2026年8月11日 / 美国东部时间晚上11:03 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
作者:凯特琳·伊莱克 政治记者
凯特琳·伊莱克是哥伦比亚广播公司新闻网驻华盛顿特区的政治记者。她曾供职于《华盛顿考察家报》和《国会山报》,并入选2022年美国国家新闻基金会保罗·米勒华盛顿报道奖学金项目。
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全国民主党人认为,目前由共和党掌控的威斯康星州两个国会选区在11月的选举中有望易主——即第1和第3国会选区。
尽管这两个选区都是他们的重点目标,但后者被视为该州 flipping 席位的最佳机会。
以下是这些关键选区的初选进展——以及第7国会选区的公开席位争夺战,美国交通部长肖恩·达菲的女婿正参与该席位的共和党初选。
第1国会选区
哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预测,民主党人米切尔·伯曼将在11月的选举中对阵威斯康星州第1国会选区的现任共和党众议员布莱恩·斯泰尔。
伯曼是一名护士,在周二的初选中击败了另外两名民主党对手。根据美国联邦选举委员会的最新数据,伯曼的筹款额远超其他民主党初选对手,但斯泰尔的手头现金比伯曼多出610万美元。
斯泰尔于2018年首次当选,接替了1999年至2019年代表这个威斯康星州东南部选区的前众议院议长保罗·瑞安。
该选区已有30多年没有民主党人代表,但众议院民主党竞选机构民主党国会竞选委员会将其列为本届选举的46个摇摆选区之一。
弗吉尼亚大学政治中心将这场竞选评级为“共和党大概率获胜”。
第3国会选区
哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预测,威斯康星州竞争激烈的第3国会选区的大选将是民主党人丽贝卡·库克和现任共和党众议员德里克·范奥登的再次对决。
库克获得了众议院民主党竞选机构的支持,该机构将这个席位列为顶级目标,因为民主党希望重新夺回众议院多数席位。库克击败了进步派候选人埃米莉·伯格,赢得民主党提名。
库克在2024年的选举中仅以不到3个百分点的差距输给了范奥登。弗吉尼亚大学政治中心将这场竞选评级为“势均力敌”。
根据美国联邦选举委员会的最新数据,库克的筹款额也超过了范奥登。库克筹集了约860万美元,而范奥登筹集了750万美元。不过,范奥登的手头现金比这位民主党对手多出近300万美元。
范奥登于2022年首次赢得这个威斯康星州西部的席位,将该选区染成了红色。库克当年也曾参与民主党提名的初选,但最终失利。
第7国会选区
哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预测,达菲的女婿迈克尔·阿方索周二赢得了威斯康星州深红选区第7国会选区的共和党初选。民主党初选结果仍未确定。
该选区涵盖威斯康星州西北部直至该州中部地区,目前由共和党众议员汤姆·蒂法尼代表,他正在竞选州长一职。
该席位曾由民主党掌控数十年,直到达菲在2010年赢得该席位。达菲于2019年辞职,理由是他的第九个孩子出现健康并发症。
《库克政治报告》将该席位评级为“稳固共和党”。
特朗普总统在1月份为阿方索背书,称他是“一位年轻的‘明星’”。
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/ideological-battle-in-wisconsin-as-democrats-choose-between-francesca-hong-and-david-crowley/
威斯康星州民主党人在弗朗西斯卡·洪与戴维·克劳利之间抉择,意识形态交锋升级
(时长04:14)
Democrats pick candidates in 2 crucial Wisconsin House districts as Sean Duffy’s son-in-law wins a GOP primary
August 11, 2026 / 11:03 PM EDT / CBS News
By Caitlin Yilek Politics Reporter
Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter at CBSNews.com, based in Washington, D.C. She previously worked for the Washington Examiner and The Hill, and was a member of the 2022 Paul Miller Washington Reporting Fellowship with the National Press Foundation.
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National Democrats see two Wisconsin districts currently held by Republicans as up for grabs in November — the 1st and 3rd Congressional Districts.
Though both are among their top targets, the latter is seen as their best chance to flip a seat in the state.
Here’s how the primaries in those key districts — as well as an open seat in the 7th Congressional District, where the son-in-law of Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy is vying to win — are shaping up.
1st Congressional District
Democrat Mitchell Berman will face incumbent GOP Rep. Bryan Steil in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District in the November election, CBS News projects.
Berman, a nurse, defeated two other Democratic opponents to win his primary Tuesday. According to the latest data from the Federal Election Commission, Berman raised significantly more than his primary competitors, but Steil has a $6.1 million cash-on-hand advantage over Berman.
Steil was first elected in 2018, replacing former House Speaker Paul Ryan, who represented the southeastern Wisconsin district from 1999 to 2019.
A Democrat has not represented the district in more than 30 years, but House Democrats’ campaign arm, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, considers it as one of 46 districts in play this cycle.
The University of Virginia’s Center for Politics rates the race as likely Republican.
3rd Congressional District
The general election in Wisconsin’s competitive 3rd Congressional District will be a rematch between Democrat Rebecca Cooke and the Republican incumbent, Rep. Derrick Van Orden, CBS News projects.
Cooke — who has the backing of House Democrats’ campaign arm, which considers the seat a top target as the party seeks to regain the majority — beat progressive Emily Berge to win the Democratic nomination.
Cooke lost to Van Orden in 2024 by less than three percentage points. The University of Virginia’s Center for Politics rates the race as a toss-up.
Cooke also has a fundraising edge over Van Orden, according to the latest data from the Federal Election Commission. Cooke has raised about $8.6 million compared with Van Orden’s $7.5 million. Van Orden, however, has nearly $3 million more cash on hand than his Democratic opponent.
Van Orden first won the western Wisconsin seat in 2022, flipping the district red. Cooke lost a primary bid that year for the Democratic nomination.
7th Congressional District
Duffy’s son-in-law Michael Alfonso won the Republican primary in Wisconsin’s solid-red 7th Congressional District on Tuesday, CBS News projects. The Democratic primary remains unsettled.
The district, which stretches across northwestern Wisconsin into the central part of the state, is currently represented by GOP Rep. Tom Tiffany, who is running for governor.
The seat was held by Democrats for decades until Duffy won in 2010. Duffy resigned from Congress in 2019, citing the health complications of his ninth child.
The Cook Political Report considers the seat solid Republican.
President Trump endorsed Alfonso in January, calling him “a young ‘STAR.’”
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/ideological-battle-in-wisconsin-as-democrats-choose-between-francesca-hong-and-david-crowley/
Ideological battle in Wisconsin as Democrats choose between Francesca Hong and David Crowley
(04:14)
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