日本测得有记录以来最强厄尔尼诺 中国料今冬初达峰值

2026年10月9日 20:41 / 联合早报

这次厄尔尼诺现象已对全球多个地区造成影响。印度今年遭遇十多年来最弱的季风降雨，印度尼西亚林火加剧，产生的有害烟霾飘至邻国新加坡和马来西亚，巴西的糖和咖啡产量也面临威胁。9月23日，马达加斯加东南部持续遭受干旱，当地一所农民田间学校的成员为种植区的农作物浇水。 （法新社）

日本气象厅宣布，厄尔尼诺现象已增强至有记录以来最强水平，预计持续至整个冬季。这个气候现象已扰乱亚洲和南美洲多地天气，影响农业生产并加剧林火，可能造成持续性的经济冲击。

综合法新社、彭博社和中新社报道，日本气象厅星期五（10月9日）说，9月厄尔尼诺监测海域的海面温度比正常水平高出摄氏4度，超越1997年12月创下的纪录，成为1949年有记录以来最强的厄尔尼诺现象。

气象厅指出，赤道太平洋自今年春季以来持续出现厄尔尼诺状态，如今已达到历史最强水平，预计在本季维持创纪录强度，并几乎肯定持续至北半球冬季。

这种海洋温度和风力的波动性变化虽发生在热带太平洋海域，但可在远离太平洋的地区引发干旱、洪灾等极端天气。

这次厄尔尼诺现象已对全球多个地区造成影响。印度今年遭遇十多年来最弱的季风降雨，印度尼西亚林火加剧，产生的有害烟霾飘至邻国新加坡和马来西亚，巴西的糖和咖啡产量也面临威胁。

厄尔尼诺通常在12月左右达到峰值。由于海洋热量缓慢释放至大气，往往推高次年的全球平均气温。1998年、2010年、2016年、2023年及2024年等全球高温年份，都与强烈厄尔尼诺事件同期发生或紧随其后。

与此同时，中国自然资源部国家海洋环境预报中心星期五指出，2026/27年超强厄尔尼诺事件已经形成，预计这次厄尔尼诺事件将在秋末或冬季初期达到峰值。

预报中心指出，赤道中东太平洋自5月进入厄尔尼诺状态后迅速升温。截至9月，尼诺3.4区海温指数已达到摄氏2.84度，连续五个月高于厄尔尼诺判定门槛。

预报中心专家提醒，厄尔尼诺的影响具有滞后性，可能贯穿事件发展及衰减的整个周期，并指厄尔尼诺发生次年，中国自然灾害损失较重。

根据中国官方统计，1997/98年和2015/16年两次超强厄尔尼诺事件发生的次年，中国自然灾害造成的直接经济损失分别达到3007亿4000万元人民币（约574亿6300万新元）和5032亿9000万元人民币。

预报中心警告，这次厄尔尼诺事件预计在2027年逐渐减弱，期间可能引发大范围海洋、地质、生态、气象及冰冻圈等多种自然灾害，须特别关注。

Talarico disappearance has Dem volunteers worrying and Trump asking, ‘What is going on?’

October 9, 2026 10:56am EDT / Fox News

The Democrat cited a flu diagnosis but leaked volunteer messages reveal concerns about lost momentum before Election Day

By Alec Schemmel, Paul Steinhauser, Alex Miller Fox News

Ken Paxton leads Trump rally crowd in ‘Where is Talarico?’ chant over Democrat’s campaign absence

The Texas attorney general questioned his Democratic Senate rival’s whereabouts during President Trump’s San Antonio rally, saying Talarico had not been seen campaigning in the state for 11 days.

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President Donald Trump and Texas Republican Senate nominee Ken Paxton are raising questions about Democratic challenger James Talarico’s whereabouts after the candidate spent nearly two weeks away from the campaign trail, as new reporting reveals concerns about his absence among members of his own volunteer network.

Talarico, who is challenging Paxton in Texas’ closely watched Senate contest, has not appeared at an in-person campaign event since late September, citing a case of the flu. The prolonged absence has prompted attacks from Republicans, including Trump, who questioned Talarico’s whereabouts during a Wednesday campaign rally in San Antonio and later on his social media platform Truth Social, calling the Texas Democrat “MISSING IN ACTION.”

