底特律报道
一波浪潮中浮现的:如此多民主党人胜选,意味着人们对获胜所需做之事的判断都没错,可他们宣称的取胜经验却相互矛盾。
民主党人的范本是一位自信果敢的埃及裔美国医生,他以“全民医保”等宏大承诺参选,胜选演讲中还全程提及密歇根人因向以色列提供加沙战争资金而承受的高开支困境,这算是其中一个范本吗?
另一个范本是性格温和的长老会神学院毕业生,他提及耶稣理念与边境管控立场,在以色列问题上采取折中态度,带领民主党拿下得克萨斯州的州级选举控制权——而此前该州民主党已有32年未能赢下全州公职,这又是一个范本吗?
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还有一个范本来自摇摆州的犹太裔州长,他凭借务实、跨党派合作的政绩,以20个百分点的优势胜选,同时还拿下了4个摇摆州众议院席位,并控制住了州参众两院的多数席位。
宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗周三下午在接受CNN电话采访时表示:“我认为问题不在于左翼、中间派或中间路线,核心是要倾听民众的声音。民众对当下的混乱、残酷与腐败深感厌恶,他们不喜欢被一群自私自利的小人指手画脚——这些人正在掠夺我们的国家,而民众投票让民主党掌权,就是要改变这一切。”
阿卜杜勒-埃利·赛义德、詹姆斯·塔拉利科和夏皮罗均在周二的中期选举中大获全胜,这次选举还创下了此前难以想象的战果:南卡罗来纳州选出了一位民主党参议员,佐治亚州迎来了首位黑女州长,拿下了曾三次投票支持唐纳德·特朗普总统的中西部多个州。
在这种喜悦氛围中,民主党人如今正在讨论如何避免中期选举沦为其他选举那样——政客们的承诺最终落空,以及如何在比所有人预期都更快到来的后特朗普时代找到自身定位,而周二的选举结果让这个时代的到来加速了。
前交通部长、2028年潜在竞选人皮特·布蒂吉格在密歇根州民主党联合造势活动上发言后表示:“人们不仅对共和党所犯的错误怒不可遏,还向需要赢得美国民众信任的民主党人发出了邀请——要通过切实行动,聚焦那些促使民众前往投票站的议题,以此赢得信任。”该活动上,DJ每隔几分钟就会打断音乐,宣布一项重大胜选消息。
布蒂吉格敦促民主党人迅速敲定一套施政纲领。
“我们需要盘点绝大多数美国人(包括所有民主党人、不少共和党人,以及华盛顿的共和党人却激烈反对的那些议题)都达成共识的两大议题,”布蒂吉格列举了提高最低工资、扩大医疗补助和儿童税收抵免、限制政治资金与选区重划的政治改革等内容,“如果我们快速推进——我想到了《众议院法案》第1号、第2号、第3号、第4号,一直到第15号,这会向民众证明民主党重视那些让我们上台的议题,并敢于挑战白宫来阻碍我们的行动。”
特朗普仍有两年任期,而立法应对选民所说的、促使他们投票支持民主党(尤其是如果民主党无法找到与特朗普合作的途径)的低物价问题,目前还无法实现。
马萨诸塞州参议员、进步派议程制定者伊丽莎白·沃伦在竞选最后一天全程为赛义德在该州各地造势拉票,她表示,如果总统愿意,民主党可以与特朗普合作推进相关法案,涉及医疗保健、税收公平和儿童保育等领域。
“有一些值得推动的领域,比如监控定价这类极受欢迎的法案,我们可以将其提交到议会,对共和党人说:要么拿出方案,要么闭嘴。”她说,“要停止这场远在世界另一端的战争,我们掌控着财权。我们无法事事都做,但至少能做很多事,而且我们必须行动起来。”
众议员亚当·格雷表示,他的胜选经验与加州选区重划分开相关:他在2024年以187票的微弱优势赢得首次任期,今年以20个百分点的优势获得连任。他认为,民主党需要吸取的教训,就是不能像过去两年共和党那样执政。在他看来,这意味着要在能源基础设施的许可改革、缩短社会保障办公室的等待时间等具体事务上采取行动,同时通过提高最低工资让民众获得更多收入。
