特朗普在民主党掌控国会的情况下任期最后两年将面临怎样的局面


2026-11-05T19:23:37-0500

华盛顿报道——在周二共和党遭遇重大选举失利后,特朗普总统似乎正在重新审视对民主党的应对策略,目前他对明年民主党掌控参众两院后将如何与民主党打交道的表态仍前后矛盾。

周二晚共和党败局已定时,特朗普向《政客》杂志表示:“我们将与民主党合作。”但在投票结束前接受哥伦比亚广播公司新闻网记者罗伯特·科斯塔电话采访时,他却说:“我拥有绝对权力——这叫‘否决权’。”

到周三下午,他已经把两种思路融合到了一起。

周三,特朗普在白宫宴会厅施工现场对记者表示:“我大概会和民主党和睦相处,除非他们打算搞破坏,但我拥有否决权。”周四,总统办公桌上的 resolute 办公桌(坚毅桌)上摆放着一顶印有“VETO(否决)”字样的红色帽子。

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2026年11月5日,在白宫椭圆形办公室,美国总统特朗普发表讲话时,一顶印有“VETO”字样的帽子摆放在坚毅桌上。曼德尔·恩甘/法新社/Getty Images

不过,特朗普面临的摩擦来源可能不止民主党。在与特朗普步调一致合作两年后,一些共和党人或许更愿意违背这位任期即将结束的总统,以挽救自己的政治生涯。

以下是新获实权的国会民主党人预计将在2027年特朗普任期最后两年对他采取的举措:

监督与调查

委员会主席的槌子附带传票权力,民主党人计划将其加以运用。

“请准备好律师辩护。”众议院监督与政府改革委员会候任主席、加利福尼亚州众议员罗伯特·加西亚警告称。他已为该委员会制定调查议程数月之久。

加西亚表示,新的调查将聚焦特朗普家族的商业往来、企业腐败、国土安全部及海关执法局的行动,以及杰弗里·爱泼斯坦丑闻。

加西亚希望了解更多信息包括:小唐纳德·特朗普在巴哈马婚礼的部分费用由一位俄罗斯寡头支付的情况;贾里德·库什纳的私募股权基金从沙特阿拉伯主权财富基金获得的20亿美元投资;特朗普家族的加密货币业务;与总统之子有关联并获得五角大楼合同的公司;与国土安全部合同相关的“权钱交易”指控及其他回扣,以及白宫宴会厅捐赠事宜。

“首先需要担忧的是那些造成实际伤害的政府官员。我们将调查这些滥用职权行为。”加西亚周三在加利福尼亚州的一场新闻发布会上表示。

他特别指出白宫副幕僚长斯蒂芬·米勒、前国土安全部官员科里·莱万多夫斯基、前国土安全部长克里斯蒂·诺姆,以及特朗普家族成员可能是调查目标。

“有不少人需要明白,我们将要求他们到美国国会作证。”加西亚说。

他承认,特朗普领导的司法部不太可能对那些拒不配合的人采取任何执法行动。但他表示,作为多数党,民主党人有权代表众议院提起诉讼。

“我们拥有藐视法庭指控的权力。而藐视法庭指控不仅会提交给司法部;还有民事藐视法庭程序会提交给法院。”他说。

领导众议院司法委员会的马里兰州民主党众议员杰米·拉斯金有自己的一长串调查目标,其中一些与监督委员会的目标重叠,包括司法部处理爱泼斯坦案件的方式,以及吉斯莱恩·麦克斯韦被转移到低安全级别监狱的情况。

拉斯金还计划审查民主党所谓的“秘密基金”——名为“和平委员会”的国际倡议、特朗普起诉美国国税局和财政部的和解协议中设立的“反武器化”基金,以及白宫宴会厅的资金。

“有一些私人实体,我们可以传唤他们前来。”拉斯金在接受《Punchbowl News》采访时表示,谈及从特朗普政府外部收集信息的其他途径。

众议院军事委员会最高民主党议员、华盛顿州众议员亚当·史密斯表示,他计划对国防部进行“严格监督”。

“非法对伊朗发动战争是我和美国民众的首要关注。”史密斯周三在一份声明中表示。他还计划审查政府合同中的“ sweetheart deals(优惠交易)”以及浪费、欺诈和滥用职权情况。

