2026-11-09T21:12:08.631Z / CNN
唐纳德·特朗普总统极不可能最终批准为数百万无证移民开通合法身份的通道。
但在共和党经历2026年的惨败选举后，他再次提及此事。而在共和党处境极为不利的关键时刻，这一表态在其基本盘内部引发了一场重大且看似不必要的强烈抵制。
这不过是特朗普在上周激烈的中期选举前后接连做出的一系列离奇政治举动中最新的一起。
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这场内部矛盾始于周日晚间，哥伦比亚广播公司新闻旗下《60分钟》栏目播出的一场采访中，特朗普承认他的驱逐行动“过于严苛”，并在此次选举中让共和党付出了代价。
但这位总统随后更进一步，表示他愿意为数百万无证移民的身份合法化敞开大门。
特朗普将该想法概括为：“把凶手、强奸犯、所有危险分子以及毒贩都赶出去。但对于那些已在这里生活的人——其中有些人已居留10年、15年——我们可以为他们制定相关安排。”
特朗普有时会抛出这类想法，随后又迅速撤回。但到周一，国土安全部部长马克韦恩·马林表示，这并非特朗普的一时兴起。
马林保证“不会有特赦”，且政府的执法方式“不会改变”。不过他表示，特朗普已释放出愿与民主党合作的信号。
“如果我们想推进移民改革，来审视‘童年入境暂缓遣返计划’（DACA），并设法让这些人成为合法永久公民或类似身份，这将由国会决定，”马林说道。他所指的是奥巴马时期推出的童年入境暂缓遣返计划，该计划允许在童年时抵达美国的无证移民留在美国（根据上下文推测，他本想说“合法永久居民”）。
特朗普在周一下午的临时新闻发布会上补充道：“绝无特赦……不会有特赦。有人问会有特赦吗？不会。”
不过，即便马林和特朗普整日坚称这并非“特赦”，这一表态在特朗普基本盘的眼中——以及后续的看法——也绝不会如此。
这场风波已引发了强烈抵制，传统基金会、众议院自由核心小组等多位特朗普盟友均在X平台上发文，强调“绝无特赦”，却未明确指向特朗普的言论。
佛罗里达州共和党籍州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯——近期他已多次公开批评特朗普政府的多项举措和政治策略——提及了自己过往的表态，称驱逐行动不应有任何例外。
密苏里州共和党众议员鲍勃·昂德则更为直接，在回应《60分钟》的采访时发文称“绝不为非法移民提供特赦”。
当白宫快速响应官方账号在X平台宣称特朗普并未提及特赦时，《联邦党人》的一名记者称这是“侮辱”。
还有人指出，这不过是总统又一次公然违抗其基本盘的举动。
特朗普前顾问史蒂夫·科尔特斯表示：“如果特朗普总统与民主党控制的国会达成特赦协议，这将比发动那场愚蠢的伊朗战争更为背叛。”共和党策略师瑞安·吉尔德斯基称，特朗普的“提议会毁掉该党”。
“而现在又要特赦？认真的吗？”播客主持人梅根·凯利说道。
这确实是令政界困惑的局面。
特朗普本可以在大规模驱逐问题上适当退缩，而不必提及合法身份通道。他的基本盘即便不认可，或许也能理解。而且这种有限的退缩至少能针对该党面临的真正重大政治问题。
但特朗普的言论更为令人困惑，因为这一想法极不可能产生任何实际结果。
这并非他首次抛出某种公民身份通道的构想，每次这样做都会在其基本盘引发类似的抵制。
在2016年胜选前后，他都提及要为“童年入境者”（Dreamers）开通合法身份通道：“我们将制定方案，让人们感到满意和自豪。”
2018年1月，他表示将接受为符合DACA资格的移民提供漫长的公民身份通道，因为“这在未来某个时候会发生”。
在2024年胜选后，他再次释放出愿与民主党合作解决“童年入境者”问题的信号。2025年6月，他为移民工人提出了“某种临时居留许可”，显然是因为商界对其驱逐行动影响行业需求表示担忧。
问题在于，如果特朗普真想达成使这些人身份合法化的协议，他或许可以促成此事。近十年前我就曾撰文指出，特朗普对其基本盘的掌控力，可能会让他成为现代总统中唯一能完成此事的人。时至今日，这依然成立。
但此事极不可能发生。为了推动法案通过，特朗普无疑会疏远其基本盘的大部分群体，而如前所述，这部分群体已对他不甚满意。这将是自毁根基的举动。任何政治收益都会以MAGA阵营彻底分裂为代价。
这意味着，在共和党遭遇大规模失利的一周之际，特朗普正为一件极不可能发生、且本无需提及的事，故意激怒他的基本盘。
不过，这也是一位如今似乎想做什么就做什么、想说什么就说什么的总统，他很少顾及这些举动在政治上的影响，以及可能给该党带来的问题。
或许这会成为特朗普真正的重要举措。但如果他最终退缩、迅速抽身，也不要感到惊讶。
Trump ticks off MAGA with bizarre immigration comments
2026-11-09T21:12:08.631Z / CNN
It remains unlikely that President Donald Trump would ever sign off on giving millions of undocumented immigrants a path to legal status.
