特朗普将吹捧美国犯罪率下降 为中期选举造势


2026年8月14日 美国东部时间上午10:04 / 路透社
作者:休梅拉·帕穆克


[1/2] 2026年8月11日,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在马里兰州安德鲁斯联合基地走下空军一号后向媒体发表讲话。路透社/凯莉·库珀 购买授权图片,将在新标签页打开

  • 内容摘要
  • 特朗普将与警察共同举办集会,吹捧犯罪率下降
  • 此次演讲之际,共和党正寻求将民众注意力从经济议题上转移
  • 联邦调查局局长、司法部长预计将出席活动

华盛顿8月14日路透电 — 美国总统唐纳德·特朗普将于周五展示下降的暴力犯罪率,将其作为其“法律与秩序”议程奏效的证据,试图将民众注意力从经济担忧上转移——此类担忧已在11月中期选举前削弱了他的支持率。

特朗普将前往纽约州拿骚县警察学院,公布联邦调查局2025年的数据。一名白宫官员表示,该数据将显示有记录以来暴力犯罪率最大的年度降幅。

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联邦调查局局长卡什·帕特尔和新近宣誓就职的司法部长托德·布兰奇预计将与总统一同出席这场与警察共同举办的活动。

此次公开亮相之际,共和党正寻找能打动摇摆选民的议题,当前民众对通胀以及与伊朗战争带来的经济后果感到担忧,共和党则将民主党描绘为在公共安全问题上脱离民众的一方。

“特朗普总统曾承诺让美国重拾安全,数据证明他做到了这一点,”白宫发言人劳伦·比斯说道。

根据白宫在报告发布前分享的联邦调查局报告节选,2025年谋杀和非过失杀人案预估下降18.1%,抢劫案预估下降18.5%。

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特朗普第一届政府末期新冠疫情期间,包括凶杀案在内的部分暴力犯罪率飙升至数十年来的最高水平。但数据显示,随后的犯罪率下降早在特朗普重返白宫之前就已开始,2023年和2024年的凶杀率已降至疫情前的低位。

这一下降趋势在大小城市均有出现,无论是宣扬激进警务还是进步警务改革的地区,无论是警察密度高还是低的地区,都出现了犯罪率下降,这表明没有单一政策能够解释这一全国性趋势。

特朗普长期以来一直抱怨“犯罪浪潮”,尤其是在民主党执政的城市,并以此为借口为激进的联邦干预辩护,包括去年向华盛顿部署联邦特工和国民警卫队部队。

特朗普大肆宣扬犯罪率下降之际,近几个月来他还试图将社会主义和共产主义打造成中期选举的核心议题。他近期加大了对自称民主社会主义者的纽约市长佐赫兰·曼达尼和其他进步派候选人的攻击力度。

民主党人士表示,犯罪率下降早在特朗普重返白宫之前就已开始,共和党夸大了联邦政策在其中起到的作用,而进步派人士在很大程度上已不再支持2020年乔治·弗洛伊德被谋杀后兴起的“Defund警察”运动。

他们如今表示,应当对警务进行改革,同时指出移民执法人员已造成两名美国公民死亡,让社区变得更不安全。

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本文由休梅拉·帕穆克报道;丹·罗森茨威格-齐夫和布拉德·希思补充报道;科琳·詹金斯和斯蒂芬·科茨编辑

我们的报道准则:汤姆森路透社信任原则,将在新标签页打开

Trump to tout drop in US crime rates with an eye on midterms

August 14, 2026 10:04 AM UTC / Reuters

By Humeyra Pamuk

Item 1 of 2 U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to members of the media after disembarking Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, U.S., August 11, 2026. REUTERS/Kylie Cooper

[1/2]U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to members of the media after disembarking Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, U.S., August 11, 2026. REUTERS/Kylie Cooper Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

  • Summary
  • Trump to hold rally with police to tout falling crime rates
  • Speech comes as Republicans seek to shift focus away from the economy
  • FBI director, attorney general expected to attend

WASHINGTON, Aug 14 (Reuters) – U.S. President Donald Trump is ​set to showcase falling violent crime rates on Friday as evidence that his law-and-order agenda is ‌working, seeking to shift attention away from economic concerns that have dented his approval ratings ahead of November’s midterm elections.

Trump will visit the Nassau County Police Academy in New York to unveil 2025 data from the Federal Bureau of Investigation that a White House ​official says will show the largest year-to-year decline in violent crime on record.

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FBI Director Kash Patel and ​newly sworn-in Attorney General Todd Blanche are expected to join the president at the ⁠event with police.

The appearance comes as Republicans look for issues that resonate with swing voters amid concerns about inflation ​and the economic fallout from the war with Iran, while casting Democrats as out of step on public safety.

“President Trump ​promised to make America safe again and the data proves he has done just that,” White House spokeswoman Lauren Bis said.

According to excerpts from the FBI report shared by the White House before its publication, murder and non-negligent manslaughter decreased an estimated 18.1% in ​2025 while robberies fell an estimated 18.5%.

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Some violent crimes, including homicides, surged at the end of the first ​Trump administration during the COVID pandemic to the highest levels in decades. But the data shows that the subsequent fall predates Trump’s ‌return ⁠to office, with homicide rates plummeting in 2023 and 2024 to pre-pandemic lows.

The decline has occurred in cities big and small, in places with officials touting both aggressive policing and progressive police reform and with both a high density and low density of police officers, suggesting no single policy explains the nationwide trend.

Trump has long complained of a “crime ​epidemic,” particularly in Democratic-run ​cities, and used that message ⁠to justify aggressive federal intervention, including last year’s deployment of federal agents and National Guard troops to Washington.

blob:https://www.reuters.com/284ef8f8-f76b-42a1-900c-9b4af4cc689b

Trump’s touting of the crime decline comes as he has also ​sought in recent months to make socialism and communism a defining theme in the ​midterms. He has ⁠recently intensified attacks on self-described democratic socialist New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani and other progressive candidates.

Democrats say Republicans are overstating the role of federal policy in a crime decline that began before Trump returned to office, and progressives have largely ⁠backed ​away from supporting the “defund the police” movement that emerged after George Floyd’s ​murder in 2020.

They now say policing should be reformed while arguing that immigration officers, who have killed two U.S. citizens, have made communities less ​safe.

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Reporting by Humeyra Pamuk; Additional reporting by Dan Rosenzweig-Ziff and Brad Heath; Editing by Colleen Jenkins and Stephen Coates

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