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- 白宫尚未就精炼铜关税做出最终决定,因官员们正权衡担忧:这种红色金属价格上涨可能推高制造业成本,同时也要考虑鼓励国内矿业发展的潜在益处
- 由于买家可能在关税生效前囤积金属,铜价已创下历史新高
- 关税或能提振美国矿业和精炼业,但也将推高制造商成本并收紧全球供应
9月10日(路透社)——据两名知情人士透露,白宫尚未就精炼铜关税做出最终决定。官员们正权衡各方顾虑:一方面,铜价上涨可能推高制造业成本;另一方面,关税或能鼓励更多国内矿业发展,带来潜在益处。
此番犹豫之际,美国政府在11月中期选举前愈发聚焦民众负担能力问题。总统唐纳德·特朗普以及共和党议员正面临压力,需要证明他们的经济政策正在降低——而非抬高——美国消费者和企业的成本。
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由于市场预期特朗普将对阴极铜等精炼铜产品以及矿山生产的铜精矿征收关税,铜价已大幅飙升至历史新高。交易员和工业买家纷纷涌向美国建立库存,以应对可能出台的新关税,美国目前的铜库存规模已跻身全球前列。
一名白宫官员表示,政府尚未就关税做出最终决定,并证实商务部已在白宫设定的6月30日截止日期前向特朗普提交了最新报告。
“政府仍在评估所有选项,以将铜及其他关键制造业回迁美国,”该官员说道。
这番表态意味着关税并非板上钉钉,尽管市场普遍预期美国可能将现有关税范围扩大至精炼铜产品。
作为特朗普更广泛的重振美国制造业、减少对外国关键材料供应依赖计划的一部分,政府一直在考虑对精炼铜征收关税。
铜广泛应用于建筑、交通、电子及众多其他行业。标普全球
SPGI.N 预计,到2040年,人工智能和国防领域的增长将推动全球铜需求增长50%。
美国每年约有一半的铜需求依赖进口,目前仅拥有两座运营中的铜冶炼厂,分别由自由港-麦克莫兰公司
FCX.N 和力拓
RIO.L 运营。
拟议中的关税将使进口铜价格上涨,改善美国矿业、冶炼和精炼项目的经济可行性。例如,力拓一名高管今年早些时候告诉路透社,“当前围绕铜的一系列机制和关税”几乎无法抵消其美国冶炼厂面临的严峻经济形势。
但更广泛的铜关税也可能推高依赖该金属的制造商成本,包括电气设备、汽车、建筑产品及其他工业商品生产商。
这种两难局面让政府的政策实施变得复杂:既要利用关税鼓励国内生产,又不能加剧通胀或破坏特朗普关于降低生活成本的政治主张。
关税政策的不确定性也阻碍了铜流向美国以外的市场,进一步收紧了全球供应。
“只要(关税)政策悬而未决,这种不确定性就会降低企业将铜运往国际市场的积极性,”斯普罗特资产管理公司的矿产分析师雅各布·怀特说道,该公司投资于铜生产商。
美国依赖全球铜矿商
市场对铜关税的预期可以追溯至2025年,当时市场预期将对所有含铜产品征收全面关税。但特朗普在2025年7月并未推出如此大范围的关税,而是仅对管道、电线及其他半成品征收关税,这让铜矿开采企业颇为不满。
特朗普已要求商务部长霍华德·卢特尼克在6月前就铜市场情况提交最新报告,并建议是否从2027年1月起征收15%的关税,2028年将关税税率上调至30%。目前尚不清楚卢特尼克向特朗普提出了何种建议。
根据美国地质调查局的数据,自2015年以来,美国精炼铜进口量已增长16倍,而同期国内铜产量下滑了20%。美国境内拥有可供应近30年的铜储量。
过去一年中,特朗普一直在推动提振美国铜项目,包括必和必拓
BHP.AX 和力拓在亚利桑那州的Resolution Copper项目,以及安托法加斯塔
ANTO.L 在明尼苏达州的Twin Metals项目。
特朗普还采取措施禁止出口含铜的电子废料。
贾勒特·伦肖与欧内斯特·沙伊德报道;克里斯托弗·库欣编辑
White House copper tariff plan stalls amid affordability concerns, sources say
2026-09-10T10:08:27.397Z / Reuters
A coil of copper rod sits on the production line for copper flat wire at the Wellascent factory in Ganzhou, Jiangxi province, China, August 14, 2025. REUTERS/Florence Lo/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
- Summary
- Companies
- White House has yet to decide on refined copper tariffs amid concerns over higher manufacturing costs
- Copper prices have hit record highs as buyers stockpile metal ahead of possible tariffs
- Tariffs could boost US mining and refining but raise costs for manufacturers and tighten global supplies
Sept 10 (Reuters) – The White House has not yet made a decision on refined copper tariffs as officials juggle concerns that higher prices for the red metal could raise manufacturing costs against the potential benefits of encouraging more domestic mining, according to two people familiar with the matter.
