特朗普支持的候选人失利情况愈演愈烈


2026-08-19T16:23:53.003Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/19/politics/trump-candidates-primary-losses

周二,怀俄明州以及佛罗里达州两个国会选区的共和党初选共有近30万人投票,其中唐纳德·特朗普总统曾为其中一位候选人背书。

但其中仅有28%的选民将票投给了他推荐的候选人,这对特朗普背书的候选人来说是尤为惨重的一夜。

而这种情况早有预兆:随着越来越多的共和党选民不再听从这位如今愈发像跛脚鸭总统的建议,并且对其带来的结果感到有些不满。

本届初选季以来,共和党初选选民已经否决了10位特朗普背书的全州公职或国会席位候选人。

根据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)使用Ballotpedia汇总的特朗普背书情况进行的分析,这一数字与2018年、2020年和2024年初选的失利候选人总数相当。

这一数字也正在逼近2022年初选季的纪录:当年共有12位特朗普背书的候选人失利。那一年,在2021年1月6日美国国会山骚乱之后,外界曾质疑共和党是否正在与特朗普划清界限。

这并不意味着特朗普对共和党已毫无影响力,但这是最新迹象表明他对党内的掌控已经松动。

数据也能说明问题。

特朗普背书的候选人周二在怀俄明州州长竞选(梅根·德根费尔德)以及佛罗里达州的两场国会众议院选举(众议员科里·米尔斯和卡塔莉娜·劳夫)中失利。这意味着:

  • 今年失利的10位候选人中有6位仅在8月就遭遇了滑铁卢。除了周二落败的这三位,明尼苏达州州长候选人迈克·林德尔、田纳西州众议员安迪·奥格尔斯以及密歇根州国会候选人阿米尔·哈桑均已落选。
  • 5位特朗普背书的州长候选人失利。即便在2022年,也仅有3位特朗普支持的州长候选人落败,当时的失利更多集中在次要的全州公职职位上。
  • 特朗普背书的候选人在他未支持现任者的州长初选中,失利率达到了42%(12场里输掉了5场)。
  • 2026年初选季对特朗普来说 arguably 比2022年更糟,因为2022年的失利集中在一个不同寻常的州——佐治亚州,当时该州共和党建制派反对特朗普关于2020年总统大选存在大规模选民欺诈的虚假言论。事实上,2022年特朗普支持的候选人失利的12场中,有6场就发生在这个“桃子之州”。此外,特朗普如今已是在任总统。
  • 怀俄明州的德根费尔德和佛罗里达州的劳夫获得的得票率,是迄今为止所有特朗普背书候选人中倒数第三和倒数第二低的。德根费尔德目前得票率不足30%,而劳夫仅为22%。

对特朗普支持的候选人而言,情况可能会更糟。未来几周,这位总统的失利记录可能还会进一步增加。

在剩余为数不多的初选日期中,特朗普已背书新罕布什尔州第一国会选区的安东尼·迪洛伦佐,以及下周南卡罗来纳州特别选举中的现任参议员达琳·格雷厄姆。

就在周二晚间三位特朗普支持的候选人失利的同时,格雷厄姆在与初选 runoff 对手、众议员拉尔夫·诺瑟姆的辩论中表现挣扎。格雷厄姆曾坦言自己“对国家安全方面了解……没那么多”,在被问及台湾是否属于美国国家安全问题时尴尬地避而不答。

如果格雷厄姆最终落败,她将成为继2017年阿拉巴马州的卢瑟·斯特兰奇、2018年西弗吉尼亚州的埃文·詹金斯以及2024年犹他州的特伦特·斯泰格斯之后,第四位在初选中失利的特朗普背书的参议院候选人。

这些初选失利的时间节点并非巧合:越来越多的证据表明,支持共和党的选民正日益对这位历史上支持率低迷的总统的所作所为感到不满。

美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)近期的一项民调显示,30%、40%乃至50%或更多的共和党人和倾向共和党的无党派人士在一些关键议题上对特朗普表示不满。

而这种不利的舆论似乎也开始让特朗普有所察觉。

除了在南卡罗来纳州州长初选 runoff 中,在其候选人、副州长帕姆·埃维特几乎铁定落败后,特朗普同时背书了两位候选人之外,他周三上午还就米尔斯在佛罗里达州的失利发表了一番不同寻常的声明。

“我告诉佛罗里达州的众议员科里·米尔斯,我的一位朋友,退出竞选,但他不听,”特朗普在社交媒体上声称,“他认为自己能赢,那谁又能怪他呢?我们现在有一位优秀的候选人瑞安·伊莱贾接替他参选!”

