民主党借中期选举溃败推动ICE改革 但民调暴露移民问题优先度的反转


UnidosUS民调显示,全国范围内58%的拉丁裔选民将生活成本列为首要关切,仅27%将移民问题排在首位

作者:伊莱恩·马伦 福克斯新闻
发布时间:美国东部时间2026年11月14日11:36

边境民主党人称ICE“过度执法”导致拉丁裔选民转向,但称生活成本是“头号议题”
得克萨斯州众议员、民主党人亨利·库利亚尔声称,特朗普未兑现降低物价的承诺以及驱逐移民引发的不满,是推动拉丁裔选民转向民主党的原因。

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民主党正借此番中期选举的全面胜利推动移民改革,但民调显示,经济关切无论是在民主党选民还是拉丁裔选民中,优先级都远高于移民问题。

这股推动势头源于民主党在全国范围内的胜利,其中包括在原本偏向共和党的得克萨斯州国会选区获胜,以及该州参议院和州长选举的重大爆冷。部分获胜者将选举结果视为挑战唐纳德·特朗普总统移民打击政策的授权,同时向有望参加2028年总统大选的民主党候选人发出信号。

“任何想在2028年获得我们支持的人,都必须把移民改革放在优先位置,没有例外,”得克萨斯州新任众议员博比·普利多说。他在11日的新闻发布会上,与推动移民改革的得克萨斯州民主党同僚共同表态,击败了共和党籍众议员莫妮卡·德拉·克鲁兹,拿下了德克萨斯州南部的共和党倾向选区。

但福克斯新闻数字平台的民调显示,27%的共和党选民将移民列为头号议题,而民主党选民这一比例仅为3%。

普利多拿下的是一个经重新划分、偏向共和党的得克萨斯州南部选区,击败了2024年以14.2个百分点优势连任的德拉·克鲁兹。他的竞选主张聚焦生活成本问题,同时将特朗普在工作场所的移民执法突袭行动与损害经济的劳动力短缺问题关联起来。

共和党在历史性的众议院席位损失中,选区重划举措彻底反噬

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/immigrant-reform-supporters-Nov-scaled.jpg

11月11日(周三),移民改革支持者与民主党议员在国会大厦共同出席新闻发布会。(福克斯新闻 伊莱恩·马伦摄)

得克萨斯州众议员、民主党人亨利·库利亚尔告诉福克斯新闻数字平台,2024年在特朗普和联邦选举中分裂投票的选民,今年同时对生活成本压力和总统的移民打击政策做出了回应。

“他承诺在就职第一天就降低物价。但‘解放’(指降低物价的兑现)并未实现,所以人们记住了这一点,”库利亚尔的选区包括边境城市拉雷多,他对福克斯新闻数字平台表示,“第二点,他说自己会重点打击罪犯。但他没有止步于此,转而开始袭击建筑工人。”

据UnidosUS统计,2026年中期选举中,全国估计有1450万拉丁裔选民投票。该组织的得克萨斯州州主管埃里克·奥尔金表示,民主党在拉丁裔选民中的支持率与2008年巴拉克·奥巴马胜选时的水平相当。

“生活成本是我们在得克萨斯州乃至全国观察到的拉丁裔选民的头号议题,”奥尔金告诉福克斯新闻数字平台,他指的是UnidosUS开展的民调。

福克斯新闻选民民调在选举前开展,结果显示,在受访的拉丁裔选民中,45%认为经济是国家面临的最重要议题,26%认为是民主制度的状况,15%认为是移民问题。

福克斯新闻选民民调:民主党如何拿下参议院控制权

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6408347039112

在得克萨斯州投票的拉丁裔选民中,民调趋势相近:45%认为经济是头号议题,25%认为是民主制度的状况,15%认为是移民问题。

奥尔金表示:“民众如今关注的是自己的钱包、银行账户、杂货账单、电费账单、汽油账单,他们会说:‘嘿,特朗普总统在2024年给我们许下了很多承诺,而他现在已经有近两年时间来兑现这些承诺,却不仅没有兑现,还因为伊朗战争让情况变得更糟了!’”

