2026年9月18日 / 美国东部时间下午3:42 / 哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)新闻
托马斯·路易斯和妻子为了达成购房交易想尽了一切办法:加价报价、放弃房屋验房,以及考虑那些只符合部分而非全部要求的房源。三年来他们提交了15份购房要约,却依然没能买到房子。
今年抵押贷款利率的大幅攀升——目前已接近7%——让他们的购房之路更加艰难。34岁的路易斯对哥伦比亚广播公司新闻表示,这场漫长的寻房之旅让他感到“绝望不已”。
“我们感觉好像一直在试图爬出别人亲手挖的坑,”这位新泽西州阿斯伯里帕克的居民说道,他和妻子共同经营一家平面设计工作室。
根据房地美(Freddie Mac)的数据,30年期固定抵押贷款平均利率本周四达到6.95%,高于前一周的6.76%,为2025年1月以来的最高水平。由于伊朗战争推高通胀,导致债券市场波动并推高借贷成本,利率已连续11周上涨。
利率飙升让房地产市场的买卖双方都陷入了困境。购房者不得不承担更高的成本,而卖家则面临更少的买家,被迫下调要价或将房屋从市场上撤下。
贷款市场研究公司LendingTree的首席消费者金融分析师马特·舒尔茨对哥伦比亚广播公司新闻表示:“在本已充满挑战的时期,抵押贷款利率上升让人们更难负担得起住房,这对任何人都不是好事。”
抵押贷款利率与10年期美国国债收益率密切相关。由于投资者对通胀、日益加剧的地缘政治紧张局势以及美国政府债务飙升的担忧日益加剧,本周早些时候10年期美国国债收益率达到2007年以来的最高水平。
房产网站Realtor.com的高级经济学家杰克·克里梅尔表示,近年来,常规30年期贷款成本每周波动的约80%都与10年期美国国债收益率的变化挂钩。他说,在2026年的大部分时间里,10年期美国国债收益率与30年期抵押贷款利率之间的典型“利差”为2%。
“从机制上讲,抵押贷款利率变化的主要驱动因素是国债收益率的变动,”克里梅尔在一封电子邮件中说道。
抵押贷款利率随债券收益率走高
在美联储周三召开会议之前,债券收益率就已攀升。美联储在此次会议上三年来首次将基准利率上调0.25个百分点。美联储官员还暗示,根据通胀走势,他们可能在今年晚些时候再次加息。
一些经济学家预测,美联储在今年10月和12月的既定政策会议上可能会再进行两次0.25个百分点的加息(11月没有安排会议)。
美联储的基准利率——即银行间短期贷款的收费标准——并不会直接影响抵押贷款利率,但仍会通过推高整体借贷成本来对住房贷款产生影响。
克里梅尔表示,贷款机构在会议前就已经将美联储加息的预期计入了定价,这可能是推动本周抵押贷款利率飙升的原因之一。
“据我估计,在本周抵押贷款利率0.19个百分点的涨幅中,不到一半可能是由于本周市场对美联储加息预期的变化,超过一半则是由于油价上涨和地缘政治不确定性等其他因素,”他说道。
房屋销量下滑
多年来,美国房地产市场一直饱受房价高企和供应不足的困扰。华盛顿的立法者试图通过今年早些时候通过的两党法案来部分解决这些问题。但专家表示,即使新建更多住房,缓解房价压力也需要时间。
根据盖洛普4月的一项民调,25%的无房人士预计在未来五年内购房,低于2017年的近50%。
随着越来越多的人推迟购房计划,房地产市场活动有所放缓。美国全国房地产经纪人协会的数据显示,现房销量已连续四个月下滑。8月份的销量较上月下降2%,至398万套,为2025年6月以来的最低水平。
“徘徊在7%左右的抵押贷款利率继续拖累购房负担能力,抑制了购房者的需求,尤其是潜在的首次购房者,”美国抵押贷款银行家协会主席兼首席执行官鲍勃·布鲁克斯米特在一份声明中说道。
“几乎无法继续维持下去”
路易斯表示,他和妻子的年收入合计约为25万美元,是新泽西州103556美元的家庭收入中位数的两倍多。他们原本以为这笔收入足以在约50万美元的预算内找到合适的房子。他说,他们关注的新泽西州蒙茅斯县和海洋县的房价已经略有回落。
但其他障碍也让他们难以找到合适的房子。路易斯表示,房价下跌吸引了更多买家进入市场,加剧了竞争——有些买家甚至可以出更高的价格,有时还会全款购房。
“情况实际上变得更糟了,因为更多有钱的人在以更低的价格买房,因为他们不担心贷款利率,”路易斯说道。
目前,路易斯和妻子仍将寻房重点放在新泽西州。但他表示,鉴于当地“离谱的高房价”,他们也考虑过彻底搬离该州。
“我们俩都是艺术家,工作有一定的灵活性,也能从中获得乐趣,”路易斯说道。“但在这里生活几乎已经无法继续维持下去了。”
Mortgage rates are nearing 7%. One house hunter says he’s “despondent.”
