民主党借中期选举胜势推动大幅提高最低工资,但经济学家担忧前路暗藏危机


州长表示,他计划在2027年签署的第一项法案将确保劳动者赚取维持生计的薪资

作者:爱尔兰·欧文 福克斯新闻

发布时间:美国东部时间2026年11月14日凌晨5:00

加州某县力争通过美国史上最高的最低工资标准

就业政策研究所研究主任丽贝卡·帕克斯顿就提高最低工资一事向地方官员发出警告,称阿拉米达县正推进美国历史上最高的工资标准。

新 您现在可以收听福克斯新闻的文章了!

收听本文
8分钟

民主党在中期选举获胜后正推动大幅提高最低工资标准,但经济学家警告,这些提案可能会给小企业和缺乏经验的劳动者带来意想不到的后果。

宾夕法尼亚州州长乔希·夏皮罗承诺将把该州7.25美元的最低工资提高一倍以上,而伊利诺伊州州长JB·普里茨克则呼吁提高联邦最低工资,民主党正将可负担性作为其执政议程的核心部分。

这项重新发起的推动正值西雅图——该国最低工资最高的城市之一——面临商业成本上升和就业机会的担忧,引发了关于提高工资标准利弊的质疑。

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

“我们将把宾夕法尼亚州的最低工资提高一倍以上,”夏皮罗本月在X平台发帖称。“将堕胎权写入州宪法。为公共交通提供资金。建造更多住房。这些都是宾夕法尼亚人希望完成的合理事情。”

美国曾预料到蓝色浪潮,但严重低估了民主党浪潮的规模

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/pennsylvania-governor-josh-shapiro.jpg

宾夕法尼亚州州长乔希·夏皮罗于2026年1月8日星期四在宾夕法尼亚州费城举行的连任竞选启动活动上发言。(雷切尔·维斯纽斯基/彭博社/Getty Images)

“凭借民主党掌控的州议会,我们将兑现所有承诺,”他补充道。

夏皮罗的提案将把宾夕法尼亚州的最低工资从7.25美元提高到每小时15美元,涨幅约为107%,这引发了人们对小企业将如何消化额外劳动力成本的疑问。

美国经济研究所经济学家汤姆·萨维奇在接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时警告,大幅提高工资可能会迫使小企业提高价格、减少员工工时或削减招聘。

“联邦最低工资上涨将加剧可负担性危机,”萨维茨对福克斯新闻数字频道表示。“一刀切的标准忽视了各地工资和商业成本的差异。这可能导致物价上涨、工时减少、就业岗位减少,尤其是对缺乏经验的劳动者而言。政客可以强制提高工资,但无法强制企业有能力支付这笔薪资。”

“雇佣最低工资劳动者的小企业无法在其他方面不做调整的情况下承受如此大幅的加薪,”他补充道。“一些企业可能会提高价格、缩短工时或停止招聘。对于找不到工作的劳动者来说,更高的最低工资几乎没有意义。”

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

这场辩论发生之际,民主党正试图兑现让生活更可负担的竞选承诺,即便在最低工资较高的城市的企业报告称财务压力不断增大也是如此。

西雅图目前的最低工资为每小时21.30美元,将于明年1月升至22.14美元,这为围绕此类政策的经济问题提供了一个实例。尽管支持者声称提高最低工资将成为劳动者的福音,但西雅图的一些企业主此前已提出面临额外成本负担的担忧,KOMO新闻在2025年12月报道。

劳动力成本上升是西雅图餐馆老板关闭门店的财务压力来源之一,此外还有食品价格上涨、顾客需求下降和其他运营成本,福克斯新闻数字频道此前报道。

《Intentionalist》1月的一项调查发现,西雅图及华盛顿周边社区136家独立小企业中,67%的企业报告称面临比疫情期间更大的财务压力,受访者指出原因包括劳动力成本上涨、租金、保险和顾客需求疲软。

2022年发表在《美国经济杂志:经济政策》上的一项研究发现,西雅图2015年和2016年的最低工资提高提升了资历较深员工的工资,但减少了工时,尤其是缺乏经验的员工,并限制了低收入求职者的机会。

然而,加州大学伯克利分校研究人员2017年的另一项研究发现,西雅图早期的最低工资提高提高了餐饮业的工资,同时餐馆就业没有出现具有统计学意义的下降。

萨维奇接着表示,大幅提高最低工资往往有利于大公司而不利于普通小企业。

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

“更高的最低工资可以让大公司优于小企业,”他解释道。“大公司可以将更高的劳动力成本分摊到更多销售额上,投资于自动化,或将业务转移。小企业则没有那么多选择。”

