支持马歇尔。

    尽管特朗普三度为马歇尔在该州助选,但总体上对他并无帮助:特朗普的支持率比反对率低超过10个百分点,而马歇尔并未试图与日益不受欢迎的总统拉开距离。

    这最终可能损害了他的选情:60%的堪萨斯州选民将通胀归咎于特朗普的政策,并认为经济状况恶化也是如此。

    近60%的选民表示特朗普偏离了重点,没有关注重要事务;这类选民以近10比1的比例支持汉密尔顿。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Kansas-Poll-On-Whether-Trump-Has-The-Right-Priorities-Photo-1.jpg

    堪萨斯州关于特朗普是否拥有正确优先事项的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    除乡村选民外,马歇尔在年轻选民中的表现也相当糟糕:2024年,年轻选民中58%支持特朗普,而此次超过80%的年轻选民支持马歇尔的对手汉密尔顿。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Kansas-Young-Voters-Photo-1.jpg

    堪萨斯州关于年轻选民的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    密歇根州

    民主党人阿卜杜勒·赛义德击败共和党众议员迈克·罗杰斯,保住了密歇根州参议院的民主党席位。他将成为首位穆斯林联邦参议员。

    竞选期间,赛义德需应对与极端组织有家族关系以及与极左翼过于亲近的指控。但当被问及是否认为他过于极端时,密歇根州选民给出了否定答案。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Michigan-Are-El-Sayeds-Views-Too-Extreme-Photo-1.jpg

    密歇根州关于赛义德观点是否过于极端的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    另一方面,他的对手罗杰斯则面临所属党派总统不受欢迎的困境——特朗普的一些政策在他期望代表的州不受欢迎。当被问及是否认为罗杰斯过度支持特朗普时,答案是肯定的:超过60%的选民表示认同。

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Michigan-Is-Rogers-Too-Supportive-of-Trump-Photo-1.jpg

    密歇根州关于罗杰斯是否过度支持唐纳德·特朗普总统的民调图表。(福克斯新闻)

    密歇根州选民对特朗普的工作表现不满:60%的选民不认可。70%的选民认为经济状况糟糕,80%的选民表示通胀给他们带来困难,40%的选民称过去一年家庭财务状况恶化。所有这些群体都支持赛义德。

    以色列问题也成为竞选议题,超过一半的选民认为美国对以色列的支持过多。

    此前有担忧称黑人选民不会全力支持赛义德,但近90%的黑人选民都投了支持票,与2024年哈里斯获得的支持率基本持平。

    年轻选民:两年前,密歇根州一半的年轻选民支持特朗普;此次选举中,罗杰斯获得的支持率不到三分之一。

    罗杰斯在乡村选民与无大学学历选民中表现不错——这些都是可靠的共和党群体,但他无法克服赛义德在女性、大学毕业生、城市与郊区选民中的优势。

    明尼苏达州

    这场选举在传统上是蓝州的明尼苏达州看似出人意料地胶着:副州长佩吉·弗拉纳根成功为民主党保住了即将退休的参议员蒂娜·史密斯的席位。

    她的对手——长期担任NFL边线记者的米歇尔·托法亚——试图在腐败问题上猛烈攻击弗拉纳根,将其与该州爆发的大规模诈骗丑闻联系起来。腐败确实是选民的一大关切:60%的选民认为这是一个重大问题。这类选民以超过2比1的比例支持托法亚,但弗拉纳根在其他地区都获得了胜利。

    明尼苏达州的首要议题是民主制度状况,弗拉纳根在这类选民中的优势是4比1。

    经济是明尼苏达州选民的第二大议题,显然他们对经济状况不满意:70%的选民认为经济不佳或很差,80%的选民表示通胀给家庭带来困难,60%的选民将通胀归咎于特朗普的政策,三分之二的选民认为特朗普的政策加剧了经济恶化。

    弗拉纳根积极将托法亚与不受欢迎的特朗普绑定,这似乎产生了效果。选民也质疑托法亚的经验:超过一半的选民认为她经验不足。

    然而,弗拉纳根的极左进步主义政治并未让选民却步:超过一半的选民认为她的观点不过于极端。

    得克萨斯州

    詹姆斯·塔拉里科击败共和党人肯·帕克斯,翻转了参议院席位;两年前,特朗普以14个百分点的优势赢得该州,此次胜利终结了共和党在“孤星之州”长达数十年的掌控。他是30多年来首位在得克萨斯州赢得全州选举的民主党人。

    2024年,西班牙裔选民中一半的选票支持特朗普,此次选举中三分之二的西班牙裔选民支持塔拉里科,实现了立场反转。

    年轻选民压倒性地支持塔拉里科,80%的年轻选民投票支持他——而两年前,超过一半的年轻选民支持特朗普。

    2024年,特朗普在乡村选民中获得73%的支持率。塔拉里科并未赢得乡村选民,但帕克斯在这一坚定的共和党群体中表现挣扎,仅获得约60%的支持率。

    帕克斯还留住了四分之三的非“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)阵营共和党选民,许多人此前预计这类选民会倒戈;但他们对帕克斯的支持率与2024年对特朗普的支持率基本持平。

    帕克斯是一位争议候选人:他在与长期共和党参议员约翰·科宁的激烈初选中胜出,还面临多项法律与个人丑闻。他的支持率也反映了这一点:60%的选民表示对他没有好感。而40%的选民对塔拉里科也持同样看法。

    黑人选民的支持对塔拉里科至关重要,尤其是在他与众议员贾丝明·克罗克特的初选竞争激烈(克罗克特并未支持他)之后。黑人选民的投票率很高:90%的黑人选民支持塔拉里科。而2024年,特朗普仅获得20%的黑人选票。

    得克萨斯州选民情绪激动,70%的选民对国家发展方向感到愤怒或不满。

    他们对伊朗战争也感到不满——在一个高度依赖石油产业的州,这并不意外。90%的选民称伊朗战争是影响他们投票的因素,60%的选民表示这是错误决定,另有60%的选民称对汽油价格非常担忧。

    州长选举中,共和党人格雷格·阿博特寻求历史性的第四任期,但输给了民主党州众议员吉娜·伊诺霍萨;后者将成为该州首位西班牙裔州长,也是1990年安·理查兹以来首位当选的民主党州长。

