《纽约时报》/锡耶纳学院民调显示，柯林斯在可能投票的选民中支持率达49%，尽管55%的受访者更希望民主党掌控参议院
2026年9月24日 美国东部时间上午11:31 / 福克斯新闻
作者：保罗·斯坦豪瑟
缅因州共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯2026年8月14日在缅因州基特里告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，她的民主党挑战者特洛伊·杰克逊显然“难以控制自己的脾气”。
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一项新民调显示，长期任职的共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯在倾向蓝色的缅因州一场关键的参议院对决中领先其民主党挑战者。
正在竞选参议院第六个六年任期的柯林斯在可能投票的选民中支持率为49%，民主党提名候选人、前缅因州参议院议长特洛伊·杰克逊支持率为46%，《纽约时报》/锡耶纳学院民调中另有5%的选民尚未决定。柯林斯三个百分点的领先优势处于本次民调的误差范围内。
民主党正大力针对柯林斯，试图拿下这个席位，这对他们在中期选举中从共和党手中夺回参议院多数党地位的努力至关重要。
本次民调于9月15日至22日进行，是杰克逊7月底取代前参议院提名候选人格雷厄姆·普拉特纳以来，首批显示柯林斯领先杰克逊的民调之一。
六大助力共和党在中期选举中逆势而为的因素
前缅因州参议院议长特洛伊·杰克逊（左）是缅因州民主党参议员提名候选人，将在中期选举中与长期任职的共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯展开对决。（瑞安·墨菲/盖蒂图片社；安娜·穆尼梅克/盖蒂图片社）
普拉特纳是一名退伍军人兼牡蛎养殖户，在6月的民主党参议院初选中以压倒性优势获胜。但一个月后，他因一份包含其前女友强奸指控的爆炸性报道而退选。普拉特纳否认了相关报道，但还是 stepped aside（退选）。在他退选时，柯林斯在多数民调中仅小幅落后于普拉特纳。
曾在今年早些时候陪同普拉特纳竞选州长但未成功的杰克逊，通过特别提名大会赢得了民主党空缺的参议院提名资格。
民调发布之际，柯林斯驳斥了ProPublica的一篇报道，该报道称联邦调查局曾试图发起一项“花钱办事”调查，对柯林斯等人展开审查。该调查后来被撤销，没有任何为柯林斯工作的人被起诉。
柯林斯抨击该报道是“令人反感的”、民主党策划的“党派抹黑行动”。
杰克逊则在社交媒体上宣称“苏珊·柯林斯公然腐败”。
在这项新民调中，柯林斯领先杰克逊，尽管55%的受访者表示他们希望民主党在明年掌控参议院，另有43%的受访者希望共和党保留多数党地位。
柯林斯痛斥所谓“花钱办事”阴谋的新报道
共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯8月14日周五在缅因州基特里启动全州巴士巡回宣传活动期间，与一名缅因州选民交谈。（保罗·斯坦豪瑟/福克斯新闻）
可能助力柯林斯的是她的正面支持率，为51%对48%。与此同时，作为第五代伐木工、二十多年前从保守派共和党转向民主党、如今以进步主义纲领参选的杰克逊，支持率处于负面区间：41%的受访者对他持正面看法，49%持负面看法。
随着杰克逊迅速成为接替普拉特ner（普拉特纳）的短期竞选活动中的领跑者，他面临了一系列关于其所谓脾气和职场行为的媒体报道，以及被指存在抵押贷款不当行为和其他潜在问题，包括他过去严格的反堕胎立场。
今年8月，一段重新浮出水面的1988年警方记录引发了头条新闻，该记录详细记载了杰克逊在缅因州肯特堡一场深夜对峙中袭击一名男子并推搡其长期伴侣的指控。
杰克逊在一份声明中表示：“我当时就为此承担了责任，现在也依然如此。但我要明确说明：我从未对我的伴侣拉娜或其他任何女性使用过暴力。”
最新福克斯新闻中期选举民调：谁领先谁落后
缅因州民主党选出了进步派前州议员特洛伊·杰克逊作为他们新的美国参议院提名候选人，在之前的提名候选人格雷厄姆·普拉特纳退选后，为这场关键竞选提供了另一次机会。（格雷姆·斯隆/彭博社 via 盖蒂图片社）
根据记录，拉娜·佩尔蒂埃是杰克逊的二表亲，她与杰克逊育有两名成年子女。
柯林斯是2024年选举中唯一在唐纳德·特朗普失利的州寻求连任的共和党参议员，正面临艰难的政治环境：特朗普的支持率低迷、持续的通货膨胀、飙升的燃油价格，以及民调显示不受欢迎的伊朗战争。
这位以温和派共和党人著称、有时会投票反对特朗普的参议员，今年夏天因创下连续投票10000次参议院议案的里程碑而获得两党赞扬。
但民主党仍将矛头对准柯林斯，因为她表示自己并不后悔2018年投票确认最高法院大法官布雷特·卡瓦诺，尽管卡瓦诺在四年后以关键一票推翻了具有里程碑意义的“罗伊诉韦德”堕胎案判决。
今年夏天缅因州发生了移民海关执法局（ICE）特工参与的致命枪击事件后，民主党严厉批评这位参议院拨款委员会主席支持ICE的资金。
但柯林斯近几个月来多次与特朗普分道扬镳，批评他与邻国加拿大的关税战，并投票反对司法部长托德·布兰奇的任命。
这位参议员有着挫败民主党罢免她的努力的历史。
六年前，她当时落后于民主党挑战者、时任缅因州众议院议长萨拉·吉迪恩，但这位参议员最终以近九个百分点的优势赢得连任，而前总统乔·拜登也以相近的优势赢得了该州。
2026年民主进程：关注福克斯新闻选举中心获取最新动态
《纽约时报》/锡耶纳学院民调与《波特兰新闻先驱报》合作开展，部分由缅因州地方新闻信托基金赞助，共调查了619名可能投票的选民。
