日经：受政经风险等影响 越来越多中小日企撤出中国

2026年7月13日 22:15 / 联合早报

日本贸易振兴机构（JETRO）2025财年进行调查，了解在华日企未来一两年内的业务计划。在受访的784家日企中，仅21.3%计划扩大在华业务，是自2007财年有关调查开始以来的最低水平；14.4%的企业打算缩小规模、搬迁或撤离中国，创下历史新高。 （档案照片）

（大版讯）鉴于中美关系持续紧张、中国经济增长放缓以及中国《反间谍法》带来的风险，越来越多日本中小企业撤资离开中国。

《日经亚洲》报道，日本帝国数据银行的数据显示，2024年在华运营的日本企业约有1万3000家，比2012年巅峰时期少了近10%，日企“向中国市场扩张的兴趣似乎已见顶”。

日本贸易振兴机构（JETRO）2025财年进行调查，了解在华日企未来一两年内的业务计划。

在受访的784家日企中，仅21.3%计划扩大在华业务，是自2007财年有关调查开始以来的最低水平；14.4%的企业打算缩小规模、搬迁或撤离中国，创下历史新高；其余64.3%企业计划维持现状。

受访日企把工资上涨和竞争加剧列为主要业务挑战。中小企业尤其指出，他们在开拓新客源方面面临困难。虽然许多日企仍把中国视为中长期的重要市场，但中国本土企业的崛起使他们业务面对更大的挑战。

2003年在上海设立子公司的日本商业咨询公司Quick，专门为在华日企提供有关中国劳工法的顾问服务。

公司指出，2003年起越来越多日企进军中国，咨询需求也随之增加；不过到了2020年左右，进入中国的日企数量开始下降。

冠病疫情暴发后，中国经济放缓的态势愈发明显，中美之间则因关税及其他问题而关系日趋紧张。另外几名日企员工被控违反中国《反间谍法》，也使日企萌生撤资念头。

在截至2024年12月的财年里，Quick营收同比下降35%，亏损约47万人民币（约9万新元）。Quick去年年底撤离中国，公司主席川口一郎说：“各种风险已显现出来，所以我认为这是一个正确的决定。”

日经：受政经风险等影响 越来越多中小日企撤出中国

2026年7月13日 22:15 / 联合早报

日本贸易振兴机构（JETRO）2025财年进行调查，了解在华日企未来一两年内的业务计划。在受访的784家日企中，仅21.3%计划扩大在华业务，是自2007财年有关调查开始以来的最低水平；14.4%的企业打算缩小规模、搬迁或撤离中国，创下历史新高。 （档案照片）

（大版讯）鉴于中美关系持续紧张、中国经济增长放缓以及中国《反间谍法》带来的风险，越来越多日本中小企业撤资离开中国。

《日经亚洲》报道，日本帝国数据银行的数据显示，2024年在华运营的日本企业约有1万3000家，比2012年巅峰时期少了近10%，日企“向中国市场扩张的兴趣似乎已见顶”。

日本贸易振兴机构（JETRO）2025财年进行调查，了解在华日企未来一两年内的业务计划。

在受访的784家日企中，仅21.3%计划扩大在华业务，是自2007财年有关调查开始以来的最低水平；14.4%的企业打算缩小规模、搬迁或撤离中国，创下历史新高；其余64.3%企业计划维持现状。

受访日企把工资上涨和竞争加剧列为主要业务挑战。中小企业尤其指出，他们在开拓新客源方面面临困难。虽然许多日企仍把中国视为中长期的重要市场，但中国本土企业的崛起使他们业务面对更大的挑战。

2003年在上海设立子公司的日本商业咨询公司Quick，专门为在华日企提供有关中国劳工法的顾问服务。

公司指出，2003年起越来越多日企进军中国，咨询需求也随之增加；不过到了2020年左右，进入中国的日企数量开始下降。

冠病疫情暴发后，中国经济放缓的态势愈发明显，中美之间则因关税及其他问题而关系日趋紧张。另外几名日企员工被控违反中国《反间谍法》，也使日企萌生撤资念头。

在截至2024年12月的财年里，Quick营收同比下降35%，亏损约47万人民币（约9万新元）。Quick去年年底撤离中国，公司主席川口一郎说：“各种风险已显现出来，所以我认为这是一个正确的决定。”

Trump backs Lindsey Graham’s sister as his replacement to finish Senate term

July 13, 2026 / 11:37 AM EDT / CBS News

Washington — President Trump recommended on Monday that South Carolina’s governor appoint the late Sen. Lindsey Graham’s sister, Darline Graham Nordone, to serve out the rest of his term in the Senate.