    阿博特的失败或许并不意外:超过一半的得克萨斯州选民对他持负面看法,而对伊诺霍萨持负面看法的选民约为40%。

    阿拉斯加州

    这场选举涉及现任共和党人丹·沙利文、民主党人玛丽·佩尔托拉及无党派人士“诱饵”丹·沙利文;阿拉斯加州参议院选举在当晚结束时仍难以确定结果。

    竞选最后一周的焦点转向《纽约时报》的一则报道,称阿拉斯加州民主党人故意在选票上放置第二位丹·沙利文,以削弱共和党人的胜算。佩尔托拉否认了这一报道,但当选民前往投票站时,诉讼与指控接连不断。

    与全国其他地区一样,生活成本问题是关键关切。近一半的阿拉斯加选民对汽油、医疗保健、食品与水电价格深感担忧。

    点击此处下载福克斯新闻应用

    不过,经济并非首要议题,民主制度状况才是,这类选民大力支持佩尔托拉。

    2024年,特朗普以13个百分点的优势赢得阿拉斯加州。如今,不认可特朗普工作表现的选民多于认可的选民。

    两年后,特朗普显然并未带来帮助:超过一半的选民表示沙利文与总统过于亲近。然而,在所有认为沙利文过度支持特朗普的选民中,仍有近五分之一的人支持他。

    各州民调方法

    福克斯新闻选民民调基于SSRS进行的全美登记选民调查。调查时间为2026年10月19日至11月3日,结束于选举日投票结束时。其中,南卡罗来纳州有900余名选民受访;堪萨斯州1000名;阿拉斯加州2900名;缅因州4000名;明尼苏达州3900名;俄亥俄州4300名;艾奥瓦州4400名;密歇根州4700名;得克萨斯州5200名。完整方法详情可点击此处查看。

    Fox News Voter Poll: How Democrats took control of the Senate

    2026-11-04T13:13:22-05:00

    Dems flip control of House and Senate in major Capitol Hill power shift

    Democrats flip control of Congress as Cheryl Casone and Todd Piro break down the 2026 Capitol Hill power shift. Chad Pergram details key victories, including in Michigan and Texas. Austin Petersen, a former libertarian presidential candidate, also joins ‘Fox & Friends First’ to provide his analysis.

    The much-touted “blue wave” came to fruition as Democrats won a stunning run of victories in both red and blue states.

    They also came out ahead in key governor’s races.

    The Fox News Voter Poll, a survey of more than 100,000 voters nationwide, highlights the central themes and demographic groups that defined these important races.

    STATE OF PLAY: BLUE WAVE SWEEPS DEMOCRATS INTO POWER, WITH KEY RACES STILL HANGING IN BALANCE

    SOUTH CAROLINA

    Democrat Annie Andrews won a close-run race against incumbent Republican Darline Graham to flip a Senate seat that had been in the hands of Graham’s brother Lindsey for more than 20 years.

    Appointed to the seat after her brother’s death in July, Graham underperformed his electoral strength; he won re-election to the Senate in 2020 by 11 percentage points. She also underperformed President Donald Trump’s strength among key groups from two years ago.

    Rural voters, for instance, backed Trump with 63% in 2024 – Graham this year garnered only 51%. Former Vice President Kamala Harris received 36% of the rural vote in 2024; Andrews bested that by about 10 points.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/South-Carolina-Andrews-Graham-Photo-1.jpg

    South Carolina graphic on rural voters for Andrews and Graham.(Fox News)

    Graham did manage to hang on to non-MAGA Republican voters, amid concerns that they would defect. But again, she got 70% of their vote, while Trump pulled in 79% two years ago.

    Independents: Andrews ran away among these voters, getting about 7 in 10. Trump received 39%, while Graham managed less than 20%.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/South-Carolina-Independent-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic of the South Carolina independent voters on Andrews and Graham.(Fox News)

    Andrews did well with women, college graduates and urban voters.

    She also benefited from Democrats being more unified behind her than Republicans were for Graham. Almost all Democrats backed Andrews, while just about 8 in 10 Republicans voted for Graham. More than 10% of Republicans crossed party lines to support Andrews.

    The economy was by far the top issue in the state, with more than four in 10 putting it in the top spot. Andrews received the majority of those voters.

    THE ECONOMY IS ON THE BALLOT. 3 CHARTS REVEAL THE REALITY VOTERS FACE AS THEY HEAD TO THE POLLS

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/South-Carolina-Senate-Issues-Economy-State-of-democracy-Immigration-Healthcare-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic displaying the South Carolina Senate issues to include the economy, state of democracy, healthcare, and immigration.(Fox News)

    Three-quarters said inflation caused their family hardship in the past year, and more than half are very concerned about the cost of gas, food, utilities and healthcare.

    And voters blame Trump for their economic woes: six in 10 say his policies have made things worse, and more than half blame him for inflation.

    AMERICA SAW THE BLUE WAVE COMING — BUT DRASTICALLY UNDERESTIMATED THE EXTENT OF THE DEM TSUNAMI

    Graham was also found lacking as far as having the right experience to serve as senator. More than six in 10 said she did not.

    OHIO

    Democrat Sherrod Brown won back his seat in the Senate, flipping it into the “D” column. He was ahead in the polls throughout the race and pulled off a win against Republican Jon Husted, who had been appointed to JD Vance’s seat when he became vice president.

    Husted tried to play the “extreme” card on Brown, which didn’t quite play among an electorate that was familiar with him after serving three terms in the Senate. More than half said he wasn’t.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-Are-Browns-Views-Too-Extreme-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic of the Ohio poll on the extremity of Brown’s views.(Fox News)

    Brown did, on the other hand, wield the too-close-to-Trump card on Husted – and quite effectively at that, with close to six in 10 voters saying the Republican was too supportive of the president.

    VANCE’S SCATHING IRAN WAR POSTMORTEM PUTS POTENTIAL 2028 GOP SHOWDOWN IN FOCUS: ‘EVERYONE KNOWS WHY’

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-Is-Husted-Too-Supportive-Of-Trump-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic of the Ohio poll displaying what pollsters think of Husted being too supportive of President Donald Trump.(Fox News)

    The question of whether Democrats could regain working-class voters amid concerns over the economy and affordability was at the heart of this race. And it appears they did.

    Husted struggled with working-class voters. Two years ago, Trump pulled in 61% of voters with no college degree – Husted got only half.

    Trump also dominated among rural voters two years ago, garnering 70%; Husted was about 11 percentage points below that.

