2026-09-27T10:01:53.123Z / reuters.com
- 摘要
- 路透社审核显示，自9月1日以来，主要共和党团体已在至少39个新的美国国会众议院选区展开投入
- 广告追踪机构AdImpact数据显示，共和党为未来几周预留了8.88亿美元广告预算，民主党为6.66亿美元
- 美国联邦选举委员会（FEC）数据显示，劳动节以来，倾向共和党的超级政治行动委员会支出几乎是民主党的两倍
纽约9月27日路透电 —— 据三位了解共和党思路的共和党幕僚透露，在内部民调显示共和党可能在11月3日的选举中面临风险后，共和党正斥巨资投入数十个此前被视为“稳赢”的美国国会众议院选区。
这一转变已在广告预留和竞选财务申报中显现。路透社对部分大型共和党政治团体的支出情况进行审核后发现，自9月1日以来，主要共和党团体和大额捐赠者已开始在至少39个本届选举周期内此前未投入资金的国会选区展开支出。
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这些幕僚表示，获得新支持的许多候选人所在选区都是共和党票仓，且在公开民调中仍领先民主党对手，这表明共和党领导层愈发担忧选民是否会利用11月3日的选举，表达对美国总统唐纳德·特朗普政策的不满。
其中两位幕僚称，众议院共和党领袖近期警告数十个竞选团队，共和党内部数据显示，即便他们目前在公开民调中领先，且所在选区特朗普以两位数优势获胜，他们也不能想当然地认为自己会胜出。
“共和党正在一些他们以往无需担忧的票仓选区采取守势，”两党公共事务公司Rokk Solutions的合伙人、共和党战略家罗恩·邦让说道。
共和党目前在众议院以218票对214票占据微弱多数，另有一位独立议员与共和党党团结盟，还有两个席位空缺。民主党需要在此次中期选举中至少拿下4个席位，才能在明年掌控众议院。
雄厚的竞选资金储备
两位与共和党领袖合作的幕僚表示，他们正利用更大的资金支出能力，在民主党发起攻击前予以压制。他们称，共和党正在为确保共和党掌控的选区继续留在本党手中而“购买保险”。
“共和党正动用我们雄厚的竞选资金储备，动员选民投票，并为我们的候选人注入动力，”共和党全国委员会全国新闻秘书娜塔莉·巴尔达萨尔说道。“我们不会想当然地认为任何选区都能拿下，因为与民主党不同，共和党不会在本可以赢下的选区认输。”
共和党众议员布莱恩·斯蒂尔就是一个典型案例。他所在的威斯康星州选区在2024年大选中以约4.5个百分点的优势支持特朗普，库克政治报告将该选区评为“倾向共和党”。尽管如此，保守派超级政治行动委员会本月已为他的竞选活动投入150万美元，这是本届选举周期他们首次对该选区进行投资。斯蒂尔的一名代表拒绝置评。
在罗利以东的北卡罗来纳州第三国会选区，众议员格雷戈里·墨菲本月收到了保守派政治行动委员会131107美元的捐款——这是中期选举期间首次有外部资金支持他的竞选。自7月以来，民主党已投入超过32.6万美元试图将他赶下台。特朗普在该选区以14个百分点的优势获胜，库克政治报告将其评为“稳固共和党”。墨菲的办公室未回复置评请求。
此次紧急资金投入反映了一个严峻现实：经济压力正重创传统上的共和党票仓。不断上涨的汽油价格、能源成本和化肥开支对农业腹地的选民打击尤为沉重。
一位共和党众议院竞选幕僚表示，随着柴油价格飙升，艾奥瓦州、堪萨斯州和其他中西部州的候选人处境“极其艰难”。
“在选举前最后30天的关键时期，鉴于逆风如此强劲，候选人必须切实阐明自己的主张，”曾为前共和党总统候选人米特·罗姆尼提供顾问服务、现为企业咨询公司Penta Group高级合伙人的凯文·马登说道。他表示，即便在红区或传统上的“稳赢”选区，竞选团队也会以民调落后的姿态开展活动。
支出远超民主党
据路透社对超级政治行动委员会支出的分析，目前独立委员会在联邦选举中已累计支出超过15.6亿美元，其中仅劳动节以来就投入了约4.96亿美元。这一数字不包括未披露捐赠者的暗钱非营利组织的所有支出。
广告追踪机构AdImpact的数据显示，共和党为未来几周预留了至少8.88亿美元的广告预算，而民主党至少预留了6.66亿美元。由特朗普的超级政治行动委员会MAGA Inc.全额资助的“绝不回头政治行动委员会”是此次支出激增的主力，联邦选举委员会记录显示。
“拥有巨额资金就是有优势，”一位参与特朗普中期选举战略的共和党幕僚说道。“我们不会让民主党随意发起攻击。”
联邦选举委员会数据显示，截至上周五的过去三周，倾向共和党的超级政治行动委员会支出几乎是民主党的两倍，劳动节以来已向各类竞选活动投入约3.097亿美元，而帮助民主党候选人的支出为1.742亿美元。
“共和党拥有广告优势。众议院民主党人正竭尽所能，用他们极其有限的资源追赶上来，”负责协助共和党当选众议院议员的全国共和党国会委员会全国新闻秘书迈克·马里内拉说道。
民主党承认他们在资金上处于劣势，但表示共和党斥资投入特朗普轻松获胜的选区，恰恰反映了民主党在中期选举中面临的困境。
“共和党人惊慌失措，他们知道已经失去了美国民众的支持，正试图通过最后一搏的花钱方式，摆脱必然失败的命运，”民主党国会竞选委员会发言人维特·谢尔顿说道。
