2026-11-04T12:10:00-05:00 / 福克斯新闻
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407895132112
民调专家贾斯汀·沃林做客《福克斯与朋友们》栏目，分析民主党拿下参众两院的中期选举重大结果。沃林解析了关键竞选，包括詹姆斯·塔拉里科在得克萨斯州参议院对决中击败肯·帕克斯顿。
在一场历史性中期选举中，民主党凭借广泛的选民不满情绪掀起蓝色浪潮，横扫参众两院。经济、政府腐败、伊朗战争，以及对唐纳德·特朗普总统工作表现日益负面的评价，共同构成了民主党在共和党票仓州拿下参议院席位的完美风暴。
截至发稿时，民主党在参议院拥有54席多数，在众议院已确保228席。阿拉斯加州势均力敌的参议院竞选目前仍胜负难分。
福克斯新闻选民民调于2026年10月19日至11月3日对全国超过10万名登记选民展开调查，结合线上、电话访谈及选举日选民的实地调查。
继2024年选举中出现明显右转后，今年的中期选举标志着重回左翼。选民仍按社区类型、性别和教育程度分化，这一模式在近年选举中已司空见惯。郊区和城市选民、女性及西班牙裔选民支持民主党，而农村选民、男性和未拥有大学学历的选民则偏向共和党。
事态进展：蓝色浪潮将民主党推掌权位，关键竞选仍胜负未分
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示了民主党票仓的人口统计特征。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示了共和党票仓的人口统计特征。（福克斯新闻）
曾助力特朗普在2024年获胜的群体——包括农村、西班牙裔、年轻及独立选民——坚定转向民主党。
民主党在惊人蓝色海啸中夺取众议院控制权，誓言对特朗普政府展开清算
特朗普胜选的关键群体农村选民，2024年以28个百分点支持特朗普。这一优势下滑10个百分点，共和党众议院候选人仅以18个百分点领先。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示农村选民在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
共和党在农村女性选民中的表现不及预期。特朗普2024年以21个百分点赢得该群体支持，今年共和党众议院候选人仅以8个百分点领先，降幅达13个百分点。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示农村女性在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
与此同时，郊区女性坚定转向民主党。哈里斯以14个百分点优势赢得该群体支持，她们以24个百分点的差距支持民主党众议院候选人。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示郊区女性在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
这一转变超越了社区界限。两年前出人意料地支持特朗普的西班牙裔选民，在支持哈里斯仅以12个百分点优势后，本轮以27个百分点支持民主党众议院候选人。这主要由西班牙裔男性推动，他们2024年仅以2个百分点的微弱优势支持哈里斯，本轮则以15个百分点支持民主党。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示西班牙裔选民的投票模式。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示西班牙裔男性在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
年轻选民也呈现类似模式。30岁以下群体通常被视为可靠的民主党派票仓，但他们违背传统认知，2024年仅以4个百分点的微弱优势支持哈里斯。如今，他们支持民主党众议院候选人的比例几乎是共和党三倍。
“做好准备：共和党中期选举遭遇惨重失败之际，民主党立即向特朗普发出警告”
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示30岁以下选民在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
年轻男性的政党偏好完全逆转，从以15个百分点支持特朗普，转变为以33个百分点支持民主党众议院候选人，波动幅度达48个百分点。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示年轻男性在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
支持本党众议院候选人的民主党人略多于共和党人。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示民主党人在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示共和党人在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
虽然右翼出现少量叛逃者，但更大的转变来自中间派。独立选民以22个百分点支持民主党候选人，较2024年上升16个百分点，当时他们仅以6个百分点支持哈里斯。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示独立选民在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
