专家警告:5个州或将成为特朗普对加拿大贸易战中最大输家


2026年9月16日 美国东部时间上午11:04 / 福克斯新闻

俄亥俄州、宾夕法尼亚州和密歇根州等州面临加拿大报复性关税的风险最高
阿曼达·马西亚斯
文/阿曼达·马西亚斯 福克斯新闻

贸易专家大卫·克莱门特解释了为何加拿大的报复性关税可能会在中期选举前推高美国关键摇摆州消费者的物价。

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随着唐纳德·特朗普总统升级对加拿大的贸易战,美国民众的钱包可能在11月大选前再次遭受打击,五个关键摇摆州或将面临最严重的影响。

美国价值数十亿美元的出口商品面临这个北部邻国的报复性关税,这些关税针对多个行业的美国商品。结果如何?在这场必须拿下的中期选举前的几周里,美国企业和消费者的成本预计将持续上涨。

负担能力仍是选民关注的突出问题,而关税则是特朗普经济议程的基石。他声称这一战略将推动更多制造业回流美国,并迫使贸易伙伴达成对美国工业和消费者更有利的协议。但到目前为止,普通美国家庭的物价却出现了上涨。

“依赖加拿大进口原材料的美国制造商或企业,将在选民前往投票箱之前就开始感受到痛苦,”自由市场非营利组织消费者选择中心的政策主任大卫·克莱门特告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。

特朗普刚刚用一项美国总统从未使用过的强力贸易武器扩充了他的关税工具箱

特朗普多次为关税辩护,称其是其经济议程的关键支柱,称它们将推动制造业回流美国,并在共和党寻求在11月选举中保住国会席位的过程中增加联邦收入。(迈克·克罗普夫/盖蒂图片社)

克莱门特根据这些州目前与加拿大的贸易情况以及关税瞄准的商品种类,指出俄亥俄州、伊利诺伊州、密歇根州、宾夕法尼亚州和威斯康星州是受负面影响最严重的州。

“就加拿大报复性关税带来的风险而言,俄亥俄州无疑是最脆弱的州,”克莱门特说,据他估算,该州对加拿大出口的约23亿美元商品面临关税风险。

他指出,机械、运输产品、矿物和金属是造成这种脆弱性的主要来源。

在密歇根州,汽车行业的影响尤为明显,该州的供应链与邻近的安大略省深度交织。

“大多数美国人都不知道,一辆美国组装汽车的单个零部件在最终完成前,可能会跨境往返多达八次,”克莱门特说。

“当你对跨境往返的汽车零部件征收关税时,”他补充道,“这确实会阻碍密歇根州和安大略省之间高度交织的汽车供应链运转。”

共和党刚遭遇了一个创下全国纪录的中期选举新难题

关税一直是唐纳德·特朗普总统经济议程的基石,这位总统辩称,关税鼓励了国内制造业,保护了美国工业,并增加了联邦收入。(布伦丹·斯米亚洛夫斯基/法新社/盖蒂图片社)

克莱门特认为,这些成本最终会转嫁到消费者身上。

宾夕法尼亚州也面临着重大风险。克莱门特表示,该州约25%的出口商品销往加拿大,其中大部分是机械和设备,价值近18亿美元的出口面临风险。

贸易争端在政治层面的影响尚不确定。克莱门特认为,即使11月后国会控制权发生变化,关税也未必会终止。

一款热门鸡尾酒有一个你可能不知道的特朗普贸易问题

在特朗普和加拿大总理马克·卡尼的领导下,贸易争端不断升级,谈判破裂,两国都出台了针对对方商品的新措施。(安娜·莫尼梅克/盖蒂图片社)

“认为加拿大的报复性关税会让中期选举朝有利于民主党人的方向发展,然后突然结束贸易战,这是天方夜谭,”克莱门特说。

他指出,逆转总统贸易政策存在立法障碍,并指出拜登政府保留了特朗普第一任期内实施的多项关税。

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尽管如此,克莱门特认为时机可能至关重要,因为随着中期选举临近,加拿大的报复性关税已经开始实施。

“生活成本、商品价格、经商成本,对于即将投票的美国人来说是如此重要的因素,”他说。

阿曼达·马西亚斯报道商业、经济与政治的交集,重点关注政策决策如何影响市场、企业和美国工人。

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6405102800112

5 states could be the biggest losers in Trump’s trade war with Canada, expert warns

September 16, 2026 11:04am EDT / Fox News

Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan are among the states facing the highest exposure to Canadian retaliatory tariffs

Amanda Macias

By Amanda Macias Fox News

Trade expert David Clement explains why Canada’s retaliatory tariffs could raise prices for American consumers in key battleground states ahead of the midterm elections.