“TalaFREAKo has been missing for 12 days! Now, after looking for him throughout all of Texas, and beyond, probably even weirder places than anyone would think possible, he put out a statement that he has the ‘flu.’ 12 days is a long time to rid yourself of the so-called flu bug,” Trump wrote Wednesday. “What’s going on? We need a Senator that’s a proven Champion like one that has been, without question, the Greatest Attorney General in the History of Texas, and one of the Greatest in the U.S.A.”

PAXTON VENTS OVER LACK OF CAMPAIGN CONTROL AS DC ESTABLISHMENT HE ONCE BATTLED COMES TO HIS AID

James Talarico, a Democrat from Texas and US Senate candidate, speaks at a campaign event in Round Rock, Texas, US, on Tuesday, March 3, 2026.(Jordan Vonderhaar/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Paxton similarly questioned his opponent’s absence, asking supporters at Wednesday’s rally, “Where is James Talarico?”

“If it’s as tight as they claim it is, and he’s got a lead the way they claim that he is, and you’re a billionaire writing these big checks right now to Talarico, wouldn’t you want a ROI, like a return on your investment?” conservative radio host Ben Ferguson questioned on The Will Cain Show Thursday. “Why have we not gotten transparency from his campaign? What is really going on? Why did a guy disappear after doing an interview where he didn’t look like he had the flu?”

Talarico’s absence comes during the final stretch of Texas’ closely watched Senate race, with Election Day less than a month away. The Democrat’s last publicly documented in-person campaign event in Texas was Sept. 26, when he held a news conference in Carrollton addressing rising gasoline prices and the war in Iran, according to CNN.

Talarico subsequently attended a private fundraiser in New York and participated virtually in a Sept. 30 business forum, where he said he had been diagnosed with the flu at a Dallas urgent care facility the previous evening. Talarico has Type 1 diabetes, which puts him at greater risk of developing serious flu complications, according to the CDC.

His campaign has said Talarico expects to return to in-person campaigning this weekend ahead of a publicly scheduled CNN town hall on Oct. 14. The campaign also cited “more than 100 public events” Talarico has already done.

TEXAS VOTERS HAVE PLENTY TO SAY ABOUT WHETHER LONE STAR STATE COULD TURN BLUE

“I guess I’ve been shaking too many hands on the campaign trail, and so I want to keep everybody safe,” Talarico explained, adding he did not want to risk spreading the illness to vulnerable individuals.

“Ken Paxton has been ignoring Texans this entire campaign, and his priorities are clear: he doesn’t answer to the people of this state — he answers to his billionaire megadonors and special interests,” campaign spokesperson JT Ennis told Fox News Digital.

Black voters are a crucial part of any Democrat’s path to statewide victory in Texas, which has the nation’s largest Black electorate.(Mark Felix/Bloomberg/Getty Images)

Meanwhile, the New York Post reported Thursday that leaked messages from a private Slack channel showed members of Talarico’s volunteer network discussing his prolonged absence, with one expressing concern that he could lose momentum.

“I think it’ll be fine. It’s [j]ust conservatives blasting him. I’m just worried about him losing momentum,” a Talarico campaign volunteer wrote in a group chat with other volunteers, featuring nearly 4,000 people, according to The Post. “But I 100% expect him to make a comeback at the CNN [t]own hall that’s a given.”

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“It’s a buncha people that don’t actually want him to be out touring that are causing a stink. Noone’s genuinely upset,” another volunteer wrote.

Sunny Hostin pushed Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico on Jasmine Crockett’s electability during “The View” on February 2, 2026.(ABC/TheView)

Fox News Digital reached out to the Talarico campaign for additional information on where the candidate is recovering and when this weekend he will reappear on the campaign trail but did not receive a response by the time of publication.

“I would much rather have my candidate rested and have any ailments out of the way now than down the stretch, because if they’re sick two weeks before the election, they’re still going to be on the road which means it’s only going to get worse. So let them heal up and get their strength back,” veteran Texas-based Democratic strategist Ed Espinoza told Fox News Digital. “Even though Talarico’s off the trail, he’s still on the airwaves,” Espinoza added, referring to the campaign’s significant ad spending in Texas. “He’s got plenty of money to get his message out.”