在共和党内部，支持特朗普 MAGA 阵营与非 MAGA 阵营的分歧进一步扩大。略超半数的共和党人（54%）自认为属于 MAGA 阵营，他们几乎一致支持共和党候选人（支持率99%）。非 MAGA 共和党人留在本党的比例较低（85%）。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示 MAGA 与非 MAGA 共和党人在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
除了人口结构转变，本次选举周期还以选民悲观情绪、经济不满和对共和党品牌的幻灭为特征。
选民投票时对国家前景持悲观态度。四分之三的人表示对局势感到不满或愤怒，仅四分之一的人感到满意或热情。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示美国人对国家发展方向的看法。（福克斯新闻）
愤怒情绪沿党派界限划分：60%以上的民主党人对局势感到愤怒，而共和党人仅占10%，独立选民占三分之一以上。这与2022年中期选举形成反转，当时约半数共和党人愤怒，而民主党人占15%，独立选民占27%。
对现状的不满延伸至未来。半数选民认为下一代的生活会比今天更糟，是认为会更好的两倍。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对美国下一代的期望。（福克斯新闻）
选民将不满情绪投射到总统身上。特朗普的工作支持率为38%-62%，净支持率为-24，反对情绪强烈。超过一半的人强烈反对他的工作表现，是强烈支持人数的两倍。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对唐纳德·特朗普总统工作表现的评价。（福克斯新闻）
八年前，在他第一任期的中期，他的工作支持率为44%-56%，净支持率仅为-12。
即便特朗普不在选票上，他仍是许多美国人的关注点。更多选民称他们投票给众议院候选人是为了表达对他的反对，而非支持他，比例接近3:1。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示唐纳德·特朗普总统对选民众议院选举决定的影响。（福克斯新闻）
这种反对部分源于认为特朗普不理解选民的处境。更多选民表示特朗普优先考虑自身利益而非国家利益。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民是否认为唐纳德·特朗普总统优先考虑自身或国家利益。（福克斯新闻）
选民对他的个人特质评价也很低。60%以上的人表示他缺乏正确的优先事项，不为像他们一样的人奋斗。近半数人认为他不是强领导人，缺乏有效履职的心智能力。
总统的声望也拖累了他所在的政党。在赢得华盛顿全面控制权两年后，共和党支持率为负值，净支持率-18，较2024年的-3下滑15个百分点。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对共和党的看法。（福克斯新闻）
民主党也不受欢迎，但其净支持率基本保持稳定，从-7变为-6。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对民主党的看法。（福克斯新闻）
两党选民的忠诚度大致相当：几乎所有共和党人和民主党人都对本党持好感。独立选民对民主党更为支持，42%的人对民主党持好感，而对共和党的好感率仅为其一半左右。
对政党的看法也与对其领导人的看法一致。民主党人几乎一致反对特朗普，而约80%的共和党人支持他。约70%的独立选民对总统持负面看法。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示民主党人对唐纳德·特朗普总统工作表现的支持率。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示共和党人对唐纳德·特朗普总统工作表现的支持率。（福克斯新闻）
两年前，选民给了共和党降低物价的机会。今年，他们称关税、通胀和伊朗战争推高了成本，利用这次选举呼吁变革。
通胀影响对大多数人来说无可回避，其中五分之一的人称困难程度严重。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示通胀对美国家庭的影响。（福克斯新闻）
四分之三的人对经济持负面看法，与特朗普第一任期的这一时期形成鲜明反转，当时正面评价以2:1超过负面评价（2018年福克斯新闻选民分析调查显示为66%正面、34%负面）。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对美国经济的评估。（福克斯新闻）
几乎70%对经济持负面看法的选民投票给民主党。在对经济前景持乐观态度的选民中，共和党更受青睐。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示对经济持负面看法的选民在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示对经济持正面看法的选民在众议院选举中的投票情况。（福克斯新闻）
在家庭预算中，对物价的担忧在各品类间差异不大。汽油和柴油成本位居首位，这一担忧与伊朗战争及其对燃料价格的影响相关。医疗保健和食品紧随其后，多数人非常关心水电费。
https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-gas-prices.jpgnext 福克斯新闻选民民调揭示美国人对家庭开支上涨的担忧。（福克斯新闻）