当然,特朗普从未公开施加过这种压力。而这如今又成为了最新证据,让人质疑他对共和党一统天下的掌控局面。

Losses are piling up for Trump-backed candidates

2026-08-19T16:23:53.003Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/19/politics/trump-candidates-primary-losses

Nearly 300,000 people turned out to vote Tuesday in Republican primaries in Wyoming and two congressional districts in Florida where President Donald Trump endorsed one of the candidates.

But just 28% of them voted for the candidates he told them to, marking a particularly brutal night for Trump-endorsed candidates.

But that’s been a long time coming as GOP voters have increasingly shrugged off the advice of — and grown somewhat frustrated with the results from — a president who’s looking more like a lame duck.

Republican primary voters have now rejected 10 Trump-endorsed candidates for statewide office or Congress this primary season.

That’s equal to the number who lost in 2018, 2020 and 2024 primaries combined, according to a CNN analysis using Trump endorsements compiled by Ballotpedia.

The number is also approaching the record of 12 Trump-endorsed candidates who lost in the 2022 primary season. That year, there was some question as to whether the party was turning the page on Trump after the January 6, 2021, US Capitol riot.

That doesn’t mean Trump holds no sway over his party, but it’s the latest sign that his grip has loosened.

And the stats tell the tale.

Trump-endorsed candidates lost Tuesday in the Wyoming governor’s race (Megan Degenfelder) and a pair of US House races in Florida (Rep. Cory Mills and Catalina Lauf). That now means:

  • 6 of the 10 losers this year have lost in August alone. In addition to the trio on Tuesday, Minnesota governor candidate Mike Lindell, Tennessee Rep. Andy Ogles and Michigan congressional candidate Amir Hassan all lost.
  • 5 Trump-endorsed candidates for governor have lost. Even in 2022, just 3 Trump-backed candidates for governor lost; his losses back then featured more minor statewide offices.
  • Trump’s endorsed candidates have now lost in 42% of the gubernatorial primaries where he wasn’t backing the incumbent (5 out of 12).
  • The 2026 primary season is also arguably worse for Trump than 2022 because that year’s losses were concentrated in one unusual state — Georgia, where the GOP establishment stood up to Trump’s false claims of massive voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election that he lost. In fact, 6 of the 12 losses by Trump-backed candidates in 2022 came in the Peach State alone. In addition, Trump is now an incumbent president.
  • Degenfelder in Wyoming and Lauf in Florida took 2 of the 3 of the lowest shares of the vote of any Trump-endorsed candidates to date. Degenfelder is currently under 30%, while Lauf is at 22%.

And it could get worse for Trump’s picks. It’s possible that the president’s losses could mount further in the weeks to come.

On the few remaining primary dates, Trump has backed Anthony DiLorenzo in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District, as well as appointed Sen. Darline Graham in the South Carolina special election next week.

While the trio of Trump-backed candidates was losing on Tuesday night, Graham was struggling through a debate with her primary runoff opponent, Rep. Ralph Northam. At one point, Graham admitted she was “not … that informed on national security,” punting awkwardly on a question about whether Taiwan is a national security issue for the United States.

If Graham were to lose, she would be just the fourth Trump-backed Senate candidate to lose a primary, after Alabama’s Luther Strange in 2017, West Virginia’s Evan Jenkins in 2018 and Utah’s Trent Staggs in 2024.

These primary losses also come — not coincidentally — as there is increasing evidence that GOP-leaning voters are growing frustrated with actions from a historically unpopular president.

A recent CNN poll found 30%, 40% and even 50% or more Republicans and GOP-leaning independents are registering discontent with Trump on some key issues.

And it seems this unhelpful narrative is starting to register with Trump.

In addition to double endorsing in the June primary runoff for South Carolina governor after it became pretty clear his candidate, Lt. Gov. Pam Evette, would lose, he issued a remarkable missive Wednesday morning about Mills’ loss in Florida.

“I told Congressman Cory Mills of Florida, a friend of mine, to get out of the Race, but he wouldn’t listen,” Trump claimed on social media. “He thought he could win, so who can blame him? We now have a great candidate, Ryan Elijah, running in his place!”

Of course, Trump didn’t apply this pressure publicly. And now it’s the latest evidence calling into question his domination of the party.

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