佛罗里达、阿拉斯加与怀俄明州关键选战:选民考量德桑蒂斯继任者及其他焦点 races


2026-08-18T08:00:29.393Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

佛罗里达州共和党人将于周二选出该州州长职位的候选人,以接替任期届满的罗恩·德桑蒂斯。这场初选在某些层面已演变为激烈的党内内讧,尽管最终结果几乎没有悬念。

获得前总统唐纳德·特朗普背书的那不勒斯籍众议员拜伦·唐纳兹是共和党州长初选中的热门人选。德桑蒂斯并未在这场竞选中为唐纳兹背书,据CNN上月报道,他曾私下向特朗普表达对唐纳兹的担忧。但德桑蒂斯也未支持该初选阵营中的任何其他候选人,其中包括他的副州长。

这一空白为詹姆斯·菲什巴克的崛起留出了空间。这位31岁的政客曾散播种族歧视言论,称非裔的唐纳兹是“其金主的奴隶”,是一名“多元化、公平与包容(DEI)共和党人”,会“将佛罗里达变成第8类住房贫民区”。

周二的选举同时也是选民首次在新的国会选区地图下投票。该地图由德桑蒂斯主导制定,旨在帮助共和党额外拿下四个席位,由此引发了下级选举席位的激烈争夺。

随着民主党人在重划后的选区完成一系列初选,本次选举还将检验民主社会主义者能否继续取得进展,以及选民对以色列相关议题的立场。共和党选民同样面临艰难抉择,多场充满争议的众议院初选出现了颇具争议的候选人。

佛罗里达州是当日初选的焦点,阿拉斯加和怀俄明州也将举行初选。与此同时,加利福尼亚州将举行一场众议院席位空缺的特别选举决选。

以下是周二选举的关注重点:

尽管德桑蒂斯显然对唐纳兹心存疑虑,但过去30年来,共和党人在佛罗里达州的每一场州长选举中都取得了胜利。无论周二谁胜出——大概率是唐纳兹——都将在周三上午成为11月大选的明确热门人选。

不过,民主党人在2018年曾险些拿下州长职位,上一次中期选举时特朗普仍在任。如果唐纳兹在周二的初选中表现相对疲软,可能预示着民主党人有机会让州长竞选变得势均力敌。

除菲什巴克外,共和党初选的其他候选人包括副州长杰伊·柯林斯——尽管州长未背书这位自己的副手,但柯林斯的竞选纲领围绕着保护德桑蒂斯执政遗产展开——以及前州众议院议长保罗·伦纳。

预计民主党将提名弃党转投的前众议员戴维·乔利参选州长。乔利是特朗普的尖锐批评者,2018年退出共和党,去年正式加入民主党。

本月早些时候特朗普在社交媒体上发布了获得其背书的佛罗里达共和党人名单时,有一个明显的遗漏:第7选区众议员科里·米尔斯——特朗普曾在2月为其背书。上周当被问及是否支持米尔斯时,德桑蒂斯表示不支持。

这位任职两届的国会议员正面临众议院道德委员会的调查,调查内容包括涉嫌竞选财务违规、报复色情威胁指控以及性侵指控。米尔斯多次否认有不当行为。他面临来自前新闻主播瑞安·伊利亚及另外两名候选人的初选挑战。佛罗里达州众议院共和党代表团的另外两名议员——安娜·宝琳娜·卢娜和迈克·哈里佐普洛斯——背书了伊利亚。

米尔斯并非周二唯一面临挑战的共和党人。第6选区众议员兰迪·法恩是以色列的坚定支持者,却因反穆斯林言论饱受批评。他面临社交媒体名人丹·比尔泽里安的挑战,后者曾称法恩是“肥胖恶心的犹太人”,并发起了公开的反犹竞选活动。

与此同时,接替唐纳兹的第19选区众议院席位竞争是佛罗里达州最激烈的初选之一,两位来自其他州的前国会议员——北卡罗来纳州的麦迪逊·考索恩和纽约州的克里斯·柯林斯——均参与竞选,此外还有前伊利诺伊州州参议员吉姆·奥伯魏斯。特朗普在这场竞选中背书了33岁的前商务部职员卡塔莉娜·劳夫。

州长选举和今年秋季的参议院选举将给处境艰难的佛罗里达民主党人提供机会,证明他们仍能在全州范围内的选举中竞争。过去十年间,佛罗里达快速右转,该州作为前战场州的地位逐渐丧失。