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选民对伊朗的看法与燃料成本密切相关。总体而言，约60%的人认为美国采取军事行动是错误的决定，他们支持民主党众议院候选人。几乎所有认为这一决定正确的选民都支持共和党。
在福克斯新闻与芝加哥大学NORC联合开展的独家调查中，选民被问及伊朗战争的各项优先事项。这项对约3000名登记选民的调查于11月1日至3日通过电话和线上方式，采用NORC基于概率的AmeriSpeak面板完成。
三分之二以上的人表示，避免伊朗冲突长期化非常重要，而半数人认为阻止伊朗发展核武器同样重要。
最终，汽油价格优先于安全威胁。当被问及选择时，近两倍的选民更倾向于结束军事介入以降低汽油价格，而非重启军事行动阻止核武器发展。
80%以上的民主党人支持结束冲突以降低汽油价格，约60%的独立选民也持相同立场。同样比例的共和党人（60%）支持重启军事行动。尽管如此，仍有略超半数的共和党人认为避免该地区冲突长期化非常重要，民主党和独立选民的多数也持这一看法。
当谈及异常高的物价时，选民更倾向于将其归咎于特朗普的政策，而非他无法控制的因素。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民是否将物价上涨归咎于唐纳德·特朗普总统的政策。（福克斯新闻）
多数人表示，他的政策使美国状况恶化，较少人认为这些政策改善了状况。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何看待唐纳德·特朗普总统的政策对经济的影响。（福克斯新闻）
关税是指责的核心。约三分之二的人认为特朗普的关税损害了国家经济，近同样比例的人认为它们损害了本地区的经济。约20%的人认为关税帮助了国家经济，更少人认为它们对当地经济有帮助。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何看待唐纳德·特朗普总统的关税对国家经济的影响。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何看待唐纳德·特朗普总统的关税对当地经济的影响。（福克斯新闻）
在家庭应对高物价的同时，选民认为特朗普更关注自身利益而非他所服务的民众。这种不满延伸至经济体系本身：近70%的人认为该体系有利于富人。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民是否认为美国经济体系有利于富人。（福克斯新闻）
然而，这种怀疑与对资本主义的支持并存。超过一半的选民对资本主义持好感，远多于三分之一对社会主义持好感的选民。选民喜欢这个体系的理念，但怀疑它如何为他们运作。
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福克斯新闻选民民调发现，32%的登记选民对资本主义持负面看法，57%持正面看法。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调发现，54%的登记选民对社会主义持负面看法，33%持正面看法。（福克斯新闻）
政府腐败和生活成本是投票的两大主要驱动因素，各约一半的人认为其至关重要。移民和伊朗战争紧随其后，超过三分之一的人认为它们至关重要，人工智能和数据中心则更靠后。将腐败、成本、伊朗和人工智能视为投票关键的选民倾向于民主党，而关注移民的选民则支持共和党。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民认为哪些问题对其众议院选举决定至关重要。（福克斯新闻）
对成本和腐败的不满反映在选民对国家状况的看法中。经济是国家面临的首要问题，略领先于民主状况。移民位列第三，其后是医疗保健、外交政策和犯罪。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民认为国家最重要的问题是什么。（福克斯新闻）
民主议题的突出性主要来自民主党，他们将民主状况列为首要问题（48%），领先于经济（36%）。独立选民将经济置于首位（39%），紧随其后的是民主（34%）。共和党人将民主排在第三位（16%），落后于经济（41%）和移民（27%）。
将民主和经济列为首要问题的选民支持民主党众议院候选人，而将移民列为优先事项的选民则支持共和党。
在八个测试的议题中，民主党在六个议题上更受青睐，尽管优势通常不大。他们最大的优势在医疗保健，其次是跨性别政策。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理医疗保健问题。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理跨性别政策问题。（福克斯新闻）
在选民认为国家面临最重要的议题——经济上，民主党领先6个百分点，与他们在外交政策上的优势（5个百分点）相似。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理经济问题。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理外交政策问题。（福克斯新闻）
在政府腐败问题上，选民微弱支持民主党，但三分之一的人不信任任何政党处理这个国家面临的首要议题之一。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理政府腐败问题。（福克斯新闻）
共和党仅在移民问题上领先，优势为3个百分点。两党在税收上势均力敌，在人工智能上差距在2个百分点以内。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理移民问题。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理税收问题。（福克斯新闻）
