2026-09-03T05:00:45-04:00 / 福克斯新闻频道
众议院议长迈克·约翰逊依旧强硬，民主党将目标选区扩大至58个共和党掌控的选区
作者：保罗·斯坦豪瑟 福克斯新闻
发布于2026年9月3日美国东部时间早上5:00
当被问及共和党不仅要保住国会多数席位，还要扩大优势时，众议院议长迈克·约翰逊告诉福克斯新闻数字频道：“我对选举夜的结果非常乐观。”
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距离选举日还有两个月，六个州将于本月晚些时候启动提前投票，民主党人越来越乐观地认为他们可以重新夺回国会多数席位。
中期选举进入最后冲刺阶段，尽管民主党自身的全国形象不佳，但他们认为当前的政治环境意外利好；而共和党人则坚称，结构性优势以及民主党向左翼靠拢的立场，将让他们打破中期选举的历史规律。
参议院共和党目前以53票对47票掌控该院，众议院的多数席位则更加脆弱。领先的无党派政治预测机构的最新预测也越来越倾向于民主党。
但态度强硬的众议院议长迈克·约翰逊不仅预测共和党将保住众议院控制权，还告诉福克斯新闻数字频道：“我们将扩大多数席位优势。”
议长约翰逊打破历史的中期选举预测
众议院议长迈克·约翰逊（中）2026年8月17日与缅因州第二国会选区共和党提名候选人、前州长保罗·勒帕吉在缅因州奥本进行竞选活动。（保罗·斯坦豪瑟/福克斯新闻）
作为当前执政党，共和党本就面临着中期选举年国会席位通常会失守的传统政治逆风。再加上民众日常在杂货店感受到的持续通胀、与伊朗不受欢迎的战争推高的油价，以及唐纳德·特朗普总统支持率远低于及格线等因素，让共和党面临更具挑战性的选情。
“我们将夺回参议院。共和党人原本以为参议院胜券在握，但现在民主党正走在胜利的道路上。我们已经让整个竞选地图彻底明朗化，”来自纽约州的参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默参议员两周前对记者表示。
但民主党在试图夺回国会多数席位的过程中也面临自身问题，包括民调显示其政党形象极不受欢迎。今年春夏，左翼和社会主义候选人在民主党初选中击败建制派对手的高调胜利，也给了共和党额外的弹药，将所有民主党人描绘成极端主义者。
这12场中期选举将决定哪个政党掌控参议院
2026年6月18日，国会候选人克莱尔·巴尔韦德、布拉德·兰德、市长佐赫兰·曼达尼和国会候选人达里亚利扎·阿维拉·谢瓦利尔在纽约市国王剧院举行的“出去投票”（GOTV）集会上举手。（迈克尔·M·圣地亚哥/盖蒂图片社）
“这是一场对比鲜明的选举，民众正在对比常识性解决方案与候选人，而另一方代表的则是真正的疯狂之举，”约翰逊在缅因州竞选活动期间接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时称。“我对选举夜的结果非常乐观。”
在众议院的角逐中，特朗普和共和党领导人推动的中期人口重新划界行动为共和党带来了助力，全美可能新增多达12个倾向保守党的新选区。
但有迹象表明共和党面临艰难的选情：众议院民主党人上个月将中期选举目标选区扩大至58个共和党掌控的选区，其中包括特朗普在2024年赢得的12个席位。
两年前特朗普和共和党赢得选举，得益于受生活成本高企困扰的美国民众的支持。两年后，通胀成为共和党最大的软肋。
民主之’26：随时了解福克斯新闻选举中心的最新动态
2026年8月21日，唐纳德·特朗普总统在南卡罗来纳州默特尔比奇会议中心为参议员达琳·格雷厄姆的竞选集会发表演讲前向观众致意。（索尔·洛布/法新社 via 盖蒂图片社）
在最新的福克斯新闻全国民调中，四分之三的受访选民表示通胀给他们带来了经济困难，54%的人预计经济状况会进一步恶化。
福克斯新闻民调以及其他近期民调还显示，民主党选民的投票热情高于共和党，且在通用选票问题上继续领先——该问题询问受访者在不提及具体候选人的情况下，会为所在国会选区的民主党人还是共和党人投票。
“唐纳德·特朗普发动了一场没人想要的战争，现在美国人正在为此付出代价。汽油价格飙升，在特朗普执政时期本就挣扎的家庭，不仅要进一步压缩预算，还要为这场战争买单，”民主党全国委员会主席肯·马丁在一份声明中表示。
共和党在竞选资金上领先民主党，且对中期选举持乐观态度。
“我们有机会打破历史规律，赢得中期选举，”共和党全国委员会（RNC）主席乔·格鲁特斯今年夏天告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
格鲁特斯和其他共和党领导人重点宣传了国会共和党通过并由特朗普去年签署成为法律的针对小费、加班费和社会保障的重大减税政策。
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但共和党面临着投票意愿低迷的问题：没有特朗普名字在选票上时，MAGA选民并不总是会前往投票站。
格鲁特斯称特朗普是“政治史上无与伦比的最佳表演者……他知道如何吸引这些投票意愿低迷的选民。他知道如何调动人们的积极性，让他们为中期选举感到兴奋，而这正是我们所需要的。”
他还提到了下周举办的首届共和党中期选举大会，表示“这让我们有机会凸显这位总统在这场伟大的美国复兴努力中所做的一切好事。”
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但民主党也在宣传自身的动员投票行动。
“今年，民主党全国委员会的组织团队推出了‘本地倾听者’项目，这是一个史无前例的项目，与近1万名2020年投票但2024年未投票的选民进行了沟通，”民主党全国委员会的马丁说道。“我们的发现可能会改变今年中期选举的局势。”
保罗·斯坦豪瑟为福克斯新闻全程报道全国竞选活动
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Johnson downplays GOP’s midterm woes as Democrats eye House takeover: ‘I am very bullish’
2026-09-03T05:00:45-04:00 / Fox News
House Speaker Mike Johnson remains defiant as Democrats expand their target list to 58 Republican-held districts
By Paul Steinhauser Fox News
Published September 3, 2026 5:00am EDT
Asked about not only holding but growing the GOP’s congressional majority, House Speaker Mike Johnson tells News Digital ‘I am very bullish about the outcome on Election Night.’