Fox News Digital’s Brittany Miller and Brooke Taylor contributed to this report.

Alec Schemmel is a Politics Reporter for Fox News Digital who is originally from Charlotte, North Carolina but now resides in the Washington D.C.-Baltimore Metro Area.

胡塞武装袭击利雅得机场 欧盟扩大沙特空域避飞警告

2026年10月9日 20:58 / 联合早报

沙特民航当局星期五早前说，利雅得哈立德国王国际机场星期四（10月8日）遭到两次袭击，造成三名沙特公民死亡，另有数人受伤。社媒视频截图显示，哈立德国王国际机场星期四遇袭后，引发火患并冒出滚滚黑烟。 （路透社/视频截图）

也门胡塞武装袭击沙特阿拉伯首都利雅得的国际机场后，欧洲联盟航空安全局扩大对沙特空域的飞行安全警告，建议航空公司避开更多高风险区域。

路透社报道，欧洲联盟航空安全局（EASA）星期五（10月9日）更新日前（9月30日）发布的沙特空域冲突区安全通告，将沙特西北部更多空域纳入建议避飞范围。

当局指出，近期袭击显示，胡塞武装有能力及意图打击沙特境内更深处的目标，包括首都利雅得。

沙特民航当局星期五早前说，利雅得哈立德国王国际机场星期四（8日）遭到两次袭击，造成三名沙特公民死亡，另有数人受伤。

胡塞武装星期四宣称，已使用两枚巡航导弹袭击利雅得机场，并再次向飞往沙特的航空公司发出威胁。

欧洲联盟航空安全局警告，持续发生的导弹及无人机袭击，加上防空系统启动，将增加民航客机被误认的风险。导弹和无人机飞越、拦截行动，以及坠落的残骸，也可能危及民航安全。

拥有近万名航空业专业人士会员的航空安全组织OPSGROUP，星期五向会员发出针对沙特的“禁飞”警告，指出沙特面临持续导弹袭击及防空系统误判的风险。

这个组织在有关通告中说：“我们目前建议全面避免在沙特开展飞行作业，包括不应将沙特机场作为航程中的备降机场。”

价值数百万美元 法国博物馆两幅雷诺阿名画失而复得

2026-10-09 21:23 / 联合早报

据报道，法国雷诺阿博物馆此前失窃的两幅画作，星期四（10月8日）已被警方找到，包括这幅《井边少女》。 （路透社）

法国一家博物馆上个月遭窃、价值数百万美元的两幅印象派大师雷诺阿名画已寻回，警方逮捕六名嫌犯。

路透社报道，法国滨海卡涅市（Cagnes-sur-Mer）市长马松星期五（10月9日）宣布，两幅失窃画作《科隆纳·罗马诺夫人》（Madame Colonna Romano）和《井边少女》（Young Woman at the Well）已成功寻回。

法国警方寻获的另一失窃画作为《科隆纳·罗马诺夫人》。（路透社）

这两幅画作均出自法国印象派画家雷诺阿（Pierre-Auguste Renoir）之手，属于巴黎奥赛博物馆的馆藏，当时借展于滨海卡涅市的雷诺阿博物馆。雷诺阿的作品曾在拍卖会上以数千万美元成交。

窃案发生于9月8日清晨。窃贼在博物馆花园围栏剪开一个洞，潜入馆区，再通过窗户进入建筑物盗画。

据法国媒体报道，两名窃贼在不到5分钟内盗走四幅画作，除了上述两幅画，窃贼当时还偷走了《斯蒂芬·皮雄夫人的画像》（Madame Pichon）和《阅读中的可可》（Coco Reading）。不过，博物馆警报触发后，警方迅速赶到并展开追捕，窃贼在逃跑时将这两幅画遗落在花园里。

马松在声明中说：“这个消息让滨海卡涅市及当地居民感到无比喜悦，也终于松了一口气。”

