2026-08-15T06:00:13-04:00 / 福克斯新闻
福克斯新闻民调显示罗杰斯以51%比47%领先埃尔赛义德，共和党在分裂的初选后展现更强团结助力领先优势
作者：保罗·斯坦豪泽 福克斯新闻
发布于 2026年8月15日 美国东部时间早上6:00
民调显示迈克·罗杰斯在密歇根州参议院竞选中领先
独立记者埃维塔·达菲-阿尔方索解读最新福克斯新闻民调，该民调显示迈克·罗杰斯在密歇根州参议院竞选中处于领先地位。民调表明，登记选民极度担忧阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德过于极端，而通胀和高物价仍是多数受访者的首要关切。
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在摇摆州密歇根州爆发的一场充满火药味且造成分裂的民主党参议院初选，给共和党带来了早期优势，他们正力争在中期选举中拿下民主党把持的关键席位。
一项在本月初选对决后开展的福克斯新闻民调显示，左翼候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德以微弱优势击败更为温和的民主党众议员黑利·史蒂文斯，赢得该席位的民主党提名，该席位由即将退休的参议员加里·彼得斯把持。民调显示，埃尔赛义德难以团结民主党基本盘。
这似乎给共和党候选人、前众议员迈克·罗杰斯提供了更多弹药，去拉拢那些对埃尔赛义德一些有争议的过往言论和极左翼政策立场感到不适的民主党人。民主党必须守住这个摇摆州的席位，才能在从共和党手中夺回参议院多数席位的艰难征程中取得进展。
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2026年8月4日，密歇根州民主党参议院候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德在底特律皇家音乐厅的选举夜集会上向支持者发表讲话。(盖蒂图片社)
根据8月6日至10日开展、本周公布的福克斯新闻对密歇根州登记选民的调查，罗杰斯以51%比47%的微弱优势领先埃尔赛义德，差距在调查的抽样误差范围内。
罗杰斯的领先优势很大程度上得益于共和党内部更强的团结。民调显示，几乎所有共和党人（96%），包括“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）阵营支持者（99%）和非MAGA共和党人（89%），都支持罗杰斯。
埃尔赛义德在民主党人中的支持率略低，为91%。尽管98%的美国民主社会主义者（DSA）支持者 backing埃尔赛义德，但这一比例在非DSA民主党人和无党派人士中降至69%。
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与此同时，密歇根州国务卿乔斯林·本森——接替任期将满的州长格雷琴·惠特默的竞选活动中更为温和的民主党州长候选人——在非DSA民主党人和无党派人士中获得了81%的支持率。这助力本森以52%比47%的整体优势领先共和党州长候选人众议员约翰·詹姆斯。
“埃尔赛义德在一些群体中明显表现不佳……初选造成了损害，”参与福克斯新闻民调的民主党资深民调专家、战略家克里斯·安德森说道。
安德森告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，埃尔赛义德“需要争取民主党人的支持……他任务艰巨，需要说服一些人，但我认为尽管很多选民存在担忧，他仍有有利的竞选空间”。
罗杰斯在初选前接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时表示，“我们以几十年来在这场特定竞选中从未见过的方式团结了共和党”。
“我们正在组建团队、筹备资源，准备好投入战斗……以一种我认为民主党人意想不到的方式，”曾获得唐纳德·特朗普总统背书、此次将连续第二次参选参议院的罗杰斯称赞道。
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密歇根州共和党参议院候选人迈克·罗杰斯称他将击败任何民主党对手，抨击对手“过于极端”
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作为韦恩县前卫生部门主管，埃尔赛义德如果在11月当选，将成为美国首位穆斯林参议员。他是一名流行病学家，曾在2018年以黑马身份竞选州长但未成功。他将支持“全民医保”作为竞选的核心内容。
他还呼吁废除移民海关执法局（ICE），并在以色列与哈马斯的战争中直言不讳地批评以色列——甚至将以色列在加沙的行动描述为对巴勒斯坦人的“种族灭绝”。获得佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯和纽约州众议员亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科特兹等进步派领袖背书并在竞选活动中与其同行的埃尔赛义德，还誓言不接受政治行动委员会（PAC）的捐款。
共和党人认为，埃尔赛义德过于左倾，对这个五大湖摇摆州来说过于激进。
罗杰斯在接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时称埃尔赛义德“对密歇根州来说过于极端了。我说的是阿卜杜勒，他有自己独特的疯狂套路”。
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埃尔赛义德初选获胜后，迈克·罗杰斯直接向密歇根州民主党人喊话
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在上周发布的一段竞选视频中，罗杰斯向那些他称之为“毫无希望”的民主党人喊话：“因为赢得你们党内初选的人并不代表你们的价值观，放心，仍有希望”，并表示他们在他的竞选活动中有“归宿”。
埃尔赛义德在初选前夕接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时，对自己能够团结民主党充满信心。
“我认为我们都明白唐纳德·特朗普带来的风险。我们都明白迈克·罗杰斯带来的风险，”埃尔赛义德说道。
在提及支持史蒂文斯的选民时，他强调：“我认为每个人都清楚当前的风险。所以我期待着欢迎所有在初选中投了不同票的人”。
密歇根州民主党参议院候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德称，在充满火药味的初选后，他将团结民主党对抗特朗普和罗杰斯
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资深民主党民调专家安德森表示，他预计随着选举日临近，埃尔赛义德将更好地团结民主党基本盘。
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“在高度党派化的环境中，这些选民将面临一个选择：是投民主党还是投共和党，”安德森说道。
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DSA brand on trial as El-Sayed struggles where Dems can least afford it
2026-08-15T06:00:13-04:00 / Fox News
Fox News poll shows Rogers at 51% to El-Sayed’s 47%, fueled by stronger Republican party unity after divisive primary
By Paul Steinhauser Fox News
Published August 15, 2026 6:00am EDT
Poll shows Mike Rogers has edge in Michigan Senate race
Independent journalist Evita Duffy-Alfonso breaks down the latest Fox News poll showing Mike Rogers leading the Michigan Senate race. The poll indicates registered voters are highly concerned about Abdul El-Sayed being too extreme, while inflation and high prices remain the top issue for a majority of respondents.