“I recommended, to Governor Henry McMaster, Lindsey Graham’s wonderful sister, Darline, to serve as interim Senator from the Great State of South Carolina,” Mr. Trump said in a post on Truth Social. “This would be a fabulous tribute to Lindsey, who loved her dearly!”

South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster is scheduled to hold a news conference at 4 p.m. on Monday to reflect on Graham’s “life and service” and announce an appointment to fill the vacancy. His replacement would serve at least until January, when his current term expires.

Graham, who never married and did not have children, had a close relationship with his sister. Their mother died in 1976, when Graham was 20 and Nordone was 12. Less than two years later, their father died of a heart attack. Graham, then 22, adopted his then-13-year-old sister.

Graham’s counterpart in the upper chamber, Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, said on “CBS Mornings” earlier Monday that Graham’s sister “would be a wonderful placeholder.”

The late senator had also been seeking reelection in November. A special election to determine Graham’s replacement on the ballot will be held on Aug. 11.

https://www.cbsnews.com/video/tim-scott-reflects-lindsey-grahams-legacy/

Democrats in Maine jockey to replace Graham Platner in Senate race

2026-07-13 9:53 AM EDT / CNN

By Casey Chiang, CNN

Democrats in Maine jockey to replace Graham Platner in Senate race

CNN News Central’s John Berman speaks to Democratic Senate Candidate Nirav Shah about his bid to succeed Graham Platner in the Maine Senate race.

3:31 • Source: CNN

https://www.cnn.com/2026/07/13/politics/video/berman-nirav-shah-platner-maine-senate-cnc

美伊连续两天互袭 特朗普称将对航经霍尔木兹海峡货物收费20%

2026年7月13日 22:20 / 联合早报

AI摘要

• 美军连续第二天空袭伊朗，打击其防空系统、雷达站及无人机设施等数十目标；伊朗随后报复袭击约旦、巴林、科威特与阿曼境内美军基地。
• 特朗普称将对经霍尔木兹海峡货物收取20%“安全保障费”，并重启“伊朗封锁令”；伊朗强调美方停止干预是恢复航运前提。
• 伊朗称美伊谅解备忘录已进入“危机阶段”，但仍在通过卡塔尔等国调解防止局势升级；国际油价因冲突反弹，布伦特原油一度涨5%。

本摘要由AI辅助生成，仅供参考

美国中央司令部星期天（7月12日）发布当天打击伊朗的视频，这张截图画面显示一枚炮弹接近其中一个袭击目标。 （路透社）

（华盛顿/德黑兰综合电）美国连续第二天打击伊朗，伊朗随即再对其他中东国家境内美军目标进行报复袭击。伊朗警告，美伊谅解备忘录已进入“危机阶段”，如果美国不遵守承诺，伊朗也不会履行协议。美国总统特朗普则在社媒上说，将恢复“针对伊朗的封锁”，并对通过霍尔木兹海峡的货物收取20%的“费用补偿”。

美东时间星期天（7月12日）下午5时（新加坡星期一凌晨5时），美军对伊朗发动新一轮空袭，要进一步削弱伊朗攻击国际航运的能力。这是美军连续第二天、也是一周内第四次打击伊朗。

美国中央司令部发声明说，美军出动战斗机和海军舰艇、单向攻击空中无人机，并首次动用单向攻击海上无人机，打击了伊朗的防空系统、沿岸雷达站、导弹和无人机设施，以及小型船只等，共数十个目标。