史密斯还希望调查“在加勒比和拉丁美洲的未经授权军事打击、向美国城市部署军队,以及武装部队明显且严重的政治化,以及基于忠诚和意识形态的人员清洗”。

康奈尔大学政府学教授道格拉斯·克里纳表示:“在分裂的政府中,调查活动总是比总统所在政党控制国会时更为频繁。”他指出,众议院在调查方面一直比参议院更为激进。

一位白宫官员表示,如果民主党人想“滥用权力,将调查、传票和摧毁他人生活的过程政治化,他们应该被提醒,我们仍掌控着联邦政府及其所有权力”。

白宫发言人劳伦·比斯表示:“正如总统所言,他愿意与任何人合作,为勤劳的美国民众继续创造胜利。如果民主党人选择推进虚假调查和激进左翼政策,那他们就是选择与美国民众作对。”

目前不太可能弹劾特朗普

竞选期间,特朗普曾多次预测,如果民主党掌控国会,他将被弹劾。但就目前而言,民主党尚未显示出将弹劾提上日程的迹象。周三,众议院少数党领袖霍克·杰弗里斯对记者表示:“我没有得到众议院民主党党团任何一位成员讨论弹劾的消息。”

特朗普在首个总统任期内曾被弹劾两次,当时民主党掌控众议院。但两次弹劾都未能在需要三分之二多数票通过的参议院获得定罪。

即便像科罗拉多州众议员当选人梅拉特·基罗斯这样的极左翼人士——她是明年将进入国会的民主社会主义者之一——在最近接受哥伦比亚广播公司新闻网采访时也表示,该党应专注于能对工薪阶层民众生活产生实际影响的立法。

“我不相信弹劾总统并使其下台有可行的路径。”她说。

宾夕法尼亚州众议员当选人克里斯·拉布是另一位民主社会主义者,当被问及是否支持弹劾总统时,他告诉哥伦比亚广播公司新闻网,这个问题“太宽泛”,他无法回答。

一些民主党的领导层人士,如拉斯金,虽然认为特朗普的行为构成可弹劾的罪行,但他们也同意,有比推进弹劾更重要的问题需要解决。拉斯金曾是特朗普第二次弹劾案的众议院管理团队负责人。

特朗普也认为,目前几乎没有第三次尝试的意愿。

“一点也没有。”当被问及是否担心再次被弹劾时,特朗普回应道。“我认为如果他们这么做,会毁掉民主党。因为毫无理由的弹劾——什么?就因为国家发展得好?我们的国家现在比历史上任何时期都更成功。”

收回预算控制权

民主党还将从特朗普手中收回国会的预算控制权,特朗普经常绕过参议院和众议院,而国会中的共和党人通常会追随总统的预算优先事项。但他们占有的众议院多数席位较为微弱,这通常会拖慢预算进程。

预计将领导众议院拨款委员会的康涅狄格州民主党众议员罗莎·德劳罗表示,她计划动用“可用的所有工具”来约束特朗普政府。

德劳罗在最近一次采访中表示,她希望解决生活成本问题,但也说:“我也会与唐纳德·特朗普和各部门首长抗争。”

“我将追究特朗普政府的腐败责任。我将约束政府高层的腐败行为,我会通过拨款程序做到这一点。”她说。

“我们将在拨款法案中设置限制条件。”德劳罗补充道。

当被问及是否考虑削减用于执行问责制的资金时,德劳罗表示,所有选项“都会被审查”。

虽然国会民主党人计划加大对特朗普政府的施压,但他们知道,在重大立法事项上需要与共和党合作,比如政府拨款,因为参议院存在阻挠议事规则。大多数法案需要获得参议院60票的支持才能克服阻挠议事。

布鲁金斯学会治理研究副主任莫莉·雷诺兹表示,除了《一个伟大美好法案》等少数例外情况,“国会在特朗普政府头两年通过的大多数法案都需要两党支持,因为必须克服阻挠议事。因此,从这个意义上说,我们仍将看到两党合作立法的局面。”