目前尚不清楚警方如何寻回两幅失窃名画。马松原定举行记者会，但后来为避免妨碍调查而取消。

研究：患心脏病的年长者热浪期间死亡风险可增至七倍

2026-10-09 21:53 / 联合早报

一份医学研究报告，有心脏病的年长者在热浪期间，死亡风险可增至七倍，并建议多项预防高温相关死亡和住院的措施。7月14日，在德国慕尼黑，一家养老院的住户正在吃水果消暑。 （路透社）

一份医学研究报告指出，患有心脏病的年长者在热浪期间，死亡风险可增至七倍。专家呼吁医疗机构为高风险病患制定个人化“防暑计划”，以减少极端高温造成的死亡和住院病例。

新华社报道，这份发表于医学期刊《欧洲心脏杂志》的报告，概述了预防高温相关死亡和住院的措施，包括帮助医院做好应对病患激增的准备等。

报告共同作者、澳大利亚悉尼大学研究员查斯林（Georgia Chaseling）说：“极端高温不只是让人感到不适，它会对心血管系统造成相当大的压力，并增加患病和死亡风险。”

澳大利亚科学媒体中心星期四（10月8日）发布的声明指出，报告建议医疗机构在热浪来袭前识别高风险病患，并根据他们的健康状况、用药情况、补水需求及居住环境，制定个人化的高温应对计划。

其他建议包括让医院提前做好应对病患激增的准备、在家中监测高风险病患的健康状况，以及提供电风扇等降温设备。

报告也呼吁医疗机构与紧急救援部门、公共卫生机构及地方政府加强协调，主动接触缺乏社会支持或难以获得降温设施的弱势群体。

专家强调，随着极端高温天气越来越频繁和强烈，防范热浪风险应成为心血管疾病日常预防和管理的一部分，而非仅在热浪发生时才采取临时措施。

印度选民名册争议引发示威 新德里部署六万警力戒备

2026年10月9日 22:25 / 联合早报

印度选民名册修订引发争议，首都新德里准备迎接周末的大规模抗议活动，当局星期五（10月9日）加强保安戒备，部署数万名警力待命。 （路透社）

印度选民名册修订引发争议，首都新德里准备迎接周末的大规模抗议活动。当局加强保安戒备，部署数万名警力待命，并采取关闭地铁站、取消列车服务及限制互联网等措施，以防示威扩大。

彭博社报道，新德里当局星期五（10月9日）加强全市保安，为青年主导的蟑螂人民党星期六（10日）举行的示威做准备。

知情人士透露，多达6万名警察和准军事人员已奉命待命，随时准备部署。当局也要求电信运营商从星期五晚间起，在示威地点附近暂停互联网服务约24小时。印度内政部尚未回应媒体置评请求。

德里地铁公司宣布，从星期五晚间起关闭57个地铁站，印度铁路公司也取消多趟列车，通往主要示威地点的道路则设置路障。

印度最高法院星期五就多项挑战限制措施的诉讼举行紧急听证会，并要求政府放宽限制。

蟑螂人民党领袖指控，当局已拘留数千名支持者。德里警方则警告，星期六任何由蟑螂人民党组织的集会都将被视为非法，违例者将面对法律行动。

据日前报道，印度选举委员会主席库马尔（Gyanesh Kumar）无视两名选举官员对选民名册修订提出的疑虑，引发这一波示威浪潮。有关修订已导致超过1亿3000万人的名字从选民名册中被删除。印度选举委员会否认相关指控。

印度未来数月将举行多个关键邦的选举，包括人口约2亿5000万的北方邦。随着选举临近，这场争议对总理莫迪领导的执政党及反对派都具有重大政治意义。

国际刑事法院强烈谴责美国制裁 吁成员国捍卫国际法治

2026年10月9日 23:45 / 联合早报

国际刑事法院星期五（10月9日）发表声明，强烈谴责美国制裁，指有关措施企图阻碍法院履行职责，是对法治及国际法律秩序根基的攻击。 （法新社）

美国政府星期五宣布制裁国际刑事法院，誓言切断法院资源，使其无法正常运作。国际刑事法院强烈谴责有关措施，指美国企图阻碍司法公正，冲击国际法律秩序，并呼吁成员国提供支持。

