2026年8月13日 美国东部时间下午6:00 / 福克斯新闻
共和党现任候选人赫斯特德民调支持率低迷、家庭财务状况恶化拖累其选情
撰稿人：达娜·布兰顿，福克斯新闻
赫斯特德称俄亥俄州选民早已否决布朗“失败的”执政记录：“把他赶下台”
俄亥俄州联邦参议员、共和党人乔恩·赫斯特德告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，谢罗德·布朗在华盛顿数十年的执政记录仍是他最大的软肋，这场高风险的参议院竞选正逐渐升温。
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经济不安情绪与选民对共和党现任参议员乔恩·赫斯特德与总统关系的担忧，正主导着赫斯特德与前民主党参议员谢罗德·布朗之间的俄亥俄州参议院选战。
布朗正试图夺回自己的参议院席位，他挑战的对象是2025年JD·万斯当选副总统后获任命的赫斯特德。布朗2024年以微弱劣势输给伯尼·莫雷诺，丢失了席位。
选民情绪的核心是对生活成本的不满。一项全新的福克斯新闻俄亥俄州登记选民民调显示，通胀是选民最优先关注的议题，40%的受访者称通胀是他们的头号问题，远超医疗保健、移民和政治分裂议题。
2020年，28%的俄亥俄州民众认为自己家庭的财务状况“每况愈下”。如今这一比例已升至38%，而这些选民以40个百分点的优势支持布朗。
唐纳德·特朗普2024年以11个百分点的优势赢得俄亥俄州。尽管如此，赫斯特德与特朗普的关联仍是其软肋：51%的选民担忧他与总统关系过密，这一比例较6月份的46%上升了5个百分点。此外， fewer voters, 44%, are worried Brown is too closely tied to the Democratic Party establishment.（注：原文此处保留英文，下同）
FOX NEWS POLL: NEW MATCHUP, SAME RESULT: MAINE SENATE RACE STAYS LOCKED
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这些不利因素正直接打破党派界限，共和党倒戈支持布朗的选民削弱了赫斯特德固有的优势——在这个共和党选民多于民主党选民的州，赫斯特德本应拥有先天优势。
87%的共和党人支持赫斯特德，而97%的民主党人 backing Brown.（注：原文此处保留英文，下同）The Democrat also draws 11% crossover support from Republicans overall and 25% among non-MAGA Republicans. Two-thirds of independents also favor Brown.
All those factors help Brown remain 8 points ahead of Husted in the race for Ohio’s Senate seat, 53% to 45%, a margin unchanged since June.
FOX NEWS POLL: GOP DIVISIONS SHAPE TEXAS SENATE RACE
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Brown’s lead expands to 10 points (54-44%) among those who rate their certainty to vote as a 10 out of 10, and to 15 points (57-42%) among those saying they are extremely motivated to vote.
In addition, those most motivated to turn out this year — liberals, voters with a college degree, and supporters of the Democratic Socialists of America — prefer their former Senator.
Brown has significant advantages among liberals (+88 points), urban voters (+37), those in union households (+31), voters under age 45 (+17), women (+16), and college graduates (+9).
Husted is favored among conservatives (+65 points), White evangelical Christians (+42), White men without a college degree (+17), rural residents (+12), and married voters (+6).
Meanwhile, Brown has the most positive personal rating of the candidates tested (51% favorable, 47% unfavorable), while ratings for Husted are 10 percentage points underwater (43% favorable, 53% unfavorable).
Part of Brown’s advantage is driven by affinity, as 67% of his supporters say their vote is mainly for him rather than in opposition to Husted. Among those favoring Husted, 58% say they are motivated to vote for him, not against Brown.
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Even so, the prospect of a shift is real, as one in five who are backing Brown and one in four supporting Husted say they could change their candidate preference before casting a ballot.
Dissatisfaction with the party organizations and national figures is widespread. Majorities of Ohioans hold unfavorable views of the Democratic Party (57%) and the Republican Party (54%), as well as Trump (56%), the MAGA movement (57%), and the Democratic Socialists of America (54%). Views of Vance are divided, 47% favorable and 50% unfavorable.
In the Ohio governor’s race, Republican Vivek Ramaswamy receives 50% to Democrat Amy Acton’s 48%. That’s a small shift since June, when Acton was ahead by 1 point.
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Most supporters of both Acton (78%) and Ramaswamy (80%) have a high degree of certainty that they’ll stick with their candidate choice.
Fourteen percent of those favoring Brown in the Senate contest cross party lines to back Ramaswamy for governor, while 6% of Husted supporters prefer Acton, the Democrat.
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Views of Ramaswamy are divided: 46% favorable, 44% unfavorable, mostly unchanged since June. Forty-three percent have a favorable opinion of Acton, but her negative rating stands at 47%, up from 37% in June.