    Young voters: Trump pulled in 60% of voters under 30 in 2024; Husted, not even a quarter. That is an enormous swing to Brown and the Democrats.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-Senate-Young-Voters-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic of young voters under the age of 30 in Ohio.(Fox News)

    Hispanic voters were another huge swing back into the Democratic column. Trump got 58% to Harris’ 41% in 2024. This time, three-quarters of them went for Brown.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-Senate-Hispanic-Voters-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic on hispanic voters for the Ohio senate.(Fox News)

    The economy was definitely at the top of voters’ minds. Close to seven in 10 say the state of the economy is not good, eight in 10 say inflation has been a hardship for them, and six in 10 say Trump’s policies are to blame.

    Add that up, and Trump was no doubt a drag on Republican Husted. The president’s job approval is underwater by close to 20 points.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-President-Trump-Job-Performance-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic on President Trump’s job performance poll in Ohio.(Fox News)

    Six in 10 also say that Trump prioritizes his own interests rather than the country’s.

    In the end, it was a tough year to run as a Republican – even in a traditionally Republican state – when the party’s president is unpopular and people are worried about their finances.

    Finally, the top quality Ohio voters say they are looking for in a senator is change. And Brown is apparently that guy, with half of those voters backing him compared to about four in 10 for Husted.

    The Ohio governor’s race was competitive, but ended in the “D” column as well. A controversial ad by the Vivek Ramaswamy campaign attacking Democrat Amy Acton appears to have had little impact, with voters who made their decision in the last week, basically breaking even between the two candidates.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Ohio-Senate-Decided-Vote-Last-Week-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic of the Ohio senate poll on Ramaswamy and Acton.(Fox News)

    MAINE

    Five-term Sen. Susan Collins was the only Republican member of Congress from New England – and that total is now down to zero after first-time candidate Troy Jackson, a former logger and Maine Senate president, defeated the Vacationland mainstay.

    The race was tight throughout, but Democrats spent a lot of time tying Collins as closely as they could to President Trump, who is not very popular among Maine voters. Six in 10 disapprove of the job he is doing.

    That seems to have had an effect, with six in 10 saying she is too supportive of the president.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Maine-Is-Collins-Too-Supportive-Of-Trump-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic displaying Maine poll on Collin’s support of President Trump.(Fox News)

    Who controls the Senate was a big concern for Maine voters, with eight in 10 saying it was a crucial or major factor to their vote. Jackson carried those voters by more than 10 points.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Maine-Important-Which-Party-Controls-Senate-To-Vote-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic on which party in Maine controls Senate to vote.(Fox News)

    The state of democracy was the number one issue for Maine voters. And these voters went eight in 10 for Jackson.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Maine-Most-Important-Issue-Facing-The-Country-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic on the most important issue facing the country according to a Maine poll.(Fox News)

    Three-quarters are angry or dissatisfied with the direction the country is going; again, those voters went overwhelmingly for Jackson.

    The quality Mainers said they’d most like to see in their senator is the ability to bring needed change. Those voters went big for Jackson.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Maine-Most-Important-Quality-Photo-1.jpg

    Maine poll on which is the most important quality that can bring change.(Fox News)

    Jackson bested Collins among women, young voters, college graduates, liberals, urban and suburban voters.

    One of Collins’ strongest groups was non-MAGA Republicans, which was pretty much her brand. But not enough to carry the day.

    IOWA

    Trump won Iowa by 13 percentage points in 2024, but two years later, Republican Ashley Hinson was edged out by Democrat Josh Turek, who flipped the seat currently held by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst.

    Hinson managed to hang on to rural voters, but not by as much as Trump did two years ago, and that could have been a key factor in the race, with rural Republican voters feeling hampered by tariffs, high gas and diesel prices and the Iran war.

    Six in 10 voters say tariffs are hurting Iowa’s economy, the same number who say they are very concerned about the price of gas, and the same number yet again who say the Iran war, a major cause of high gas prices, was the wrong decision.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Iowa-US-Decision-Military-Action-Against-Iran-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic of an Iowa asking whether the United States’ decision to take military action against Iran was right or wrong.(Fox News)

    Iowa voters are not happy with the way things are going in the country, to say the least, with seven in 10 angry or dissatisfied about it.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Iowa-How-Things-Are-Going-In-US-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic on Iowa poll about how things are going in the U.S.(Fox News)

    Iowans don’t approve of the job Trump is doing, and Hinson likely paid a price for that, with more than half saying she is too supportive of him.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Iowa-Is-Hinson-Too-Supportive-Of-Trump-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic of an Iowa poll on Hinson’s support of President Donald Trump.(Fox News)

    In the end, Turek’s strength among young voters and Hispanics – two groups Trump did very well with only two years ago – plus college graduates and suburban voters was all too much for Hinson to overcome.

    KANSAS

    What seemed a safe bet turned into a surprisingly tough re-election bid for Kansas Republican Sen. Roger Marshall, who lost to popular megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton in a flip for the Democratic column.

    Kansas hasn’t elected a Democrat to the Senate in nearly 100 years. But Hamilton, being a well-known figure in the state, plus the headwinds of a tough economy and an unpopular president facing Marshall, was able to change that.

    The price of gas was a big concern for Kansas voters, a fact Marshall himself acknowledged during the campaign. And indeed, more than half of them said they were very concerned about it.

    The war in Iran, one of the causes of those high gas prices, was another concern, with six in 10 saying it was the wrong decision, and more than nine in 10 saying it was a factor in their vote.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Kansas-Iran-War-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic on Kansas poll on whether the Iran war is a factor to votes for congress.(Fox News)

    Tariffs were another key issue in a farm state, with six in 10 saying they are hurting the Kansas economy.

    Rural voters backed Trump 72% two years ago, but only about six in 10 did the same for Marshall.

    Trump overall was not a help for Marshall, even though he campaigned for him in the state three times. His job approval is underwater by more than 10 points, and Marshall made no attempt to distance himself from the increasingly unpopular president.

    That likely hurt him in the end, as six in 10 Kansas voters point the finger at Trump’s policies for inflation and for worsening economic conditions.

