2026年8月13日 美国东部时间晚上8:14 / 福克斯新闻
美伊两国紧张局势升级，唐纳德·特朗普总统要求就数十年来遭受的损失获得数十亿美元赔偿。制裁战略家米亚德·马利基分析了伊朗崩溃的经济，以及本届政府的极限施压政策带来的影响。桑德拉·史密斯主持了本次讨论，详细介绍了美国严格制裁下伊朗石油出口下滑以及日益加剧的经济困境。
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国家安全分析师周四警告称，伊朗最早今年秋季就可能发动军事打击，瞄准一系列高价值目标，以打破美国日益收紧的经济制裁。
据阿联酋官方媒体WAM报道，阿拉伯联合酋长国阿布扎比国家石油公司（ADNOC）称，两艘船只在霍尔木兹海峡过境时遭袭击。
据路透社报道，阿布扎比国家石油公司称没有人员受伤，局势已得到控制，阿联酋外交部谴责了伊朗的袭击行为。
伊朗支持的胡塞武装在红海的威胁或促使美国重大政策转变，分析师称
美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特周四表示，华盛顿正准备对伊朗采取前所未有的经济行动。
“敬请关注下周更多公告，因为我们将实施美国历史上从未有过的国家经济孤立措施，”贝森特在接受《纽smax》采访时说道。
伊朗军队可能转而采取游击式突袭战术，以利用美军在海湾地区的增兵。（法新社通过盖蒂图片社拍摄）
美国国防民主基金会高级研究员本哈姆·本·塔布勒告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，随着华盛顿加大制裁力度，德黑兰可能会加大军事压力。
“我们可以预计，在初秋时节，他们将以实质性行动回击特朗普的经济政策，”塔布勒说。“如果总统重新像2019年那样将经济施压作为管控手段，那么伊朗政权将动用军事压力，试图打破这种经济遏制。”
特朗普寄望于经济施压迫使伊朗就范，而伊朗政权自身的失误加剧了国内痛苦
本·塔布勒表示，石油收入缩水和美国海军封锁可能还会促使德黑兰将打击目标扩大到整个地区。
伊朗弹道导弹在武装部队服役仪式上展出。有消息人士称，伊朗已将这些导弹运往俄罗斯。（伊朗总统府/西亚新闻社/路透社 资料图/路透社）
“这意味着他们将动用军事手段，以此摆脱美国似乎决意要对他们实施的经济遏制机制，”塔布勒补充道。
“我认为会有更多针对船只的袭击，可能还会有更多针对美军基地的袭击，以及更多针对波斯湾阿拉伯国家基础设施的袭击。伊朗政权肯定会制定分级目标清单，区分哪些是具有直接价值的目标，哪些具有更高经济价值，以及哪些可能会直接或间接引发美国的回应。”
这些警告发出之际，美伊两国谈判陷入僵局。
一名伊朗高级消息人士8月12日告诉路透社，到目前为止，双方尚未就延长美伊停火协议展开讨论。
德黑兰坚持要求华盛顿重返该协议，并明确设定履行义务的时间表。
今年6月签署的临时谅解备忘录呼吁“立即永久终止所有战线的军事行动”。
伊朗派出了史无前例的“全政权”代表团参与美国会谈，一名反恐专家表示，这凸显了伊朗的一项优先任务。（厄斯·弗勒勒 泳池照片 路透社）
该协议后来破裂，特朗普于7月7日宣布该协议“作废”。
根据该框架，双方拥有可延长的60天窗口，以谈判达成最终协议，解决包括伊朗核计划在内的关键安全关切。
最后期限为8月17日，霍尔木兹海峡的控制权仍是主要分歧点。
伊朗新任命的巴斯基民兵组织负责人侯赛因·塔Eb周四表示，霍尔木兹海峡仍“处于伊朗的控制和管理之下”。
他的言论与特朗普前一天的说法相矛盾，特朗普称美国“完全控制”了这条重要航道。
2026年6月21日，商业货轮和原油油轮在阿曼马斯喀特海岸外的阿曼湾锚泊，准备穿越关键的霍尔木兹海峡。（沙迪·阿拉萨尔/阿纳多卢通讯社通过盖蒂图片社拍摄）
“该政权在这里采用的是久经考验的策略，也就是对美国的许多传统海湾伙伴‘背后捅刀，当面握手’，”塔布勒说。
“看起来伊朗的升级行动、外交施压和外交手腕正试图将特朗普政府重新拉回谅解备忘录框架。”
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“该政权绝对不想让特朗普政府获得胜利的舆论声势，为此，他们非常坚定地要掌控霍尔木兹海峡。”
塔布勒表示，特朗普将这种以制裁为核心的战略描述为“低调”手段。
“这些都是高影响力的工具，”他总结道。“我认为，2019年夏天我们看到的部分升级行动——那段历史可能会成为序幕。”
艾玛·巴西是福克斯新闻数字频道的突发新闻撰稿人。加入福克斯之前，她曾在《每日电讯报》美国夜班团队工作，涉及外交、政治、新闻、体育和文化等多个编辑部。
Iran could unleash ‘kinetic’ response as US tightens economic containment, analyst warns
August 13, 2026 8:14pm EDT / Fox News
Tensions escalate between the U.S. and Iran as President Donald Trump demands billions in compensation for decades of damages. Sanctions strategist Miad Maleki analyzes Iran’s collapsing economy and the impact of the administration’s maximum pressure campaign. Sandra Smith hosts the discussion detailing oil export drops and rising economic misery under tight U.S. sanctions.
