2026年10月14日 美国东部时间下午3:20 / 福克斯新闻
福克斯新闻调整共和党势力排名：最新民调显示塔福亚仅落后4个百分点
作者：保罗·施泰因豪泽 福克斯新闻
明尼苏达州对决：米歇尔·塔福亚称佩吉·弗拉纳根该被“解雇”而非晋升
明尼苏达州共和党联邦参议员候选人米歇尔·塔福亚在接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时，抨击民主党对手佩吉·弗拉纳根的政绩；并表示选民因欺诈丑闻感到“愤怒”
共和党正瞄准明尼苏达州难得的联邦参议员席位翻盘机会，该州共和党候选人米歇尔·塔福亚正在缩小与民主党副州长佩吉·弗拉纳根的差距，促使福克斯新闻在选举日不到三周前将该选区评级调整为偏向共和党。
明尼苏达州上一次共和党赢得联邦参议员选举已是近25年前的事。但曾长期担任美国国家橄榄球联盟场边记者的塔福亚正力争打破连败纪录，拿下即将退休的民主党参议员蒂娜·史密斯空出的席位。
明尼苏达《明星论坛报》/KARE 11电视台最新民调显示，塔福亚仅落后弗拉纳根四个百分点。周二，福克斯新闻势力排名将该选区评级从“民主党大概率胜出”调整为“民主党小幅领先”。
共和党联邦参议员候选人挫败恐怖袭击阴谋后敲响警钟
2026年5月29日周六，米歇尔·塔福亚在明尼苏达州德卢斯市德卢斯娱乐会议中心举行的明尼苏达州共和党州代表大会上，以共和党联邦参议员候选人身份发表演讲。（《明星论坛报》/盖蒂图片社）
“随着明尼苏达州民众更多了解我和我的对手，看到对手过去八年与民主党州长蒂姆·瓦尔茨搭档时的失职表现，他们明白明尼苏达州需要变革。我们需要新思维，需要独立思考者，民众正逐渐认同这一点，”塔福亚在接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时表示。
福克斯新闻数字频道已联系弗拉纳根竞选团队置评，但本文发稿时未收到回复。
这场竞选的背景是明尼苏达州大规模福利欺诈丑闻，该丑闻近一年来引发全国关注，也促使民主党州长蒂姆·瓦尔茨放弃2026年连任竞选。这一丑闻也成为塔福亚竞选弗拉纳根的核心议题。
塔福亚强调：“本届政府期间发生了历史性的欺诈事件，我的对手佩吉·弗拉纳根是该州二把手。不仅公款被盗，本应惠及儿童餐、自闭症儿童或需要上门健康护理、健康探访的老年人的项目也被掏空。”
民主党迎来翻盘参议院席位新机遇，但共和党巨额资金优势成阻碍
2026年8月11日，明尼苏达州民主党联邦参议员候选人佩吉·弗拉纳根在明尼阿波利斯举行的初选当晚派对上发表讲话。（斯蒂芬·马图伦/盖蒂图片社）
“瓦尔茨明白，在这种情况下他无法连任州长，但我的对手却认为自己该获得晋升。我认为民众开始意识到，她该被解雇了，”塔福亚说道。
弗拉纳根曾表示，她“对欺诈行为极为愤怒”，承认公众对这一丑闻感到不满，并称本可以更早采取更多措施查处和防范欺诈。这位副州长指出，她并未掌管此次丑闻核心的州政府机构，也未指导州政府日常应对工作。她还与承担欺诈责任的瓦尔茨保持距离。
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https://www.foxnews.com/video/6406761172112
共和党在明尼苏达州联邦参议员选举中看到机会，民主党人因州欺诈丑闻承受政治余波
“数月来，每晚的新闻节目都在全面报道此事，民调数据也印证了这一点，”明尼苏达州资深全国共和党战略家柯尔斯滕·库科夫斯基告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
她直指弗拉纳根称：“她背负着大量欺诈丑闻的包袱……这让这场联邦参议员竞选变得异常胶着。”
塔福亚还聚焦明尼阿波利斯-圣保罗郊区近期频发的帮派枪击事件，并于周一公布了五项打击暴力犯罪的计划。
“作为美国参议员，我们上任头八周就能取得比佩吉·弗拉纳根担任副州长八年来更多的成果，”她告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
最新福克斯新闻中期选举势力排名：谁升谁降
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6406779450112
塔福亚公布五项打击索马里帮派暴力计划，指责弗拉纳根无视问题
“首先，我们必须正视问题，就连索马里议员和执法人员都已点明这个问题：我们面临索马里帮派暴力问题。我们必须直面它，但她拒绝承认。不直面问题就无法解决问题，”塔福亚在提及弗拉纳根时强调。
弗拉纳根是进步派候选人，得到左翼参议员伯尼·桑德斯、伊丽莎白·沃伦和众议员罗·卡纳的支持，在8月的联邦参议员初选中以约20个百分点的优势击败温和派民主党众议员安吉·克雷格。
