AI恐慌存在千禧虫问题——但此次后果可能严重得多


传统基金会分析师称,若“合理构建”而非将其视为末日场景,人工智能可造福美国民众

2026年9月17日 美国东部夏令时12:32 / 福克斯新闻频道
作者:阿什利·J·迪梅拉

AI末日恐惧与曾席卷美国的科技恐慌教训碰撞

传统基金会科技分析师安妮·切斯纳特·图特和《垃圾科学》出版商兼创始人史蒂夫·米洛伊告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,若“合理构建”而非将人工智能视为末日场景,它便可造福美国民众。

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专家表示,华盛顿对人工智能日益加剧的担忧开始与千禧虫事件呼应。当年,有关技术灾难的可怕警告促使各方大举行动,以规避最终远没有预期严重的故障。
“你也可以用千禧虫事件脑补各种可怕场景。金融体系会因人们未为2000年编写程序而崩溃。我在20世纪80年代就曾为政府编写程序,所以我非常清楚这类程序的情况,”《垃圾科学》出版商兼创始人史蒂文·米洛伊告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
“但当然,科技行业早就知晓这个问题,只要那确实是个实际问题,他们就会采取行动修复。人工智能也同样可以如此,”米洛伊补充道。

因担忧加速走向灭绝而辞去AI职位的研究员称,民众正“恳求”监管

2025年12月11日,华盛顿特区白宫椭圆形办公室,唐纳德·特朗普总统展示签署的人工智能行政命令。(阿尔·德拉戈/路透社)

千禧虫是一种计算机漏洞,曾引发人们对1999年至2000年日历转换时系统可能崩溃的担忧。根据2000年美国参议院的一份报告,美国为应对该问题花费了约1000亿美元,按当前通胀调整后约为2000亿美元。
当新千年到来时,几乎没有出现重大 disruption。

唐纳德·特朗普总统将快速发展人工智能以及为其提供支撑的数据中心列为优先事项,与此同时,本届政府宣传该技术潜在的经济益处,而民主党人则在中期选举前对此提出抗议。

民主党曾在特朗普上台前支持AI发展——如今却希望放缓步伐

“民主党正利用美国人对人工智能的焦虑情绪,”传统基金会科技分析师安妮·切斯纳特·图特告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
民主党日益呼吁对人工智能设立政府监管护栏,理由是其可能带来失业、不平等、民主和人类生存风险等威胁。例如,佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯今年4月写道,人工智能“会扼杀就业、平等、联系、民主,甚至可能毁灭人类”。

但世界末日式的警告并非仅来自华盛顿。
Anthropic前研究员雅各布·考克森因担忧向自我改进型AI竞赛的发展而辞职,他警告称,其开发者“正拿我们的生命赌博”,此类系统有可能“在本世纪末前将我们全部消灭”。

共和党为在蓬勃发展的新兴科技领域与中国竞争而投入七位数资金

千禧虫事件也引发了类似的恐慌,当时有关电网故障、航空旅行和空中交通管制中断的警告蔓延开来,甚至有预测称飞机会从天上坠落。

特朗普政府支持有针对性的保障措施,包括针对关键基础设施的AI网络防御、对利用AI进行黑客攻击的刑事执法,以及旨在限制AI驱动的儿童剥削行为的提案。

图特对千禧虫事件的类比进行了细致阐释,认为该事件表明技术风险可以在潜在灾难发生前得到解决。
“现在我们之所以会拿千禧虫事件开玩笑,是因为软件工程师和金融分析师们确实付出了巨大努力,确保灾难性事件没有发生,”图特说道。
“我认为人工智能也可以如此,”她补充道,“如果合理构建AI,它对美国民众的益处将远超末日场景。”


民主党日益呼吁对人工智能设立政府监管护栏,理由是其可能带来失业、不平等、民主和人类生存风险等威胁。(库尔特“赛博格”·努特松)

米洛伊表示,千禧虫事件的类比也符合他在气候变化问题上看到的模式:先是发出存在生存威胁的可怕警告,随后呼吁全面的政府干预。
气候变化预警同样被用世界末日式的措辞包装,包括预测整个国家可能因全球变暖而被摧毁、北极夏季海冰可能在数年内消失,以及冰川国家公园的冰川将在2020年前消失。

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“AI恐慌与气候恐慌存在诸多相似之处,”米洛伊说,“气候问题曾被描述为生存危机,会摧毁地球,进而波及人类。正如我们上周了解到的,人工智能也将在极短时间内摧毁人类。”

米洛伊认为,尽管议员们纷纷抗议,但他们尚未拿出足够具体的证据证明人工智能会带来灾难性后果,不足以证明出台全面限制措施的合理性。

特朗普对AI警告的回应是称其为“骗局”,重拾了他多年来用来驳斥气候变化担忧的措辞。
“给我一个真实可行的场景,说明这种情况会如何发生,”他说,“然后如果你知道这个场景是什么,你就可以阻止它。”

大卫·马库斯:大科技公司编造AI末日论以规避现实问题


唐纳德·特朗普总统将快速发展人工智能以及为其提供支撑的数据中心列为优先事项。(iStock;罗布·纽厄尔 – 通过盖蒂图片社的CameraSport拍摄)