角逐共和党参议员阿什利·穆迪对手的初选,由在特朗普首次弹劾调查中担任关键证人的退役陆军中校亚历克斯·文德曼,与呼吁美国停止对以色列军事支持的民主社会主义者、州议员安吉·尼克松展开对决。

这位提名获得者,以及州长初选的胜出者,将努力扭转佛罗里达快速右转的趋势。促成这一转变的因素包括:共和党在西班牙裔选民中获得支持、新保守主义居民涌入,以及州民主党陷入混乱。

本世纪初,佛罗里达或许是美国最关键的摇摆州——在2000年总统选举中具有决定性意义,且一直是战场州直至2016年。但特朗普在2020年败选的大选中拿下了该州,2024年更是以13个百分点的优势轻松胜出。同样,德桑蒂斯2018年以不到0.5个百分点的优势当选州长,2022年则以近20个百分点的悬殊优势击败民主党对手。

民主党人也在新划选区内的众议院初选中解决党内分歧。

其中一场关键初选位于南佛罗里达东海岸的第25选区,民主社会主义者正试图击败现任民主党众议员贾里德·莫斯科维茨。莫斯科维茨得到支持以色列和人工智能阵营的背书。他们的候选人是34岁的活动家、工会组织者奥利弗·拉金。

另一场值得关注的民主党初选在第20选区,资深众议员黛比·沃瑟曼·舒尔茨对阵前众议员希拉·切尔菲卢斯-麦科米克。切尔菲卢斯-麦科米克于4月辞职,以避免道德委员会就是否应将其逐出国会进行投票。该委员会此前认定她存在一系列道德违规行为,包括指控她窃取数百万美元的疫情救助资金,用于助力2021年的竞选。切尔菲卢斯-麦科米克还面临单独的刑事指控,她已表示不认罪。

不过,沃瑟曼·舒尔茨在这场初选中面临“地毯式竞选”的指控——在现任选区被重新划分为更有利于共和党的选区后,她转战该历史上由黑人代表的选区参选,而该选区长期以来一直由黑人国会议员代表。

加利福尼亚州周二将举行特别选举,填补前众议员埃里克·斯沃韦尔剩余任期的空缺。美国以色列公共事务委员会(AIPAC)已投入数百万美元,试图引导选民不要支持州参议员艾莎·瓦哈布,转而支持其心仪的候选人——湾区捷运董事会主席梅利莎·埃尔南德斯。

瓦哈布是以色列在加沙军事行动的直言不讳的批评者,在6月16日的特别初选中获得了近43%的选票,遥遥领先以近17%支持率位居第二的埃尔南德斯。这场竞争激烈的选战中共有多位候选人。两位角逐东湾第14选区席位的候选人均为民主党人。

这两位候选人还将在秋季再次对决,争夺完整的两年任期。

由于加利福尼亚州中期重新划区,11月投票的第14选区选民将略有不同。特别选举将沿用当前的选区边界,而新的选区边界将在大选时生效。

民主党领导层认为,前众议员玛丽·佩尔托拉能为其党派争取到击败共和党现任参议员丹·沙利文的阿拉斯加参议院席位的机会。

但在该州独特的初选制度下——无论党派如何,前四名得票者将晋级大选——更大的问题可能是另一位名叫丹·沙利文的候选人能否晋级。

共和党人未能将第二位沙利文——一位与现任参议员同名的前教师——从选票上除名。

现任参议员在选票上登记为“丹·S·沙利文”,并被列为注册共和党人和现任议员。另一位沙利文则被标识为“小丹尼尔·J·沙利文”,尽管他以共和党人身份参选,但未被登记为任何党派。

这一 quirks 预计不会在周二的初选中对现任参议员构成严重威胁,但如果有少量选民因此产生混淆,在竞争激烈的大选中可能会产生影响。

特朗普周二上午介入此事,敦促选民选举“真正的”丹·沙利文,并称竞争对手为“冒牌货”,尽管他称对方的竞选是合法的。

阿拉斯加选民还将选出众议员尼克·贝吉奇三世的大选对手,以及接替任期届满的州长迈克·邓利维的候选人。预计这两个席位在11月都将由共和党人守住。

怀俄明州是美国最坚定的共和党州之一,11月的选举结果几乎没有悬念。

但该州将迎来重大政治变局,今年秋季将出现州长、参议院和众议院席位的空缺。

接替任期届满的州长马克·戈登的初选将考验特朗普的影响力。他背书的候选人——州公共教育总监梅根·德根费尔德——将迎战另外三位实力强劲的竞争者:职业骑牛选手柯特·布莱克、州参议员埃里克·巴洛以及前海军陆战队上校布伦特·比恩。

