2026年11月2日 美国东部时间晚11:10 / CBS新闻
艾奥瓦州苏城——民主党参议院候选人乔什·图雷克与前参议员汤姆·哈金站在艾奥瓦州西部一个小镇的车道上，前参议员掏出手机给这位候选人看某样东西时，图雷克脱口而出：“天哪！”
他俯下身看向哈金的手机，屏幕上显示的似乎是预测市场机构卡尔希（Kalshi）开出的参议院竞选赔率。
数据显示，图雷克以52%对48%的支持率领先共和党候选人阿什利·欣森。但图雷克清楚，与欣森的这场竞选正成为全国最激烈的参议院角逐之一。竞选最后关头，他在现场就提到了这一点。
“这很可能是整个美国参议院竞选中最势均力敌的选举，”图雷克在艾奥瓦州勒马的拉票启动活动上，面对一小群支持者说道。
他将艾奥瓦州的竞选塑造成实现“代际变革”的契机。近年该州立场向右偏移，不再是传统的摇摆州，今年却有望推举出一位民主党州长，拿下少数几个众议院席位，同时夺回因共和党参议员乔尼·恩斯特退休而空出的关键参议院席位。
身为州议员的图雷克将自己比作哈金，称他是“务实的草原民粹主义者”。而且图雷克并不避讳民主党同僚可能认为过于冒进的举动，比如与特朗普总统合作。
“我会如何与他共事？就像我在艾奥瓦州议会一直做的那样，”图雷克周一在竞选活动中接受CBS新闻采访时表示，“我不认为任何政党垄断了好的想法。我也曾公开说，我赞同特朗普总统的观点：我们应该取消小费税、加班费税、社保税，还要把私募股权从住房市场中剥离出去，比如就是这样。”
图雷克称，在“很多这类问题上”，他看到了达成共识的机会。
被问及总统周日前往艾奥瓦州参加集会一事（这是他几周内第二次到访“鹰眼州”），图雷克表示，“我觉得他来这里是件好事”，因为“我认为他并不清楚”艾奥瓦州民众面临的挑战。
“我认为他有必要亲眼看看，医保削减对一个同时面临医疗危机和癌症危机的州造成了怎样的影响，”他说，“也该让他看看关税和伊朗战争造成了什么后果，因为这两者对艾奥瓦州的伤害超过了其他任何州。”
部分图雷克的支持者表示，他们欣赏他愿意与总统合作的态度。周一早些时候，在艾奥瓦州奥纳瓦的另一场竞选活动上，道格·齐马对这种开放态度赞赏有加。
“我今年76岁，从没见过美国像现在这样分裂，”齐马说，“从没见过家人因为两党这种愚蠢的对立反目成仇，这种情况必须停止。”
在广播节目中，图雷克对艾奥瓦州选民的核心竞选信息围绕着高昂的汽油和柴油价格展开，他将矛头指向对手，称其在对抗总统的关税政策和伊朗战争上做得远远不够。他还强调了艾奥瓦州居高不下的癌症发病率。
在竞选行程的最后几站之一，这位艾奥瓦州民主党人引用了一位共和党前总统的话作为竞选收尾。
“我的信息与罗纳德·里根1980年初次竞选时的核心观点相似，那就是：‘你比四年前过得更好吗？’你过得更好吗？阿什利·欣森第一次参选至今，艾奥瓦州民众比两年前、四年前还是六年前过得更好吗？”图雷克说道。
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艾奥瓦州民主党参议院候选人乔什·图雷克与前参议员汤姆·哈金。凯亚·哈伯德 摄
欣森方面则向艾奥瓦州选民塑造自己的形象是该州的捍卫者，常以驾驶小型厢式车、准备为艾奥瓦州办实事的母亲身份自居。尽管她在竞选初期就承诺成为总统的“头号盟友”，并与特朗普一同参加竞选，但最近几周她调整了这一立场，承诺在必要时反对特朗普。
更广泛来看，欣森称图雷克在艾奥瓦州过于倾向自由派，并承诺与两党成员合作以取得成果。最近几周，她呼吁“立即、成功地结束”伊朗战争，以压低能源价格，这与总统的立场产生了分歧。
在接受CBS新闻的最新采访中，欣森自称为“艾奥瓦务实保守派”，无论总统是谁，她都“支持艾奥瓦州……”
周一的竞选活动上，图雷克表示，艾奥瓦州民众“正比几乎其他任何州都承受更多痛苦”。他列举了“鹰眼州”面临的一系列困境，包括经济萎缩，以及医疗、癌症和水质危机。他还提到了公立教育体系、濒临止赎的农民、不得人心的关税政策、伊朗战争和高昂的能源价格。
“每一个方面都在朝着错误的方向发展，”他说，“而且有更好的解决方式。”
图雷克曾是残奥会轮椅篮球运动员，因父亲在越战中接触橙剂而患有脊柱裂，他表示自己要成为像他这样经历过经济和健康困境的艾奥瓦民众的斗士。
“华盛顿有很多人出身富裕特权阶层。我觉得很少有人能像我来自艾奥瓦州康瑟尔布拉夫斯这样的地方，”图雷克说，“当你亲身经历过这些，你就会有不同程度的理解、不同程度的同情、不同程度的共情，以及不同程度的斗志。”
这种立场引发了一位选民丹·希克斯的共鸣，他自称无党派人士，但表示支持图雷克，因为他“说话比政客更像普通人”。
与最后一位在艾奥瓦州当选的民主党参议员哈金一同发言时，图雷克指出，艾奥瓦州民众希望有像哈金那样的参议员。哈金代表该州长达三十年，期间多次陪同图雷克参加全州竞选活动，他谈到要回归“美国参议院中更优质的代表”。
这一局面在竞选初期似乎难以想象，但就像2024年以两位数支持率支持特朗普的多个州一样，大选日临近，民主党现在似乎有机会拿下艾奥瓦州。
