2026-09-11T04:01:29.726Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/11/politics/trump-russia-ukraine-war-zelensky-putin
美国重启乌克兰和平倡议以来发生的一系列事件，远比伴随该倡议的乐观言辞更能说明其成败概率。
唐纳德·特朗普总统周三对记者表示，俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京“希望达成协议”。他补充称，如果乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基“愿意达成协议，那将非常好”。
但东欧的现实绝非美好。
周三，一架俄罗斯喷气式无人机闯入摩尔多瓦领空，延误了泽连斯基前往挪威的专机起飞。
就在特朗普的特使贾里德·库什纳和史蒂夫·威科夫结束对莫斯科之行后，访问基辅开展和平斡旋行程离开基辅的次日，普京的导弹和无人机发动了新一轮袭击，结束了为期三天的停火，造成5人死亡。
这起摩尔多瓦领空入侵事件看起来并非直接针对泽连斯基——尽管该国美国大使弗拉季斯拉夫·库尔明斯基告诉CNN记者吉姆·斯库托，俄罗斯侦察无人机的入侵很可能“并非意外”。而针对基辅的袭击只是持续给平民造成恐怖伤害的最新一例。
这些事件凸显了这场战争的残酷野蛮。CNN周二援引西方情报机构的消息报道称，这场战争每月让俄罗斯损失约4万名士兵。冲突还呈现出令人担忧的跨境扩散新趋势，欧洲内部对北约与俄罗斯发生冲突的担忧日益加剧。
因此，如果特朗普政府在因伊朗问题分散注意力后，认真且真诚地重新参与外交斡旋，无疑是值得欢迎的。总统的批评者们嘲笑他夸大其词地宣称自己终结了多场战争。但乌克兰实现公平和平将是一项不朽的成就。
不过，从美国外交二人组与普京和泽连斯基会晤的公开迹象来看，几乎看不到让这场持续四年多的战争得以延续的根深蒂固因素有所缓和的希望。一连串不合时宜的言论和举动，让人怀疑他们是否理解这场战争的本质、俄罗斯的动机，以及他们采取的方式酷似一次次以失败告终的房地产交易。
在莫斯科，威科夫对普京发表了恭敬且溢美之词，称他们的会晤将成为退休后值得铭记的高光时刻。考虑到这位俄罗斯领导人对乌克兰平民的残酷攻击，以及美国盟友发出的有关克里姆林宫实施隐蔽破坏活动威胁其领土的警告，这番言论令人震惊。
库什纳随后谈到，需要为普京和泽连斯基找到一种“双赢”局面，说服他们停止战斗。
这或许可以被看作是一位交易务实派的做法，他必须迫使双方为了和平做出令人不快的选择。
但给俄罗斯带来“胜利”，将等同于认可其发动非法且无端战争、旨在摧毁邻国领土、历史和文化的行为。而普京此前重申，冲突的“根源问题”仍需解决。这是俄罗斯的惯用说辞，即要求乌克兰结束主权地位并解除武装，同时莫斯科要求获得其军队尚未占领的东部省份领土——所有这些都是泽连斯基绝对不可能接受的。
与此同时，特朗普的言论反映了近两年来他对这场不断恶化的战争所持的轻率且已被证明错误的评估。“阻碍在于两个人互相憎恨，”他在安德鲁斯空军基地对记者说——他指的是普京和泽连斯基，却忽略了俄罗斯领导人发动战争时所提及的复杂政治和历史因素。“我懂交易，这两个人已经厌倦了战斗。和平有可能实现。”
尽管他抱有乐观态度，但美国开展新的有效外交的前景似乎和特朗普今夏早些时候提出的允许乌克兰授权生产爱国者反导弹拦截器的提议一样难以兑现。
此外，由于与普京的会晤细节不透明，外界对美国的动机产生了新的质疑。此次会晤之际，中央情报局局长约翰·拉特克利夫近期访问俄罗斯的举动已引发诸多猜测。
各种泄密消息显示，美国情报负责人曾警告莫斯科，乌克兰战争对俄罗斯局势不利，且不要试图染指任何北约成员国领土。但我们完全无法确知莫斯科与华盛顿之间——或是普京与本周通了电话的特朗普之间究竟发生了什么。
美国总统长期以来对这位俄罗斯领导人的奉承，一直让人质疑本届政府在乌克兰问题上的动机。
与此同时，俄罗斯在会晤后暗示两国未来将开展经济合作，这重新引发了欧洲的担忧：特朗普或许更在意与俄罗斯矿产和自然资源相关的交易，而非乌克兰的公正和平。
而美国作为诚实中间人的形象近期遭到了打击：财政部长斯科特·贝森特将高油价部分归咎于乌克兰对俄罗斯基础设施的袭击，以及伊朗问题。这强化了外界的印象，即美国将乌克兰的自卫行为视为一种麻烦，而非其合法权利。
周三，国务卿马可·卢比奥在哥伦比亚对记者表示，未来几周内有机会“或许达成双方都能接受的解决方案”。但他承认，还有大量工作要做。
大多数战争最终都会结束。这场战争给双方带来的惨重伤亡，最终可能会成为谈判的砝码。乌克兰不仅存活了下来，而且在俄罗斯境内投射兵力的能力不断增强。但CNN周三报道称，俄罗斯近期也在战场上取得了进展——尽管俄军的伤亡数字极其惨重，即便普京也可能不得不加以重视。
战争局势的变化是否会打破目前的僵局，带来此前难以捉摸的灵活性？
或者，更有可能的是，随着俄罗斯持续轰炸乌克兰的公寓楼和发电厂，乌克兰平民注定还要再经历一个寒冷、血腥的冬天？
