2026年10月22日 美国东部时间下午3:21 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
华盛顿——据哥伦比亚广播公司新闻获得的一份备忘录显示，国防部长皮特·黑格斯思已禁止国防部人员利用非公开信息押注美国军事行动。
在10月20日发给五角大楼高级领导层和作战司令部指挥官的讯息中，黑格斯思表示，这项禁令适用于机密和非机密信息，且明确涵盖备忘录中提及的Polymarket和Kalshi等预测市场。
这位国防部长警告称，在预测市场进行的金融交易可能会将敏感的军事动向暴露给外国对手，并危及美军士兵的安全。
“不要误解这项禁令的重要性。我们的对手正密切关注这些市场的动向，”黑格斯思写道。“当美国军人、情报人员或其他国防部文职人员就军事结果进行金融交易时，他们会留下信号。”
黑格斯思警告称，外国情报机构可能会分析投注活动，以预判美军的军事动向、打击目标和行动时机。备忘录称，根据联邦法律或《美国统一军事司法法典》——即管理美军的法律法规，违规行为可能导致行政处分或刑事处罚。
这项指令出台之际，外界正对参与军事相关预测市场的军人展开越来越多的审查。今年4月，一名参与抓捕委内瑞拉领导人尼古拉斯·马杜罗军事行动的美国特种部队士兵被捕，据称他在突袭行动消息公开前就押注马杜罗会被罢免。
联邦调查人员认为，美军陆军总军士长甘农·肯·范戴克在1月份特朗普宣布马杜罗被抓获后的数小时内，就在Polymarket预测平台下注超过3.3万美元，最终获利超过40.9万美元。
这名士兵在纽约联邦法院提出了无罪抗辩。
本报道最早于2026年10月22日下午3:21在哥伦比亚广播公司新闻发布。
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/polymarket-claims-arrest-us-soldier-accused-maduro-bet-proof-system-works/
Polymarket称被捕涉马杜罗押注美军士兵事件“证明系统有效”
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Hegseth bans DoD personnel from using nonpublic info to bet on U.S. military operations
October 22, 2026 3:21 PM EDT / CBS News
Washington — Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has banned Defense Department personnel from using nonpublic information to bet on U.S. military operations, according to a memorandum obtained by CBS News.
In the Oct. 20 message to senior Pentagon leadership and combatant commanders, Hegseth said the prohibition would apply to classified and unclassified information and specifically includes prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi, which are named in the memo.
The defense secretary warned that financial transactions on prediction markets could expose sensitive military movements to foreign adversaries and endanger American troops.
“Make no mistake why this matters. Our enemies watch movements in these markets,” Hegseth wrote. “When an American Service member, intelligence professional, or other Department civilian engages in a financial transaction on a military outcome, they create a signal.”
Hegseth warned that foreign intelligence services could analyze betting activity to anticipate American military movements, targets and timing of an operation. The memorandum said violations could result in administrative disciplinary or criminal action under federal law or the Uniform Code of Military Justice, the laws and regulations governing the U.S. military.
The directive follows growing scrutiny of service members participating in military-related prediction markets. In April, a U.S. Special Forces soldier involved in the military operation that captured Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro was arrested after allegedly betting on Maduro’s removal from office before news of the raid was made public.
Federal investigators believe U.S. Army Master Sgt. Gannon Ken Van Dyke made bets of more than $33,000 on the prediction market Polymarket within hours of President Trump’s announcement in January that Maduro had been captured. The bets resulted in winnings of more than $409,000.
The soldier entered a not guilty plea in New York federal court.
This story published first on CBS News at 3:21 p.m. on Oct. 22, 2026.
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/polymarket-claims-arrest-us-soldier-accused-maduro-bet-proof-system-works/
Polymarket claims arrest of U.S. soldier accused of making Maduro bet is “proof the system works”
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