克里纳认为,民主党可能会利用拨款程序、限制 rider(附加条款)以及其他可用工具来影响特朗普政府各部门的权限。此外,白宫管理和预算办公室曾不止一次单方面决定国会已经拨款的资金用途。克里纳说,管理和预算办公室曾试图主张,总统根据第二条宪法拥有决定资金用途的专属权力。

“这一直是特朗普政府头两年制度斗争的核心战场,对各部门之间的权力平衡将产生重大且持久的影响。”克里纳说。

与白宫的强硬立场不同,特朗普更为和解,表示可能会与民主党合作。

“我的消息是向民主党表示祝贺,我期待为了我们国家的利益与你们合作。”总统周二晚对哥伦比亚广播公司新闻网白宫资深记者姜韦佳表示。

特朗普提名的官员将面临什么?

民主党掌控参议院将使总统的提名获得确认变得困难。

特朗普多次表示不打算解雇国防部长皮特·赫格斯。但他周三在接受美国广播公司新闻网记者乔纳森·卡尔采访时也表示,在明年新一届国会就职前确认一位新国防部长会更容易。

总统可能需要依赖代理官员来填补需要任命的职位,除非他提名的候选人能获得两党的支持。

行政命令的权力

即便在首个任期政府全面掌控的情况下,特朗普也将大部分第二任期的议程寄托在行政权力上。

休斯顿大学政治学教授布兰登·罗廷豪斯表示:“这一直是他的行事风格。他喜欢这种能绕过国会审查、直接推进自身目标的精简方式。”

罗廷豪斯指出,2010年共和党重新掌控众议院后,巴拉克·奥巴马总统越来越依赖行政命令来推进移民方面的优先事项,其中许多命令在法院受到质疑,并被特朗普政府撤销。

“立法限制会促使总统采取单边行动,但法院肯定会限制这类行动。”罗廷豪斯说。

周四,总统拿起笔签署了一项行政命令,指定椭圆形办公室和内阁室为国家地标,称未来总统无法对其进行重大修改。但未来总统也可以签署新的行政命令来撤销这项命令。

特朗普与共和党人的关系

选举前,国会中的大多数共和党人都支持、捍卫并投票赞成特朗普的优先事项。如今,特朗普正面临罗廷豪斯所说的“倒计时时钟”。

“最后两年将是他政治生涯中最艰难的时期。”罗廷豪斯说。“他对国会议员、尤其是共和党的影响力将减弱,因为议员们会考虑自己的政治前途,而非总统的前途。”

“共和党人将不得不找到前进的道路。”他继续说道。“他们必须找到围绕唐纳德·特朗普的前进之路。”

What Trump’s final 2 years in office will look like with Democrats in charge

2026-11-05T19:23:37-0500

Washington— President Trump seems to be reconsidering his approach to Democrats after Tuesday’s massive Republican election losses and has so far made contradictory comments about how he plans to deal with them as they take control of the Senate and the House in January.

“We’re going to work with the Democrats,” the president told Politico as GOP defeats were beginning to stack up Tuesday night, though in a phone call with CBS News’ Robert Costa before polls closed, he had said, “I have the ultimate power — it’s called ‘veto.’”

By Wednesday afternoon, he had merged the two approaches.

“I’ll get along, probably, with the Democrats, unless they want to be destructive, but I have the power of the veto,” the president told reporters at the White House ballroom construction site Wednesday. On Thursday, a red hat that said “VETO” sat on the Resolute Desk in the Oval Office.

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A hat reading ‘VETO’ sits on the Resolute Desk as President Trump speaks in the Oval Office of the White House, on Nov. 5, 2026. MANDEL NGAN /AFP via Getty Images

But Democrats may not be the only source of friction ahead. After two years of working in lockstep with Mr. Trump, some Republicans may prove more willing to defy the term-limited president to try to salvage their political careers.

Here’s what the newly empowered congressional Democrats may have in store for Mr. Trump in 2027 for the last two years of his presidency.

Oversight and investigations

The committee chair’s gavel comes with subpoena power, and Democrats plan to wield it.

“Lawyer up,” warned Rep. Robert Garcia of California, the incoming chairman of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform. He has been mapping out the panel’s investigative agenda for months.

New probes will focus on the Trump family’s business dealings, corporate corruption, Department of Homeland Security and Immigration and Customs Enforcement actions and the Jeffrey Epstein scandal, Garcia said.