September 18, 2026 / 3:42 PM EDT / CBS News
Thomas Louis and his wife have tried everything to clinch a deal to buy a home: offering above the asking price, waiving inspections, and considering properties that tick some, but not all, of their boxes. Three years and 15 offers later, they’re still looking.
This year’s sharp rise in mortgage rates, which are now approaching 7%, has only made their search more difficult. Louis, 34, told CBS News he feels “despondent” about the long struggle to find an affordable home.
“It still seems like we’re trying to climb out of a hole somebody else is digging,” said the Asbury Park, New Jersey, resident, who co-owns a graphic design studio with his wife.
The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate reached 6.95% on Thursday, according to Freddie Mac, up from 6.76% the previous week and the highest since January 2025. Rates have climbed for 11 consecutive weeks as the Iran war fuels inflation, driving volatility in the bond market and influencing borrowing costs.
The spike in rates has put both sides of the market in a bind. Buyers must contend with higher costs, while sellers find fewer takers, forcing them to cut their asking price or take a home off the market.
Rising mortgage rates make it “harder for folks to be able to afford a house in an already challenging time,” Matt Schulz, chief consumer finance analyst at LendingTree, told CBS News. “It’s not a great thing for anybody.”
Mortgage rates are closely tied to the 10-year Treasury note, which earlier this week hit its highest level since 2007 amid growing investor concerns about inflation, heightened geopolitical tensions and soaring U.S. government debt.
According to Jake Krimmel, senior economist at Realtor.com, in recent years, about 80% of the weekly movement in the cost for a conventional 30-year loan has tracked changes in the 10-year Treasury yield. For most of 2026, the typical “spread” between the 10-year note and a 30-year mortgage has been 2%, he said.
“Mechanically, the Treasury yield is doing the lion’s share of the work when it comes to changes in mortgage rates,” Krimmel said in an email.
Mortgage rates follow bond yields higher
Bond yields climbed ahead of the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Wednesday, when the central bank raised interest rates by 0.25 percentage-points for the first time in three years. Fed officials also signaled that they may raise rates again later this year, depending on inflation’s path.
Some economists predict two additional quarter-point hikes this year at the Fed’s scheduled policy meetings in October and December (no meeting is scheduled for November).
The Fed’s benchmark rate — what banks charge each other for short-term loans — doesn’t directly impact mortgage rates, but can still influence home loans by raising the cost of borrowing more broadly.
Krimmel said lenders were pricing in a Fed rate hike ahead of the meeting, which could have contributed to this week’s spike in mortgage rates.
“On magnitude, I would estimate that of the [0.19%] jump in mortgage rates this week, a little less than half was probably due to changing expectations throughout the week on the Fed’s rate hike, and a little more than half was due to other factors like oil prices going up and geopolitical uncertainty,” he said.
Home sales slide
The housing market has been plagued for years by high prices and low supply, issues that lawmakers in Washington, D.C., have tried to tackle in part through bipartisan legislation passed earlier this year. But experts say even if new housing is built, it will take time for price pressures to ease.
According to an April Gallup poll, 25% of people without a home expect to purchase one in the next five years, down from nearly 50% in 2017.
As more people pull back, activity in the housing market has slowed. Data from the National Association of Realtors shows existing home sales have fallen for four consecutive months. In August, sales dipped 2% from the previous month to 3.98 million, the lowest since June 2025.
“Mortgage rates hovering around 7% continue to weigh on affordability and dampen borrower demand, particularly among prospective homebuyers,” Bob Broeksmit, the president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association, said in a statement.
“Almost untenable to stay”
Louis said he and his wife earn around $250,000 a year combined, more than double New Jersey’s median household income of $103,556. They thought that would be enough to find a home in their price range of roughly $500,000. Prices in Monmouth and Ocean counties, the areas in the state they are focusing on, have eased slightly, he said.
Yet other obstacles also make it hard to find a home. Louis said lower prices have attracted more buyers to the market, fueling competition from people who can outbid them — sometimes with all-cash offers.
“It’s actually almost getting worse because more people with more money are buying the houses cheaper because they’re not worried about the rates,” Louis said.
For now, Louis and his wife continue to focus their house hunting on New Jersey. But they have also considered leaving the state altogether, given how “crazy expensive” it is, he said.
“We both work as artists, and have some freedom and fun that way,” Louis said. “But it’s just becoming almost untenable to stay here.”
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