2026年9月17日 美国东部时间凌晨5:00 / 福克斯新闻
卡瓦诺和阿利托的单独意见表明，这项邮政服务政策可能在下次总统大选期间生效
作者：伊莱恩·马伦，福克斯新闻
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美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的“英雄”最高法院大法官布雷特·卡瓦诺并未关上美国邮政服务局（USPS）未来实施特朗普提出的邮寄选票规则的大门，尽管他同意多数派意见，认为在2026年中期选举前实施这些规则为时过早。
“在我看来，基于法院目前在 interim 阶段收到的简报，最终规则至少有合理前景属于邮政服务局的法定职权范围，”卡瓦诺在“美国邮政服务局等诉加利福尼亚州等”一案的协同意见中写道。
此次协同意见发表约三个月前，卡瓦诺在“特朗普诉芭芭拉”一案的协同意见中为特朗普实施限制出生公民权的行政命令指明了法律路径。他还在“学习资源公司诉特朗普”一案的异议意见中为特朗普全面实施关税提供了蓝图。
“我要指出的是，卡瓦诺大法官认为政府很可能拥有法定职权，这等于给政府扔了一根救命稻草。如果你阅读异议意见，就能看到托马斯大法官和阿利托大法官在这类问题上的立场也是如此，”诚实选举项目执行主任杰森·斯尼德告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
特朗普在最高法院驳回其邮寄投票相关诉讼后怒斥“司法灾难”
唐纳德·特朗普总统（左）与2020年美国大选的一张缺席选票。一名联邦法官周二阻止美国邮政服务局在2026年中期选举前实施特朗普收紧邮寄投票规则的行政命令部分内容。(盖蒂图片社)
最高法院周一驳回了特朗普政府解除下级法院禁令的紧急请求，该禁令阻止美国邮政服务局实施相关规则，最高法院裁定政府在其诉讼的“案情方面不太可能胜诉”。
这一裁决使得该规则在2026年中期选举选票已寄出的情况下无法实施。但随着诉讼继续进行，该案可能会再次提交最高法院。
“我认为它最终有相当大的几率会再次提交到最高法院，”斯尼德告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
由大法官塞缪尔·阿利托撰写、克拉伦斯·托马斯大法官附议的异议意见也提出了疑问，即该政策最终能否在法律挑战中胜诉，并在2028年之前生效。
“我确实认为，从实际情况来看，该规则不会在中期选举前及时实施。我认为目前这已成定局。但我确实抱有希望，届时会有更多相关诉讼，让该规则能够在2028年总统大选前实施，”斯尼德说。
邮政服务局的规则要求联邦邮寄选票信封必须包含选举邮件标识、可被高速处理设备扫描，并带有每位选民独有的专用条形码。各州还必须将某些选民信息上传至邮政服务局的门户网站。
由24个民主党州检察长组成的联盟起诉特朗普政府，称该规则违反了宪法的选举条款，该条款赋予国会规范选举的权力。特朗普政府则辩称，美国邮政服务局是在规范邮件，而非选举程序。
特朗普在中期选举前就邮寄投票限制措施赢得最高法院胜诉
最高法院首席大法官约翰·罗伯茨、大法官埃琳娜·卡根、布雷特·卡瓦诺和艾米·科尼·巴雷特于2026年2月24日在华盛顿特区国会大厦举行的国会联席会议上出席国情咨文演讲。(奇普·萨莫德维奇/盖蒂图片社)
“所以这个案件仍然活跃，我认为卡瓦诺给了我们所有人希望，随着诉讼推进，该规则最终可能获准生效，有望赶上2028年大选，因为左派已经成功让它在2026年无法实施，”斯尼德继续说道。
爱荷华州副检察长埃里克·韦桑也将时间安排列为主要因素，他指出马萨诸塞州早前的诉讼和禁令推迟了邮政服务局发布最终规则的能力。
“所以我现在并不感到意外，距离选民必须寄出选票的截止日期如此之近，最高法院采取了维持现状的做法，尽管我认为阿利托大法官的异议意见突出了多数派所采取做法的诸多问题，我不确定在2028年大选前，最高法院是否会得出同样的结果，”韦桑说。
阿利托与克拉伦斯·托马斯大法官一同提出异议，辩称政府已为暂缓执行提供了必要依据。他还质疑部分原告是否具有起诉资格，并形容那些依赖“孤注一掷的尝试”的原告，而最高法院此前曾表示这种尝试“极少成功”。
联邦法官在中期选举前再次叫停特朗普的邮寄选票行政令
“这种孤注一掷的尝试在一定程度上似乎奏效了，”韦桑说。“总统的行政令是五个月前发布的，禁令很快就紧随其后。正如最高法院在早前的诉讼中所认可的那样，这项针对行政令的禁令是不当的。”
“但最高法院解决这一问题所花费的时间，让邮政服务局在为11月即将到来的大选推出该规则方面陷入了非常棘手的时间困境，尤其是因为各州已经即将向武装部队或其他选民寄出选票，”韦桑继续说道。
阿比谢克·坎比尔表示，最高法院多数派未给出充分解释这一点令他印象深刻。
“我认为最令人意外的是，这项裁决没有给出理由，尤其是就在他们以无理由命令批准密苏里州一案的暂缓执行之后。在这类涉及重大利害关系的案件中，你会希望最高法院在暂缓执行意见中解释其推理过程，”坎比尔说。
杰克逊严厉指责最高法院同僚在特朗普邮寄投票行政令问题上的“严重法律错误”
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普于2026年3月31日在华盛顿特区白宫椭圆形办公室展示已签署的行政令。特朗普周二签署了一项行政令，旨在加大选民邮寄选票的难度，加剧了他长期以来针对数百万美国人使用的邮寄投票方式的运动。(亚伦·施瓦茨/CNP/彭博社 via 盖蒂图片社)
“所以，最让我惊讶的是缺乏解释，尤其是考虑到阿利托大法官发表了条理清晰的异议意见，解释了多数派在哪些方面犯了错误，而我们并不确切知道多数派是如何决定驳回暂缓执行请求的，”坎比尔告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
韦桑表示，他预计该规则今年仍将被搁置，但不排除日后出现不同结果的可能性。
“该规则不会在2026年选举中生效，但很可能会在2028年选举中生效，这只是本届政府为助力选民诚信所采取的众多举措之一，”韦桑说。
斯尼德辩称，如果没有迫在眉睫的选举，民主党州可能更难反对实施美国邮政服务局的规则。
“所以如果他们在2027年试图解释为什么无法在两年的时间框架内遵守这类基本规则，他们将面临困难，需要翻越更陡峭的山坡，”斯尼德告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。“让大家了解我们所讨论的内容：我们谈论的是采用长期存在的邮寄选票信封设计最佳实践，并将其定为强制性指导方针。”
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“我们还谈论获取各州已有的合格邮寄选民名单，以便邮政服务局能够制作清单，让他们知道自己要向谁寄送选票，并实现选票追踪。所以这是一件非常基础、非常简单的事情，”斯尼德继续说道。
