2026-10-26T04:00:15.523Z / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
据两位美国官员透露，驻中东的美军已做好准备，若总统唐纳德·特朗普下达命令，可在“接到命令后的96小时内”对伊朗发动新的、潜在规模较大的军事行动。
消息人士称，目前该区域已部署足够兵力以实施此次潜在攻击。他们补充道，美国新军事行动的范围可能不止于单纯“修剪草坪”——即打击伊朗的雷达、发射器及其他可快速重建的设施以维持现状，这与特朗普今年早些时候叫停全面战斗行动以来的做法不同。
其中一位官员告诉CNN：“这将是一场大规模行动。”这一观点得到其他熟悉内部军事规划讨论的现任及前美国官员的认同——部分官员表示，特朗普是否会下达行动令只是时间问题，而非是否会下达。他们认为，行动可能在年底前的任何时刻展开，不过最有可能在美国中期选举之后。
目前伊朗军队已更熟悉美军战术，这意味着美军要有效摧毁所有预定目标会更加困难。不过美国中央司令部（CENTCOM）与五角大楼的官员已制定了涵盖伊朗能源基础设施、军事设施及核设施的广泛目标清单。
官员们表示，特朗普尚未敲定中期选举后的行动方案，但他似乎倾向于下令采取重大行动。不过官员们也提醒称，特朗普过去曾看似倾向于某些行动，却在最后一刻退缩。
白宫拒绝置评。
一名五角大楼高级官员在一份声明中告诉CNN：“国防部是一个规划机构，其职责是制定并执行总统下令的军事选项。”
据两位知情消息人士透露，近期美国情报评估显示，伊朗和胡塞武装极为重视美国及以色列可能发动的新一轮袭击。
熟悉近期美国情报评估的消息人士表示，若美以对伊朗发动新军事行动，德黑兰与胡塞武装很可能立即报复，袭击该区域内乃至更远地带的美军人员与设施。
CNN此前报道称，国家情报总监杰伊·克莱顿在10月23日一份未保密的备忘录中向国务卿马可·卢比奥表示，美国情报发现“伊朗大幅加大了针对美国人员的行动力度”，且相关密谋活动“在中东及其他某些国家已进入高级阶段”。
一位熟悉最新美国情报评估的消息人士指出，美国情报官员认为，伊朗与胡塞武装目前不太可能对美国人员或以色列发动先发制人的升级袭击，但如果伊朗首先遭到美军或以军打击，他们定会毫不犹豫地做出回应。
不过，上述消息人士表示，伊朗和胡塞武装构成的区域威胁，也是美国未来几天可能继续悄悄从其中东各地使馆撤离人员的原因之一。
虽然沙特阿拉伯利雅得的美国驻沙特使馆是该区域唯一接到离境命令的美国外交机构，但一名消息人士告诉CNN，其他使馆预计也会收到类似指令，未收到指令的使馆则将在人员限额下缩减规模。
此外，一名美国官员表示，原计划作为下一轮换部署到中东的非必要美军人员已被告知无需前往，这凸显了区域局势即将升级的可能性。
美国中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀海军上将周日访问了霍尔木兹海峡，此时美军正维持对伊朗港口的封锁，并为这条关键水道的航运提供协助。
中央司令部表示，库珀在乘直升机飞越该海峡时“考察了当前的作战环境”，并与清理霍尔木兹海峡伊朗水雷的军人进行了交谈。
库珀在一份新闻稿中称：“我们将继续与海湾地区伙伴及航运业并肩作战。此次访问彰显了我们对霍尔木兹海峡持续航行自由的坚定承诺。”
尽管途经该海峡的油轮数量有所增加，但油价仍居高不下，部分原因是伊朗可能发动袭击的威胁。一名美国官员承认，该海峡的现状长期来看“站不住脚”，若最后一刻未能取得外交突破，特朗普可能会转向军事行动——尽管外界对白宫是否有结束冲突的更广泛战略存在疑问。
据两位美国官员和一名以色列安全消息人士透露，以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡一直推动对伊朗发动新袭击，但美国官员要求他推迟行动，直至特朗普政府准备好在开展联合行动。
这名以色列安全消息人士告诉CNN：“内塔尼亚胡非常希望并试图说服特朗普在选举前对伊朗发动联合袭击，但特朗普未批准。”
这名消息人士补充道，特朗普拒绝的原因之一是以色列国防军参谋长哈勒维告诉美国参谋长联席会议主席丹·凯恩，此举会影响以色列选举并导致选举推迟。
一名熟悉相关情况的消息人士告诉CNN，上一周左右，以色列曾准备对伊朗发动新袭击，还曾游说美国官员支持并配合这些新打击，但美国高级官员——包括特朗普——要求以色列暂缓行动，转而表示两国很快将展开联合行动。
所有消息人士均表示，以色列似乎已推迟近期发动新袭击的计划，但正在为与美国的潜在联合行动做准备——很可能在美国中期选举之后。
这名消息人士补充称，以色列同意推迟针对伊朗的新袭击，部分原因是它需要美国的导弹防御支持。伊朗与胡塞武装可能会对袭击进行报复，而以色列的防御弹药在战争期间已面临短缺。
一份相关报告显示，熟悉近期美国情报评估的消息人士指出，内塔尼亚胡及其盟友除了展示某种“进展”并持续削弱伊朗政权外，仍缺乏明确的战略目标。
内塔尼亚胡本周在以色列国防军（IDF）毕业典礼上发表讲话时表示，他向以色列国防军、摩萨德及其他安全部门下达的指令是“推翻伊朗政权”。
这名消息人士告诉CNN：“计划已准备就绪，等待特朗普批准，可能在中期选举后。”
CNN的凯文·李普塔赫对本报道亦有贡献。
US has plans for major Iran strikes if Trump chooses
2026-10-26T04:00:15.523Z / CNN
US forces in the Middle East are prepared to launch new, potentially major, military operations against Iran “within 96 hours of receiving” an order from President Donald Trump, according to two US officials.