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With two months to go until Election Day, and early voting kicking off later this month in half a dozen states, Democrats are increasingly optimistic they can recapture congressional majorities.
With the final stretch towards the midterms underway, Democrats see an unexpectedly favorable political environment despite their own weak national brand, while Republicans insist structural advantages and the Democrats’ shift to the left will allow them to defy midterm history.
Senate Republicans control their chamber by a 53-47 margin, and the majority is even more fragile in the House. And the latest forecasts from the leading nonpartisan political handicappers keep leaning towards the Democrats.
But a defiant House Speaker Mike Johnson not only predicts the GOP will hold control of the chamber, but he tells Fox News Digital, “We’re going to grow the majority.”
SPEAKER JOHNSON’S MIDTERM PREDICTION TO BUCK HISTORY
House Speaker Mike Johnson, center, campaigns with former Gov. Paul LePage, the Republican nominee in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, in Auburn, Maine, on August 17, 2026.(Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)
Republicans — as the party currently in power — were already up against traditional political headwinds that have historically led to a loss of congressional seats during midterm election years. Add to that the challenging climate fueled by persistent inflation Americans see daily at the grocery store, high gas prices tied to what polls show is an unpopular war with Iran and President Donald Trump’s well underwater approval ratings.
“We are going to take back the Senate. Republicans thought they had the Senate locked down, but now Democrats, we are on the path to victory. We’ve blown the map wide open,” longtime Senate Democratic Leader Sen.Chuck Schumerof New York told reporters two weeks ago.
But Democrats have problems of their own as they try to win back control of congressional majorities in the midterms, including a party brand that public opinion polling indicates is extremely unpopular. And high-profile victories this spring and summer by left-wing and socialist candidates over establishment rivals in Democratic primaries are giving Republicans extra ammunition to portray all Democrats as extremists.
THESE 12 MIDTERM RACES WILL DECIDE WHICH PARTY CONTROLS THE SENATE
Congressional candidate Claire Valdez, congressional candidate Brad Lander, Mayor Zohran Mamdani and congressional candidate Darializa Avila Chevalier raise their hands during a Get Out the Vote (GOTV) rally at King’s Theater on June 18, 2026, in New York City.(Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)
“It’s a contrast election, and people are making a contrast between common-sense solutions and candidates, and really crazy, which is represented by the other side,” Johnson claimed, during a Fox News Digital interview on the campaign trail in Maine. “I am very bullish about the outcome on election night.”
In the battle for the House, the mid-decade redistricting push by Trump and GOP leaders is giving Republicans a boost, with a potential net gain of up to a dozen newly drawn right-tilting districts across the country.
But in a sign of the rough landscape facing the GOP, House Democrats last month expanded their midterm target list to 58 Republican-held districts, including 12 seats in territory Trump carried in 2024.
The victories by Trump and Republicans two years ago were fueled by Americans fed up with the high cost of living. Two years later, inflation is the Republicans’ biggest liability.
DEMOCRACY ’26: STAY UP TO DATE WITH THE FOX NEWS ELECTION HUB
President Donald Trump points as he arrives to speak during a campaign rally for U.S. Sen. Darline Graham at Myrtle Beach Convention Center in Myrtle Beach, S.C. on Aug. 21, 2026.(SAUL LOEB / AFP via Getty Images)
Three out of four voters questioned in the most recent Fox News national poll said inflation had caused financial hardship, while 54% expected the economy to worsen.
The Fox News poll and other recent surveys also indicate Democrats holding an enthusiasm advantage over Republicans, and continuing to lead on the generic ballot question, which asks if a respondent would vote for the Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without offering specific names.
“Donald Trump started a war that no one wanted, and now Americans are paying the price. Gas prices are soaring and families who were already struggling in Trump’s economy are forced to stretch their budgets even further while footing the bill for this war,”Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin said in a statement.
Republicans hold a campaign cash edge over Democrats, and remain optimistic about the midterms.
“We have a chance to defy history and win the midterms,” Republican National Committee (RNC) Chair Joe Gruters told Fox News Digital this summer.
Gruters and other GOP leaders are spotlighting the major tax cuts on tips, overtime and Social Security that congressional Republicans passed and Trump signed into law last year.
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But Republicans are facing a low-propensity problem: MAGA voters who don’t always go to the polls when Trump’s name isn’t on the ballot.
Gruters called Trump the “best showman that’s ever existed in politics, bar none… He knows how to deliver these low-propensity voters. He knows how to get people up, motivated, excited about the midterms, and that’s what we’re going to need.”
And he pointed to next week’s first ever GOP midterm convention and said, “It gives us a chance to highlight all the wonderful things this president has done in our effort on this great American comeback.”
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But Democrats are touting their own get-out-the-vote efforts.
“This year, the DNC organizing team launched Local Listeners, a first-of-its-kind program that talked to nearly 10,000 people who voted in 2020, but not 2024,” the DNC’s Martin said. “What we found could change the game for the midterms this year.”
Paul Steinhauser covers the national campaign trail from coast to coast for Fox News
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