声明重申，霍尔木兹海峡是对全球贸易至关重要的海上通道，不受伊朗控制；美军已准备好保障商船在这条海峡的航行自由。

据伊朗媒体报道，美军的袭击持续到星期一下午，阿巴斯港、锡里克、格什姆岛、贾斯克岛等多地传出爆炸声。美国炮弹击中胡齐斯坦省一处农用水泵站，导致一死四伤。在弗鲁尔岛，美军的袭击造成一死二伤，西南部港市阿巴丹也被炸，至少二死三伤。

伊方随后做出回应，伊斯兰革命卫队星期一对约旦、巴林、科威特与阿曼境内的美军目标实施了报复袭击；目标包括约旦的哈桑王子空军基地、巴林的谢赫伊萨空军基地、科威特的阿里·萨利姆空军基地与艾哈迈德·贾比尔空军基地、阿曼的雷达系统等。

革命卫队强调，美国停止军事干预是霍尔木兹海峡恢复正常航运的唯一办法。

特朗普星期一坚称，霍尔木兹海峡目前、也仍将保持开放。他也宣布，重启‘伊朗封锁令’，阻止伊朗的船只或客户进出该海峡，同时对过境海峡的货运收取费用。

他在社交媒体上写道：“从现在开始，美国将是‘霍尔木兹海峡守护者’，但基于这一身份且出于公平，美国将按所有运输货物20%的比率获得补偿，作为在这个动荡地区提供安全保障所需的费用。”他也说，这个过程和安排将立即执行。

特朗普同日接受福克斯采访时也指责伊朗一再违反协议，才招致美军猛烈打击。

伊朗外交部发言人巴加埃则称，伊朗从来不是先违反承诺的一方。“我们一开始就说……只要对方遵守承诺，我们就会履行承诺。在实践中我们也表明，每当对方违约，我们便不履行承诺。”

他说，伊朗和美国达成的谅解备忘录已进入危机阶段，不过德黑兰仍继续与卡塔尔、巴基斯坦与阿曼调解人员磋商，以防止紧张局势继续升级。

巴加埃还指责美国向阿曼施压，阻碍伊朗与阿曼制定霍尔木兹海峡共同管理机制。

伊朗媒体报道，星期一又有两艘船因试图“非法”穿越霍尔木兹海峡，遭革命卫队鸣枪警告。

乔治城大学卡塔尔分校政府学教授卡姆拉瓦指出，美伊冲突已演变成霍尔木兹海峡控制权的争夺战，而双方都志在必得。

他告诉美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）：“伊朗敏锐地意识到，它无法在军事上与美国和以色列抗衡，因此正试图把军事冲突变成经济冲突……伊朗希望（在海峡）建立某种行政影响力，美国则决心削弱这种影响力。”

美伊近期恢复互袭后，国际油价反弹，星期一布伦特原油的价格一度上涨5%。

另一方面，伊朗保守派报章《哈姆沙赫里报》星期六晚在网上发布“为已故最高领袖哈梅内伊复仇”的目标名单，其中包括美国总统特朗普和国务卿鲁比奥，还有以色列总理内坦亚胡、英国首相斯塔默、法国总统马克龙等13名外国领导人和高级官员。

不过，目前没有迹象显示这份名单获得伊朗官方认可。

美伊连续两天互袭 特朗普称将对航经霍尔木兹海峡货物收费20%

2026年7月13日 22:20 / 联合早报

美国中央司令部星期天（7月12日）发布当天打击伊朗的视频，这张截图画面显示一枚炮弹接近其中一个袭击目标。 （路透社）

（华盛顿/德黑兰综合电）美国连续第二天打击伊朗，伊朗随即再对其他中东国家境内美军目标进行报复袭击。伊朗警告，美伊谅解备忘录已进入“危机阶段”，如果美国不遵守承诺，伊朗也不会履行协议。美国总统特朗普则在社媒上说，将恢复“针对伊朗的封锁”，并对通过霍尔木兹海峡的货物收取20%的“费用补偿”。

美东时间星期天（7月12日）下午5时（新加坡星期一凌晨5时），美军对伊朗发动新一轮空袭，要进一步削弱伊朗攻击国际航运的能力。这是美军连续第二天、也是一周内第四次打击伊朗。

美国中央司令部发声明说，美军出动战斗机和海军舰艇、单向攻击空中无人机，并首次动用单向攻击海上无人机，打击了伊朗的防空系统、沿岸雷达站、导弹和无人机设施，以及小型船只等，共数十个目标。