特朗普曾表示,伊朗战争导致共和党在中期选举中失利,霍尔木兹海峡的冲突扰乱了石油供应链,推高了汽油价格。

伦理与公共政策中心高级研究员亨利·奥尔森告诉福克斯新闻数字平台,选民的动机可能是对特朗普的反对,而非对民主党政策的热情。

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/immigration-reform-press-conference-scaled.jpg

中期选举大获全胜后,移民改革支持者与民主党议员在国会大厦出席新闻发布会。(福克斯新闻数字平台 伊莱恩·马伦摄)

“选举的驱动因素是民众对总统未兑现承诺的不满,尤其是降低生活成本和缓解国际紧张局势的承诺,”奥尔森表示,“人们看到,如今的通货膨胀率高于他上台时,美国在军事上介入的地区多于拜登政府时期,这并非他们所预期的。”

拉丁裔选民是天然保守派,里根懂这一点。共和党需要再次证明这一点

在一次《60分钟》采访中,特朗普称自己的部分驱逐政策“过于严苛”,与民主党达成协议“具备可行性”。

得克萨斯州企业主米格尔·瓦伦苏埃拉参加了11月11日的新闻发布会,他隶属于“美国家庭联合”组织,称自己多年来一直警告共和党,其移民政策方法可能会疏远拉丁裔选民,而这些选民在其他方面与共和党有共同的价值观。

“拉丁裔的价值观是家庭、信仰、勤奋,”自认为不属于民主党的瓦伦苏埃拉告诉福克斯新闻数字平台,“这听起来像是共和党的主张,对吧?”

瓦伦苏埃拉表示,他曾参加当地共和党政治活动,并敦促该党在推动整个投票群体远离自己之前,解决移民改革问题。他认为,移民的子女已到了投票年龄,正在投票时表达自己的不满。

“那些孩子现在已经到了投票年龄,他们正在投票。既然他们现在投票了,这正是我多年来一直警告的情况,而这在上周发生了,”瓦伦苏埃拉表示。


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奥尔金警告民主党,能否留住拉丁裔选民的支持将取决于能否拿出实际成果。

点击此处下载福克斯新闻APP

“他们现在已经被提醒了。所有人都在关注他们的举动,”奥尔金表示,“民众期待政府在治理方式和为民众谋福祉方面做出重大变革。”

福克斯新闻数字平台已向白宫发出置评请求。

伊莱恩·马伦是福克斯新闻数字平台和福克斯商业频道的记者,负责报道全国政治。

Dems seize on midterm rout to demand ICE reform but polls reveal a twist in who prioritized immigration

UnidosUS polling found 58% of Latino voters nationally ranked affordability among top priorities versus 27% for immigration

By Elaine Mallon Fox News

Published November 14, 2026 11:36am EST

Border Democrat credits ICE ‘overreach’ for Latino shift, but calls affordability ‘number one’ issue

Rep. Henry Cuellar, D-Texas, claims Trump’s unfulfilled promise to lower prices and backlash over deportations as factors driving Hispanic voters toward Democrats.

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Democrats are seizing on their sweeping midterm victories to demand immigration reform, even as polling shows economic concerns far outpaced it as a priority for both Democratic and Hispanic voters.

The push follows Democratic gains nationwide, including wins in Texas congressional districts redrawn to favor Republicans and major upsets in the state’s Senate and gubernatorial races. Some winners are casting the results as a mandate to challenge President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown and putting prospective 2028 Democratic presidential candidates on notice.

“Whoever wants to get our support in ’28 has to prioritize immigration reform, period,” Rep.-elect Bobby Pulido, D-Texas, who defeated Republican Rep. Monica De La Cruz in South Texas, said last Wednesday at a news conference alongside fellow Texas Democrats pushing for immigration reform.

But Fox News Digital polling showed 27% of Republican voters ranked immigration as their top issue, compared to just 3% of Democrats.

Pulido flipped a redrawn, Republican-leaning South Texas district, ousting De La Cruz, who won her re-election in 2024 by 14. 2 points. He campaigned on affordability while tying Trump’s immigration enforcement raids at worksites to workforce shortages that hurt the economy.