37岁的德根费尔德是特许学校和教育券的倡导者,广泛支持特朗普的教育政策,包括精简教育部。

辛西娅·拉米斯参议员即将退休,而2022年通过击败前众议员利兹·切尼赢得席位的众议员哈丽雅特·哈格曼获得了特朗普的背书,有望在五人竞争的初选胜出,成为该参议院席位的共和党接班人。

共有九名候选人角逐哈格曼腾出的众议院席位,但总统尚未介入这场竞选。

本文已更新补充更多信息。

Voters weigh a DeSantis successor and other key races to watch in Florida, Alaska and Wyoming

2026-08-18T08:00:29.393Z / CNN

Florida Republicans are set to choose their nominee in the race to replace term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis on Tuesday in a contest that has in some ways turned into a bitter intra-party feud — even though there is little drama about its likely outcome.

Naples-area Rep. Byron Donalds, who is endorsed by President Donald Trump, is the favorite in the GOP gubernatorial primary. DeSantis has not endorsed him in the race and, CNN reported last month, shared his concerns about Donalds privately with Trump. But DeSantis also hasn’t backed any other candidate in a field that includes his lieutenant governor.

It’s led to a vacuum that has left space for the emergence of James Fishback, a race-baiting 31-year-old who has called Donalds, who is Black, a “slave to his donors” and a “DEI Republican” who would “turn Florida into a Section 8 ghetto.”

Tuesday’s contests also mark the first time voters will head to the polls under a new congressional map, designed by DeSantis to help Republicans net an additional four seats, that set off a scramble in down-ballot races.

As Democrats settle a series of their own primaries in the redrawn districts, the races will also test whether democratic socialists can continue to make gains and where voters stand on issues related to Israel. Republican voters also have tough choices ahead of them, with several contentious House primaries featuring controversial candidates.

Florida is the headliner on a day of primaries that also includes Alaska and Wyoming. Voters in California, meanwhile, will fill a House vacancy in a special election runoff.

Here’s what to watch in Tuesday’s contests:

Despite DeSantis’ apparent concerns with Donalds, Republicans have won every governor’s race in Florida in the last 30 years. Whoever wins on Tuesday — likely Donalds — will emerge Wednesday morning as the clear favorite to win in November.

However, Democrats came close to winning the governor’s office in 2018 — the last time midterms were held with Trump in office. A relatively weak showing by Donalds on Tuesday could indicate Democrats could have an opening to make the governor’s race competitive.

In addition to Fishback, other candidates in the GOP primary are Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, who has framed his campaign around a pledge to protect the DeSantis legacy even though the governor has not endorsed his own No. 2, and former state House Speaker Paul Renner.

Democrats are expected to nominate party-switching former Rep. David Jolly in the race for governor. Jolly, a prominent critic of Trump, left the GOP in 2018 and last year officially became a Democrat.

When Trump posted a list of Florida Republicans with his endorsement on social media earlier this month ahead of the primary, there was a notable omission: 7th District Rep. Cory Mills – whom the president endorsed in February. And when DeSantis was asked whether he supports Mills last week, the governor said no.

The two-term congressman is being investigated by the House Ethics Committee for potential campaign finance violations, an accusation of a revenge porn threat and an assault allegation. Mills has repeatedly denied wrongdoing. He faces a primary challenge from former news anchor Ryan Elijah and two other candidates. Two other members of Florida’s House Republican delegation, Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Mike Haridopolos, endorsed Elijah.

Mills is not the only Republican facing a challenge on Tuesday. 6th District Rep. Randy Fine, a strident supporter of Israel who has drawn criticism for his anti-Muslim rhetoric, faces social media personality Dan Bilzerian, who has called Fine a “fat disgusting Jew” and run an openly antisemitic campaign.

Meanwhile, the 19th District race to replace Donalds is among the wildest Florida primaries, with two former members of Congress from other states — North Carolina’s Madison Cawthorn and New York’s Chris Collins — both in the running, as well as a former Illinois state senator, Jim Oberweis. Trump has endorsed Catalina Lauf, a 33-year-old former Commerce Department staffer, in the race.

The governor’s race and a Senate contest this fall will give down-and-out Florida Democrats, who have watched their state’s former battleground status erode as it has shifted rapidly rightward over the last decade, a chance to show they can still compete in statewide races.

The primary to take on Republican Sen. Ashley Moody pits retired Army Lt. Col. Alex Vindman, a key witness in Trump’s first impeachment inquiry, against state Rep. Angie Nixon, a democratic socialist who has called for the United States to end its military support for Israel.

