特朗普总统的工作支持率跌至创纪录低点36%
2026年10月14日 美国东部时间下午6:00 / 福克斯新闻
撰稿人：达纳·布伦顿，福克斯新闻
特朗普就俄乌战争、中期选举、直播处决事件回答记者提问
唐纳德·特朗普总统在白宫就俄乌战争向记者发表讲话。特朗普批评乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基，称其本可多次结束这场战争。
NEW 您现在可以收听福克斯新闻的文章！
blob:https://www.foxnews.com/0dcdea41-2b6d-4d7c-9236-46715736cd41
收听本文
10分钟
在选举日前几周，选民就经济和总统给出负面评价时，执政党就会陷入弱势，最新的福克斯新闻民调显示情况确实如此。
经济形势严峻。六成选民认为生活成本是他们最主要的经济担忧，这一比例超过了政府开支（15%）、就业与收入不平等（各7%）、关税（6%）和税收（5%）。
多数选民对经济给出负面评价（74%），并预计明年经济会进一步恶化（53%），三分之二的选民对国家现状感到不满（66%）。仅有18%的选民表示，自己的家庭比两年前更加富裕。独立选民中，52%的人认为自己的处境更糟，70%的人认为经济会变得更差。
FOX NEWS POLL: 孤星州参议院对决塔拉里科与帕克斯顿
由Flourish制作•创建图表
55%的多数选民认为通胀“完全得不到控制”。这一比例较今年早些时候的低点45%有所上升，其中包括30%的共和党选民。
唐纳德·特朗普总统在通胀问题上的支持率最低：仅22%的人认可，创下新低。去年夏天，这一比例为36%。四年前，也就是2022年中期选举前，前总统乔·拜登在通胀问题上的支持率为29%。
民众对特朗普工作表现的不满意度在通胀问题上达到77%，经济问题上为70%，关税问题上为69%，外交政策上为64%。仅有少数但仍占多数的选民不认可他在移民问题上的处理方式（56%的人不认可），而边境安全是唯一一项认可度接近正面的议题（50%的人认可，50%的人不认可）。
特朗普的整体工作支持率为36%，这是他在福克斯新闻历次民调中两届任期内的最低值。自5月以来，该比例一直稳定在39%。支持率下降主要源于45岁以下选民、家庭年收入低于5万美元的选民、非白人选民以及未获得大学学位的选民的支持率下滑。
FOX NEWS POLL: 密歇根州选民在赛义德与罗杰斯之间分歧明显
由Flourish制作•创建图表
共和党选民的支持率降至76%，为历史低点。较上月下降了3个百分点，较2025年9月下降了12个百分点，较其第二任期初期（2025年3月）下降了16个百分点。
和大多数中期选举一样，选民倾向于惩罚执政党：七成选民表示他们投票是为了向特朗普传递信息，表达反对意见的选民（47%）几乎是表示支持的选民（25%）的两倍。
如果今天举行选举，54%的选民表示会支持所在国会选区的民主党候选人，45%的选民会支持共和党候选人。这一差距超出了抽样误差范围，且较上月民主党领先51%-44%的优势进一步扩大。在表示一定会投票的选民中，民主党候选人以52%-46%的优势小幅领先。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
民调显示，自我认同为民主党人的选民（43%）与共和党人（41%）数量大致相当，两党选民的投票确定性也不相上下（分别为62%和64%），但表示对选举“极为感兴趣”的民主党选民（61%）多于共和党选民（52%）。
政党忠诚度稳固：98%的民主党选民支持本党候选人，94%的共和党选民支持本党候选人。独立选民以26个百分点的优势支持民主党。
民主党候选人在有学位的白人、45岁以下选民、女性、工会家庭以及西班牙裔选民中更受欢迎。共和党候选人则在未获得大学学位的白人（尤其是未获得学位的白人男性）、65岁及以上选民、定期参加宗教仪式的选民、退伍军人以及白人福音派基督徒中领先。
尽管2024年大选时有43%的西班牙裔选民支持特朗普，但今年仅有31%的西班牙裔选民更倾向于共和党候选人。
“在这个党派分歧如此严重的国家，叛逃率和投票率的细微差异就能决定一切，”共和党民调专家达伦·肖说道，他与民主党人克里斯·安德森共同负责福克斯新闻民调。“共和党有时间缩小这些明显的差距，但时间已经不多了。”
与此同时，在13项关键议题中，民主党在10项上占据领先优势。
选民最关注的五大议题分别是政府腐败（60%的人极为担忧）、通胀（58%）、汽油价格（50%）、政府领导力（49%）以及医疗保健（48%）。在这些议题上，信任民主党而非共和党的选民比例高出两位数。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
共和党在犯罪问题上领先10个百分点，在边境安全问题上领先8个百分点，而在移民问题上民意几乎持平（共和党领先3个百分点）。选民认为民主党更擅长处理以下议题：医疗保健（民主党领先22个百分点）、通胀（领先16个百分点）、汽油价格（领先12个百分点）、投票权（领先12个百分点）、选举诚信（领先12个百分点）、政府领导力（领先11个百分点）、公立学校教学内容（领先11个百分点）、人工智能（领先10个百分点）、政府腐败（领先10个百分点）以及外交政策（领先9个百分点）。
与四年前相比，共和党在关键议题上的优势有所下滑。当时更多选民信任共和党在边境安全问题上的处理能力（领先21个百分点）、通胀问题（领先13个百分点）以及外交政策（领先9个百分点）。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
其他选民极为担忧的议题包括伊朗战争（42%）、移民（35%）、犯罪（34%）、选民压制（32%）、人工智能技术（32%）、公立学校教学内容（29%）、选民欺诈（28%）以及边境安全（25%）。
尽管政府腐败和通胀是两党选民共同的前两大担忧，但民主党选民中极为担忧这两项议题的比例（分别为72%和70%）远高于共和党选民（分别为47%和49%）。
解释民主党优势的议题甚至算不上单一议题。有14个百分点的更多选民认为，民主党会“为像你这样的普通人而战”。有多数选民认为民主党会为他们而战：有学位的白人选民（53%）、男性选民（52%）、女性选民（60%）以及非白人选民（77%）。未获得大学学位的白人选民则持平，为49%-49%。