    They also think Trump has taken his eye off the ball when it comes to what matters, with close to six in 10 saying the president is focusing on the wrong priorities. Those voters went almost 10 to one for Hamilton.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Kansas-Poll-On-Whether-Trump-Has-The-Right-Priorities-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic of Kansas poll on whether President Trump has the right priorities.(Fox News)

    In addition to rural voters, Marshall also underperformed rather spectacularly with young voters, who gave Trump 58% of the vote in 2024, but went more than eight in 10 for Marshall’s opponent, Hamilton.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Kansas-Young-Voters-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic on Kansas poll of young voters.(Fox News)

    MICHIGAN

    Democrat Abdul El-Sayed pulled off a win against Republican Rep. Mike Rogers to keep Michigan’s Senate seat blue. He will be the first Muslim member of the Senate.

    El-Sayed fended off charges of family ties to extremist groups and being too closely aligned with the far-left during the campaign. But when asked whether they found him too extreme, Michigan voters said no.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Michigan-Are-El-Sayeds-Views-Too-Extreme-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic of Michigan poll on El-Sayed’s views.(Fox News)

    His opponent Rogers, however, faced the headwinds of an unpopular president of his own party with some policies that were pretty unpopular in the state he was hoping to represent. When asked if he was too closely tied to Trump, the answer was a resounding yes – with more than six in 10 saying so.

    https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/Michigan-Is-Rogers-Too-Supportive-of-Trump-Photo-1.jpg

    Graphic on Michigan poll on whether Rogers is too supportive of President Trump.(Fox News)

    Michigan voters really don’t like the job Trump is doing – six in 10 say they disapprove. Seven in 10 say the economy is in bad shape, eight in 10 say inflation has been a hardship for them, while four in 10 say their family’s financial situation has gotten worse over the past year. All of these voters broke for El-Sayed.

    Israel became an issue in the campaign, with more than half saying U.S. support is too strong.

    There was concern that Black voters wouldn’t come through for El-Sayed, but close to nine in 10 of them did, about the same level as they did for Harris in 2024.

    Young voters: half of them went for Trump two years ago in Michigan. This time, less than a third backed Rogers.

    Rogers did well enough with rural voters and those with no college degree, reliably Republican groups. But he couldn’t overcome El-Sayed’s strength among women, college graduates, urban and suburban voters.

    MINNESOTA

    In a race that seemed surprisingly close in a reliably blue state, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan succeeded in holding retiring Sen. Tina Smith’s seat for the Democrats.

    Her opponent, longtime NFL sideline reporter Michele Tafoya, tried to hit Flanagan hard on corruption, linking her to the massive fraud scandals unfolding in the state. And corruption is indeed a major concern for voters, with six in 10 saying it is a major problem. Those voters went more than two to one for Tafoya, but Flanagan carried the day just about everywhere else.

    The top issue in Minnesota is the state of democracy. Flanagan carried those voters by four to one.

    The economy was the No. 2 issue for Minnesota voters, and they are clearly not happy with any of it. Seven in 10 rate the economy as not so good or poor, eight in 10 say inflation has been a hardship for their family, six in 10 blame Trump’s policies for inflation, and two-thirds say Trump policies have made the economy worse.

    Flanagan worked overtime to link Tafoya to the unpopular president, and it seems to have paid off. Voters also question Tafoya’s experience, with more than half deciding she didn’t have enough.

    Flanagan’s far-left progressive politics don’t seem to give them pause, however, with more than half saying her views are not too extreme.

    TEXAS

    James Talarico defeated Republican Ken Paxton, flipping a Senate seat in a state Trump won by 14 points only two years ago and breaking a decades-long Republican hold on the Lone Star State. He is the first Democrat in more than 30 years to win a statewide race in Texas.

    Hispanic voters, who gave half of their vote to Trump in 2024, turned around and supported Talarico by two-thirds.

    Young voters turned out overwhelmingly for Talarico, with eight in 10 backing him – this after more than half of them supported Trump two years ago.

    Trump carried 73% of rural voters in 2024. Talarico didn’t win them, but Paxton struggled with this die-hard Republican group, getting about six in 10 of their votes.

    Paxton also held on to three quarters of non-MAGA Republicans, many of whom were expected to defect, but gave him about the same level of support as they did Trump in 2024.

    Paxton was a controversial candidate, having won a divisive primary against longtime Republican Sen. John Cornyn and facing various legal and personal scandals. His unfavorable rating reflects this, with six in 10 saying they don’t have a good opinion of him. Four in 10 say the same about Talarico.

    Black support was crucial for Talarico, especially after his own divisive primary against Rep. Jasmine Crockett, who did not endorse him. And turn out they did – nine in 10 of them. This after Trump managed to pull 20% of the Black vote in 2024.

    Texas voters are in an ornery mood, with seven in 10 saying they are angry or dissatisfied with the direction the country is going.

    They’re also feeling surly about the Iran war – perhaps not a surprise in a state so dependent on the oil business. Nine in 10 say the war was a factor in their vote, six in 10 say it was the wrong decision, and another six in 10 say they are very concerned about the cost of gas.

    In the governor’s race, Republican Greg Abbott was seeking a historic fourth term, but lost to Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, who will be the first Hispanic governor of the state and the first Democrat elected governor since Ann Richards in 1990.

    Abbott’s loss is perhaps not surprising given more than half of Texas voters have an unfavorable opinion of him, compared to about four in 10 who feel the same way about Hinojosa.

    ALASKA

    In a race featuring the incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan, Democrat Mary Peltola, and independent “Decoy” Dan Sullivan, the Alaska Senate race remains too early to call at the end of the night.

    The focus of the final week of the campaign turned on a New York Times report saying Alaska Democrats intentionally placed a second Dan Sullivan on the ballot in order to hurt the Republican’s chances. Peltola denied the report, but lawsuits and accusations were flying as voters headed to the polls.

    As elsewhere across the country, affordability issues were a key concern. Just about half of Alaska voters were very concerned about the cost of gas, healthcare, food and utilities.

    CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

    The economy was not the No. 1 issue, however. The state of democracy took top place, and those voters went strongly for Peltola.

    Trump carried the state by 13 points in 2024. Now, more voters disapprove of the job he’s doing than approve.

    Two years later he’s not exactly a help. More than half say that Sullivan is too close to the president. Yet, almost one in five of those who say he is too supportive of Trump still back him.

    Methodology for states

    The Fox News Voter Poll is based on a survey conducted by SSRS with registered voters nationwide. This survey was conducted Oct. 19 to Nov. 3, 2026, concluding at the end of voting on Election Day. It includes more than 900 interviews with voters in South Carolina; 1,000 in Kansas; 2,900 in Alaska; 4,000 in Maine; 3,900 in Minnesota; 4,300 in Ohio; 4,400 in Iowa; 4,700 in Michigan; and 5,200 in Texas. Full methodological details are available here.