在医疗保健方面，对成本的担忧十分普遍，这些选民支持民主党众议院候选人。近半数人赞成联邦在帮助美国人获得医疗服务方面发挥更大作用。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何看待联邦政府在帮助美国人获得医疗服务方面的角色。（福克斯新闻）
因此，他们对特朗普政府在这一问题上的评价不佳，多数人认为其政策使他们获得所需护理变得更难，增加了自身成本。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何看待特朗普政府的政策对医疗保健成本的影响。（福克斯新闻）
在人工智能问题上，选民对这个新政治议题持谨慎态度。多数人认为它会更多伤害社会，民主党、共和党和独立选民均达成这一共识，而四分之一的人认为它会更多帮助社会。在党派中，共和党人最可能认为人工智能对社会有积极影响，比例为33%。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民是否认为人工智能会帮助或伤害社会。（福克斯新闻）
目前，两党在这一问题上均无明显优势：选择 neither（任一）的选民比例最高，认为任一政党更擅长处理该议题，两党差距在2个百分点以内，民主党略微领先。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民更信任哪个政党处理人工智能问题。（福克斯新闻）
数据中心建设得出了类似结论。四分之三的选民反对在其社区新建数据中心。反对者以28个百分点支持民主党众议院候选人，而支持者以45个百分点支持共和党。
在农村选民中，数据中心已成为决定性议题。他们也以3:1的比例反对在其社区建设数据中心。
在移民问题上，共和党更受青睐处理该议题，但选民对执法过度发出了裁决。多数人认为特朗普政府的行动过于极端，其余人在“差不多”和“不够”之间划分。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民如何评估特朗普政府的移民执法政策。（福克斯新闻）
移民和海关执法局（ICE）的评价大多负面，多数选民不赞成其工作表现。多数选民对移民持好感，称他们更多帮助国家而非伤害。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对移民和海关执法局（ICE）工作表现的评价。（福克斯新闻）
对机构本身的评价也很低。国会获得约四分之一的认可，最高法院获得约40%的认可。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对国会工作表现的评价。（福克斯新闻）
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民对最高法院工作表现的评价。（福克斯新闻）
选民希望国会更强。多数人认为国会在对总统进行制衡方面做得不够，这些选民以49个百分点支持民主党众议院候选人。
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福克斯新闻选民民调揭示选民是否认为国会在对总统进行制衡方面做得足够。（福克斯新闻）
福克斯新闻选民民调由SSRS开展，对全国超过10万名登记选民进行调查。调查于2026年10月19日至11月3日进行，在选举日投票结束时完成。民调结合了线上和电话收集的登记选民数据，以及在全国各投票站选举日实地收集的数据。最后一步，通过根据全国选民构成调整投票方式（缺席、提前现场投票和选举日）的比例，将预选举调查受访者和选举日出口民调受访者相结合。计票完成后，调查结果也会加权以匹配全国选举结果。全国所有受访登记选民的抽样误差边际估计为正负0.5个百分点，含设计效应。子群体的误差边际更大。完整方法论细节可在此处查看。
福克斯新闻/NORC AmeriSpeak研究是芝加哥大学NORC开展的全国登记选民调查。调查于2026年11月1日至3日进行，在选举日投票结束时完成。民调基于从NORC基于概率的AmeriSpeak面板中抽取的约3000名登记选民的随机样本，通过线上和电话以英语和西班牙语进行访谈。调查权重根据人口统计和地理特征，以及包括党派在内的选民特定信息进行调整，计票完成后，结果会按全国众议院普选票加权。全国受访的3464名登记选民的抽样误差边际估计为正负2.5个百分点，含设计效应。子群体的误差边际更大。
作为民调部门负责人，达娜·布伦坦负责运营福克斯新闻民调，并监督福克斯新闻选民分析选举调查。
Fox News Voter Poll: 2026 midterm elections usher in a blue wave as Democrats win control of Congress
2026-11-04T12:10:00-05:00 / Fox News
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407895132112
Pollster Justin Wallin joins ‘Fox & Friends First’ to analyze the significant midterm election results as Democrats take control of the House and Senate. Wallin breaks down key races, including James Talarico defeating Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate showdown.
