2026-10-18T10:12:14-0400 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻（CBS News）
记者：南希·科德斯 白宫首席通讯员
南希·科德斯是哥伦比亚广播公司新闻驻华盛顿特区的白宫首席通讯员。她的报道曾斩获众多奖项，包括多座艾美奖、爱德华·R·默罗奖以及阿尔弗雷德·I·杜邦-哥伦比亚大学奖。
2026年10月18日 / 美国东部时间上午10:12 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
在美国大部分地区，秋季都是竞选季。但在密歇根州，这同时也是苹果酒季。富兰克林苹果酒厂是底特律郊区的标志性场所，这里出产热甜甜圈和冰镇苹果冰沙。在品尝美食的间隙，我们采访了游客，了解他们在选举前三周对自身经济状况的看法。
“老实说，我觉得大多数人都在苦苦挣扎，”一名女性说道。另一名男性则表示：“我现在对经济状况感觉不太好。”
高中校长杰弗里·鲁宾逊说得直截了当：“糟透了，”他说，“我们那些拼车的家长都发现，连给汽车加油都快困难了。”
如果说人们对经济的悲观情绪格外明显，乔安妮·许有数据为证。她负责运营密歇根大学全美历史最悠久的消费者信心调查项目，该项目始于1946年。她表示，自伊朗冲突爆发以来，“我们看到消费者信心整体出现了大幅下滑，各行各业皆是如此。”
事实上，乔安妮·许指出，消费者信心已降至现代史上几乎最低的水平——包括20世纪70年代中期的滞胀时期、2008年的金融危机，以及拜登政府时期新冠疫情后的物价飙升阶段。
“民主党、无党派人士和共和党这三个群体，对本届政府经济状况的评价都比特朗普首届政府时期更差，”乔安妮·许说道。
她还表示，尽管股市表现良好、工资有所上涨，但人们仍对经济感到不满。“工资涨幅跟不上通胀是关键所在，”乔安妮·许说，“因此，人们觉得自己无法实现经济跃升。预计工资增速将超过通胀的消费者比例，从一年半前的18%降至今年9月的仅11%。这是一个巨大的降幅。”
乔安妮·许表示，两年前特朗普连任成功时，消费者信心曾一度上升。但这位总统未能兑现他的一项关键竞选承诺——就在选举前几周，他还在密歇根州做出了这一承诺。“我的首要任务之一将是迅速击败通胀，让美国重新负担得起，”特朗普在2024年说道，“这一切都会很快实现。这将迅速推动物价下跌、降低利率，让美国消费者的钱包更鼓。这还将大幅降低你的食品杂货开支。”
但据美国劳工统计局数据，过去两年食品杂货价格上涨了4%以上；美国汽车协会（AAA）数据显示，汽油价格上涨了35%；房地美数据预测，30年期固定抵押贷款利率将在明年维持在7%以上。
哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
“普通民众正在付出代价”
房地产经纪人迈克尔·佩尔纳告诉我们：“如果我们先看到利率以8开头，而不是以6开头，我不会感到意外。”
在密歇根州北维尔市，一套通常只需一周就能售出的房子，已经挂盘超过一个月了。佩尔纳表示，这套房子的定价略高于当前买家的承受能力：“最初的抵押贷款利率约为6.5%，现在已经涨到7.5%，买家的购房预算减少了5万美元，所以我们的定价还是有点高。”
他表示，即使对收入稳定的购房者来说，每一次加息都意味着他们只能选择更便宜的房子——这让人们对经济的态度变得非常糟糕。“没错，很多人，包括我自己，对经济状况都很不满！”佩尔纳说道。
那么，情绪低落的消费者会变成愤怒的选民吗？在富兰克林苹果酒厂，一些人持乐观态度，但并非所有人都如此。一名女性批评了特朗普总统的关税政策：“这抬高了我们所有人的物价，日子不好过，”但她认为从长期来看，这些关税对于为美国带回更多制造业就业岗位是必要的。
一名男性表示，这届特朗普政府治下的经济并非他所预期的那样：“他向我们做出了承诺，但我认为他没有兑现。”
高中校长杰弗里·鲁宾逊说：“普通民众正在付出代价。我不指望拿到5000美元的补贴，因为我知道那不会到来。但我不知道经济和普通人还能撑过当前的困境多久。”
本文由马克·哈德史密思制作。编辑：杰森·施密特。
In Michigan, consumer sentiment is pessimistic before midterms
2026-10-18T10:12:14-0400 / CBS News
By
Nancy Cordes Chief White House Correspondent
Nancy Cordes is CBS News’ chief White House correspondent based in Washington, D.C. Cordes has won numerous awards for her reporting, including multiple Emmys, Edward R. Murrow awards, and an Alfred I. duPont-Columbia University Award.
