特朗普对共和党中期选举焦虑的无视


2026-08-07T17:07:17.909Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/07/politics/trump-midterms-gop-unpopular

唐纳德·特朗普总统近日就其所在政党能否在11月大选中保住执政地位发表了其迄今为止最为轻率的言论。

在周五发布的一则采访中,特朗普否认了自己不在乎共和党选举运势的说法。但实际上他并未打消外界的疑虑:他并不太在意做一名团队成员,不愿为政党所需做应做之事。

在周四录制的、由《Punchbowl News》进行的采访中,杰克·谢尔曼向特朗普提问了相关说法:特朗普其实并不关心国会事务,也不在意共和党在2026年的多数席位。

“这说法不对,”特朗普说道,还补充道:“我们会全力奋战”,以及“对国家而言,我们获胜至关重要。”

但随后他又说了一堆其他言论。

这位总统暗示,无论是有可能动用自己的竞选资金储备来助力共和党——“我几乎可以把钱花在任何我想支持的对象上,”特朗普说——还是抽出时间偶尔外出宣传他的政治主张,他都是在帮共和党一个大忙。

“我本不必昨天不必昨天本不必在拉斯维加斯露面,也本不必昨天在洛杉矶发表演讲,”特朗普说道。“我本不必支持所有这些人。我的日程已经很满了。”

特朗普补充说,他最近告诉某人,他已经赢得了自己的竞选,因此“我不必再竞选了”。

紧接着的这番言论着实会让共和党人抓狂:他称共和党面临的问题是他们自己造成的,而非他的责任。

“问题在于,民众会出来投票吗?说实话,很多人对共和党非常愤怒,”特朗普说道,还补充道:“他们对共和党感到愤怒,但他们并不生我的气。”

轻描淡写地说,这与事实并不相符。

特朗普的支持率在历史上就处于低位,多达三分之二的美国人不认可他的表现。只有理查德·尼克松和乔治·W·布什在其总统任期内的这个阶段才出现过这样的支持率数据。

近期的民调清楚地表明,民众对特朗普的不满情绪对中期选举产生了重大影响。或许最能说明问题的近期数据点是:皮尤研究中心的一项民调显示,81%的民主党人和倾向民主党的无党派人士表示,他们在中期选举中的投票将是反对特朗普的一票,而仅有44%的共和党人和倾向共和党的无党派人士表示,他们的投票将是支持特朗普的一票。

即便特朗普所说的只是他的基础选民对共和党感到愤怒,而非针对他本人,这依然与事实不符。包括CNN在内的多家机构近期民调显示,共和党人和倾向共和党的无党派人士普遍对特朗普的诸多举措感到不满——不满比例往往达到30%、40%、50%甚至更高。

这也是另一个关键问题所在。尽管关税政策、伊朗战争以及特朗普试图以自己名字命名相关事物、翻新华盛顿特区等举措的支持率都极低,但他丝毫没有表现出收敛言行以在政治上帮助其政党的意愿。

事实上,特朗普最近还在一些严重分裂本党的议题上添乱——比如坚持废除阻挠议事规则,以及推动通过“拯救美国法案》,而该法案看起来几乎没有通过的可能。

与此同时,他一直发表一些轻率言论,暗示自己对2026年的竞选活动毫不在意。

早在5月份,当被问及美国人对经济的担忧是否促使他推动与伊朗达成和平协议时,他曾表示:“我不会考虑美国人的经济状况。我谁都不考虑。我只考虑一件事:我们绝不能让伊朗拥有核武器。仅此而已。”

一周后,他补充道:“我并不着急。人们总说‘哦,中期选举到了,我得赶紧行动’。我一点都不着急。”

又过了一周,他更是直言:“我不在乎中期选举。

本周早些时候,特朗普在接受福克斯新闻采访时还暗示,他的目标实际上是打赢伊朗战争,而非仅仅结束战争——尽管目前看来取得胜利的可能性极其渺茫。

当主持人特雷西·加拉格尔询问特朗普,考虑到伊朗在谈判方面一直不可靠,他何时可能决定放弃、停止谈判时,这位总统表示,这一时间未必会很快到来。

“我有充足的时间,”特朗普说道。“你知道,人们总在谈论中期选举。他们希望看到(谈判能取得胜利。”

但从政治层面而言,共和党并没有充足的时间。旷日持久的战争推高的汽油价格,无疑成了选民眼中一份极为难以下咽的圣代上发霉的樱桃。

特朗普的这类言论从策略上讲有一定道理。如果你想让伊朗做出让步,你就不能透露自己因为中期选举而急于脱身,这会削弱你的谈判筹码。

但共和党人或许应该开始扪心自问:特朗普内心深处是否真的这么想——而且他根本不在乎伊朗战争会让其政党在11月付出怎样的代价。

而共和党人肯定会对特朗普将其政党而非战争以及他所做的其他不受欢迎的事情——视为危及他们保住多数席位的罪魁祸首而怒不可遏。

Trump’s middle finger to the GOP’s midterm worries

2026-08-07T17:07:17.909Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/07/politics/trump-midterms-gop-unpopular

President Donald Trump just made some of his most flippant comments to date about his party holding onto power in November.

