2026年11月4日 美国东部时间凌晨12:25 / CBS新闻
华盛顿报道——CBS新闻预测，在爱荷华州第一国会选区，共和党众议员玛丽安内特·米勒-米克斯在连续三次与克里斯蒂娜·博安南的对决中，连任失败，不敌民主党人克里斯蒂娜·博安南。
大选前数月，外界原本预计这场竞选会十分胶着。随着11月临近，选举预测机构的看法转向，认为民主党将在这场竞选中占据优势。
与众议院共和党领导层结盟的超级政治行动委员会“国会领导基金”在10月中旬暂停了该选区的竞选支出，实际上已经承认败选。特朗普总统在10月底和11月初前往爱荷华州开展竞选活动，但并未前往米勒-米克斯所代表的选区。
近几周来，特朗普的关税政策和伊朗战争对这个以农业为主的州造成打击，推高了化肥和柴油的成本，共和党在爱荷华州的主导地位出现裂痕。米勒-米克斯在今年9月离开华盛顿专注竞选前的最后一次投票中，首次投票限制特朗普进一步打击伊朗的权力。
“我不会投票支持让我们的士兵陷入一场旷日持久的战争，而爱荷华人却要为燃油支付过高的费用，”她说道。
博安南是爱荷华大学法学教授、前州众议员，她的竞选重点聚焦民生负担能力，而这位共和党现任议员则为特朗普的经济议程辩护。
米勒-米克斯自2021年起担任国会议员，2020年她以6票优势赢得选举，成为美国历史上最接近的众议院竞选结果之一。2022年她首次与博安南对决时，以约2万票的更大优势获胜。但在2024年两人的再次对决中，她的领先优势大幅缩小，最终以不到800票的优势赢得第三个国会任期——这是当年最接近的选举结果之一。
2020年和2024年的选举结果因差距过小引发重新计票，直到大选结束数周后才最终确定。
Democrat Christina Bohannan unseats Iowa GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in third matchup
November 4, 2026 / 12:25 AM EST / CBS News
Washington — GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks lost reelection to Democrat Christina Bohannan in Iowa’s 1st Congressional District in their third consecutive rematch, CBS News projected.
The race was expected to be close in the months leading up to the election. As November neared, election forecasters shifted the race in favor of Democrats.
The Congressional Leadership Fund, the super PAC aligned with House GOP leaders, effectively conceded defeat in mid-October when it halted spending in the district. President Trump campaigned in Iowa in late October and early November, but skipped Miller-Meeks’ district.
Cracks in the GOP’s dominance in Iowa widened in recent weeks as Mr. Trump’s tariffs and the Iran war have been detrimental for the agriculture-heavy state, driving up the costs of fertilizer and diesel. In one of their last votes before leaving Washington in September to focus on campaigning, Miller-Meeks voted for the first time to limit Mr. Trump’s ability to further strike Iran.
“I will not vote to keep our soldiers in an open-ended war, with Iowans paying too much at the pump,” she said.
Bohannan, a University of Iowa law professor and former state representative, focused her campaign on affordability, while the Republican incumbent defended Mr. Trump’s economic agenda.
Miller-Meeks has served in Congress since 2021 after winning her 2020 election by six votes, in what was one of the closest House races in U.S. history. She won by a much wider margin — about 20,000 votes — in 2022 when she faced Bohannan for the first time. But her lead narrowed considerably during their 2024 rematch, when Miller-Meeks won her third term in Congress by less than 800 votes — one of the narrowest margins that year.
The results of the 2020 and 2024 races weren’t finalized until weeks after the election, after the close margins led to recounts.
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