In a historic midterm election, Democrats swept both the House and Senate, riding a blue wave spurred by widespread voter discontent. The economy, government corruption, war in Iran and increasingly negative views of President Donald Trump’s job performance created a perfect storm for Democrats to flip Senate seats in Republican stronghold states.
At the time of publication, Democrats held a 54-seat majority in the Senate and have secured 228 seats in the House. The toss-up Senate race in Alaska remains too close to call at this time.
The Fox News Voter Poll surveyed more than 100,000 registered voters nationwide from Oct. 19 to Nov. 3, 2026, combining online and telephone interviews with in-person surveys of Election Day voters.
After the strong rightward shifts in the 2024 election, this year’s midterms marked a turn back to the left. The electorate remained divided by community type, gender and education, a pattern that has become commonplace in recent elections. Suburban and urban voters, women and Hispanics sided with Democrats, while rural voters, men and voters without a college degree favored Republicans.
STATE OF PLAY: BLUE WAVE SWEEPS DEMOCRATS INTO POWER, WITH KEY RACES STILL HANGING IN BALANCE
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into the demographic behind Democratic votes.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into the demographic behind Republican votes.(Fox News)
Groups that helped power Trump’s 2024 win — namely rural, Hispanic, young and independent voters — moved decidedly toward Democrats.
DEMOCRAT SEIZE HOUSE CONTROL IN STUNNING BLUE TSUNAMI, VOW RETRIBUTION AGAINST TRUMP ADMIN
A pivotal group in his win, rural voters backed Trump by 28 points in 2024. That advantage dropped by 10 points, to just 18 points in favor of Republican House candidates.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how rural voters cast their ballots in the House elections.(Fox News)
Republicans underperformed among rural women. After Trump carried them by 21 points in 2024, Republican House candidates led among them by 8 points this year, a 13-point decline.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how rural women voted in the House elections.(Fox News)
At the same time, suburban women marched firmly toward Democrats. Harris won them by a 14-point margin, and they broke for Democratic House candidates by 24 points.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how suburban women voted in the House elections.(Fox News)
That shift extended beyond community divides. Hispanic voters, who showed surprising support for Trump two years ago, backed Democratic House candidates by 27 points, after breaking for Harris by just 12 points. This was driven largely by Hispanic men, who after narrowly voting for Harris by 2 points in 2024, sided with the Democrats by 15 points.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into voting patterns among Hispanic voters.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how Hispanic men voted in the House elections.(Fox News)
Young voters also followed a similar pattern. Often considered a reliable Democratic voting bloc, those under age 30 defied conventional wisdom and narrowly backed Harris by 4 points in 2024. Now, they backed Democratic House candidates by nearly 3-to-1.
‘LAWYER UP’: DEMS IMMEDIATELY PUT TRUMP ON NOTICE AMID REPUBLICANS’ MIDTERM BLOODBATH
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters under age 30 cast their ballots.(Fox News)
Young men made a complete reversal in their party preference, going from a 15-point margin for Trump to a 33-point margin for the Democratic House candidates, a 48-point swing.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how young men voted in the House elections.(Fox News)
Slightly more Democrats than Republicans backed their party’s House candidates.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how Democrats voted in the House elections.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how Republicans voted in the House elections.(Fox News)
While there was a small amount of defections on the right, the bigger move came from the middle. Independents backed Democratic candidates by 22 points, a 16-point shift from 2024, when they backed Harris by just 6 points.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how independent voters cast their ballots in the House elections.(Fox News)
Within the Republican Party, the divide between MAGA and non-MAGA Republicans widened. A narrow majority of Republicans (54%) considered themselves MAGA, and they voted almost unanimously for Republican candidates (99%). Fewer non-MAGA Republicans stayed with their party (85%).
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how MAGA and non-MAGA Republicans voted in the House elections.(Fox News)
Beyond the demographic shifts, this was an election cycle marked by voter pessimism, economic frustration and disillusionment with the Republican brand.
