苏珊·B·安东尼反堕胎组织称，围绕罗伊·库珀的堕胎记录展开的宣传，让选民转向共和党候选人迈克尔·沃特利
2026-09-22T05:00:57-04:00 / 福克斯新闻
作者：兰登·米恩 福克斯新闻
2026年9月22日美国东部时间上午5:00发布
反堕胎组织称，堕胎议题宣传让北卡罗来纳州选民转向共和党候选人
苏珊·B·安东尼反堕胎组织主席玛乔丽·丹嫩费舍尔表示，围绕民主党联邦参议院候选人、前州长罗伊·库珀的堕胎记录展开的宣传，正在让北卡罗来纳州选民转向共和党候选人迈克尔·沃特利。
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【福克斯新闻独家报道】 苏珊·B·安东尼反堕胎组织委托开展的一项新研究显示，突出北卡罗来纳州民主党联邦参议院候选人、前州长罗伊·库珀堕胎记录的宣传内容，让该州选民的支持转向共和党候选人迈克尔·沃特利，其中聚焦联邦堕胎立法的宣传效果最为显著。
该组织表示，他们已在北卡罗来纳州接触超过77万户家庭，同时推出新的选民联络策略， targeting what is expected to be one of the nation’s most competitive Senate races as Republicans attempt to hold onto their majority in the Upper Chamber and fill the seat currently held by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis.（注：原文此处为插入语，译为：这有望成为全美竞争最激烈的参议院选举之一，共和党正试图保住参议院多数席位，并填补即将退休的共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯留下的席位）
竞选宣传员正针对持观望态度的选民和投票率较低的群体，传递聚焦堕胎议题和库珀在该问题上的记录的信息，包括他支持可能凌驾于州限制法案之上的联邦堕胎立法，以及他作为州长否决州级堕胎限制法案的行动。
库珀曾否决北卡罗来纳州2023年禁令，该法案禁止怀孕12周后进行大多数堕胎，他辩称该法案会伤害女性和家庭。随后由共和党掌控的州议会推翻了他的否决，该法案得以生效。
“在生命权议题上，对北卡罗来纳州参议院选举最有效的议题是，库珀州长否决了怀孕首三个月堕胎禁令——该禁令在北卡罗来纳州和全美都广受欢迎——以阻止堕胎。他否决了该法案，随后他的否决被推翻。这是一项极不受欢迎的举措，确实能打动选民，”苏珊·B·安东尼反堕胎组织主席玛乔丽·丹嫩费舍尔告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
【独家报道】卧底视频曝光民主党参议院候选人计划拥抱社会主义者：‘必须团结起来’
一项新研究发现，突出北卡罗来纳州民主党联邦参议院候选人罗伊·库珀堕胎记录的宣传内容，让选民支持转向共和党候选人迈克尔·沃特利。（阿尔·德拉戈/彭博社 via 盖蒂图片社；亚历克斯·王/盖蒂图片社）
“另一点是，他否决了一项旨在为试图堕胎后存活的婴儿提供适当医疗护理的法案。这些议题与迈克尔·沃特利的立场形成对比，帮助将选民推向沃特利，”她补充道。
该研究分析了哪些宣传内容最能有效改变选民观点，并试图预测其对选民的影响，帮助该组织识别出最有可能在接触其反堕胎宣传后，从民主党转向共和党投票的人群。
苏珊·B·安东尼反堕胎组织委托 Evolving Strategies 开展了一项随机对照试验，测试四种不同堕胎宣传内容的效果，这些内容围绕北卡罗来纳州参议院候选人在堕胎问题上的立场展开。Evolving Strategies 通过可将受访者与选民档案和消费者数据匹配的技术，招募了该州2607名已确认的登记选民组成在线小组。
该研究测量了受访者阅读宣传内容后对候选人及政策的支持度，其对最具说服力选民的评估基于预测模型。
【12场选举打乱参议院战场格局，民主党欲卷土重来】
苏珊·B·安东尼反堕胎组织表示，他们已在北卡罗来纳州接触超过77万户家庭。（汉娜·比尔/彭博社 via 盖蒂图片社）
“我们在任何州寻找目标选民时，只有一个目标：找到我们的最佳选民。他们可能是民主党人、共和党人，也可能是无党派人士。我们不会从党派立场出发，甚至不会从你的居住地或宗教信仰出发。我们从你的投票倾向开始着手。我们利用消费者数据为我们的最佳选民创建画像，并为这些选民打分，”丹嫩费舍尔说道。
“我们寻找的是我们的最佳选民，无论他们是否倾向于投票，然后确保我们通过上门拜访、数字通讯以及他们接收的其他所有形式的通讯与他们沟通，”她继续说道。
受访者被随机分配到四种宣传组之一——“联邦议题”组、“记录”组、“温和正面”组和“强硬正面”组——或对照组，对照组阅读的是安慰剂宣传内容。
“联邦议题”宣传内容批评库珀支持该组织所称的可能凌驾于各州制定堕胎法律权限之上的联邦立法；“记录”组宣传内容则攻击他担任州长期间的堕胎记录，试图将他描绘成极端主义者；“温和正面”和“强硬正面”宣传内容则分别突出沃特利的反堕胎立场。
研究显示，所有宣传内容都或多或少起到了效果，将共和党得票优势净提升1.7个百分点至近5个百分点。
北卡罗来纳州有望成为全美竞争最激烈的参议院选举之一，共和党正试图保住参议院多数席位。（埃里克·韦尔杜兹/美联社照片）
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针对库珀的两种攻击宣传效果最佳，“联邦议题”宣传使得票优势提升4.9个百分点，“记录”宣传提升3.2个百分点。研究发现，“强硬正面”宣传效果远优于“温和正面”宣传，前者提升3.9个百分点，后者仅提升1.7个百分点。
在被认定为最佳说服目标的选民中，该研究估计影响可能大得多，将共和党得票优势净提升12个百分点甚至更多。
“我们发现这些宣传内容确实能引起共鸣。我们发现，无论是原本倾向民主党还是考虑支持库珀的选民，都觉得自己被民主党抛弃了。我们发现这确实能引起共鸣，堕胎议题仍然是北卡罗来纳州表现最佳的议题，能带来巨大改变，”丹嫩费舍尔说道。
Pro-life group ramps up NC ground game as report finds fed abortion message gives GOP candidate biggest boost
SBA Pro-Life America says messages about Roy Cooper’s abortion record shifted voters toward Republican Michael Whatley
2026-09-22T05:00:57-04:00 / Fox News
By Landon Mion Fox News
Published September 22, 2026 5:00am EDT
Pro-life group says abortion message moves North Carolina voters toward GOP candidate
Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America President Marjorie Dannenfelser said a message focused on Democratic Senate candidate Roy Cooper’s abortion record is moving North Carolina voters toward Republican Michael Whatley.
