哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预测:阿卜杜勒-赛义德赢得2026年密歇根州参议院选举


2026年11月4日 美国东部时间凌晨2:29 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

华盛顿电——哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预测,民主党人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德在密歇根州参议院选举中击败前共和党众议员迈克·罗杰斯,成为美国首位当选参议员的穆斯林,并在此次中期选举最具争议的角逐之一后为民主党保住了该席位。

现年42岁的埃尔-赛义德是密歇根州前卫生官员,曾以左翼政纲参选,成为大湖州(密歇根州别称)及其他地区右翼势力的攻击目标。此前民主党籍参议员加里·彼得斯选择不寻求连任,埃尔-赛义德在民主党初选中击败了一位更为温和的对手,引发外界审视,因为全国层面的民主党人对这位进步派候选人在两次投票支持特朗普总统的州的当选可能性存疑。

选举后期,埃尔-赛义德因反对美国对以色列的支持以及其进步主义政纲,在犹太裔和黑人选民中的吸引力受到质疑。与此同时,包括特朗普总统和得克萨斯州参议员特德·克鲁兹在内的共和党高层将埃尔-赛义德称为“圣战分子”和穆斯林兄弟会成员,并暗示选他甚至可能给美国人带来致命危险。

克鲁兹在选举日前几天表示:“如果我没看错的话,他是穆斯林兄弟会的狂热支持者,那么美国人因此丧命的风险是真实存在的。”

特朗普则援引“9·11”恐怖袭击和93号航班事件,敦促密歇根州选民反对埃尔-赛义德,称:“25年后的今天,密歇根州需要挺身而出、奋起抗争,就像托德·比默那样,阻止一个圣战分子走进国会大厦。”

埃尔-赛义德在接受福克斯新闻采访时表示:“我从未加入过穆斯林兄弟会,将来也永远不会加入。”

选举前几日,他与前初选对手、民主党众议员黑利·史蒂文斯的裂痕公开化。史蒂文斯于周日宣布支持罗杰斯。

史蒂文斯此前曾呼吁埃尔-赛义德谴责某外部团体发布的一则广告,该广告将美国对以色列的军事援助与食品价格上涨挂钩,她将这则广告定性为反犹太主义。埃尔-赛义德指出这则广告“并非我制作的”,并表示自己不认同其内容。尽管外界原本预计史蒂文斯会在周日与埃尔-赛义德一同出现在联合造势活动中,该活动还有南卡罗来纳州众议员吉姆·克莱本出席,但埃尔-赛义德在前一天对记者表示:“我不想分散这场竞选核心议题的注意力。”

周日,史蒂文斯在底特律的一座教堂与罗杰斯一同亮相。她在礼拜结束后宣布支持罗杰斯,同时坚称自己并未“背弃民主党”。

“就是这一票,”她说道,“我来告诉你为什么:因为当你看到仇恨——当你看到我们与哈桑·皮克尔站在一起,还反复宣扬仇恨,这是不可接受的。”

埃尔-赛义德的对手是罗杰斯,罗杰斯是一名陆军退伍军人、前联邦调查局特工,此前他在2024年参议院选举中以2万票之差输给了艾莉萨·斯洛特金,此次他再度角逐该席位。

63岁的罗杰斯自称是密歇根州注重常识的领袖,同时批评埃尔-赛义德就他过往的言论、对以色列和伊朗的看法、“9·11”事件,以及与争议主播哈桑·皮克尔的关联。不过,由于共和党人在不受欢迎的对伊战争和高油价背景下面临艰难的政治环境,埃尔-赛义德将罗杰斯描绘成总统的橡皮图章,尽管罗杰斯在选举日前试图与白宫划清界限。

此次预测获胜之际,总统在2024年轻松拿下的多个州接连出现民主党胜出的局面。

Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan 2026 Senate election, CBS News projects

November 4, 2026 / 2:29 AM EST / CBS News

Washington — Democrat Abdul El-Sayed defeated former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race, CBS News projects, becoming the nation’s first Muslim to be elected senator and retaining the seat for Democrats after one of the most contentious contests of the midterm elections.

El-Sayed, 42, is a former Michigan health official who ran on a leftist platform and became a target of the right in the Great Lakes State and beyond. He defeated a more moderate opponent in the Democratic primary, after Democratic Sen. Gary Peters opted not to seek reelection, spurring scrutiny as national Democrats questioned the electability of a progressive candidate in a state that voted for President Trump twice.

Late in the race, El-Sayed’s appeal to Jewish and Black voters was in question over his opposition to U.S. support for Israel and his progressive platform. At the same time, top Republicans, including President Trump and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz called El-Sayed a “jihadist” and member of the Muslim Brotherhood, and implied that electing him could even be deadly to Americans.

“If I am correct that he is a passionate supporter of the Muslim Brotherhood, there is a very real risk that Americans will die as a result,” Cruz said a few days before Election Day.

Mr. Trump invoked the 9/11 terror attacks and Flight 93 in urging Michiganders to oppose El-Sayed, saying, “Twenty-five years later, Michigan needs to stand up and fight, just like Todd Beamer did, to stop a jihadist from walking into the Capitol.”

El-Sayed toldFox News, “I have never been a member of the Muslim Brotherhood, I never will be a member of the Muslim Brotherhood.”

Days before the election, a rift with his former primary opponent, Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens, spilled into public view. Stevens endorsed Rogers on Sunday.

Stevens had called on El-Sayed to condemn an outside group’s ad linking U.S. military aid to Israel to rising grocery prices, which she characterized as antisemitic. El-Sayed noted that the ad “was not made by me” and said he disagrees with its contents. And although Stevens was expected to appear with El-Sayed at a unity event Sunday alongside Rep. Jim Clyburn of South Carolina, El-Sayed told reporters a day earlier, “I would rather not distract from the key issues of this campaign.”

On Sunday, Stevens appeared alongside Rogers at a church in Detroit. She announced her endorsement after the service, where she insisted that she wasn’t “turning her back on Democrats.”

“It is this one vote,” she said. “And I will tell you why: Because when you see hate, when you see us standing with Hasan Piker, and repeated hate, it’s not acceptable.”

El-Sayed faced off against Rogers, an Army veteran and former FBI agent who sought the seat after losing his 2024 Senate bid against Elissa Slotkin by 20,000 votes.

Rogers, 63, billed himself as a common-sense leader for Michigan, while he criticized El-Sayed for his previous comments and views on Israel and Iran, 9/11 and his connection to controversial streamer Hasan Piker. But as Republicans faced a difficult political environment amid the unpopular war in Iran and high gas prices, El-Sayed painted Rogers as a rubber stamp for the president, despite Rogers’ attempts to distance himself from the White House in the leadup to Election Day.

The projected victory comes after a slew of Democratic wins in states the president won comfortably in 2024.

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