2026年8月5日 13:59:56 UTC / 路透社
美国密歇根州底特律，2026年8月5日，在密歇根州联邦参议院民主党初选计票仍在进行期间，候选人阿卜杜勒·赛义德在选举之夜集会上向舞台挥手致意。路透社/丽贝卡·库克
- 进步派在密歇根州击败建制派支持的史蒂文斯
- 选民支持针对以色列、医疗保健和经济的议程
- 选举结果可能塑造民主党2028年战略
8月5日 路透社 – 据周三媒体预测，民主党进步派取得重大胜利，阿卜杜勒·赛义德赢得密歇根州联邦参议院民主党初选，为其反建制主张在11月中期选举前提振声势。
赛义德的竞选主张聚焦医疗保健、经济以及终止对以色列无条件军事援助，他是首位在唐纳德·特朗普2024年赢得的州内赢得全州范围初选的进步派候选人。他将在11月与共和党籍前国会议员迈克·罗杰斯展开对决。
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周二的投票被视为衡量民主党方向的决定性考验，最终演变为选举之夜的胶着战局，赛义德以微弱优势击败美国众议员黑利·史蒂文斯——后者是民主党领导层和亲以色列团体支持的温和派候选人。
截至美国东部时间周三上午10点（格林威治标准时间14:00），计票工作已完成约99%，据美联社数据，赛义德以48.5%对47.5%领先史蒂文斯。美国全国广播公司新闻台数小时前率先预测赛义德获胜，美联社和美国有线电视新闻网随后也做出了相同预测。
“将金钱赶出政治。把钱装进民众口袋。全民医保，”赛义德周三早些时候在X平台上发文宣布胜选。
中西部摇摆州
这场竞争成为进步派与温和派在对以色列支持问题上的战场，这一议题今年在全美各地的初选中持续发酵。但与自由派堡垒州的初选不同，本次是中西部摇摆州的全州范围席位竞争，民主党若希望在11月保住参议院多数席位，必须拿下该席位。
史蒂文斯获得了亲以色列超级政治行动委员会数千万美元的资金支持，其支持者认为她是大选中更具胜算的候选人。
分析人士表示，对赛义德有利的一个重要因素是，密歇根州拥有美国最大的阿拉伯裔社区之一，当地民众对以色列的敌意根深蒂固。
此次选举结果可能会受到潜在2028年总统竞选人的密切审视，他们在民主党2024年总统选举输给特朗普后，正寻求重新赢得选民支持的竞选主张。
赛义德的胜选可能会加剧民主党内部的辩论，讨论经济民粹主义、反建制竞选以及对以色列采取更强硬态度的政治吸引力。
周二的选举结果与民主党选民整体左倾的更广泛迹象相符。周二发布的路透社/益普索民调显示，自称自由派的选民如今在民主党人中占比71%，高于2012年的55%；绝大多数受访者表示，全民医保、扩大堕胎权以及对企业和富人加税是必不可少的政策主张。
民调还发现民主党人对美国对以色列的支持存在强烈质疑。仅有16%的民主党人支持继续向以色列提供军事和经济援助，57%的人表示反对，这表明赛义德对美国政策的批评与民主党内部日益普遍的观点相契合。
密歇根州及其他四州的投票情况
周二，堪萨斯州、密歇根州、密苏里州、弗吉尼亚州和华盛顿州的选民还在民主党初选中选出了联邦众议院候选人，其中多场竞选可能决定民主党能否夺回众议院多数席位。其中四场竞选被认为是大选胜负难料的席位。
在密歇根州兰辛地区的摇摆选区，进步派气候活动家威廉·劳伦斯赢得民主党提名，此前两名温和派候选人分流了中左翼选票。劳伦斯将在11月对阵美国众议员汤姆·巴雷特。
华盛顿州民主党联邦众议员玛丽·格卢森坎普·佩雷斯和州参议院共和党领袖约翰·布劳恩在该州的 top-2 初选中晋级大选。进步派候选人布伦特·亨里奇以悬殊差距位列第三。
在弗吉尼亚州两场预计11月将极具竞争力的选区，民主党提名了前联邦众议员伊莲·卢里亚和亨里科县 Commonwealth检察官香农·泰勒。
在密苏里州，进步派民主党人科里·布什在2024年的对决重演中，未能从美国众议员韦斯利·贝尔手中夺回席位。2024年，一个亲以色列的超级政治行动委员会斥资超800万美元帮助将直言不讳的以色列批评者布什赶下台，今年又投入超300万美元阻止布什进入国会。贝尔在11月的选举中占据极大优势，因为圣路易斯地区的选区是稳固的民主党票仓。
诺兰·D·麦卡斯克尔 报道；蒂姆·里德 补充报道；迈克尔·利尔蒙特、霍华德·戈勒、乔恩·博伊尔和迪帕·巴宾顿 编辑
本报守则：路透社信托原则。
Progressive El-Sayed wins Michigan primary in jolt to Democrats
2026-08-05 13:59:56 UTC / Reuters
U.S. Senate Democratic candidate Abdul El-Sayed waves on stage, with vote counting continuing for Michigan’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary, during an election night rally in Detroit, Michigan, U.S., August 5, 2026. REUTERS/Rebecca Cook
- Progressive defeats establishment-backed Stevens in Michigan
- Voters back agenda on Israel, healthcare and economy
- Result could shape Democratic strategy for 2028
Aug 5 (Reuters) – The Democratic Party’s progressive wing scored a high-profile victory when Abdul El-Sayed won Michigan’s U.S. Senate primary, according to media projections on Wednesday, giving its anti-establishment message a boost ahead of November’s midterm elections.