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Americans’ pocketbooks could take yet another hit ahead of the November election as President Donald Trump escalates his trade war with Canada — with five key battleground states likely facing the most fallout.

Billions of dollars in U.S. exports are exposed to the northern neighbor’s retaliatory tariffs that target American goods across a range of industries. The outcome? Costs are expected to continue rising for U.S. businesses and consumers in the weeks leading to the must-win midterms.

Affordability remains a prominent issue for voters, while tariffs remain a cornerstone of Trump’s economic agenda. He claims the strategy will result in more domestic manufacturing and pressure trade partners into agreements that are more beneficial for American industries and consumers. But the result so far has been an increase in prices for the average American family.

“American manufacturers or American businesses who rely on Canadian inputs are going to start to feel the pain right in the lead up to going to the ballot box,” David Clement, policy director of the free market nonprofit Consumer Choice Center, told Fox News Digital.

TRUMP JUST EXPANDED HIS TARIFF PLAYBOOK WITH A POWERFUL TRADE WEAPON NO PRESIDENT HAS EVER USED

Trump has repeatedly defended tariffs as a key pillar of his economic agenda, saying they will bring manufacturing back to the United States and generate revenue as Republicans seek to hold Congress in the November elections.(Mike Kropf/Getty Images)

Clement identified Ohio, Illinois, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as among the states most exposed to negative fallout, based on their current trade with Canada and the goods targeted by the tariffs.

“Ohio is by far the most vulnerable state in terms of exposure from the Canadian retaliatory tariffs,” Clement said, estimating roughly $2.3 billion in exports to Canada are exposed.

He pointed to machinery, transportation products, minerals and metals as major sources of that vulnerability.

In Michigan, the impact is particularly evident in the auto industry, where supply chains are deeply intertwined with neighboring Ontario.

“Most Americans don’t know that a single component on a U.S.-assembled vehicle can cross the border upwards of eight times before it’s actually completed,” Clement said.

“When you are tariffing automotive parts going across the border each way,” he added, “it really gums up the very intertwined supply chain for cars between Michigan and Ontario.”

A FRESH MIDTERM HEADACHE FOR THE GOP JUST HIT A NATIONAL RECORD

Tariffs have been a cornerstone of President Donald Trump’s economic agenda, with the president arguing they encourage domestic manufacturing, protect American industries and generate federal revenue.(Photo by Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images)

Those costs can eventually make their way to consumers, Clement argued.

Pennsylvania also faces significant exposure. Clement said about 25% of the state’s exports go to Canada, much of it machinery and equipment, putting just under $1.8 billion in exports at risk.

What the trade fight means politically is less certain. Clement argued that even a change in congressional control after November would not necessarily bring the tariffs to an end.

A POPULAR COCKTAIL HAS A TRUMP TRADE PROBLEM YOU PROBABLY DIDN’T KNOW ABOUT

The trade fight has escalated under Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, with negotiations breaking down and both countries imposing new measures targeting each other’s goods.(Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

“The idea that Canadian retaliatory tariffs are going to swing the midterms in the Democrats’ favor and then all of a sudden create an end to the trade war is a fantasy,” Clement said.

He cited the legislative hurdles to reversing presidential trade policy and noted that the Biden administration kept a number of tariffs imposed during Trump’s first term.

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Still, Clement argued the timing could matter, with Canada’s retaliatory tariffs already in place as the midterms approach.

“Cost of living, cost of goods, cost of doing business is such an important factor for Americans who are going to be casting a ballot,” he said.

Amanda Macias covers the intersection of business, economics and politics, with a focus on how policy decisions shape markets, businesses and American workers.

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6405102800112

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