2026-10-07T09:00:45.037Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/07/politics/senate-kansas-partisan-republicans-democrats-vis
民主党人正梦想着今年11月在堪萨斯州掀起一场政治革命，他们愿意相信民调结果：该州联邦参议员选举形势胶着，民主党候选人亚当·哈密尔顿牧师与现任共和党议员罗杰·马歇尔对决。
如果哈密尔顿拿下这个席位，无疑将是一个分水岭时刻：自1932年以来，从未有民主党人在堪萨斯州赢得联邦参议员席位，时间跨度虽不足一个世纪，但也已经非常、非常漫长。
事实上，自1861年堪萨斯成为美国州份以来，仅有三位民主党人曾在参议院代表该州。两党在此期间历经多次演变，这一数据显得格外引人注目。
相关报道：阅读CNN《重要事项》通讯采访堪萨斯州政治专家的问答实录，了解堪萨斯州长期由共和党占据参议院席位的原因，以及今年堪萨斯州民众为何认为特朗普的部分政策针对他们。
尽管美国政坛似乎格局固化：50个州中有30个州在本世纪都曾有过两党籍参议员。而在近期同时出现过两党参议员的州中，多数都属于决定选举结果的摇摆州，但也有少数例外，比如蒙大拿州和阿拉巴马州。
紧随堪萨斯州之后的是夏威夷、怀俄明和犹他州
自1970年以来，没有共和党人当选过夏威夷州联邦参议员。上一位共和党参议员 Hiram Fong 是夏威夷1959年建州时当选的两位首任参议员之一。自同年起，也再没有民主党人当选怀俄明州或犹他州的联邦参议员。
密西西比河以东地区最长的连续纪录属于新泽西州：自1972年克利福德·凯斯当选以来，该州再未选出过共和党联邦参议员。克利福德·凯斯在国会山拥有漫长的职业生涯。2013年，共和党人杰弗里·奇亚曾短暂被任命填补参议员空缺，这源于当时该州州长是共和党人克里斯·克里斯蒂。
堪萨斯州选民若要为上一位民主党参议员投过票，年龄至少得超过100岁，但该州现任州长却是民主党人。
新罕布什尔州目前由两位民主党参议员代表。上一位当选的共和党参议员是2010年的凯利·阿约特，她如今是该州州长。共和党人希望另一位前参议员约翰·苏努努能打破这一趋势，今年重新夺回参议院席位。他担任参议员期间，该州曾有两位共和党议员。
目前美国参议院出现两党同州的代表团数量比美国历史上任何时期都要少。根据皮尤研究中心2021年的分析，自1914年批准第17条修正案后全国直选参议员以来，参议院两党同州的情况通常至少有10个，且经常超过20个。
当前仅有四个州存在两党同州代表团：佛蒙特州、宾夕法尼亚州、威斯康星州——这三个州今年都没有参议院选举——以及缅因州。该州共和党议员苏珊·柯林斯是处境最危险的现任参议员之一。如果她输给民主党人特洛伊·杰克逊，缅因州将加入一批将参议员席位与总统选举红蓝州属性统一的州的行列。柯林斯是参议院两党中为数不多的真正温和派议员之一。
缅因州另一位参议员安格斯·金是无党派人士，但与佛蒙特州的伯尼·桑德斯参议员一样，他在程序性事务上与民主党立场一致，因此在计算参议院党派控制权时被算作民主党议员。
佛蒙特州上一次选出共和党参议员是2000年的吉姆·杰福兹，后来他因共和党触怒了自己而退党转投民主党。目前有猜测称，宾夕法尼亚州民主党参议员约翰·费特曼可能很快会做出相反举动，但他坚称自己将继续以民主党人身份履职。
宾夕法尼亚州曾有过议员换党先例：阿伦·斯佩克特曾在2009年从共和党转投民主党。
得克萨斯州上一位当选联邦参议员的民主党人是1988年的劳埃德·本特森，他后来辞职加入比尔·克林顿总统的内阁。巧合的是，1988年也是加州最后一次选出共和党参议员。目前加州选出在野党籍参议员的可能性似乎不大——至少比得克萨斯州更小，但情况一直在发生变化。
南北达科他州和蒙大拿州在过去25年内都曾有过两位民主党参议员。如今这三个州的参议员均为共和党人，但今年在蒙大拿州和南达科他州，挑战共和党人的最大阻力来自无党派人士，而非民主党人。
目前最有可能获胜的无党派候选人来自内布拉斯加州，丹·奥斯本正在挑战参议员皮特·里基茨。内布拉斯加州上一位民主党参议员当选还要追溯到2006年。
在美国政坛以无党派身份参选面临诸多困难，尤其是在州级或全国层面。奥斯本或许无法成功拿下参议院席位，但这清晰传递出一个信号：在一些州，政党标签已经受损严重，抛开党派身份或许是推翻现任执政党根深蒂固权力的最佳途径。但同样不可否认的是，随着两党不断演变调整，政坛格局的巨变终将意味着它们的执政时代终有尽头。
Kansas’ 94-year streak is unlike anything else in American politics
2026-10-07T09:00:45.037Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/07/politics/senate-kansas-partisan-republicans-democrats-vis
Democrats are dreaming of a revolution in Kansas in November, trying to believe in polling that shows a tight race in the Senate contest there between the Democrat, Rev. Adam Hamilton, and the Republican incumbent, Sen. Roger Marshall.