That nominee, as well as the winner of the gubernatorial primary, will attempt to reverse a rapid rightward shift in Florida. Among the factors contributing to that change: GOP gains with Hispanic voters, an influx of new conservative residents and a state Democratic Party that has been in disarray.

Early this century, Florida was perhaps the nation’s most critical swing state — decisive in the 2000 presidential election and a battleground through 2016. But Trump won the state on his way to losing the election in 2020, and then he cruised to a 13-point win there in 2024. Likewise, DeSantis, who won the governor’s office by less than half a percentage point in 2018, demolished his Democratic foe in 2022, winning by nearly 20 points.

Democrats are also settling intra-party squabbles in House primaries taking place in newly redrawn districts.

Among those races is the 25th District on South Florida’s east coast, where democratic socialists are looking to pick off another Democratic incumbent in Rep. Jared Moskowitz, who is backed by pro-Israel and artificial intelligence forces. Their candidate is Oliver Larkin, a 34-year-old activist and union organizer.

Another Democratic primary to watch comes in the 20th District, where longtime Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz is taking on former Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, who resigned from her seat in April to prevent an Ethics Committee vote on whether she should be forced out of Congress. The panel previously found her guilty of a slew of ethics violations, including accusations that she stole millions in pandemic relief funds and used it to bolster her 2021 campaign. Cherfilus-McCormick also faces separate criminal charges and has pleaded not guilty.

Wasserman Schultz, however, has faced allegations of carpetbagging in the primary, as she shifted over to run in the historically Black district, which has long had a Black representative in Congress, after her current seat was redrawn to be more Republican friendly.

California is holding its special election to replace former Rep. Eric Swalwell for the rest of this year on Tuesday, and the American Israel Public Affairs Committee has spent millions to try to steer voters away from state Sen. Aisha Wahab and toward its preferred candidate — Bay Area Rapid Transit Board President Melissa Hernandez.

Wahab, an outspoken critic of Israel’s military campaign in Gaza, earned nearly 43% of the votes in the June 16 special primary — well ahead of Hernandez, who finished second with nearly 17% support in the crowded race. Both candidates vying to represent the East Bay’s 14th District are Democrats.

The candidates will also square off again in the fall as they vie for a full two-year term.

Because of California’s mid-decade redistricting, the voters within the 14th District in November will be slightly different. The special election is taking place under the current district boundaries, while the new ones will be in effect for the general election.

Democratic leadership believes former Rep. Mary Peltola can give her party a fighting chance at flipping the Alaska Senate seat held by Republican Dan Sullivan.

But in the state’s unusual primary system — in which the top four finishers, regardless of party, advance to the general election — the bigger question might be whether another Dan Sullivan makes the cut.

Republicans failed in their efforts to get a second Sullivan — a former teacher who shares the incumbent’s first and last name — booted from the ballot.

The senator appears on ballots as Dan S. Sullivan and is listed as a registered Republican and the incumbent. The other Sullivan is identified as Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., and he is not listed with a party affiliation, even though he filed to run as a Republican.

It’s a quirk that isn’t expected to seriously threaten the incumbent, at least not in Tuesday’s primary, but could make a difference in a razor-tight general election if even a small number of voters are confused.

Trump weighed in on Tuesday morning, urging voters to pick the “real” Dan Sullivan in the election and criticizing the rival candidate as an “imposter,” though he has said his campaign is legitimate.

Alaska voters are also selecting general election opponents to take on at-large Rep. Nick Begich III, as well as candidates to replace term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy. Both seats are expected to remain in Republican hands in November.

There’s little drama about which party will win in November in Wyoming, one of the nation’s most reliably Republican states.

But the state is set to see a major political shakeup, with open seats for governor, Senate and House this fall.

The primary to replace term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon will test Trump’s influence, as the candidate he endorsed — state Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder — takes on three other viable contenders: professional bull rider Curt Blake, state Sen. Eric Barlow and Brent Bien, a former Marine Corps colonel.

Degenfelder, 37, is an advocate for charter schools and vouchers who has broadly backed Trump’s education policies, including downsizing the Department of Education.

Sen. Cynthia Lummis is retiring, and Rep. Harriet Hageman, who won her seat by ousting former Rep. Liz Cheney in 2022, is backed by Trump and favored to emerge from a five-person field as the senator’s Republican heir apparent.

Nine candidates are vying for the House seat Hageman is vacating, though the president has not waded into that contest.

This story has been updated with additional information.

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