2026年8月22日 / 美国东部时间下午5:34 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻（CBS News）
马克·奥斯本 撰稿
在飓风“拉拉”造成严重破坏之后，热带风暴“莫克”预计将于本周末在夏威夷群岛以南掠过，并带来强降雨和阵风。
根据美国国家飓风中心的数据，截至周六中午，“莫克”的最大持续风速为每小时50英里，预计全天将持续增强。这场风暴预计不会在夏威夷登陆，但仍将于周六晚间至周日清晨给大岛带来风雨，随后在下周初影响其他岛屿。
毛伊县县长理查德·比森在一份声明中表示：“热带风暴‘拉拉’最近造成的影响意味着，即使是小雨和阵风也可能引发洪水、 debris、树木倒伏、道路问题和停电。”“各县级部门已在为热带风暴‘莫克’做准备，我们呼吁社区居民也做好相应准备。”
热带风暴“莫克”预计将在未来几天内从夏威夷群岛以南经过。 美国国家海洋和大气管理局（NOAA）
美国国家飓风中心表示：“这场降雨可能对迎风坡和大岛东南部地区造成致命性的洪水和泥石流，尤其是在陡峭地形以及近期受‘拉拉’风暴影响的区域。”
就在上个周末，夏威夷群岛，尤其是大岛，遭受了飓风“拉拉”的重创。自1992年飓风“伊尼基”以来，夏威夷州尚未遭遇过直接登陆的飓风，但当时的一级飓风“拉拉”的风眼仅在大岛海岸外30英里处经过，带来了超过每小时80英里的阵风和暴雨，部分地区降雨量超过3英尺。位于毛伊县的卡帕拉亚周末降雨量达到48英寸。
比森说：“我们知道社区中许多人已经出现风暴疲劳，仍在从上周的天气系统中恢复，因此感谢大家继续相互关照、做好准备——尤其是考虑到我们正处于一个高于平均水平的飓风季。”
“莫克”的总降雨量不会像“拉拉”那样高，但仍将具有危险性，尤其是在地面已经饱和的情况下。美国国家飓风中心表示，受重创最严重的大岛总降雨量将达到5至10英寸，部分地区最高可达15英寸。作为第二大岛的东毛伊岛平均降雨量将为3至6英寸。其他岛屿的降雨量预计为1至2英寸。
热带风暴“莫克”预计将给夏威夷大岛带来5至10英寸降雨，部分地区最高可达15英寸。 美国国家海洋和大气管理局（NOAA）
夏威夷州已于周六启动联合信息中心，距离其为应对“拉拉”风暴而关闭该中心仅过去数日。该信息中心负责协调夏威夷应急管理局向公众发布最新消息。
受厄尔尼诺气候模式影响，东太平洋海水变暖，夏威夷群岛正为此付出代价。温暖的海水是热带气旋形成的必要燃料，这使得此次厄尔尼诺阶段为该地区飓风季活跃度上升提供了完美条件。
厄尔尼诺气候模式会降低垂直风切变——即高空风向的变化，使得该地区形成的热带系统不会被“吹散”而解体。
乔纳森·维利亚奥蒂和尼基·诺兰对本文亦有贡献。
Tropical Storm Moke expected to bring up to 15 inches of rain in Hawaii: Maps and projected path
August 22, 2026 / 5:34 PM EDT / CBS News
By Mark Osborne
Tropical Storm Moke is expected to deliver heavy rainfall and gusty winds this weekend as it skirts just south of the Hawaiian Islands in the wake of serious damage delivered by Hurricane Lala.
Moke packed maximum sustained winds of 50 mph as of midday Saturday and was expected to strengthen throughout the day, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm is not expected to make landfall in Hawaii, but will still deliver rain and wind to the Big Island on Saturday night and early Sunday and then the other islands early next week.
“Recent impacts from Tropical Storm Lala mean that even light to moderate rain and wind could trigger flooding, debris, downed trees, roadway issues and power outages,” Maui County Mayor Richard Bissen said in a statement. “County departments have been preparing for Tropical Storm Moke, and we’re asking our community to do the same.”
Tropical Storm Moke is expected to travel south of the Hawaiian Islands over the next several days. NOAA
“This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides for the windward and southeast Big Island, especially in steep terrain and over areas that were affected recently by Lala,” according to the National Hurricane Center.
The islands, especially the Big Island, were hit very hard by Hurricane Lala just last weekend. A hurricane hasn’t made direct landfall in the state since Iniki in 1992, but the eye of the then-Category 1 Hurricane Lala passed just 30 miles off the Big Island’s coast, bringing wind gusts over 80 mph and torrential rain, with some areas seeing more than 3 feet. Kapalua, located in Maui County, was hit with 48 inches of rain over the weekend.
“We know many in our community are experiencing storm fatigue and still recovering from last weekend’s weather system, so mahalo for continuing to look out for one another and staying prepared — especially because we are up against an above-average hurricane season,” Bissen said.
The rainfall totals from Moke won’t be as high, but will still be dangerous, especially in conjunction with the already saturated ground. Rainfall totals across the hard-hit Big Island will span 5 to 10 inches with up to 15 inches in some locations, according to the National Hurricane Center. Eastern Maui, the second-largest of the islands, will receive 3 to 6 inches on average. The rest of the islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rain.
Tropical Storm Moke is forecast to deliver 5 to 10 inches of rain to Hawaii’s Big Island, and up to 15 inches in some places. NOAA
Hawaii activated its joint information center on Saturday, just days after deactivating its center for Lala. The information center is responsible for coordinating updates for the public from the Hawaii Emergency Management Agency.
The islands are paying a price from an El Niño climate pattern, via warming waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Warm ocean waters are the essential fuel for tropical cyclone development, which makes this El Niño phase perfect conditions for an increased hurricane season in the region.
Because it reduces vertical wind shear, meaning change in direction of winds at higher levels of the atmosphere, an El Niño climate pattern allows for tropical systems that develop in the region to avoid getting “blown over” and falling apart.
Jonathan Vigliotti and Nikki Nolan contributed to this report.
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