伊莱恩·马伦是福克斯新闻数字频道和福克斯商业频道的撰稿人，报道全国政治。
Kavanaugh throws Trump ‘a lifeline’ on mail ballot rules despite Supreme Court loss before midterms
September 17, 2026 5:00am EDT / Fox News
Separate opinions from Kavanaugh and Alito suggest the postal service policy could survive for the next presidential election
By Elaine Mallon, Fox News
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Brett Kavanaugh, President Donald Trump’s “hero” Supreme Court justice, isn’t closing the door on the United States Postal Service (USPS) enacting Trump’s ballot-mail rules in the future, although he agreed with the majority that implementing them ahead of the 2026 midterm elections is too soon.
“In my view, based on the briefing the Court has received at this interim stage, there is at least a fair prospect that the final rule falls within the Postal Service’s statutory authority,” Kavanaugh wrote in his concurring opinion in United States Postal Service, et al. v. California, et al.
The concurrence comes roughly three months after Kavanaugh laid out a legal pathway for Trump to implement his executive order curtailing birthright citizenship in his concurrence in Trump v. Barbara. Kavanaugh also offered a blueprint for implementing Trump’s sweeping tariffs in his dissent in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump.
“I would note though that Justice Kavanaugh threw the government a lifeline by saying that he views it as likely that they do have the statutory authority. And I think if you read the dissent, you can see where Justices Thomas and Alito are on questions like that as well,” Jason Snead, executive director of Honest Elections Project, told Fox News Digital.
TRUMP BLASTS SUPREME COURT ‘DISASTER’ AFTER JUSTICES RULE AGAINST HIM ON MAIL-IN VOTING
President Donald Trump, left, and an absentee ballot for the 2020 U.S. election. A federal judge on Tuesday blocked the U.S. Postal Service from implementing part of Trump’s executive order tightening mail-in voting rules ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.(Getty Images)
The Supreme Court on Monday denied the Trump administration’s emergency request to lift a lower court injunction blocking the U.S. Postal Service rule, ruling that the government was “unlikely to succeed on the merits” of its challenge.
The decision leaves the rule blocked for the 2026 midterms after ballots have already been sent. But as the litigation continues, the case could return to the Supreme Court.
“I think there’s a fair chance that it winds back up in front of the Supreme Court eventually,” Snead told Fox News Digital.
A dissent written by Justice Samuel Alito and joined by Justice Clarence Thomas also raised questions about whether the policy could ultimately survive the legal challenge and take effect before 2028.