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Iran could launch military strikes as early as this fall, targeting a list of high-value assets to shatter increasing U.S. economic sanctions, national security analysts warned Thursday.
The warning came as the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, or ADNOC, reported that two vessels were struck transiting the Strait of Hormuz, according to the United Arab Emirates’ state-run WAM news agency.
ADNOC said there were no injuries, and the situation was under control, according to Reuters, as the UAE foreign ministry condemned the Iranian attacks.
IRAN-BACKED HOUTHI THREAT IN RED SEA COULD LEAD TO MAJOR US POLICY SHIFT, ANALYSTS SAY
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Thursday that Washington was preparing to take unprecedented economic action against Iran.
“Watch this space for more announcements coming next week because we are going to apply measures like we have never been seen in the history of economic isolation on a country,” Bessent said in an interview on Newsmax.
Iranian forces could shift to guerrilla-style hit-and-run attacks to exploit the U.S. troop buildup in the Gulf.(Photo by AFP via Getty Image)
Behnam Ben Taleblu, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told Fox News Digital Tehran is likely to step up military pressure as Washington intensifies sanctions.
“Come early fall, what we can expect is for them to kinetically push back against Trump’s economic policy,” Taleblu said. “If the president is re-embracing economic pressure as a management approach, just like we saw in 2019, then the regime will use kinetic pressure to try to find a way to break out of that economic containment.”
TRUMP BETS ECONOMIC PRESSURE CAN SQUEEZE IRAN AS REGIME’S OWN FAILURES DEEPEN THE PAIN
Ben Taleblu said shrinking oil revenues and the U.S. naval blockade could also drive Tehran to expand its target list across the region.
Iranian ballistic missiles are displayed during a ceremony of joining the Armed Forces. Sources are now saying Iran has sent these missiles to Russia.(Iran’s Presidency/WANA/West Asia News Agency/Handout/Reuters)
“This means they would embrace the kinetic tool, and that’s how they would get out of the economic containment regime that the U.S. seems to be defaulting to want to put on them,” Taleblu added.
“I would say more attacks on ships, potentially more attacks on U.S. bases, potentially more attacks on Arab infrastructure in the Persian Gulf. And certainly the regime would create a tiered list of targets of what is of immediate value versus what has greater economic value versus what might lead to the U.S. directly or indirectly responding.”
The warnings come amid a deadlock in talks between Washington and Tehran.
So far, there have been no discussions about extending the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement, a senior Iranian source told Reuters Aug. 12.
Tehran has insisted Washington return to the pact and set a definitive timeline to meet its obligations.
The interim memorandum of understanding, signed in June, called for the “immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts.”
Tehran sent an unprecedented “whole regime” team to the U.S. talks, which signals one priority, a counterterrorism expert said.(Urs Flueeler/Pool via Reuters)
The agreement later unraveled, with Trump declaring July 7 the pact was “over.”
Under the framework, both sides had an extendable 60-day window to negotiate a final agreement addressing key security concerns, including Iran’s nuclear program.
That deadline is Aug. 17, with control of the Strait of Hormuz remaining a major sticking point.
Hossein Taeb, the newly appointed head of Iran’s Basij paramilitary force, said Thursday the Strait of Hormuz remains “under Iran’s control and management.”
His comments conflicted with Trump’s assertion a day earlier that the U.S. held “total control” over the vital waterway.
Commercial cargo vessels and crude oil tankers are anchored in the Gulf of Oman off the coast of Muscat, Oman, June 21, 2026, as they prepare to transit through the critical Strait of Hormuz.(Shady Alassar/Anadolu via Getty Images)
“The regime is relying on tried and true tactics here, which is, you know, a knife in the back and a handshake in the front to many of America’s traditional Gulf partners,” Taleblu said.
“It looks like Iranian escalation, Iranian diplomatic pressure, Iranian diplomatic finesse is trying to back the Trump administration into the MOU again.
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“The regime definitely does not want to grant the Trump administration the optics of victory, and to that end, they’re quite keen to hold on to the Strait of Hormuz.”
Taleblu said Trump has described the sanctions-driven strategy as a “low-key” approach.
“These are high-impact tools,” he concluded. “I think part of the escalation that we saw in the summer of 2019 — part of that past could be a prologue.”
Emma Bussey is a breaking news writer for Fox News Digital. Before joining Fox, she worked at The Telegraph with the U.S. overnight team, across desks including foreign, politics, news, sport and culture.