福克斯新闻选民调查:民主党如何掌控参议院

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/josh-shapiro-nh-delegation-breakfast-august-21-2024-chicago-illinois.jpg

宾夕法尼亚州州长乔希·夏皮罗在民主党全国代表大会上,于2024年8月21日在伊利诺伊州芝加哥的代表团早餐会上与来自新罕布什尔州的活动人士交谈。(保罗·斯坦豪瑟/福克斯新闻)

尽管存在潜在经济后果的担忧,夏皮罗仍将提高宾夕法尼亚州的最低工资作为民主党赢得州议会参众两院控制权后的首要任务之一。

“宾夕法尼亚州有50万名劳动者目前时薪不足15美元——2026年,这根本无法维持生计,”夏皮罗表示。“现在,我们终于能够改变这一现状。今年1月,我将凭借新的民主党多数派签署的第一项法案就是提高我们的最低工资——确保宾夕法尼亚州的每一位劳动者都能获得维持生计的薪资。这早已是迫切需要的。”

他发表上述言论之前,民主党在2026年中期选举中掌控哈里斯堡州议会,成功翻转了宾夕法尼亚州参议院的控制权。

时薪25美元?主要城市正推动大幅提高工资,劳工活动人士寻求联邦标准

当被寻求置评时,夏皮罗的办公室指引福克斯新闻数字频道查看州长在周日发布的与前CNN主持人唐·莱蒙的采访中关于提高最低工资的言论。

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

“你们的一些观众和听众会觉得这太疯狂,但首要任务将是把最低工资提高到每小时15美元,而你们的听众会问:‘每小时15美元是什么意思?’”夏皮罗在采访中表示。“每个人都拿着每小时15美元。但宾夕法尼亚州不一样。我们数十年来一直卡在每小时7.25美元,对吧?因为州参议院的共和党人,每次我们把法案提交过去,他们都会阻挠。”

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/illinois-gov.-jb-pritzker.jpg

伊利诺伊州州长JB·普里茨克于2025年2月28日在UI Health Mile Square健康中心的新闻发布会上发言。(艾琳·T·梅斯勒/《芝加哥论坛报》/论坛新闻服务/Getty Images)

提高最低工资的势头不仅限于宾夕法尼亚州。

伊利诺伊州州长JB·普里茨克曾在2019年签署法案,将该州最低工资逐步提高至每小时15美元,他现在呼吁国会提高联邦最低工资,作为其选举后经济议程的一部分。

“美国民众表达了他们的声音,这是国会立即解决劳动者面临的挑战的机会——提高工资、降低成本、根除腐败,”普里茨克在一份声明中表示。“伊利诺伊州的民众等不起。”

得到AOC支持的25美元最低工资计划听起来不错——但代价是什么?

萨维奇告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,普里茨克和夏皮罗的最低工资提案“可能会让大公司获得竞争优势,同时挤压较小的竞争对手”。

批评人士质疑提高工资标准是否会转化为更好的整体经济结果,尤其是对缺乏工作经验的劳动者而言。

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

伊利诺伊州政策研究所政策研究员亚当·戈恰卡警告,雇主可能会因劳动力成本上升而减少工时、限制招聘或提高价格。

“强制提高工资并不能立即保证劳动者能拿到更多钱,”戈恰卡补充道。“雇主通常会通过缩短工时、放慢招聘或提高价格来应对这些政策。这可能会帮助部分劳动者,同时也让入门级或年轻劳动者更难获得工作。”

戈恰卡还质疑伊利诺伊州的最低工资提高是否带来了更广泛的就业增长,他指出该州疫情复苏缓慢是其经济疲软的证据。

“在伊利诺伊州,州长JB·普里茨克在2019年通过了最低工资提高法案,将该州最低工资逐步提高到2025年的每小时15美元,”他表示。“虽然他在竞选时称这是‘正确的事’,但该州劳动者并没有更强劲的劳动力市场。事实上,伊利诺伊州是疫情后复苏最慢的州之一。”

普里茨克的办公室周二未回应福克斯新闻数字频道的置评请求。

点击此处下载福克斯新闻应用

推动这项工作也成为国会民主党的优先事项。

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

众议院民主党领袖、纽约州民主党众议员哈基姆·杰弗里斯周一表示,联邦最低工资需要提高,他计划与国会参众两院的议员讨论这一问题。

“我期待不仅与众议院民主党党团的成员,也与参议院的成员进行对话,看看能实现什么,”杰弗里斯表示。“最低工资已经20年没有提高了,目前时薪7.25美元,这是一种耻辱,它肯定需要提高。”