In an interview released Friday, Trump denied not caring about the GOP’s fortunes in the midterms. But he didn’t actually dispel the idea that he’s not terribly interested in being a team player and doing the things his party needs.

In the interview with Punchbowl News, taped on Thursday, Jake Sherman asked Trump about the narrative that he doesn’t really care about Congress and holding the GOP’s majorities in 2026.

“It’s not right,” Trump said, adding: “We’re gonna fight hard,” and, “it’s very important to the country that we win.”

But then he said a bunch of other stuff.

The president suggested that he’s doing Republicans a favor both by potentially spending some of his war chest on them — “I could spend it on pretty much anything I want,” Trump said — and by taking time out to occasionally take his message on the road.

“I didn’t have to be away in Nevada yesterday, I didn’t have to be in Los Angeles yesterday making speeches,” Trump said. “I didn’t have to be supporting all the people. I have a busy schedule.”

Trump added that he recently told someone that he had already won his own campaign, so “I’m not campaigning.”

Then came the comment that should really make Republicans pull their hair out: that their problems are of their own making, not his.

“The question is, will people vote? Because a lot of them are very angry at Republicans, to be honest with you,” Trump said, adding: “They’re angry at Republicans, but they’re not angry at me.”

This is, to put it lightly, not accurate.

Trump is historically unpopular, with as many as two-thirds of Americans disapproving of him. Those are numbers we’ve really only seen around this point of a presidency from Richard Nixon and George W. Bush.

Recent polling makes clear that disillusionment with Trump looms large over the midterms. Perhaps the most telling recent data point: A Pew Research Center poll showed 81% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents said their midterm vote would be a vote against Trump, but just 44% of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents said theirs would be a vote for Trump.

And even if the president only meant that his base voters are angry with Republicans rather than him, that’s still not accurate. Recent polling, including from CNN, shows widespread dissatisfaction among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents with many of the things Trump has done — often 30%, 40%, 50% or more.

And that’s the other key point here. Even as things like tariffs, the Iran war and Trump’s efforts to slap his name on things and renovate Washington, DC, poll very poorly, he has shown no appetite for backing off to help his party politically.

In fact, Trump has recently decided to pile on some issues that are hugely divisive for his own party — like insisting on getting rid of the filibuster and pushing through the “SAVE America Act,” which doesn’t appear to stand any chance of passage.

And all the while, he keeps saying glib things that suggest he cares little about the 2026 campaign.

Back in May, when asked whether Americans’ economic concerns were motivating his push for a peace deal with Iran, he said, “I don’t think about Americans’ financial situation. I don’t think about anybody. I think about one thing: We cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon. That’s all.”

A week later, he added: “I’m in no hurry. You never think, ‘Oh, the midterms. I’m in a hurry.’ I’m in no hurry.”

Then, another week later: “I don’t care about the midterms.”

Trump in an interview with Fox News earlier this week also suggested his goal was actually to try to win the Iran war rather than just end it — despite victory seeming an extremely distant possibility at this point.

When host Trace Gallagher asked Trump when he might decide to cut bait and stop trying to negotiate (given how unreliable the Iranians have been on that front), the president suggested that point wasn’t necessarily any time soon.

“I have plenty of time,” Trump said. “You know, people talk about the midterms. For the midterms, they want to see winning.”

But the GOP doesn’t have plenty of time, politically. High gas prices from the prolonged war are proving to be the moldy cherry on top of a very unpalatable sundae for voters.

These kinds of comments from Trump make some strategic sense. If you want Iran to make concessions, you don’t telegraph that you’re in a hurry to get out because of the midterms. That hurts your leverage.

But Republicans might want to start asking themselves whether Trump, in his heart of hearts, means it — and that he doesn’t care what the Iran war might cost his party come November.

And Republicans have got to be furious that he’s suggesting it’s them — rather than the war and all the other unpopular things he’s done — that’s jeopardizing their majorities.

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