声明重申，霍尔木兹海峡是对全球贸易至关重要的海上通道，不受伊朗控制；美军已准备好保障商船在这条海峡的航行自由。

据伊朗媒体报道，美军的袭击持续到星期一下午，阿巴斯港、锡里克、格什姆岛、贾斯克岛等多地传出爆炸声。美国炮弹击中胡齐斯坦省一处农用水泵站，导致一死四伤。在弗鲁尔岛，美军的袭击造成一死二伤，西南部港市阿巴丹也被炸，至少二死三伤。

伊方随后做出回应，伊斯兰革命卫队星期一对约旦、巴林、科威特与阿曼境内的美军目标实施了报复袭击；目标包括约旦的哈桑王子空军基地、巴林的谢赫伊萨空军基地、科威特的阿里·萨利姆空军基地与艾哈迈德·贾比尔空军基地、阿曼的雷达系统等。

革命卫队强调，美国停止军事干预是霍尔木兹海峡恢复正常航运的唯一办法。

特朗普星期一坚称，霍尔木兹海峡目前、也仍将保持开放。他也宣布，重启‘伊朗封锁令’，阻止伊朗的船只或客户进出该海峡，同时对过境海峡的货运收取费用。

他在社交媒体上写道：“从现在开始，美国将是‘霍尔木兹海峡守护者’，但基于这一身份且出于公平，美国将按所有运输货物20%的比率获得补偿，作为在这个动荡地区提供安全保障所需的费用。”他也说，这个过程和安排将立即执行。

特朗普同日接受福克斯采访时也指责伊朗一再违反协议，才招致美军猛烈打击。

伊朗外交部发言人巴加埃则称，伊朗从来不是先违反承诺的一方。“我们一开始就说……只要对方遵守承诺，我们就会履行承诺。在实践中我们也表明，每当对方违约，我们便不履行承诺。”

他说，伊朗和美国达成的谅解备忘录已进入危机阶段，不过德黑兰仍继续与卡塔尔、巴基斯坦与阿曼调解人员磋商，以防止紧张局势继续升级。

巴加埃还指责美国向阿曼施压，阻碍伊朗与阿曼制定霍尔木兹海峡共同管理机制。

伊朗媒体报道，星期一又有两艘船因试图“非法”穿越霍尔木兹海峡，遭革命卫队鸣枪警告。

乔治城大学卡塔尔分校政府学教授卡姆拉瓦指出，美伊冲突已演变成霍尔木兹海峡控制权的争夺战，而双方都志在必得。

他告诉美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）：“伊朗敏锐地意识到，它无法在军事上与美国和以色列抗衡，因此正试图把军事冲突变成经济冲突……伊朗希望（在海峡）建立某种行政影响力，美国则决心削弱这种影响力。”

美伊近期恢复互袭后，国际油价反弹，星期一布伦特原油的价格一度上涨5%。

另一方面，伊朗保守派报章《哈姆沙赫里报》星期六晚在网上发布“为已故最高领袖哈梅内伊复仇”的目标名单，其中包括美国总统特朗普和国务卿鲁比奥，还有以色列总理内坦亚胡、英国首相斯塔默、法国总统马克龙等13名外国领导人和高级官员。

不过，目前没有迹象显示这份名单获得伊朗官方认可。

South Carolina governor to announce appointment for Lindsey Graham’s Senate seat Monday

July 13, 2026 / 11:36 AM EDT / CBS News

Washington— South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster will hold a press conference Monday afternoon to announce his appointment to fill the vacancy in the Senate left by Sen. Lindsey Graham’s death.

McMaster, a Republican, will hold a 4 p.m. press conference from his office in Columbia, the governor’s office announced. The person McMaster selects will serve until at least Jan. 3, finishing Graham’s current term.

Graham was also running for reelection this fall, and a special Republican primary election will be held on Aug. 11 to determine who will replace him on the ballot. The candidate who wins in November will secure a full six-year term.

Graham died Saturday at the age of 71, and a medical examiner’s preliminary findings suggested the cause was aortic dissection, which involves a tear in the main artery from the heart.