The hesitation comes as the administration is increasingly focused on affordability ahead of November’s midterm elections, with President Donald Trump and Republican lawmakers facing pressure to demonstrate that their economic policies are lowering — rather than raising — costs for American consumers and businesses.
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Copper prices have surged to record highs amid expectations that Trump would impose tariffs on refined copper products such as cathode, as well as copper concentrate produced at mine sites. Traders and industrial buyers have been rushing to build inventories in the United States to get ahead of any new duties, creating one of the world’s largest stockpiles of the metal.
A White House official said the administration had not made a final decision on the tariffs and confirmed that the Commerce Department provided an update to Trump by a June 30 deadline set by the White House.
“The administration continues to evaluate all options to reshore copper and other critical manufacturing back to the United States,” the official said.
The comments suggest tariffs are not a foregone conclusion, despite the market’s expectation that the United States could extend existing duties to refined copper.
The administration has been considering tariffs on refined copper as part of Trump’s broader push to rebuild U.S. manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign supplies of critical materials.
Copper is used in construction, transportation, electronics and many other industries. S&P Global
SPGI.N expects growth in the AI and defense sectors to boost global copper demand 50% by 2040.
The U.S. imports roughly half of its copper needs each year and only has two operational copper smelters, owned by Freeport-McMoRan
FCX.N
and Rio Tinto
RIO.L
, respectively.
The proposed tariffs could make imported copper more expensive and improve the economics of U.S. mining, smelting and refining projects. A Rio executive, for example, told Reuters earlier this year “the current set of mechanisms and tariffs around copper” do little to offset the challenging economics of its U.S. smelter.
But broader copper tariffs could also raise costs for manufacturers that rely on the metal, including producers of electrical equipment, automobiles, construction products and other industrial goods.
That tension has complicated the administration’s efforts to use tariffs to encourage domestic production without adding to inflation or undermining Trump’s political message on lowering the cost of living.
The tariff uncertainty is also preventing copper from flowing to markets outside the U.S., further tightening global supply.
“As long as (tariff) policy remains unresolved, that possibility reduces the incentive to return metal to international markets,” said Jacob White, a minerals analyst at Sprott Asset Management, which invests in copper producers.
U.S. RELIANT ON GLOBAL COPPER MINERS
The expectation for a copper tariff echoes 2025, when the market expected a blanket tariff on all products containing the metal. Trump, however, stopped short in July 2025 of such a sweeping tariff and instead imposed levies on pipes, wiring and other semi-finished products, much to the chagrin of companies that mine copper itself.
Trump tasked Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick with updating him by June on copper markets and recommending whether to impose a 15% tariff starting on January 1, 2027, that would rise to 30% in 2028. It was not immediately clear what Lutnick recommended to Trump.
U.S. refined copper imports have jumped 16-fold since 2015, even as production slipped 20%, according to U.S. Geological Survey data. The country has nearly 30 years’ worth of supply within its borders.
Trump has pushed in the past year to bolster U.S. copper projects, including the Resolution Copper project in Arizona from BHP
BHP.AX
and Rio, and the Twin Metals project in Minnesota from Antofagasta
ANTO.L
.
Trump also has moved to ban the export of electronic waste, which contains copper.
Reporting by Jarrett Renshaw and Ernest Scheyder; Editing by Christopher Cushing
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