综合法新社和路透社报道，美国国务卿鲁比奥星期五（10月9日）宣布，华盛顿将禁止与国际刑事法院进行交易，进一步升级特朗普政府针对这个海牙国际法庭的施压行动。

鲁比奥在声明中说：“要么国际刑事法院停止威胁，要么我们就终结国际刑事法院。”

他强调，美国从未加入国际刑事法院，制裁旨在保护美国安全人员和民选官员免受起诉。“特朗普总统绝不会允许国际刑事法院起诉美国人。”

鲁比奥说，华盛顿过去一年多来已向法院提出基本要求，并希望法院或其成员国改变立场，但始终未见实质行动。

他也警告，依赖美国军事保护的国际刑事法院成员国盟友应约束法院，否则美国将继续“一砖一瓦地拆除”这个机构。

制裁宣布当天，85岁的南非法学家皮莱获颁诺贝尔和平奖。她曾担任卢旺达问题国际刑事法庭法官、国际刑事法院法官，并领导联合国调查委员会，指控以色列在加沙实施种族灭绝。鲁比奥的声明并未提及皮莱或诺贝尔奖。

国际刑事法院随后发表声明，强烈谴责美国制裁，指有关措施企图阻碍法院履行职责，是对法治及国际法律秩序根基的攻击。

法院强调，将继续追究战争罪、危害人类罪、种族灭绝罪及侵略罪，但单靠自身无法完成使命，呼吁成员国确保法院有足够资源运作。

声明说：“法院无法孤军奋战。它的命运如今也掌握在创立它的成员国手中。”

法院强调，这不仅关系到单一机构的存续，更涉及维护以法治为基础的国际秩序。“历史将对这一时刻作出评判。”

Pentagon’s plan to livestream Fort Hood shooter’s execution sparks intense backlash

2026-10-09 10:41 EDT / CBS News

Washington— The revelation that the Pentagon plans to livestream the execution by firing squad of Nidal Hasan, the ex-Army major convicted of killing 13 people at Fort Hood in 2009, has sparked intense pushback, with one Republican senator calling it “disgusting” and critics warning it could inspire more acts of terrorism.

On Thursday, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed CBS News’ reporting that the Dec. 3 execution will be livestreamed. Hegseth told Real America’s Voice the execution would be public “because people need to understand that there’s serious consequences for these types of things.” Chief Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell said that Hegseth recommended, and President Trump approved, a plan to use an Army firing squad.

Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, who is retiring, called the decision “beyond disgusting.” Tillis voted to confirm Hegseth, but is now expressing his regret in doing so.

“Hasan should face the death penalty, but making his execution public and streaming it? Beyond disgusting,” Tillis wrote on X. “Public executions are what oppressive dictatorships like Iran and Afghanistan do. It should not be happening in America.”

Republican Rep. Austin Scott of Georgia wrote on X, “I absolutely support the sentence of death, but live-streaming executions is what jihadists do. America is better than that.”

Democratic Sen. Chris Murphy said publicly executing someone is “medieval.”

“That’s disgusting. What, is he mimicking ISIS executions?” Murphy said on CNN. “I mean, I understand that in this country we have the death penalty, but public executions is medieval. It’s frankly one of the things that we abhor about terrorist groups. And the fact that the United States is doing it — I just learned this, that is just absolutely extraordinary, galling. No matter whether you support or oppose the death penalty, public hangings and executions? That’s what America has become?”

Ned Price, who was the State Department’s spokesman during the Biden administration, said a public and livestreamed execution will create more “radicalized zealots.”

“You can take it from those of us who’ve spent years working on terrorism: the surest way to spawn more radicalized zealots is to glorify violence, embrace a cult of death, and create a martyr for the cause,” Price wrote on X. “Or take it from AQ and ISIS, whose tactics offer the closest modern-day approximation of Hegseth’s proposal. Either way, it’s hard to conjure a more vivid example of his trademark performative bravado, which routinely damages America’s image and, in this case, so ghoulishly leaves us more vulnerable.”

Alonzo Lunsford, a former U.S. Army sergeant who was shot seven times during the Fort Hood shooting but survived, said he supports the gunman’s execution by firing squad. But Lunsford said this execution is “not something you should view for entertainment purposes.”