“如果我们找不到切实可行的办法,民众的生活得不到改善或变得更顺畅,”格雷说,“选民最终也会对我们失去耐心。”
夏皮罗在夸耀自己在“全美最难竞选的摇摆州”轻松胜选时指出,如今美国10个人口最多的州中有9个由民主党人担任州长,两年前支持特朗普的多个众议院选区也将由民主党人代表。
“我们现在掌握了主动权,”夏皮罗说,“必须负责任地行使这份权力。”
密歇根州是过去十年选民群体的缩影,该州民主党领袖也不确定这场引发极高关注度的选举意味着什么——赛义德向坚持到凌晨2点的大批人群表示,他将利用自己的席位“彻底重塑我们的政治格局”。
赛义德胜选演讲的核心主题之一,是他作为一名非典型候选人的身份背景:他是一名从医生转行的公共卫生官员,竞选成为参议院历史上首位当选的穆斯林,名字带有极具辨识度的阿拉伯语发音。共和党人(包括一些民主党人)此前认为,他支持“全民医保”这类极左优先事项、在初选中与黑人和犹太选民竞争、与伯尼·桑德斯参议员和亚历山德里娅·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯众议员等知名民主社会主义者结盟,会让他的参议院席位陷入危险。
结果他拿下了7个百分点的胜选,虽略低于密歇根州当选州长乔斯林·本森11个百分点的胜选幅度——本森在胜选演讲后被急忙安排与支持者握手,以便赛义德上台获得更热烈的欢呼。
兰辛居民阿比·斯奎尔斯今年35岁,在投票支持本森、赛义德和当选众议员威尔·劳伦斯后接受了CNN采访。斯奎尔斯表示,她希望民主党把她和其他选民的投票视为一个信号,要求民主党在医疗保健、教育和残疾人辅助技术方面迅速采取行动。
“重要的是要听取这些政策实际影响到的民众的声音,”斯奎尔斯说。
劳伦斯在8月初选中击败了两名更为温和的民主党人,周二在退出民主社会主义者组织后,又以微弱优势击败了寻求连任的共和党众议员汤姆·巴雷特,他在竞选后期试图调整自身立场以吸引中间选民。
在第一长老会教堂地下室投票后接受CNN采访时,劳伦斯表示,尽管他认为胜选是对他拒绝接受企业捐款的认可,但他也将此解读为要求迅速采取具体行动的信号。劳伦斯和赛义德一样,身后跟着一个三人纪录片摄制组。
“**我们可以立即采取行动,遏制总统失控的关税议程,该议程对密歇根的物价上涨影响最大。我们还可以采取行动,扭转对《平价医疗法案》和医疗补助造成的灾难性削减,”劳伦斯告诉CNN。
两年前,埃莉莎·斯洛克姆在密歇根州另一个参议院席位竞选中,以与赛义德相同的共和党对手展开角逐,并以截然不同的竞选策略险胜。斯洛克姆参议员自那以后在全国多地奔走,呼吁民主党人采取更为温和的路线,并以这个论点引发外界对她2028年总统竞选的猜测,但她在选举日拒绝接受采访,不肯谈及对本次选举的看法。
但周一下午,斯洛克姆出现在赛义德在弗林特举行的竞选活动上,坚持称她与即将上任的同事“在重要问题上达成一致”。随后赛义德上台,受到一位最近被裁员的68岁当地居民艾琳·莫斯,以及一位从纽约赶来、身穿巴勒斯坦足球服、肩上搭着 kufiya(巴勒斯坦方巾)的伊朗裔二年级法律学生的热烈欢呼。
左翼倾向的“争取家庭党”全国主任莫里斯·米切尔表示,正因如此,他在选举最后几天全国所有竞选中,都像初选中那样全力支持密歇根州的赛义德。
“**这表明我们正处于一场反建制的民粹主义浪潮中,像阿卜杜勒这样的候选人可以在任何地方胜出。我认为这改变了所有政治格局的计算依据,”米切尔周一在弗林特赛义德竞选活动结束后,在停车场接受CNN采访时说,“工薪阶层民众正在竭尽全力呐喊:‘我们无法在这个国家生活下去,需要立即得到救助!’”