在2024年大选中特朗普以18个百分点优势获胜的南德克萨斯州某选区，自9月5日以来，共和党团体已投入约200万美元用于短信、直邮和数字广告，以帮助现任议员莫妮卡·德拉·克鲁兹保住席位。库克政治报告上周五将该选区从“倾向共和党”调整为“胜负难料”。
当被问及共和党支持者投入的资金时，德拉·克鲁兹的竞选经理表示，她对帮助她击败对手的支持者心存感激。
由纽约的唐·科佩基和华盛顿的诺兰·麦卡斯基尔报道，迈克尔·勒姆罗伊和迪帕·巴宾顿编辑
Republicans pour money into dozens of US House races previously considered ‘safe’
2026-09-27T10:01:53.123Z / reuters.com
- Summary
- Major Republican groups began spending in at least 39 new US House races since September 1, Reuters review shows
- Republicans reserve $888 million in advertising for coming weeks, compared with Democrats’ $666 million, AdImpact says
- Republican-leaning super PACs outspent Democrats almost 2-to-1 since Labor Day, FEC data shows
NEW YORK, Sept 27 (Reuters) – Republicans are pouring money into more than three dozen US House races previously considered “safe” after internal polling showed they could be vulnerable in the November 3 election, according to three Republican operatives familiar with the party’s thinking.
The shift is already starting to show in advertising reservations and campaign finance filings. Since September 1, major Republican groups and megadonors have begun spending in at least 39 congressional races where they haven’t previously deployed money this cycle, a Reuters review of spending by some of the largest Republican political groups shows.
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Many of the candidates receiving new support sit in Republican strongholds and are still running ahead of Democratic opponents in public polls, these people said, indicating rising worry among party leaders over whether voters will use the November 3 election to air dissatisfaction over US President Donald Trump’s policies.
House Republican leaders recently warned dozens of campaigns that the party’s internal data shows that they cannot assume they will win, even if they are currently ahead in public polls and represent districts Trump won by double digits, two of the people said.
“Republicans are playing defense in some of the strongholds that they’re used to not having to worry about,” said Republican strategist Ron Bonjean, a partner at bipartisan public affairs firm Rokk Solutions.
