2026-07-31T10:36:14.689Z / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
作者：卡拉·斯坎内尔
1小时25分钟前发布
发布时间：2026年7月31日 美国东部时间上午6:36
2026年2月25日拍摄的在线预测市场平台Kalshi的应用程序界面。这类在线预测市场平台允许用户就体育、金融、政治和时事等广泛议题下注。
斯科特·奥尔森/盖蒂图片社
纽约州总检察长办公室正对大型预测市场平台之一的Kalshi提起诉讼，指控其在该州运营非法赌博机构。
纽约州总检察长利蒂希娅·詹姆斯指控Kalshi未获得州赌博许可证且未缴纳相关税费。该诉讼已于周五早些时候在纽约州法院提起，要求下令禁止Kalshi在该州运营，并索要罚款、退赔款以及没收其非法所得。
“纽约州的赌博法保护未成年人免受地下博彩侵害，同时助力打击赌博成瘾问题，”詹姆斯在宣布诉讼的声明中表示，“无论它们如何标榜自己，像Kalshi这样的预测市场本质上就是赌博平台，毋庸置疑。”
这名总检察长还指控Kalshi的预测市场向未达到纽约州移动体育博彩法定年龄的用户开放。
Kalshi的发言人在回应诉讼时表示：“看到本州领导层上演这种政治闹剧，令人遗憾。各州无权直接关停获得联邦许可的交易平台。这一举措只会伤害纽约民众，他们将被迫转向境外平台。我们热爱纽约，热爱纽约民众，而纽约民众也喜爱我们的产品。”
此次诉讼是各州总检察长针对预测市场运营商提起的最新一起诉讼。预测市场允许用户就几乎所有议题进行涨跌下注——从奥斯卡奖归属到体育赛事结果皆可。
预测市场行业增长迅速、人气日益高涨且单笔投注金额不菲，这引发了一场全面争论：州博彩委员会还是联邦商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）应拥有对该行业的监管权。
一名联邦上诉法院法官于周三驳回了Kalshi暂停下级法院裁决的请求，该裁决认定尽管Kalshi受到联邦监管，纽约州的赌博规则仍适用于该平台。这一裁定为纽约州提起本次诉讼扫清了道路。
一位知情人士透露，双方曾进行避免诉讼的谈判，但最终谈判破裂。
此前一晚，联邦监管机构商品期货交易委员会已要求负责联邦相关案件的法官下令阻止纽约州对预测市场采取任何行动，称其拥有专属管辖权。
“总而言之，允许纽约州对受商品期货交易委员会监管的实体实施赌博相关法律，有可能让单个州将整个受联邦监管的市场推向毁灭边缘，”商品期货交易委员会在法庭文件中写道。
其他州此前也曾针对Kalshi及其竞争对手提起诉讼，而预测市场平台也一直在积极阻止部分州委员会对其实施监管。
今年5月，罗德岛州起诉Kalshi和Polymarket开展非法体育博彩。今年4月，纽约州总检察长起诉Coinbase和Gemini，指控其通过旗下预测市场平台在纽约州运营非法赌博机构。这些平台均否认存在任何不当行为。
全美各地的法院在不同案件中做出过有利于双方的裁决。
本周一，一名联邦法官阻止明尼苏达州实施全州范围内的预测市场禁令。几天后，在威斯康星州的另一起案件中，一名法官裁定该州可以像监管赌博一样监管预测市场。周四，联邦上诉法院就俄亥俄州和田纳西州的类似诉讼举行了听证会。
截至目前，内华达州、密歇根州和华盛顿州已成功关停Kalshi在其州内的部分或全部业务，相关诉讼仍在进行中。该公司反对这些裁决，并辩称只有联邦政府才能对其进行监管。
美国有线电视新闻网与Kalshi存在合作关系，并使用其数据报道重大事件。但CNN的编辑人员不得使用预测市场。
CNN记者马歇尔·科恩为本报道贡献了内容。
New York sues prediction market Kalshi alleging it’s an illegal gambling operation
2026-07-31T10:36:14.689Z / CNN
By Kara Scannell
1 hr 25 min ago
PUBLISHED Jul 31, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
An app for Kalshi, an online prediction market site, is shown on February 25, 2026. Online prediction market platforms allow people to place bets on wide-ranging subjects such as sports, finance, politics and currents events.
Scott Olson/Getty Images
The New York attorney general’s office is suing Kalshi, one of the largest prediction markets, alleging it’s running an illegal gambling operation in the state.
Attorney General Letitia James alleges Kalshi failed to obtain a state gambling license and pay related taxes. The lawsuit, which was filed in New York State court early Friday, is seeking an order enjoining Kalshi’s operations, plus fines, restitution and the forfeiture of profits.
“New York’s gambling laws protect children from underage betting and help combat gambling addiction,” James said in a statement announcing the lawsuit. “No matter what they call themselves, prediction markets like Kalshi are gambling platforms, plain and simple.”
The attorney general also alleges Kalshi’s prediction market is open to users younger than the legal age in New York to participate in mobile sports betting.
A spokesperson for Kalshi said in response to the lawsuit: “It’s sad to see this type of political theater from the leadership in our own state. States can’t just shut down a federally licensed exchange. This would also just hurt New Yorkers, who would be driven offshore. We love New York, we love New Yorkers, and New Yorkers love our product.”
The lawsuit is the latest brought by a state attorney general against an operator of prediction markets, which allows up or down bets on almost anything – from the Oscars to sports games.
The fast-growth, increasing popularity and big-dollar bets across prediction markets have created an all-out battle over whether state gaming commissions or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal regulator, should have oversight.
A federal appeals court paved the way for New York to file the lawsuit after an appellate judge on Wednesday denied Kalshi’s request to pause a lower court’s ruling finding that New York’s gambling rules could apply despite federal regulation.
A person familiar with the case said there were negotiations to avoid a lawsuit but talks broke down.
Overnight, the federal regulator, the CFTC, asked the judge overseeing the federal case to issue an order to stop New York from taking any action against prediction markets, saying it has exclusive jurisdiction.
“Altogether, allowing New York to enforce its gambling laws against CFTC-regulated (entities) has the potential for a single state to bring entire federally regulated markets to the brink of destruction,” the CFTC wrote in a court filing.
Other states have previously filed lawsuits against Kalshi and its rivals, and the prediction markets have proactively sought to block some state commissions from oversight.
In May, Rhode Island sued Kalshi and Polymarket for unlawful sports betting. In April, the New York attorney general sued Coinbase and Gemini, alleging they are running illegal gambling operations in New York through their prediction market platforms. The platforms all deny any wrongdoing.
Courts across the country have ruled in favor of both sides in different cases.
A federal judge on Monday blocked Minnesota from enforcing its statewide ban on prediction markets. Days later, in a separate case in Wisconsin, a judge ruled that the state can regulate prediction markets like gambling. A federal appeals court held a hearing Thursday about similar lawsuits in Ohio and Tennessee.
So far, Nevada, Michigan and Washington state have successfully shut down some or all of Kalshi’s operations in their states, as a result of lawsuits that are ongoing. The company opposed these decisions and has argued that it can only be regulated by the federal government.
CNN has a partnership with Kalshi and uses its data to cover major events. But CNN editorial employees are not allowed to use prediction markets.
CNN’s Marshall Cohen contributed to this report.
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