Voters cast their ballots with a bleak view of the country in their minds. Three-quarters said they felt dissatisfied or angry about how things were going, while just a quarter were satisfied or enthusiastic.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how Americans feel about the direction of the country.(Fox News)
The anger divides along partisan lines: more than 6 in 10 Democrats were angry with how things were going, compared with 1 in 10 Republicans and more than a third of independents. This is a reversal from the 2022 midterms, when roughly half of Republicans were angry, compared with 15% of Democrats and 27% of independents.
Frustration with the present extended into the future. Half said they expected life for the next generation to be worse than life today, twice the share who expected it to be better.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into voters’ expectations for the next generation of Americans.(Fox News)
Voters took those frustrations out on the president. Trump’s job approval stood at 38%-62%, a net rating of -24, and that disapproval was intense. More than half strongly disapproved of his job performance, double the number who strongly approved.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters rate President Donald Trump’s job performance.(Fox News)
Eight years ago, at the midterm point in his first term, his job approval rating was a stronger 44%-56%, a net rating of just -12.
Even without Trump on the ballot, he was on the minds of many Americans. More said they cast their House vote to express opposition to him than to support him, nearly a 3-to-1 margin.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how President Donald Trump influenced voters’ House election decisions.(Fox News)
Part of that opposition came from a sense that Trump did not understand what voters were going through. More voters said Trump prioritized his own personal interests than the country’s.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals whether voters believe President Donald Trump prioritizes his own interests or those of the country.(Fox News)
They also gave him low marks on personal traits. More than 6 in 10 said he lacked the right priorities and did not fight for people like them. Narrow majorities said he was not a strong leader and lacked the mental capability to serve effectively.
The president’s standing was also a drag on his party. Two years after winning unified control of Washington, the Republican Party was -18 points underwater, a -15-point slide from its net rating of -3 in 2024.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters view the Republican Party.(Fox News)
The Democratic Party was unpopular as well, but its net rating held nearly steady, from -7 to -6.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters view the Democratic Party.(Fox News)
Each party’s voters were about equally loyal: nearly all Republicans and Democrats viewed their own party favorably. Independents were more favorable toward the Democrats, with 42% viewing the Democratic Party favorably, while they rated the Republican Party negatively by about 2-to-1.
Views of the party also tracked the views of its leader. Democrats were nearly unanimous in their disapproval of Trump, while about 8 in 10 Republicans approved. Roughly 7 in 10 independents viewed the president unfavorably.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into President Donald Trump’s job approval among Democrats.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into President Donald Trump’s job approval among Republicans.(Fox News)
Two years ago, voters gave the Republicans a chance to bring prices down. This year, they said tariffs, inflation and a war in Iran pushed costs higher, and they used this election to call for change.
The effects of inflation were inescapable for the majority, including 1 in 5 who called that hardship severe.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how inflation has affected American families.(Fox News)
Three-quarters rated the economy negatively, a stark reversal from this point in Trump’s first term, when positive ratings outnumbered negative ones by 2-to-1, as shown in the 2018 Fox News Voter Analysis survey (66% positive, 34% negative).
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into voters’ assessments of the U.S. economy.(Fox News)
Almost 7 in 10 of voters who gave the economy a negative rating voted for the Democrats. Among those with a positive economic outlook, Republicans were favored.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters with a negative view of the economy voted in the House elections.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters with a positive view of the economy voted in the House elections.(Fox News)
Within the household budget, concerns about prices varied little across categories. The cost of gas and diesel was at the top, a worry that followed the Iran war and its effect on fuel prices. Healthcare and groceries were right behind, and a majority were very concerned about utilities.
https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-gas-prices.jpgnext The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into Americans’ concerns about rising household expenses.(Fox News)
https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-healthcare.jpgprev next The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into Americans’ concerns about rising household expenses.(Fox News)
https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-food-prices.jpgprev next The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into Americans’ concerns about rising household expenses.(Fox News)
https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/poll-national-concerned-utility-costs.jpgprev The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into Americans’ concerns about rising household expenses.(Fox News)
Voters’ views on Iran were closely linked to fuel costs. In general, about 6 in 10 believed the U.S. made the wrong decision in taking military action, and they backed the Democratic House candidate. Nearly all voters who called it the right decision supported Republicans.