福克斯新闻数字频道已联系柯林斯和杰克逊的竞选团队就这项新民调置评，但在本文发表时未收到回复。
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《纽约时报》和锡耶纳学院周四还发布了另外两场关键参议院对决的民调，这两场对决对民主党来说都是必须守住的席位。
在相邻的新罕布什尔州，民调显示民主党众议员克里斯·帕帕斯以50%对45%的优势领先前共和党参议员约翰·E·苏努努，角逐即将退休的民主党参议员珍妮·沙欣的席位。
与此同时，在密歇根州，民调显示民主党提名候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德以49%对44%领先前共和党众议员迈克·罗杰斯，角逐即将退休的民主党参议员加里·彼得斯的席位。
保罗·斯坦豪瑟为福克斯新闻报道遍及全美各地的全国竞选活动
Susan Collins defies blue-state headwinds in crucial Senate battle as new poll reveals striking split
The New York Times/Siena survey shows Collins at 49% among likely voters even as 55% prefer Democratic Senate control
September 24, 2026 11:31am EDT / Fox News
By Paul Steinhauser
GOP Sen. Susan Collins of Maine told Fox News Digital her Democratic challenger Troy Jackson apparently “struggles to control his temper” in Kittery, Maine, on Aug. 14, 2026.
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A new poll indicates longtime Republican Sen. Susan Collins is ahead of her Democratic challenger in a crucial Senate showdown in blue-leaning Maine.
Collins, who is running for a sixth six-year term in the Senate, stands at 49% support among likely voters, with former Maine Senate President Troy Jackson, the Democratic nominee, at 46%, with 5% undecided in the New York Times/Siena poll. Collins’ three-point edge is within the survey’s margin of error.
Democrats are heavily targeting Collins as they work to flip the seat, which is key to their efforts to win back the Senate majority from the Republicans in the midterm elections.
The survey, which was conducted Sept. 15–22, is one of the first to indicate Collins ahead of Jackson since he replaced former Senate nominee Graham Platner in late July.
SIX FORCES THAT COULD HELP REPUBLICANS DEFY HISTORY IN THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS
Former Maine Senate President Troy Jackson, left, is the Democratic Party’s Senate nominee in Maine and will face off in the midterm elections against longtime Republican Sen. Susan Collins.(Ryan Murphy/Getty Images; Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
Platner, a combat veteran and oyster farmer, won the June Democratic Senate primary in a landslide. But a month later he dropped out following an explosive report containing an allegation of rape from a woman he previously dated. Platner denied the report but stepped aside. Collins slightly trailed Platner in most polling at the time he ended his campaign.
