2026-09-23T12:53:03-04:00 / 福克斯新闻频道
一项全新锡耶纳民调显示，获特朗普背书的拿骚县行政长官与纽约州州长的差距缩小至9个百分点
作者：保罗·斯坦豪泽 福克斯新闻
发布于 2026年9月23日 美国东部时间中午12:53 | 更新于 2026年9月23日 美国东部时间中午12:59
纽约州长竞选胶着，凯西·霍楚尔在民调中领先布鲁斯·布莱克曼
经济政策辩论升温，凯西·霍楚尔与布鲁斯·布莱克曼就纽约州的未来展开交锋。迈克·李参与讨论，分析锡耶纳大学的民调数据，后者显示霍楚尔在州长竞选中领先。本期节目聚焦两项颇具争议的决策：全州范围的数据中心暂停令，以及一项新提出的能源退税计划。
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在倾向深蓝的纽约州，民主党选民人数大约是共和党的两倍，但一项新民调显示，共和党州长候选人布鲁斯·布莱克曼将对民主党州长凯西·霍楚尔的劣势缩小至个位数，距离选举日仅六周时间。
根据锡耶纳学院9月11日至17日进行并于周三发布的民调，正在竞选第二个完整四年任期的霍楚尔——这位执掌美国第四大人口州的州长——在纽约可能选民中获得50%的支持率，布莱克曼为41%。
布莱克曼是纽约长岛拿骚县的行政长官，他在锡耶纳8月的民调中落后霍楚尔10个百分点。布莱克曼有望成为近25年来首位在纽约州长选举中获胜的共和党人，他的支持率这一个百分点的增长处于本次民调的误差范围内。
“距离选举日还有六周，选民给霍楚尔和布莱克曼都带来了好消息。她目前获得了50%的选民支持，其好感度和工作支持率小幅进入正值区间。他现在的落后差距为个位数——确切说是9个百分点——而在这个民主党选民人数比共和党多出两倍多的州，这已是不错的成绩，”锡耶纳民调负责人史蒂文·格林伯格说道。
查看中期选举的最新福克斯新闻民调
拿骚县行政长官布鲁斯·布莱克曼（左）与纽约州州长凯西·霍楚尔。布莱克曼作为共和党州长候选人，将在2026年选举中挑战民主党人霍楚尔。（NDZ/Star Max/GC Images/Getty Images; Alexander MacDougall/奥尔巴尼时报联盟 via Getty Images）
格林伯格指出，四年前的这个时候，霍楚尔对当时的共和党候选人、前众议员李·泽尔丁的领先优势为17个百分点。但泽尔丁缩小了差距，最终在2022年的选举中仅以6个百分点的差距输给霍楚尔。
“目前，布莱克曼在共和党选民中的表现更好，他以88%比8%领先，而霍楚尔在民主党选民中的领先幅度为81%比11%，”格林伯格补充道。
在独立选民中，布莱克曼也以44%比39%小幅领先霍楚尔。
“所有民调都持续显示凯西·霍楚尔的支持率下滑，而随着纽约州民众更多了解我的计划——大幅削减所得税、将电费减半——我的差距正在缩小，”布莱克曼在锡耶纳民调发布后的一份声明中辩称。
但新民调显示，三分之二的纽约州选民，包括37%的共和党人，认为霍楚尔将连任成功。
与此同时，昆尼皮亚克大学同日发布的另一项民调显示，霍楚尔以58%比39%领先布莱克曼19个百分点。
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拿骚县行政长官、纽约州州长共和党候选人布鲁斯·布莱克曼于今年早些时候获得了唐纳德·特朗普总统的背书。（Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images）
布莱克曼是唐纳德·特朗普总统的坚定支持者，后者于今年2月背书了他的州长竞选。但特朗普的支持可能对布莱克曼并无益处：一半的可能选民，包括四分之一的共和党人，表示这对这位共和党候选人的竞选是不利因素。
霍楚尔于今年早些时候获得了纽约市市长佐赫兰·马达尼的背书，马达尼是美国人口最多城市的首位社会主义市长，他也得到了霍楚尔在去年历史性的市长竞选期间的支持。
有50%比30%的选民认为，马达尼对霍楚尔的背书对这位州长的连任竞选是加分项。
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纽约州州长凯西·霍楚尔在2026年8月12日于纽约市举行的年度纽约州财政控制委员会会议上倾听纽约市市长佐赫兰·马达尼发言。马达尼于今年早些时候背书了霍楚尔的连任竞选。（Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images）
时任副州长霍楚尔于2021年8月宣誓就职，成为纽约州首位女性州长，此前州长安德鲁·科莫在第三任期中途因多起丑闻辞职。
在过去一年半的时间里，霍楚尔的政治地位有所提升，因为她加强了对特朗普第二届任期前所未有的议程的抵制。
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当被问及此次民调时，霍楚尔竞选团队发言人瑞安·拉杜洛瓦基针对布莱克曼告诉福克斯新闻数字频道：“没人想要一个特朗普傀儡住进州长府邸，他会削减医保、抬高成本，任由移民海关执法局践踏民众的权利。”
“他们信任霍楚尔州长在公共安全方面的投入、降低犯罪率、将钱财返还民众的政绩——他们知道她会为他们的家庭而战，而非为特朗普，”他补充道。
本次民调通过电话和短信网页收集方式进行，调查了1144名纽约州可能选民，核心问题的整体误差范围为正负3.9个百分点。
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SHOCK POLL: Powerful blue state gov’s lead shrinks to single digits weeks before election
2026-09-23T12:53:03-04:00 / Fox News
A new Siena poll puts Trump-endorsed Nassau County executive 9 points behind the New York governor
By Paul Steinhauser Fox News
Published September 23, 2026 12:53pm EDT | Updated September 23, 2026 12:59pm EDT
New York gubernatorial race tightened as Kathy Hochul leads Bruce Blakeman in poll
Economic policy debates heat up as Kathy Hochul and Bruce Blakeman clash over New York’s future. Mike Lee joins the discussion to analyze Siena University poll numbers showing Hochul leading the gubernatorial race. The segment highlights controversial decisions like the statewide data center moratorium and a newly proposed energy rebate program.