在号召志愿者上门拉票时，图雷克说，“我们只拥有今天和明天。”
“但如果我们这么做，如果我们在艾奥瓦州赢得这场选举，我们不仅会给艾奥瓦州带来代际变革，”他说，“我们还将改变这个国家。”
Josh Turek pitches “generational change” in tight Senate race as Iowa faces crushing health and affordability issues
November 2, 2026 / 11:10 PM EST / CBS News
Sioux City, Iowa — Democratic Senate hopeful Josh Turek was with former Sen. Tom Harkin in a driveway in a small Western Iowa town when the former senator pulled out his phone to show the candidate something.
“Oh my God,” Turek said as he leaned over to glance at Harkin’s phone, which appeared to show the prediction market Kalshi’s odds for the Senate race.
The odds had Turek up over GOP candidate Ashley Hinson, 52% to 48%. But Turek knows the race against Hinson is making out to be one of the most competitive Senate contests in the country. He said as much there in the final hours of the campaign.
“This may very well be the closest election on the entire U.S. Senate map,” Turek said, surrounded by a small crowd of supporters at the canvass launch in Le Mars, Iowa.
He’s pitching the race in Iowa as an opportunity for a “generational change.” After moving right in recent years, a departure from its former status as a battleground, the state could send a Democrat to the governor’s office this year and flip a handful of House seats — along with a closely watched Senate seat left open by GOP Sen. Joni Ernst’s retirement.
A state lawmaker, Turek likens himself to Harkin, whom he calls a “common-sense prairie populist.” And Turek doesn’t eschew things that others in his party might consider a bridge too far, like working with President Trump.
“How will I work with him? In the exact same way that I’ve done in the Iowa legislature,” Turek told CBS News at the campaign stop Monday. “I don’t believe that any party has a monopoly on good ideas. And I’ve said openly that I agree with President Trump that we should have no tax on tips, overtime, Social Security, and driving private equity out of housing, for example.”
Turek said “on a lot of these issues,” he sees an opportunity to find agreement.