塔福亚在共和党联邦参议员初选中获得超过50%的选票，在一众竞争对手中脱颖而出。她得到包括全国共和党参议员委员会主席蒂姆·斯科特参议员在内的全国共和党高层大力招募。
“我们成功招募到了最具独立精神的共和党人，她深知在明尼苏达州获胜的重要性，”斯科特在福克斯新闻《汉尼蒂》节目采访中表示。
斯科特说：“米歇尔·塔福亚有自己的故事要讲，她表现得非常出色。这场竞选将胶着到最后一刻。”
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福克斯新闻势力排名参议院预测图。（雷米·努马/福克斯新闻）
参议院多数党领袖、参议院共和党二号人物约翰·图恩近期与塔福亚一同在明尼苏达州开展竞选活动。但支持共和党联邦参议员候选人的顶级超级政治行动委员会“参议院领导基金”（与图恩立场一致）尚未在该选区投入大量资金。
被问及全国共和党支持情况时，塔福亚表示：“我们收到了来自全国的小额捐款，也收到了该州每个县的捐款。我是个积极的斗士，会根据现有情况应对……我们将凭借理念赢得这场竞选。”
民主党希望今年竞选州长的人气民主党参议员艾米·克洛布查尔能助力弗拉纳根成功当选。
“我们的最新民调显示弗拉纳根拥有显著领先优势，我们完全期待她能当选美国参议员，”支持参议院民主党人的“参议院多数党政治行动委员会”通讯主任劳伦·弗伦奇告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
弗伦奇辩称：“共和党正在深红州投入资源，却眼睁睁看着竞选战场地图在他们周围扩大。他们最后孤注一掷将明尼苏达州拉入摇摆州的做法，不过是政治伎俩。”
2026年民主进程：关注福克斯新闻选举中心获取最新动态
米歇尔·塔福亚称佩吉·弗拉纳根代表明尼苏达州向“民主党社会主义”转向。（福克斯新闻数字频道；斯蒂芬·马图伦/盖蒂图片社）
弗拉纳根多次将塔福亚与总统唐纳德·特朗普绑定，后者在明尼苏达州的支持率远低于50%。
“米歇尔·塔福亚完全站在唐纳德·特朗普一边——他也全力支持她，”弗拉纳根周一在社交媒体帖子中重申。
身为原住民的弗拉纳根还在X平台上写道：“我的奥吉布韦名字是Gizhiiwewidamookwe，意为‘大声清晰表达的女性’。我将成为明尼苏达州在美国参议院的声音——而非唐纳德·特朗普的。”
但塔福亚似乎在刻意与特朗普保持距离，同时强调自己支持堕胎权。
“我是支持堕胎权的共和党人，不怕与本党立场分歧，”塔福亚在一则新竞选广告中说道。“特朗普正确的时候，我会与他合作；特朗普错误的时候，我会为明尼苏达州挺身而出。”
这则广告很快遭到右翼领袖批评。
其中包括美国保守派政治行动会议高级研究员梅赛德斯·施拉普，她在社交媒体上表示：“看过这则广告后，支持生命的共和党选民会待在家里不投票。”
但数小时后，特朗普为塔福亚背书，在他出席的俄亥俄州集会上对人群说：“你们一定要投票给米歇尔·塔福亚，她是个备受尊重的人。”
保罗·施泰因豪泽为福克斯新闻横跨全美报道全国竞选活动
Sleeper GOP candidate puts blue-leaning state in play as fraud scandal shadows Dems
October 14, 2026 3:20pm EDT / Fox News
Fox News shifted its Power Rankings toward Republicans after a new poll showed Tafoya trailing by just 4 points
By Paul Steinhauser, Fox News
Minnesota showdown: Michele Tafoya says Peggy Flanagan deserves a ‘pink slip,’ not a promotion
Republican Senate nominee in Minnesota Michele Tafoya, in a Fox News Digital interview, targets Democratic rival Peggy Flanagan’s record; says voters are ‘angry’ over fraud scandals
Republicans are eyeing a rare Senate pickup opportunity in Minnesota, where GOP nominee Michele Tafoya is narrowing the gap with Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, prompting Fox News to move the race toward Republicans less than three weeks before Election Day.