尽管民主党在议题上占据优势，但仅有35%的选民认为民主党针对国家问题有清晰的解决方案，同样比例的33%选民认为共和党有清晰方案。这与2025年7月的情况截然相反，当时43%的选民认为共和党有清晰方案，而民主党仅为33%。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
民众对议员们的不满情绪浓厚：国会的支持率仅为15%，不支持率达84%。值得注意的是，这一比例高于2013年10月创下的9%的历史低点。
两党都获得了负面评价。民主党支持率净负16个百分点（42%正面评价，58%负面评价），而共和党支持率净负23个百分点（38%正面评价，61%负面评价）。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
然而，正面评价并未直接转化为选票支持。三分之一支持民主党候选人的选民（31%）并不喜欢民主党，而23%支持共和党候选人的选民并不喜欢共和党。在26%厌恶两党的“双重厌恶”选民中，民主党以62%-36%领先。
两党的极化程度可见一斑：仅有16%的共和党选民认为民主党热爱美国且心系美国，而认为共和党心系美国的民主党选民比例更低，仅为6%。
与四年前相比，认为民主党心系国家的选民比例上升了4个百分点，而认为共和党热爱美国的选民比例下降了6个百分点。
民调杂谈
51%的选民对资本主义持正面看法，而对社会主义持正面看法的选民为32%。与一年前相比，对资本主义的正面评价下降了2个百分点，而对社会主义的正面评价上升了5个百分点。对社会主义持正面看法的选民中，八成支持民主党候选人；而对资本主义持正面看法的选民中，六成支持共和党候选人。
由Flourish制作•创建图表
计划提前投票的选民支持民主党候选人（领先19个百分点），邮寄投票的选民也是如此（民主党领先33个百分点），而亲自投票（提前投票或选举日当天投票）的选民则存在分歧。
六成选民反对美国对伊朗采取军事行动，这些选民以56个百分点的优势支持民主党。
点击此处查看交叉制表数据和 topline 民调结果
有46%的选民认为美国对以色列的支持过度，创下新高，这些选民以42个百分点的优势支持民主党；而40%认为美国对以色列的支持“恰到好处”的选民则以27个百分点的优势支持共和党。
近六成选民对人工智能技术持负面看法，这些选民以27个百分点的优势支持民主党。
本次民调于2026年10月9日至12日开展，由Beacon Research（民主党团队）和Shaw & Company Research（共和党团队）负责指导，该福克斯新闻民调随机从全国选民档案中抽取了1202名登记选民作为样本。受访者通过固定电话（114人）、手机（786人）完成访谈，或在收到短信后在线完成调查（302人）。基于全样本的抽样误差为±2.5个百分点。针对子样本的抽样误差会更大。除抽样误差外，问题措辞和顺序也会影响调查结果。通常会对年龄、种族、教育程度和地区变量进行加权处理，以确保人口结构能够代表登记选民群体。加权目标的制定依据包括最新的美国社区调查、福克斯新闻选民分析以及选民档案数据。
福克斯新闻的维多利亚·巴拉拉为本报道撰稿。
作为民调部门负责人，达纳·布伦顿负责运营福克斯新闻民调，并监督福克斯新闻选民分析选举调查项目。
Fox News Poll: Cost-of-living concerns weigh on GOP in midterms
Approval of President Trump’s job performance hits record low 36%
October 14, 2026 6:00pm EDT / Fox News
By Dana Blanton, Fox News
Trump takes questions from reporters on Russia-Ukraine war, midterms, livestream execution
President Donald Trump addresses reporters at the White House about the Russia-Ukraine war. Trump criticizes Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, saying he could have settled the war many times.
NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!
blob:https://www.foxnews.com/0dcdea41-2b6d-4d7c-9236-46715736cd41
Listen to this article
10 min
When voters rate the economy and the president negatively just weeks before Election Day, the incumbent party is vulnerable, and that’s certainly the case in the latest Fox News survey.
The economic landscape is stark. Six in 10 voters say the cost of living is their top economic worry, overshadowing government spending (15%), jobs and income inequality (7% each), tariffs (6%) and taxes (5%).
Majorities rate the economy negatively (74%) and expect it to worsen next year (53%), while two-thirds are dissatisfied with how things are going in the country (66%). Few, 18%, say their family is better off compared to two years ago. Independents say they’re worse off (52%) and think the economy will get worse (70%).
FOX NEWS POLL: IT’S A LONE STAR SENATE SHOWDOWN BETWEEN TALARICO AND PAXTON