On Monday morning, President Trump threw his endorsement behind Graham’s younger sister, Darline Graham Nordone, to serve the rest of his term. Graham took legal guardianship of his sister when she was 13 after both of their parents died within 15 months of each other.

“I recommended, to Governor Henry McMaster, Lindsey Graham’s wonderful sister, Darline, to serve as interim Senator from the Great State of South Carolina,” Mr. Trump wrote on Truth Social. “This would be a fabulous tribute to Lindsey, who loved her dearly!”

Republican Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina told “CBS Mornings” that Nordone “would be a wonderful placeholder.” Scott has spoken to Nordone multiple times over the past 24 hours, a source familiar with the talks told CBS News. Scott is expected to be on hand for the announcement later Monday, and the interim senator is set to be sworn in on Wednesday.

South Carolina Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette is another potential contender for the appointment, along with Republican Rep. Ralph Norman. But McMaster may be hesitant to choose a sitting House member since Republicans hold such a narrow majority in the lower chamber.

Tim Scott remembers Lindsey Graham

https://www.cbsnews.com/video/tim-scott-reflects-lindsey-grahams-legacy/

Tim Scott reflects on Lindsey Graham’s legacy and who could fill his seat in the Senate

(05:05)

Two years after Butler, threats against Trump keep assassination attempt in sharp focus

July 13, 2026 10:23am EDT / Fox News

An inspector general report found agents failed to flag Thomas Crooks’ rifle and range finder before the July 2024 rally

By Ashley J. DiMella Fox News

Third assassination attempt on Trump raises security concerns

Washington Examiner reporter Salena Zito discusses the third assassination attempt against President Donald Trump, highlighting security concerns at events like the White House Correspondents’ Association Dinner.

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Two years after a gunman opened fire on Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, the security failures that nearly cost him his life remain under scrutiny as later alleged plots and reported threats keep presidential protection in the spotlight.

Trump was rushed offstage by Secret Service agents after gunfire grazed his upper right ear during his July 13, 2024, rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. The attack came months before Trump’s re-election and preceded a series of later alleged attempts and reported threats against his life.

Two years ago Monday, Trump was mid-sentence, pointing to a chart on illegal immigration under the Biden administration, when gunshots pierced the air at his Butler rally. Authorities identified the gunman as Thomas Matthew Crooks, who fired from the roof of a nearby building.

TWO MEN SHOT AT TRUMP’S BUTLER RALLY SUE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT OVER SECRET SERVICE ‘PREVENTABLE FAILURES’

Donald Trump is rushed offstage after shots were fired during a rally on July 13, 2024, in Butler, Pennsylvania.(Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

Secret Service agents tackled Trump to the ground. Moments later, as they rose to escort him to his motorcade, Trump emerged from the huddle. Trump raised his fist high in the air, and said “fight” three times, prompting the audience to erupt and chant “U-S-A!” as he exited.

The gunman killed firefighter Corey Comperatore, who was shielding his family, and wounded two other men. A Secret Service sniper killed Crooks during the attack.

A report from the Office of Inspector General, released earlier this month, found that the U.S. Secret Service “missed multiple opportunities” to prevent or disrupt the assassination attempt due to communication failures and other security lapses.

AFTER THIRD ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT, DEBATE GROWS OVER WHETHER TRUMP ATTACK WARRANTS ANOTHER INVESTIGATION

“The Secret Service’s overall lack of policy and processes coupled with limited intelligence sharing and poor collaboration and communication with protectee staff and state and local law enforcement set the conditions that led to missing opportunities to prevent and detect the attempted assassination,” the report said.

It also found failure to warn Trump’s protective detail that Crooks had a rangefinder and a long gun and had climbed onto the roof of a nearby building.

Trump’s security has remained under scrutiny since he returned to office, amid later alleged assassination attempts and reported threats against his life.

In September 2024, authorities said Ryan Wesley Routh was arrested after a Secret Service agent spotted him with a rifle near Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, Florida, in what federal prosecutors later charged as an attempted assassination of Trump.

