破纪录高温对美国经济造成日益严重的打击


2026-08-13T15:27:02-0400 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

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2026年8月13日 / 美国东部时间下午3:27 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻加州频道

7月中旬,一股热穹顶笼罩明尼苏达州,位于德卢斯的运河公园啤酒厂全力开启空调。随后空调停机了。
面对闷热难耐的天气,这家企业被迫当日停业,并暂停了三天的户外露台服务,以保护服务员免受高温侵袭。
“我们所在的地方是相当热门的旅游目的地,所以我们大部分收入都来自夏季,”这家主打小批量啤酒和酒吧餐食的啤酒餐厅经理亚历克斯·涅米说道,“没错,这造成了相当大的影响。哪怕只是那两三天,也打乱了我们整个月的经营节奏。”

7月刚刚创下美国本土有记录以来最热月份的纪录,不断攀升的气温正日益造成经济损失,从小企业遭受财务打击到交通延误和停电,不一而足。
气候风险建模公司First Street的物理风险研究总监杰里米·波特向哥伦比亚广播公司新闻表示,热浪损害经济的主要途径是降低企业生产力。
“这打乱了日常经营,无论是因为基础设施受损、电力中断,还是劳动力生产力下降,”他说道。

First Street对近3万家企业财务披露报告的分析发现,企业面临的第二大最常见气候相关担忧是极端高温对其员工队伍的影响。前两大担忧均与干旱的影响有关。

尚未适应新常态

波特表示,随着气候变化推高气温,热浪正对美国部分缺乏应对极端高温能力的地区造成特别严重的经济影响。
在这些地区,企业可能缺乏在高温期间正常运营所需的基础设施、空调或灵活的工作排班。这可能迫使企业缩短营业时间,甚至停业数天。
“热浪变得越来越频繁,持续时间也越来越长,”波特说道,“问题变得极其严重的地区是西北部、中西部和东北部——这些地区历史上从未经历过如此高温,也没有适应这类风险。”

明尼苏达州就是如此,7月的气温高于平均水平,让运河公园啤酒厂陷入困境,涅米告诉哥伦比亚广播公司新闻。“我们这里很少有气温超过90华氏度的日子,所以连续几天空调全力运转,我想这就是导致它停机的原因。”
而对于小企业来说,哪怕只是开启空调,也会导致过高的电费账单,而随着数千家为人工智能提供算力的数据中心纷纷建成,电费也在持续上涨。

比其他灾害更具破坏性

美国国家海洋和大气管理局将热浪定义为异常炎热的天气时段,通常持续两天或更久,期间气温超过当地历史平均水平。
专家表示,随着热浪的频率和强度不断增加,它们造成的经济损失甚至比其他自然灾害更为严重,他们指出极端高温时段往往比飓风、龙卷风或洪水持续时间更长。
波特指出,热浪通常也比其他自然灾害影响的地理范围更广,后者往往更局限于局部地区,这会导致更广泛的业务中断。城市地区尤其脆弱,因为它们容易蓄积热量,且经济活动高度集中。

根据保险企业安联的一份报告,近期美国各地的热浪估计造成国内生产总值损失0.6个百分点。
“虽然野火可以在当地摧毁大量财富,但(它们)对国内生产总值的影响没有这么大,”全球投资研究公司Gavekal的经济学家奥古斯特·古德蒙松在一封电子邮件中说道,他援引了加州大学洛杉矶分校安德森管理学院的研究成果。

这些更炎热的环境加剧了与工作相关的中断风险。波特表示,户外职业的工人,包括建筑、制造和农业领域的劳动者,面临的风险尤其高。
联邦数据显示,2011年至2021年间,极端高温导致436名工人死亡,平均每年40人死亡。研究还表明,与高温相关的死亡人数被低估了,因为死亡证明通常会将潜在疾病列为死因,而非温度等外部因素。

Record-breaking heat takes mounting toll on the U.S. economy

2026-08-13T15:27:02-0400 / CBS News

By

August 13, 2026 / 3:27 PM EDT / CBS News California

When a heat dome descended on Minnesota in mid-July, Duluth-based Canal Park Brewing Company had its air conditioning blasting. Then it cut out.

Faced with sweltering conditions, the business was forced to close for the day and halt outdoor patio service for three days to protect its servers from the soaring mercury.

“Where we are is a pretty big touristy kind of destination, so we make most of our money in the summer,” said Alex Niemi, a restaurant manager at the brewery, which offers small-batch beers and pub fare. “So yeah, it was a pretty big impact. Even just those couple of days, it kind of threw off our whole month.”

With July just setting a record as the hottest month ever recorded in the contiguous U.S., rising temperatures are increasingly taking an economic toll, from small businesses taking a financial hit to transit delays and power outages.

The main way heat waves hurt the economy is through weaker business productivity, Jeremy Porter, physical risk research director at climate risk modeling firm First Street, told CBS News.

“It’s the disruption of business as usual, whether it’s because of damaged infrastructure, power disruptions or reduced labor productivity,” he said.

A First Street analysis of nearly 30,000 business financial disclosures found that the third most common climate-related concern among companies was the impact of extreme heat on their workforce. The top two concerns focused on the impact of drought.

Not ready for the new normal

As climate change drives up temperatures, heat waves are having a particular economic impact in parts of the U.S. ill-equipped to deal with extreme heat, Porter said.

In those regions, businesses may not have the infrastructure, air conditioning or flexible work schedules necessary to operate during bouts of high heat.That can force businesses to shorten their hours of operation or even shut down for days.

“Heat waves are becoming more frequent. They’re becoming more persistent,” Porter said. “Where it becomes extremely problematic is in the Northwest, the Midwest and the Northeast — places that haven’t historically dealt with these heat levels and are not acclimatized to that type of risk.”

That was the case in Minnesota, where above-average July temperatures put Canal Park Brewing in a bind, Niemi told CBS News. “We don’t really get that many days where it’s above 90 here. So just having the consecutive days where AC was just kind of cranking full power, I think that’s what kind of shut it down.”

And for small businesses, even cranking up the AC can lead to outsized electricity bills, which are also rising as thousands of data centers sprout up to power artificial intelligence.

More destructive than other disasters

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration defines heat waves as periods of unusually hot weather, typically lasting two or more days, during which temperatures exceed local historical averages.

As heat waves increase in frequency and severity, experts said they can inflict even more serious economic damage than other natural disasters, noting that periods of extreme heat tend to last longer than, say, a hurricane, tornado or flood.

Heat waves also often impact a wider geographic area than other natural disasters, which tend to be more localized, leading to more extensive business disruptions, Porter noted. Urban areas are especially vulnerable because they tend to trap heat and are highly concentrated in economic activity.

Recent heat waves across the U.S. have led to an estimated 0.6 percentage point loss in gross domestic product, according to a report by the insurance company Allianz.

“While wildfires can destroy a great deal of wealth locally, [they don’t] have as large an effect on GDP,” August Gudmundsson, an economist at global investment research firm Gavekal, said in an email, citing research from the University of California, Los Angeles, Anderson School of Management.

These hotter conditions are upping the ante for work-related disruptions. Workers in outdoor occupations, including construction, manufacturing and agriculture, are particularly at risk, Porter said.

Extreme heat killed 436 workers from 2011 to 2021, an average of 40 deaths a year, federal data shows. Research also suggests that heat-related mortalities are underestimated because death certificates often cite underlying conditions as the cause of death, rather than external factors such as the temperature.

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