It’s been nearly a quarter-century since Republicans last won a Senate election in the blue-leaning state. But Tafoya, a former longtime NFL sideline reporter, is aiming to break that losing streak by flipping the seat held by retiring Democratic Sen. Tina Smith.
A new Minnesota Star Tribune/KARE 11 poll shows Tafoya trailing Flanagan by just four percentage points. On Tuesday, the Fox News Power Rankings shifted the race to the right, from Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat.
GOP SENATE HOPEFUL SOUNDS ALARM AFTER TERROR PLOT THWARTED
Michele Tafoya makes her case as the GOP’s Senate nominee at the Minnesota Republican state convention at the Duluth Entertainment Convention Center in Duluth, Minn., on Saturday, May 29, 2026.(Star Tribune via Getty Images)
“The more that Minnesotans learn about me and my opponent and see what my opponent has failed to do over the last eight years alongside Democratic Gov. Tim Walz they’re understanding Minnesota needs change. We need fresh ideas, we need an independent thinker, and they’re jumping on board,” Tafoya said in a Fox News Digital interview.
Fox News Digital reached out to the Flanagan campaign for comment, but didn’t receive a response at the time this story was published.
The race is unfolding against the backdrop of Minnesota’s massive welfare assistance fraud scandal, which has attracted national attention for nearly a year and prompted Democratic Gov. Tim Walz to abandon his 2026 re-election bid. The scandal has also become a central issue in Tafoya’s campaign against Flanagan.
Tafoya highlighted that “there has been historic fraud under this administration, where Peggy Flanagan, my opponent, has been the second-in-charge in this state. And not only was the money stolen, it hollowed out these programs that were supposed to be getting help like kids’ meals or autistic kids or seniors who were supposed to be getting visits, health visits, wellness visits, and so that’s been hollowed out.”
DEMS SEE NEW CHANCES TO FLIP SENATE SEATS BUT GOP’S MASSIVE CASH ADVANTAGE AN OBSTACLE
Democratic Senate nominee Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan speaks during a primary election night party on August 11, 2026 in Minneapolis.(Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)
“Walz understood that he was not going to win another term as governor with these conditions, but my opponent thinks she deserves a promotion. I think people are starting to realize she deserves a pink slip,” Tafoya argued.
Flanagan has said she is “incredibly angry with the fraud,” has acknowledged public frustration over the scandal and that more could have been done sooner to catch and prevent the fraud. The lieutenant governor has noted that she was not in charge of the state agencies at the center of the scandals or steering the daily state response. She has also distanced herself from Walz, who has accepted blame for the fraud.
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https://www.foxnews.com/video/6406761172112
Republicans see opening in Minnesota Senate race as Democrat faces fallout from state’s fraud scandals
“It’s wall to wall coverage on every nightly news program here for months and months. We’re seeing it in polling,” Minnesota-based veteran national Republican strategist Kirsten Kukowski told Fox News Digital.
