2026年9月1日 美国东部时间下午2:51 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
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梅根·塞鲁洛 记者，MoneyWatch栏目
梅根·塞鲁洛是驻纽约的哥伦比亚广播公司MoneyWatch栏目记者，报道中小企业、职场、医疗保健、消费者支出和个人理财话题。她经常亮相哥伦比亚广播公司24小时新闻频道讨论其报道内容。
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根据一项最新估算，雇主明年大概率仅会为员工提供小幅薪资涨幅。
专业服务机构达信（Marsh）在对1000家美国企业开展的调查中发现，包括绩效加薪、生活成本调整、晋升加薪及其他薪资增长在内，明年的平均薪资涨幅预计为3.5%。
“2023年是薪资涨幅的峰值，此后我们看到涨幅持续放缓，”达信薪酬专家马克·博林对哥伦比亚广播公司表示，“企业的薪资预算可能已经达到了新的常态水平。”
达信指出，大多数雇主尚未最终敲定预算方案。不过，如果这一预测成真，有限的薪资涨幅将让许多员工几乎难以跟上通胀步伐。7月美国消费者价格同比上涨3.4%，尽管经济学家普遍预计今年及2027年通胀将有所回落。
博林提到，企业面临着如何在全员范围内合理分配有限的薪酬预算的难题，尤其是在经济持续存在不确定性的背景下。“他们会将加薪倾斜到能对员工留存和业务优先级产生最大影响的岗位和人群上。”
薪资调研机构Payscale的数据显示，这也是许多雇主不再像过去那样“均匀撒盐”式地给全体员工加薪，转而向表现优秀的个人提供更高薪酬的原因。
达信的调查显示，高薪行业的顶尖员工明年有望获得更高的薪资涨幅。例如，高科技企业的预计平均薪资涨幅为3.8%，银行业员工的平均加薪幅度则为3.7%。
相比之下，就业机会不断减少的行业（如零售业）的员工，获得的薪资涨幅可能更低，甚至跑不赢通胀。
“总会有一部分人的薪资涨幅跟不上通胀，”博林说道。
阿兰·谢特尔 编辑
Modest pay hikes next year could leave some workers lagging inflation
September 1, 2026 2:51 PM EDT / CBS News
By
Megan Cerullo Reporter, MoneyWatch
Megan Cerullo is a New York-based reporter for CBS MoneyWatch covering small business, workplace, health care, consumer spending and personal finance topics. She regularly appears on CBS News 24/7 to discuss her reporting.
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Employers are likely to offer their workers only modest pay hikes in 2027, according to a new estimate.
Salary increases next year are forecast to average 3.5%, including merit raises, cost-of-living adjustments, promotions and other pay increases, Marsh, a professional services firm, found in a survey of 1,000 U.S. organizations.
“2023 was the high-water mark for salary increases, and since then, we’ve seen them moderate,” Marsh compensation expert Mark Bowling told CBS News. “We may have reached a new normal for what organizations are budgeting for salary increases.”
Marsh noted that most employers have yet to finalize their budgeting decisions. If the projections hold, however, limited pay increases could leave many employees barely keeping up with inflation. Consumer prices rose at a 3.4% annual rate in July, although economists generally expect inflation to fade this year and in 2027.
Bowling noted that companies face the challenge of strategically distributing their limited compensation budgets across their ranks, especially amid ongoing economic uncertainty. “They focus on increases where they can have the greatest impact on retention and their business priorities.”
That’s why many employers are moving away from spreading pay hikes evenly across their workforces in what is known as “peanut-butter” raises in favor of sweetening the comp of strong individual performers, according to Payscale.
Indeed, top performers in higher-paying sectors could see higher pay hikes next year, Marsh’s survey shows. For example, the average projected salary increase among high-tech companies is 3.8%, while banking industry workers could see average raises of 3.7%.
By contrast, workers in industries where job opportunities are dwindling, such as retail, could receive lower pay increases that fall short of inflation.
“There are going to be folks who aren’t keeping up with inflation,” Bowling said.
Edited by Alain Sherter
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