In an exclusive survey by Fox News and NORC at the University of Chicago, voters were asked about various priorities regarding the Iran war. The survey of approximately 3,000 registered voters was conducted Nov. 1–3 by phone and online using NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak panel.
More than two-thirds said it was very important to avoid a prolonged conflict in Iran, while half said the same about stopping Iran from developing nuclear weapons.
Ultimately, gas prices took priority over security threats. When asked to choose, nearly twice as many voters preferred ending military involvement to bring down gas prices as preferred restarting military action to stop nuclear weapons development.
More than 8 in 10 Democrats favored ending the conflict to bring down gas prices, as did around 6 in 10 independents. The same share of Republicans, 6 in 10, favored restarting military action. Still, just over half of Republicans saw it as very important to avoid a prolonged conflict in the region, as did a majority of Democrats and independents.
When it comes to higher-than-usual prices, voters were considerably more likely to point to Trump’s policies than to factors outside his control.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals whether voters blame President Donald Trump’s policies for higher prices.(Fox News)
A majority said his policies had made conditions in the U.S. worse, while fewer said they improved conditions.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters believe President Donald Trump’s policies have affected the economy.(Fox News)
Tariffs were a central piece of that blame. About two-thirds said Trump’s tariffs hurt the national economy and nearly as many said they hurt the economy in their own area. About 2 in 10 said tariffs helped the national economy, and even fewer said they helped locally.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters believe President Donald Trump’s tariffs have affected the national economy.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters believe President Donald Trump’s tariffs have affected their local economies.(Fox News)
While families wrestled with high prices, voters felt Trump was more focused on his own interests than the people he serves. That frustration extended to the economic system itself: nearly 7 in 10 said it favored the wealthy.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals whether voters believe the U.S. economic system favors the wealthy.(Fox News)
Yet that skepticism coexisted with support for capitalism. More than half of voters viewed capitalism favorably, far more than the third who viewed socialism favorably. Voters liked the idea of the system but doubted how it worked for them.
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The Fox News Voter Poll found that 32% of registered voters had an unfavorable view of capitalism, while 57% had a favorable view.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll found that 54% of registered voters had an unfavorable view of socialism, while 33% had a favorable view.(Fox News)
Government corruption and the cost of living were the two main drivers of the vote, with roughly half calling each crucial. Immigration and the Iran war followed closely, each crucial for more than a third, with AI and data centers further back. Democrats were the favored party among voters who said corruption, costs, Iran and AI were crucial to their vote, while Republicans held their edge with voters focused on immigration.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals which issues voters considered crucial to their House election decisions.(Fox News)
Frustration with costs and corruption was reflected in how voters saw the state of the country. The economy topped the list of issues facing the country, narrowly ahead of the state of democracy. Immigration came in a distant third, followed by healthcare, foreign policy and crime.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into which issues voters consider most important to the country.(Fox News)
The prominence of democracy came mainly from Democrats, who named the state of democracy as their top issue (48%), ahead of the economy (36%). Independents put the economy first (39%), with democracy close behind (34%). Republicans ranked democracy third (16%), behind the economy (41%) and immigration (27%).
Voters who named democracy and the economy as their top issue backed Democratic House candidates, while voters who prioritized immigration backed Republicans.
Democrats also held an advantage when it came to which party would do a better job handling six of the eight issues tested, though often by modest margins. Their largest edge was on healthcare, followed by transgender policies.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals which political party voters trust more to handle healthcare.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into which political party voters trust more to handle transgender policies.(Fox News)
On the economy — the issue voters saw as the most important facing the country — Democrats led by 6 points, similar to their margins on foreign policy (+5).