米切尔对此表示乐观,但也发出警告。
“我们可能正处于这个国家发生政治重组的边缘,”他说,但“如果民主党不领导这场民粹主义浪潮,会有一大批右翼民粹主义者乐意接过领导权。”
许多投票支持赛义德的密歇根民众表示,他们被他竞选最后几周反复强调的关于开支和团结的基础理念说服了。
来自法明顿希尔斯的护士塞米拉·谢里夫周一参加了赛义德在通常用作皇家奥克兰农贸市场的大厅举行的竞选活动,她表示,她对工作中接触的老年人或找不到工作的未成年子女所承受的痛苦感到厌倦。
“如果他获胜,至少我们将拥有全民医保,”这位45年前从埃塞俄比亚移民而来的谢里夫告诉CNN,“遭受痛苦的不只是一个族群:黑人、白人、亚裔、犹太人、基督徒,人人都在受苦。”
赛义德胜选演讲的核心主题之一,是他作为一名非典型候选人的身份——尽管他此前曾竞选过州长,在民众对政客失望情绪高涨的当下,这种反政治氛围的气质让他与周二其他胜选者产生共鸣,其中包括在堪萨斯州赢得参议院席位的卫理公会牧师亚当·汉密尔顿、得克萨斯州的特哈诺音乐明星博比·普利多,以及在得克萨斯州和蒙大拿州拿下众议院席位的空降消防员山姆·福斯托格。
对于目前正准备竞选民主党总统提名的长期公职人员来说,要复制这种胜选势头会很困难——而在明年1月,将这些非职业政客整合到立法机构中也并非易事。即将上任的众议院议长哈基姆·杰弗里斯将面临党内民主社会主义者阵营,以及扩大了的温和派“蓝狗联盟”。
但如果民主党想赢得2028年和2032年的总统选举,并且保持他们在众议院和参议院取得的控制权,就必须同时应对这两大挑战。
奥卡西奥-科尔特斯身边的一名人士年初向CNN预测,她可能产生的吸引力和参选意愿“将在未来几个月接受考验:处境艰难的民主党候选人是否会意识到她对竞选有净正面效应?”她最终在少数几场竞选中露面,既和意识形态立场一致的盟友合作,也和弗吉尼亚州的温和派众议员尤金·温德曼等民主党人同台。
一名奥卡西奥-科尔特斯的助手向CNN表示,她确实为艰难选区的竞选工作付出了努力,包括帮助缅因州获胜的参议院候选人特洛伊·杰克逊,但当被问及她是否没有收到更多邀请,或拒绝了一些收到的邀请时,该助手未予回应。
所有这些胜选都意味着,这位众议员以及其他潜在的2028年竞选者——包括布蒂吉格、夏皮罗、前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯,以及多达二十余人——都可以宣称自己对这次中期选举的重大胜利起到了作用。
就连在1994年经历了自身巨大中期选举惨败的比尔·克林顿,上周五也来到图珀洛,为密西西比州参议院席位激烈竞争的斯科特·科洛姆造势,以提升其竞选的热度和合法性。
“有些日子,我几乎认不出我深爱的这个国家了,腐败,自我项目,”他在图珀洛表示,还补充道,“他们按照自己的定义要求制衡,他们拿到了制衡的结果,我们却要为平衡买单。”
周三,克林顿发表了自己的声明,告诫本党不要过于纠结选举结果,而要把周二的选举视为“重建信任的机会和责任”。
“昨天是我们民主制度的伟大一天,”他写道,“如果我们想留住今天的感受,就必须行动起来。”
Detroit—
What comes in a wave: So many Democrats winning means so many people were right about what they needed to do to win, that their claimed lessons directly contradict each other.
Is the model for Democrats the brash Egyptian American doctor who ran on big promises like Medicare for All and talked throughout his victory speech about Michiganders suffering through higher costs because of money sent to Israel for the war in Gaza?
Is it the mild-mannered Presbyterian seminarian who talked about Jesus and also border enforcement — while splitting the difference on Israel — to lead a Democratic takeover of Texas after the party went 32 years without winning a statewide race?
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Is it the Jewish governor of a swing state who talked up a pragmatic, reach-across-the-aisle record and won by 20 points while also carrying four swing House seats and majorities in both chambers of the state legislature?
“I don’t think it’s about left or middle or center – I think this is about listening to people,” Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro told CNN in a phone call on Wednesday afternoon. “They are disgusted about the chaos, the cruelty and the corruption. They do not want to be told what to do by a group of small, selfish men who are plundering our nation — and they put Democrats in charge to change that.”
Abdul El-Sayed, James Talarico and Shapiro are all resounding winners coming out of Tuesday’s midterms, which delivered once-unthinkable results like a Democratic senator from South Carolina, the first Black woman governor in history elected in Georgia, and a sweep of midwestern states that voted three times for President Donald Trump.
Amid the euphoria, Democrats are now debating how to make these midterms different from other elections where politicians’ promises fall short — and how to position themselves for a post-Trump era that may arrive faster than anyone may have thought thanks to Tuesday’s results.