Sufficient forces are now deployed in the region to carry out the potential attacks, the sources said. The scope of new US military operations would likely go beyond efforts to simply “mow the lawn” or maintain the status quo by striking radars, launchers and other Iranian assets that can be quickly reconstituted — as has been the case since Trump halted full combat operations earlier this year, the sources added.
“It will be a big effort,” one of the officials told CNN. That view has been echoed by other current and former US officials familiar with internal military planning discussions — some of whom say it is a question of when, not if, Trump will issue a go-order. They believe it could come any time before the end of the year, though most likely after the US midterm elections.
Iranian forces are now more familiar with US tactics, and it would therefore be harder for the American military to effectively destroy all potential intended targets. However, leaders in US Central Command and the Pentagon have been developing a wide-ranging target list, which includes Iranian energy infrastructure, military sites and nuclear facilities.
Officials say that Trump has not made up his mind on what he will do after the midterms but that he appears to be leaning toward ordering major action. But officials also caution that Trump has appeared in the past to lean toward certain actions only to back off at the last moment.
The White House declined to comment.
A senior Pentagon official told CNN in a statement, “The Department is a planning organization, and its job is to develop and execute military options ordered by the President.”
Recent US intelligence assessments indicate Iran and Houthi rebels are taking the possibility of renewed attacks by the US and potentially Israel very seriously, according to two additional sources familiar with the matter.
If the US and Israel launch new military operations against Iran, Tehran and the Houthis would likely retaliate immediately by targeting American personnel and facilities around the region — and potentially beyond, the sources familiar with those recent US intelligence assessments said.
An unclassified October 23 memo from Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton to Secretary of State Marco Rubio says US intelligence has found that “Iran has substantially increased efforts to target US personnel” and plotting efforts “have reached advanced stages in both the Middle East and certain other countries,” CNN previously reported.
US intelligence officials believe Iran and the Houthis are unlikely to carry out preemptive escalatory attacks against American personnel or Israel at this point but would not hesitate to respond if Iran is targeted first by US or Israeli forces, one of the sources familiar with the latest American intelligence assessments noted.
But the regional threat posed by Iran and the Houthis is one reason why the US is expected to continue quietly pulling personnel from its embassies across the Middle East in the coming days, the source said.
While the US Embassy in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, is the only American diplomatic facility in the region under ordered departure, one of the sources told CNN that others are expected to receive similar directives and those that do not will be scaled down under a personnel cap.
Additionally, nonessential US military personnel who were expected to deploy to the Middle East as part of the next troop rotation have been told they are no longer being sent, according to a US official, underscoring the possibility of looming regional escalation.
Adm. Brad Cooper, the CENTCOM commander, visited the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday as the US military maintains its blockade on Iranian ports and assists shipping traffic through the critical waterway.
Cooper “observed the current operational environment” while flying over the strait in a helicopter, CENTCOM said, adding that he met with service members who cleared the waterway of Iranian mines.
“We continue to stand shoulder to shoulder with our Gulf partners and the shipping industry,” Cooper said in a news release. “This visit underscores our strong commitment to continued freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.”
Despite the increase in tankers transiting the strait, oil prices remain high, partly due to the threat of possible Iranian attacks. One US official acknowledged the status quo around the strait is “untenable” for the long term, and barring a last-minute diplomatic breakthrough, is one reason Trump may turn to military action — despite questions about whether the White House has a broader strategy for ending the conflict.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been pushing to carry out new attacks against Iran, but US officials have requested he delay until the Trump administration is ready to conduct joint operations, according to two US officials and an Israeli security source.
“Netanyahu really wanted and tried to convince Trump for a joint attack in Iran before the elections, and Trump did not give a green light,” the Israeli security source told CNN.
One reason Trump declined is because Israel Defense Forces chief of staff Eyal Zamir told US Gen. Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs, that it would harm the elections in Israel and lead to their postponement, the Israeli security source added.
Israel was preparing for the possibility of launching additional attacks against Iran in the last week or so and had been lobbying US officials to support and complement those new strikes, a third source briefed on the matter told CNN. But senior US officials — including Trump — told Israel to hold off, instead signaling the two countries would launch joint operations soon.
Israel appears to have delayed plans in the immediate term for additional strikes but is building up for potential joint operations with the US — likely after the American midterm elections, all of the sources said.
Israel seemed to agree to delaying new strikes on Iran in part because it needs US support for missile defense, the source briefed on the matter added. Iran and the Houthis would likely retaliate against an attack and Israel’s defensive munitions have been strained during the war.
Recent US intelligence assessments indicate that Netanyahu and his allies still lack a clear strategic objective beyond demonstrating some sort of “progress” and continuing to degrade the Iranian regime, one of the sources familiar with the reports added.
Netanyahu said this week in a speech at an IDF graduation ceremony that his directive to the IDF, the Mossad and other security branches is to topple the regime in Iran.
“The plans are ready, waiting for Trump’s approval, could be after the midterms,” the same source told CNN.
CNN’s Kevin Liptak contributed to this report.
发表回复