2026年8月13日 美国东部时间21:03 / 2小时前更新 / 路透社
[1/2]2023年12月29日，人们在美国纽约纽约证券交易所附近的金融区行走。路透社/爱德华多·穆尼奥斯 摄
8月13日 路透社 — 惠誉评级周四将美国主权信用评级维持在“AA+”，展望为稳定，理由是美国拥有庞大的经济体量、较高的人均收入，以及美元作为全球主导储备货币的地位。
这家评级机构表示，尽管面临更高关税、政府削减开支、更严格的边境管控以及政策不确定性上升的局面，美国经济仍保持韧性，这体现了美国吸收冲击的能力和经济灵活性。
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不过惠誉预计2026至2027年经济增长率为1.9%，低于2025年的2.8%，并指出今年劳动力需求疲软、就业增长大幅放缓。
通胀仍是一大担忧，该机构预计2026年通胀率平均为3.4%，高于美联储2%的目标。关税推高了核心商品通胀，但其影响比预期要温和。
惠誉预计，2026年美国一般政府赤字占GDP比重将扩大至7.4%，2027年仍将维持这一水平，为“AA”评级主权国家中最高。更高的军费和利息支出，加上医疗保险和社会保障支出的增加，将限制政府削减赤字的努力。
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同行标普全球评级也于6月维持美国“AA+”评级，理由是美国经济韧性强劲且制度体系稳固。
惠誉曾在2023年将美国主权信用评级从顶级的AAA级下调一档，理由是预计财政状况恶化，以及多次在最后一刻才达成债务上限谈判协议。
穆迪去年也将美国主权信用评级下调一档，取消了该国最后保留的AAA评级。
blob:https://www.reuters.com/80716400-06b2-4abe-b170-d8150b2d6f03
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Fitch keeps United States at ‘AA+’, cites economic resilience amid fiscal risks
August 13, 2026 9:03 PM UTC / Updated 2 hours ago / By Reuters
[1/2]People walk around the Financial District near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., December 29, 2023. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz
Aug 13 (Reuters) – Fitch on Thursday affirmed the sovereign credit rating for the United States at “AA+” with a stable outlook, citing its large economy, high per-capita income and the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s leading reserve currency.
The U.S. economy remained resilient despite higher tariffs, government spending cuts, tighter border controls and heightened policy uncertainty, reflecting its ability to absorb shocks and economic flexibility, the credit ratings agency said.
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Fitch, however, estimated economic growth of 1.9% in 2026-2027, lower than the 2.8% in 2025, and noted weakening labor demand and a significant slowdown in job creation this year.
Inflation remains a concern, with the agency expecting it to average 3.4% in 2026, above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Tariffs have added to core goods inflation, though their impact has been less severe than expected.
Fitch expects the general government deficit to widen to 7.4% of GDP in 2026 and remain at that level in 2027, the highest among “AA”-rated sovereigns. Higher military and interest costs, along with rising Medicare and Social Security spending, would limit efforts to reduce the deficit.
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Peer S&P Global also maintained its “AA+” rating on the U.S. in June, citing the economy’s resilience and strong institutions.
Fitch had downgraded the U.S. sovereign rating by one notch from the top-tier triple-A rating in 2023, pointing to expected fiscal deterioration and repeated down-to-the-wire debt ceiling negotiations.
Moody’s downgraded the U.S. by one notch last year, citing rising debt levels and stripping the country of its last remaining triple-A rating.
blob:https://www.reuters.com/80716400-06b2-4abe-b170-d8150b2d6f03
Reporting by Aatrayee Chatterjee in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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