El-Sayed, whose message focused on healthcare, the economy and an end to unconditional military aid to Israel, was the first progressive to win a statewide primary in a state that President Donald Trump carried in 2024. He will face Republican former congressman Mike Rogers in November.
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Tuesday’s vote, billed as a defining test of the party’s direction, became an election-night cliffhanger, with El-Sayed notching a narrow victory over U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate supported by Democratic leaders and pro-Israel groups.
With 99% of the estimated votes counted as of 10 a.m. ET (1400 GMT) on Wednesday, El-Sayed was leading Stevens 48.5% to 47.5%, according to the Associated Press. The AP and CNN both called the race for El-Sayed, hours after NBC News did the same.
“Money out of politics. Money in your pocket. Medicare for All,” El-Sayed wrote on X early on Wednesday, declaring victory.
MIDWESTERN SWING STATE
The race served as a battleground between progressives and moderates over support for Israel, an issue that has played out in primaries nationwide this year. But unlike contests in liberal bastions, this was a statewide race in a Midwestern swing state for a seat Democrats must win if they have any hopes of securing a Senate majority in November.
Stevens benefited from tens of millions of dollars in spending by a pro-Israel super PAC, and her supporters argued she was the more electable candidate in the general election.
Analysts had said one significant factor in El-Sayed’s favor was that Michigan is home to some of the country’s largest Arab American communities, where hostility to Israel runs deep.
The result is likely to be scrutinized by prospective 2028 presidential contenders searching for a message to reconnect with voters after the party’s loss to Trump in the 2024 presidential election.
El-Sayed’s victory could intensify debate within Democratic ranks over the political appeal of economic populism, anti-establishment campaigning and a tougher approach toward Israel.
Tuesday’s results are consistent with broader signs of a leftward shift among Democratic voters. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Tuesday found self-described liberal voters now make up 71% of Democrats, up from 55% in 2012, while large majorities said universal healthcare, expanded abortion access and higher taxes on corporations and the wealthy are essential policy positions.
The poll also found deep Democratic skepticism of U.S. support for Israel. Only 16% of Democrats backed continued military and economic aid to Israel, while 57% opposed it, suggesting El-Sayed’s criticism of U.S. policy aligned with views that have become increasingly common within the party.
BALLOTS CAST IN MICHIGAN AND FOUR OTHER STATES
Voters in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington state also decided on U.S. House candidates in Democratic primaries on Tuesday, including a handful that could determine whether the party retakes the lower chamber. Four of those races are considered general election toss-ups.
In a Lansing-area swing district in Michigan, progressive climate activist William Lawrence won the Democratic nomination after two moderate candidates split the center-left vote. Lawrence will face U.S. Representative Tom Barrett in November.
Democratic U.S. Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez of Washington and state Senate Republican Leader John Braun advanced to the general election in the state’s top-two primary. The progressive candidate, Brent Hennrich, finished a distant third.
In two Virginia districts expected to be competitive in November, Democrats nominated former U.S. Representative Elaine Luria and Henrico County Commonwealth’s Attorney Shannon Taylor.
In Missouri, progressive Democrat Cori Bush failed in her bid to take back her seat from U.S. Representative Wesley Bell in a rematch of 2024. A pro-Israel super PAC spent more than $8 million to help oust Bush, a vocal critic of Israel, in 2024 and more than $3 million this year to keep Bush out of Congress. Bell is heavily favored to win in November, as the St. Louis-area district is safely Democratic.
Reporting by Nolan D. McCaskill; Additional reporting by Tim Reid; Editing by Michael Learmonth, Howard Goller, Jon Boyle and Deepa Babington
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