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米洛伊警告称,过于宽泛的监管可能会带来自身代价,在充分理解技术益处之前就放缓科技进步的步伐。
“机会成本可能非常巨大,”米洛伊说,他指出了人工智能辅助在医疗和生产力方面可能取得的进展,同时承认其最终规模仍未可知。

阿什利·J·迪梅拉为福克斯新闻数字频道报道政治新闻。

AI hysteria has a Y2K problem — and the stakes this time could be far higher

Heritage Foundation analyst says AI can benefit Americans if ‘built right’ rather than treated as a doomsday scenario

September 17, 2026 12:32pm EDT / Fox News

By Ashley J. DiMella

AI doomsday fears collide with lessons from tech scare that once gripped America

Heritage Foundation technology analyst Annie Chestnut Tutor and Junk Science publisher and founder Steve Milloy tell Fox News Digital AI can benefit Americans if ‘built right’ rather than treated as a doomsday scenario.

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Washington’s growing alarm over artificial intelligence is beginning to echo Y2K, experts say, when dire warnings of technological catastrophe prompted a massive scramble to avert failures that ultimately proved far less severe than feared.

“You could draw all sorts of scary scenarios with Y2K as well. The financial system was just going to collapse because people had not written their programs for the year 2000. I had been writing programs in the 1980s for the government, so I’m well aware of the program,” Junk Science publisher and founder Steven Milloy told Fox News Digital.

“But of course, the tech industry knew about the problem, and to the extent that was a real problem, took action to fix it. The same can happen with AI,” Milloy added.

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President Donald Trump holds up a signed executive order on AI in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, D.C., Dec. 11, 2025.(Al Drago/Reuters)

Y2K was a computer bug that raised fears systems could fail when the calendar changed from 1999 to 2000.The U.S. spent an estimated $100 billion, $200 billion adjusted for today’s inflation, in preparing for the problem, according to a 2000 Senate report.

When the new millennium arrived, there were few major disruptions.

President Donald Trump has made rapid AI development and the data centers needed to power it a priority, while the administration promotes the technology’s potential economic benefits and Democrats cry foul before midterm elections.

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“Democrats are capitalizing on the fears of Americans that angst over AI,” Heritage Foundation technology analyst Annie Chestnut Tutor told Fox News Digital.

Democrats are increasingly calling for government guardrails on AI, citing potential threats ranging from job losses and inequality to risks to democracy and humanity. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, for instance, wrote in April that AI “kills jobs, equality, connection, democracy and maybe the human race.”

But the apocalyptic warnings are not coming only from Washington.

Former Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon quit the company over concerns about the race toward self-improving AI, warning that its developers are “gambling with our lives” and that such systems could potentially “kill us all by the end of the decade.”

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Y2K sparked similar fears, as warnings spread of potential power-grid failures, disruptions to air travel and air-traffic control, and even predictions that planes could fall from the sky.

The Trump administration has backed targeted safeguards, including AI-powered cyber defenses for critical infrastructure, criminal enforcement against AI-enabled hacking and proposed measures to limit AI-driven child exploitation.

Tutor offered a nuanced Y2K comparison, arguing that the episode showed how technological risks can be addressed before they become potentially catastrophic.

“The reason now, like, we all laugh about Y2K is because actually software engineers and, like, financial analysts, they’ve worked really hard to ensure that the catastrophic incidents [didn’t] happen,” Tutor said.

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“I think the same thing could happen with AI,” she added. “If AI is built right, it can be more beneficial to Americans than the doomsday scenario.”

Democrats are increasingly calling for government guardrails on AI, citing potential threats ranging from job losses and inequality to risks to democracy and humanity.(Kurt “CyberGuy” Knutsson)

Milloy said the Y2K comparison also fits a pattern he sees with climate change, with dire warnings of an existential threat followed by calls for sweeping government intervention.

Climate warnings have likewise been framed in apocalyptic terms, including predictions that entire nations could be wiped out by global warming, Arctic summer ice could disappear within years and Glacier National Park’s glaciers would vanish by 2020.

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“There are a lot of parallels between climate hysteria and AI hysteria,” Milloy said. “Climate was existential. It was going to destroy the planet, and by implication, humanity. As we learned last week, AI is going to destroy humanity also on a very short time frame.”

Milloy argued that while lawmakers are crying foul, they have not established enough specific evidence of catastrophic AI scenarios to justify sweeping restrictions.

Trump has responded to AI warnings by calling them a “hoax,” reviving the language he has used for years to dismiss climate change concerns.

“Give me a real-life practical scenario of how this can happen,” he said. “And then if you know what the scenario is, then you can stop it.”

DAVID MARCUS: BIG TECH INVENTED AI DOOMSDAY TO DUCK REAL LIFE PROBLEMS

President Donald Trump has made rapid AI development and the data centers needed to power it a priority.(iStock; Rob Newell – CameraSport via Getty Images)

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Milloy warned that overly broad regulation could carry its own cost by slowing technological advances before their benefits are fully understood.

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“The opportunity costs are potentially huge,” Milloy said, pointing to potential AI-assisted advances in medicine and productivity while acknowledging that their ultimate scale remains unknown.

Ashley J. DiMella reports on politics for Fox News Digital.

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