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6405508459112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

Democrats seize on midterm wins to push massive minimum wage hikes, but economists see trouble ahead

The governor says the first bill he plans to sign in 2027 will ensure workers earn a livable wage

By Ireland Owens Fox News

Published November 14, 2026 5:00am EST

California county aims to pass the highest minimum wage in the country ever

Research Director at the Employment Policies Institute, Rebekah Paxton, warns local officials about raising the minimum wage as Alameda County advances highest mandate in U.S. history.

NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!

Listen to this article

8 min

Democrats are pushing major minimum-wage increases after their midterm victories, but economists warn the proposals could come with unintended consequences for small businesses and inexperienced workers.

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro is pledging to more than double his state’s $7.25 minimum wage, while Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker is calling for a federal increase as Democrats make affordability a central part of their governing agenda.

The renewed push comes as Seattle, which has one of the nation’s highest minimum wages, faces concerns about rising business costs and employment opportunities — raising questions about the tradeoffs of higher wage mandates.

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

“We’re going to more than double Pennsylvania‘s minimum wage,” Shapiro wrote in an X post this month. “Codify abortion rights into our state Constitution. Fund mass transit. Build more housing. These are the commonsense things that Pennsylvanians want done.”

AMERICA SAW THE BLUE WAVE COMING — BUT DRASTICALLY UNDERESTIMATED THE EXTENT OF THE DEM TSUNAMI

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/pennsylvania-governor-josh-shapiro.jpg

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro speaks during a re-election campaign kickoff event in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Thursday, Jan. 8, 2026.(Rachel Wisniewski/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

“And with a Democratic trifecta, we will deliver on all of them,” he continued.

Shapiro’s proposal would raise Pennsylvania’s minimum wage from $7.25 to $15 an hour, an increase of roughly 107%, prompting questions about how small businesses would absorb the additional labor costs.

Tom Savidge, an economist with the American Institute for Economic Research, warned in an interview with Fox News Digital that steep wage increases could force small businesses to raise prices, reduce workers’ hours or cut back on hiring.

“A federal minimum wage hike will worsen the affordability crisis,” Savidge told Fox News Digital. “A one-size-fits-all mandate ignores regional differences in wages and business costs. It risks higher prices, fewer hours, and fewer jobs, especially for inexperienced workers. Politicians can mandate higher wages, but they cannot mandate that businesses can afford to pay them.”

“Small businesses employing minimum-wage workers cannot absorb such a sharp increase without adjusting elsewhere,” he added. “Some may raise prices, cut hours, or stop hiring. A higher minimum wage means little to workers who cannot find a job.”

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

The debate comes as Democrats seek to deliver on campaign promises to make life more affordable, even as businesses in cities with higher minimum wages report growing financial pressures.

Seattle, where the minimum wage is currently $21.30 an hour and will rise to $22.14 in January, offers one example of the economic questions surrounding such policies. While proponents have asserted that minimum wage increases will be a boon to employees, some Seattle business owners have previously raised concerns about facing additional cost burdens, KOMO News reported in December 2025.

Rising labor costs have been among the financial pressures cited by Seattle restaurant owners who have closed locations, alongside higher food prices, declining customer demand and other operating expenses, Fox News Digital previously reported.

A January survey by The Intentionalist found that 67% of 136 independent small businesses surveyed in Seattle and surrounding Washington communities reported greater financial strain than during the pandemic, with respondents pointing to rising labor costs, rent, insurance and weaker customer demand.

A 2022 study published in the American Economic Journal: Economic Policy found that Seattle’s 2015 and 2016 minimum-wage increases boosted pay for longer-tenured workers but reduced hours worked, particularly among less-experienced employees, and limited opportunities for people entering low-wage jobs.

However, a separate 2017 study by University of California, Berkeley researchers found that Seattle’s earlier minimum-wage increases raised wages in the food-service industry without a statistically significant decline in restaurant employment.

Savidge went on to say that steep minimum wage increases often benefit major corporations over Main Street businesses.

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

“Higher minimum wages can favor big corporations over small businesses,” he explained. “Large corporations can spread higher labor costs across more sales, invest in automation, or relocate operations. Small businesses have fewer options.”