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
A majority of voters, 55%, say inflation is “not at all” under control. That’s up from a low of 45% earlier this year, and includes 30% of Republicans.
President Donald Trump’s lowest job rating is on inflation: 22% approve, a new low. Last summer, 36% approved. Four years ago, before the 2022 midterms, 29% approved of former President Joe Biden’s performance on inflation.
Disapproval of the job Trump is doing has reached 77% on inflation, 70% on the economy, 69% on tariffs and 64% on foreign policy. A smaller share, but still a majority, disapprove of his handling of immigration (56% disapprove), while border security is the only issue that is close to positive (50% approve, 50% disapprove).
Trump’s overall job approval is 36%, his lowest ever in a Fox News survey for either term. It had been holding steady at 39% since May. The decline is mainly driven by decreases among voters under age 45, those with annual household income below $50,000, non-White voters, and those without a college degree.
FOX NEWS POLL: MICHIGAN VOTERS SPLIT BETWEEN EL-SAYED AND ROGERS
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Approval stands at a low of 76% among Republicans. That’s down 3 points since last month, 12 points since September 2025, and 16 points since early in his second term (March 2025).
As in most midterms, voters are prone to punish the party in power: 7 in 10 say they will vote to send a message to Trump, with nearly twice as many expressing opposition (47%) as support (25%).
If the election were today, 54% of voters say they would back the Democratic candidate in their House district and 45% would support the Republican. That is outside the margin of error and is a wider lead than last month when Democrats were ahead by 51%-44%. The race narrows among those saying they are certain to vote, with the Democratic candidate ahead by 52%-46%.
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
The survey finds about the same number self-identify as Democrats (43%) and Republicans (41%), and both parties feel equally certain about voting (62% and 64% respectively), while more Democrats (61%) than Republicans (52%) say they are extremely interested in the election.
Party loyalty is solid: 98% of Democrats support their party’s candidate, and 94% of Republicans back theirs. Independents favor the Democrats by 26 points.
The Democratic candidate is the choice among Whites with a degree, those under age 45, women, union households and Hispanics. The Republican is ahead among Whites without a college degree (White men without a degree in particular), those 65 and over, voters who attend religious services regularly, military veterans and White evangelical Christians.