“There’s not just fury at what Republicans have done wrong, but an invitation for Democrats who need to earn the trust of the American people to do so by getting in there and focusing on the things that have motivated people to go to the polls,” said Pete Buttigieg, the former transportation secretary and likely 2028 contender, after speaking at the Michigan Democrats’ joint party, where every few minutes a DJ interrupted the music to call out each big win.
Buttigieg urged Democrats to move quickly on formalizing an agenda.
“It’s taking stock of all of these 2-to-1 issues that most Americans agree on — that all Democrats agree on, that many Republicans agree on, and that Washington Republicans are energetically against,” Buttigieg said, listing raising the minimum wage, expanding Medicaid and the child tax credit, and political reforms limiting money in politics and gerrymandering. “If we do them in a rapid-fire — I’m thinking [bills called] HR 1, 2, 3, 4 all the way to 15 — that will show the Democrats are taking seriously the issues that sent them into office and daring the White House to get in their way.”
Trump is still president for two more years and there’s no way to legislate to the lower prices many voters said drove them to vote for Democrats, especially if they can’t find a way to work with him.
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, the progressive agenda-setter who spent the final day of the campaign enthusiastically stumping for El-Sayed around the state, said that goes up to and including working on bills with Trump, if the president wants.
“There’s a good place to go for healthcare, tax fairness and childcare,” she said. “Some very popular bills, like surveillance pricing — that’s a place that we put it on the floor and say to the Republicans, ‘Put up or shut up.’ Stop the war halfway around the world. We’ve got the power of the purse. We can’t do everything, but damn, we can do a lot, and we better.”
Rep. Adam Gray, who, thanks in part to California redistricting, won his second term by 20 points after winning his first in 2024 by 187 votes, said the lesson for Democrats is in not governing like the Republicans the last two years. To him, that means means action on nitty-gritty items like permit reform on energy infrastructure and cutting wait times at Social Security offices, while getting people more money by raising the minimum wage.
“If we don’t find ideas that work and nobody’s life gets better or easier to navigate,” Gray said, “then voters are going to tire of us too.”
Touting his own resounding win in “the toughest swing state in the entire country,” Shapiro pointed out that now 9 of the 10 largest states will have Democratic governors, and many House districts that went with Trump two years ago will be represented by Democrats too.
“We now have the keys to the car,” Shapiro said, “and we have to drive it responsibly.”
Here in Michigan, a state that is in many ways a microcosm of the electorate the last 10 years, Democratic leaders themselves aren’t sure exactly what to make of a race that generated extreme interest and encouraged El-Sayed to declare to a large crowd that stuck around until 2 a.m. that he was going to use his seat “to transform our politics.”
One of El-Sayed’s running themes through his victory speech is what an unlikely candidate he was — a trained doctor turned public health official, running to become the first Muslim ever elected to the Senate with a very long and undeniably Arabic name. Republicans — and some Democrats — thought he would put the Senate seat in danger with his support of far-left priorities like Medicare for All, his challenges during the primary with Black and Jewish voters, and his alliance with prominent democratic socialists like Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
Instead, he called his shot and hit the 7-point win he predicted beforehand — though less than Michigan Gov.-elect Jocelyn Benson, who won by 11 but also had to be rushed from shaking hands with supporters after her victory speech so that El-Sayed could take the stage to a more raucous reception.
Abby Squires, a 35-year-old Lansing resident, spoke to CNN after voting for Benson, El-Sayed and Rep.-elect Will Lawrence. Squires said she wants Democrats to take her vote and others as calls to move quickly on healthcare, education and assistive technology for the disabled.
“It’s important to hear from the people that these policies are actually affecting,” Squires said.
Lawrence beat out two more moderate Democrats in the August primary then on Tuesday edged out incumbent GOP Rep. Tom Barrett after quitting the Democratic Socialists of America and trying to modulate himself going into November.
In an interview with CNN shortly after voting for himself in the basement of the First Presbyterian Church, Lawrence — who, like El-Sayed, was being trailed by a three-person documentary crew — said that while he saw a victory as a validation of turning away from taking corporate donations, he’s also reading it as a call for fast and concrete moves.
“**We can take action immediately to restrain the president’s out of control tariff agenda, which has caused prices to go up nowhere more than here in Michigan. We can also take action to reverse the disastrous cuts that have been made to the Affordable Care Act, as well as Medicaid,” Lawrence told CNN.