“I do think that as a practical matter, the rule is not going to be implemented in time for the midterms. I think that’s a done deal at this point. But I do hold out hope that there will be some additional litigation over this that could allow this rule to be implementing ahead of the 2028 presidential election,” Snead said.
The Postal Service rule requires federal ballot-mail envelopes to include an election-mail logo, be scannable by high-speed processing equipment, and carry a specialized barcode unique to each voter. States would also have to upload certain voter information to a Postal Service portal.
A coalition of 24 Democratic state attorneys general sued the Trump administration, alleging the rule violates the Constitution’s Elections Clause, which grants Congress the power to regulate elections. The Trump administration argued the USPS is regulating the mail, not election procedures.
TRUMP SCORES SUPREME COURT WIN ON MAIL-IN VOTING RESTRICTIONS BEFORE MIDTERMS
Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts, Associate Justice Elena Kagan, Associate Justice Brett Kavanaugh and Associate Justice Mary Coney Barrett attend the State of the Union address during a Joint Session of Congress at the U.S. Capitol on February 24, 2026, in Washington, D.C.(Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
“So this case is still alive and well, and I think that Kavanaugh has given us all some hope that as it progresses eventually, this rule might be allowed to go into effect hopefully in time for the 2028 election since the left has successfully killed it for 2026,” Snead continued.
Iowa Solicitor General Eric Wessan also pointed to timing as a major factor, noting that earlier litigation and an injunction in Massachusetts delayed the Postal Service’s ability to publish the final rule.
“So I’m not surprised now, close to the deadline when ballots have to go out to people that the Supreme Court took the approach of maintaining the status quo, although I think that Justice Alito’s dissent highlights a lot of issues with the approach taken by the majority, and I would not be sure that the same result would be what the Supreme Court reaches in advance of, for example, the 2028 election,” Wessan said.
Alito, joined by Justice Clarence Thomas, dissented, arguing that the government had made the necessary showing for a stay. He also questioned whether some plaintiffs had standing and described that those plaintiffs relying on a “Hail Mary pass” the Supreme Court has previously said “rarely succeeds.”
FEDERAL JUDGE AGAIN BLOCKS TRUMP’S MAIL BALLOT ORDER JUST BEFORE MIDTERMS
“The hail mary passes seem to be succeeding to a certain extent,” Wessan said. “So the president’s executive order was issued five months ago, and the injunction followed pretty shortly after. And as the Supreme Court recognized in the litigation earlier, that injunction against the executive order was improper.”
“But the amount of time that it took to get that resolved by the Supreme Court put the Postal Service in a very tough spot timing-wise with rolling it out for the election coming up in November, especially because states are on the verge of having to send ballots out, whether to the armed services or otherwise,” Wessan continued.
Abhishek Kambil said the lack of a fuller explanation from the court’s majority stood out to him.
“I think the biggest surprise was the fact that it came with an unreasoned order, especially right after they granted a stay in Missouri, which was also on an unreasoned order. So, in cases like this, where there’s a lot at stake, you would hope that in a stay opinion that the Supreme Court would explain its reasoning,” Kambil said.
JACKSON RIPS INTO SUPREME COURT COLLEAGUES’ ‘SERIOUS LEGAL ERROR’ ON TRUMP MAIL-IN VOTING ORDER
US President Donald Trump displays a signed executive order in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, March 31, 2026. Trump signed an executive order Tuesday intended to make it harder for voters to cast mail-in ballots, escalating his long-running campaign against a practice used by millions of Americans.(Aaron Schwartz/CNP/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
“So, I think the biggest thing that surprised me was the lack of explanation, especially given Justice Alito had a pretty methodical dissent explaining all the ways the majority got wrong, and we don’t know exactly how the majority decided to deny the stay,” Kambil told Fox News Digital.
Wessan said that he expects the rule to remain sidelined this year while leaving open the possibility of a different outcome later.
“This rule won’t be in effect for the 2026 election, but it very well may end up in effect for the 2028 election, and this is just one of many actions the administration is taking to help with voter integrity,” Wessan said.
Snead argued that without a looming election, Democratic states may have a tougher time fighting against implementing the USPS rules.
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“So they’re going to have a difficult time and a steeper hill to climb if they’re trying to explain in 2027, for instance, why they can’t possibly comply with basic rules like this over a two-year time frame,” Snead told Fox News Digital. “And just so folks understand what we’re talking about. We’re talking about taking best practices about mail ballot envelope design that have been long-standing and making that mandatory guidance.”
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“And we’re also talking about getting lists of eligible mail voters that states already have so that the Postal Service can essentially create manifests and that will allow them to know who they’re sending ballots to, and it will allow those ballots to be tracked. So this is a very basic, very simple thing,” Snead continued.
Elaine Mallon is a writer for Fox News Digital and Fox Business covering national politics.
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