But after a brutal 2026 election for Republicans, he’s talking about it again. And it’s setting off a major — and seemingly unnecessary — backlash in his base at about the worst possible time for the GOP.
Consider it just the latest in a series of bizarre political moves from Trump both before and after last week’s bruising midterms.
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The internal discord kicked off Sunday night, when CBS News’ “60 Minutes” aired an interview in which Trump acknowledged his deportations had been “too tough” and cost Republicans in the election.
But then the president went a step further, suggesting he’d be open to legalizing the status of millions of undocumented migrants.
Trump summarized the idea as: “Get the killers out, get the rapists out, get all the rough ones out, get the drug dealers out. But let the people that are here — and in some cases here for 10 and 15 years — work a deal for them.”
Trump sometimes floats such things and then quickly backs off them. But by Monday, Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin signaled this wasn’t just Trump freelancing.
Mullin assured there would be “no amnesty” and that the administration’s law enforcement approach “isn’t going to change.” But he said that Trump had signaled a desire to work with Democrats.
“Now, if we want to have an immigration reform to where we can look at DACA and figure out a way that these individuals can become maybe legal permanent citizens or something like this, that’ll be up to Congress,” Mullin said, referring to the Obama-era Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, which allowed undocumented migrants who arrived as children to stay. (It’s likely, given the context, he meant to say “legal permanent residents.”)
Trump added at an impromptu press conference late Monday afternoon: “There’s no amnesty. … There won’t be amnesty. Somebody suggested, will there be amnesty? No.”
But while Mullin and Trump can deny this is “amnesty” all day long, that’s not how it’s playing — or going to play — with Trump’s base.
The flap has set off an extraordinary backlash — with many Trump allies like the Heritage Foundation and the House Freedom Caucus posting on X, “No amnesty,” without specifically pointing to Trump’s comments.
Florida GOP Gov. Ron DeSantis — who has recently stepped forward to criticize a number of the Trump administration’s moves and political strategies — pointed to his own past comments signaling there should be no exceptions to deportations.
Missouri GOP Rep. Bob Onder was more direct, posting, “NO amnesty for illegal aliens” in response to the “60 Minutes” interview.
When the official White House rapid response account on X claimed that Trump wasn’t talking about amnesty, a reporter at the Federalist called it “insulting.”
And others signaled it was just the latest thumb in the eye of the president’s base.
Former Trump adviser Steve Cortes said, “If President Trump struck an amnesty deal with the Democrat-controlled Congress, it would be a bigger betrayal than starting the foolish war in Iran.” GOP strategist Ryan Girdusky said Trump was “proposing an idea that will kill the party.”
“And now amnesty. Seriously?” podcast host Megyn Kelly said.
It is indeed politically perplexing.
Trump could just as easily have signaled a bit of a retreat on mass deportations without going into pathways to legal status. His base wouldn’t have loved it, but it might have understood it. And such a limited retreat would have at least been targeted at the real, big political problem for his party.
But Trump’s comments are even more confusing because it’s very unlikely this idea will ever lead anywhere.
This isn’t the first time he has floated some sort of pathway to citizenship, with each episode prompting a similar backlash from his base.
Both before and after he won the 2016 election, he leaned on a path to legal status for Dreamers: “We’re going to work something out that’s going to make people happy and proud.”
In January 2018, he said he would accept a lengthy path to citizenship for DACA-eligible immigrants because it was “going to happen at some point in the future.”
He signaled an openness on working with Democrats on Dreamers again after his 2024 election. And in June 2025, he floated “some kind of a temporary pass” for migrant workers, apparently because business interests expressed concern about how his deportations impacted industry needs.
The thing is, if Trump wanted to pursue some kind of deal that would legalize these people’s status, he could possibly make it happen. I wrote nearly a decade ago about how Trump’s control over his base could make him the one modern president to get this done. And that remains true.
But it’s in all likelihood not going to happen. In order to push it through, Trump would undoubtedly have to alienate huge chunks of his base which, as noted, already isn’t thrilled with him. It would be self-defeating. Any political gain would come at the expense of the total fracturing of MAGA.
Which means that, a week out from massive GOP losses, Trump is provoking his base over something that in all likelihood isn’t going to happen and that he didn’t need to float.
But this is also a president who seems to do and say what he wants these days, with little concern for how it plays politically and what problems it might create for his party.
Maybe this becomes a really a major initiative of Trump’s. But don’t be surprised if he tucks his tail and runs from it pretty quickly.
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