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A combustible and divisive Democratic Senate primary in battleground Michigan is giving Republicans an early edge as they aim to flip a crucial Democrat-held seat in the midterm elections.
A Fox News poll conducted after this month’s primary showdown, in which left-wing candidate Abdul El-Sayed narrowly edged more moderate Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens to capture the party’s nomination in the race to defend the seat held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, indicates El-Sayed is having difficulty unifying the Democratic base.
That appears to be giving Republican nominee and former Rep. Mike Rogers more ammunition to court Democrats uncomfortable with some of El-Sayed’s controversial past comments and far-left policy positions. Democrats must hold the swing state seat as part of their uphill climb to win back the Senate majority from the GOP.
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Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed speaks to supporters at an election-night rally at the Majestic Theatre in Detroit, Mich., on Aug. 4, 2026.(Getty Images)
According to a Fox News survey of Michigan registered voters conducted Aug. 6-10 and released this week, Rogers held a 51%-47% edge over El-Sayed, within the survey’s margin of sampling error.
Rogers’ edge is fueled largely by stronger party unity among Republicans. Nearly all Republicans (96%), including both MAGA (99%) and non-MAGA Republicans (89%), backed Rogers, the poll indicates.
El-Sayed’s support among Democrats is slightly lower, at 91%. While 98% of self-described Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) supporters backed El-Sayed, that number dropped to 69% of non-DSA Democrats and independents.
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Meanwhile, Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, the more moderate Democratic gubernatorial nominee in the race to succeed term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, grabbed 81% support among non-DSA Democrats and independents. That helped fuel Benson’s overall 52%-47% advantage over Republican gubernatorial nominee Rep. John James.
“El-Sayed is clearly underperforming in some groups…There is damage done from the primary,” veteran pollster and strategist Chris Anderson, the Democratic partner on the Fox News Poll, said.
Anderson told Fox News Digital that El-Sayed “needs to bring home Democrats…He has his work cut out for him and he needs to convince some folks, but I think there’s favorable ground for him to be playing on despite the concerns that a lot of voters hold.”
Rogers, in an interview with Fox News Digital ahead of the primary, said “we’ve unified the Republican Party in a way I haven’t seen in decades here on this particular race.”
“We’re building our team, our resources, and ready for the fight…in a way I don’t think Democrats are expecting,” Rogers, who is backed by President Donald Trump as he runs for the Senate for a second straight cycle, touted.
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Michigan GOP Senate hopeful Mike Rogers says he’d beat either Democrat, blasts rivals as ‘too extreme’
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A former Wayne County Health Department director, El-Sayed, if elected in November, would make history as the nation’s first Muslim senator. He is an epidemiologist who unsuccessfully ran for governor as an insurgent candidate in 2018. He has made support for “Medicare-for-all” a major component of his campaign.
He has also called for abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and is a vocal critic of Israel during its war with Hamas — even characterizing Israel’s actions in Gaza as “genocide” against Palestinians. El-Sayed, who was endorsed and joined on the campaign trail by progressive champions Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, has also vowed not to accept PAC donations.
Republicans argue that El-Sayed is too far to the left and too radical for the Great Lakes swing state.
Rogers, in his Fox News Digital interview, called El-Sayed “way too extreme for Michigan. I mean, Abdul, he has his own special sauce of crazy.”
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Mike Rogers speaks directly to Michigan Democrats after El-Sayed primary win
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In a campaign video released last week, Rogers reached out to Democrats he called “hopeless, because the person who won [their party’s primary] does not represent your values, well, just know, there is still hope” and said they have a “home” with his campaign.
El-Sayed, speaking to Fox News Digital on the eve of the primary, was confident that he would be able to unite Democrats.
“I think we all understand the risk of Donald Trump. We all understand the risk of Mike Rogers,” El-Sayed said.
Referring to voters who supported Stevens, he emphasized, “I think everybody understands what the stakes are. So I’m looking forward to welcoming everybody who might have voted differently in the primary.”
Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed says he’ll unite party against Trump, Rogers after combustible primary
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Anderson, the veteran Democratic pollster, said he expects El-Sayed to better unify the Democratic base as Election Day nears.
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“These are folks who in highly partisan environment are going to be faced with do they vote for a Democrat or a Republican,” Anderson said.
Paul Steinhauser covers the national campaign trail from coast to coast for Fox News
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