Republicans currently hold a narrow 218-214 majority in the House, with one independent caucusing with Republicans and two vacancies. Democrats would need to net at least four seats in the midterms to take control of the chamber next year.
MASSIVE WAR CHEST
Two Republican operatives working with party leaders said they’re using their larger spending power to stifle Democrats before they have a chance to attack. They said the party was taking out “insurance policies” to ensure Republican-held districts remain in the party’s hands.
“Republicans are deploying our massive war chest to drive voters to the polls and supercharge our candidates,” said Natalie Baldassarre, national press secretary for the Republican National Committee. “We’re not taking anything for granted, because, unlike Democrats, Republicans aren’t throwing in the towel on races we can win.”
Republican Representative Bryan Steil is one telling example. His Wisconsin district voted for Trump by about 4.5 percentage points in 2024 and is rated “lean Republican” by Cook Political Report. Still, conservative super PACs dumped $1.5 million on his race this month, their first investment of this election cycle. A representative for Steil declined to comment.
In North Carolina’s 3rd Congressional District east of Raleigh, Representative Gregory Murphy this month received $131,107 from a conservative PAC a week ago – the first outside spending on his behalf in the midterms. Democrats have spent over $326,000 trying to oust him since July. Trump won the district by 14 percentage points and Cook rates it “solid Republican.” Murphy’s office didn’t return a request for comment.
The emergency deployments reflect a harsh reality: economic strain is battering traditionally Republican strongholds. Rising gas prices, energy costs and fertilizer expenses are hitting voters in the agricultural heartland particularly hard.
One Republican House campaign aide said the environment for candidates in Iowa, Kansas and other Midwest states was “dire” as diesel prices soar.
“We’re in this crucial period in the last 30 days where candidates have to really make a case, given how tough the headwinds are,” said Kevin Madden, who advised former Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney and is now senior partner at corporate advisory firm Penta Group. Campaigns are running as if they are behind in the polls “even in red districts or traditionally safe” ones, Madden said.
OUTSPENDING DEMOCRATS
More than $1.56 billion, overall, has been spent by independent committees on federal elections so far, with roughly $496 million deployed just since Labor Day, according to a Reuters analysis of super PAC spending. That figure doesn’t include all spending by dark money nonprofits that do not disclose their donors.
Republicans have reserved at least $888 million in advertising over the coming weeks, compared to at least $666 million for Democrats, according to AdImpact, which tracks political advertising. No Going Back PAC, which is fully funded by Trump’s super PAC MAGA Inc., is leading the surge, Federal Election Commission records show.
“That’s the advantage of having a shit ton of money,” said one Republican operative working on Trump’s midterm strategy. “We’re not going to let Democrats take free shots on goal.”
Over the last three weeks through Frday, Republican-leaning super PACs have outspent Democrats by almost 2-to-1, showering races with roughly $309.7 million since Labor Day compared with $174.2 million going to help Democratic candidates, the FEC data shows.
“Republicans have air superiority. House Democrats are scrambling to catch up with the very limited resources they have,” said Mike Marinella, national press secretary for the National Republican Congressional Committee, which works to elect Republicans to the House.
Democrats acknowledge their funding disadvantage but say the Republican push to spend money on districts that Trump won easily reflects the trouble the party faces in the midterms.
“Republicans are running scared, know they’ve lost the American people, and are trying one last hail mary to spend their way out of certain defeat,” said Viet Shelton, spokesman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
In one district in south Texas that Trump won by 18 percentage points in 2024, Republican groups have pumped about $2 million into text messages, direct mail and digital ads since September 5 to help incumbent Representative Monica De La Cruz keep her seat. Cook Political Report moved her seat from “lean Republican” to “tossup” on Friday.
De La Cruz is grateful for her supporters helping defeat her rival, her campaign manager said, when asked about the money spent by her Republican backers.
Reporting by Dawn Kopecki in New York and Nolan McCaskill in Washington, editing by Michael Learmonth and Deepa Babington