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals which political party voters trust more to handle the economy.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into which political party voters trust more to handle foreign policy.(Fox News)
On government corruption, voters narrowly favored Democrats, but a third did not trust either party to handle one of the top issues facing the country.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals which political party voters trust more to address government corruption.(Fox News)
Republicans led only on immigration, with a 3-point lead. The parties ran even on taxes and finished within two points of each other on AI.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into which political party voters trust more to handle immigration.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals which political party voters trust more to handle taxes.(Fox News)
On healthcare, concern about costs was widespread, and those voters backed the Democratic House candidates. A clear majority favored a bigger federal role in helping Americans get care.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters view the federal government’s role in helping Americans access healthcare.(Fox News)
Consequently, they gave the Trump administration poor marks on the issue, with majorities saying its policies made it harder to get the care they needed and made their own costs worse.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters believe Trump administration policies have affected healthcare costs.(Fox News)
On AI, voters approached this new political issue with wariness. A majority said it would do more to hurt society, a consensus reached by Democrats, Republicans and independents alike, while a quarter said it would do more to help. Among partisans, Republicans were the most likely to say AI would have a positive impact on society, at 33%.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals whether voters believe artificial intelligence will help or hurt society.(Fox News)
At this point, neither party had a clear advantage on the issue: AI drew the highest share, choosing neither party as better able to handle it, and the two parties finished within 2 points of each other, with Democrats narrowly pulling ahead.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into which political party voters trust more to handle artificial intelligence.(Fox News)
Data center construction drew a similar verdict. Three-quarters of voters opposed a new data center in their community. Those who opposed one backed the Democratic House candidates by 28 points, while those in favor backed Republicans by 45 points.
Among rural voters, data centers had emerged as a defining issue. They also split 3-to-1 in opposition to building one in their community.
On immigration, Republicans were favored to handle, but voters delivered a verdict of overreach on enforcement. A majority said the Trump administration’s actions had gone too far, with the rest split between about right and not far enough.
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters assess the Trump administration’s immigration enforcement policies.(Fox News)
Immigration and Customs Enforcement received mostly negative marks, with a majority of voters disapproving of its job performance. Most voters viewed immigrants favorably, saying they do more to help the country than to hurt it.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters rate Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s job performance.(Fox News)
Ratings of the institutions themselves were low. Congress drew approval from roughly a quarter, and the Supreme Court drew approval from about 4 in 10.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals how voters rate Congress’ job performance.(Fox News)
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The Fox News Voter Poll offers insight into how voters rate the Supreme Court’s job performance.(Fox News)
Voters wanted a stronger Congress. A majority said Congress was not doing enough to provide checks and balances on the presidency, and those voters backed Democratic House candidates by 49 points.
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The Fox News Voter Poll reveals whether voters believe Congress is doing enough to provide checks and balances on the presidency.(Fox News)
The Fox News Voter Poll is a survey conducted by SSRS with more than 100,000 registered voters nationwide. This survey was conducted Oct. 19 to Nov. 3, 2026, concluding at the end of voting on Election Day. The poll combines data collected from registered voters online and by telephone with data collected in-person from Election Day voters at precincts across the country. In the final step, all the pre-election survey respondents and Election Day exit poll respondents are combined by adjusting the share of voting mode (absentee, early-in-person and Election Day) based on the estimated composition of the national electorate. Once votes are counted, the survey results are also weighted to match the national election results. Results among all registered voters interviewed nationwide have an estimated margin of sampling error of plus or minus 0.5 percentage points, including the design effects. The error margin is larger among subgroups. Full methodological details are available here.
The Fox News/NORC AmeriSpeak Study is a national survey of registered voters conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago. This survey was conducted Nov. 1–3, 2026, concluding as polls close on Election Day. The poll is based on a random sample of approximately 3,000 registered voters drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak panel, interviewed online and by telephone in English and Spanish. Survey weights adjust to population totals for demographic and geographic characteristics, as well as voter-specific information including partisanship, and, once votes are counted, the results are weighted to the national popular vote for the House of Representatives. Results among all 3,464 registered voters interviewed nationwide have an estimated margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, including the design effects. The error margin is larger among subgroups.
As head of the polling unit, Dana Blanton runs the Fox News Poll and oversees the Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.
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