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FIRST ON FOX: A new study commissioned by Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America found that messages highlighting North Carolina Democratic Senate candidate and former Gov. Roy Cooper’s abortion record shifted support, according to the study, toward Republican candidate Michael Whatley among voters in the state, with a message focused on federal abortion legislation producing the largest movement.
The group said it has reached more than 770,000 homes across North Carolina as it deploys a new voter-contact strategy targeting what is expected to be one of the nation’s most competitive Senate races as Republicans attempt to hold onto their majority in the Upper Chamber and fill the seat currently held by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis.
Canvassers are targeting persuadable and low-turnout voters with messages focused on abortion and Cooper’s record on the issue, including his support for federal abortion legislation that the group says could override state limits and his actions as governor to veto state-level restrictions.
Cooper vetoed North Carolina’s 2023 law banning most abortions after 12 weeks of pregnancy, arguing it would harm women and families. The Republican-controlled General Assembly later overrode his veto, allowing the law to take effect.
“When it comes to the life issue, the issue that works best in North Carolina for the Senate race is that Gov. Cooper vetoed the 12-week limit, which is wildly popular in North Carolina and across the country, to stop abortion at the first trimester. He vetoed it and then his veto was overridden. It was a very unpopular move that really moves voters,” SBA Pro-Life America President Marjorie Dannenfelser told Fox News Digital.
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A new study found that messages highlighting North Carolina Democratic Senate candidate Roy Cooper’s abortion record shifted support toward Republican candidate Michael Whatley.(Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images; Alex Wong/Getty Images)
“The other is that when he vetoed a bill that would give appropriate healthcare to a baby who was born alive after an attempted abortion. So those issues contrasted with Michael Whatley helped move voters in the direction of Whatley,” she added.
The study analyzed which messages were the most effective at shifting opinion and looked to predict the impacts for voters, allowing the group to identify the people most likely to switch their vote from Democrat to Republican when exposed to one of their pro-life messages.
Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America commissioned Evolving Strategies to conduct a randomized-controlled trial and test the effectiveness of four different abortion messages about the positions Senate candidates in North Carolina hold on abortion. Evolving Strategies recruited an online panel of 2,607 confirmed registered voters in the state using a technique that allowed them to match respondents to their voter file and consumer data.
The study measured respondents’ stated candidate and policy support after they read the messages, while its estimates for the most persuadable voters were based on predictive modeling.
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Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America said it has reached more than 770,000 homes across North Carolina.(Hannah Beier/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
“Our one goal when we are finding our targeted voters in any state is to find our best voters. They will end up being Democrats. They’ll end up being Republicans. They’ll end up being Independents. We don’t start with party profile. We don’t even start with where you live or what your religious affiliation is. Where we start is how your vote will be moved. So we use consumer data to create a profile of our best voter, and we score those voters,” Dannenfelser said.
“What we’re looking for is our best voters, whether they’re inclined to vote or not, and then making sure that we communicate with them at their doors through digital communications and every other form of communication that they receive,” she continued.
Respondents were randomly assigned one of four messages — “Fed” message, “Record” message, “Soft Positive” message and “Hard Positive” message — or the control condition where they read a placebo message.
The “Fed” messages criticized Cooper’s support for federal legislation that the organization argued could override states’ ability to make abortion laws, “Record” messages went after his abortion record during his time as governor in an effort to portray him as an extremist, and “Soft Positive” and “Hard Positive” messages each highlight Whatley’s pro-life positions.
All messages were at least somewhat effective, shifting the Republican vote margin a net +1.7 to nearly +5 points, according to the study.
North Carolina is expected to have one of the nation’s most competitive Senate races as Republicans attempt to hold onto their majority in the Upper Chamber.(Erik Verduzco/AP Photo)
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The two attack messages against Cooper performed best, with +4.9 points for the “Fed” message and +3.2 points for the “Record” message. The “Hard Positive” message performed substantially better at +3.9 points than the “Soft Positive” message at +1.7 points, the study found.
Among the voters identified as the best persuasion targets, the study estimated the impact could be much larger, moving the Republican vote margin to a net +12 points or more.
“We are finding that these messages really resonate. We’re finding that voters really feel left behind by the Democratic Party, either ones that were leaning Democrat or were thinking about Cooper. We’re finding that it really resonates and that it still is a top performing issue in North Carolina and makes a big difference,” Dannenfelser said.
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