“To show the whole thing without it being censored for the general public, for me personally, I don’t agree with that, but it’s not about my personal belief,” he told BBC Radio.

Archbishop Paul S. Coakley, president of the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops, issued a statement Friday morning urging the Pentagon to reconsider.

“In no way can Hasan’s actions be condoned but this decision is a barbaric promotion of a culture of death and must be reconsidered. The word of God exhorts us: ‘do not repay anyone evil for evil,’” the archbishop said, citing Romans 12:17. “The public execution even of one who has done grave harm will only further undermine the moral fabric of our nation and be a blight on the conscience of its people.”

Conservative talk show host Erick Erickson, who supports the death penalty, also said a public, livestreamed execution of Hasan will give him the “platform for martyrdom he wants.”

“Hasan is a paraplegic, confined to a wheelchair,” Erickson wrote. “The public imagery of a firing squad killing a man sitting in a chair because he cannot stand is going to undermine support for the death penalty. A society that increasingly finds ways to sympathize with the villains will do so here. This also gives Nidal Hasan the platform for martyrdom he wants. They’ll be passing out the livestream video in the Middle East to inspire more terrorists to shoot up Americans to celebrate the glory of the martyrdom of Nidal Hasan.”

Geoffrey Corn, a Texas Tech University law professor who served in the Army’s Judge Advocate General’s Corps, told CBS News that the plan to livestream the execution “raises significant moral questions, above and beyond the questions related to the death penalty generally.”

“There’s a certain protocol that is normally followed with executions limiting the gallery of observers, which usually includes people close to the victims and certain members of the media,” he said.

Corn said “turning the execution of such a penalty into some type of public spectacle echoes of the past we seem to have put behind us.”

Despite Lunsford’s concerns about the livestream, the former U.S. Army sergeant said he’ll be there for the execution.

“I’m going to be there to watch in person and before they pull the trigger, I want him to look at me in my eyes and I look at him in his eyes and I want him to know: ‘Dude, you failed, I’m still here,’” he told the BBC.

The last public execution in the U.S. appeared to take place90 years ago in 1936. That’s when Rainey Bethea was hanged for rape in Kentucky. The execution reportedly drew a crowd of about 20,000.

Hegseth’s announcement comes amid efforts from Democrats and Republican Rep. Thomas Massie to impeach him. A vote on his impeachment was delayed by House Speaker Mike Johnson’s decision to cancel votes a day early ahead of the midterms.

Eleanor Watson and Joe Walsh contributed to this report.

DHS secretary slams Mamdani’s response to NYC ICE shooting

10:35 AM EDT, Fri October 9, 2026 / CNN

DHS secretary slams Mamdani’s response to NYC ICE shooting

DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin fired back at New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani over his response to a shooting involving an ICE agent, accusing him of using “dangerous” language that incites hostility. Mullin defended ICE’s work and rejected Mamdani’s call to abolish the agency.

https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/09/politics/video/dhs-secretary-slams-mamdanis-nyc-ice-shooting-digvid

伊朗革命卫队：将不限于在霍尔木兹海峡打击违规船只

2026年10月9日 23:53 / 联合早报

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队星期五称，今后针对违规船只的行动将不局限于霍尔木兹海峡。图为10月2日，从阿曼穆桑代姆半岛眺望霍尔木兹海峡，可见多艘船只在海峡航行。 （路透社）

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队星期五称，今后针对违规船只的行动将不局限于霍尔木兹海峡。凡是擅自通过非授权航线航行的船只，都将遭到“严厉惩处”。

新华社报道，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军星期五（10月9日）发表声明说，海军过去数小时内击中了一艘载有液化石油气的“大型”船只，这艘船试图经由“非法”航线穿越海峡。

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队旗下媒体赛帕新闻网发表声明称，遭袭船只隶属于一家越南运输公司，袭击导致这艘船机舱和推进系统起火。

声明强调，美军的“挑衅”行为是导致地区海上局势紧张的直接原因。如果美方此类行为持续，类似“惨痛”事件的发生频率将会日益增加。

声明警告称，那些受美国蒙蔽行事的公司将面临制裁，“针对违规公司的船只，将实施必要的惩罚措施”。