Jackson, who campaigned alongside Platner earlier this year as he unsuccessfully ran for governor, won a special nominating convention to fill the party’s vacant Senate nomination.
The poll release came as Collins pushed back against a report by ProPublica that the FBI sought to launch a pay-to-play investigation examining Collins and others. The investigation was later dropped and no one working for Collins was charged.
Collins ripped the report as “offensive” and a “partisan hit job” orchestrated by Democrats.
Jackson took to social media to claim that “Susan Collins is blatantly corrupt.”
Collins’ advantage over Jackson in the new survey comes even as 55% of those questioned said they prefer Democrats to control the Senate next year, with 43% saying they’d like the GOP to retain the majority.
COLLINS TEARS INTO NEW REPORT ALLEDGING PAY-TO PLAY SCHEME
Republican Sen. Susan Collins speaks with a Maine voter as the longtime GOP senator kicks off a statewide bus tour, on Friday, August 14 in Kittery, Maine.(Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)
Likely boosting Collins are her favorable ratings, which are in positive territory, at 51%-48%. Meanwhile, Jackson, a fifth-generation logger and a one-time conservative Republican who became a Democrat over two decades ago and who is now running on a progressive platform, is underwater with 41% of those questioned viewing him favorably and 49% holding an unfavorable view.
As he quickly became the frontrunner in the abbreviated race to replace Platner, Jackson faced a slew of media reports over his alleged temper and workplace conduct, as well as reported claims of mortgage improprieties and other potential liabilities, including his past strict anti-abortion stance.
In August, a resurfaced 1988 police record which detailed accusations that Jackson assaulted a man and pushed his longtime partner during a late-night confrontation in Fort Kent, Maine, grabbed headlines.
Jackson, in a statement, said, “I took responsibility for it then, and I take responsibility for it now. But let me be clear: I have never been violent with my partner Lana, or any other woman.”
WHO’S UP AND WHO’S DOWN IN THE LATEST FOX NEWS MIDTERM ELECTION POLLING
Maine Democrats picked progressive former state lawmaker Troy Jackson as their new U.S. Senate nominee, giving them another shot at the crucial race after previous pick Graham Platner dropped out.(Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Lana Pelletier, who, according to records, is Jackson’s second cousin, shares two adult children with him.
Collins, the only GOP senator seeking re-election in a state President Donald Trump lost in the 2024 election, is facing a rough political climate, amid Trump’s underwater approval ratings, persistent inflation, soaring fuel prices and what polls indicate is an unpopular war with Iran.
The senator, known as a moderate Republican who at times has voted against Trump, this summer received bipartisan praise after reaching a milestone by casting her 10,000th consecutive Senate vote.
But Democrats are taking aim at Collins over her comments that she didn’t regret her 2018 vote to confirm Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, despite his crucial vote four years later to overturn the landmark Roe v. Wade abortion ruling.
And following the fatal shooting in Maine this summer involving Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents, Democrats heavily criticized the Senate Appropriations Committee chair for her support for ICE funding.
But Collins has broken with Trump numerous times in recent months, criticizing his tariff war with neighboring Canada and voting against Attorney General Todd Blanche’s confirmation.
The senator has a history of surviving Democratic efforts to unseat her.
Six years ago, she trailed Democratic challenger Sara Gideon, the then-Maine House speaker, but the senator ended up winning re-election by nearly nine points while former President Joe Biden carried the state by a similar margin.
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The New York Times/Siena poll, in collaboration with The Portland Press Herald and sponsored in part by the Maine Trust for Local News, questioned 619 likely voters.
Fox News Digital reached out to both the Collins and Jackson campaigns for comment on the new survey, but didn’t receive a response at the time this story was published.
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The New York Times and Siena on Thursday also released polls on two other crucial Senate showdowns that are must-holds for the Democrats.
In neighboring New Hampshire, the survey indicates Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas with a 50%-45% advantage over former Republican Sen. John E. Sununu, in the race to succeed retiring Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen.
Meanwhile, in Michigan, the poll indicates Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed ahead of former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers 49%-44% in the showdown to succeed retiring Democratic Sen. Gary Peters.
Paul Steinhauser covers the national campaign trail from coast to coast for Fox News
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