ISRAEL SHARES INTELLIGENCE WARNING IRAN PLOTTED NEW ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT AGAINST TRUMP: REPORT

Donald Trump is surrounded by Secret Service agents after being grazed by a bullet during a rally on July 13, 2024, in Butler, Pennsylvania.(Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

In April of this year, there was an assassination attempt against Trump at the White House Correspondents’ Association Dinner, where a shooter attempted to break into the ballroom.

The renewed threats come amid escalating tensions with Iran, after the U.S. resumed strikes following the collapse of a ceasefire agreement. Reports this week said Israeli intelligence warned U.S. officials about a new Iranian plot to assassinate Trump.

Trump warned Iran Friday that the United States would “decimate and destroy” the country if Tehran carried out an assassination attempt against him.

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U.S. Secret Service has not directly commented on the reports.

Fox News Digital reached out to the White House for comment.

Ashley J. DiMella reports on politics for Fox News Digital.

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6394433294112

Trump says Lindsey Graham’s sister should be appointed to his Senate seat

Jul 13, 2026, 11:03 AM ET / CNN

By Eric Bradner, Kevin Liptak

Updated Jul 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

From the archives: Meet Lindsey Graham’s sister, Darline Graham Nordone

From the archives: Meet Lindsey Graham’s sister, Darline Graham Nordone

President Donald Trump said Monday he recommended to South Carolina’s governor that Sen. Lindsey Graham’s sister,Darline Graham Nordone, be appointed to serve in the late lawmaker’s seat after he suddenly died over the weekend.

“I recommended, to Governor Henry McMaster, Lindsey Graham’s wonderful sister, Darline, to serve as interim Senator from the Great State of South Carolina,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “This would be a fabulous tribute to Lindsey, who loved her dearly!”

Under state law, McMaster can appoint a temporary replacement to fill Graham’s vacant seat. But because Graham was up for reelection this year, his death will kick off a sprint primary election to replace him on the November ballot.

McMaster has scheduled a 4 p.m. ET press conference to announce his pick.

The governor and Trump are longtime allies. Trump said on the 2024 campaign trail that he nominated South Carolina’s former governor, Nikki Haley, as his US ambassador to the United Nations in his first term to elevate McMaster, who was then the lieutenant governor.

Related article Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham applauds as President Donald Trump holds a campaign rally in North Charleston, South Carolina, in February 2020. Leah Millis/Reuters/File Graham and Trump’s unlikely alliance: From opponents to key allies — and golf buddies 7 min read

Who is Darline Graham Nordone?

Graham and his sister were close their entire lives, his sister told CNN’s Dana Bash in a 2015 interview after her brother launched his bid for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination.

“Even when my parents were alive, they worked really long, hard hours running a small business. So even then, he was a caregiver to me,” she said.

The same year, the unmarried Graham was asked by the Daily Mail Online who would be his first lady.

“Well, I’ve got a sister. She could play that role if necessary,” he said.

The two grew up in a single room behind the Sanitary Cafe — a bar, pool hall and liquor store their parents ran in Central, South Carolina.

After their parents died within 15 months of each other, Darline became orphaned at age 13 in 1976. Graham — the first in his family to attend college, and a member of the Reserve Officers’ Training Corps — became Darline’s legal guardian. That enabled Darline to access her brother’s military benefits, she told CNN in 2015.

She said being adopted by her brother “was a little odd” at first, but she came to understand “it makes perfect sense.”

“I knew he was doing what he could to take care of me, and it was best for us,” she said.

McMaster is term-limited and cannot seek reelection this year. Trump this year floated the governor’s son, Henry McMaster Jr., as a potential pick for lieutenant governor after he endorsed McMaster’s lieutenant governor, Pamela Evette, in the state’s gubernatorial primary.

McMaster Jr. declined, writing on social media that “now is simply not the right time for me to be considered” for the post, and Evette went on to lose a primary runoff to South Carolina Attorney General Alan Wilson.

A source familiar with the matter told CNN that Evette was fielding calls about entering the race for Graham’s seat. Other potential candidates for a special primary election include Reps. Nancy Mace and Ralph Norman.

This story has been updated with additional information.