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本次福克斯新闻民调于2026年8月6日至10日开展，由Beacon Research（民主党智库）和Shaw & Company Research（共和党智库）联合指导，共采访了1008名从全州选民档案中随机抽取的俄亥俄州登记选民。受访者通过固定电话（78人）、手机（694人）接受现场访谈，或在收到短信后在线完成调查（236人）。基于全样本的调查误差幅度为±3个百分点。子群体结果的抽样误差更高。除抽样误差外，问题措辞和顺序也会影响调查结果。人口加权目标的制定依据包括最新的美国社区调查、福克斯新闻选民分析数据和选民档案数据。加权通常会应用于年龄、种族、教育程度和地区变量，以确保受访者的人口结构能够代表登记选民群体。子群体结果仅在样本量至少为N=100时才会展示。
福克斯新闻的维多利亚·巴拉拉为本报道撰稿。
作为民调部门负责人，达娜·布兰顿负责管理福克斯新闻民调项目，并监督福克斯新闻选民分析选举调查工作。
Fox News Poll: Economic anxiety and candidate concerns define Ohio Senate race
August 13, 2026 6:00pm EDT / Fox News
Underwater favorability and worsening family finances are a drag on GOP incumbent Husted
By Dana Blanton, Fox News
Husted says Ohio voters already rejected Brown’s ‘failed’ record: ‘Sent him packing’
Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, told Fox News Digital Sherrod Brown’s decades-long Washington record remains his biggest liability as the high-stakes Senate race heats up.
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Financial unease and voter concerns over Republican incumbent Senator Jon Husted’s ties to the president are driving the dynamics in the Ohio Senate contest between Husted and former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown.
Brown seeks to regain his Senate seat by challenging Husted, who was appointed in 2025 after JD Vance became vice president. Brown narrowly lost his seat to Bernie Moreno in 2024.
Underpinning the electorate’s mood is frustration with the cost of living. A new Fox News survey of Ohio registered voters finds inflation dominates their priorities, with 40% saying it is their top issue, far outranking healthcare, immigration, and political divisions.
In 2020, 28% of Ohioans described their family’s financial situation as “falling behind.” Now, that’s up to 38% — and those voters favor Brown by 40 points.
Donald Trump won Ohio by 11 points in 2024. Still, a vulnerability for Husted is his connection to Trump, as 51% are concerned that he’s too close to the president. That’s up 5 points from 46% who felt that way about Husted in June. Plus, fewer voters, 44%, are worried Brown is too closely tied to the Democratic Party establishment.
FOX NEWS POLL: NEW MATCHUP, SAME RESULT: MAINE SENATE RACE STAYS LOCKED
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These headwinds are directly fracturing party lines, with Republican defections to Brown undercutting Husted’s built-in advantage in a state where more voters identify as Republican than Democrat.
While 87% of Republicans favor Husted, fully 97% of Democrats back Brown. The Democrat also draws 11% crossover support from Republicans overall and 25% among non-MAGA Republicans. Two-thirds of independents also favor Brown.
All those factors help Brown remain 8 points ahead of Husted in the race for Ohio’s Senate seat, 53% to 45%, a margin unchanged since June.
FOX NEWS POLL: GOP DIVISIONS SHAPE TEXAS SENATE RACE
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Brown’s lead expands to 10 points (54-44%) among those who rate their certainty to vote as a 10 out of 10, and to 15 points (57-42%) among those saying they are extremely motivated to vote.
In addition, those most motivated to turn out this year — liberals, voters with a college degree, and supporters of the Democratic Socialists of America — prefer their former Senator.
Brown has significant advantages among liberals (+88 points), urban voters (+37), those in union households (+31), voters under age 45 (+17), women (+16), and college graduates (+9).
Husted is favored among conservatives (+65 points), White evangelical Christians (+42), White men without a college degree (+17), rural residents (+12), and married voters (+6).
Meanwhile, Brown has the most positive personal rating of the candidates tested (51% favorable, 47% unfavorable), while ratings for Husted are 10 percentage points underwater (43% favorable, 53% unfavorable).
Part of Brown’s advantage is driven by affinity, as 67% of his supporters say their vote is mainly for him rather than in opposition to Husted. Among those favoring Husted, 58% say they are motivated to vote for him, not against Brown.
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Even so, the prospect of a shift is real, as one in five who are backing Brown and one in four supporting Husted say they could change their candidate preference before casting a ballot.
Dissatisfaction with the party organizations and national figures is widespread. Majorities of Ohioans hold unfavorable views of the Democratic Party (57%) and the Republican Party (54%), as well as Trump (56%), the MAGA movement (57%), and the Democratic Socialists of America (54%). Views of Vance are divided, 47% favorable and 50% unfavorable.
In the Ohio governor’s race, Republican Vivek Ramaswamy receives 50% to Democrat Amy Acton’s 48%. That’s a small shift since June, when Acton was ahead by 1 point.
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Most supporters of both Acton (78%) and Ramaswamy (80%) have a high degree of certainty that they’ll stick with their candidate choice.
Fourteen percent of those favoring Brown in the Senate contest cross party lines to back Ramaswamy for governor, while 6% of Husted supporters prefer Acton, the Democrat.
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Views of Ramaswamy are divided: 46% favorable, 44% unfavorable, mostly unchanged since June. Forty-three percent have a favorable opinion of Acton, but her negative rating stands at 47%, up from 37% in June.
CLICK HERE FOR CROSSTABS AND TOPLINE
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Conducted August 6-10, 2026, under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,008 Ohio registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (78) and cellphones (694) or completed the survey online after receiving a text message (236). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ± 3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population. Results among subgroups are only shown when the sample size is at least N=100.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
As head of the polling unit, Dana Blanton runs the Fox News Poll and oversees the Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.
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