REDISTRICTING EFFORTS BLOW UP IN REPUBLICANS’ FACES AMID HISTORIC HOUSE LOSSES

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Supporters of immigration reform joined Democratic lawmakers for a news conference on Capitol Hill on Wednesday, Nov. 11.(Fox News Elaine Mallon)

Rep. Henry Cuellar, D-Texas, told Fox News Digital that voters who split their tickets between Trump and down-ballot Democrats in 2024 were responding this year to both affordability pressures and the president’s immigration crackdown.

“He made a promise that he was going to bring prices down on day one. Liberation didn’t happen, so people remembered that,” Cuellar, whose district encompasses border town Laredo, told Fox News Digital. “Second thing is he said he was going to focus on criminals. He didn’t stop there. He started going after construction workers.”

Democrats’ wins came as an estimated 14.5 million Latinos voted across the country in the 2026 midterms, according to UnidosUS. The group’s Texas state director, Eric Holguín, said Democratic support among Latino voters rivaled levels seen in 2008, when Barack Obama won the presidency.

“Cost of living was the number one issue that we saw with Latino voters in Texas and across the country as well,” Holguín told Fox News Digital, referring to polling conducted by UnidosUS.

Pre-election polling conducted by Fox News Voter Poll, showed that for 45% of polled Hispanic voters, the economy was the most important issue facing the country, followed by the state of democracy for 26% of voters and then immigration at 15%.

FOX NEWS VOTER POLL: HOW DEMOCRATS TOOK CONTROL OF THE SENATE

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6408347039112

For Hispanics voting in Texas, polling followed a similar trend with the economy the number one issue for 45% of voters, the state of democracy for 25% of voters and immigration for 15%.

“People right now, they see their pocketbooks, they see the bank accounts, they the grocery bills, they see they’re electric bills, they see there gas bills and they’re saying, ‘Hey, a lot of promises were made to us in 2024 by President Trump, and he’s had almost two years to deliver on those promises, and not only has he not delivered on those promise, he’s made them worse with the war in Iran!,’” Holguín said.

Trump said that the Iran war hurt Republicans in the midterms, as conflict in the Strait of Hormuz has destabilized oil supply chains, causing gas prices to soar.

Henry Olsen, a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, told Fox News Digital that voters were likely motivated by a rejection of Trump rather than enthusiasm for Democrats’ policies.

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/immigration-reform-press-conference-scaled.jpg

Supporters of immigration reform gather on Capitol Hill for a news conference held by Democratic lawmakers following the midterm sweep.(Fox News Digital Elaine Mallon)

“It was driven by an anger that the president hasn’t delivered on the promises that he made, particularly bringing down the cost of living and decreasing international tensions,” Olsen said. “People see that inflation is higher than when he took office, and America is involved militarily in more places than they were under the Biden administration, and that’s not what they thought they were getting.”

HISPANIC VOTERS ARE NATURAL CONSERVATIVES. REAGAN KNEW. GOP NEEDS TO PROVE IT AGAIN

During a 60 Minutes interview, Trump said some of his deportations policies were “too tough”and that a deal with Democrats was “doable.”

Miguel Valenzuela, a business owner in Texas who joined American Families United for the Nov. 11 news conference, said he had spent years warning Republicans that their approach to immigration risked alienating Hispanic voters who otherwise shared some of the party’s values.

“Hispanic values, family, faith, hardworking,” Valenzuela, who does not identify as a Democrat, told Fox News Digital. “That sounds like a Republican, right? “

Valenzuela said he had attended local Republican political events and urged the party to address immigration reform before pushing away an entire voting bloc. He argued that children of immigrants were reaching voting age and making their frustrations known at the ballot box.

“Those kids have now became of age and they are voting. And since they are now voting, this is exactly what I had been warning about for years. And it happened last week,” Valenzuela said.

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Holguín warned Democrats that keeping Latino voters’ support will depend on delivering results.

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“They’re put on notice right now. Everyone’s watching what they do,” Holguín said. “They’re looking for major change in how our government’s run and how our government delivers for the people.”

Fox News Digital reached out to the White House for comment.

Elaine Mallon is a writer for Fox News Digital and Fox Business covering national politics.

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