  • 战争、行政令与大规模建设:特朗普在跛脚总统任期内的预期表现


    2026-11-04 / CNN

    唐纳德·特朗普总统在周二晚的选举中遭到选民的明确否决,如今他正迈入自己当选任期的最后阶段,虽遭受打击,却愈发坚定地要牢牢掌控权力。

    他的盟友们坦言,总统任期的最后几年将充满挫败感,民主党人正着手推进他们承诺的调查,这些调查可能会牵连总统及其核心盟友。在这场斗争中,共和党人最终将着手确定特朗普的继任者,而且速度可能会比总统此前预期的更快。

    特朗普尚未排除与新近掌权的民主党人达成协议的可能性,部分顾问表示,总统打造出人意料合作关系的能力,将在其任期剩余时间里发挥作用。民主党不再是反对党,他们将面临展现治理能力的压力,这可能会激励与特朗普达成协议。

    不过,他最近又自诩为“否决先生”,谈及若民主党掌控立法部门时自己将如何应对,而他第一任期的记录并不能真正让人对跨党派合作抱有信心。一名参与内部讨论的消息人士表示,虽然特朗普在选举后的最初时刻可能表现出和解姿态,但他未来几年的行为将取决于民主党如何运用其权力。

    “如果国会愿意达成协议,他会促成协议;如果国会一上任就只关注调查,那你看到的将是截然不同的特朗普。”该消息人士说道。

    周二的选举结果是总统及其顾问一直在预料并准备应对的情况,即便特朗普曾启动为期一个月的红州巡回造势,旨在保住共和党的国会多数席位,同时彰显他作为该党领袖的独特地位。高强度的竞选活动让特朗普坦言自己已筋疲力尽,渴望休息。

    然而,此次选举结果是特朗普最不愿看到的。知情官员和顾问表示,在首次入主白宫10年后,被贴上“跛脚鸭”标签的前景正促使他考虑彰显自身影响力的新方式,尽管其党内许多人已开始设想没有他作为领袖的未来。

    短期来看,这可能意味着伊朗战争的迅速重启,特朗普已明确暗示,一旦中期选举季结束,他准备恢复该战争。过去几天,美国和伊朗谈判代表一直未能成功达成新协议。

    总统团队数月来一直在探索运用广泛行政权力推动其议程中那些在国会已无望获批的领域,包括移民和联邦支出。接近总统的人士表示,他准备突破行政权力的界限,强行推进自己的目标。

    据知情人士透露,由于不再受选民担心他在外交政策和个人项目上花费过多时间的困扰,特朗普预计将全力投入这两方面,在未来几周出席三场主要国际峰会,并投入更多精力推进他在华盛顿一直在推进的各项建设项目。选举次日,特朗普临时召集活动,展示白宫宴会厅的建设情况。

    在参众两院均已宣布由民主党掌控后几个小时,总统似乎并未准备为共和党竞选失利承担责任。他经常援引历史先例,指出现任总统所在政党在中期选举中失利的情况。特朗普还抱怨某些候选人不受欢迎且筹款能力不足——尽管他曾提名其中许多人。

    他私下里对那些质疑他将中期选举聚焦于自身做法的共和党人牢骚满腹,将过去的失利归咎于候选人失误或所谓的选举舞弊。在过去的政治挫折中,他极少调整方向。

    不过,人员改组的可能性尚未被排除,多位特朗普助手透露,许多政府官员已开始展望白宫之外,规划自己的职业发展。他的高级政治顾问私下将共和党失利归咎于伊朗战争,许多人认为特朗普可能正在寻找替罪羊。

    民主党已明确表示,他们打算利用国会多数席位发出传票并举行听证会,重点调查总统及其盟友的行为。特朗普在竞选期间警告称,他可能再次遭弹劾。民调显示,选举前选民对腐败问题的担忧急剧上升。

    “准备好应诉吧。”众议院监督委员会 incoming 的民主党主席罗伯特·加西亚在其政党掌控众议院——进而掌控传票权力后,以仅两个词的声明如是说道。

    政府律师已对潜在调查期待数月之久。然而截至9月,特朗普顾问告诉CNN,西翼部分人员曾预计会为总统及其高级顾问应对民主党潜在调查开展的大量准备工作并未真正落实,尽管部分官员已自行聘请律师。

    一名助手透露,白宫办公厅主任苏西·怀尔斯尤其会终止关于可能爆发针对政府最高层人员的大规模监督调查的讨论,认为这可能会分散竞选精力。

    “她总是说,‘我们要赢,然后把所有精力都投入到胜利中。’”该助手如此描述怀尔斯在中期选举前几个月的态度。

    其他白宫官员则表示,怀尔斯已私下告知白宫法律顾问办公室,要为民主党可能采取的行动做好准备,尽管她对工作人员说“要盯着目标”——这是其中一名官员的说法。

    “悄悄为那种情况做准备并不意味着要付诸行动。”其中一名官员说道。

    法律顾问办公室在最近几个月还额外聘请了15名律师,专门负责保护政府免受未来监督调查的影响。

    一名白宫官员表示:“如果疯狂的民主党人想要滥用权力,将调查、传票的过程政治化并试图毁掉他人生活,应该提醒他们,我们仍然控制着联邦政府及其所有权力。”

    不过,一些官员已聘请了自己的律师,或考虑购买法律保险,以应对许多人预期的如果卷入调查将产生的高额费用。由于特朗普第一任期的许多工作人员在“1月6日”事件调查中因高昂开支蒙受损失,其他初级工作人员已私下考虑是否应继续留在岗位,并指出他们预计民主党将大范围排查。