我们迫切需要一场真正的和平努力。库什纳和威科夫上周在战争期间首次访问基辅，得到了泽连斯基政府的一些积极表态。
但特朗普的外交手段存在一种固定模式：在与普京磋商后，华盛顿往往会提出强烈反映俄罗斯目标的方案。当泽连斯基拒绝接受时，政府就会表现出不满，随后经过稀释的方案版本又会变得不可接受给克里姆林宫。
在这种情况改变之前，对美国新倡议的期待必须保持审慎。
Even if it’s real, Trump’s new Ukraine push is already being undermined by events
2026-09-11T04:01:29.726Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/11/politics/trump-russia-ukraine-war-zelensky-putin
Events since the United States revived its Ukraine peace bid say more about its chances than the sunny rhetoric that accompanies it.
President Donald Trump told reporters Wednesday that Russian President Vladimir Putin “is wanting to make a deal.” He added that if Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky “is wanting to make a deal, that’d be very nice.”
But there’s nothing nice about the reality in Eastern Europe.
On Wednesday, a Russian jet-propelled drone breached Moldovan airspace and delayed the departure of a plane taking Zelensky to Norway.
And after Trump’s envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff left Kyiv after a peace shuttle visit that followed a trip to Moscow, Putin’s missiles and drones on Tuesday ended a three-day halt to attacks with a new onslaught that killed five people.
The Moldovan incident didn’t appear to be a direct threat to Zelensky — although the country’s US ambassador, Vladislav Kulminski, told CNN’s Jim Sciutto the incursion by a Russian surveillance drone was likely “not an accident.” And the raids on Kyiv were just the latest act of perpetual horror inflicted on civilians.
These incidents underscore the vicious brutality of a war that CNN reported Tuesday is costing Russia some 40,000 troops each month, citing Western intelligence agencies. The conflict is also showing an alarming new propensity to spread beyond its borders amid rising fears of a NATO-Russia clash in Europe.
So any serious, sincere effort by the Trump administration to reengage in diplomacy after its attention was dragged away by the Iran war would be welcome. The president’s critics mock his hyperbolic claims to have ended multiple wars. But a fair peace in Ukraine would be a monumental achievement.