While 43% of Hispanic voters supported Trump in the 2024 election, just 31% prefer the Republican candidate this year.
“When the country is this closely divided in terms of partisanship, slight differences in defection and turnout rates can make all the difference,” said Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who helps conduct the Fox News Poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. “Republicans have time to close these apparent gaps, but it’s getting late.”
Meanwhile, Democrats lead on 10 out of 13 issue concerns.
The top five voter concerns are government corruption (60% extremely concerned), inflation (58%), gas prices (50%), government leadership (49%), and healthcare (48%). And double digits more trust the Democrats than the Republicans to handle each of those.
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Republicans retain the advantage on crime (by 10 points) and border security (R+8), while views are closely divided on immigration (R+3). The Democrats are seen as better on healthcare (D+22), inflation (D+16), gas prices (D+12), voting rights (D+12), election integrity (D+12), government leadership (D+11), what’s taught in public schools (D+11), artificial intelligence (D+10), government corruption (D+10) and foreign policy (D+9).
Republicans have lost ground on key issues compared to four years ago, when more voters trusted them by 21 points on border security, 13 points on inflation and 9 points on foreign policy.
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Other issues that voters are extremely concerned about are the Iran war (42%), immigration (35%), crime (34%), voter suppression (32%), AI technology (32%), what’s taught in public schools (29%), voter fraud (28%) and border security (25%).
While corruption in government and inflation are the top two worries about both parties, far more Democrats (72% and 70%) than Republicans (47% and 49%) are extremely concerned.
The issue that helps explain the Democrats’ advantage isn’t an issue at all. By a 14-point margin, more voters think the Democrats will do a better job “fighting for people like you.” Majorities of White voters with a college degree (53%), men (52%), women (60%) and non-White voters (77%) think Democrats will fight for them. Whites without a college degree are split 49-49%.
Despite their issue advantage, just 35% say Democrats have a clear plan for dealing with the country’s problems, and 33% say the same about the Republicans. That reverses the Republican advantage from July 2025, when 43% said the Republicans had a clear plan compared with 33% for the Democrats.
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
There’s deep dissatisfaction with lawmakers: 15% approve of Congress, while 84% disapprove. Remarkably, that’s above the low of 9% approval in October 2013.
Both parties are viewed negatively. The Democratic Party is underwater by 16 points (42% favorable, 58% unfavorable), while ratings of the GOP are net negative by 23 points (38% favorable, 61% unfavorable).
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Yet, favorable ratings fail to translate directly into vote choice. One third of those backing the Democratic candidate (31%) dislike the party, while 23% of those supporting the Republican dislike the GOP. Among the 26% who dislike both parties (double haters), Democrats lead 62%-36%.
Here’s how polarized the parties are: Just 16% of Republicans say that Democrats love America and want what’s best for the U.S., and even fewer Democrats, 6%, think Republicans do.
Compared to four years ago, the number of voters saying Democrats want what’s best for the country is up four points, while fewer say Republicans love the country now by 6 points.
Poll-pourri
Fifty-one percent of voters have a favorable view of capitalism compared with 32% for socialism. Compared to a year ago, positive ratings of capitalism are down 2 points while they are up 5 points for socialism. Eight in ten of those with a positive view of socialism support the Democratic candidate, while 6 in 10 of those viewing capitalism favorably back the Republican.
Made with Flourish•Create a chart
Voters who plan to cast their ballots early favor the Democratic candidate (by 19 points) as do mail voters (D+33), while the candidate choice splits among those voting in person (early or on Election Day).
Six in 10 oppose U.S. military action against Iran, and they back the Democrats by 56 points.
CLICK HERE FOR CROSSTABS AND TOPLINE
A new high of 46% think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, and those voters favor the Democratic candidate by 42 points, while the 4 in 10 who think U.S. support of Israel is about right pick the Republican by 27 points.
Nearly 6 in 10 have a negative view of artificial intelligence technology, and they back the Democratic candidate by 27 points.
Conducted Oct. 9-12, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,202 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (114) and cellphones (786) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (302). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±2.5 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling errors, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis and voter file data.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
As head of the polling unit, Dana Blanton runs the Fox News Poll and oversees the Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.
发表回复