中国多管齐下回击多国联合声明 中国学者：对南中国海裁决开启“新批驳征程”

2026年7月13日 22:56 / 联合早报

中国智库华阳海洋研究中心理事长、中国南海研究院学术委员会主席吴士存（台上左二），星期一（7月13日）在南中国海安全圆桌对话上强调，要在过去10年的基础上对南中国海仲裁案裁决“开启新的批驳征程”。 （中新社）

中国透过外交和学术等管道，持续批驳各国对南中国海仲裁案裁决10周年发表的相关声明。中国学者强调，这是中国与其他裁决支持国之间的政治、外交、法律和舆论斗争，要在过去10年的基础上对裁决“开启新的批驳征程”。

美国、菲律宾、日本、澳大利亚等14个国家上星期六（7月11日）发表联合声明，重申南中国海仲裁案裁决具“最终性与法律拘束力”，中国在南中国海的扩张性海事主张没有法律依据。

同一天，欧盟高级代表发表声明，强调各方应尊重并履行裁决，并对南中国海紧张局势持续升级表示关切。中国驻欧盟使团发言人星期天（12日）在微信公众号发文回应称，欧盟不是南中国海问题当事方，欧方声明罔顾南中国海问题的历史经纬和客观事实，“不利于地区和平稳定”。

日本外长茂木敏充星期天则引述裁决重申，中国在南中国海主张广泛海洋权益的说法缺乏法律依据。中国外交部亚洲司负责人当天就此紧急约见日本驻华使馆首席公使，“提出严正交涉、表达强烈不满和抗议”。

设于荷兰海牙的南中国海仲裁庭，2016年7月12日就菲律宾提起的仲裁案作出裁决，认定中国以“九段线”主张南中国海历史性权利缺乏国际法依据，确认菲律宾在专属经济区内享有相关海洋权利。北京始终拒绝接受和承认上述裁决。

华阳海洋研究中心理事长、中国南海研究院学术委员会主席吴士存，星期一（13日）在这两家智库于香港举办的南中国海安全圆桌对话上指出，上周末的一系列事件表明，10年过去，有关裁决热度并未降低。

吴士存回顾，10年前裁决出炉时，中国国际法学会曾在香港的研讨会上就此进行讨论；10年后再度来到香港，是为了在过去10年批驳裁决的基础上“开启新的批驳征程”。他也强调，未来10年或更长时间，对任何基于裁决的主张和行动“绝不会放松警惕”。

他直言，这是中国与菲律宾乃至其他支持裁决的国家间，围绕南中国海仲裁案进行的“政治、外交、法律和舆论斗争”。

吴士存指出，那些试图从裁决中分得一杯羹的国家，已经事实上形成一个利益集团和环环相扣的产业链。因此，中国除了从法律层面批驳裁决，还需多管齐下，“斩断假借或利用裁决形成的利益链条，并向世人揭露以裁决为纽带形成利益集团的底层逻辑”。

“不让裁决寿终正寝，南海就永无宁日……不使裁决从南海话题舆论场上销声匿迹，中国就会时不时被一些国家或势力扣上一顶‘破坏基于规则的国际秩序’的帽子；不对裁决斩草除根，就会有如菲律宾这样的国家，在南海侵权和违反公共利益的时候，继续以裁决借尸还魂。”

华阳海洋研究中心与南海研究院同天联合发布《南海仲裁案裁决新批驳》报告。华阳海洋研究中心常务副理事长徐晓东指出，这是继10年前的《南海仲裁案裁决之批判》、两年前的《南海仲裁案裁决再批驳》后，中国智库再次从法理和学术视角，对裁决进行深度批驳。

南海研究院副院长周勇介绍，报告通过考察过去10年间各国官方声明、海洋划界实践、国际司法或仲裁判例及相关学术评论，系统审视了裁决的实际效应，表明裁决在国家实践层面的影响力有限，远低于支持者预期。

新加坡南洋理工大学公共政策与全球事务副教授骆明辉向《联合早报》分析，北京早预料到菲律宾会围绕裁决10周年做文章，并准备好面向国内和国际舆论的应对措施。“中国的回应将是全方位的，除了海上行动，还会运用法律、外交、科学和人道主义手段，努力降低南中国海争端的国际化程度。”