Garcia wants to know more about Donald Trump Jr.’s Bahamas wedding festivities that were partially paid for by a Russian oligarch, a $2 billion investment that Jared Kushner’s private equity fund received from Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, the Trump family’s crypto ventures, companies linked to the president’s sons that have received Pentagon contracts, allegations of a pay-to-play scheme and other kickbacks related to DHS contracts and White House ballroom donations.

“Folks that need to be concerned first are administration officials that have caused real harm. We’re going to investigate the abuses,” Garcia said at a news conference in California on Wednesday.

He singled out White House deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller, former DHS official Corey Lewandowski and former DHS secretary Kristi Noem, as well as Trump family members, as possible targets.

“There’s a lot of folks that need to understand that we are going to ask them to testify in front of the U.S. Congress,” Garcia said.

He acknowledged that the Trump Justice Department is unlikely to take any enforcement action against those who don’t cooperate. But he said that in the majority, Democrats will have the power to sue on behalf of the House.

“We have the power of contempt charges. And contempt charges not only go to the DOJ; there’s also a civil contempt process that goes to the courts,” he said.

Democratic Rep. Jamie Raskin of Maryland, who will lead the House Judiciary Committee, has his own lengthy list of investigative targets, some of which overlap with the oversight committee, like the Justice Department’s handling of the Epstein probe and Ghislaine Maxwell’s transfer to a low-security prison.

Raskin also plans to scrutinize what Democrats have characterized as “slush funds” — an international initiative called the “Board of Peace;” the “anti-weaponization” fund created from a settlement of a Trump lawsuit against the IRS and Treasury Department and White House ballroom funding.

“There are private entities that we can subpoena to come in,” Raskin told Punchbowl News, regarding other avenues to gather information from outside of the Trump administration.

Rep. Adam Smith of Washington, the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, said he plans to conduct “vigorous oversight” of the Defense Department.

The “illegal war against Iran is top of mind for me and the American people,” Smith said in a statement Wednesday. He said he also plans to look at “sweetheart deals” and waste, fraud and abuse in government contracts.

Smith also wants to investigate the “unauthorized military strikes in the Caribbean and Latin America, the deployment of the military to U.S. cities, and the blatant and corrosive politicization of our Armed Forces and purging of the ranks based on loyalty and ideology.”

Douglas Kriner, a professor in Cornell University’s Government Department, said “there’s always been greater investigatory activity in divided governments than when the president’s party controls Congress.” He said the House has always been more aggressive in its investigations than the Senate.

A White House official said that if Democrats want to “abuse their power and politicize the process of investigations, subpoenas and destroying lives, they should be reminded that we still control the federal government and all of its powers.”

“As the president has said, he’s willing to work with anyone to continue delivering victories for hardworking Americans,” said White House spokeswoman Lauren Bis. “If Democrats choose to pursue sham investigations and radical left policies, they are choosing to work against the American people.”

Not inclined to impeach Trump at this point

During the campaign, Mr. Trump often predicted he’d be impeached if Democrats took control of Congress, but for now, they’ve shown no sign that this is on their agenda. On Wednesday, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries told reporters, “I haven’t had a single member of the House Democratic Caucus talk to me about impeachment.”

Mr. Trump was impeached twice during his first term when Democrats controlled the House. Both efforts ended without a conviction in the Senate, which requires a two-thirds majority vote.

Even those on the far left, like Rep.-elect Melat Kiros of Colorado, who is among the contingent of democratic socialists joining Congress next year, told CBS News in a recent interview that the party should focus on legislation that could make a material difference in the lives of working-class people.

“I’m not convinced that there is a path forward for impeaching the president that would lead to removal,” she said.

Asked whether he would support impeaching the president, Rep.-elect Chris Rabb of Pennsylvania, another democratic socialist, told CBS News that the question was “too broad” for him to answer.

Some Democratic leaders like Raskin agree there are more important issues to address than pursuing impeachment, even though they believe that Mr. Trump has committed impeachable offenses. Raskin was the lead House manager for Mr. Trump’s second impeachment.

The president also perceives that there’s currently little appetite for a third try.