Elissa Slotkin narrowly won Michigan’s other Senate seat two years ago against the same Republican candidate as El-Sayed while running a very different campaign. The senator, who has spent much time since traveling the country telling Democrats they need to pursue a more moderate path — and stoking chatter of a 2028 presidential run on her argument, declined an interview request on Election Day to discuss what she was taking away from this race.
But on Monday afternoon, Slotkin popped into an El-Sayed event in Flint, insisting that she and her now soon-to-be colleague “agree on the important things.” Then El-Sayed took the stage to enthusiastic cheers from both a recently laid-off 68-year-old local named Erin Moss and a second-year law student of Iranian descent who arrived from New York wearing a Palestine soccer jersey and keffiyeh draped around his shoulders.
Maurice Mitchell, the national director for the left-leaning Working Families Party, said that’s why of all the races in the country, he spent the final days of the election pushing for El-Sayed in Michigan, as he had during the primary.
“**What it says is that we are absolutely in a populist anti-establishment moment, and candidates like Abdul can win everywhere. And I think that changes the political calculus for everything,” Mitchell told CNN in the parking lot after El-Sayed’s event Monday in Flint. “Working-class people are screaming, as loud as they can, ‘We cannot afford to live in this country and we need immediate relief!’”
Mitchell said that leaves him hopeful, with a warning.
“We might be on the verge of actually participating in a political realignment in this country,” he said, but “if the Democratic Party doesn’t choose to lead this populist moment, there’s a bunch of right-wing populists who would be more than happy to do that.”
Many of the Michiganders who voted for El-Sayed said they were convinced by his more basic talk of costs and unity that he campaigned on through the final weeks.
Semira Sharif, a nurse from Farmington Hills who came to El-Sayed’s event on Monday in the hall usually used as the Royal Oak farmer’s market, said she’s tired of the pain she hears from the seniors she works with or her teenage children who don’t have jobs.
“If he wins, at least we will have Medicare,” Sharif, who immigrated from Ethiopia 45 years ago, told CNN. “It’s not just one race is hurting. It’s everyone: Black, White, Asian, Jews, Christians.”
One of El-Sayed’s running themes through his victory speech is what an unlikely candidate he was, even though he had previously run for governor. At a moment when feelings of being abandoned by politicians is high, that anti-politician vibe ties him together with lots of other Tuesday winners, from Methodist minister Adam Hamilton who won a Senate seat in Kansas to Tejano music star Bobby Pulido and smokejumper Sam Forstag, who flipped House seats in Texas and Montana.
That will be hard to match for any of the longtime officeholders who are currently gearing up to seek the Democratic presidential nomination — just as mashing a collection of non-politicians into legislating starting in January won’t be easy. Incoming House Speaker Hakeem Jeffries will have a bloc of democratic socialists in his membership but also a newly enlarged Blue Dog Coalition of moderates.
But if Democrats want to win the 2028 and 2032 presidential elections — and if they want to keep the control they won of the House and the Senate — they’ll have to manage both feats.
A person close to Ocasio-Cortez forecast earlier in the year to CNN that her potential appeal and appetite for a presidential campaign would be “put to the test in the coming months: Will Democratic candidates in tough races recognize she is a net positive for their campaign?” She ultimately made a handful of appearances, both with ideological allies and more moderate Democrats like Rep. Eugene Vindman of Virginia.
An Ocasio-Cortez aide argued to CNN that she did campaign in tough races, including for winning Maine Senate candidate Troy Jackson, but did not respond when asked whether she hadn’t gotten more invitations or whether she declined some of those she got.
But all of the wins mean that the congresswoman but also other potential 2028 contenders — from Buttigieg to Shapiro to former Vice President Kamala Harris and as many as two dozen others — can claim a hand in a significant midterms victory.
Even Bill Clinton, who lived through his own massive midterm repudiation in 1994, was in Tupelo last Friday to help stir up enthusiasm and legitimacy for Scott Colom, who’s locked in a tight race for Mississippi’s Senate seat.
“Some days I hardly recognize the country I have loved so much all my life. The corruption, the ego projects,” he said in Tupelo, adding, “they like checks and balances as they define them. They get the checks, and we pay the balance.”
On Wednesday, Clinton wrote his own statement warning his party not to get too caught up with the scoreboard and think of Tuesday as “an opportunity and responsibility to rebuild trust.”
“Yesterday was a great day for our democracy,” he wrote. “If we want to hold on to what we’re feeling today, we need to get to work.”
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