Read Full Bio
October 18, 2026 / 10:12 AM EDT / CBS News
In most of the country, autumn is campaign season. But in Michigan it is also cider season. The Franklin Cider Mill is an institution in suburban Detroit that churns out hot donuts and ice-cold cider slushies. Between bites, we asked visitors to assess the state of their wallets three weeks before Election Day.
“I would say most are struggling, if I’m being honest,” one woman said. Another man offered, “I don’t feel great about the economy right now.”
Jeffrey Robinson, a high school principal, put it succinctly: “It sucks,” he said. “We have parents that carpool that are finding it hard to keep gas in the car.”
If it seems like people are feeling especially gloomy about the economy, Joanne Hsu has the proof. She runs the nation’s longest-running consumer sentiment survey at the University of Michigan. It dates back to 1946. She says that, since the start of the Iran conflict, “We’ve been seeing quite a bit of decline in consumer sentiment across the board, across all walks of life.”
In fact, Hsu says, consumer sentiment is lower than almost any other time in modern history – including the stagflation era in the mid-1970s; the financial crisis in 2008; and the post-COVID price spikes under the Biden administration.
“Democrats, Independents and Republicans, all three groups, feel worse about the economy in this administration than they did in the first Trump administration,” said Hsu.
And, she said, people are feeling bad about the economy despite the stock market doing well and rising wages. “The wages not keeping up with inflation is the key point there,” Hsu said. “So, people don’t feel like they’re able to get ahead. The share of consumers who are expecting their wages to grow faster than inflation fell from 18% just a year-and-a-half ago, to only 11% in September. That’s a huge drop.”
Hsu says consumer sentiment initially went up when Mr. Trump was reelected two years ago. But the president has failed to deliver on one of his key campaign promises, one he made right here in Michigan just a few weeks before Election Day. “One of my top priorities will be to quickly defeat inflation and make America affordable again,” Mr. Trump said in 2024. “It’ll all happen very quickly. This will rapidly drive prices down, lower interest rates, and put more money into the pockets of American consumers. It’ll also bring your grocery bill way down.”
Instead, grocery prices rose by more than four percent in the past two years, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics; gas prices are up 35 percent, according to AAA; and 30-year fixed mortgage rates are projected to stay above seven percent through next year, according to Freddie Mac.
CBS News
“The average public is paying a price”
Real estate agent Michael Perna told us, “It would not surprise me if we saw a rate that starts with an 8 before we see a rate that starts with a 6.”
In Northville, Mich., a house that normally would have been on the market for just a week has been for sale for more than a month. Perna says the house is priced a little over what buyers can afford right now: “Originally the mortgage rates were about 6.5 percent, and now they’re at 7.5 percent, and buyers can afford $50,000 less, [so] we’re a little over.”
He says, even for homebuyers with a stable income, every rate hike means they have to settle for less – which makes for a pretty bad attitude about this economy. “Absolutely, a lot of people, myself included, have a bad attitude about this economy!” Perna said.
This house in Northville, Mich., priced at under $500,000, has been on the market for more than a month. CBS News
So, will sour consumers make for angry voters? Back at the Franklin Cider Mill, some are optimistic, but not all. One woman criticized President Trump’s tariffs (“It raises all of our prices, so it’s hard”), but thinks in the long term they are needed to bring more manufacturing jobs to the U.S.
One man said this economy is not what he expected under Mr. Trump in his second term: “He promised us, and I don’t think he kept his promise.”
High school principal Jeffrey Robinson said, “The average public is paying a price. I’m not looking for my $5,000 check, because I know that’s not coming. But I don’t know how long the economy and the average person is going to be able to sustain what we’re going through right now.”
Story produced by Mark Hudspeth. Editor: Jason Schmidt.
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