It would indeed be a watershed moment if Hamilton takes the seat: No Democrat has won a Senate seat in Kansas since 1932, not quite a century but a very, very long time.
In fact, since Kansas became a state in 1861, only three Democrats have represented it in the Senate. It’s a remarkable statistic since the two parties have evolved so much during that time.
Related: Read a Q and A with a Kansas-based political expert from CNN’s What Matters newsletter about why Kansas has stayed Republican at the Senate level for so long and why Kansans feel targeted by some of Trump’s policies this year.
While American politics seem locked in place; 30 of the 50 states have been represented by a senator from both parties during this century. And while the states that have been represented by both parties most recently track closely with the swing states that decide elections, there are a few exceptions, like Montana and Alabama.
After Kansas come Hawaii, Wyoming and Utah
No Republican has been elected to represent the islands since 1970. That Republican, Hiram Fong, was one of Hawaii’s two first senators, elected when Hawaii became a state in 1959. No Democrat has been elected to represent Wyoming or Utah since that same year.
The longest streak east of the Mississippi River is in New Jersey, where no Republican has been elected to the US Senate since Clifford Case was elected in 1972, capping a long career on Capitol Hill. A Republican senator, Jeffrey Chiesa, was briefly appointed to serve in 2013. That was the result of the state having a Republican governor, Chris Christie, at the time.
A Kansas voter would have to be well over 100 years old to have voted for the state’s last Democratic senator, but the current governor is a Democrat.
In New Hampshire, the state is represented by two Democratic senators. The last Republican elected was Kelly Ayotte in 2010. She’s currently the state’s governor. And Republicans hope that another former senator, John Sununu, can break the trend and reclaim a Senate seat this year. When he served as senator, the state had two Republican senators.
Far fewer states are sending a split delegation — both a Republican and a Democratic senator — than ever before in US history. Since the nationwide election of senators began with the 1914 election after the ratification of the 17th amendment, there have generally been at least 10 and frequently more than 20 split delegations, according to a 2021 analysis by Pew.
Currently there are only four: Vermont, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — none of which has a Senate race this year — and Maine, where Republican Sen. Susan Collins is among the most endangered incumbents. If she loses to Democrat Troy Jackson, Maine will join the wave of states bringing their senators in line with their status as blue or red for presidential purposes. And Collins is one of the few true moderates of either party left in the chamber.
The other senator from Maine, Angus King, is an independent, but like Sen. Bernie Sanders in Vermont, he sides with Democrats in procedural matters, making him a Democrat for purposes of determining which party controls the Senate.
The last time Vermont elected a Republican, Sen. Jim Jeffords in 2000, he ended up switching parties when Republicans angered him. There’s conjecture now that Pennsylvania’s Democratic Sen. John Fetterman might soon do the inverse, but he has insisted that he will remain a Democrat.
There’s Pennsylvania precedent for party-switching. Sen. Arlen Specter went from R to D in 2009.
The last Democrat elected to the Senate from Texas was Lloyd Bentsen in 1988. He resigned to be in President Bill Clinton’s Cabinet. 1988, coincidentally, is the last year California elected a Republican. It does not feel close — or not as close as Texas — to electing someone from the out-of-power party, but things are changing all the time.
Both Dakotas and Montana were represented by two Democrats within the last 25 years. Now all three are represented by two Republicans, although this year in Montana and South Dakota it is independents, not even Democrats, who are mounting the biggest challenge to Republicans.
The independent who seems to have the best chance of winning at the moment is in Nebraska, where Dan Osborn is challenging Sen. Pete Ricketts. A Democrat last won in Nebraska in 2006.
There are a lot of reasons that running as an independent is tricky in American politics, especially at the state or national level. Osborn’s success might not turn into a Senate seat, but it is a clear message that there are states where party brands are so badly damaged that shedding them could be the best path to unseating an entrenched in-party power. But it’s also true that as the parties change and shift, tectonic moves mean their time in power is ultimately limited.
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