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Democrats outnumber Republicans by a roughly two-to-one margin in blue-leaning New York State, but a new poll indicates Republican gubernatorial nominee Bruce Blakeman has cut his deficit to Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul to single digits with just six weeks to go until Election Day.
Hochul, who is running for a second full four-year term steering the nation’s fourth most populous state, stands at 50% support among likely voters in New York, with Blakeman at 41%, according to a Siena College poll conducted Sept. 11-17 and released on Wednesday.
Blakeman, the Nassau County executive on New York’s Long Island, trailed Hochul by 10 points in Siena’s August survey. The one-point movement by Blakeman, who is aiming to become the first Republican in nearly a quarter-century to win an election for governor in New York, is within the survey’s margin of error.
“With six weeks until election day, voters offer good news to both Hochul and Blakeman. She now has the support of 50% of voters and saw her favorability and job approval ratings edge into positive territory. He now trails by single digits – well, nine points – in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one,” Siena pollster Steven Greenberg said.
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Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, left, and New York Gov. Kathy Hochul. Blakeman, the GOP gubernatorial nominee, is challenging Hochul, a Democrat, in the 2026 election.(NDZ/Star Max/GC Images/Getty Images; Alexander MacDougall/Albany Times Union via Getty Images)
Greenberg noted that at this point four years ago, Hochul held a 17-point lead over then-Rep. Lee Zeldin, the GOP nominee. But Zeldin closed the gap and ended up losing to Hochul by only six points in the 2022 election.
“Currently, Blakeman is doing a better job with Republicans, leading 88-8%, than Hochul is with Democrats, leading 81-11%,” Greenberg added.
The GOP nominee is also edging Hochul 44%-39% among independent voters.
“All polls continue to show Kathy Hochul’s downward spiral and me closing the gap as New Yorkers learn more about my plan to cut income taxes by historic margins and slash electric bills in half,” Blakeman argued in a statement after the release of the Siena poll.
But the new poll indicates that two-thirds of New York State voters, including 37% of Republicans, think Hochul will win re-election.
Meanwhile, a Quinnipiac University poll also released Wednesday indicated Hochul leading by 19 points, 58% to 39% over Blakeman.
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Bruce Blakeman, Nassau County executive and Republican candidate for New York governor, received President Donald Trump’s endorsement earlier this year.(Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
Blakeman is a strong supporter of President Donald Trump, who in February endorsed his bid for governor. But Trump’s support may be doing Blakeman no favors, with half of likely voters, including a quarter of Republicans, saying it’s a negative for the GOP nominee’s campaign.
Hochul was endorsed earlier this year by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, the first socialist mayor of the nation’s most populous city, reciprocating her backing during his own historic mayoral run last year.
By a 50%-30% margin, voters said Mamdani’s support for Hochul is a plus for the governor’s bid for re-election.
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New York Gov. Kathy Hochul listens as New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani speaks during the annual New York State Financial Control Board meeting on Aug. 12, 2026, in New York City. Mamdani earlier this year endorsed Hochul’s re-election bid.(Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)
Then-Lt. Gov. Hochul was sworn in as New York’s first female governor in August 2021 after Gov. Andrew Cuomo, in the middle of his third term, resigned amid multiple scandals.
Hochul has seen her political standing rise over the past year and a half as she’s increased her resistance to Trump’s unprecedented second-term agenda.
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Asked about the poll, Hochul campaign spokesperson Ryan Radulovacki, referring to Blakeman, told Fox News Digital,”No one wants a Trump puppet in the governor’s mansion who will cut their healthcare, raise their costs, and let ICE trample their rights.”
“They trust Governor Hochul’s record of investing in public safety, lowering crime, and putting money back in their pockets – and they know she’ll fight for their families, not Trump,” he added.
The poll, which was conducted by telephone and text-to-web collection, surveyed 1,144 likely voters in New York, with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points for core questions.
Paul Steinhauser covers the national campaign trail from coast to coast for Fox News
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