    还有涉及特朗普和白宫法律顾问威尔·沙夫等人的讨论,内容是关于对工作人员进行特赦的时机是否合适。他们尚未决定是否推进,不过特朗普并未排除这种可能性。

    西翼许多人认为,鉴于总统已在第一任期经历过两次弹劾审判,他个人对民主党调查的最坏结果有所预料。

    “他已经经历过一次了,当然会做好最坏打算。”一名消息人士告诉CNN。

    在与最信任盟友的私下讨论中,曾有几次他承认民主党掌控国会可能对他任期最后两年造成的重大影响,熟悉相关讨论的消息人士表示。

    “他记得自己的家人和助手被抹黑的感觉,更不用说面对两次弹劾了。”一名白宫官员说道。

    尽管如此,特朗普周三坚称,他对再次启动弹劾调查的潜在可能性“一点也不”担心。

    “如果他们那样做,我觉得会毁掉民主党。无缘无故的弹劾?什么?因为国家发展得好?”特朗普在白宫宴会厅现场对记者说道。

    白宫官员清楚,分裂的政府意味着特朗普想要通过的任何全面立法几乎都不可能。但他们也迅速提醒总统,他第二任期的议程很大程度上是通过行政命令推进的,并未依赖国会。

    顾问表示,这种模式在参众两院都由民主党掌控且拥有足够多数席位的情况下只会加剧。

    总统对行政权力的广泛运用由办公厅副主任斯蒂芬·米勒和预算主任拉塞尔·沃奇牵头。两人在特朗普任期早期一些颇具争议行动的策划中发挥了重要作用,比如移民限制和大幅削减联邦政府项目。

    如今,政府律师正在研究移民、联邦支出和关税领域的行动,这些行动可能推进总统那些在国会采取行动似乎无望的议程领域。可能的措施包括收紧签证规则、对进口商品征收新关税以及放宽某些监管。

    参议院民主党微弱多数可能不会对特朗普的立法战略产生重大影响。阻挠议事规则要求,多数重大立法需要获得60票才能通过。不过,一个明显的例外是总统提名,包括联邦法官提名——未来两年如果出现最高法院空缺,民主党可能会阻止任何潜在提名人选,多名共和党官员对此表示担忧。

    一些特朗普顾问认为,为展现治理能力,民主党会寻求达成妥协领域,至少在2028年总统选举周期开始前的短暂窗口期内会如此。

    “我是一个喜欢把事情做成的人,有一些事情我们可以达成共识。”特朗普周二晚告诉福克斯新闻,仅列出移民作为潜在妥协领域,未进一步阐述。

    特朗普承诺,他将否决民主党提交的与他的承诺相悖的任何立法,并在周二发布了一张印有白色大字体“否决”字样的红色帽子图片。推翻总统否决需要参众两院三分之多数投票支持。

    “我猜我会成为否决先生。”特朗普在选举日之前对《纽约邮报》播客说道,“然后在某个时候,我们可能会达成协议。”

    外交政策拥有更多自主权

    在过去两年多时间里专注于海外战争后,特朗普在中期竞选期间将伊朗和乌克兰冲突搁置一旁。现在,彻底结束两场冲突的努力将重新推进。

    许多总统在任期最后几年会转向外交政策,在这一领域他们的 unilateral 权力更大,国会限制其行动的能力有限,而且这有助于提升总统的遗产。

    对公开渴望获得诺贝尔和平奖的特朗普来说,这也被证明是令人沮丧的。伊朗战争的持续时间超出预期,特朗普私下抱怨这场战争严重损害了他所在政党的中期选举机会。

    一些特朗普盟友预计,竞选结束后他会找个人承担责任。国防部长皮特·赫格塞思一直是战争的支持者,一些盟友认为他可能会成为替罪羊。民主党甚至部分共和党人已暗示,赫格塞思将成为潜在弹劾程序及其他调查的主要目标。与此同时,一向通过征求意见做决策的特朗普,已向盟友询问他们对赫格塞思近期表现的看法。

    “归根结底,特朗普觉得(伊朗战争)被误导了——他确实被误导了,应该有人为此付出代价。”一名特朗普顾问告诉CNN。

    特朗普周二告诉福克斯新闻,他不考虑内阁改组,而特朗普圈子里的另一名成员表示,总统已明确表示,他认为赫格塞思应该反击潜在弹劾程序。特朗普为赫格塞思辩护,驳斥民主党罢免他的努力,称他是“伟大的战士”。

    2006年,时任总统乔治·W·布什在共和党在当年中期选举中遭遇惨败后迅速宣布国防部长唐纳德·拉姆斯菲尔德离任,部分原因是不得人心的伊拉克战争。

    目前尚不清楚特朗普是否会在伊朗冲突彻底结束前改组团队。几周来,高级顾问一直在讨论对伊朗发动新袭击的计划,希望在8个月内结束这场冲突。总统团队并非所有人都认为立即采取行动会有成效,一些人正推动留出更多时间尝试达成协议。

    无论结果如何,伊朗战争已成为一名曾承诺不让国家卷入外国冲突的总统的负担。同样,特朗普宣誓就职当天就承诺结束的乌克兰战争,也已成为一项未兑现的承诺。

    美国斡旋下的俄乌谈判将于本周在阿联酋恢复。此外,特朗普、俄罗斯领导人弗拉基米尔·普京和中国领导人习近平的三方会谈也在筹备中,将于本月晚些时候在中国深圳举行。

    十多年来,特朗普以铁腕掌控着共和党,排除异己,疏远不忠之人。他的盟友承认,这个时代已接近尾声。

    一些共和党人表示,在本周选举结果中彰显自身影响力将是一项挑战。特朗普曾被视为党内无人能挑战的领袖,如今他的政治资本已减弱,许多人将视他为早期跛脚总统。

    特朗普则有不同看法——在2028年初选前,他不准备放弃自己作为党内推动者的影响力角色。

    他的顾问表示,与第二任期第一年不同,当时他会迅速终止任何关于其未来继任者的讨论,如今总统更愿意谈论他对2028年的想法。一名接近特朗普的消息人士表示,总统清楚,一旦他指定一名继任者,他的跛脚总统身份就会被确立。顾问表示,围绕这一话题的具体讨论可能会在1月正式开始。

    “我不想谈论具体个人,因为现在谈论这个还为时过早。”特朗普周二晚说道,“我们还有很长的路要走,但我想现在该(考虑)了。”

    在2024年总统竞选期间,特朗普选择竞选伙伴时就提出了一个关键问题:谁最终能接替他并延续“美国优先”运动的火炬?这一考量是他选择JD·万斯的核心原因。

    不过,当他向身边人询问谁应该成为未来共和党总统候选人时,万斯并非唯一人选。国务卿马可·卢比奥也经常被提及。

    熟悉相关讨论的消息人士透露,特朗普已告诉盟友,他想看看初选竞选的进展——尤其是在初期阶段。支持卢比奥的特朗普顾问希望总统能尽快做出决定,他们指出卢比奥虽有知名度,但相信他需要比万斯更长的时间来让美国公众了解他。

    上个月在全国巡回造势时,特朗普几乎没有提及他离开白宫后将扮演什么角色。但他明确表示,他不打算放弃自己的权力。

    “你们知道,我们还剩两年多时间。你们相信吗?”他对爱荷华州苏城狂热的支持者说道,他们失望地发出嘘声。

    但他接着说道:“我离开后会拥有很大的权力。”

    本文已更新,补充了最新进展。

    Wars, executive actions, and a lot of construction: How Trump is expected to handle being a lame-duck president

    2026-11-04 / CNN

    President Donald Trump, resoundingly rejected by voters on Tuesday night, is entering the final phase of his elected career wounded but newly determined to retain an iron grip on power.