Still, public signs out of the US diplomatic duo’s meetings with Putin and Zelensky offer little hope that the entrenched factors that extended the war for more than four years have eased. And a sequence of off-key remarks and gestures raise doubts about their grasp on the nature of the war, Russia’s motives and an approach that mirrors a repeatedly failed real estate transaction.
In Moscow, Witkoff’s deferential and glowing comments to Putin about how their meetings would be a highlight to remember in retirement were startling given the Russian leader’s ruthless assault on Ukrainians and warnings among US allies of Kremlin covert sabotage threatening their territory.
Kushner later spoke about the need to find a “win-win” situation for both Putin and Zelensky that would convince them stop fighting.
This might be seen as the pragmatic touch of a dealmaker who must force each side to make distasteful choices in service of peace.
But delivering a “win” to Russia would validate its choice to wage an illegal and unprovoked war to obliterate a neighbor’s territory, history and culture. And Putin restated that the “root causes” of the conflict still need to be addressed. That’s Russia’s code for ending Ukraine’s sovereignty and demilitarization while Moscow demands land in eastern provinces its troops are yet to conquer — all of which would be impossible for Zelensky to accept.
Trump’s comments, meanwhile, reflect nearly two years of blithe and demonstrably disproven assessments of a war that keeps getting worse. “The holdup is two people hating each other,” he told reporters at Andrews Air Force base — a reference to Putin and Zelensky that ignored the complex political and historical factors cited by the Russian leader when he launched the war. “I know about deals, and these are two people that are tired of fighting. It could happen.”
Despite his optimism, the prospect of new and effective US diplomacy appears as elusive as the US delivering on Trump’s apparent offer earlier in the summer to allow Ukraine to license the manufacture of Patriot anti-missile interceptors.
There are also fresh doubts about US motives amid opacity surrounding what exactly happened in the meetings with Putin, which took place amid already deep intrigue over a recent visit to Russia by CIA Director John Ratcliffe.
Various leaks have suggested the US spy chief warned Moscow that the Ukraine war was going poorly for Russia, and to not even think about moving on any NATO territory. But it’s impossible to know for sure what is going on between Moscow and Washington — or between Putin and Trump, who had a telephone conversation this week.
The US president’s history of flattering the Russian leader has long cast doubt on the administration’s motives on Ukraine.
Meanwhile, Russia sent hints after the meeting about future economic opportunities between the two nations, renewing fears in Europe that Trump is more interested in deals, perhaps related to Russian mineral and natural resources, than a just peace in Ukraine.
And any sense that the US is an honest broker was undermined recently when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent partly blamed Ukraine’s attacks on Russian infrastructure, alongside the Iran war, for high oil prices. This reinforced impressions the US sees Ukraine’s self-defense as an irritant rather than a legitimate right.
On Wednesday, Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters in Colombia that there was a chance over the next few weeks to “maybe reach a conclusion there that that’s acceptable to both sides.” But he conceded that a lot of work needed to be done.
Most wars end eventually. And the terrible toll of this one for both sides may eventually weigh on negotiations. Ukraine has not only survived but is showing an increasing capacity to project force inside Russia. But Russia has also made recent advances on the battlefield, CNN reported on Wednesday — though its casualty figures are so extreme that even Putin may have to take notice.
Could the war’s shifting dynamics unlock flexibility that has so far been elusive?
Or, more likely, are Ukraine’s civilians destined for another cold, bloody winter as Russia pounds their apartment blocks and power plants?
A genuine peace effort is desperately needed, and the fact that Kushner and Witkoff visited Kyiv for the first time during the war last week generated some favorable statements from Zelensky’s government.
But there’s a pattern in Trump’s diplomacy. After consultations with Putin, Washington tends to produce a proposal that strongly reflects Russia’s goals. When Zelensky balks, the administration shows frustration, and subsequent, watered-down versions of the plan become unacceptable to the Kremlin.
Until that changes, hopes for a new US initiative must remain reserved.