共和党人纷纷背离特朗普——甚至在深红选区也不例外


2026-09-22T20:10:21.179Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/22/politics/republicans-distance-trump-midterms

考虑到这位总统在历史上的民望低迷,共和党人在中期选举前选择与唐纳德·特朗普划清界限本在预料之中。

但这类案例正不断增加,尤为值得注意的是,这种背离正发生在一些立场极为偏红的选区。

这些与总统及其相关政策(比如伊朗问题相关政策)划清界限的候选人,其竞选所在选区都曾以较大优势支持特朗普——部分地区的支持率差距甚至达到两位数。

过去一周内,共和党人在伊朗问题上的倒戈尤为引人注目。

其中三起重要倒戈都来自同一个相对较小的州:艾奥瓦州。众议员扎克·纳恩和玛丽安内特·米勒-米克斯上周投票限制特朗普的战争权力。周一,他们的同僚、共和党联邦参议员候选人阿什利·辛森在X平台上发文称,“这场战争需要以成功且迅速的方式结束”。

辛森倒戈的同一天,她的中西部同僚、密歇根前众议员迈克·罗杰斯发布竞选广告,同样表示“与伊朗的战争必须结束——而且要尽快结束”。到周二,威斯康星州共和党州长候选人汤姆·蒂凡尼称“我们应该撤离伊朗”,“是时候向前看了”。

他们的这些举动出台之际,美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)周二发布的最新民调显示,仅有26%的美国成年人认可特朗普对这场战争的处理方式——这一数字还在逐步下滑。

一天之内就有两名参议院候选人与特朗普划清界限,这本身就颇具代表性。而其中一个倒戈发生的州是艾奥瓦州——特朗普2024年在该州的胜选优势达到13个百分点。
(2024年特朗普在纳恩的选区以5个百分点优势获胜,在米勒-米克斯的选区则领先9个百分点。)

此前已有观点认为,艾奥瓦州的参议院竞选可能出现变数,原因是特朗普的关税政策对该州冲击尤大,以及民主党成功招募了州参议员乔希·图雷克作为候选人。

果不其然,在辛森就伊朗问题与特朗普决裂的次日,马里斯特学院发布的民调显示,图雷克在登记选民中领先8个百分点——这或许是迄今为止最令人意外的参议院竞选民调结果,也意味着辛森有理由感到担忧。

但并非只有辛森一人,尽管所在选区曾以两位数优势支持特朗普,她还是被迫在一定程度上与特朗普保持距离。

《迈阿密先驱报》周二报道称,佛罗里达州共和党州长候选人、众议员拜伦·唐纳兹——这位曾是特朗普的忠诚盟友——已在其更新后的竞选网站上删除了大量对这位总统的突出提及。唐纳兹近期还对特朗普提出的“若共和党在11月保住参众两院,将向每位美国成年公民发放5000美元”的提案表示“担忧”。

唐纳兹的竞选所在州,特朗普2024年的胜选优势为13个百分点。

而且他并非唯一一位在深红选区参选却修改竞选网站的候选人。加利福尼亚州众议员杨金(特朗普在该选区的胜选优势为12个百分点)、佛罗里达州的国会候选人(特朗普胜选优势11个百分点)、肯塔基州的国会候选人(特朗普胜选优势15个百分点),甚至还有肯塔基州联邦参议员候选人安迪·巴尔——该州特朗普的胜选优势高达32个百分点。

过去一周内该领域另一个值得关注的动向是:多名在西班牙裔占比极高、且特朗普胜选优势达两位数的国会选区参选的共和党在任议员,正就特朗普的强硬移民政策与他划清界限。

在佛罗里达州,众议员玛丽亚·埃尔维拉·萨拉查在一则直接面向镜头的广告中对特朗普表示,一些西班牙裔选民认为他的移民执法行动“过于极端”,针对了那些并未犯下非移民类罪行的人,他们因此感到“被背叛”。

上周被问及这则广告时,特朗普称他“确实不同意她的看法”,但表示仍会支持她。萨拉查周日称,她与特朗普进行了交谈,对方“非常乐意听取”她的警告。

在得克萨斯州,众议员莫妮卡·德拉克鲁兹宣传了自己为解救一名被美国移民及海关执法局拘留的童年入境暂缓遣送(DACA)受益人所做的工作。该广告两次提及移民系统“一团糟”。

2024年特朗普在萨拉查的选区以15个百分点优势获胜,在德拉克鲁兹的选区则领先18个百分点——当时他作为共和党候选人在西班牙裔选民中表现异常出色。但近期民调显示,这一群体的支持倾向已大幅转向民主党。

这些举动大多相对隐晦,并非与特朗普彻底决裂。

称“伊朗战争需要结束”,不等同于宣称这场战争本身就是错误的。修改竞选网站的行为也相当低调——至少在媒体记者发现之前是这样。即便在移民问题广告中,萨拉查也只是表示特朗普只是听信了糟糕的建议,而非兑现了他在2024年竞选期间反复承诺的大规模驱逐行动。