    The concluding years of his presidency will be frustrating ones, many of his allies admit, as Democrats embark on promised investigations that could ensnare the president and his top allies. Amid those fights, Republicans will eventually move to identify Trump’s successor, perhaps more quickly than the president once expected.

    Trump has not ruled out trying to strike deals with the newly empowered Democrats, and some advisers say the president’s capacity for forging unlikely partnerships could serve him well as his time in office wanes. No longer the opposition party, Democrats will be under pressure to show an ability to govern, which could incentivize deal-making with Trump.

    But he’s also recently dubbed himself “Mr. Veto” when musing about how he would handle Democrats controlling the legislative branch, and his record during his first term as president doesn’t exactly inspire confidence in cross-aisle cooperation. One source involved in internal discussions said while Trump may appear conciliatory in the immediate post-election moment, his behavior in the years ahead will come down to how Democrats wield their power.

    “If you have a Congress that’s willing to strike deals, he’s a deal-maker,” the source said. “If you have a Congress that’s going to come in and immediately only focus on investigations — then you’re going to get a very different version of Trump.”

    Tuesday’s outcome was one the president and his advisers have been anticipating and preparing for, even as Trump embarked on a month-long blitz of red states endeavoring to retain Republican congressional majorities but also demonstrate his singular status as the party’s head. The intensive campaigning left Trump, by his own admission, exhausted and ready for a break.

    Still, the outcome was Trump’s worst-case scenario. And 10 years after first entering office, the prospect of being labeled a lame-duck is now driving him to consider new ways to assert his relevance, officials and advisers said, even as many in his party begin to envision a future without him as their leader.

    In the immediate term, that could mean a swift renewal of the war against Iran, which Trump has strongly hinted he’s prepared to resume once the midterm season has ended. US and Iranian negotiators had been working unsuccessfully over the last several days to strike a new deal.

    The president’s team has also spent months exploring ways to wield expansive executive authority to advance areas of his agenda that no longer appear likely to gain approval in Congress, including immigration and federal spending. Those close to the president say he’s ready to push the boundaries of his executive power to force through his goals.

    No longer hampered by voters’ concerns he is spending too much time on foreign policy and his pet projects, Trump is expected to dive headlong into both, attending three major international summits over the coming weeks and dedicating more time to the various construction projects he has been pursuing in Washington, according to people familiar with the matter. The day after the election, Trump called an impromptu event to show off White House ballroom construction.

    In the hours after both chambers were called for Democrats, the president did not seem prepared to accept responsibility for Republicans’ defeats. He has regularly pointed to historic precedent showing midterm losses for the sitting president’s party. Trump has also complained about certain candidates’ likability and inability to fundraise effectively — despite having chosen many of them.

    He has griped privately at Republicans who questioned his approach of making the midterms about himself, blaming his past losses instead on candidate missteps or alleged fraud. He has rarely course corrected after past political setbacks.

    Yet the prospect of a staffing shakeup has not been ruled out, and many administration officials have begun to look beyond the White House as they plot career moves, according to several Trump aides. His top political advisers have privately blamed Republicans’ shortfalls on the Iran war, and many believe Trump could be looking for a scapegoat.

    Democrats have made clear they intend to use congressional majorities to issue subpoenas and hold hearings focused on the actions of the president and his allies. Trump warned on the campaign trail that he could be impeached again. Polls showed that voters’ corruption concerns surged ahead of the election.

    “Lawyer up,” read a two-word statement from the incoming Democratic chairman of the House Oversight Committee Robert Garcia after his party won control of the chamber — and its subpoena power.

    Administration lawyers have been expecting potential investigations for months. Yet as late as September, the extensive preparation that some in the West Wing had anticipated to ready the president and his senior advisers for potential Democratic probes wasn’t happening in earnest, Trump advisers told CNN, even as some officials have personally lawyered up.

    White House chief of staff Susie Wiles, in particular, would often shut down conversations regarding a likely onslaught of oversight probes into those operating at the highest levels of the administration, one of the advisers said, believing it could pull focus away from the campaign.

    “She would always say, ‘We are going to win and we’re going to put all our energy into winning,’” the adviser remarked of Wiles’ attitude in the months leading up to the midterm elections.

    Other White House officials argued that Wiles had privately told the White House Counsel’s office to prepare for what Democrats may do, even as she told staff to “keep their eye on the prize” — as one of them characterized it.

    “Quietly preparing for that scenario doesn’t mean deployment of that scenario,” one of the officials said.

    The Counsel’s office has also hired an additional 15 lawyers in recent months dedicated to protecting the administration from future oversight probes.

    “If crazed Democrats want to abuse their power and politicize the process of investigating and subpoenaing and try to destroy lives, they should be reminded that we still control the federal government and all of its powers,” a White House official said.

    Still, some officials have hired their own attorneys or considered purchasing legal insurance to cover what many anticipate will be steep fees if they become embroiled in an investigation. After many staffers in the first administration were burned by exorbitant expenses during the January 6 investigation, other junior staffers have privately mulled if they should stay at their jobs, noting that they expect Democrats to cast a wide net.

    There have also been conversations involving Trump and White House counsel Will Scharf, among others, over the wisdom of preemptive pardons for staffers. They have not decided whether to proceed, though Trump has not ruled it out.

    Many in the West Wing believe the president is personally expecting the worst when it comes to Democratic investigations — having already experienced two impeachment trials during his first term.

    “He went through this already once before, of course he expects the worst,” one source told CNN.

    There have been moments in his private discussions with his most trusted allies when he acknowledged the magnitude of what a Democratic-controlled Congress could mean for his final two years in office, sources familiar with the discussions said.