Asked about the president’s visit to Iowa for a rally on Sunday, which marked his second in the Hawkeye State in a matter of weeks, Turek said, “I thought it was good for him to come out here” because “I don’t think he understands” the challenges Iowans face.
“I think it was good to see what healthcare cuts are doing to a state with a healthcare and a cancer crisis,” he said. “That it is good for him to see what has happened with the tariffs and with the war in Iran, because both have hurt Iowa more than any other state.”
Some of Turek’s supporters say they like his willingness to work with the president. At another campaign stop in Onawa, Iowa, earlier Monday, Doug Zima lauded the openness.
“I’m 76 years old, I have never seen the United States so divisive,” Zima said. “I’ve never seen families not get along because of this silly Republican-Democrat division, and it needs to stop.”
On the airwaves, Turek’s closing message to Iowans has centered on high gas and diesel prices, which he has tied to his opponent, whom he argues hasn’t done enough to fight the president on tariffs and the Iran war. He also highlights the state’s high cancer rates.
And on what will be among his final stops on the campaign trail, the Iowa Democrat invoked a Republican former president in his closing pitch.
“My message is a similar message to what Ronald Reagan said when he first ran for office in 1980, and that is, ‘Are you better off than you were four years ago?’ Are you better off? Are Iowans better off than they were two years ago, four years or six years ago when Ashley Hinson first ran?” Turek said.
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Iowa Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek and former Sen. Tom Harkin. Kaia Hubbard
For her part, Hinson has pitched herself to Iowa as a fighter for the state, often speaking of being a minivan-driving mom who is ready to get things done for Iowa. And while she pledged to be the president’s “top ally” early on in the campaign and has campaigned with Mr. Trump, she’s tweaked that message in recent weeks, promising to push back on Mr. Trump when needed.
More broadly, Hinson argues that Turek is too liberal for Iowa, and pledged to work with members of both parties to get results. She has called in recent weeks for the Iran war to come to an “immediate and successful end” in order to bring down energy prices, breaking with the president.
In a recent interview with CBS News, Hinson called herself an “Iowa common-sense conservative” who is “pro-Iowa … no matter who’s the president.”
On the campaign trail Monday, Turek said Iowans “are hurting more than almost any other state.” He rattled off a laundry list of troubles facing the Hawkeye State, pointing to a contracting economy, as well as healthcare, cancer and water quality crises. He cited the public education system, farmers who are going into foreclosure, unpopular tariffs, the war in Iran and high energy prices.
“Every single way it’s going in the wrong direction,” he said. “And there’s a better way to do this.”
Turek, a former Paralympic wheelchair basketball player who grew up with spina bifida that he attributes to his father’s exposure to Agent Orange in Vietnam, said he’s pushing to be a fighter for Iowans like him, who have experienced economic and health-related struggles.
“There’s a lot of people in D.C. that come from wealth and privilege. I don’t think there’s that lot of places like where I come from, Council Bluffs, Iowa,” Turek said. “I think when you’ve experienced that yourself firsthand, you’ll have a different level of understanding, a different level of compassion, a different level of empathy, and a different level of fight.”
The sentiment resonated with one voter, Dan Hicks, who said he’s an independent. But he said he supports Turek because he “actually talks more like me than a politician.”
Speaking alongside Harkin, the last Democrat to be elected to the Senate in Iowa, Turek argued that Iowans want a senator like they had in the Iowa Democrat. Harkin, who represented the state for three decades and has appeared with Turek on campaign stops throughout the state, spoke of returning to “some better representation in the United States Senate.”
It’s a possibility that seemed unthinkable at the start of the cycle. But like a number of states that supported Mr. Trump by double digits in 2024, it now appears on the table for Democrats heading into Election Day.
As he rallied volunteers to knock on doors, Turek said, “We just got today and tomorrow.”
“But if we do this, if we win this election here in Iowa, we will not only make a generational change to the state of Iowa,” he said, “we will change this country.”
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