FOX NEWS VOTER POLL: HOW DEMOCRATS TOOK CONTROL OF THE SENATE

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/josh-shapiro-nh-delegation-breakfast-august-21-2024-chicago-illinois.jpg

Gov. Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, at the Democratic National Convention, speaks with activists from New Hampshire at a delegation breakfast, on Aug. 21, 2024 in Chicago, Illinois.(Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)

Despite concerns about the potential economic consequences, Shapiro has made raising Pennsylvania’s minimum wage one of his first priorities after Democrats won control of both chambers of the state legislature.

“Half a million workers in Pennsylvania still make less than $15 an hour — you can’t live off of that in 2026,” Shapiro said. “Now, we’re finally able to change that. The very first bill that I will sign into law with our new Democratic majority this January will be to raise our minimum wage — and make sure every Pennsylvania worker has a livable wage. It’s long overdue.”

His comments come after Democrats secured a trifecta in Harrisburg in the 2026 midterms after flipping the Pennsylvania state Senate.

$25 AN HOUR? MAJOR CITIES EYE MASSIVE WAGE HIKES AS LABOR ACTIVISTS SEEK FEDERAL MANDATE

When reached for comment, Shapiro’s office referred Fox News Digital to the governor’s comments on raising the minimum wage during an interview with former CNN host Don Lemon released on Sunday.

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

“Some of your some of your viewers and listeners are going to think it’s crazy, but job number one is going to be raise the minimum wage to 15 bucks an hour, and now your listeners like, ‘What do you mean 15 bucks an hour?’” Shapiro said during the interview. “Everybody’s at 15 bucks an hour. Well, we’re not in Pennsylvania. We’ve been stuck at $7.25 an hour for decades, right? Because the Republicans in the state senate, every time we’ve sent a bill over there, have blocked it.”

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/illinois-gov.-jb-pritzker.jpg

Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker speaks during a press conference at the UI Health Mile Square Health Center on Feb. 28, 2025.(Eileen T. Meslar/Chicago Tribune/Tribune News Service via Getty Images)

The minimum-wage push is also gaining traction beyond Pennsylvania.

Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, who signed legislation in 2019 gradually raising his state’s minimum wage to $15 an hour, is now calling on Congress to increase the federal minimum wage as part of his post-election economic agenda.

“Americans made their voices heard and this is an opportunity for Congress to immediately address the challenges of working people – higher wages, lower costs, rooting out corruption,” Pritzker said in a statement. “The people of Illinois cannot afford to wait.”

AOC-BACKED $25 MINIMUM WAGE PLAN SOUNDS GREAT — BUT AT WHAT COST?

Savidge told Fox News Digital that Pritzker and Shapiro’s minimum wage proposals “risk giving large corporations a competitive advantage while squeezing out smaller competitors.”

Critics question whether higher wage mandates translate into better overall economic outcomes, particularly for workers with little job experience.

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

Adam Gorcyca, a policy researcher at the Illinois Policy Institute, warned that employers may respond to higher labor costs by reducing hours, limiting hiring or raising prices.

“Mandating higher wages doesn’t immediately guarantee workers will take home more money,” Gorcyca added. “Employers often respond to these policies by cutting back hours, slowing hiring or raising prices. It can help select workers, while also making it harder for entry-level or younger workers.”

Gorcyca also questioned whether Illinois’ minimum-wage increases had delivered broader employment gains, pointing to the state’s slow pandemic recovery as evidence of its economic struggles.

“In Illinois, Gov. J.B. Pritzker passed a minimum wage hike in 2019, slowly increasing the state’s minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2025,” he said. “While he has campaigned that it was the ‘right thing to do,’ the state doesn’t have a stronger labor market for workers. In fact, Illinois was one of the slowest to recover from the pandemic.”

Pritzker’s office did not respond to Fox News Digital’s request for comment on Tuesday.

CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

The push is also emerging as a priority for congressional Democrats.

https://news-multimedia-1393112320.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/clear.gif

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., said Monday that the federal minimum wage needs to be raised and that he plans to discuss the issue with members of both chambers of Congress.

“It’s a conversation that I look forward to having with not simply the members of the House Democratic caucus, but with the Senate as well, to see what is possible,” Jeffries said. “It certainly needs to be increased. It’s a disgrace that the minimum wage hasn’t been raised in 20 years and is currently $7.25 per hour.”

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6405508459112

评论

发表回复

您的邮箱地址不会被公开。 必填项已用 * 标注

湘ICP备2026001899号-2