    “He remembers what it was like to have his family and his aides be dragged through the mud, let alone face two impeachments,” a White House official said.

    Still, Trump insisted Wednesday that he’s “not even a little bit” concerned about the potential for another impeachment investigation.

    “I think it would destroy the Democrat Party if they did that. Impeachment for no reason. What? For having a successful country?” Trump told reporters at the site of his White House ballroom.

    White House officials are clear-eyed that divided government means any sweeping legislation Trump wants passed will be virtually impossible. But they’re also quick to remind the president that his agenda throughout his second term has largely been carried out via executive order without relying on Congress.

    Advisers say that pattern will only intensify with Democrats in control of the House and Senate with ample majorities.

    The president’s expansive use of his executive authority has been headed by deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller and budget chief Russell Vought. Both played major roles in planning some of the more controversial actions Trump took early in his term, such as immigration crackdowns and steep cuts to federal government programs.

    Now, administration lawyers are looking at actions on immigration, federal spending and tariffs that could advance areas of the president’s agenda where congressional action appears unlikely. Possible measures include tightening rules on visas, applying new duties on imports and easing certain regulations.

    A narrow Democratic majority in the Senate may not make a drastic difference in Trump’s legislative strategy. Filibuster rules require most major legislation to secure 60 votes. However, a notable exception is presidential nominations, including for federal judges — Democrats could block any potential nominee to the Supreme Court if a vacancy arises over the next two years, something multiple Republican officials expressed concern over.

    Some Trump advisers believe Democrats, looking to demonstrate governing abilities, will seek out areas of compromise, at least in the narrow window before the 2028 presidential election cycle begins.

    “I’m a person that likes getting things done, and there are things that we can work with,” Trump told Fox News on Tuesday night, only listing immigration as an area of potential compromise but not elaborating further.

    Trump has promised he will veto any legislation sent by Democrats that butts up against his promises, and on Tuesday posted an image of a red hat with the word “VETO” in large white letters. Overriding a presidential veto requires two-thirds of the House and Senate.

    “I guess I’ll become Mr. Veto,” Trump told the New York Post podcast before Election Day. “And then at some point, we’ll probably make deals.”

    A freer hand on foreign policy

    After spending much of the past two years focused intently on wars abroad, Trump sought to put the conflicts in Iran and Ukraine on the backburner during the midterm campaign. Efforts to end both definitively are now poised to ramp back up.

    Many presidents in their final years turn to foreign policy, where their unilateral powers are greater and Congress has limited ability to restrict their actions. And it has the potential to burnish a presidential legacy.

    For Trump, who openly pines for a Nobel Peace Prize, it has also proved frustrating. The war in Iran has stretched longer than anticipated, and Trump has privately vented that it badly damaged his party’s midterm chances.

    Some Trump allies expect he will find someone to take the blame now that the campaign is over. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who has been a proponent of the war, is seen by some allies as potentially vulnerable. Democrats and even some Republicans have already suggested Hegseth will be a prime target for potential impeachment proceedings, among other probes. Meanwhile Trump, always one to crowdsource an opinion, has asked allies about their thoughts on Hegseth’s performance of late.

    “The bottom line is that Trump feels misled (on the Iran war) — he was misled,” one Trump adviser told CNN. “And somebody should pay for that.”

    Trump told Fox on Tuesday he was not considering a Cabinet shakeup, and another member of Trump’s circle said the president has made clear he believes Hegseth should fight back against potential impeachment proceedings. Trump has defended Hegseth and dismissed Democratic efforts to remove him, calling him a “great warrior.”

    In 2006, then-President George W. Bush swiftly announced the departure of Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld after Republicans suffered a drubbing in that year’s midterms, driven in part by the unpopular Iraq war.

    It’s not clear whether Trump would shake up his team before a definitive end to the Iran conflict. For weeks, top advisers have been debating plans for new strikes on Iran, hoping to bring the eight-month conflict to a conclusive end. Not everyone on the president’s team believes imminent action would be productive, and some are pushing for more time to try striking a deal.

    Either way, the Iran war has become a burden for a president who once promised not to get the country embroiled in a foreign conflict. Similarly, the Ukraine war — which Trump vowed to end within a day of taking office — has come to represent an unfulfilled promise.

    Talks between Ukraine and Russia mediated by the United States will resume this week in the United Arab Emirates. And planning is underway for a trilateral meeting between Trump, Russian leader Vladimir Putin and Chinese leader Xi Jinping when the men convene in Shenzhen, China, later this month.

    For more than a decade, Trump has steered the Republican Party with an iron grip, banishing dissent and shunning those who were disloyal. That era, even his allies admit, is nearing an end.

    Reasserting his relevance amid this week’s results will be a challenge, some Republicans said. Where Trump was once viewed as the party leader few could challenge, his political capital has waned and many will now view him as an early lame duck.

    Trump views it differently — and isn’t prepared to let go of his influential role as the party jockeys ahead of the 2028 primaries.

    Unlike during the first year of his second term, when he would swiftly shut down any talk of his future successor, the president has been more readily willing to discuss his thoughts on 2028, his advisers said. One source close to Trump said the president is aware the second he anoints a successor, his lame-duck status will be cemented. Advisers said specific conversations around this topic would likely begin in in earnest in January.

    “I don’t want to talk about individuals because it’s still a little bit too soon to do that,” Trump said Tuesday night. “We still have a long way to go, but I guess it’s going to be time now.”

    During his 2024 presidential campaign, Trump approached the selection of his running mate with that key question in mind: Who might be best to eventually replace him and carry on the MAGA torch? That argument was central in his decision to go with JD Vance.

    But as he’s polled those around him over who should be the future GOP presidential nominee, Vance is not alone on the list. Secretary of State Marco Rubio often comes up as well.

    Trump has told allies that he wants to see how the primary campaign plays out — especially in the beginning, sources familiar with the talks said. Trump advisers who support Rubio are hoping the president will make a decision sooner rather than later, noting while Rubio has name recognition they believe he will need a longer runway than Vance to get to know the American public.

    As he was crisscrossing the country last month, Trump made little mention of what role he would play once he has left the White House. But he made clear he wasn’t planning to relinquish his authority.

    “You know, we only have a little more than two years left. Can you believe it?” he told an adoring crowd in Sioux City, Iowa, who booed in disappointment.

    But,” he went on, “I’m going to have a lot of power when I leave.”

    This story has been updated with additional developments.

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