但即便在2024年特朗普轻松获胜的选区,候选人仍觉得有必要以这些方式与他保持距离,这充分说明了他们认为公众舆论已经发生了转变。

而且他们很可能不会是最后一批这么做的人。恰恰相反,他们或许刚刚打开了闸门,让那些原本不愿与特朗普决裂的人也被迫采取行动。

The GOP stampede away from Trump is growing — including in pretty red districts

2026-09-22T20:10:21.179Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/22/politics/republicans-distance-trump-midterms

Republicans choosing to distance themselves from Donald Trump ahead of the midterm elections was somewhat inevitable, given how historically unpopular the president is.

But the examples are piling up, and it’s notably happening in some pretty red territory.

Many of those running away from the president and policies like the Iran war are campaigning in territory that favored Trump by substantial margins — including by double digits in some areas.

The Iran war defections over the past week have been particularly notable.

Three of the big ones have come from one relatively small state: Iowa. Reps. Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks joined in a vote to limit Trump’s war powers last week. And on Monday, their colleague Rep. Ashley Hinson, who is the GOP nominee for Senate, posted on X that “the war needs to be brought to a successful and immediate end.”

Hinson’s defection came the same day that her fellow Midwestern Senate nominee, former Michigan Rep. Mike Rogers, released an ad similarly saying, “The war with Iran needs to end — and end quickly.” By Tuesday, GOP Wisconsin gubernatorial nominee Tom Tiffany said “we should be exiting Iran” and “that it’s time to move on.”

Their moves come as new CNN polling on Tuesday showed just 26% of US adults approve of Trump’s handling of the war — a number that has gradually gotten worse.

That two Senate candidates broke with Trump on one day said a lot. But so did the fact that one of the states involved was Iowa, which Trump carried by 13 points in 2024.

(Trump won Nunn’s district by 5 points in 2024, and Miller-Meeks’ by 9.)

There has been a sense that the state’s Senate race might be in play because Trump’s tariffs have hit Iowa particularly hard, and because Democrats recruited well with state Sen. Josh Turek.

And sure enough, the day after Hinson broke with Trump over Iran, a Marist College poll showed Turek leading by 8 points among registered voters — perhaps the most eyebrow-raising Senate poll to date, and one that suggests she has reason to be concerned.

But it’s not just Hinson who has felt compelled to distance herself somewhat from Trump despite running in an electorate that he won by double digits.

The Miami Herald reported Tuesday that Florida GOP gubernatorial nominee Rep. Byron Donalds, a loyal Trump ally, had scrubbed numerous prominent references to the president from his updated campaign website. Donalds also recently expressed “concerns” about Trump’s proposal to give every adult US citizen $5,000 if Republicans keep the House and Senate in November.

Donalds is running in a state Trump carried by 13 points.

And he’s not the only one who has made such changes to his website — despite running in deep-red territory. So too have California Rep. Young Kim (Trump +12), congressional candidates in Florida (Trump +11) and in Kentucky (Trump +15), and even Kentucky Rep. Andy Barr, who is running for Senate in a state Trump won by a whopping 32 points.

Another notable development on this front over the past week: A couple of GOP incumbents in heavily Hispanic — and double-digit Trump — congressional districts distancing themselves from the president’s hardline immigration policies.

In Florida, Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar told Trump in a direct-to-camera ad that some Hispanic voters “feel betrayed” by his immigration enforcement activities, saying they go “too far” by targeting those who hadn’t committed non-immigration crimes.

Asked about her ad last week, Trump said he did “disagree with her” but indicated he still backs her. Salazar said Sunday that she spoke with Trump, who was “very receptive” to her warning.

And in Texas, Rep. Monica De La Cruz touted her work to free a Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals recipient who was being detained by Immigration and Customs Enforcement. The ad twice cited a “broken” immigration system.

Trump won Salazar’s district by 15 points and De La Cruz’s by 18 in 2024, when he did remarkably well among Hispanic voters for a Republican. But recent polls suggest that demographic has swung significantly back toward Democrats.

Many of these moves are relatively subtle, rather than full breaks from Trump.

Saying the Iran war needs to end isn’t the same as saying it was a mistake. The website changes are rather quiet — at least until reporters notice. And even in her immigration ad, Salazar speaks to Trump is if he’s just getting bad advice rather than delivering on the mass deportations that he repeatedly promised during the 2024 campaign.

But the fact that they feel the need to distance themselves in these ways — even in territory Trump won pretty easily in 2024 — speaks volumes about how they feel public opinion has shifted.

And they likely won’t be the last ones to do it. If anything, they might have just opened the floodgates for others who didn’t want to cross Trump but now might feel compelled to do so.

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