Pointing to Flanagan, Kukowski said she has “a lot of fraud baggage…and it’s really made the Senate race really tight here.”
Tafoya is also highlighting a recent spate of gang-related shootings in the Minneapolis-St. Paul suburbs, and on Monday announced a five-point-plan to combat the violence.
“We will do more in our first eight weeks as a US Senator than Peggy Flanagan has done in eight years as the second in charge,” she told Fox News Digital.
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https://www.foxnews.com/video/6406779450112
Tafoya unveils 5-point plan to combat Somali gang violence, accuses Flanagan of ignoring problem
“First of all, we’ve got to name the problem, and even Somali lawmakers and law enforcement have named this problem. We have a Somali gang violence problem. We’ve got to name it. She refuses to name it. You can’t fix it if you don’t name it,” Tafoya emphasized as she referred to Flanagan.
Flanagan, a progressive candidate backed by left-wing champions Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren and Rep. Ro Khanna, topped more moderate Democratic Rep. Angie Craig by roughly 20 points in the August Senate primary.
Tafoya grabbed over 50% of the vote in the GOP Senate primary, as she topped a crowded field of rivals. She was heavily recruited by national Republicans including Sen. Tim Scott, the National Republican Senatorial Committee chair.
“We did a really good job of recruiting the most independent-minded Republican who understands why it’s important to win in Minnesota,” Scott said in an interview on Fox News’ “Hannity.”
Scott said, “Michele Tafoya has a story to tell. She’s doing a really good job. This is a race that will come down to the wire.”
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Fox News Power Rankings Senate forecast.(Remy Numa/Fox News)
Senate Majority Leader John Thune, the top Republican in the chamber, recently teamed up on the campaign trail in Minnesota with Tafoya. But the Thune-aligned Senate Leadership Fund, the top super PAC backing GOP Senate candidates, has yet to make a major investment in the race.
Asked about national Republican support, Tafoya said “we are getting small dollar donations from all over the country. We’re getting donations from every county in this state, and I am a happy warrior, and I will deal with the circumstances I’m given… We’re going to win this campaign on ideas.”
Democrats are hopeful that popular Democratic Sen. Amy Klobuchar, who is running for governor this year, may help push Flanagan over the finish line.
“Our latest poll has Flanagan with a strong lead, and we fully expect her to be elected to the U.S. Senate,” Lauren French, communications director for the Senate Democrat-aligned Senate Majority PAC, told Fox News Digital.
French argued that “Republicans are spending in deep red states, and watching the battleground map extend around them. Their desperate last-minute attempt to push Minnesota into play is a political ploy.”
DEMOCRACY ’26: STAY UP TO DATE WITH THE FOX NEWS ELECTION HUB
Michele Tafoya says Peggy Flanagan represents a shift toward “Democrat socialism” in Minnesota.(Fox News Digital ; Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)
Flanagan has repeatedly tied Tafoya to President Donald Trump, whose approval ratings are well underwater in Minnesota.
“Michele Tafoya is all in for Donald Trump — and he’s all in for her,” Flanagan reiterated Monday in a social media post.
Flanagan, who is Native American, also wrote on X, “My Ojibwe name is Gizhiiwewidamookwe, which means ‘Speaks in a Loud and Clear Voice Woman.’ I’m going to be Minnesota’s voice in the U.S. Senate — not Donald Trump’s.”
But Tafoya appears to be putting some daylight between herself and Trump, as she highlights her support for abortion rights.
“I’m a pro-choice Republican not afraid to stand up to my party,” Tafoya says in a new campaign commercial. “When Trump is right, I will work with him. When he is wrong, I will stand up for Minnesota.”
The ad was quickly criticized by leaders on the right.
Among them was Mercedes Schlapp, a senior fellow at the Conservative Political Action Conference, who said on social media, “Pro-life Republicans will stay home after watching this ad.”
But hours later, Trump gave Tafoya a plug, telling the crowd at an Ohio rally he headlined, “You have to vote for Michele Tafoya, who’s a very respected person.”
Paul Steinhauser covers the national campaign trail from coast to coast for Fox News
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