“Not even a little bit,” Mr. Trump responded when asked if he was worried about being impeached again. “I think it would destroy the Democrat Party if they did that. ‘Cause impeachment for no reason — what, for having a successful country? Our country is more successful now than at any time in its history.”

Taking back power of the purse

Democrats will also be taking back Congress’ power of the purse from Mr. Trump, who often bypassed the Senate and the House, and Republicans in the Capitol, who usually went along with the president’s budget priorities. But their much slimmer House majority often slowed down the process.

Democratic Rep. Rosa DeLauro of Connecticut, who’s expected to lead the House Appropriations Committee, said she plans to use “what tools are available” to rein in the Trump administration.

In a recent interview, DeLauro said she wants to address cost-of-living issues but also said, “I will fight Donald Trump and the Cabinet secretaries as well.”

“I’m going to hold the Trump administration accountable for the corruption,” she said. “I’m going to rein in corruption at the highest level of government. I would do that through appropriations.”

“We will build in guardrails in the appropriation bills,” DeLauro added.

Asked whether she would consider zeroing out funding to enforce accountability, DeLauro said all options “will be reviewed.”

Although congressional Democrats plan to ratchet up the pressure on the Trump administration, they know they’ll need to work with Republicans on major legislation, like funding the government because of the Senate filibuster. The majority of measures need to reach a 60-vote threshold of support in the Senate to overcome a filibuster.

With a few exceptions like the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, “most of what Congress has done in the first two years of the Trump administration has required bipartisan support because it’s had to overcome the filibuster,” said Molly Reynolds, vice president and director of governance studies at the Brookings Institution. “So, in that sense, we would still be looking at bipartisan legislating.”

Kriner suggested Democrats may try to use the appropriations process, limitation riders and other tools at their disposal to influence what Mr. Trump’s agencies can and can’t do. And more than once, the White House Office of Management and Budget has unilaterally made spending decisions about funds that were already appropriated by Congress. The OMB has tried to make the case, Kriner said, that presidents have exclusive powers under Article II to decide how money is spent.

“That’s been the central front of an institutional battle over the first two years of the Trump administration, and it has really big, lasting implications for what the balance of power across the branches is going to look like,” Kriner said.

In contrast with the White House’s pugnacious tone, Mr. Trump has been more conciliatory and said he may work with Democrats.

“My message is congratulations to the Democrats, and I look forward to working with you for the good of our country,” the president told CBS News senior White House correspondent Weijia Jiang on Tuesday night.

What will happen to Trump nominees?

Democratic control of the Senate will make it difficult for the president to get his nominees confirmed.

Mr. Trump has repeatedly said he doesn’t plan to fire Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. But he also told ABC News’ Jonathan Karl on Wednesday that it would be easier to confirm a new defense secretary before the new Congress is seated in January.

The president will likely have to rely on acting officials for roles that need to be filled, unless he nominates candidates who can win bipartisan support.

Power of the pen

The president has relied on executive authority for much of his second-term agenda, even under the unified control of government he enjoyed during his first two years in office.

Brandon Rottinghaus, political science professor at the University of Houston, said, “That’s been his M.O. He likes it as a streamlined way to pursue his objectives in a way that aren’t checked typically by Congress.”

Rottinghaus noted that President Barack Obama increasingly relied on executive actions after Republicans won back the House in 2010, especially on his immigration priorities, many of which were challenged in court and rolled back by the Trump administration.

“Legislative constraints will encourage presidential unilateralism, but the courts will definitely limit those kinds of actions,” Rottinghaus said.

The president picked up his pen Thursday to sign an executive order designating the Oval Office and Cabinet Room national landmarks, saying future presidents won’t be able to make major changes. But a future president could also sign a new executive order to undo it.

Trump’s relationship with Republicans

Before the elections, most Republicans in Congress supported, defended and voted for Mr. Trump’s priorities. Now, Mr. Trump is looking at what Rottinghaus called a “ticking clock.”

“The last two years are going to be the hardest of his political career,” Rottinghaus said. “His leverage over members of Congress, especially Republicans, will diminish as lawmakers think about their own political futures rather than the president’s.”

“Republicans are going to have to figure out a way forward,” he continued. “You know, they’re going to have to figure out a way forward around Donald Trump.”

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